Per docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-20-continuous-reasoning-trader-design.md
(v2, commit 8ba8755b4). One plan per phase per writing-plans guidance —
Phase B/C/D plans written after each prior gate closes.
Phase A scope:
A0 - Investigate forward_only cost model (read-only research,
writes memo to docs/superpowers/memos/). STOP condition if
trunk forward is stateless K-window per call (Case 2) —
requires user approval to expand scope.
A1 - Atomic delete of decision_stride (greenfields, no compat).
Removes from SweepBase, ResolvedSimVariant, BatchedSimConfig,
BacktestHarness, all YAMLs.
A2 - Minimal Wiener-α conviction-EMA smoothing in decision_policy_*
kernels. Three new device slots: conviction_ema_d,
conviction_diff_var_ema_d, conviction_sample_var_ema_d. Floor
at 0.4 per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
First-observation bootstrap. Direction stays from raw alpha;
magnitude/sizing uses smoothed value.
A3 - Local compile + tests.
A4 - Cluster smoke + Gate 1 validation against spec §3.6 acceptance.
Memory entry on closure (green/red/yellow).
A5 - Conditional hyperactivity mitigation (raise floor 0.4→0.6 OR
add target-delta hysteresis). Fires only if Gate 1 reveals
trade-count balloon.
Out of scope (deferred): full §4.4 multi-horizon conviction formula,
§4.3 conviction-degradation exit, §5 envelope, §6 LoRA adapter, §7
open_trade_state expansion — all Phase B/C/D.
Pearl conformance:
- feedback_no_partial_refactor (atomic delete)
- feedback_no_legacy_aliases (no compat shim)
- feedback_push_before_deploy
- pearl_wiener_optimal_adaptive_alpha
- pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary
- pearl_first_observation_bootstrap
- feedback_stop_on_anomaly (Gate 1 RED → diagnose, don't advance)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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