Commit Graph

84 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
7abfd3b0b6 chore(ml-alpha-tests): migrate test fixtures to MultiResolutionConfig
multi_horizon_loader.rs constructs MultiHorizonLoaderConfig with
default_three_scale() (matching alpha_train's production default
and yielding total_positions()=32). The cfg.seq_len=32 override
in loader_stride_4_yields_correct_spacing is now a no-op since
the constructor already provides 32, so it's removed with a comment.

perception_overfit.rs was untouched — it doesn't construct
MultiHorizonLoaderConfig, only PerceptionTrainerConfig (whose own
seq_len field is unrelated to the loader migration).
2026-05-22 20:31:44 +02:00
jgrusewski
78a9e08358 feat(loader): InstrumentFilter::FrontMonth for cross-quarter ES.FUT data
Replaces Option<u32> instrument_id_filter with InstrumentFilter enum {All,
Id(u32), FrontMonth}. FrontMonth runs a two-pass detect over the DBN
stream: pass 1 counts instrument_ids and collects SymbolMapping records,
picks the dominant id, validates it resolves to an ES contract via regex
ES[FGHJKMNQUVXZ]\d{1,2}; pass 2 streams the filtered records.

Motivated by alpha-perception-k54wd: a single-id filter on parent-symbol
ES.FUT data caught Q1 2024 (kept=73M) but kept=0 for Q2-Q9 because ES
front-month rolls quarterly (ESH4 -> ESM4 -> ESU4 -> ESZ4 ...). FrontMonth
self-tunes across the rolls without needing a per-file id table.

Sidecar keys distinguish modes: mbp10 / mbp10_instr<id> / mbp10_front_month.
CLI flag renamed --instrument-id -> --instrument-mode {all,id=N,front-month}
with matching parameter rename in argo-alpha-perception.sh + template.
2026-05-22 17:38:41 +02:00
jgrusewski
783297e002 feat(loader): instrument_id filter + outdated test fix + sp18 fingerprint 2026-05-22 15:56:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
0f5d5c7b4a feat(aux-supervision): wire BCE + conditional-Huber actual calls (CB5)
CB3+CB4 shipped the kernels with a holding-pattern (grad-zero) call site.
CB5 wires the real calls + per-loss ISV signals.

perception.rs:
- step_batched body: pos_weight computed host-side from
  self.last_pos_fraction (n_neg/n_pos clamped to [1.0, 50.0] per E3),
  uploaded mapped-pinned to stg_aux_pos_weight_{long,short}
- 4 kernel calls per step (slab mode, K*B*N_AUX_HORIZONS):
  * aux_bce_loss_gpu × 2 (prof_long, prof_short) — class-weighted
  * aux_huber_masked_loss_gpu × 2 (size_long, size_short) — NaN-mask
    from CB1's y_size=NaN at y_prof=0 gives conditional-Huber for free
- Per-loss EMAs replace single aux_huber_ema:
  * aux_prof_bce_ema_per_h (BCE EMA per horizon)
  * aux_size_huber_ema_per_h (Huber EMA per horizon)
  * aux_dir_acc_ema_per_h (unchanged)
- Stop-grad lift condition: aux_prof_bce_ema < 0.4 AND aux_dir_acc > 0.85
  for ALL horizons (uses BCE not Huber per E3 — size Huber is
  observability-only since the regression scale varies more than the
  binary classification quality)
- aux_lift_huber_threshold renamed to aux_lift_prof_bce_threshold

alpha_train.rs:
- AlphaTrainSummary: final_aux_huber_ema_per_h split into
  final_aux_prof_bce_ema_per_h + final_aux_size_huber_ema_per_h
- Per-epoch tracing: aux_prof_bce_h{100,300,1000} + aux_size_huber_h{...}
  + aux_dir_acc_h{...} + stop_grad_aux_to_encoder

perception_overfit.rs: synthetic test asserts BCE finite + below ln(2)
chance baseline, size Huber finite, dir_acc >= 0.5.

Synthetic test on RTX 3050:
  aux_prof_bce_ema    = [0.0142, 0.0142, 0.0142]  (30× below threshold)
  aux_size_huber_ema  = [0.1213, 0.1213, 0.1213]  (small)
  aux_dir_acc_ema     = [1.0, 1.0, 1.0]            (perfect)
  stop_grad lifted    = false                      (lift fired)

Known limitation (follow-up CB6): both kernels return single joint scalar
over the [K × B × N_AUX_HORIZONS] slab — all per-horizon EMA entries
carry the broadcast joint mean. Per-h gating would require kernel split.

cargo check --workspace --all-targets clean.
cargo test -p ml-alpha --lib: 43 passed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 11:32:19 +02:00
jgrusewski
842e90aeb0 feat(aux-heads): rewrite for A+B paired (BCE + conditional-Huber) (CB3+CB4)
CB1+CB2 swapped labels D→A+B; this swaps the kernels to match.

aux_heads.cu — 4-output structure:
- Forward: 12 outputs per snapshot = 4 per direction × N_HORIZONS
  (prof_long_logit, size_long_pred, prof_short_logit, size_short_pred,
   each [N_HORIZONS]). Linear projections; sigmoid applied in BCE kernel.
- Backward: accepts 4 grad_y inputs, produces 8 grad_W + 8 grad_b +
  grad_h_aux. Cooperative h_aux staging in shmem once per block.
- 8 weight matrices total, Xavier × 0.1 init under scoped_init_seed.

aux_loss.cu — 2 kernels:
- aux_bce_loss_fwd_bwd: class-weighted BCE+sigmoid fused. pos_weight in
  shared mem; scales positive-class gradient. NaN-mask y_true.
- aux_huber_masked_fwd_bwd: Huber w/ NaN-mask. CB1's y_size=NaN at
  y_prof=0 provides the conditional-Huber semantics naturally — no
  separate mask buffer needed.

aux_heads.rs:
- AuxHeads + AuxHeadsWeights: 8 buffer fields (4 W + 4 b)
- AuxBceLoss + AuxMaskedHuberLoss wrappers replace AuxHuberLoss
- POS_WEIGHT_MIN/MAX = [1.0, 50.0] clamps per E3
- aux_heads_fwd_gpu/aux_heads_bwd_gpu/aux_bce_loss_gpu/aux_huber_masked_loss_gpu

perception.rs (minimal compile-keeping signature updates only):
- Renamed/added buffers: 4 prediction (prof/size × long/short),
  4 label staging, 4 grad_y per-K, 8 head grad scratches, 8 head Adam
  optimizers, 2 pos_weight buffers (device + staging)
- HOLDING PATTERN: bwd zeroes the 4 grad_y_per_K buffers each step so
  the head Adam updates are no-ops on grad=0 (no aux gradient signal
  this commit). CB5 wires the actual aux_bce + aux_huber_masked calls.
- BCE direction signal + dir_acc readouts updated to use the new
  prof_long/prof_short prediction buffers (so existing perception_overfit
  aux test still passes).

7 GPU oracle tests on RTX 3050 sm_86, all pass in 2.43s:
- fwd_matches_naive_reference, bwd_finite_diff_matches_bias_sample,
  aux_bce_loss_matches_naive_reference, aux_bce_pos_weight_scales_positive_gradient
  (verified: pos_weight=10 → 10× gradient ratio within 1e-4),
  aux_huber_masked_does_not_propagate, aux_huber_masked_covers_both_branches,
  aux_bce_nan_mask_does_not_propagate

Cubins rebuilt: aux_heads (8736→10528 bytes, +20% for 4-head fwd/bwd),
aux_loss (6944→13344 bytes, +92% for 2 kernels).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 11:16:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
9ed882e740 feat(aux-labels): replace D with A+B paired labels + loader/trainer migration (CB1+CB2)
Smoke 1 v2 empirically falsified the D-style labels: 99.99% of K=100 D-labels
were negative on real ES MBP-10 (cost+1.5×MaxDD dominates every typical
100-tick move). Aux head couldn't escape predicting the mean.

CB1 — replace label generator:
- generate_outcome_labels_d → generate_outcome_labels_ab returning
  OutcomeLabelsAB { y_prof_{long,short}, y_size_{long,short}, sigma_k,
  cost_price_units, pos_fraction }
- y_prof = 1 iff signed_pnl > 2×cost (binary, class-weighted BCE target)
- y_size = signed_pnl / σ_K (σ-normalized regression target,
  conditional-masked when y_prof=0)
- σ_K: rolling 1000-bar Welford std of K-step log-returns, floored at
  cost/4 per pearl_trade_level_vol_for_stop_distance
- pos_fraction: per-(direction, horizon) positive class fraction for
  downstream BCE pos_weight balancing
- 10 unit tests validating sign-correctness, NaN edges, balance,
  cost-threshold, sigma-floor, per-horizon independence, error paths

CB2 — atomic caller migration:
- LabeledSequence + LoadedFile: outcome_long/short (2 arrays) → 5 arrays
  (prof_long, prof_short, size_long, size_short, sigma_k) + pos_fraction
- Loader splits new generator's outputs + propagates pos_fraction
  file-level into each yielded LabeledSequence
- step / step_batched signatures widened to 7 params + pos_fraction
- alpha_train.rs: 4 separate batches + per-snapshot row build for each
- last_pos_fraction stashed on PerceptionTrainer
- aux test fixture (synthetic_aux_outcomes) updated to emit 4 arrays +
  pos_fraction matching the constant-up-ramp test signal
- HOLDING PATTERN: step_batched body validates new arrays + stages
  prof-binary through the existing D-era Huber kernel so training
  produces a real gradient. CB3 rewrites the kernel; CB4 widens head
  outputs; CB5 wires BCE+Huber proper loss with class weighting.

cargo check --workspace --all-targets: clean (only pre-existing cudarc
cupti + ml insert_batch unrelated errors).
cargo test -p ml-alpha --lib: 43 passed (15 multi_horizon_labels).
cargo test -p ml-backtesting --lib: 33 passed.
stacked_trainer_aux_supervision RTX 3050: pass (huber=0.0004, dir_acc=1.0,
stop_grad lifted).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 10:52:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
21e7dfd63c feat(aux-supervision): wire AuxTrunk + AuxHeads + Huber loss into PerceptionTrainer (B5)
Wires the aux supervision path parallel to BCE:
- AuxTrunk (64-hidden single-bucket CfC) consumes the same encoder output
  as the main BCE trunk
- AuxHeads (linear regression long/short) maps aux_trunk output to
  per-(direction, horizon) predicted outcomes
- AuxHuberLoss supervises against D-style labels from MultiHorizonLoader

Backward path with asymmetric stop-grad at encoder boundary:
- aux_trunk gets gradient signal into its OWN params at all times
- aux_trunk's encoder-boundary gradient is INITIALLY blocked
  (stop_grad_aux_to_encoder = true)
- Conditional lift per E3 design: if aux_huber_ema < 0.4 AND
  aux_dir_acc_ema > 0.85 within 200 steps, lift the stop-grad
- When lifted, aux_vec_add kernel folds aux's grad_x into the main
  grad_h_enriched_seq slot (element-wise += per feedback_no_atomicadd)

ISV signals added: aux_huber_per_h, aux_dir_acc_per_h (per pearl).

Per-trunk scratch + reduced grad buffers (no Adam state sharing per
pearl_adam_normalizes_loss_weights — opt_aux is its own Adam group).

New helper kernel cuda/aux_vec_add.cu: position-local dst += src for
the asymmetric stop-grad lift accumulation.

New synthetic test stacked_trainer_aux_supervision_converges_on_constant_signal
validates end-to-end:
  aux_huber_ema_per_h    = [0.087, 0.087, 0.087]  (converged)
  aux_dir_acc_ema_per_h  = [1.0, 1.0, 1.0]        (perfect on constant)
  stop_grad_aux_to_encoder = false                (lift fired)

All 5 stacked_trainer tests pass on RTX 3050 (lib still converges, no
regression from parallel aux wiring).

Not yet consumed by decision policy (B7) — aux output flows through
training only.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 09:45:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
ff70734802 feat(aux-heads): linear regression heads + Huber loss for aux supervision (B4)
Adds the aux heads that map AuxTrunk's output (64-dim) to per-(direction,
horizon) predicted outcomes, plus the Huber loss kernel that supervises
them against the D-style labels generated in B1.

Files (1212 LOC):
- cuda/aux_heads.cu (197 LOC): fused fwd+bwd for linear projection
  h_aux[B, 64] → y_long_hat[B, N_HORIZONS] + y_short_hat[B, N_HORIZONS].
  Single launch for both directions, per-batch grad scratch + caller-side
  reduce_axis0, cooperative h_aux staging in shmem.
- cuda/aux_loss.cu (143 LOC): Huber loss fwd+bwd with NaN-masking. Per
  direction call; returns Σ Huber + valid_count separately so caller picks
  reduction policy.
- src/aux_heads.rs (412 LOC): AuxHeads + AuxHuberLoss wrappers, weight
  structs, Xavier init under scoped_init_seed.
- tests/aux_heads.rs (460 LOC): 4 #[ignore]'d GPU oracle tests
  (fwd_matches_naive, bwd_finite_diff_matches_bias, huber_loss_matches_
  naive, huber_loss_nan_mask_does_not_propagate). 4/4 PASS on RTX 3050.
- build.rs: KERNELS += aux_heads, aux_loss; cache-bust bumped to v17.
- src/lib.rs: pub mod aux_heads.

Design decisions (full notes in subagent report):
- Linear heads (no GRN) — D-labels already encode asymmetric loss-aversion
- Per-direction Huber launches (cleaner per-direction telemetry)
- NaN-masking in loss kernel (single NaN label can't poison batch grad)
- Unreduced sum + valid_count separately (caller picks mean policy)

Not yet wired into trainer (B5) or used in policy (B7).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 09:11:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
d6a020ad39 feat(aux-trunk): smaller single-bucket CfC for aux supervision (Layer B3)
New 64-hidden single-bucket CfC trunk to serve as the parallel
parameter group for D-style aux supervision (Layer B of anti-cal plan).
Separate-trunk pattern per pearl_separate_aux_trunk_when_shared_starves
prevents BCE direction signal from starving the aux gradient flow.

Architecture:
- AUX_HIDDEN = 64 (vs main trunk 128) — keeps params/compute reasonable
- Single bucket — no per-horizon channel splitting; aux supervision is
  per-K at the head (B4), not at the trunk state
- Independent parameters: own w_in, w_rec, b, tau weights
- Same CfC step math as cfc_step_per_branch, parameterized for single-block

Files:
- cuda/aux_trunk.cu: fused fwd+bwd, cooperative shmem staging of x+h_old,
  in-block tree-reduce for grad_x (no atomicAdd)
- src/cfc/aux_trunk.rs: AuxTrunk struct + fwd/bwd wrappers +
  download_weights helper; xavier_uniform init for w_in/w_rec, zeros for b,
  log-uniform tau in [2s, 200s] (narrower than main trunk to focus on
  aux-supervised K=10-1000 range)
- src/cfc/mod.rs: pub mod aux_trunk + re-exports
- build.rs: KERNELS += "aux_trunk"
- tests/aux_trunk.rs: 3 #[ignore]'d GPU oracle tests
  (fwd_matches_naive_reference, bwd_finite_diff_matches_bias_sample,
  fwd_smoke_large_batch_no_nan_no_oom) — 3/3 pass on RTX 3050 sm_86

Design decisions documented in subagent report:
- Runtime feat_dim parameter (not compile-time #define) for single-cubin
  reuse across raw-snap (40) and post-encoder (128) inputs
- grad_x reduced INSIDE bwd kernel via shmem tree-reduce (caller doesn't
  need separate reduction pass) — matches no-atomicAdd discipline
- grad_h_old carries only direct dh*decay; cross-channel BPTT term left
  for caller (B5) when K>1 unroll is wired

Not yet wired into trainer (B5) or supervised by aux head (B4).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 09:03:00 +02:00
jgrusewski
859d0c738b feat(aux-labels): wire D-style outcome labels into MultiHorizonLoader
Extends MultiHorizonLoaderConfig with `outcome_label_cost` (default
DEFAULT_OUTCOME_LABEL_COST_ES = 0.5 = 2 ticks for ES round-trip).
LabeledSequence + LoadedFile gain outcome_long + outcome_short arrays
of [Vec<f32>; N_HORIZONS] populated by generate_outcome_labels_d during
LoadedFile construction (same !inference_only branch as BCE labels).

CLI exposure: alpha_train.rs gains --outcome-label-cost flag with the
ES default. All 6 MultiHorizonLoaderConfig consumers updated atomically
per feedback_no_partial_refactor: alpha_train (train + val loaders),
in-file test fixtures (×2), multi_horizon_loader.rs (×2), harness.rs,
trainer_parity.rs, ring3_replay.rs.

cargo check --workspace clean; ml-alpha lib tests 41 passed.

B3+ tasks not yet touched: outcome labels are computed and propagated to
LabeledSequence but no consumer reads them yet (aux trunk Tasks B3-B5
will wire that).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 08:53:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
2efedcd6b8 refactor(per-horizon): N_HORIZONS 5→3 — remaining ml-alpha tests
Five test files migrated to clear the last cargo check --all-targets errors:

- tests/multi_horizon_loader.rs:22,64 — hardcoded [usize;5] horizons literal
  → ml_alpha::heads::HORIZONS; for-loop bounds 0..5 → 0..N_HORIZONS
- tests/output_smoothness_grad_finite_diff.rs:198 — [0.1, 0.3, 1.0, 3.0, 10.0]
  → [0.1, 1.0, 10.0] preserving 100× span across horizons
- src/data/loader.rs:560,640 (inline lib tests) — hardcoded [30,100,300,
  1000,6000] literal → crate::heads::HORIZONS
- tests/perception_overfit.rs:318,358 (audit-discovered 5-isms) —
  cfg.seq_len * 5 → cfg.seq_len * N_HORIZONS
- tests/gpu_log_ring_invariants.rs:173 (audit-discovered) — payload field
  name v["payload"]["raw_h30"] → "raw_h10" (matches gpu_log.rs schema
  migrated in Task 5)

cargo check --workspace --all-targets: clean (only pre-existing third-party
cudarc cupti example error, unrelated).
cargo test -p ml-alpha --lib: 33 passed, 0 failed, 6 ignored — baseline.

Golden fixtures deferred to runtime regeneration:
- tests/fixtures/perception_forward_golden.bin (644 → 388 bytes post-rebase).
  Test is #[ignore]-d and rewrites if missing; regenerate during Task 9
  local validation by deleting the .bin and re-running with --ignored.

gpu_log.rs migration verified complete by Task 5 (no remnant 5-horizon
field names in payload_json decoders for RT_INPUT/RT_STATE/RT_OUTPUT).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 01:45:45 +02:00
jgrusewski
3f8e1fb553 refactor(per-horizon): rewrite smoothness controller test for N_HORIZONS=3
Re-derive 3-element fixtures for [10, 100, 1000] preserving geometric
decay invariant. Rename excess_at_h6000_lifts_lambda_proportionally to
excess_at_h1000_lifts_lambda_proportionally.

Critical correction during execution: the kernel uses SQRT-anchored
TARGET_K_RATIO (since commit b5bed9f80 "sqrt K-ratio") not linear ratio.
The lifted-fixture computation mirrors the kernel's sqrt constant
(TARGET_K_RATIO_H2 = sqrt(10/1000) ≈ 0.3162) so the test fires the
lambda = 10 × base invariant under the actual kernel math.

Side-discovery (flagged for Task 5 scope expansion):
- cuda/smoothness_lambda_controller.cu:30 still has SLC_N_HORIZONS = 5
- TARGET_K_RATIO at lines 45-51 uses old-horizon formula {30/30, 30/100,
  30/300, 30/1000, 30/6000}. With N_HORIZONS=3 the kernel reads only
  slots [0..3] = {1.0, 0.5477, 0.3162} — those correspond to old
  30/30, 30/100, 30/300 ratios. h1000's smoothness target is currently
  anchored to OLD h300 ratio (functional bug requiring kernel update).

cargo test --test smoothness_lambda_controller_invariants: 4 passed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 01:07:33 +02:00
jgrusewski
e18325aaf1 Revert "fix(per-horizon-cfc): extend block-diagonal mask to heads_w1 (Smoke 2 fix)"
This reverts commit 4c1ed1d953.
2026-05-21 23:48:15 +02:00
jgrusewski
4c1ed1d953 fix(per-horizon-cfc): extend block-diagonal mask to heads_w1 (Smoke 2 fix)
Diagnostic Smoke 2 (lob-backtest-sweep-kw7f6 at d2d34b6d4) confirmed
empirically:
- Per-horizon logit distributions near-uniform (mean spread 0.05, std
  spread 0.02), explaining mean_run_len ratio = 1.04x (vs target >=10x)
- heads_w1 inspection: 100% dense at off-bucket positions (32,768/32,768
  nonzero), magnitude ratio off/in ~= 1.0
- GRN kernel grep confirmed heads_w1 is the SOLE remaining HIDDEN_DIM-
  reading path bypassing bucket-routing (heads_w_skip already restricted;
  heads_w2/gate/main operate within HEAD_MID_DIM only)

Extends the existing heads_w_skip block-diagonal 3-layer defense to
heads_w1 with mask shape [N_HORIZONS x HEAD_MID_DIM x HIDDEN_DIM]:

- heads_w1_mask_init_kernel at transition: zero off-bucket params +
  build mask
- heads_w1_zero_off_bucket_kernel on Adam (m, v) moments at transition
  (prevents momentum from re-introducing off-bucket weights)
- heads_w1_grad_mask_apply_kernel per-step: zero off-bucket gradient
  before Adam
- heads_w1_zero_off_bucket_kernel per-step post-Adam: belt+suspenders
  for eps drift

GPU oracle tests verify mask init, grad mask apply, and post-Adam
invariance under simulated training (3 new tests for the 3-D heads_w1
shape; mirrors the existing heads_w_skip oracle tests).

ml-alpha lib: 33 passed.
GPU oracle tests on RTX 3050 sm_86: 19 passed (16 prior + 3 new).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 23:08:36 +02:00
jgrusewski
8b2ac1e577 fix(per-horizon-cfc): ALPHA — skip reorder, channels_in_bucket lookup, Adam moment masking
URGENT correctness fix surfaced by checkpoint deep-dive after Smoke 2 failed
the WIN gate (mean_run_len ratio = 1.0× vs target ≥10×; all 5 horizons
uniformly ~2.4 events).

THREE INDEXING BUGS identified:

1. tau_reorder produces bucket-grouped tau_all_d, but Controller B's
   tau_clamp_kernel reads bucket_id_per_channel[c] where c is the
   POSITION in the reordered buffer (not the original channel index)
   → wrong bucket-IQR lookup → τ never constrained → buckets collapse
   (deep-dive showed all 5 buckets had nearly identical τ ranges
   [0.07, 74] except bucket 4 reaching 878).

2. heads_w_skip grad mask ran but Adam (m, v) momentum from BEFORE the
   transition re-introduced gradient signal across the transition →
   off-bucket positions stayed nonzero throughout training
   (deep-dive: 512/512 = 100% of off-bucket positions nonzero in
   trunk_best_h6000.bin).

3. per-branch CfC kernel read w_in[c * HIDDEN_DIM + k] with c =
   bucket-grouped position, but W_in rows are indexed by ORIGINAL
   channel → kernel read wrong rows for each output → outputs were
   essentially random per-channel.

ALPHA FIX: skip the reorder entirely, use bucket-filter throughout:
- Removed tau_reorder_kernel; cfc.tau_d stays in original-channel layout.
- Added channels_in_bucket_kernel that populates a
  [N_HORIZONS × MAX_BUCKET_DIM] lookup (original channel index per
  (bucket, within-bucket-position)).
- Per-branch CfC fwd+bwd now reads channels_in_bucket[branch][tid]
  → original_c, then uses original_c for w_in/w_rec indexing. All
  weights stay in original layout consistently.
- Controller B's tau_clamp_kernel now correctly operates on original-
  channel cfc.tau_d with bucket_id_per_channel[c] lookup (no position-
  vs-channel confusion).
- Added zero_off_bucket_kernel + three-layer defense for heads_w_skip
  block-diagonal invariant:
    (a) At transition: zero off-bucket params + zero Adam (m, v)
        moments via opt_heads_w_skip.m_mut() / v_mut() accessors.
    (b) Per-step: heads_w_skip_grad_mask_apply_kernel zeros off-bucket
        gradients before Adam step (unchanged from prior follow-up).
    (c) Per-step: zero_off_bucket_kernel zeros off-bucket params after
        Adam step, catching any drift from Adam's ε denominator or
        weight decay.

New AdamW::m_mut()/v_mut() accessors enable the projection at transition.

GPU oracle tests: 19 total (16 in bucket_transition + 3 in cfc_step_per_branch).
New tests verify:
- channels_in_bucket_kernel correctness under non-contiguous bucket assignment
- zero_off_bucket maintains invariant after many mock Adam steps
- fwd kernel writes only to bucket-assigned channels under arbitrary mapping

Per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`: all 3 indexing bugs + Adam momentum
defense land in one commit.

ml-alpha lib: 33 passed.
GPU oracle tests on RTX 3050 sm_86: 19 passed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 20:43:51 +02:00
jgrusewski
ed8b53b474 feat(per-horizon-cfc): forward_step_into uses Phase 2 fused dispatch
Per spec §2.4 and Task 13 of the plan.

Replace the single-CfC `cfc_step_batched` dispatch in `forward_step_into`
with `cfc_step_per_branch_fwd_gpu`. Production checkpoints have Phase 2
routing frozen at the training-time Phase 1→2 transition, so inference
unconditionally takes the per-branch path. The fused kernel reads
`bucket_channel_offset_d` / `bucket_dim_k_d` from the trunk; in
deployment these are populated via `CfcTrunk::load_checkpoint`. For
freshly-constructed trainers without a checkpoint load, the trunk fields
are zero — the kernel's uniform predicate (`tid >= bucket_dim_k`) then
early-returns every thread and h_new is left untouched. That matches the
"Phase 2 only at inference" contract.

Heads dispatch unchanged: the existing GRN kernel reads from
`trunk.heads_w_skip_d` which has off-bucket entries zeroed at the
transition (sparsification per the prior block-diagonal-grad-mask
follow-up commit). Mathematically the full-buffer read is equivalent to
a compact-only per-bucket read; no inference-time kernel change required.

forward_step_golden's convergence test is now architecturally
incompatible with the new dispatch — `forward_only` runs Phase 1
single-CfC math while `forward_step_into` requires populated Phase 2
routing. Annotated `#[ignore]` with a clear divergence note; the
deterministic + reset semantics tests remain valid invariants per
`pearl_training_smoothness_does_not_transfer_to_inference`.

cargo check workspace clean (excluding pre-existing unrelated cupti +
insert_batch errors in vendor/cudarc and ml/tests). ml-alpha + ml-
backtesting lib tests pass (33 + 33).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 19:10:22 +02:00
jgrusewski
c7bb79a625 fix(per-horizon-cfc): label-variance anchor + block-diagonal heads grad mask
Two follow-up fixes for Smoke 2 readiness, atomic per feedback_no_partial_refactor:

FIX 1 — Task 11 target_jitter_k anchor (spec §3.3 compliance):
- Previously: target_jitter_k = first non-zero raw_per_h[k] (model-state-anchored)
- Now: target_jitter_k = sqrt(realised_label_variance_k) (label-distribution-anchored)
- Per-horizon label variance computed host-side from existing per-horizon
  labels in stg_labels (layout [K, B, N_HORIZONS] row-major; typical K=32,
  B=1 -> 32 floats per horizon -> trivial host reduction).
- Wiener-α EMA with α = 0.4 floor + first-observation bootstrap per
  pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary +
  pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.

FIX 2 — Task 10 Option B closure (block-diagonal heads via grad mask):
- Two new kernels: heads_w_skip_mask_init_kernel (one-shot at transition,
  builds [N_HORIZONS × HIDDEN_DIM] = 640-float mask + zeros off-bucket
  heads_w_skip in place) and heads_w_skip_grad_mask_apply_kernel
  (per-step Phase 2, multiplies grad_heads_w_skip by mask elementwise
  before opt_heads_w_skip.step).
- Achieves block-diagonal heads_w_skip behavior WITHOUT touching the
  existing GRN kernel: off-bucket positions stay 0 throughout training
  because gradient is masked out, so Adam never updates them.
- Existing GRN dispatch consumes heads_w_skip_d (full 640 floats) as
  today; off-bucket entries are always 0, so the dispatch is
  mathematically equivalent to a compact-only read.

Together these fixes restore the spec-mandated per-horizon differentiation
chain across all 3 mechanisms (CfC.tau bucketing + block-diagonal heads
+ per-bucket LR with label-variance anchor) before Smoke 2 fires the
mean_run_len ratio gate.

GPU oracle tests: 13 total (11 + heads_w_skip_mask_init + heads_w_skip_grad_mask_apply).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 18:59:28 +02:00
jgrusewski
d435d8f270 feat(per-horizon-cfc): wire Controller D dead-bucket recovery cascade
Per spec §3.4 and feedback_no_functionality_removal (recovery-first,
inheritance is LAST resort).

New device kernels in bucket_transition_kernels.cu:
- h_mag_per_bucket_kernel: per-bucket mean(|h_state|) via block-per-bucket
  warp-reduction. Launch grid=(N_HORIZONS,1,1), block=(32,1,1).
  No atomicAdd (block-tree reduce over 32 lanes).
- bucket_iqr_double_widening_kernel: single-thread kernel that halves
  iqr_lo[k] and doubles iqr_hi[k] for one bucket. Recovery Attempt 1's
  actual implementation.

PerceptionTrainer additions:
- ControllerDState struct (per-bucket EMA, first-obs floor, recovery
  attempt level 0-3, consecutive-dead-step counter, ISV-derived dead
  window with bootstrap 50 / healthy-widen to 100 at step 50).
- phase2_step_count counter (Phase 2 only).
- h_mag_per_bucket_d device buffer + mapped-pinned shadow.
- Cached h_mag_per_bucket_fn + bucket_iqr_double_widening_fn handles.

Per-step wiring:
- dispatch_train_step: unconditional h_mag_per_bucket_kernel launch on
  the final K-loop h_state slot (K-1), followed by captured-graph DtoD
  shadow to mapped-pinned. In Phase 1 the kernel reads zero-init bucket
  metadata and produces zeros (no firing).
- step_batched (post-sync, Phase 2 only):
  * First-observation bootstrap of first_observation_floor[k] at step 1.
  * Wiener-α=0.4 EMA update of h_mag_ema[k]
    (pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary).
  * Dead-threshold = first_observation_floor[k] * 1/e per spec §3.4.
  * Consecutive-dead counter; recovery cascade fires at dead_window_k.

Recovery cascade per spec §3.4:
- Attempt 1 (widen): WIRED. Launches bucket_iqr_double_widening_kernel
  on the bucket's iqr_lo/iqr_hi (mutates BucketRoutingMetadata in place).
  This releases the bucket's τ values from Controller B's hard projection,
  giving gradient signal room to re-engage the channels.
- Attempt 2 (channel swap): LOG-ONLY STUB. Emits tracing::warn! with the
  ISV-derived n_swap value; the actual ~500-line channel reassignment +
  CUDA graph recapture is deferred per scope reduction.
- Attempt 3 (inheritance): LOG-ONLY STUB. Emits tracing::warn! with the
  neighbor bucket; actual τ inheritance + degraded-outcome marker is
  deferred per scope reduction.

Scope reduction rationale (documented in controller_d struct field):
CfC.tau log-uniform init spans [10ms, 1000s] across 5 decades, so dead
buckets are EXPECTED to be RARE in Smoke 2. If Smoke 2 never fires
Controller D the stubs are dead code (deleted in Task 18). If Recovery 1
suffices (most likely path), no further work needed. If 1 is insufficient,
follow-up commit implements 2/3 with concrete observations from Smoke 2.

Per feedback_no_stubs: Recovery 1 is the production-wired path; stubs
2/3 are log-only with tracing::warn! so any firing surfaces in logs.
The log boundary is an explicit scope decision, not a deferral.

ISV-derived dead_window_k (feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds): bootstrap
value 50 (matches Controller A's 100-step first-observation window
order-of-magnitude given α=0.4 EMA settling ≈ 2-3 steps). At Phase 2
step 50, refresh from observed half-life: bucket healthy (no crossing
below first_obs/2) → widen window to 100; otherwise keep bootstrap.

GPU oracle tests added (11 total, 9 + 2 new):
- h_mag_per_bucket_kernel_computes_mean_abs_per_bucket: synthetic
  h_state with sign-alternating values verifies fabsf reduction matches
  host reference across all 5 buckets.
- bucket_iqr_double_widening_kernel_doubles_one_bucket_iqr: targeted
  bucket is halved/doubled; siblings untouched.

Local: SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check -p ml-alpha --all-targets clean;
cargo test -p ml-alpha --test bucket_transition_kernels -- --ignored
passes 11/11; cargo test -p ml-alpha --lib passes 33/33.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 17:53:52 +02:00
jgrusewski
dc76d205eb feat(per-horizon-cfc): wire Controllers B + C (Adam-escape mechanisms)
Per spec §3.2 + §3.3 and pearl_adam_normalizes_loss_weights.

Controller B (post-Adam τ projection):
- tau_clamp_kernel added to bucket_transition_kernels.cu
- Each channel's τ clamped to its bucket's IQR_widened range after every
  Adam step on tau_all_d. Bypasses Adam's m/sqrt(v) normalization
  (loss-weight modulation would have been a no-op per the pearl).

Controller C (per-bucket LR multiplier on heads_w_skip):
- heads_lr_multiplier_scale_kernel added.
- Per-step: snapshot heads_w_skip_d (DtoD) before opt_heads_w_skip.step,
  run Adam, then rescale the per-horizon delta by
  lr_mult_k = 1.0 / (1.0 + smoothness_ratio_k).
- smoothness_ratio_k = max(0, jitter_ema_k - target_jitter_k) /
                       max(target_jitter_k, target_jitter_k / 16)
  with the ε_floor max-with-floor pattern per
  pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor.
- target_jitter_k sentinel-bootstrapped from first non-zero raw
  smoothness loss per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.
- jitter EMA shadowed via mapped-pinned smoothness_jitter_ema_host_d
  (DtoD captured in graph; host reads after end-of-step sync); host
  writes lr_mult_per_horizon_staging (mapped-pinned); next step's
  captured-graph rescale kernel reads via dev_ptr.

Scope reduction (Task 11): Controller C scales ONLY heads_w_skip_d
per-horizon (N_HORIZONS × HIDDEN_DIM = 640 contiguous floats, per-horizon
stride HIDDEN_DIM). Other heads weights (w1, w2, w_gate, w_main) stay
unscaled because they're entangled in the GRN gate/main computation and
rescaling them would require additional per-bucket scoping out of Task 11
scope. Revisit if Smoke 2 fails per feedback_no_quickfixes.

Both controllers active Phase 2 only; no-op in Phase 1.

GPU oracle tests: 9 total (7 existing + tau_clamp + lr_multiplier_scale).
All 33 ml-alpha lib tests pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 17:37:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
2f69bb1fc0 feat(per-horizon-cfc): wire Controller A + Phase 1→2 transition in trainer
Per spec §2.3 + §3.1 and Task 9 of the plan.

Adds two device kernels to bucket_transition_kernels.cu:
- tau_change_frobenius_kernel: ‖tau_t − tau_{t-1}‖_F² via block-tree
  reduction (no atomicAdd per feedback_no_atomicadd)
- slack_factor_apply_kernel: (Q1, Q3) → (Q1/slack, Q3*slack) where
  slack = sqrt(Q3/Q1), ISV-derived per feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds

Adds to PerceptionTrainer:
- TrainingPhase enum (Phase1Warmup / Phase2Routed)
- ControllerA state machine instance
- prev_tau_d device buffer + tau_change_d + tau_change_staged mapped-pinned
- bucket_warmup_cap_override CLI diagnostic field
- bucket_routing_metadata stored after transition fires
- heads_w_skip_compact_d (HIDDEN_DIM floats) populated by transition
- Cached function handles for the two new kernels

Per-step in step_batched (Phase 1 only):
- Launch tau_change_frobenius_kernel → mapped-pinned scalar shadow
- DtoD prev_tau ← tau_all_d for next step
- Sync + host scalar read
- controller_a.update(tau_change, bucket_warmup_cap_override)
- On trigger: stage tau into scratch buffer (avoids in/out aliasing in
  tau_reorder_kernel), execute_transition writes routing metadata +
  reorders tau_all_d + populates heads_w_skip_compact_d,
  slack_factor_apply widens IQR bounds, invalidate CUDA Graph,
  latch phase = Phase2Routed, log via tracing::info.

Phase 2 dispatch + Controllers B/C/D wiring deferred to Tasks 10–12.
In Task 9's transient state, the trainer enters Phase 2 but continues
Phase 1 dispatch path; the reordered tau_all_d still produces a valid
forward pass since CfC's per-channel decay math is order-invariant.

Per pearl_no_host_branches_in_captured_graph: transition fires OUTSIDE
the captured graph (cached graph invalidated → recaptured next step).
Per pearl_cudarc_disable_event_tracking_for_graph_capture: event tracking
is already disabled trainer-wide; recapture on next step is safe.
Per feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned: host scalar read goes via
mapped-pinned DtoD shadow, not bulk DtoH.

CLI: --bucket-warmup-cap-steps added to alpha_train (Option<u64>,
diagnostic override of Controller A's ISV-derived cap).

Tests: 7 GPU oracle tests pass on RTX 3050 (5 existing + 2 new for
Frobenius + slack_factor). 33 ml-alpha lib tests pass. Workspace
cargo check clean modulo pre-existing cupti / sp15 / gpu_per_integration
errors unrelated to this task.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 17:09:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
1a7c4fc66a feat(per-horizon-cfc): add bucket_routing.rs (Controller A + transition dispatch)
Per spec §3.1, §2.3. Controller A computes tau-change EMA with
first-observation bootstrap + Wiener-α floor 0.4 (co-adapting closed
loop); trigger when EMA < max(noise_floor/4, noise_floor/16); ISV-derived
hard cap from observed MAD/median dispersion in first 100 steps.

execute_transition() dispatches the 5 device kernels in order:
tau_sort → bucket_assign → bucket_iqr → tau_reorder → heads_compact.
All-on-device per feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned (one-time
static-constant upload at transition is allowed off-hot-path).

Returns raw Q1/Q3 in BucketRoutingMetadata.bucket_tau_iqr_{lo,hi}_d;
slack_factor=sqrt(Q3/Q1) widening kernel applied by trainer in Task 9.

3 CPU-only unit tests verify Controller A's first-obs bootstrap,
threshold-trigger, and ISV-cap-trigger semantics.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 16:18:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
fde5511338 feat(per-horizon-cfc): add heads_block_diagonal_fwd.cu (compact ragged w_skip)
Per spec §5.4 point 2. heads_w_skip storage 5× reduced (640→128 floats).
Each horizon reads only its bucket via offset lookup. Block-tree reduction
(padded to 32 lanes for clean halving stride), no atomicAdd.

GPU oracle test matches naive per-horizon computation (tol 1e-5) on sm_86.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 16:04:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
11eb74766a feat(per-horizon-cfc): add cfc_step_per_branch.cu (fused fwd+bwd)
Per spec §5.4 point 1. Single fused kernel: grid=(B, N_HORIZONS, 1),
block=(MAX_BUCKET_DIM=28, 1, 1) uniform predicate. Shared x_local +
h_old_local cooperative-staged into shared memory once per block per
pearl_cooperative_staging_eliminates_redundant_reads. No atomicAdd.
No host branches.

Forward GPU oracle: matches naive per-channel CfC math (tol 1e-4) on
sm_86. Backward smoke: kernel loads + writes non-NaN gradients.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 15:56:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
1f700f9bfa feat(per-horizon-cfc): add bucket_transition_kernels.cu (5 device kernels)
Per spec §2.3. All-on-device transition: tau_sort (bitonic-merge),
bucket_assign (static quintile boundaries [0,25,50,75,100,128]),
bucket_iqr (warp-reduction Q1/Q3 per bucket), tau_reorder, heads_compact.
No atomicAdd. No DtoH.

GPU oracle tests pass on RTX 3050 sm_86.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 15:46:56 +02:00
jgrusewski
f13d6c6dcf refactor(per-horizon-cfc): atomically remove MTER scaffolding
Per spec §2.5 and feedback_no_partial_refactor. Removes:
- LoaderMode enum (single-variant after Sequential removal → deleted entirely)
- next_sequence_sequential + sequential_file_idx + sequential_anchor_idx + last_call_was_file_boundary + is_file_boundary
- last_seen_file_boundary, train_graph_boundary_state fields
- notify_file_boundary method + boundary-state graph recapture logic
- need_attn_pool_bootstrap match — always true now (random mode always bootstraps)
- --loader-mode CLI flag + notify_file_boundary() call
- loader-mode Argo template param

Additional consumers migrated atomically (beyond the 4 files listed in
the plan): ml-alpha/tests/perception_overfit.rs,
ml-alpha/tests/multi_horizon_loader.rs, ml-backtesting/src/harness.rs,
ml-backtesting/tests/trainer_parity.rs,
ml-backtesting/tests/ring3_replay.rs — all referenced LoaderMode or the
removed config fields.

Workspace builds clean at this commit (pre-existing cudarc-cupti example
and ml-crate test errors are unrelated to MTER removal — they fail at
HEAD too). New per-horizon CfC arch lands in subsequent tasks of the
same plan.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 15:36:28 +02:00
jgrusewski
7dd953aa2b feat(intervention-b): add LoaderMode::Sequential + attn_pool gate
Loader can now serve sequences in temporal order (Sequential mode);
when active, the trainer skips attn_pool reset at non-file-boundary
sequence boundaries (next commit will use this for stateful CfC + MTER).

Random mode preserved as default; ZERO behavioral change for existing
runs. Phased commit 1/8 of intervention B per
docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-21-crt-train-intervention-b-multi-timescale-readout.md
2026-05-21 11:30:50 +02:00
jgrusewski
cd0fe8549c fix(gpu-log): use std::thread for drain task (no tokio runtime needed)
The drain task previously used tokio::spawn + tokio::time::sleep,
gated by Handle::try_current().is_ok(). alpha_train's main() is
synchronous (not #[tokio::main]) so Handle::try_current() returned
Err and the drain task was silently skipped — the trace file was
never created.

Refactor to std::thread::spawn + std::thread::sleep. No runtime
required; spawn is unconditional; Drop joins synchronously instead
of aborting; BufWriter flushes on every drain cycle so even short
runs (< 1 sec) capture their tail. Existing gpu_log_ring_invariants
tests migrated from #[tokio::test] back to plain #[test].

Also resolves an exit-1 issue on alpha_train shutdown — likely a
tokio task abort panicking through the synchronous Drop path.

Local smoke (alpha_train --kernel-step-trace ...):
- EXIT=0
- step_trace.jsonl: 1497 lines (~500 steps × 3 smoothness records)
- valid JSONL, schema matches smoothness_controller emission contract
2026-05-21 02:08:55 +02:00
jgrusewski
2d5a66f6e4 feat(kernel-step-trace): runtime --kernel-step-trace CLI flag + JSONL drain
The compile-time feature kernel-step-trace gates inclusion of the ring
code. NEW: --kernel-step-trace <PATH> CLI flag on alpha_train gates
RUNTIME activation:

- Path provided   -> ring allocated, drain spawns, JSONL records written
                    to <PATH> (truncated). One record per kernel emission.
- Path omitted    -> ring not allocated, drain not spawned, zero overhead
                    even with the feature compiled in.

JSONL schema: {"step": u32, "kid": u8, "kname": str, "rt": u8,
"rt_name": str, "payload": {field: f32, ...}}. The payload field names
come from the existing per-(kid, rt) decoders in gpu_log.rs (ported to
serde_json::json! in decode_to_json).

Trainer ring fields are now Option<_>; populated only when the runtime
trace path is Some. Tick kernel, step-counter shadow, smoothness
controller pointer-passing, and Drop all become path-conditional.

The tracing::info!-based drain variant is removed (file-writer is
strictly more useful; tests migrated to assert JSONL file contents).

Argo template:
- New parameter kernel-step-trace-enable (build-time feature opt-in)
- New parameter kernel-step-trace-path (runtime CLI value)
- ensure-binary cache-busts when feature toggles
- training step passes --kernel-step-trace flag conditionally

Per feedback_no_feature_flags: compile-time gate retained because the
ring carries real memory cost (~2 MiB pinned) and per-step write overhead;
the specific name kernel-step-trace narrows scope to this mechanism.
Runtime gate is Option<PathBuf>, not a boolean enable_*.
2026-05-21 01:55:57 +02:00
jgrusewski
fa41b39ca4 refactor(gpu-log): rename feature cuda-diag-log → kernel-step-trace
Per user direction: feature-gating is appropriate for per-step diagnostic
logging (real perf/memory cost) but the name should be specific to the
mechanism, not a generic "diag-log" catch-all. kernel-step-trace
describes what the feature provides — per-step records written to the
ring by kernels.

Pure rename, no behavioral changes. Touched: Cargo.toml feature decl,
lib.rs cfg attribute, perception.rs (~25 cfg attributes including
not(feature) pairs), gpu_log.rs + smoothness_lambda_controller.cu doc
comments, gpu_log_ring_invariants.rs file-level cfg + ignore-attribute
text.
2026-05-21 01:44:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
adc3506d3e feat(gpu-log): wire smoothness_lambda_controller as first ring producer
Atomic refactor wiring the GPU log ring's first producer end-to-end:

- cuda/gpu_log_helpers.cuh (new): extract LogHeader/LogRecord/LogRing
  struct definitions + the log_record() device __forceinline__ helper
  into a shared header. Single source of truth — other kernels include
  this rather than redefining the structs.
- cuda/gpu_log_ring.cu: refactor to include gpu_log_helpers.cuh; retain
  only the gpu_log_tick kernel.
- cuda/smoothness_lambda_controller.cu: include gpu_log_helpers.cuh, add
  trailing (LogRing*, const int*) args, capture pre-EMA jitter +
  post-EMA jitter + target + excess_ratio into shared mem, and emit
  three records per call (RT_INPUT, RT_STATE, RT_OUTPUT) gated on
  non-null ring pointer.
- trainer/perception.rs: feature-gated (cuda-diag-log) ring allocation +
  step counter (mapped-pinned host shadow), gpu_log_tick launch FIRST
  inside the captured graph, two new pointer args on the smoothness
  controller launch (null when feature off), step-counter DtoD shadow
  alongside the other telemetry shadows, drain task spawn (skipped when
  no tokio runtime — sync tests still construct the trainer), and a
  feature-gated Drop impl that aborts the drain task on shutdown.
- tests/smoothness_lambda_controller_invariants.rs: pass null pointers
  for the two new kernel args; the kernel's nullptr guard preserves
  pre-existing behaviour.
- build.rs: rerun-if-changed on cuda/gpu_log_ids.h and
  cuda/gpu_log_helpers.cuh so header edits trigger cubin rebuilds.

Verified: cargo build / check --all-targets clean both with and without
the cuda-diag-log feature; 4/4 smoothness controller invariant tests
pass; 9/9 perception_overfit integration tests pass under the feature.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-21 01:36:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
17cddf7f4a test(gpu-log): invariant tests for ring allocator + drainer 2026-05-21 01:21:55 +02:00
jgrusewski
0f664cf361 test(crt-train): invariant tests for smoothness_lambda_controller 2026-05-21 00:34:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
4a32186a5f fix(crt-train): migrate all PerceptionTrainerConfig literals to new smoothness_base_lambda field
Task 5 added smoothness_base_lambda to PerceptionTrainerConfig but only
updated the struct definition + Default impl. Eight test sites in
perception_overfit.rs and one site in alpha_train.rs construct the
config via explicit field list (no ..Default::default() spread), so
they broke with E0063 missing-field errors under cargo check
--all-targets.

Per feedback_no_partial_refactor.md: when a contract changes, every
consumer migrates atomically. This commit adds smoothness_base_lambda:
0.0 to all 9 sites so the workspace compiles cleanly. The
alpha_train.rs value of 0.0 is a placeholder — Task 7 will replace it
with cli.smoothness_base_lambda once the CLI flag is added.
2026-05-20 23:40:45 +02:00
jgrusewski
3e07bf41b8 test(crt-train): finite-diff validate output_smoothness kernel grad 2026-05-20 23:31:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
3d8f12deba test(crt-a): buffer-level seed bit-identity replaces prediction-level test
The forward_step_bit_identical_after_seed_from_forward_only test in
commit 1d889d2de asserted 1e-5 prediction-level convergence between
forward_only(W[1..K+1]) and seed+forward_step(snap[K]). This is
architecturally impossible: forward_only initialises CfC h_old from a
K-window attention pool; forward_step carries its own hidden state.
Even with a bit-identical SSM seed the two paths see different attention
contexts and diverge in the CfC chain.

The contract seed_step_state_from_forward_only actually makes is at the
BUFFER level: step_scratch_l{1,2}.x_state holds the terminal Mamba2
SSM state produced by replaying K scan_fwd_step calls over the seq
path's pre-computed a_proj/b_proj; and cfc_h_state_step_d is an exact
DtoD copy of h_new_per_k_d[K-1].

Replaced the failing test with seed_step_state_buffers_bit_identical_to_forward_only_terminal:
- Reads cfc_h_state_step_d and h_new_per_k_d[K-1] and asserts bit-for-bit
  equality (.to_bits() == .to_bits()) — the DtoD copy makes this exact.
- Verifies L1/L2 x_states are non-zero after seeding (reset zeroed them;
  K replay steps built them up).
- Seeds two independent trainers from the same window and asserts all
  three buffers match bit-for-bit across both seedings (determinism).

Added readback accessors on the hot path (pub fn, not cfg(test), so
integration tests can reach them — same pattern as forward_step_into_returning):
- Mamba2BlockStepScratch::read_x_state (mamba2_block.rs)
- PerceptionTrainer::read_step_l1_x_state / read_step_l2_x_state /
  read_cfc_h_state_step / read_h_new_per_k_last (trainer/perception.rs)

The architectural divergence at prediction level is documented in the
replacement test's docstring so future readers don't reopen the same question.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 19:10:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
045850e8f3 arch(crt-a): delete decision_stride field — greenfields atomic refactor
Per spec 2026-05-20-continuous-reasoning-trader-design.md §3.3 and §8:
decision_stride is REMOVED, not deprecated. No backwards-compat shim,
no fallback. Every consumer migrates in this commit per
feedback_no_partial_refactor.

Removed from:
  - bin/fxt-backtest: RunArgs CLI flag, SweepBase field, SweepCell
    override field, default_decision_stride() function, all three
    BacktestHarnessConfig and RunArgs construction sites
  - crates/ml-backtesting/src/harness.rs: BacktestHarnessConfig field,
    MultiHorizonLoaderConfig decision_stride initializer, `let stride`
    local, `if event_count % stride == 0` gate around
    step_decision_with_latency; forward_step_into + step_decision now
    share a single window-full guard (merged into one `if` block)
  - crates/ml-alpha/src/data/loader.rs: MultiHorizonLoaderConfig field,
    next_sequence stride logic simplified to stride=1 (consecutive
    snapshots only)
  - crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/perception.rs: PerceptionTrainerConfig
    field and Default impl; all four dt_s locals replaced with 1.0_f32
    (training K-loop, graph-capture K-loop, forward_step_into CfC step,
    eval K-loop)
  - crates/ml-alpha/examples/alpha_train.rs: CLI flag, trainer_cfg and
    both loader configs
  - crates/ml/examples/alpha_baseline.rs: CLI flag, train + eval stride
    gates replaced with unconditional read_all()
  - config/ml/*.yaml: decision_stride: lines removed from
    sweep_smoke, sweep_threshold_tuning, sweep_deployability,
    sweep_decision_stride_example (file repurposed as generic example)
  - tests: forward_step_golden, perception_overfit (×7 structs including
    the stride=4 smoke repurposed as a second convergence check),
    multi_horizon_loader (stride=4 spacing test repurposed as
    ts_ns monotonicity check), ring3_replay, trainer_parity

Harness loop now invokes BOTH forward_step_into AND
step_decision_with_latency on every event whenever the snapshot window
is full. forward_step_into advances SSM state and writes alpha_probs_d;
step_decision_with_latency reads alpha_probs_d immediately after —
no CPU roundtrip, no stride gate.

n_decisions ≈ events_processed - seq_len + 1 after this commit
(vs ~9999 at stride=200 in the S2 baseline).

cargo check --workspace: clean
cargo test -p ml-backtesting --lib: 33 passed
cargo test -p ml-alpha --lib: 33 passed (6 ignored)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 18:48:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
92f8b10ed2 fix(crt-a): forward_step_into eliminates GPU↔CPU roundtrip + bit-identical seed
Corrective commit on top of a0e81fbdf addressing two load-bearing issues
flagged in the prior DONE_WITH_CONCERNS report.

Issue 1 (USER-FLAGGED, primary): GPU↔CPU roundtrip per event.

The previous `forward_step` did GPU compute → memcpy_dtod to mapped-pinned
host buffer → stream.synchronize() → CPU read → return [f32; N_HORIZONS]
→ harness stored in last_probs → broadcast_alpha memcpy_htod'd it back to
GPU. The 4-5 probs round-tripped the CPU twice per event for nothing.
The per-event stream.synchronize() defeated CUDA graph capture downstream
and throttled the event rate.

Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only and feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned:
no compute data round-trips the CPU.

Fix:
- New `PerceptionTrainer::forward_step_into(snapshot, &mut alpha_probs_dst)`
  signature. The GRN heads kernel writes per-horizon probs directly into
  the caller's device buffer (`LobSimCuda::alpha_probs_d_mut`).
- Removed `probs_step_d`, `probs_step_host` fields. Removed the
  DtoD-to-host-staging, the stream.synchronize, and the CPU read.
- New `LobSimCuda::alpha_probs_d_mut()` accessor exposes the on-device
  decision-input buffer so the trainer writes directly into it.
- Harness loop now: `forward_step_into(&raw, sim.alpha_probs_d_mut())`
  then (stride-gated) `step_decision_with_latency`. broadcast_alpha is
  no longer called on the hot path — the probs were never on host.
- Conviction logging moved on-device: new `record_max_conviction_to_slot`
  kernel writes one f32/decision into `LobSimCuda::convictions_d` (5M
  capacity); `LobSimCuda::read_convictions(n)` DtoH's once at end of
  run during `write_artifacts`. Replaces the host-side max-of-5 loop on
  `self.last_probs` per decision. `last_probs` field deleted.
- Test-only helper `forward_step_into_returning(snap) -> [f32; N]`
  preserves the prior test API shape with one DtoH; not exposed to
  production callers. Existing forward_step_golden.rs tests retargeted
  to this helper.

Acceptance check (per spec) passes — no memcpy_htod/dtoh/dtov/synchronize
inside forward_step_into or its callees. Only memcpy_dtod_async (DtoD).

Issue 2 (prior report concern #1): bit-identical seed from forward_only.

Previously the convergence test passed only at tolerance 0.15 because
forward_only seeds CfC's h_old from the attention pool over the K-window;
the step path starts from h=0 and the attention pool is dropped. Per memo
§4.5 Option (a) — extract terminal state from forward_only and seed
forward_step from it.

Fix:
- New `Mamba2Block::step_advance_from_seq_row(a_proj_ptr, b_proj_ptr,
  scratch)` helper: launches scan_fwd_step against pre-computed
  a_proj/b_proj from the seq path. Bit-identical x_state by construction
  (same arithmetic, same per-step order). Skips the W_in/W_a/W_b GEMMs
  which would otherwise differ from the seq path's batched GEMM at the
  bit level.
- New `PerceptionTrainer::seed_step_state_from_forward_only(window)`:
    1. Run forward_only(window) — populates mamba2 L1/L2 a_proj/b_proj
       + h_new_per_k_d via the regular seq path.
    2. Reset step scratches' x_state to zero.
    3. For k in 0..K: launch scan_fwd_step on step_scratch_l1 reading
       row k of mamba2_fwd_scratch.a_proj/b_proj. Same for L2.
    4. DtoD copy h_new_per_k_d[K-1] (the cfc h_new that would feed
       position K if there were one) → cfc_h_state_step_d.
- New test forward_step_bit_identical_after_seed_from_forward_only at
  1e-5 tolerance. Asserts forward_step_into on snapshot K (after seeding
  from window [0..K-1]) matches forward_only's last-position prediction
  on window [1..=K].

Residual structural caveat documented in the test: A and B see different
attn_context inputs (forward_only over [1..K+1] vs warmup [0..K]) and B
has one extra cfc iteration in its chain. The seed pins SSM x_state +
cfc h_state to forward_only's terminal values bit-identically; what
remains is cfc trajectory divergence after that pin. Asserting at 1e-5
exposes the gap at review rather than hiding it under a loose tolerance.

Per pearls: no host branches in captured graph (none added; kernel-only
work), no atomicAdd (block-tree-free single-thread kernel),
mapped-pinned-only for any CPU↔GPU contact (none on hot path; only the
constructor's weight upload + setup paths). cargo check workspace clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 18:36:37 +02:00
jgrusewski
a0e81fbdfc arch(crt-a): forward_step incremental SSM state — enables event-rate trunk forward
Per A0 investigation memo (commit 2e87ed0da) — forward_only was Case 2
(stateless K=64 window per call). Refactored PerceptionTrainer to
maintain persistent Mamba2 SSM state per call via step_into kernels.

New API:
  - Mamba2BlockStepScratch: scratch sized for K=1, x_state persistent
    across step_into calls.
  - Mamba2Block::step_into: single-step forward with x_state in-place
    update.
  - PerceptionTrainer::forward_step(snapshot) -> [f32; N_HORIZONS]
  - PerceptionTrainer::reset_step_state(): zero x_state for both
    Mamba2 layers + CfC hidden state for session resets.

Decisions (from A0 memo §5):
  1. K=1 path: added a dedicated `mamba2_alpha_scan_fwd_step` kernel.
     The existing scan_fwd_seq cannot run at K=1 with carry-forward
     state — it unconditionally zero-initialises its register-array
     SSM state at kernel entry (line 253-255 of the kernel source),
     which would discard prior state on every launch. The new step
     kernel reads SSM `x_state[N, sh2, state_d]` from DRAM at entry,
     advances by one timestep, writes back. Same arithmetic as
     scan_fwd_seq's per-step inner loop.
  2. x_state carry: written in-place in DRAM at end of step_into.
     The scratch struct holds the persistent buffer; the kernel
     reads + writes it atomically per (i, j) thread.
  3. CUDA Graph at K=1: chose eager dispatch. Per the A0 memo's
     default for K=1, graph replay overhead (5-15 µs) is likely
     larger than the kernel work at K=1. Profiling a graph-replayed
     path can be added in a future task if benchmarks show otherwise.
  4. Session reset: `reset_step_state` exposed (zeroes both Mamba2
     x_state buffers + CfC h state). NOT wired into BacktestHarness
     in this task — that handoff is a session-gap downstream change.
  5. Spec §3.2 had factual error ("trunk forward already every
     event") — corrected by this commit's behaviour. Spec doc edit
     deferred to a separate concern.

Architectural divergence from forward_only (documented in
forward_step doc + test): the per-event path drops the attention
pool over LN_b's K-history (it would require K LN_b rows per call,
defeating the O(1)/event target). CfC instead carries its hidden
state across calls; after `reset_step_state()` that state is zero
and naturally accumulates context via CfC's decay-recurrence.

Golden test (forward_step_golden.rs) covers three structural
invariants:
  - Determinism: two trainers from same seed run forward_step over
    the same sequence → bit-identical probs (< 1e-6).
  - Reset semantics: post-reset run matches a fresh trainer's run
    bit-identically.
  - Convergence: forward_step on N=320 events converges to
    forward_only on the trailing K=64 window within 0.15. The
    looseness reflects the dropped attention pool — for long-τ CfC
    channels (τ > N · dt) the initial-state attn_context (forward_
    only) vs zero (forward_step) difference partially persists. Bit-
    identity to forward_only requires either re-introducing attention
    pool on the step path or extracting forward_only's terminal state
    and seeding forward_step from it (A0 memo §4.5 option (a));
    both deferred.

Harness transitional change: forward_step now called EVERY event to
keep SSM state current; decision/broadcast still stride-gated. A1
will delete the stride gate. Adds `last_probs: [f32; N_HORIZONS]`
cache to BacktestHarness so the stride gate reads from cache rather
than re-invoking forward_step.

Per pearls: nvidia-grade kernel performance (warp-shuffle-free
register array x[32], no atomicAdd, no host branches in graph
capture, no nvrtc). The new kernel is pre-compiled in build.rs's
existing mamba2_alpha_kernel.cu cubin alongside fwd/bwd/seq variants.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 18:05:44 +02:00
jgrusewski
453a22f47f feat(ml-alpha): CUDA Graph capture of forward_only (P5)
X11's original plan said "capture_graph_a covers full v2 forward" but
the X11 commit (4f888abbf) only shipped forward_only + from_checkpoint.
Graph capture is now actually implemented for the inference path.

Mirrors the pattern already in step_batched (perception.rs:1221-1257):
- First call: eager dispatch + set forward_warmed flag.
- Second call: begin_capture -> dispatch_forward_kernels -> end_capture
  -> store CudaGraph.
- Subsequent calls: graph.launch() — captured replay.

forward_only now performs its own staging-fill of the mapped-pinned
host buffers (input data varies per call), then dispatches through
the three-state machine. The captured region is the new private
dispatch_forward_kernels helper: a copy of evaluate_batched's
forward chain (VSN -> Mamba2 x2 -> LN x2 -> attn-pool -> CfC K-loop
-> heads) that omits labels, BCE, and any stream syncs. The final
sync + dtoh of probs_per_k_d happens OUTSIDE capture in forward_only.

Per pearl_no_host_branches_in_captured_graph: no host branches /
scalar-arg-changes / host-mallocs inside the captured region; all
kernel launches use pre-bound device pointers stable across replays.
Per pearl_cudarc_disable_event_tracking_for_graph_capture: event
tracking is already disabled for the trainer's lifetime at
construction (see PerceptionTrainer::new ~line 529), so the captured
region is free of cuStreamWaitEvent / event.record() insertions.

Vestigial loader.rs:272 doc comment referencing the never-shipped
CfcTrunk::capture_graph_a updated to point at the now-real
PerceptionTrainer::forward_only warmup path.

Regression: forward_captured_matches_uncaptured — eager (call 1) vs
captured replay (call 3) agree within 1e-5 relative tolerance per
element. NOT strict bit-identity because CUDA Graph capture can
reorder kernel launches and flip f32 reductions by 1 ULP harmlessly.
Local RTX 3050 Ti run: 160 elements, max rel_err = 0e0.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-19 17:32:28 +02:00
jgrusewski
71b467be40 chore(ml-alpha): remove V1-forward test files (broken since X8 reshape)
Both tests exercised CfcTrunk::capture_graph_a + perception_forward_captured
+ snapshot_hidden, which feed V1-shaped CfC weights. After X8 the trunk's
CfC was reshaped to v2 layout (cfc_n_in=HIDDEN_DIM); the V1 forward path
now feeds FEATURE_DIM input into HIDDEN_DIM-shaped CfC — runtime garbage.

The methods themselves are still in trunk.rs (marked dead-code by rustc).
A deeper cleanup pass — deleting the V1 weight fields (heads_w_d, proj_*),
V1 per-step scratches, V1 cubin function handles, and the V1 forward
methods themselves — is a follow-up commit when fresh.

Verification: ml-alpha + ml-backtesting + fxt-backtest all build clean.
2026-05-19 09:08:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
b47b2fabfb fix(ml-core): deterministic GPU weight init via scoped_init_seed
ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::generate_uniform (backing xavier_uniform,
kaiming_uniform, bias_uniform, near_zero_xavier) defaulted to seeding
from SystemTime::now() + thread_id, producing non-reproducible weights
across processes. Mamba2 stacks initialise via OwnedGpuLinear::xavier,
which routes through this helper — so PerceptionTrainer.evaluate output
diverged 5-30% across fresh-process runs with identical cfg.seed.

Fix: thread-local seedable RNG override. New API:

    let _g = ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::scoped_init_seed(seed);
    // ... all xavier/kaiming/bias/near_zero calls draw from
    //     StdRng::seed_from_u64(seed) chain while _g is alive ...
    // _g dropped here -> restores default time-based seeding

PerceptionTrainer::new now installs the guard before any Mamba2Block
construction, so the trainer is reproducible from cfg.seed end-to-end.
CfC/VSN/heads already used explicit ChaCha8Rng::seed_from_u64 — only
Mamba2 was affected.

Production behavior unchanged when no guard is set. ml-core: 306 tests
pass, ml-alpha: 34 lib tests pass.

Regression test: crates/ml-alpha/tests/perception_forward_golden.rs
captures bit-exact PerceptionTrainer.evaluate output (loss + 160 probs
on a deterministic seed=42 fixture) into a 644-byte golden file.
Three consecutive runs now produce max_abs_diff=0; pre-fix runs varied
by 0.1-0.3 absolute on individual probs.

.gitignore: added exception for crates/ml-alpha/tests/fixtures/*.bin
so deterministic test fixtures land in repo.

Per pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility in project memory.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-19 01:19:13 +02:00
jgrusewski
e004d6c217 Revert "arch(ml-alpha): restore count-delta redundancy at feature slot [26]"
This reverts commit 008f65d894.
2026-05-18 23:16:38 +02:00
jgrusewski
008f65d894 arch(ml-alpha): restore count-delta redundancy at feature slot [26]
The C16 tick-rule swap (19986c8d9) replaced the dense `trade_count` delta
at snap_feature_assemble's slot [18] with a signed L1 tick-rule estimate.
That broke a load-bearing redundancy in Phase 1+2+3:

  Phase 1+2+3 feature [17] = log1p(trade_count_delta)
  Phase 1+2+3 feature [18] = signed_log1p(trade_count_delta)
                           = log1p(trade_count_delta) for count ≥ 0

Within a file, `cur.trade_count >= prev.trade_count` (monotonic), so the
delta is non-negative and the two features were *bit-identical* floats.
The encoder's Mamba2 W_in had two random-initialised rows projecting the
same dense signal, giving it effective 2× capacity allocation on
trade-flow.

Post-C16:
  feature [17] = log1p(trade_count_delta)         (unchanged)
  feature [18] = signed_log1p(tick_rule_estimate) (new, uncorrelated)

Empirical (7.8M ES MBP-10 snapshots, Q1+Q2 2024 production data):

  | Stat                   | OLD count_delta | NEW tick_rule   |
  |------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|
  | zero rate              | 10.2%           | 49.1%           |
  | mean ± std             | 4.26 ± 3.82     | -0.18 ± 10.95   |
  | max |value|            | 100             | 3378            |
  | Pearson r vs count     | 1.0000 (id)     | 0.0002          |

  Sign-class breakdown vs Phase 1+2+3 slot [18]:
    44.3% new=0 but old≠0  (44% of true trades MISSED by tick-rule)
     5.5% new≠0 but old=0  (cancel-as-trade false positives)
    22.8% both positive    (agree)
     0.0% both negative    (old never negative)
    22.6% sign disagreement (old saw trades, new says "seller")

The tick-rule heuristic is a strictly different (and noisier) signal,
not a superset. Three mechanisms simultaneously regressed mean_auc:
  A) lost 2× W_in capacity on count signal
  B) noisier signal at slot [18]
  C) extreme outliers (max 33× wider) destabilise LayerNorm at [18]

Fix (Option 2 per the diagnostic):

  out[26] = signed_log1p((float) trade_count)

Restores the duplicate count-delta signal at a previously-reserved slot.
Slot [18] keeps the new tick-rule signal — the 5.5% "signal added" and
the directional info at L1 are still available. FEATURE_DIM (40) is
unchanged; LayerNorm + Mamba2 W_in dimensions are unchanged.

Both the single-snapshot kernel and the batched kernel are updated.
`snap_feature_bit_equiv::reserved_slots_are_zero` updated to assert
the new slot-26 semantics (signed_log1p of synthetic trade_count=7
= log(8) ≈ 2.079).

All 9 perception_overfit tests pass + all 9 snap_feature_bit_equiv
tests pass.

Cluster verification: single-fold smoke + 3-fold validation follow.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 22:19:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
1a465cf7d5 refactor(ml-alpha): revert axes B/C/D/E — keep only Kendall σ (axis A)
Post-A/B verdict (see project_ml_alpha_v2_ab_verdict.md): v2 with all
5 axes was marginally tied on h6000 (+0.0013 vs 0.7591 baseline mean,
fails the +0.01 win threshold) and slightly below on mean_auc
(−0.0208 vs 0.7749 baseline mean, within 1σ) at ~5× the wall-time
cost. Per `feedback_v7_gem_methodology` (measure before delete or
wire), the architecture has been measured — it doesn't earn its
compute cost. This commit reverts the axes that didn't lift:

  - axis B (L2 anchor + Wiener-α controller) — DROPPED
  - axis C (horizon-token attention pool)    — DROPPED
  - axis D (regime-MoE gate + experts)       — DROPPED
  - axis E (inverted cross-variate attn)     — DROPPED
  - axis A (Kendall σ-weighted BCE)          — KEPT

Files deleted (kernels, host bindings, numgrad tests, trainer state):
  - cuda/{horizon_token_attention_pool, inverted_attention_pool,
          inv_pooled_merge, regime_moe_gate, anchor_l2,
          horizon_mean_collapse}.cu
  - src/{horizon_token_attention_pool, inverted_attention_pool,
         inv_pooled_merge, regime_moe_gate, anchor_l2,
         horizon_mean_collapse}.rs
  - src/trainer/{multi_horizon_attention, anchor_controller}.rs
  - tests/{horizon_token_attention_pool_numgrad,
           inverted_attention_pool_numgrad,
           regime_moe_gate_numgrad,
           anchor_l2_numgrad}.rs

Files restored (from V1 commit 41292303d):
  - cuda/attention_pool.cu — legacy single-Q attention pool kernel
  - src/trainer/perception.rs — pre-MHA trainer state with the
    legacy `attn_*` plumbing intact.

Files modified:
  - bce_loss_multi_horizon.cu stays σ-aware (kept the V7 work; it
    has the kernel function name preserved from V1).
  - perception.rs: ADD `log_sigma_h_d [N_HORIZONS]`,
    `grad_log_sigma_h_d [N_HORIZONS]`, `opt_log_sigma` AdamW
    directly on PerceptionTrainer (no MHA bundle). BCE callsites in
    `step_batched` (training) and `evaluate_batched` thread the σ
    args. Grad scratch zeroed each step before the BCE launch.
    `opt_log_sigma.step` lives in section 9 alongside the other
    AdamW updates.

NET DIFF: 23 files, 442 insertions, 3160 deletions (~2700-line
cleanup).

LOCAL VERIFICATION (RTX 3050 sm_86, --test-threads=1):
  - ml-alpha builds clean (cuda feature)
  - bce_grad_finite_diff 4/4 PASS (BCE still works through σ-kernel)
  - perception_overfit 9/9 PASS (full trainer pipeline, loss-shrinks
    tests still green)

NEXT: cluster smoke + 3-fold A/B vs task #200 baseline. Expected
wall-time ≈ baseline 17 s/epoch (we're back to baseline architecture
plus 5 scalar Kendall σ params + 1 tiny AdamW). Expected lift on
mean_auc: modest — Kendall σ rebalances per-horizon contributions
based on observed BCE EMA, which may help horizons with intrinsically
higher noise floors.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 18:11:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
11b964359b perf(ml-alpha): MoE bwd compact scratch + scatter kernel + inv-attn loop interchange
Two perf optimizations bundled:

(1) MoE backward scratch compaction
    Old: `grad_w_scratch_d [B, N_H, N_E, H, H]` = 1.3 MB per step (B=1)
    New: `grad_w_scratch_d [B, N_H, H, H]`      = 320 KB per step
    4× memory reduction. Since each batch's top-1 router selects ONE
    expert, only that expert's slot was ever non-zero in the prior
    layout — the N_E axis was entirely wasteful.

    The shape change required:
    - Updated `regime_moe_gate_bwd` to write the compact layout.
    - New `regime_moe_gate_scatter` kernel scatters per-(b, h)
      rank-1 contributions into `grad_experts_W[e]` / `grad_experts_b[e]`
      based on `top_e[b]`. Grid (N_E, H, ceil(H/32)) × block (32) —
      one warp per (e, d_out, d_in_chunk). 65536 → 16384 grid cells
      (4× fewer blocks dispatched).
    - Dropped the previously-naive 65536-block `reduce_axis0` for
      `grad_experts_w` from `perception.rs` (the scatter kernel
      produces the final per-expert grad directly).
    - `tests/regime_moe_gate_numgrad.rs` reads `grad_experts_w` from
      the scatter output instead of host-side reducing the 5D scratch.

(2) inverted_attention bwd loop interchange
    Phase 2's tight loop:
      for k:
        for j:
          ds_myh_j = d_scores[my_h, j]   // doesn't depend on k!
          ds_j_myh = d_scores[j, my_h]   // doesn't depend on k!
          ...
    Hoisted d_scores reads out of the K-loop into J-outer with
    per-thread `q_arr[K_MAX]` / `k_arr[K_MAX]` register accumulators.
    Net: 32× fewer DRAM reads of d_scores per thread per bwd.

CORRECTNESS:
  - regime_moe_gate numgrad PASSES (1/1, 11 numgrad checks).
  - inverted_attention numgrad PASSES (1/1, 6 numgrad checks).
  - perception_overfit 9/9 PASS — including loss-shrinks tests.

NEXT: re-run cluster smoke to measure the new wall-time vs the 17 s
baseline. Prior smoke at a263cd544 was 11.26 s for 1000 steps; this
commit's smoke will reveal whether the MoE scratch compaction + loop
interchange land us closer to the 30 s/epoch gate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 16:03:21 +02:00
jgrusewski
6a3f45d872 refactor(ml-alpha): consolidate BCE — Kendall σ is THE BCE, wire MHA into trainer
Single source of truth for the multi-horizon BCE per the new
feedback_single_source_of_truth_no_duplicates pearl. Eliminates the
`bce_loss_multi_horizon_sigma.cu` / `loss_sigma.rs` duplication
introduced earlier today and folds the Kendall σ-weighting into the
canonical kernel.

Deletions:
  cuda/bce_loss_multi_horizon_sigma.cu              (folded into legacy)
  src/trainer/loss_sigma.rs                         (helper merged)
  tests/bce_sigma_numgrad.rs                        (subsumed)

Rewrites:
  cuda/bce_loss_multi_horizon.cu — replaced with σ-aware
    implementation; kernel function name kept as
    `bce_multi_horizon_forward_backward` so cubin symbol stays stable.
    NVIDIA-grade warp-shuffle reduce (4 warps, 1 cross-warp barrier);
    new args `log_sigma_h` (per-horizon Kendall σ logarithm) and
    `d_log_sigma_h` (its gradient).
  src/trainer/loss.rs — standalone helper updated to new 11-arg
    kernel signature. Exposes optional `log_sigma_h` in `BceInput`
    (None → zeros / passthrough Kendall init) and returns
    `mean_bce_per_h` + `d_log_sigma_h` in `BceOutput`.
  tests/bce_grad_finite_diff.rs — adds `log_sigma_h: None` to the
    test inputs; all 4 numgrad tests PASS unchanged.
  build.rs — drops `bce_loss_multi_horizon_sigma` entry from
    KERNELS. The single canonical `bce_loss_multi_horizon` cubin
    now contains the σ-aware kernel.

Wiring:
  PerceptionTrainer gains a single `pub mha: MultiHorizonAttention`
    field. Owns `log_sigma_h_d` + `grad_log_sigma_h_d` (and the rest
    of the multi-horizon attention path, anchored on Stage 2 to fully
    replace the legacy `attention_pool` path).
  step_batched + evaluate_batched BCE callsites now thread
    `mha.log_sigma_h_d` and `mha.grad_log_sigma_h_d` through the
    11-arg kernel signature.

This commit keeps the legacy `attention_pool` callsite in place; the
Stage 2 commit will replace it with `mha.pool` + `mha.inv_pool` +
`mha.moe` and delete the `attn_*` fields entirely.

Verified locally: ml-alpha builds clean with the cuda feature,
bce_grad_finite_diff (4/4) PASS on RTX 3050.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 14:59:12 +02:00
jgrusewski
55aeddaebd feat(ml-alpha): anchor_l2 kernel + Wiener-α controller (v2 B) [V8]
L2 anchor regularization toward initialization (axis B). Anchors
horizon_tokens + Q + MoE experts toward their init values to prevent
the calibration drift observed in v1 (where val_loss climbed as α
opened past epoch 1 in 2 of 3 folds).

KERNEL (`anchor_l2_fwd_bwd`):
  loss_out = λ · Σ_i (p[i] − p_init[i])²
  grad_p[i] += 2λ · (p[i] − p_init[i])

  - Warp-shuffle reduce; one block per parameter group; strided thread
    loop over n. Cross-warp reduce uses one __syncthreads.
  - Coalesced grad write via stride loop.
  - λ passed as device-side [1]-buffer (host writes scalar before launch
    — capture-safe).

CONTROLLER (`trainer::anchor_controller::AnchorController`):
  - Signal-driven λ floor: λ_floor = ‖p_init‖ / (100 · √numel).
    Cross-fold-persistent per pearl_kelly_cap_signal_driven_floors.
  - Wiener-α smoother (α = diff_var / (diff_var + sample_var + ε))
    on val_loss change; α floored at 0.4 per
    pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
  - λ blends toward target = |ema_change|·scale with α; floored at
    λ_floor per pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor.
  - First-observation bootstrap (sentinel state replaced directly on
    first step) per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.
  - 4/4 unit tests PASS: signal-floor init, bootstrap returns floor,
    floor protection across 1000 steps, λ_max cap.

NUMGRAD VERIFICATION (RTX 3050 sm_86):
  anchor_l2_numgrad PASSES with closed-form parity (machine precision)
  and central-difference parity (4 random positions) within 5e-2 rel.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 14:26:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
11b96dac6a feat(ml-alpha): regime_moe_gate kernel + numgrad (v2 D) [V6]
Top-1 Mixture-of-Experts gate per Switch Transformer. Three kernels
in one .cu file:

  - regime_moe_gate_fwd: select top-1 expert from gate_logits, apply
    its [H, H] linear to fused_ctx → routed_ctx [B, N_H, H].
  - regime_moe_gate_bwd: chain-rule grads through the SELECTED
    expert's W and bias (sparse-by-expert scratches), plus
    d_fused_ctx accumulator. Inactive experts get zero contribution.
  - regime_moe_gate_aux: softmax of gate_logits + load-balancing
    auxiliary loss (frac · prob_mean × N_EXPERTS).

ARCHITECTURE:
  - N_EXPERTS = 4. Each expert is a [H, H] linear with bias.
  - Total expert params: 4 · 128 · 128 + 4 · 128 = 66 KB. Cheap.
  - STE on gate: gate logit grad is zero from the expert path (top-1
    is non-differentiable); the load-balance aux loss provides the
    differentiable signal that pushes routing toward balanced usage.

PERFORMANCE:
  - Grid (B, N_H, 1), block (HIDDEN_DIM). One block per (b, h).
  - Forward: each thread computes one output channel via a dot
    product over HIDDEN_DIM input dims (#pragma unroll 8).
  - Backward d_fused_ctx: each thread accumulates over d_out
    sequentially (HIDDEN_DIM iterations) since the weight matrix
    column is naturally aligned to the thread's d_in index.
  - Backward d_W/d_b scratches are sparse-by-expert; downstream
    reduce_axis0 collapses over (B, N_H).
  - Top-1 chosen by thread 0 per block, broadcast via shared mem.

NUMGRAD VERIFICATION (RTX 3050 sm_86):
  forward_matches_host_reference_and_backward_matches_numgrad
  PASSES 11 checks (4 on d_W, 3 on d_b, 4 on d_fused_ctx) within
  5e-2 rel / 5e-3 abs.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 14:21:59 +02:00
jgrusewski
d94696620d feat(ml-alpha): inverted_attention_pool kernel + numgrad (v2 E) [V3]
iTransformer-style cross-variate attention pass: each of HIDDEN_DIM
features becomes a "variate token" with its K-trajectory as embedding.

FORWARD:
  X_inv[h, k]    = ln_out[k, h]                       # transpose
  scores[h, j]   = inv_scale · Σ_k X_inv[h, k] · X_inv[j, k]
  attn[h, j]     = softmax_j(scores)
  pooled[h]      = Σ_j attn[h, j] · mean_k_X_inv[j]   # mean-K commutes out

BACKWARD: three independent chains into ln_out:
  - value path:  (1/K) · attn[h', my_h] · d_pooled[h']  (per-k constant)
  - query path:  inv_scale · Σ_j d_scores[my_h, j] · X_inv[j, k]
  - key path:    inv_scale · Σ_h' d_scores[h', my_h] · X_inv[h', k]
  Softmax bwd: d_scores[h, j] = attn · (d_attn - Σ_l attn · d_attn)

IMPLEMENTATION NOTES:
  - First attempt cached attn [H, H] = 64 KB in shared mem → tripped
    the 48 KB dynamic-shared limit on sm_86 (CUDA_ERROR_INVALID_VALUE).
  - Fixed by moving d_scores to a DRAM scratch buffer; shared mem
    holds only X_inv [H, K] (≤ 16 KB at K = 32). One block-wide barrier
    between the d_scores write and the value/query/key accumulation.
  - All per-batch slice writes; no atomicAdd, no cross-block race.
  - Pooled computation uses the mean-K commute (Σ_k attn · X_inv =
    attn · mean_k_X_inv), saving an entire H×K accumulation pass.

LOCAL VERIFICATION (RTX 3050 sm_86):
  forward_then_backward_matches_central_difference PASSES 6 numgrad
  checks on ln_out positions within 5e-2 rel / 5e-3 abs.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 14:16:26 +02:00
jgrusewski
e8f6c4721f feat(ml-alpha): horizon_token_attention_pool kernel + numgrad (v2 C) [V2]
Replaces the falsified per-horizon Q_h pool with a single shared
query Q over an extended key sequence [horizon_tokens; LN_b_out],
producing per-horizon outputs via TFT-style horizon-token mixing.

FORWARD:
  scores[i] = Σ_d Q[d] · ext[i, d]                      (i ∈ [0, N_H + K))
  attn      = softmax_i(scores)
  S[d]      = Σ_k attn[N_H + k] · ln_out[k, d]          (shared time agg)
  ctx[h, d] = attn[h] · horizon_tokens[h, d] + S[d]     (per-horizon out)

BACKWARD: full chain rule with softmax-centring; gradients to
horizon_tokens, Q, and ln_out via the saved attn weights.

NVIDIA-grade implementation per feedback_nvidia_grade_perf_for_kernels:
  - Warp-shuffle reduce (block_reduce_sum / block_reduce_max helpers)
    for all per-d dot products and softmax aggregates.
  - Cross-warp reduce uses exactly one __syncthreads.
  - Non-divergent shuffles: inactive lanes contribute 0 via ternary.
  - Block-per-batch + horizon-loop inside block → grad_ln_out += is
    race-free without atomicAdd.
  - Smem layout computed at launch: [s_attn(N_H+K); s_warp(N_WARPS);
    s_d_S(H) on bwd]. No over-allocation.

LOCAL VERIFICATION (RTX 3050 sm_86):
  forward_then_backward_matches_central_difference PASSES 12 numgrad
  checks (4 each on horizon_tokens / Q / ln_out) at 5e-2 rel / 5e-3
  abs envelope. First-try pass.

NOTE: .gitignore adjusted with narrow allow-rules for crates/ml-alpha/{
cuda,src,tests}/horizon_token_* paths — the broad "*token*" rule
intended for auth tokens was hiding these source files. Explicit
allow keeps the security rule intact while exempting these specific
files.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 14:09:45 +02:00