26b51a4f99
Replace stub validation functions with real model inference (DQN greedy, PPO act()) so early stopping optimizes actual trading performance instead of market volatility. Add transaction costs (commission + bid-ask spread) to reward computation across train/hyperopt/evaluate examples. Key changes: - Symbol filtering (--symbol ES.FUT) prevents mixing futures contracts - BTreeMap timestamp dedup handles overlapping .FUT contract bars - Return clamping (--max-bar-return) filters contract roll boundaries - Warmup offset alignment fixes feature-to-bar index mismatch - Kelly sizing: 3 stubs replaced with real data-driven implementations - Adam optimizer: BUG #14 diagnostic logging demoted to trace - TFT: varmap_mut() accessor for checkpoint loading - PPO hyperopt: with_costs() builder for tx cost configuration DQN eval (ES.FUT, 2 folds): Sharpe=11.36, MaxDD=7.42%, WinRate=33.2% Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
ml
Machine learning models for Foxhunt.
Models
- DQN (Rainbow) -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized experience replay, dueling heads, noisy nets, double Q-learning
- PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher option
- TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon time series forecasting
- Mamba2 -- State space model for efficient sequence prediction
- Liquid Networks -- Biologically inspired neural networks for non-stationary data
- TLOB -- Transformer-based Limit Order Book analysis
- Flash Attention -- Optimized attention implementation
Training
Two paths per model:
- Standalone trainer -- direct training loop (e.g.,
DQN::train,PpoTrainer) - UnifiedTrainable adapter -- wraps models for the hyperopt pipeline (e.g.,
DQNTrainableAdapter,UnifiedTrainablePPO)
Inference
InferenceAdapterBridge connects models to the ensemble coordinator in adaptive-strategy. Each model exposes an InferenceAdapter trait for prediction.
Backend
- Candle v0.9.1 --
VarMap,AdamW,loss.backward(),GradStore,opt.step(&grads) - CUDA required for training -- tested on RTX 3050 Ti 4GB, max batch size 230
- CPU inference supported
Hyperopt
ArgminOptimizer (Particle Swarm Optimization) with per-model adapters:
DQN, PPO, ContinuousPPO, TFT, Mamba2. Uses ParameterSpace trait for continuous parameter mapping.
ModelType Enum
15 variants: CompactDQN, DistilledMicroNet, DQN, RainbowDQN, MAMBA, TFT, TGGN, LNN, TLOB, PPO, Transformer, Mamba, LiquidNet, TGNN, Ensemble.
Key Modules
dqn, ppo, tft, mamba, liquid, tlob, flash_attention, ensemble, evaluation, inference, trainers, hyperopt, checkpoint, preprocessing, data_loaders, features, model_factory, training_pipeline, regime_detection, stress_testing, validation, bridge, common, metrics.
Testing
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p ml --lib # ~2009 tests