Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski 65c3083dec fix(sp7): flip CQL target_ratio direction — death spiral on magnitude
`target_ratio[CQL][b] = ANCHOR_CQL_RATIO * (1 - flatness[b])` had the
sign inverted: it pushed CQL HIGH when Q was flat (the collapse state)
and LOW when Q had variance. Per pearl_2_budget_kernel.cu, `flatness =
var_q / σ²`, so flatness HIGH means Q has variance — exactly when
overconfidence-risk-driven CQL pressure should kick in.

Symptom (T10-v3 train-multi-seed-x7sl2 logs): Once IQN Fix 34 woke
IQN-mag/ord/urg branches and produced real Q-targets, the controller's
inverted formula sent cql_budget to MAX_BUDGET=1.0 saturation on every
branch, the conservative pull kept Q flat, the model collapsed to
single-Flat-action eval (val_active_frac=0, dir_entropy=0,
trade_count=1, sharpe=0).

Fix is one operational character: `(1 - flatness)` → `flatness`. C51
formula was already correctly aligned (`flatness * ANCHOR_C51_RATIO`)
and unchanged.

Per pearl_controller_anchors_isv_driven.md: the inverted formula was
masked for months because the IQN-dead regime (Fix 34) suppressed
cql_raw on mag/ord/urg, never letting the controller engage with the
inverted target. Fixing the IQN regime exposed the dormant formula bug.

ANCHOR_CQL_RATIO=2.0 and MAX_BUDGET=1.0 remain hardcoded; Fix 36 will
make those ISV-driven via a GPU train_active_frac canary signal per
the pearl's "pick the canary that fires under the pathology" rule.
2026-05-03 19:00:26 +02:00
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ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;