Files
foxhunt/scripts/compare-mamba2-state.py
jgrusewski 629ebd667c feat(ml-alpha): deterministic same-seed training + Tier 1.5 fast-dev-cycle
Two same-seed runs now produce bit-equal eval_summary.json, alpha_rl_train_summary.json,
and diag.jsonl (modulo wall-clock elapsed_s). The 5-phase falsification chain landed:

  Phase 2   PER tree-rebuild: __threadfence is NOT a grid-wide barrier; multiple blocks
            raced across sum-tree levels. Fix: Grid=(1) Block=(1024) + __syncthreads
            in rl_per_tree_rebuild.cu.

  Phase 2.3 cuBLAS GEMM_DFALT + TF32 default-math allowed split-K non-deterministic
            accumulation at 3 sites. New crates/ml-alpha/src/cublas_determinism.rs
            applies CUBLAS_PEDANTIC_MATH via FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC env toggle
            (0=TF32 prod, 1=PEDANTIC dev default, 2=DEFAULT_MATH control).

  Phase 2.6 Two bugs surfaced sequentially in the backward kernel chain:
            (1) rl_iqn_tau_cos_features had a multi-block r/w race on prng_state[batch]
                — all N_TAU=32 blocks read seed; only tau_idx==0 wrote back; no
                inter-block barrier. Fix: split into READ-ONLY rl_iqn_tau_cos_features
                + new sibling rl_iqn_advance_prng_state launched on same stream
                (kernel-launch ordering = grid-wide barrier).
            (2) OutcomeHead::new called near_zero_xavier without scoped_init_seed,
                falling back to time+thread-id RNG. Stayed dormant until first done
                event activated non-sentinel labels and divergent weights flowed via
                grad_h_t_outcome into encoder gradient. Fix: add seed param + install
                scoped_init_seed(dqn_seed.wrapping_add(0x0CE0)) guard.

Validation (./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick, RTX 3050, b=128, 200+50 steps):
  - All 200 rows of checksums.* leaves match (rel-tol 1e-5, abs-tol 1e-7)
  - eval_summary.json, alpha_rl_train_summary.json byte-equal between runs
  - diag.jsonl byte-equal modulo elapsed_s
  - Eval pnl identical run-A vs run-B at seed 42

Pre-fix baseline (Phase 2.5 measurement): same-seed eval pnl spread $450k
($187k vs -$261k). Post-fix: $0 spread.

Speed cost: ~1.5ms/step amortised; ~10-15% slower than TF32 production
(PEDANTIC tax — acceptable in dev, toggle to FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC=0 for prod).

Mapped-pinned discipline: all 11 NEW memcpy_dtoh sites in diagnostic dump methods
+ per-step checksum readback use a new pub(crate) helper
read_slice_d_into<T: Copy>(stream, src, dst) — MappedRecordBuffer + raw
memcpy_dtod_async + raw_stream_sync + volatile read. Generic over T (f32, f64,
i32, u32, u8). Satisfies feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned + hook guard.

Bundled Tier 1.5 fast-dev-cycle infrastructure (spec
docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-fast-dev-cycle.md):
  - scripts/local-mid-smoke.sh        b=128, 2000+500, ~10min on RTX 3050
  - scripts/determinism-check.sh      runs mid-smoke twice, diffs checksums
  - scripts/tier1_5_verdict.py        behavioral kill verdict
  - AdamW checkpoint save/load (crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/optim.rs)
  - IntegratedTrainer checkpoint save/load (resume from checkpoint)
  - 15 Phase 1 checksum leaves in build_diag_value
  - Env-gated dump methods (FOXHUNT_DETERMINISM_DEBUG_PER/MAMBA2/RL/BACKWARD)
    for future divergence-chasing — never run in production

Documentation:
  - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation.md
  - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-fast-dev-cycle.md
  - docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation-implementation.md
  - docs/superpowers/notes/2026-06-02-determinism-phase{1,2,2.2,2.5,2.6}-*.md
  - Adjacent specs/plans/notes from the analytical chain that surfaced determinism
    as the load-bearing blocker (eval-summary, eval-boundary, regime-observer,
    multi-head policy, regime-invariance, Phase 3 IQN-complement post-mortem)

Unlocks: every controller / architecture / reward-shaping A/B from this commit
onward attributes outcome differences to the change, not random-init kernel-race
drift cascading through training x eval LOB-sim trajectories. The eval-collapse
investigation (pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl, multi-head spec,
regime-invariance spec) is now testable with trustworthy verdicts.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 17:56:00 +02:00

307 lines
13 KiB
Python
Executable File

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Compare raw mamba2 state dumps between two determinism runs.
Reads the dumps produced by
`PerceptionTrainer::dump_mamba2_state_for_debug` (env-gated on
`FOXHUNT_DETERMINISM_DEBUG_MAMBA2=1`) and prints a per-step
exact-bytewise-equality verdict for each of:
Per mamba2 layer (l1, l2):
- w_in, b_in, w_a, b_a, w_b, b_b, w_c, w_out, b_out (weights)
- h_enriched_seq (forward output)
Encoder activations (single tensors, shared across layers):
- vsn_out, ln_a_out, ln_b_out, attn_context, h_t
Hypothesis table (spec §2.A sub-investigation, Phase 2.2):
CASE 2.A.1 (reduce non-det): mamba2_grad_w_c (after-reduce)
diverges, intermediates before
reduce match → `mamba2_alpha_reduce_d_w_c`
or `_d_proj` kernel is non-det.
(only catchable via post-reduce
checksum — dump is for weights/outputs)
CASE 2.A.2 (forward non-det): weights match at step N, but
`mamba2_l1_h_enriched_seq.bin` (forward
output) diverges with identical
weights → forward scan kernel is
non-deterministic (very unlikely
given per-(i, j) thread design).
CASE 2.A.3 (upstream non-det): mamba2 L1 forward output diverges
AT THE SAME STEP AS vsn_out → the
non-determinism enters BEFORE mamba2
(VSN forward / backward, or earlier).
CASE 2.A.4 (weights diverge): weights diverge at step N before
any activation diverges →
upstream optimizer / gradient
accumulation (Adam iteration order,
grad-reduction non-det) wrote
different bits to the weights.
Output is written to stdout. Exit codes:
0 both runs identical for all dumped buffers at all dumped steps
1 divergence found; verdict printed (one of 2.A.2 / 2.A.3 / 2.A.4)
2 inputs missing or malformed
Usage:
python3 scripts/compare-mamba2-state.py <run_a_dir> <run_b_dir>
Each dir contains `step_{0,1,2,3}_<name>.bin`.
Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: this script ONLY reads device dumps;
it performs no compute that affects training.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import struct
import sys
from pathlib import Path
# Buffers dumped at each step (defined once, used for all steps).
# Order MATCHES the dump order in `dump_mamba2_state_for_debug` so the
# output diff is reproducible.
WEIGHTS_L1 = [
"mamba2_l1_w_in", "mamba2_l1_b_in",
"mamba2_l1_w_a", "mamba2_l1_b_a",
"mamba2_l1_w_b", "mamba2_l1_b_b",
"mamba2_l1_w_c",
"mamba2_l1_w_out", "mamba2_l1_b_out",
]
WEIGHTS_L2 = [
"mamba2_l2_w_in", "mamba2_l2_b_in",
"mamba2_l2_w_a", "mamba2_l2_b_a",
"mamba2_l2_w_b", "mamba2_l2_b_b",
"mamba2_l2_w_c",
"mamba2_l2_w_out", "mamba2_l2_b_out",
]
ACTIVATIONS = [
"vsn_out",
"mamba2_l1_h_enriched_seq",
"ln_a_out",
"mamba2_l2_h_enriched_seq",
"ln_b_out",
"attn_context",
"h_t",
]
# Phase 2.4 (2026-06-02): backward scratch + reduced output, to localise
# the `mamba2_grad_w_c_l1` residual that survives PEDANTIC cuBLAS.
BACKWARD_SCRATCH = [
"mamba2_l1_d_w_c_per_sample", # pre-reduce, [N, sh2, state_d]
"mamba2_l1_dw_c_reduced", # post-reduce, [sh2, state_d]
"mamba2_l1_d_h_s2", # [N, sh2] — scan_bwd_seq output
"mamba2_l2_d_w_c_per_sample",
"mamba2_l2_dw_c_reduced",
# Phase 2.4 follow-up: dw_in / dw_a / dw_b (cuBLAS GEMM outputs)
# and d_a_proj / d_b_proj (reduce_d_proj outputs).
"mamba2_l1_d_a_per_channel", # scan_bwd_seq output
"mamba2_l1_d_b_per_channel", # scan_bwd_seq output
"mamba2_l1_d_a_proj_2d", # reduce_d_proj output
"mamba2_l1_d_b_proj_2d", # reduce_d_proj output
"mamba2_l1_dw_in", # cuBLAS GEMM output
"mamba2_l1_dw_a", # cuBLAS GEMM output
"mamba2_l1_dw_b", # cuBLAS GEMM output
"mamba2_l1_db_in",
"mamba2_l1_db_a",
"mamba2_l1_db_b",
"mamba2_l1_d_x",
"mamba2_l1_d_x_from_in",
]
# Phase 2.4 follow-up #2: trunk weights + their grads to localise which
# upstream-of-mamba2 weight first diverges (a divergent vsn_w_d at step 1
# would propagate to differing forward inputs to mamba2 at step 2).
TRUNK_STATE = [
"vsn_w", "attn_q", "cfc_w_in", "cfc_w_rec",
"ln_a_gain", "ln_b_gain",
"grad_vsn_w", "grad_attn_q",
"grad_cfc_w_in", "grad_cfc_w_rec",
"grad_ln_a_gain", "grad_ln_b_gain",
]
ALL_BUFFERS = WEIGHTS_L1 + WEIGHTS_L2 + ACTIVATIONS + BACKWARD_SCRATCH + TRUNK_STATE
def read_f32(path: Path) -> list[float]:
"""Read a raw little-endian f32 binary file into a Python list."""
data = path.read_bytes()
if len(data) % 4 != 0:
raise ValueError(f"{path}: size {len(data)} not a multiple of 4")
n = len(data) // 4
return list(struct.unpack(f"<{n}f", data))
def compare_lists(a: list, b: list, label: str) -> tuple[bool, int, str]:
"""Compare two equal-length lists; return (equal, first_diff_idx, summary)."""
if len(a) != len(b):
return False, -1, f"{label}: length mismatch A={len(a)} B={len(b)}"
diffs: list[int] = []
for i, (x, y) in enumerate(zip(a, b)):
if x != y:
diffs.append(i)
if len(diffs) >= 5:
break
if not diffs:
return True, -1, f"{label}: EQUAL ({len(a)} elements)"
sample = ", ".join(
f"[{i}]: A={a[i]!r} B={b[i]!r}" for i in diffs[:3]
)
return False, diffs[0], (
f"{label}: DIVERGE at idx {diffs[0]} "
f"(showing up to 3): {sample}"
)
def main() -> int:
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__)
parser.add_argument("run_a", type=Path)
parser.add_argument("run_b", type=Path)
args = parser.parse_args()
if not args.run_a.is_dir() or not args.run_b.is_dir():
print(
f"ERROR: run dirs missing: {args.run_a} or {args.run_b}",
file=sys.stderr,
)
return 2
# Per-step verdict. Tracks the FIRST step that diverges and which
# buffers diverge there.
overall_any_diverge = False
first_diverge_step: int | None = None
first_diverge_state: dict[str, bool] = {}
for step in (0, 1, 2, 3):
print(f"=== step {step} ===")
step_state: dict[str, bool] = {}
any_present = False
for name in ALL_BUFFERS:
pa = args.run_a / f"step_{step}_{name}.bin"
pb = args.run_b / f"step_{step}_{name}.bin"
if not (pa.is_file() and pb.is_file()):
# Buffer missing — silently skip; partial dumps okay.
continue
any_present = True
try:
a = read_f32(pa)
b = read_f32(pb)
except ValueError as e:
print(f" ERROR reading {name}: {e}")
return 2
equal, _, summary = compare_lists(a, b, name)
# Compact one-line summary so the per-step block is readable
# at a glance.
print(f" {summary}")
step_state[name] = equal
if not equal:
overall_any_diverge = True
if not any_present:
print(" SKIP — no buffers dumped for this step")
continue
if (not all(step_state.values())) and first_diverge_step is None:
first_diverge_step = step
first_diverge_state = dict(step_state)
print()
if not overall_any_diverge:
print("VERDICT: all dumped buffers match across all dumped steps.")
print("Mamba2 state itself is bit-identical between runs. The")
print("downstream `checksums.encoder_output` divergence observed")
print("by determinism-check.sh must come from later kernels (CfC")
print("/ heads / attention) AFTER mamba2 produces its outputs.")
return 0
assert first_diverge_step is not None
# Categorise: which buffers diverge first?
diverged = [name for name, eq in first_diverge_state.items() if not eq]
l1_weights_diverged = any(
name in WEIGHTS_L1 for name in diverged
)
l2_weights_diverged = any(
name in WEIGHTS_L2 for name in diverged
)
vsn_out_diverged = "vsn_out" in diverged
l1_out_diverged = "mamba2_l1_h_enriched_seq" in diverged
l2_out_diverged = "mamba2_l2_h_enriched_seq" in diverged
ln_a_diverged = "ln_a_out" in diverged
ln_b_diverged = "ln_b_out" in diverged
attn_diverged = "attn_context" in diverged
h_t_diverged = "h_t" in diverged
print(f"VERDICT (first divergent step = {first_diverge_step}):")
print(f" diverged buffers: {diverged}")
print()
if l1_weights_diverged or l2_weights_diverged:
print(" CASE 2.A.4 — WEIGHTS DIVERGE upstream of forward.")
which = []
if l1_weights_diverged: which.append("L1")
if l2_weights_diverged: which.append("L2")
print(f" Mamba2 {'/'.join(which)} weights diverged at step "
f"{first_diverge_step}. This means the PRIOR step's")
print(" backward+Adam update wrote different bits — the")
print(" non-determinism source is in:")
print(" (a) mamba2 backward kernels (d_a/d_b/d_w_c per-channel")
print(" writes are deterministic by construction, but")
print(" their REDUCE kernels mamba2_alpha_reduce_d_proj /")
print(" _d_w_c could be non-det if launch geometry races)")
print(" (b) Mamba2AdamW.step_from_buffers_gpu_clip — the")
print(" grad-norm phase1+phase2 tree-reduce. Phase 2")
print(" appears single-block per `grad_norm.cu`, but")
print(" re-audit if reduce kernels look fine.")
print(" (c) Encoder upstream backward (CfC / LN / VSN /")
print(" attention) writing non-det grads that feed")
print(" mamba2 W_in via dx propagation through L1 / L2.")
print(" Fix: identify which weight diverged FIRST and audit")
print(" its gradient pipeline. Next dispatch should add")
print(" checksums for the encoder backward grad outputs")
print(" (grad_vsn_w_d, grad_cfc_*, grad_attn_q_d, ...) and the")
print(" mamba2 reduced grad outputs (mamba2_grads_buffers.dw_*).")
return 1
if vsn_out_diverged and not l1_out_diverged:
print(" CASE 2.A.3 — UPSTREAM (VSN) non-determinism.")
print(" vsn_out diverges before mamba2 L1 output does. The")
print(" issue is in VSN forward (vsn_fwd kernel) or earlier")
print(" (snap_feature_assemble_batched). Apply §2.D audit")
print(" to the VSN forward kernel.")
return 1
if l1_out_diverged and not l1_weights_diverged:
# Forward output diverges with identical weights.
print(" CASE 2.A.2 — MAMBA2 L1 FORWARD non-determinism.")
print(f" At step {first_diverge_step}, mamba2 L1 weights match")
print(" bit-exactly between runs, but the L1 forward output")
print(" h_enriched_seq diverges. The forward scan kernel")
print(" `mamba2_alpha_scan_fwd_seq` is per-thread sequential")
print(" (one thread per (i, j), each thread does its own")
print(" K-step scan with no atomics) — divergence here would")
print(" be surprising and would require auditing the per-thread")
print(" register-array initialisation + the cuBLAS GEMMs that")
print(" feed a_proj / b_proj inputs (w_in / w_a / w_b forward).")
print(" Likely culprit: cuBLAS split-K non-determinism in the")
print(" W_in / W_a / W_b forward GEMMs (TF32 / heuristic).")
return 1
if ln_a_diverged or ln_b_diverged or attn_diverged or l2_out_diverged or h_t_diverged:
# Divergence enters downstream of mamba2 L1 but with L1 outputs/weights equal.
print(" CASE 2.A.5 — DOWNSTREAM (post-mamba2) non-determinism.")
print(" Mamba2 L1 outputs match but later layer outputs diverge.")
for n in ("ln_a_out", "mamba2_l2_h_enriched_seq", "ln_b_out",
"attn_context", "h_t"):
if n in first_diverge_state:
eq = first_diverge_state[n]
print(f" {n}: {'EQUAL' if eq else 'DIVERGE'}")
print(" Audit the FIRST diverged downstream buffer's kernel.")
return 1
print(" UNEXPECTED state — divergence pattern does not match a")
print(" defined sub-case. Review per-buffer summary above and")
print(" extend the verdict logic.")
return 1
if __name__ == "__main__":
sys.exit(main())