Commit Graph

109 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
c054b4e1d8 plan: unified single-graph — 5 tasks, zero ungraphed kernel launches
Task 1: CUfunction audit (map every kernel to its child graph)
Task 2: Expose submit methods (post_aux + maintenance + prev_grad_buf)
Task 3: Add new child graphs (capture + launch 7 children)
Task 4: Verify remaining outside-graph code is kernel-free
Task 5: Deploy and validate (target: adam ~30ms, epoch ~64s)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 21:26:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
f851119e2d plan: Phase 2 multi-stream parallelism — 7 tasks
Task 1: Allocate aux streams + workspaces + events
Task 2: IQN/Attention accept workspace+stream override
Task 3: Fork-join in submit_aux_ops (IQN+Attention parallel)
Task 4: Switch capture mode GLOBAL → RELAXED
Task 5: Forward backward branch parallelism
Task 6: Fix adam child event timing (verify)
Task 7: Deploy + verify child graph breakdown

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 16:07:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
45d8f4661c plan: rewrite Task 9 for child graph architecture
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 23:58:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
750b228ed9 plan: Trade Plan Head — 5 tasks, hierarchical plan-based trading
Task 1: PORTFOLIO_STRIDE 23→30, plan slots ps[23-29]
Task 2: trade_plan_forward kernel + 4 weight tensors (82→86)
Task 3: Plan activation + enforcement in env_step
Task 4: Direction lock in action_select + counter-plan Q (N14)
Task 5: Smoke test + compute-sanitizer

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:48:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
ddb7b170bc plan: Tick Microstructure Intelligence — 4 tasks, OFI_DIM 8→20
Task 1: IncrementalMicrostructureCalculator (12 new features, O(1)/tick)
Task 2: fxcache OFI_DIM 8→20 atomic update (15 files, 30+ locations)
Task 3: Extend precompute pipeline with MicrostructureState
Task 4: Regenerate fxcache + smoke test + compute-sanitizer

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:02:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
6dd2f3e68b plan: Introspective State Vector — 9 tasks, pure GPU implementation
Task 1: ISV scratch scalars (piggyback on existing kernels)
Task 2: isv_signal_update GPU kernel + temporal history
Task 3: ISV encoder MLP + weight tensors 68→78
Task 4: Drift-conditioned gamma (C51 scalar→per-sample buffer)
Task 5: Branch confidence routing (replaces regime_branch_gate)
Task 6: Risk branch wider input SH2→SH2+9
Task 7: Recursive confidence head (predict own TD-error)
Task 8: Target network ISV online-only
Task 9: Smoke test + compute-sanitizer verification (0 errors)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-16 22:46:54 +02:00
jgrusewski
685746231b plan: Training Environment Alignment — 5 tasks, 3 phases
Phase 1: Position-gated episodes (h100.toml + done flag + soft reset)
Phase 2: Adapt rank norm (skip zeros) + remove hardcoded Q-drift
Phase 3: Aligned Sharpe metrics (un-annualized per-trade)
Phase 4: Build verification + smoke test

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-16 21:49:19 +02:00
jgrusewski
8d413f7759 plan: Self-Improving Training Loop — 6 tasks, 9 enrichments
Enrichment module (enrichment.rs) + training loop wiring:
E1-E3: Q-correction, adaptive epsilon, dynamic gamma
E4-E5: Trade autopsy per-branch LR, ensemble agreement
E6-E8: Winner distillation, hindsight labels, curriculum weights
E9: State confidence (deferred — needs K-means kernel)

~215 lines Rust, no new CUDA kernels. 6 tasks.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-16 17:34:14 +02:00
jgrusewski
5c4f153f26 plan: Learned Risk Management — 6 tasks, 5th branch risk_budget [0,1]
3 CUDA kernels (forward, apply, backward), NUM_WEIGHT_TENSORS 64→68,
per-sample CVaR alpha + commitment lambda, separate Adam, ~33K params.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-16 01:32:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
5b3183504f plan: OOS Generalization Enhancement — 9 tasks, 10 components
3-layer defense: compress (AdamW+L1, gamma anneal, regime dropout),
align (cost curriculum, walk-forward), exploit (epistemic gate, branch
independence, counterfactual, temporal consistency).
~480 lines total. Companion to OOS Performance Enhancement plan.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 20:33:03 +02:00
jgrusewski
57a17c6d81 plan: add Tasks 9d-9e — Q-mean drift regularization + new component LR warmup
Task 9d: Q-mean EMA drift penalty (lambda=0.01) in C51 grad kernel.
Prevents +0.47 Q-mean drift observed in train-vpb4w.

Task 9e: 500-step LR warmup for new tensor groups (regime gate,
adaptive atoms, Mamba2, multi-horizon). Prevents gradient shock
on new components introduced to trained network.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 19:43:50 +02:00
jgrusewski
31ad6d5dec plan: add Tasks 9a-9c — missing backward/training for atoms, Mamba2, multi-horizon
Task 9a: Adaptive atom position training via atom entropy gradient.
Numerical finite-difference gradient on spacing_raw, SGD at LR=1e-3.

Task 9b: Mamba2 BPTT backward through K=8 scan steps.
d_W_A/B/C accumulated, separate Adam at LR=1e-4.

Task 9c: Multi-horizon C51 loss — 3 n-step passes (1/5/20 bar),
3 C51 loss launches, regime-weighted gradient blend (ADX-based).

Fixes the "untrained component" gap identified in plan review.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 19:22:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
f2ddba5189 plan: OOS Performance Enhancement — 9 tasks, 8 components
Task 1: 3 CUDA kernels (regime gate, adaptive atoms, mamba2 scan)
Task 2: Adaptive DSR (training Sharpe EMA → w_dsr scaling)
Task 3: CVaR objective (risk-sensitive Bellman target)
Task 4: Regime branch gating (20 params, ADX/CUSUM → branch importance)
Task 5: Adaptive atom positions (204 params, learned C51 spacing)
Task 6: Ensemble heads (config 1→3, existing infrastructure)
Task 7: Mamba2 temporal scan (12K params, 8-bar context)
Task 8: Multi-horizon prediction (144K params, 1/5/20 bar horizons)
Task 9: Build verification

NUM_WEIGHT_TENSORS: 50→64 across tasks 4,5,8.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 18:56:34 +02:00
jgrusewski
f14440be55 plan: add Tasks 10-11 — Q-mean centering + atom entropy recovery (execute first)
Task 10: q_mean_reduce + q_mean_subtract two-phase kernel. Zero params.
Fixes Q-mean drift 0→+0.47 from bootstrapping bias.

Task 11: Adaptive entropy_coeff based on utilization_ema. Zero params.
Fixes atom utilization collapse 100%→20%.

Execution order: 10, 11, then 1-9.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 08:40:09 +02:00
jgrusewski
fcf34ac5c8 plan: Supervised Architecture Transfer — 9 tasks, 7 components
Task 1: 7 CUDA kernels (quantile, graph, KAN, diffusion, OFI concat)
Task 2: Quantile Q-select (replaces epsilon-greedy, zero params)
Task 3: Graph message passing (4 directed edges, 60 params)
Task 4: KAN spline gates (replaces sigmoid, 9,216 params)
Task 5: Diffusion Q-refinement (3-step denoise, 2,772 params)
Task 6: TLOB microstructure injection (widen order/urgency FC)
Task 7: xLSTM temporal context (CPU matrix memory, 528 params)
Task 8: RK4 adaptive ODE (replaces Euler in liquid tau)
Task 9: Build verification + smoke tests

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-15 08:29:51 +02:00
jgrusewski
cc232f644d plan: Cross-Pollinated Branch Intelligence — 9 tasks, 64 steps
Task 1: Dead code cleanup (11 items across 6 files)
Task 2: 6 CUDA kernels (VSN, GLU, Q-attention, selectivity)
Task 3: Weight layout 26→42 + separate buffers + liquid_mod pinned
Task 4: VSN + GLU forward integration
Task 5: VSN + GLU backward integration
Task 6: Cross-branch Q attention (624 params, 2-head on 12 Q-values)
Task 7: Liquid tau per-branch dynamics (replaces spread_velocity)
Task 8: Mamba-2 selective replay (learned PER curriculum)
Task 9: Build verification + smoke tests

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 23:26:13 +02:00
jgrusewski
f49ae6858e fix: Layer 3 plan — add Q_dir normalization by delta_z
Raw E[Q] ~ 0.1 while h_s2 ~ 1.0 post-ReLU. Without normalization,
Q_dir columns learn 10x slower. Dividing by delta_z scales to ~1-10.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 22:30:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
8d2ed799e6 plan: direction-conditioned magnitude head (Layer 3) — 7 tasks
Tasks: CUDA kernel, param widening, forward conditioning, backward split,
zero-init, experience collector, H100 integration test.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 22:19:41 +02:00
jgrusewski
e9e4bd54ac plan: Adaptive Training Dynamics Layers 1+2 implementation plan
Task 1: Reward rank normalization kernel (SNR amplification)
Task 2: Q-gap momentum for spread gradient (plateau modulation)
Task 3: H100 integration test (50 epochs, compare to train-w6qfd)

Layers 3+4 (dir→mag conditioning, variance sizing) deferred to
separate plan after L1+L2 validation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 21:42:57 +02:00
jgrusewski
f0cda76229 docs: IQL full integration implementation plan — 9 tasks
6 new CUDA kernels, C51/grad/epsilon kernel mods, dual-tau IQL,
v_range dead code deletion, per-sample everything.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-13 14:56:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
6621177f78 docs: implementation plan for single shared cuBLAS handle
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-13 11:32:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
1f6a8436d3 feat: v9 Differential Sharpe Ratio reward — optimize for consistency, not PnL
Fundamental shift: reward optimizes Sharpe ratio contribution per trade
instead of directional PnL magnitude. Targets Sharpe 5+ via many small
consistent gains (spread capture, execution quality) instead of few
large directional bets.

DSR implementation (Moody & Saffell, 2001):
- Per-episode EMA statistics in portfolio state slots [3]-[5]
- DSR = (B*R - 0.5*A*R²) / (B - A²)^1.5 at trade completion
- 10-trade warmup, clamped [-5, +5]
- w_dsr=5.0 (primary reward signal)

Reward hierarchy restructured:
- DSR: 5.0 (NEW — primary, rewards Sharpe consistency)
- Directional PnL: 2.0 (was 10.0 — demoted to secondary)
- Order credit: 1.0 (was 0.1 — spread capture amplified 10×)
- Urgency credit: 0.5 (was 0.1 — fill quality amplified 5×)
- Inventory penalty: -0.005×|pos|/max_pos per bar (NEW)
- Dense micro-reward: 0.0 (removed — noisy direction signal)

Expected: WinRate increases (many small spread captures), per-trade
variance decreases, Sharpe rises from consistency not prediction.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-12 14:33:56 +02:00
jgrusewski
eb7139c436 feat: adaptive C51 v_range — Q-values 0.008→0.525 (65× improvement)
Fundamental fix: C51 atom spacing (dz=0.6) was larger than the Q-value
range (0.02), making the distributional loss unable to resolve rewards.
The network was blind to its own learning signal.

Adaptive v_range via device buffer (same pattern as tau_buf):
- v_range_buf[2] on GPU, all C51/MSE/CQL/expected_q kernels read via
  pointer (graph captures stable address, reads value at replay time)
- Cold start: v_range=±1.0 → dz=2/51=0.039 → 25× atom resolution
- Monotonic expansion based on Q-stats every 50 training steps
- Never shrinks (avoids invalidating Bellman targets in replay buffer)

Kernel changes (5 files):
- c51_loss_kernel.cu, mse_loss_kernel.cu, mse_grad_kernel.cu,
  cql_grad_kernel.cu, compute_expected_q: scalar v_min/v_max → pointer

Also fixed:
- PopArt warmup 100→1 (start normalizing from step 1)
- PopArt variance floor 0.0001→1e-8 (allow sigma < 0.01)
- Backtest evaluator: allocate own v_range_buf for compute_expected_q
- num_atoms 51→52 in all TOMLs (TF32 4-element alignment)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-12 07:58:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
ad5c2b7ded refactor: exp collector zero-copy — direct pointer into trainer params_buf
Dead code sweep (167 lines deleted):
- online_params_flat (synced but never read by forward)
- online_params_f32 (never synced, always zeros — ROOT CAUSE of garbage Q-values)
- DuelingWeightSet/BranchingWeightSet/CuriosityWeightSet/RmsNormWeightSet fields
- sync_weights_flat, sync_weights_f32, flatten_online_weights methods
- sync_gpu_weights epoch-boundary DtoD copy

Zero-copy replacement:
- trainer_params_ptr: u64 points directly into trainer's params_buf
- param_sizes computed from real config (bottleneck_dim=16, market_dim=42)
- CublasForward with correct s1_input_dim=54 for bottleneck
- Bottleneck forward activated (bn_hidden + tanh + concat)
- Fused context init moved before Phase 2 (experience collection)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-11 23:10:25 +02:00
jgrusewski
dd6143936e fix: IQN 4-branch runtime + order counterfactual + per-branch entropy + histogram
IQN kernel rewrite (critical — was corrupting 75% of gradient budget):
- Eliminate compile-time BRANCH_*_SIZE defines (BRANCH_0_SIZE was 5, should be 3)
- All 9 IQN kernels now take runtime b0/b1/b2/b3 params
- 4-branch forward, backward, decode (was 3-branch, missing magnitude)
- branch_actions buffer B*3 → B*4

Action diversity infrastructure:
- 3-cycle counterfactual: dir mirror / mag relabel / order-type cost delta (50× amplified)
- Per-branch entropy: order (d==2) gets 3× boost in C51 + MSE grad kernels
- Position histogram expanded 6→12 bins (all 4 branches get entropy bonus)
- Boltzmann temperature floor raised to 0.5 for order + urgency branches
- Smoke test epochs 3→10 for diversity verification

Note: experience collector still needs bottleneck forward path — currently reads
trainer's bottleneck-layout weights with state_dim K, producing misaligned Q-values.
Next: eliminate weight copy, use direct pointer views into trainer's params_buf.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-11 22:40:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
a662e54e86 plan: VarStore elimination — zero-copy pointer views into flat params_buf (8 tasks)
DuelingWeightSet becomes raw u64 pointers into params_buf, not separate
CudaSlice allocations. Eliminates ALL D2D copies between weight
representations. flatten/unflatten cycle deleted entirely.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-11 13:35:15 +02:00
jgrusewski
370319f7c8 plan: ABI Complete — per-branch epsilon, IQN anti-collapse, hindsight relabeling, vaccine, ensemble, bottleneck (8 tasks)
Unified plan combining Sub-plans B+C + novel findings:
1. Fix c51_alpha ramp (eliminate 3 graph recaptures)
2. Per-branch epsilon (magnitude 2×, Boltzmann for order/urgency)
3. IQN quantile spread as anti-collapse bonus
4. Hindsight magnitude relabeling
5. Gradient vaccine with diverse batches
6. Ensemble variance at inference
7. Per-branch bottleneck width
8. Full verification + deploy

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-11 12:27:56 +02:00
jgrusewski
55be1776b5 plan: ABI Foundation — 7-level exposure + PopArt + tau coupling + PER clear (6 tasks, 27 steps)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-11 11:28:59 +02:00
jgrusewski
f6991dd8b2 plan: dead code cleanup + GPU per-phase CUDA event profiling (6 tasks, 32 steps) 2026-04-10 22:23:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
445c2197f2 feat: unified Argo train workflow — replace 7 templates with 1
New: train-template.yaml with smart caching:
  - ensure-binary: checks /data/bin/{sha}/ on PVC, compiles only on cache miss
  - ensure-fxcache: runs precompute only if cache doesn't exist
  - gpu-warmup: parallel autoscale during compile
  - hyperopt → train-best → evaluate → upload-results

Deleted 7 redundant templates:
  - compile-and-train-template.yaml
  - train-dqn-template.yaml
  - train-baseline-rl-template.yaml
  - train-supervised-template.yaml
  - training-workflow-template.yaml
  - precompute-features-template.yaml
  - train-ppo-template.yaml

Deleted: scripts/argo-precompute.sh (absorbed into ensure-fxcache step)
Rewritten: scripts/argo-train.sh (single template, --sha for commit pinning)
Updated: kustomization.yaml

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 20:36:03 +02:00
jgrusewski
4842a04011 refactor: eliminate ALL bf16 from entire workspace — pure f32/TF32 pipeline
Complete bf16 elimination across all crates (ml, ml-core, ml-dqn, ml-ppo,
ml-supervised). Zero half::bf16, __nv_bfloat16, or CudaSlice<half::bf16>
references remain (verified by grep).

CUDA: All 60+ .cu kernels and .cuh headers converted to native float.
  - Half-precision intrinsics (__hmul, __hadd, __hdiv) → float operators
  - atomicAddBF16 → native atomicAdd(float)
  - bf16 wrapper functions → f32 identity passthroughs

Rust: All CudaSlice<half::bf16> → CudaSlice<f32> across 90+ files.
  - htod_f32_to_bf16/dtoh_bf16_to_f32 → htod_f32/dtoh_f32 (direct, no conversion)
  - Deleted bf16 mirror infrastructure (DuelingWeightSetBf16, alloc_bf16_mirror, etc.)
  - Renamed params_bf16→params_flat, d_value_logits_bf16→d_value_logits, etc.
  - Fixed .to_f32() sed damage on Decimal::to_f32() and rng.f32()

FxCache: Single f32 disk format (was bf16/f64 dual-version).
  - Deleted --bf16 CLI flag from precompute_features
  - PVC cache files need regeneration via precompute_features

TF32 tensor cores activated via cublasLtMatmul CUBLAS_COMPUTE_32F — no
explicit TF32 types needed. Storage is pure f32 everywhere.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 18:52:21 +02:00
jgrusewski
b456691de5 fix: use CUBLAS_COMPUTE_32F for cublasLtMatmul (SM86 compat)
CUBLAS_COMPUTE_32F_FAST_TF32 returns NOT_SUPPORTED on RTX 3050 (SM86)
for certain (m,n,k) via cublasLtMatmul (e.g., 128×512×64). Plain
CUBLAS_COMPUTE_32F works for all dimensions. TF32 tensor cores are
still enabled via CUBLAS_TF32_TENSOR_OP_MATH math mode on the cuBLAS
handle — this activates TF32 on Ampere+ automatically when the
hardware supports the specific matrix dimensions.

Also: use sys::cublasLtMatmul directly (bypass result:: wrapper)
for clearer argument ordering.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 10:33:36 +02:00
jgrusewski
49c8c1745e fix(critical): branch-major d_adv_logits layout + revert diagnostic hacks
Root cause of H100 gradient collapse: c51_grad, mse_grad, and cql_grad
kernels wrote d_adv_logits in sample-major interleaved layout [B, TBA]
but cuBLAS backward read it as branch-major [B*B0*NA | B*B1*NA | ...].
At batch=16384, the GEMM read cross-contaminated data from wrong branches,
producing zero weight gradients by symmetry cancellation at scale.

Fix: changed indexing in all 3 grad kernels to branch-major.
Reverted diagnostic hacks (ungraphed forward, forced diagnostics).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-09 22:05:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
bf3091c6f2 fix: re-enable IQN + remove diagnostics for H100 baseline
- iqn_lambda restored to 0.25 (was 0.0 for NaN isolation)
- STEP_DIAG per-step logging removed (was temporary)
- FOXHUNT_GRAD_DIAG env var removed from Argo template

IQN NaN root cause fixed in 8cbabcef5 (f32-as-bf16 type mismatch).
Ready for H100 baseline deployment.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-09 20:04:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
49bedfcd69 feat(magnitude): per-branch loss weighting — 0.2× C51 + 4.0× MSE for magnitude
C51 cross-entropy structurally prefers low-variance actions (Small positions
have tighter return distributions). MSE is variance-neutral. By reducing
C51's gradient to 20% and amplifying MSE to 4× for the magnitude branch,
MSE becomes the dominant loss signal for position sizing.

Direction/order/urgency keep full C51 gradient for distributional risk awareness.
Replaces the previous mag_amp=1.5 which addressed a symptom (Flat gradient
starvation) rather than the root cause (C51 variance bias).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 22:23:19 +02:00
jgrusewski
193cb11035 docs: volume bar pipeline spec + implementation plan
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 20:26:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
4eaa431739 fix(critical): disable mirror universe — only negates 4/42 features but inverts direction
The mirror universe feature negated only features[0..3] (4 return-like
features) but inverted the direction action (Short↔Long). The remaining
38 directional features (momentum, trend, patterns) were NOT negated.
This taught the model the WRONG direction on 50% of epochs, cancelling
out the directional signal and producing worse-than-random performance.

Disabled until proper full-feature mirroring is implemented.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 20:05:22 +02:00
jgrusewski
7b1f825d17 docs: Phase 2 hierarchical 4-branch implementation plan
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 14:12:12 +02:00
jgrusewski
58ff8db406 fix: aux GEMM gradient explosion — scale 0.5→0.01 + clip after backward
The exposure aux backward GEMM amplifies gradients through the
hidden activation matrix (d_logits × h_b0), producing grad_norm=5000+.
With max_grad_norm=10, this throttles ALL gradients by 500x (lr/500).

Fix: reduce aux_weight 0.5→0.01 (50x) + clip_grad_buf_inplace after
aux GEMM to cap combined gradient at max_grad_norm.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 10:03:54 +02:00
jgrusewski
bfb96fb062 fix: update loss threshold for v8 batch_size=16384 + wire 5 kernels
- Pre-training: 50 batch supervised direction init at epoch 0
- Exposure aux targets: DtoD copy from collector to fused context
- PopArt: wired behind config flag (disabled by default)
- TD(λ)/hindsight/curriculum: stubs with config guards
- Loss threshold 500→100K for v8 reward distribution

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 02:25:58 +02:00
jgrusewski
1a93b71c69 feat(v8): wire 5 dead CUDA kernels + config fixes
Kernels now wired with Rust load + launch methods:
- popart_normalize_kernel: running mean/var + in-place normalization
- exposure_pretrain_step: supervised direction pre-training with backward GEMM
- td_lambda_kernel: exponentially-weighted lambda-returns
- compute_difficulty_scores: per-bar curriculum difficulty
- hindsight_relabel_kernel: optimal exit relabeling

Config fixes:
- batch_size hyperopt range: [64, 512] → [512, 8192] (H100 capacity)
- micro_reward_scale: 0.001 → 0.01 (10x stronger bootstrap)
- micro_reward hyperopt range: [0, 0.005] → [0, 0.05]

900 tests pass, 0 regressions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 01:26:09 +02:00
jgrusewski
327349c5e2 docs: reward v8 master plan — 18-item comprehensive training overhaul
5 categories, 18 items:
A) v7.1 fixes: aux GEMM, CEA warmup, OFI gate, dead code
B) Bootstrap trap: GPU cosine epsilon, n-step→5, dense micro-reward
C) Initialization: supervised pre-train, pessimistic Q-init, phase schedule
D) Advanced: TD(λ), PopArt normalization, curriculum learning, hindsight relabel
E) Dead code removal

4 new CUDA kernels, 3 modified, 12 new config fields, 4 removed.
Full GPU, no CPU path, no memory copies. Target: 50%+ win rate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-07 23:14:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
d18b386be3 fix: promote entire backtest pipeline from bf16 to f32
CRITICAL CORRECTNESS FIX: bf16 has $32 resolution at $5K equity.
Transaction costs ($12.50), tick PnL ($12.50), and cumulative returns
were ALL below bf16 resolution — rounded to zero. Sharpe was quantized
to ~0.004 resolution. All previous hyperopt evaluations used garbage
metrics.

Changed to f32:
- backtest_env_kernel.cu: prices, portfolio_state, step_rewards,
  step_returns — both backtest_env_step and backtest_env_step_batch
- backtest_metrics_kernel.cu: all accumulators, shared memory,
  metrics_out, annualization_factor
- backtest_gather_kernel.cu: portfolio parameter (f32 → bf16 for
  model input at output stage only)
- gpu_backtest_evaluator.rs: all buffer types, upload paths,
  metrics download, shared memory byte calculations

Kept bf16: features_buf, states_buf (neural network input for
tensor cores), cuBLAS forward pass buffers.

Verified: Sharpe now has 6-digit precision (19.4745) vs bf16's
~0.004 resolution. All 345 tests + 3 smoke tests pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-07 13:58:11 +02:00
jgrusewski
d4269252c6 docs: H100 maximum performance spec and implementation plan
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-06 11:15:24 +02:00
jgrusewski
4956de7c74 docs: implementation plan for GPU regime + H100 hang fix
7 tasks: fold bug fix, dual cuBLAS, split forward ops, dual-graph
capture, GPU regime kernels, GPU stratification, H100 validation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-05 21:45:51 +02:00
jgrusewski
36d4c39f2d docs: spec + plan for C51 loss accumulator fix (separate MSE/C51 buffers)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-04 11:49:13 +02:00
jgrusewski
938d75fdac docs: implementation plan for CUDA kernel safety fix
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-04 11:12:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
6fdbe485ac docs: implementation plan for feature extraction pipeline fix
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-04 09:36:10 +02:00
jgrusewski
48c3f25147 feat: add symbol field to DQNHyperparameters + training profile
- symbol field on DQNHyperparameters (default: "ES.FUT")
- TrainingSection.symbol in training profile TOML
- load_training_data scopes to symbol subdirectory
- dqn-smoketest.toml: lr=1e-5, cql_alpha=0.1, symbol=ES.FUT
- Pipeline tests: use smoketest profile, batch=32/buffer=1024 for RTX 3050

WIP: pipeline tests still NaN at step 22 with batch_size=64/buffer=5000.
Passes with batch=32/buffer=1024 (same as early_stopping test).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-04 08:56:44 +02:00
jgrusewski
7ae18c2293 docs: implementation plan for GPU test fixes + OFI pipeline fix
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-04 01:02:00 +02:00