jgrusewski
3c61ee52ce
plan(dqn): Thompson sampling rollout — Plans A+B+C+D (4 sequential phases)
Implementation plans for the distributional-RL aggregation spec
(docs/superpowers/specs/2026-04-26-distributional-rl-aggregation-design.md).
Plan A — Phase 0: TDD hypothesis verification (8 tasks)
- Standalone GPU test kernel: sample_c51_inverse_cdf,
sample_iqn_quantile_interp, compute_e_c51, compute_e_iqn,
thompson_direction_test, argmax_eq_test
- 6 unit tests (5 GPU + 1 CPU synthetic edge)
- GPU integration on converged checkpoint (Test 0.F)
Plan B — Phase 1: existing-lever audit (8 tasks)
- 6 unit tests covering B.2/CF/PopArt/Q-target audit fixture
- Exit gate: all 6 PASS = no reward-shaping bug; Phase 2 unblocked
Plan C — Phase 2: Thompson sampling integration (11 tasks)
- Direction branch of experience_action_select rewritten:
eps-greedy + Boltzmann → Thompson (training) + argmax E[Q] (eval)
- C51 + IQN buffers wired to gpu_dqn_trainer + gpu_backtest_evaluator
- train_active_frac HEALTH_DIAG instrumentation
- 4 GPU-direct tests against production kernel
- Aggregation Contract table + memory pearl
Plan D — Phase 3: long verification + dead-code cleanup (8 tasks)
- Test 3.A: regression anchor against original C51 Flat bias
- L4: 1 seed × 6 folds × 30 epoch (~1 hour)
- L5: 5 seed × 6 fold matrix per Plan 5 Task 5 (Tier 1+2+3 PASS)
- Direction-only eps_dir adaptive boost + Boltzmann tau-floor cleanup
(per feedback_no_partial_refactor.md)
- nsys regression check; final architecture/spec footer
Plans gated sequentially: each phase exit gate must pass before next.
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