artifacts.rs:
- Summary struct (total_pnl_usd, sharpe_ann, sortino_ann,
max_drawdown_usd, calmar, n_trades, win_rate, avg_win/avg_loss,
profit_factor, total_fees_usd, exposure_pct,
kelly_cap_history_sample).
- compute_summary(records, pnl_curve_usd) — non-overlapping
annualisation × √825 per pearl_phase1d4_backtest_cost_edge_frontier
(K=6000 holding × 250 trading days ≈ 825 trades/year).
Sharpe + Sortino + max drawdown + Calmar.
- write_summary (JSON pretty-printed), write_trades_csv (with USD
conversion from fp ×100), write_pnl_curve_bin (bytemuck-cast f32
slice). 5 unit tests with tempdir.
aggregate.rs:
- aggregate_sweep_dir walks <root>/<cell>/summary.json, builds an
arrow RecordBatch (cell name + 9 stats columns), writes
SNAPPY-compressed aggregate.parquet.
- pareto_frontier: cells are kept unless another cell weakly
dominates on all three of (sharpe_ann maxed, max_drawdown_usd
minimised, total_fees_usd minimised) AND strictly improves on one.
Written to pareto_frontier.json (Vec<cell-name>).
- 2 unit tests (3-cell mutual-non-dominance; B-dominates-A).
harness.rs:
- run() now samples Pos.realized_pnl × $50/index-pt per event into
self.pnl_curves[b], so the per-cell P&L curve is ready for
write_artifacts() without an extra sim pass.
- write_artifacts(out_dir) — per-cell <out>/cell_NNNN/{summary.json,
trades.csv, pnl_curve.bin}.
bin/fxt-backtest:
- clap-derive CLI with two subcommands:
run --data <dir> [--predecoded-dir <dir>] [--policy-grid <yaml>]
[--n-parallel N] [--decision-stride S] [--latency-ns N]
[--target-annual-vol-units F] [--annualisation-factor F]
[--max-lots N] [--max-events N] [--seed N] --out <dir>
aggregate <sweep_dir>
- Constructs MlDevice::cuda(0) + CfcTrunk::new_random for the trunk
(v1 — ml-alpha has no checkpoint format yet; --seed gates init).
- Parses --policy-grid YAML if given but doesn't yet plumb to the
LobSimCuda decision kernel (the v1 kernel hardcodes the
Strategy::default_for path; bytecode VM is C7's deferred follow-up).
Parse step kept end-to-end so the YAML format is validated now.
- --latency-ns parsed but not consumed — reserved for follow-up
resting-order in-flight promotion (deferred from C5).
Adds parquet + arrow + arrow-array + arrow-schema + serde_yaml to
ml-backtesting deps; bin/fxt-backtest added to workspace members.
All 33 lib tests + 6 GPU fixture tests green. CLI --help renders both
subcommands correctly.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase E.1 Task 12b complete. The H=600 DQN smoke now consumes real
alpha_logit from the Phase 1d.3 stacker (Mamba2 + 7-input MLP stacker
trained for AUC=0.673 on test), and PASSES all four kill criteria:
Q_SPREAD_EMA = 10.92 ≥ 0.05 PASS
ACTION_ENTROPY_EMA = 1.97 ≥ 1.099 PASS
RETURN_VS_RANDOM_EMA = +1.043 ≥ 0.0 PASS ← jumped +3.62σ
EARLY_Q_MOVEMENT_EMA = 0.099 ≥ 0.01 PASS
Overall: PASS (H=6000 scale-up VIABLE)
Before/after comparison (same env, same DQN, only alpha_logit changed):
alpha_logit=0 alpha_logit=Phase1d.3
rollout_R_mean (final) -18,272 -18
RETURN_VS_RANDOM_EMA -2.58σ +1.04σ
Overall verdict FAIL PASS
The 1000× reduction in episode loss + the +3.62σ rvr swing definitively
proves the "first-best-action lock-in" hypothesis from the previous FAIL
analysis was a SYMPTOM, not the cause. The cause was alpha_logit=0
placeholder starving the policy of directional signal. With real Phase
1d.3 alpha, the linear Q-network learns to use it cleanly — no
NoisyNet, no MLP, no architectural change needed.
Integration pieces in this commit:
1. Cargo workspace registration: ml-alpha added as a workspace dep,
ml's manifest now depends on ml-alpha for FxCacheReader access.
(ml-alpha already depends only on ml-core, so no circular risk.)
2. alpha_dqn_h600_smoke.rs: two new CLI args
--fxcache-path <PATH> load snapshots from precomputed fxcache
(mid from raw_close, bid/ask synthesized
at fixed half-tick, 81-dim features extracted
for spread_bps / l1_imbalance / ofi / mid_drift)
--alpha-cache <PATH> load Phase 1d.3 stacker logit cache produced
by `alpha_train_stacker --alpha-cache-out`.
Each cache entry aligns to the corresponding
fxcache bar, populates SnapshotRow.alpha_logit
(and derives alpha_confidence = |sigmoid(z)-0.5|).
3. Snapshot source selection: in main(), --fxcache-path takes priority
when both paths are set; --alpha-cache requires --fxcache-path
(alignment guarantee). Original --mbp10-dir path unchanged for
non-cached runs.
4. Two new helper fns: load_alpha_cache (binary [u32 n] + [f32; n]
reader), load_snapshots_from_fxcache (FxCacheReader → Vec<SnapshotRow>
with synthesized bid/ask and alpha_logit/alpha_confidence from cache).
alpha_logits_cache.bin (7.6 MB, 1.97M f32 entries) is .gitignore'd —
regenerable from `cargo run -p ml-alpha --release --example
alpha_train_stacker -- --fxcache-path <FXC> --alpha-cache-out
config/ml/alpha_logits_cache.bin` (~2 min on RTX 3050 Ti).
Reproduction of this PASS verdict:
cargo run -p ml --release --example alpha_dqn_h600_smoke -- \
--fxcache-path /home/jgrusewski/Work/foxhunt/test_data/feature-cache/9297....fxcache \
--alpha-cache config/ml/alpha_logits_cache.bin \
--horizon 600 --n-episodes 1000
Total run time ~10s after fxcache load. Verdict + per-checkpoint KC
trajectory in config/ml/alpha_dqn_h600_smoke.json.
NEXT: Task 13 — scale to H=6000 (the production horizon). Per the plan,
PASS at H=600 unlocks H=6000.
Three things landing atomically because they're load-bearing for each other:
1. **Trend-scanning leakage fix** — trend_scanning.rs was emitting OLS slope+t-stat
over a *forward* window [t, t+L]. With the Phase 1a label = sign(price[t+60]
− price[t]), the forward feature window overlaps the label window, contaminating
it. Purged walk-forward only sterilizes forward-looking *labels* that cross
the train/val split, not forward-looking *features* that peek inside the same
horizon the label measures. The leak inflated MLP accuracy from 0.49
(legacy 74-dim baseline) to 0.75 — vanished to 0.50 after switching to a
trailing window. Bounded the perfect-fit t-stat sentinel from ±1e6 → ±20
(p<1e-30 is already meaningless); eliminated the 16k corruption-cap drops.
2. **Variable-dim alpha column** — fxcache schema now carries the alpha-feature
width via metadata (`alpha_feature_dim`), not a compile-time constant. Same
on-disk format hosts the 134-dim bar-level stack OR the 81-dim snapshot stack.
Reader + auto-detect honor the metadata-declared dim; downstream MLP auto-sizes
`in_dim`. Single schema, no forks.
3. **Snapshot pipeline (Phase 1c falsification)** — `snapshot_pipeline.rs`: 81-dim
per-MBP10-snapshot extractor reusing 10 snapshot-native alpha blocks + 6 new
snapshot-specific features (time-since-trade, time-since-snap, event-rate,
spread-bps, L1-imbalance, microprice-mid drift). `precompute_features` gets
`--row-unit snapshot` flag; emits one fxcache row per LOB update (1.97M rows
from MBP-10 data vs 206K for bar mode).
**Smoke verdict on real data** (ES.FUT, 1.97M snapshots, 384K val):
- Bar-level honest alpha: accuracy=0.5005, AUC=0.5043 (no signal)
- **Snapshot-level alpha**: accuracy=0.5241, AUC=0.6849 (real signal, 384K val)
- GBM corroboration: accuracy=0.5401 (non-linear partitioning sees more)
- Horizon decay: alpha peaks at K=20-50 snapshots (~5-25ms), gone by K=500
- Regime-conditional: spread-Q4 quintile hits 0.752 accuracy on 76k samples
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Final cleanup:
- 61 test files + 5 example files: candle imports replaced
- 8 testing/integration files: migrated to cudarc/ml-core types
- 3 services/trading_service test files: migrated
- Root Cargo.toml: candle-core, candle-nn removed from [workspace.dependencies]
- crates/ml/Cargo.toml: candle-nn dependency removed
- testing/e2e/Cargo.toml: candle-core dependency removed
Zero active candle_core/candle_nn/candle_optimisers code references remain.
Zero candle dependency declarations in any Cargo.toml.
Remaining "candle" strings are exclusively in doc comments.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Remove ALL #[cfg(feature = "cuda")] guards (~400+ occurrences)
- Remove ALL #[cfg_attr(not(feature = "cuda"), ignore)] test annotations (~250)
- Make cuda default feature in 9 ML crates (ml, ml-core, ml-dqn, ml-ppo, etc.)
- Convert nvrtc JIT compilation to precompiled nvcc (searchsorted, prefix_sum)
- Move compile_ptx_for_device() to ml-core for shared access
- Delete dead CPU code: multi_step.rs, self_supervised_pretraining.rs,
training_guard_gpu_tests.rs, CPU PER buffer paths, CPU Q-diagnostics
- Replace unwrap_or(Device::Cpu) with hard errors everywhere
- Remove dead is_cuda() else branches in DQN/PPO/hyperopt trainers
- Change config defaults from "cpu" to "cuda" (rainbow, tlob, pipeline)
- Port IQL value network to GPU kernel (5 CUDA entry points)
- Port HER goal relabeling to GPU kernel (warp-per-sample)
- Wire DSR GPU-to-CPU sync in training loop
- cfg!(feature = "cuda") → true in inference_validator
Zero warnings, zero errors across entire workspace.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Three fixes validated by 20/20 hyperopt trials on H100 (zero OOM):
1. Workspace default-features: ml-core, ml-dqn, ml-ppo, ml-supervised
workspace deps now have default-features=false. Prevents cudarc
(which requires nvcc) from leaking into CPU service builds via
Cargo feature unification. CI compile-services was failing with
"Failed to execute nvcc: No such file or directory" (exit 101).
2. BF16 comparison fix: Candle's gt()/le() don't support BF16 operands.
Cast ADX/CUSUM features to F32 before threshold comparison in
regime classification. Previous approach (cast threshold to BF16)
failed due to Candle broadcast_as reverting dtype.
3. CI pipeline: expand ML change detection to all 14 sub-crates,
add component:compile labels for sccache network policy matching,
bump training runtime to CUDA 12.6 + Ubuntu 24.04 (glibc 2.39).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Move TFT, Mamba-2, Liquid, TGGN, TLOB, KAN, xLSTM, and Diffusion model
implementations to ml-supervised. Bridge files (UnifiedTrainable adapters,
Checkpointable impls) stay in ml. Delete AsyncDataLoader (replaced by
StreamingDbnLoader + simple .chunks() batching). Remove empty ml-infra
scaffold — the remaining ml modules are too tightly coupled for clean
extraction, so ml stays as the orchestration facade.
- ml-supervised: 234 tests, 0 failures
- ml: 1687 tests, 0 failures
- Workspace: 0 compilation errors
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Add 5 empty sub-crates (ml-core, ml-dqn, ml-ppo, ml-supervised, ml-infra)
to workspace. Modules will be moved from monolithic ml crate in subsequent
tasks.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Copied from api_gateway, removed REST handlers (port 8080),
added tonic-web + CORS for grpc-web browser access.
Binary renamed: api-gateway → api
Changes:
- Package name: api-gateway → api
- Deleted src/handlers/ (REST ML endpoints on port 8080)
- Added tonic-web 0.13 + tower-http CORS layer
- Server::builder().accept_http1(true) for grpc-web
- CORS_ORIGINS env var (default http://localhost:5173)
- Metrics server on port 9091 (axum) preserved
- All 95 lib tests pass, 0 clippy warnings
- Added services/api to workspace members
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Remove from workspace members, delete K8s deployment, remove nginx routing.
Training metrics and system health now served directly by API Gateway.
Changes:
- Cargo.toml: remove services/monitoring_service from workspace members
- services/monitoring_service/: deleted entirely (6 files)
- infra/k8s/services/monitoring-service.yaml: deleted
- infra/k8s/network-policies/monitoring-service.yaml: deleted
- infra/k8s/network-policies/api-gateway.yaml: remove egress rule to monitoring-service
- infra/k8s/network-policies/web-gateway.yaml: remove egress rule to monitoring-service
- infra/k8s/services/api-gateway.yaml: remove stale MONITORING_SERVICE_URL env var
- infra/k8s/gitlab/tailscale-proxy.yaml: redirect monitor.fxhnt.ai to api-gateway:50051
- .gitlab-ci.yml: remove monitoring_service from compile, copy, and deploy loops
- services/trading_service/src/services/monitoring.rs: update stale comments to
reference api_gateway (not monitoring_service) as training metrics host
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Prometheus client queries training/hyperopt/GPU/K8s metrics, gRPC service
exposes unary + server-streaming RPCs, 4 unit tests, zero clippy warnings.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
OTLP fix: opentelemetry-otlp 0.27 bundled tonic 0.12 while the workspace
uses tonic 0.14, making with_channel() impossible (type mismatch). Upgrading
to otel-otlp 0.31 aligns both on tonic 0.14, enabling explicit Channel
construction that respects http:// scheme (no spurious TLS negotiation).
API migrations (otel 0.27→0.31):
- TracerProvider → SdkTracerProvider
- with_batch_exporter(exporter, runtime) → with_batch_exporter(exporter)
- Resource::new(vec![...]) → Resource::builder().with_service_name().build()
- global::shutdown_tracer_provider() removed (Drop-based shutdown)
- opentelemetry-otlp feature "tonic" → "grpc-tonic"
DCGM fix: remove runtimeClassName: nvidia from DaemonSet — Scaleway Kapsule
GPU pools use nvidia runtime as default containerd handler. The RuntimeClass
CRD is only created by the full GPU Operator, not the device plugin alone.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The adaptive-strategy crate (~28K lines, 22 source files) was an orphaned
framework with zero external consumers. Its only valuable piece — ensemble
uncertainty quantification — has been ported to ml/src/ensemble/confidence.rs.
Ported: ConfidenceAggregator, UncertaintyQuantifier, ReliabilityScorer,
IntervalCombiner, DisagreementTracker + all config/output types. Removed
gratuitous async from pure-math methods. 6 tests (4 ported + 2 edge cases).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Add Cargo profile `dev-release` (opt-level=2, thin LTO, 16 codegen-units)
for ~3-5x faster compile vs full release. Activate by setting DEV_RELEASE=true
in pipeline variables — skips check stage and uses fast profile.
- Move profile definitions from .cargo/config.toml to Cargo.toml (config.toml
silently ignores [profile.*] blocks — they were dead code)
- Add hft and bench profiles to Cargo.toml (were only in config.toml)
- compile-services now selects profile via $DEV_RELEASE env var
- test stage uses optional check dependency (runs without check in dev mode)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Extend ml_training_service to dispatch GPU training jobs as K8s batch/v1
Jobs, collect results via a Rust sidecar uploader, and support model
promotion with operator approval via fxt CLI.
- K8s dispatcher creates Jobs on gpu-training pool with native sidecar
- training_uploader crate: watches DONE/FAILED marker, uploads to S3,
reports completion via ReportJobCompletion gRPC
- PromotionManager compares metrics, queues better models for approval
- 4 new proto RPCs: ReportJobCompletion, ListPendingPromotions,
ApprovePromotion, RejectPromotion
- fxt commands: train start, model list/approve/reject
- Training binaries write DONE/FAILED markers + metrics.json
- Dockerfile, K8s job template, and CI pipeline updated
- StartTraining gracefully falls back to in-process when outside K8s
- 27 new tests (16 service + 11 promotion), 141 total service tests pass
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Move 17 library crates into crates/, CLI binary into bin/fxt,
consolidate 10 test crates into testing/, split config crate
from deployment config files.
Root directory reduced from 38+ to ~17 directories.
All Cargo.toml paths and build.rs proto refs updated.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Non-critical path: if QuestDB is unavailable, metrics buffer locally
(up to 10,000 entries) and flush when connection is restored.
Feature-gated under `questdb` feature. 6 tests.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
New workspace crate for cTrader Open API client (Protobuf over TCP+TLS).
Includes CTraderConfig, CTraderEnvironment, CTraderError, and RateLimitBucket types.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
New web-gateway crate with:
- JWT auth middleware with claims extraction
- REST routes proxying to gRPC: trading, risk, ML, training, backtesting,
performance, config, and hyperparameter tuning
- Proto compilation from shared tli/proto definitions
- AppState with lazy gRPC channels and WebSocket broadcast
- Axum server with CORS, tracing, and graceful shutdown
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The logger.rs implementation uses tracing_appender::non_blocking but the
dependency was not added to Cargo.toml. This commit adds:
- tracing-appender = "0.2" to workspace dependencies (Cargo.toml)
- tracing-appender.workspace = true to common/Cargo.toml
This fixes compilation errors when using the logger with file output enabled.
The non_blocking writer provides proper async file I/O for log files.
Verified:
- cargo check -p common: passes
- cargo clippy -p common: passes
- cargo build -p common: success
- Created data/examples/download_ml_training_data.rs using reqwest + Databento HTTP API
- Downloaded 90 days × 4 symbols (ES.FUT, NQ.FUT, ZN.FUT, 6E.FUT)
- Files saved to test_data/real/databento/ml_training/
- Total: 360 files, 15 MB compressed DBN format
- Used existing Rust pattern from download_nq_fut.rs
- API key loaded from .env file
- 100% success rate (360/360 files)
- Ready for ML training benchmarks
Next: Create simplified training benchmark for RTX 3050 Ti GPU measurements
