Files
foxhunt/ml/examples/check_tft_weight_init.rs
jgrusewski 6da9d262db feat(ml): MAMBA-2 P0 fixes + hyperparameter optimization (13 params)
CRITICAL P0 FIXES (Validated - Loss 0.87 → 0.07):
- Add sigmoid activation to inference and training (ml/src/mamba/mod.rs:798, 1538)
- Fix config.total_decay_steps (was hardcoded 10000) (ml/src/mamba/mod.rs:2271)
- Update d_state: 16→64, 32→64 (Mamba-2 spec) (ml/src/mamba/mod.rs:178, 730)

HYPERPARAMETER OPTIMIZATION:
- Implement 13-parameter Bayesian optimization with argmin
- Add async data loading with 3-batch prefetch (+20-30% speedup)
- Create hyperopt adapter: ml/src/hyperopt/adapters/mamba2.rs
- Add example: ml/examples/hyperopt_mamba2_demo.rs

VALIDATION:
- Local test: Loss 0.07 vs 0.87 (12× improvement)
- Val loss: 0.04-0.14 vs 1.2 (27× improvement)
- Accuracy: 12-30% vs 1-5% (3-6× improvement)
- All binaries rebuilt and uploaded to Runpod S3

DEPLOYMENT:
- RTX 4090 pod active (n0fq2ikt4uk0zy)
- Training: 10 trials × 50 epochs, batch_size=256
- Expected: 1.3 days, $10.41 cost

Fixes #P0-sigmoid #P0-decay-steps #hyperopt-mamba2
2025-10-28 14:11:18 +01:00

163 lines
5.9 KiB
Rust

use candle_core::{DType, Device, Tensor};
use candle_nn::{linear, VarBuilder, VarMap};
use ml::tft::{TFTConfig, TemporalFusionTransformer};
fn main() -> Result<(), Box<dyn std::error::Error>> {
println!("=== TFT Weight Initialization Checker ===\n");
// Test 1: Check candle_nn::linear initialization
println!("Test 1: candle_nn::linear default initialization");
let device = Device::Cpu;
let varmap = VarMap::new();
let vs = VarBuilder::from_varmap(&varmap, DType::F32, &device);
// Create a simple linear layer
let layer = linear(10, 5, vs.pp("test_layer"))?;
// Get the weight tensor
let all_tensors: Vec<_> = varmap.all_vars().into_iter().collect();
for (idx, var) in all_tensors.iter().enumerate() {
let tensor = var.as_tensor();
println!(" Tensor {}: shape {:?}", idx, tensor.dims());
let data = tensor.flatten_all()?.to_vec1::<f32>()?;
let sum: f32 = data.iter().sum();
let mean = sum / data.len() as f32;
let variance: f32 =
data.iter().map(|x| (x - mean).powi(2)).sum::<f32>() / data.len() as f32;
let std_dev = variance.sqrt();
let all_zeros = data.iter().all(|&x| x.abs() < 1e-10);
let min = data.iter().cloned().fold(f32::INFINITY, f32::min);
let max = data.iter().cloned().fold(f32::NEG_INFINITY, f32::max);
println!(" Mean: {:.6}", mean);
println!(" Std Dev: {:.6}", std_dev);
println!(" Min: {:.6}", min);
println!(" Max: {:.6}", max);
println!(" All zeros: {}", all_zeros);
if all_zeros {
println!(" ❌ WARNING: Weights are ZERO-INITIALIZED");
} else {
println!(" ✅ OK: Weights are properly initialized");
}
println!();
}
// Test 2: Check TFT context enrichment weights
println!("\nTest 2: TFT static context enrichment weights");
let config = TFTConfig {
input_dim: 10,
hidden_dim: 32,
num_heads: 2,
num_layers: 2,
prediction_horizon: 5,
sequence_length: 20,
num_quantiles: 5,
num_static_features: 3,
num_known_features: 2,
num_unknown_features: 5,
..Default::default()
};
let tft = TemporalFusionTransformer::new(config)?;
// Create test inputs
let batch_size = 4;
let static_features = Tensor::randn(0.0f32, 1.0, (batch_size, 3), &device)?;
let historical_features = Tensor::randn(0.0f32, 1.0, (batch_size, 20, 5), &device)?;
let future_features = Tensor::randn(0.0f32, 1.0, (batch_size, 5, 2), &device)?;
// Run forward pass to see if static context has any effect
println!(" Running forward pass with static features...");
let mut tft_with_static = tft;
let output_with_static =
tft_with_static.forward(&static_features, &historical_features, &future_features)?;
println!(" Output shape: {:?}", output_with_static.dims());
// Check output values
let output_data = output_with_static.flatten_all()?.to_vec1::<f32>()?;
let sum: f32 = output_data.iter().sum();
let mean = sum / output_data.len() as f32;
let variance: f32 =
output_data.iter().map(|x| (x - mean).powi(2)).sum::<f32>() / output_data.len() as f32;
let std_dev = variance.sqrt();
println!(" Output mean: {:.6}", mean);
println!(" Output std_dev: {:.6}", std_dev);
let all_zeros = output_data.iter().all(|&x| x.abs() < 1e-10);
if all_zeros {
println!(" ❌ CRITICAL: All outputs are ZERO - context enrichment not working!");
} else {
println!(" ✅ OK: Outputs are non-zero");
}
// Test 3: Compare outputs with different static context
println!("\nTest 3: Static context effect validation");
let config2 = TFTConfig {
input_dim: 10,
hidden_dim: 32,
num_heads: 2,
num_layers: 2,
prediction_horizon: 5,
sequence_length: 20,
num_quantiles: 5,
num_static_features: 3,
num_known_features: 2,
num_unknown_features: 5,
..Default::default()
};
let tft2 = TemporalFusionTransformer::new(config2)?;
// Create different static features (all zeros vs all ones)
let static_zeros = Tensor::zeros((batch_size, 3), DType::F32, &device)?;
let static_ones = Tensor::ones((batch_size, 3), DType::F32, &device)?;
let mut tft_test1 = tft2;
let output_zeros = tft_test1.forward(&static_zeros, &historical_features, &future_features)?;
let config3 = TFTConfig {
input_dim: 10,
hidden_dim: 32,
num_heads: 2,
num_layers: 2,
prediction_horizon: 5,
sequence_length: 20,
num_quantiles: 5,
num_static_features: 3,
num_known_features: 2,
num_unknown_features: 5,
..Default::default()
};
let tft3 = TemporalFusionTransformer::new(config3)?;
let mut tft_test2 = tft3;
let output_ones = tft_test2.forward(&static_ones, &historical_features, &future_features)?;
// Compute difference
let diff = (&output_ones - &output_zeros)?;
let diff_data = diff.flatten_all()?.to_vec1::<f32>()?;
let diff_sum: f32 = diff_data.iter().map(|x| x.abs()).sum();
let diff_mean = diff_sum / diff_data.len() as f32;
println!(" Mean absolute difference: {:.6}", diff_mean);
if diff_mean < 1e-6 {
println!(" ❌ CRITICAL: Static context has NO effect on predictions!");
println!(" This indicates zero-initialized or missing context enrichment weights.");
} else {
println!(
" ✅ OK: Static context affects predictions (difference: {:.6})",
diff_mean
);
}
println!("\n=== Summary ===");
println!("If weights are zero-initialized, the static context enrichment layer");
println!("will multiply context features by zero, effectively ignoring them.");
println!("This matches the observation in the test where static features have no effect.");
Ok(())
}