Commit Graph

20 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
c0c44a5f17 feat(dqn): GPU-native regime classification with 42-dim feature vector
Expand FeatureVector from 40 to 42 dimensions by including ADX(14) at
index 40 and CUSUM direction at index 41 from the existing CPU feature
extraction pipeline. This eliminates proxy-based regime classification
and enables GPU-native regime detection via tensor narrow/comparison ops.

Key changes:
- extraction.rs: wire RegimeADXFeatures + RegimeCUSUMFeatures into
  extract_current_features_v2(), output 42 features per bar
- regime_conditional.rs: classify_regime_masks_gpu() creates per-regime
  mask tensors entirely on GPU (ADX > 0.25 = trending, |CUSUM| > 0.7 =
  volatile, else ranging). Zero CPU roundtrip in training hot path.
- trainer.rs/config.rs: state_dim 43→45 (no OFI), 51→53 (with OFI),
  aligned dims unchanged (48/56). GPU batch insertion for all 3 heads.
- CUDA header: MARKET_DIM 40→42
- walk_forward.rs: FEATURE_DIM 40→42
- 42 files updated, all [f64;40]→[f64;42] propagated across workspace

Test results: ml=874/0, ml-dqn=354/0, ml-features=282/0, ml-core=274/0
Real data GPU smoke tests: 7/7 passed (OHLCV + OFI + trade enrichment)
Hyperopt baseline RL: 2 trials completed on local RTX 3050 Ti

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-09 12:16:05 +01:00
jgrusewski
aa19b42255 refactor(ml): move UnifiedTrainable to ml-core + delete 6K dead deployment code
- Move UnifiedTrainable trait, TrainingMetrics, CheckpointMetadata, and
  checkpoint helpers from ml to ml-core (zero new dependencies — ml-core
  already had candle-core + serde_json)
- Wrap Mamba2SSM in Mamba2TrainableAdapter to satisfy orphan rule (trait
  in ml-core, type in ml-supervised — all other 9 models already used
  wrapper pattern)
- Make Mamba2SSM::validate() pub for cross-crate adapter access
- Delete 5 permanently disabled deployment modules (cfg(any()) — never
  compiled): registry, hot_swap, validation, monitoring, endpoints
  (-5,842 lines)
- Delete 2 undeclared dead files in training/: dqn_trainer.rs,
  transformer_trainer.rs (-138 lines)
- Fix pre-existing compute_loss test shape mismatch in mamba adapter

UnifiedTrainable in ml-core unblocks future trainers/ extraction (17.8K
lines) since model-specific trainers can now depend on ml-core for the
trait without pulling in the full ml monolith.

14 files changed, +128 -6,497 (net -6,369 lines)
Tests: 274 ml-core + 948 ml = 1,222 passed, 0 failed

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-08 15:17:22 +01:00
jgrusewski
c6c550a2be feat(ml): real trade data pipeline for VPIN/Kyle's Lambda + offline RL
Wire Databento Schema::Trades into OFI feature extraction so VPIN and
Kyle's Lambda use real buy/sell classification instead of tick-rule proxy.

Trade data pipeline:
- trades_loader.rs: DbnTrade struct, load_trades_sync(), binary-search
  get_trades_for_bar() for O(log n) time-aligned trade windowing
- ofi_calculator.rs: feed_trade() accumulates real buy/sell pressure
  into VPIN, Kyle's Lambda, and trade imbalance calculators
- data_loading.rs: loads trades from --trades-data-dir, feeds per-bar
  trades to OFI calculator before calculate()
- download-trades-job.yaml: K8s job for ES.FUT trades from Databento
- job-template.yaml: sync trades data from MinIO + --trades-data-dir arg

Offline RL (CQL/IQL):
- experience_dataset.rs: bincode save/load for pre-collected datasets
- iql.rs: Implicit Q-Learning (Kostrikov 2021) — expectile value network,
  advantage-weighted action extraction
- CLI: --offline, --dataset-path, --collect-dataset flags

Cleanup:
- Remove FeatureVector51/MarketFeatureVector type aliases → FeatureVector
- Fix stale dimension comments across 18 files (54→43/51)
- Fix feature_dim default (54→43)

2758 tests pass, 0 compile errors, 0 clippy warnings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-07 19:14:46 +01:00
jgrusewski
8a87f302c0 feat(ml): re-enable OFI features from MBP-10 order book data
Wire 8 OFI features (OFI L1/L5, depth imbalance, VPIN, Kyle's lambda,
bid/ask slopes, trade imbalance) through the DQN training pipeline:

- Add mbp10_data_dir config field to DQNHyperparameters
- Dynamic state_dim: 43 (no OFI) or 51 (with OFI) based on config
- Compute OFI per bar during data loading, store on trainer
- Pass OFI features through regime_features slot in TradingState
- Configurable MBP-10 path with recursive .dbn/.dbn.zst discovery
- Add zstd auto-detection to DbnParser::parse_mbp10_file()
- Add --mbp10-data-dir CLI flag to train_baseline_rl
- Fix hardcoded [f64; 51] → FeatureVector51 ([f64; 40]) across
  examples, walk_forward, GPU memory profile, and test fixtures
- Fix stale state_dim=51 in dqn_config_2025() and DQN tests

2747 tests pass, 0 failures.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-07 13:00:07 +01:00
jgrusewski
06a875e6fc fix(metrics): push training metrics to pushgateway before pod exit
Ephemeral Argo workflow pods terminate after training completes, causing
Prometheus to lose all scraped metrics. Add push_to_gateway() to POST
final metrics to the existing pushgateway service so they persist on the
Grafana training dashboard after pod completion.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-06 00:32:09 +01:00
jgrusewski
ddacfbbff1 feat(supervised): record learning rate and epoch duration metrics
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-03 00:10:00 +01:00
jgrusewski
64ca8f97ce fix(observability): dedicated OTLP runtime for sync training binaries
The batch span processor needs a tokio runtime for gRPC transport and
periodic flush. Async services already have one via #[tokio::main], but
sync training binaries (hyperopt, train, evaluate) don't.

Previous approach (making binaries async with #[tokio::main]) caused
"Cannot start a runtime from within a runtime" panics because the ML
crate's internal code creates its own tokio runtimes for block_on().

New approach: build_otel_tracer() detects runtime context via
Handle::try_current(). If absent, it creates a dedicated 1-worker
multi-thread runtime stored in a process-lifetime OnceLock. The worker
thread actively polls the OTLP batch export task.

Reverts training binaries to sync fn main() so internal runtime creation
(hyperopt adapters, DQN/PPO trainers) continues working as before.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-02 18:54:10 +01:00
jgrusewski
fcf87a5f72 fix(ml): add tokio runtime to training binaries for OTLP export
All 6 training binaries (hyperopt_baseline_rl, hyperopt_baseline_supervised,
train_baseline_rl, train_baseline_supervised, evaluate_baseline,
evaluate_supervised) used sync fn main() but the OTLP batch exporter
requires a tokio runtime (tonic/hyper-util gRPC transport). This caused
an immediate panic on CI when OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT was set.

Fix: #[tokio::main(flavor = "current_thread")] on all 6 binaries.
Also fix pre-existing clippy warnings (shadow, let_underscore_must_use,
doc_markdown, cognitive_complexity, integer_division, unsafe_code).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-02 18:16:37 +01:00
jgrusewski
2cc68af7d6 feat(ml): add OTLP tracing to all 6 training/eval binaries
Replace tracing_subscriber::fmt() with init_observability() which adds
JSON structured logging + optional OTLP export to Tempo. When
OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT env var is unset, falls back to fmt-only.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-01 23:03:13 +01:00
jgrusewski
7744becdd5 feat(training): move metrics to common::metrics, fix all clippy errors
Move Prometheus training metrics from example-local baseline_common/
to common::metrics::{server,training_metrics} following the existing
grpc_metrics.rs pattern. Fix 29 let_underscore_must_use clippy errors
in push_metrics.rs, 3 shadow lint errors in training binaries, and
demote gradient clipping log from warn to debug.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-01 15:56:43 +01:00
jgrusewski
cfafc0d13e feat(training): add Prometheus metrics export to training binaries
Create shared baseline_common/metrics.rs module that registers all 18
dashboard-expected metrics (11 gauges, 5 counters, 2 histograms) and
spawns a lightweight HTTP metrics server on port 9094.

Instrument train_baseline_supervised and train_baseline_rl with:
- Epoch progress, training/validation loss gauges
- Checkpoint save timing, size, and failure counters
- NaN/gradient explosion detection counters
- Data loading latency histograms
- Active workers lifecycle (1 on start, 0 on exit)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-01 15:01:33 +01:00
jgrusewski
afd85b2f8f chore: clean up examples, update ML binaries and risk tests
- Delete 14 unused example files (-3,543 lines): config, adaptive-strategy,
  data, storage, trading_engine, api_gateway, backtesting, trading_service, chaos
- Update ML training/eval binaries: improved CLI args, completion tracking,
  CUDA test cleanup, hyperopt enhancements
- Fix KAN network and TFT module adjustments
- Update risk test assertions for consistency
- Fix backtesting repositories and promotion manager
- Update .serena project config and Cargo dependencies

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-27 01:33:18 +01:00
jgrusewski
b2086f74e6 fix(ml): correct checkpoint path in evaluate_supervised + persist NormStats
evaluate_supervised looked for checkpoints at {models_dir}/{model}_fold{N}_best
but training saves to {models_dir}/{model}/{model}_fold{N}_best (model subdirectory).
Also saves NormStats JSON per fold during training so evaluation uses
training-time normalization instead of computing from test data (data leakage).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 22:49:44 +01:00
jgrusewski
af9a648fad fix(ml): set TFT sequence_length=1 for point-wise training samples
The training binary creates flat [batch, 51] feature vectors (one per
bar), but TFTConfig::default() had sequence_length=50, making the
adapter expect [batch, 51*50=2550]. Set sequence_length=1 and
prediction_horizon=1 to match the actual point-wise sample format.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 16:47:33 +01:00
jgrusewski
186eb440ea fix(ml): align TFT feature counts with data pipeline + fix S3 path-style upload
TFT create_model used TFTConfig::default() values for num_known_features(10)
and num_unknown_features(210) totaling 220, but input_dim was 51 from the
feature extractor. Set both explicitly: known=0, unknown=feature_dim.

S3 uploader now uses path-style requests (required for Scaleway S3) and
explicitly passes AWS credentials from env vars instead of relying on the
instance metadata credential provider (unavailable on Kapsule).

Also fix runner tags lost during session (kapsule, rust, docker restored).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 14:34:19 +01:00
jgrusewski
b07cc35f83 fix(ml): align TFT feature counts with data pipeline + fix S3 path-style upload
TFT create_model used TFTConfig::default() values for num_known_features(10)
and num_unknown_features(210) totaling 220, but input_dim was 51 from the
feature extractor. Set both explicitly: known=0, unknown=feature_dim.

S3 uploader now uses path-style requests (required for Scaleway S3) and
explicitly passes AWS credentials from env vars instead of relying on the
instance metadata credential provider (unavailable on Kapsule).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 14:29:34 +01:00
jgrusewski
0f9d756caa feat: on-demand training dispatch via K8s Jobs with sidecar uploader
Extend ml_training_service to dispatch GPU training jobs as K8s batch/v1
Jobs, collect results via a Rust sidecar uploader, and support model
promotion with operator approval via fxt CLI.

- K8s dispatcher creates Jobs on gpu-training pool with native sidecar
- training_uploader crate: watches DONE/FAILED marker, uploads to S3,
  reports completion via ReportJobCompletion gRPC
- PromotionManager compares metrics, queues better models for approval
- 4 new proto RPCs: ReportJobCompletion, ListPendingPromotions,
  ApprovePromotion, RejectPromotion
- fxt commands: train start, model list/approve/reject
- Training binaries write DONE/FAILED markers + metrics.json
- Dockerfile, K8s job template, and CI pipeline updated
- StartTraining gracefully falls back to in-process when outside K8s
- 27 new tests (16 service + 11 promotion), 141 total service tests pass

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 12:43:17 +01:00
jgrusewski
6e339316cf feat(ml): add manually-triggered GitLab CI training pipeline
Adds a parent/child GitLab CI pipeline for ML model training:

- Generator script produces per-model hyperopt/train/evaluate jobs
- Parent pipeline (.gitlab-ci-training.yml) with manual trigger
- NFS-backed ReadWriteMany PVC for shared training outputs
- Hyperopt params wired into training binaries (DQN, PPO, TFT, Mamba2)
- Shared DBN loader eliminates duplicate code across hyperopt adapters
- Supervised hyperopt unified to DBN data (was parquet-only)

Pipeline: hyperopt (4 models) → train (10 models) → evaluate ensemble

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 09:04:58 +01:00
jgrusewski
e72e4db235 refactor: delete 22 dead examples, 4 CSVs, consolidate data to test_data/
- Delete 22 dead/placeholder/broken example files (-3,489 lines code)
- Delete 4 tracked CSV files (-1.1M lines, were accidentally committed)
- Move baseline training data default from data/cache/ to test_data/
- Update 5 unified binary defaults, gitignore, k8s upload comment, docs
- Consolidate all training data under test_data/futures-baseline/

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-26 01:24:02 +01:00
jgrusewski
022036cb96 refactor(ml): consolidate 21 training binaries into 2 unified baselines
Replace 20 per-model training examples with:
- train_baseline_rl: DQN + PPO (renamed from train_baseline)
- train_baseline_supervised: TFT, Mamba2, Liquid, TGGN, TLOB, KAN, xLSTM, Diffusion
  via model factory + UnifiedTrainable generic training loop

Update Dockerfile.training (16→7 binaries), train.sh MODEL_BINARY map,
and job-template.yaml default. -12,759 lines.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-25 23:16:25 +01:00