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foxhunt/services/backtesting_service/tests/performance_metrics.rs
jgrusewski e8a68ee39f Download 360 DBN files (36.3 MB) using Rust databento client
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468 lines
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Rust

//! Comprehensive tests for performance metrics calculation
//!
//! Target Coverage: 70%+ for Sharpe ratio, drawdown, win rate, and all performance metrics
//!
//! Uses real DBN market data (ES.FUT 2024-01-02) for realistic metric calculations.
use anyhow::Result;
use rust_decimal::Decimal;
mod test_data_helpers;
use backtesting_service::performance::PerformanceAnalyzer;
use backtesting_service::strategy_engine::BacktestTrade;
use config::structures::BacktestingPerformanceConfig;
use test_data_helpers::*;
/// Test basic performance metrics calculation with real data
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_basic_performance_metrics() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Generate trades from real ES.FUT data
let trades = generate_real_trades(3).await?;
let initial_capital = 100000.0;
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, initial_capital);
// Validate basic counts
assert_eq!(metrics.total_trades, 3, "Should have 3 trades");
// Win rate should be between 0-100%
assert!(metrics.win_rate >= 0.0 && metrics.win_rate <= 100.0,
"Win rate should be valid percentage: {}", metrics.win_rate);
// Total winning + losing trades = total trades
assert_eq!(
metrics.winning_trades + metrics.losing_trades,
metrics.total_trades,
"Winning + losing should equal total trades"
);
// Real data should have realistic returns (not guaranteed profit)
assert!(
metrics.total_return.is_finite(),
"Total return should be finite"
);
Ok(())
}
/// Test Sharpe ratio calculation with real data
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_sharpe_ratio_calculation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Generate trades from real data
let trades = generate_mixed_trades().await?;
if trades.is_empty() {
return Ok(()); // Skip if no data available
}
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Get expected Sharpe range from real data analysis
let (min_sharpe, max_sharpe) = get_real_sharpe_range().await?;
// Sharpe ratio should be finite and within realistic bounds
assert!(
metrics.sharpe_ratio.is_finite(),
"Sharpe ratio should be finite, got: {}",
metrics.sharpe_ratio
);
// Real intraday data can have negative Sharpe (choppy markets)
assert!(
metrics.sharpe_ratio >= min_sharpe && metrics.sharpe_ratio <= max_sharpe,
"Sharpe ratio {} outside expected range [{}, {}]",
metrics.sharpe_ratio,
min_sharpe,
max_sharpe
);
Ok(())
}
/// Test Sortino ratio calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_sortino_ratio_calculation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Mix of wins and losses
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 110.0, 0, 5), // +10%
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 95.0, 5, 10), // -5%
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 108.0, 10, 15), // +8%
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 92.0, 15, 20), // -8%
create_trade(5, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 112.0, 20, 25), // +12%
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Sortino ratio should be calculated (can be positive or negative depending on downside)
assert!(metrics.sortino_ratio.is_finite(), "Sortino ratio should be finite");
Ok(())
}
/// Test maximum drawdown calculation with real data
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_maximum_drawdown() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Generate trades from real data (includes natural drawdown patterns)
let trades = generate_mixed_trades().await?;
if trades.is_empty() {
return Ok(()); // Skip if no data available
}
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Get expected drawdown range from real data
let (min_dd, max_dd) = get_real_drawdown_range().await?;
// Max drawdown should be non-negative
assert!(
metrics.max_drawdown >= 0.0,
"Max drawdown should be non-negative, got: {}",
metrics.max_drawdown
);
// Real data should have realistic drawdown
assert!(
metrics.max_drawdown >= min_dd && metrics.max_drawdown <= max_dd,
"Max drawdown {} outside expected range [{}, {}]",
metrics.max_drawdown,
min_dd,
max_dd
);
Ok(())
}
/// Test win rate calculation with real data
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_win_rate_calculation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Generate 10 trades from real data
let trades = generate_real_trades(10).await?;
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.total_trades, 10, "Should have 10 trades");
// Win + loss should equal total
assert_eq!(
metrics.winning_trades + metrics.losing_trades,
metrics.total_trades,
"Winning + losing should equal total"
);
// Win rate should be valid percentage
assert!(
metrics.win_rate >= 0.0 && metrics.win_rate <= 100.0,
"Win rate should be 0-100%, got: {}",
metrics.win_rate
);
// Win rate calculation should match trade counts
let expected_win_rate = (metrics.winning_trades as f64 / metrics.total_trades as f64) * 100.0;
assert!(
(metrics.win_rate - expected_win_rate).abs() < 0.1,
"Win rate calculation mismatch: expected {}, got {}",
expected_win_rate,
metrics.win_rate
);
Ok(())
}
/// Test profit factor calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_profit_factor() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Gross profit: $1000, Gross loss: $300 -> Profit factor: 3.33
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 110.0, 0, 5), // +$1000
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 97.0, 5, 10), // -$300
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert!(metrics.profit_factor > 3.0 && metrics.profit_factor < 3.5,
"Profit factor should be ~3.33");
Ok(())
}
/// Test average win and loss calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_average_win_loss() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 110.0, 0, 1), // +$1000
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 106.0, 1, 2), // +$600
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 95.0, 2, 3), // -$500
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 92.0, 3, 4), // -$800
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Average win: ($1000 + $600) / 2 = $800
assert!((metrics.avg_win - 800.0).abs() < 1.0, "Average win should be $800");
// Average loss: -($500 + $800) / 2 = -$650
assert!((metrics.avg_loss + 650.0).abs() < 1.0, "Average loss should be -$650");
Ok(())
}
/// Test largest win and loss tracking
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_largest_win_loss() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 1), // +$500
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 115.0, 1, 2), // +$1500 (largest win)
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 95.0, 2, 3), // -$500
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 88.0, 3, 4), // -$1200 (largest loss)
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert!((metrics.largest_win - 1500.0).abs() < 1.0, "Largest win should be $1500");
assert!((metrics.largest_loss + 1200.0).abs() < 1.0, "Largest loss should be -$1200");
Ok(())
}
/// Test Calmar ratio calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_calmar_ratio() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Create trades over a year with known drawdown
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 120.0, 0, 90), // +20%
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 120.0, 110.0, 90, 180), // -10%
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 110.0, 130.0, 180, 365), // +20%
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Calmar = Annualized Return / Max Drawdown
assert!(metrics.calmar_ratio > 0.0, "Calmar ratio should be positive");
Ok(())
}
/// Test VaR (Value at Risk) calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_var_calculation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Mix of returns for VaR calculation
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 1),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 103.0, 1, 2),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 98.0, 2, 3),
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 107.0, 3, 4),
create_trade(5, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 95.0, 4, 5),
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert!(metrics.var_95.is_some(), "VaR should be calculated");
let var = metrics.var_95.unwrap();
assert!(var < 0.0, "VaR should be negative (potential loss)");
Ok(())
}
/// Test expected shortfall calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_expected_shortfall() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 1),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 92.0, 1, 2),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 108.0, 2, 3),
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 90.0, 3, 4),
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert!(metrics.expected_shortfall.is_some(), "Expected shortfall should be calculated");
Ok(())
}
/// Test annualized return calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_annualized_return() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// Trades over 6 months with 10% total return
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 110.0, 0, 180), // +10% over 6 months
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
// Annualized return should be higher than 10% (compound effect)
assert!(metrics.annualized_return > 10.0, "Annualized return should be > 10%");
Ok(())
}
/// Test volatility calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_volatility_calculation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
// High volatility trades
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 120.0, 0, 1), // +20%
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 85.0, 1, 2), // -15%
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 115.0, 2, 3), // +15%
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 90.0, 3, 4), // -10%
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert!(metrics.volatility > 0.0, "Volatility should be positive");
Ok(())
}
/// Test edge case: no trades
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_no_trades() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades: Vec<BacktestTrade> = vec![];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.total_trades, 0);
assert_eq!(metrics.total_return, 0.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.win_rate, 0.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.sharpe_ratio, 0.0);
Ok(())
}
/// Test edge case: all winning trades
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_all_winning_trades() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 1),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 103.0, 1, 2),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 107.0, 2, 3),
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.win_rate, 100.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.winning_trades, 3);
assert_eq!(metrics.losing_trades, 0);
assert!(metrics.profit_factor.is_infinite(), "Profit factor should be infinite with no losses");
Ok(())
}
/// Test edge case: all losing trades
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_all_losing_trades() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 95.0, 0, 1),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 93.0, 1, 2),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 92.0, 2, 3),
];
let metrics = analyzer.calculate_metrics(&trades, 100000.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.win_rate, 0.0);
assert_eq!(metrics.winning_trades, 0);
assert_eq!(metrics.losing_trades, 3);
assert_eq!(metrics.profit_factor, 0.0, "Profit factor should be 0 with no wins");
Ok(())
}
/// Test equity curve generation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_equity_curve_generation() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 1),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 110.0, 1, 2),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 108.0, 2, 3),
];
let initial_capital = 100000.0;
let equity_curve = analyzer.generate_equity_curve(&trades, initial_capital);
// Should have points for each trade + initial
assert!(equity_curve.len() >= 4, "Equity curve should have at least 4 points");
// First point should be initial capital
assert!((equity_curve[0].equity - initial_capital).abs() < 0.01);
// Drawdown at start should be 0
assert_eq!(equity_curve[0].drawdown, 0.0);
Ok(())
}
/// Test rolling metrics calculation
#[tokio::test]
async fn test_rolling_metrics() -> Result<()> {
let config = BacktestingPerformanceConfig::default();
let analyzer = PerformanceAnalyzer::new(&config)?;
let trades = vec![
create_trade(1, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 105.0, 0, 5),
create_trade(2, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 103.0, 5, 10),
create_trade(3, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 107.0, 10, 15),
create_trade(4, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 102.0, 15, 20),
create_trade(5, "AAPL", TradeSide::Buy, 100.0, 100.0, 108.0, 20, 25),
];
let rolling = analyzer.calculate_rolling_metrics(&trades, 10);
assert!(!rolling.rolling_sharpe.is_empty(), "Rolling Sharpe should be calculated");
assert!(!rolling.rolling_volatility.is_empty(), "Rolling volatility should be calculated");
assert!(!rolling.rolling_returns.is_empty(), "Rolling returns should be calculated");
Ok(())
}