Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski 5b4cdec4ff feat(sp5): Task A6 — Pearl 6 cross-fold-persistent Kelly cap signals
Adds `pearl_6_kelly_kernel.cu` (single-block 6-thread kernel reading
portfolio_state directly) to populate ISV[280..286) with Bayesian-prior
Kelly fraction, conviction identity, trade variance, cumulative sample
count (max-semantics), win-rate and loss-rate EMAs. EWMA α=0.01 is an
Invariant 1 structural anchor for cross-fold inertia.

Key design departure from A1-A5: ISV[280..286) are intentionally EXEMPT
from the StateResetRegistry and from apply_pearls/Pearls A+D. portfolio_state
has WindowReset lifecycle (resets at EVERY window boundary, not just fold),
making cross-fold persistence essential. The max()-semantics for sample_count
(s==3) ensure the cumulative count never decreases across any boundary.
Wiener offsets [525..543) that naive formula would produce are intentionally
unused; in-kernel EWMA replaces external wiener bootstrap.

Verification: cargo check -p ml --offline clean (11 pre-existing warnings,
no new). sp5_producer_unit_tests --no-run clean. Two GPU tests (12, 13)
validate EWMA blend and cross-fold persistence.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-01 23:22:06 +02:00
..

ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;