Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski d3a3403053 fix(ml): raise eval_softmax_temp floor to 0.5, add action diversity penalty
Hyperopt TPE was stuck chasing phantom Sharpe=2317 from degenerate trials
with 2/45 unique actions (temp 0.15-0.20). Two fixes:

1. Raise eval_softmax_temp bounds from [0.1, 2.0] to [0.5, 2.0] — temps
   below 0.3 consistently produce 1-3/45 actions regardless of model quality
2. Add diversity_penalty to objective: 50*(1 - unique/10) for <10/45 actions,
   so degenerate trials score badly even if they accidentally reach the TPE

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-05 16:48:03 +01:00
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ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;