Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski 3bd339b5a3 fix: backtest evaluator — correct annualization, window sizing, objective calibration
Root cause: backtest windows of 300K bars produced ±billions% returns via
multiplicative compounding, and sqrt(252) annualization was wrong for
1-minute bars.

Fixes:
- Window size capped to 10K bars (~25 trading days), evenly distributed
  across the full validation set (was clustered in first 6%)
- Annualization: configurable bars_per_day field in GpuBacktestConfig
  (default 390.0 for 1-min), produces sqrt(98280) ≈ 313.5
- tanh normalization recalibrated: Sharpe/5, Sortino/8 (was /2, /3)
- CVaR threshold scaled to per-bar: 0.003 with slope 1400 (was 0.05/200)
- VaR/CVaR strided sampling covers full window (was first 4096 only)
- financials.rs + ab_testing.rs: sqrt(252) → sqrt(98280) for consistency

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-25 19:43:26 +01:00
..

ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;