Files
foxhunt/crates/ml/tests/risk_action_masking_test.rs
jgrusewski ca4c38d921 fix(tests): CI GPU test stability, walltime reduction, BF16 tolerance
- Reduce CI GPU test datasets 16x for walltime reduction
- Reduce early-stop epochs 50→10, add --test-threads=1
- Serialize all GPU lib tests to prevent cuBLAS init race
- Align state_dim to 16 for BF16 tensor core HMMA dispatch
- BF16 precision tolerance in ml-dqn tests
- Enable branching DQN + tracing subscriber in smoke tests
- Prevent min_replay_size > buffer_size deadlock in early-stop tests
- Prevent AutoReplaySizer from breaking gradient collapse warmup
- Replace racy tokio::spawn checkpoint counter with AtomicUsize
- Set warmup_steps=0 and max_training_steps_per_epoch=300 in early-stop tests
- RealDataLoader respects TEST_DATA_DIR for CI PVC layout
- Add collapse_warmup_capacity to gpu_smoketest DQNConfig
- Drain CUDA context between test binaries
- Detached HEAD checkout prevents local branch corruption
- GPU pipeline tests: fix BF16 dtype and rank-1 squeeze assertions
- OOD input handling tests use use_gpu: true

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-15 12:00:13 +01:00

778 lines
27 KiB
Rust

#![allow(
clippy::assertions_on_constants,
clippy::assertions_on_result_states,
clippy::clone_on_copy,
clippy::decimal_literal_representation,
clippy::doc_markdown,
clippy::empty_line_after_doc_comments,
clippy::field_reassign_with_default,
clippy::get_unwrap,
clippy::identity_op,
clippy::inconsistent_digit_grouping,
clippy::indexing_slicing,
clippy::integer_division,
clippy::len_zero,
clippy::let_underscore_must_use,
clippy::manual_div_ceil,
clippy::manual_let_else,
clippy::manual_range_contains,
clippy::modulo_arithmetic,
clippy::needless_range_loop,
clippy::non_ascii_literal,
clippy::redundant_clone,
clippy::shadow_reuse,
clippy::shadow_same,
clippy::shadow_unrelated,
clippy::single_match_else,
clippy::str_to_string,
clippy::string_slice,
clippy::tests_outside_test_module,
clippy::too_many_lines,
clippy::unnecessary_wraps,
clippy::unseparated_literal_suffix,
clippy::use_debug,
clippy::useless_vec,
clippy::wildcard_enum_match_arm,
clippy::else_if_without_else,
clippy::expect_used,
clippy::missing_const_for_fn,
clippy::similar_names,
clippy::type_complexity,
clippy::collapsible_else_if,
clippy::doc_lazy_continuation,
clippy::items_after_test_module,
clippy::map_clone,
clippy::multiple_unsafe_ops_per_block,
clippy::unwrap_or_default,
clippy::assign_op_pattern,
clippy::needless_borrow,
clippy::println_empty_string,
clippy::unnecessary_cast,
clippy::used_underscore_binding,
clippy::create_dir,
clippy::implicit_saturating_sub,
clippy::exit,
clippy::expect_fun_call,
clippy::too_many_arguments,
clippy::unnecessary_map_or,
clippy::unwrap_used,
dead_code,
unused_imports,
unused_variables,
clippy::cloned_ref_to_slice_refs,
clippy::neg_multiply,
clippy::while_let_loop,
clippy::bool_assert_comparison,
clippy::excessive_precision,
clippy::trivially_copy_pass_by_ref,
clippy::op_ref,
clippy::redundant_closure,
clippy::unnecessary_lazy_evaluations,
clippy::if_then_some_else_none,
clippy::unnecessary_to_owned,
clippy::single_component_path_imports,
)]
//! TDD Tests for Risk-Based Action Masking in DQN
//!
//! Tests verify that action masking correctly filters invalid actions based on:
//! 1. Position limit violations (±2.0 max position)
//! 2. Drawdown limit violations (15% max drawdown)
//! 3. Value-at-Risk (VaR) violations
//! 4. Cash reserve violations (20% minimum cash)
//! 5. Position-reducing actions are never masked
//! 6. Action diversity is preserved with masking
//!
//! Expected: 30-50% of invalid actions filtered before Q-value computation
//! Impact: Faster training, better convergence, safer trading
use ml::dqn::action_space::{FactoredAction, OrderType, get_valid_action_mask};
use std::time::Instant;
use tracing::info;
/// Helper struct to simulate portfolio state for risk checking
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
struct PortfolioState {
/// Current portfolio position (-2.0 to +2.0)
pub position: f64,
/// Current portfolio value in dollars
pub portfolio_value: f64,
/// Cash reserve in dollars
pub cash_reserve: f64,
/// Current peak portfolio value (for drawdown calculation)
pub peak_value: f64,
/// VaR limit as percentage of portfolio
pub var_limit_pct: f64,
}
impl PortfolioState {
/// Create a new portfolio state
fn new(position: f64, portfolio_value: f64, cash_reserve: f64) -> Self {
Self {
position,
portfolio_value,
cash_reserve,
peak_value: portfolio_value,
var_limit_pct: 5.0, // 5% VaR limit
}
}
/// Check if action would violate position limit
fn violates_position_limit(&self, action: &FactoredAction, max_position: f64) -> bool {
let target_exposure = action.target_exposure();
// Fix: At position limits, mask actions in the same direction
// At max long position (≥2.0), mask all LONG actions (Long50, Long100)
// At max short position (≤-2.0), mask all SHORT actions (Short50, Short100)
if self.position >= max_position {
// At or above max long position, mask all long (buy) actions
return action.is_buy();
} else if self.position <= -max_position {
// At or below max short position, mask all short (sell) actions
return action.is_sell();
}
// Otherwise, just check if target would exceed absolute limit
target_exposure.abs() > max_position
}
/// Check if action would violate drawdown limit (15% max)
fn violates_drawdown_limit(&self, action: &FactoredAction, max_drawdown_pct: f64) -> bool {
// Simulate action: assume 1% price movement in direction of action
let price_movement = if action.is_buy() {
0.01
} else if action.is_sell() {
-0.01
} else {
0.0 // HOLD
};
// Calculate portfolio value after action
let position_change = action.target_exposure() - self.position;
let portfolio_change = self.portfolio_value * price_movement * position_change.abs();
let new_portfolio_value = self.portfolio_value + portfolio_change;
// Check drawdown
let drawdown_pct = ((self.peak_value - new_portfolio_value) / self.peak_value) * 100.0;
drawdown_pct > max_drawdown_pct
}
/// Check if action would violate VaR limit
fn violates_var_limit(&self, action: &FactoredAction) -> bool {
// VaR = maximum potential loss at 95% confidence (2 sigma move)
let var_dollar = self.portfolio_value * (self.var_limit_pct / 100.0);
// Calculate exposure change (absolute values)
let current_exposure = self.position.abs();
let target_exposure = action.target_exposure().abs();
let exposure_change = target_exposure - current_exposure;
// Only check if exposure is increasing
if exposure_change <= 0.0 {
return false; // Reducing exposure never violates VaR
}
// Fix: Potential loss is exposure change times a volatility factor (e.g., 2% daily move)
// This represents the potential loss from a 2-sigma price movement on the new exposure
// VaR formula: potential_loss = (exposure_change * portfolio_value) * volatility_pct
// Use 2% as a reasonable daily volatility estimate for futures
let volatility_pct = 0.02; // 2% potential daily move
let potential_loss = exposure_change * self.portfolio_value * volatility_pct;
// Violates if potential loss exceeds VaR limit
potential_loss > var_dollar
}
/// Check if action would violate cash reserve requirement (20% minimum)
fn violates_cash_reserve(&self, action: &FactoredAction) -> bool {
// Fix: HOLD actions have zero transaction cost, so they never violate cash reserve
if action.is_hold() {
return false;
}
let min_cash = self.portfolio_value * 0.20; // 20% minimum
// Fix: Calculate transaction cost based on actual exposure change, not arbitrary 50%
// Trade value = |target_exposure - current_exposure| * portfolio_value
let exposure_change = (action.target_exposure() - self.position).abs();
let trade_value = exposure_change * self.portfolio_value;
let transaction_cost = action.calculate_transaction_cost(trade_value);
(self.cash_reserve - transaction_cost) < min_cash
}
/// Check if action reduces position (never mask)
fn reduces_position(&self, action: &FactoredAction) -> bool {
// Fix: Position-reducing means moving TOWARDS zero, not just reducing absolute value
// At position +2.0, Short actions reduce position (move towards 0)
// At position -2.0, Long actions reduce position (move towards 0)
let current_pos = self.position;
let target_pos = action.target_exposure();
// Check if moving towards zero
if current_pos > 0.0 {
// Long position: reducing means target is less than current (moving left towards 0)
target_pos < current_pos
} else if current_pos < 0.0 {
// Short position: reducing means target is greater than current (moving right towards 0)
target_pos > current_pos
} else {
// At zero position, no action reduces position
false
}
}
/// Check if all risk constraints are satisfied
fn is_action_valid(&self, action: &FactoredAction, max_position: f64) -> bool {
// Fix: HOLD actions are ALWAYS valid (safety valve) - they have zero cost and maintain position
if action.is_hold() {
return true;
}
// Fix: Check position limits FIRST (before position-reducing bypass)
// At position limit, we want to mask directional actions (BUY at max long, SELL at max short)
if self.violates_position_limit(action, max_position) {
return false;
}
// Position-reducing actions are valid after passing position limit check
if self.reduces_position(action) {
return self.portfolio_value > 0.0;
}
// Check remaining risk limits
!self.violates_drawdown_limit(action, 15.0)
&& !self.violates_var_limit(action)
&& !self.violates_cash_reserve(action)
}
/// Get valid action indices based on risk constraints
fn get_valid_actions(&self, max_position: f64) -> Vec<usize> {
(0..45)
.filter(|&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
self.is_action_valid(&action, max_position)
} else {
false
}
})
.collect()
}
/// Count masked actions
fn count_masked_actions(&self, max_position: f64) -> usize {
45 - self.get_valid_actions(max_position).len()
}
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 1: Mask actions exceeding position limit
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_actions_exceeding_position_limit() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let max_position = 1.0; // Restrictive limit
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(max_position);
// At max_position=1.0, Long100 and Short100 should be masked
// because they set exposure to ±1.0 which exceeds the limit in absolute terms
for idx in &valid_actions {
let action = FactoredAction::from_index(*idx).unwrap();
assert!(
!state.violates_position_limit(&action, max_position),
"Action {} should not violate position limit",
idx
);
}
// Verify that some actions are actually masked
assert!(
valid_actions.len() < 45,
"Expected some actions to be masked with restrictive limit"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 2: Mask actions violating drawdown limit
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_actions_violating_drawdown() {
// Portfolio near peak with little room for drawdown
let mut state = PortfolioState::new(1.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
state.peak_value = 105_000.0; // Already down from peak
// Aggressive BUY actions should be masked (would increase drawdown)
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
for idx in &valid_actions {
let action = FactoredAction::from_index(*idx).unwrap();
let violates_dd = state.violates_drawdown_limit(&action, 15.0);
assert!(
!violates_dd,
"Action {} should not violate drawdown limit",
idx
);
}
// Verify that aggressive actions might be filtered
let valid_buys = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_buy()
} else {
false
}
})
.count();
// With significant drawdown history, aggressive actions should be limited
assert!(
valid_buys <= 18,
"Expected limited BUY actions when portfolio is down"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 3: Mask actions violating VaR limit
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_actions_violating_var() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(2.0, 50_000.0, 10_000.0); // High exposure + low cash
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
// No valid action should violate VaR
for idx in valid_actions {
let action = FactoredAction::from_index(idx).unwrap();
let violates_var = state.violates_var_limit(&action);
assert!(
!violates_var,
"Action {} should not violate VaR limit",
idx
);
}
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 4: Mask actions violating cash reserve requirement
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_actions_violating_cash_reserve() {
// Portfolio with insufficient cash reserve
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 5_000.0); // Only 5% cash
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
for idx in &valid_actions {
let action = FactoredAction::from_index(*idx).unwrap();
let violates_cash = state.violates_cash_reserve(&action);
assert!(
!violates_cash,
"Action {} should not violate cash reserve requirement",
idx
);
}
// Expensive market orders should be masked
let market_actions: Vec<_> = (0..45)
.filter(|&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.order == OrderType::Market
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
let valid_market: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.order == OrderType::Market
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
valid_market.len() < market_actions.len(),
"Expected market orders to be filtered when cash is low"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 5: Allow position-reducing actions
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_allow_position_reducing_actions() {
// Portfolio with large long position
let state = PortfolioState::new(1.5, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(1.0);
// Position-reducing actions (SHORT50, SHORT100, FLAT) should always be valid
// Check that at least one SELL action is valid
let valid_sells: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_sell() || action.is_hold()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
!valid_sells.is_empty(),
"Position-reducing actions should always be valid"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 6: Mask all long actions at max position
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_all_long_actions_at_max_long() {
// Portfolio at maximum long position
let state = PortfolioState::new(2.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let max_position = 2.0;
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(max_position);
// BUY actions (Long50, Long100) should all be masked
let valid_buys: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_buy()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
valid_buys.is_empty(),
"BUY actions should all be masked at max position"
);
// HOLD and SELL should be available
let valid_holds_sells: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_hold() || action.is_sell()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
!valid_holds_sells.is_empty(),
"HOLD and SELL actions should be available at max position"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 7: Mask all short actions at min position
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_all_short_actions_at_max_short() {
// Portfolio at maximum short position
let state = PortfolioState::new(-2.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let max_position = 2.0;
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(max_position);
// SELL actions (Short50, Short100) should all be masked
let valid_sells: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_sell()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
valid_sells.is_empty(),
"SELL actions should all be masked at min position"
);
// HOLD and BUY should be available
let valid_holds_buys: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_hold() || action.is_buy()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
!valid_holds_buys.is_empty(),
"HOLD and BUY actions should be available at min position"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 8: HOLD always valid (unless bankrupt)
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_valid_actions_include_hold() {
let states = vec![
PortfolioState::new(-2.0, 100_000.0, 5_000.0), // Min position, low cash
PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 5_000.0), // Flat, low cash
PortfolioState::new(2.0, 100_000.0, 5_000.0), // Max position, low cash
PortfolioState::new(1.0, 20_000.0, 1_000.0), // Small portfolio
];
for state in states {
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
// HOLD actions (all FLAT with any order type and urgency)
let valid_holds: Vec<_> = valid_actions
.iter()
.filter(|&&idx| {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
action.is_hold()
} else {
false
}
})
.collect();
assert!(
!valid_holds.is_empty(),
"HOLD action should always be valid for position {}",
state.position
);
}
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 9: Action masking performance (<1ms for 45 actions)
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_action_mask_performance() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.5, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
// Measure masking performance
let start = Instant::now();
for _ in 0..1000 {
let _ = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
}
let elapsed = start.elapsed();
let avg_time_us = elapsed.as_micros() / 1000;
info!(avg_time_us, "Average masking time per call (µs, 1000 iterations)");
// Should complete 1000 calls in <1 second (1000 µs average per call)
assert!(
elapsed.as_millis() < 1000,
"Masking should complete in <1ms per call (got {:.3}ms)",
elapsed.as_secs_f64() * 1000.0 / 1000.0
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 10: Masked actions not used in Q-value computation
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_masked_actions_not_in_qvalue_computation() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(1.8, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let max_position = 2.0;
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(max_position);
let mask = get_valid_action_mask(state.position, max_position);
// Verify consistency: valid actions from risk check should align with position masking
let position_masked: Vec<usize> = (0..45)
.filter(|&idx| !mask[idx])
.collect();
let risk_masked: Vec<usize> = (0..45)
.filter(|&idx| !valid_actions.contains(&idx))
.collect();
// Both masks should agree on position-based exclusions
for idx in &position_masked {
let action = FactoredAction::from_index(*idx).unwrap();
let abs_exposure = action.target_exposure().abs();
assert!(
abs_exposure > max_position,
"Position mask should only exclude actions exceeding limit"
);
}
// Risk mask is a superset of position mask (position-based + risk-based)
assert!(
position_masked.len() <= risk_masked.len(),
"Risk-based mask should exclude at least as many actions as position mask"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 11: Action diversity with masking
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_action_diversity_with_masking() {
// Even with masking, should preserve action diversity
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.5, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
// Count exposure type distribution among valid actions
let mut exposure_types = std::collections::HashSet::new();
let mut order_types = std::collections::HashSet::new();
for &idx in &valid_actions {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
exposure_types.insert(format!("{}", action.exposure));
order_types.insert(format!("{}", action.order));
}
}
// Should have multiple exposure types
assert!(
exposure_types.len() > 1,
"Masking should preserve exposure type diversity"
);
// Should have multiple order types
assert!(
order_types.len() > 1,
"Masking should preserve order type diversity"
);
// At least 50% of actions should remain valid (flexible masking)
assert!(
valid_actions.len() >= 22,
"Masking should leave at least 50% of actions valid"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// TEST 12: Mask logging (information for monitoring)
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_mask_logging() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 5_000.0);
let valid_count = state.get_valid_actions(2.0).len();
let masked_count = state.count_masked_actions(2.0);
info!(
valid_count,
masked_count,
masking_rate_pct = (masked_count as f64 / 45.0) * 100.0,
"Mask statistics"
);
// Log should provide useful information
assert!(valid_count + masked_count == 45, "Counts should sum to 45");
// Verify masking rate is reasonable (10-50%)
let masking_rate = (masked_count as f64 / 45.0) * 100.0;
assert!(
masking_rate >= 0.0 && masking_rate <= 100.0,
"Masking rate should be 0-100%"
);
// Print detailed breakdown
info!(
masking_rate_pct = masking_rate,
valid_actions_pct = (valid_count as f64 / 45.0) * 100.0,
"Expected impact: reduce Q-value computation by masking rate, focusing on valid actions"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// INTEGRATION TEST: Multi-scenario masking consistency
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_risk_masking_consistency_across_scenarios() {
let scenarios = vec![
("Flat portfolio", PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0)),
("Long position", PortfolioState::new(1.5, 100_000.0, 20_000.0)),
("Short position", PortfolioState::new(-1.5, 100_000.0, 20_000.0)),
("Low cash", PortfolioState::new(0.5, 100_000.0, 3_000.0)),
("Large portfolio", PortfolioState::new(1.0, 500_000.0, 100_000.0)),
];
for (name, state) in scenarios {
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
// Consistency check: valid actions should never violate constraints
for &idx in &valid_actions {
if let Ok(action) = FactoredAction::from_index(idx) {
assert!(
state.is_action_valid(&action, 2.0),
"Scenario '{}': Invalid action {} in valid list",
name,
idx
);
}
}
info!(
scenario = name,
valid_actions = valid_actions.len(),
valid_pct = (valid_actions.len() as f64 / 45.0) * 100.0,
"Scenario actions valid"
);
}
}
// ============================================================================
// EDGE CASE TEST: Bankrupt portfolio
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_masking_with_bankrupt_portfolio() {
// Portfolio with portfolio_value <= 0
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100.0, 50.0); // Very small portfolio
let valid_actions = state.get_valid_actions(2.0);
// Even with small portfolio, should have some valid actions (HOLD)
assert!(
!valid_actions.is_empty(),
"Even bankrupt portfolio should have valid actions (HOLD)"
);
}
// ============================================================================
// EDGE CASE TEST: Extreme position limits
// ============================================================================
#[test]
fn test_masking_with_extreme_limits() {
let state = PortfolioState::new(0.0, 100_000.0, 20_000.0);
// Very restrictive limit
let valid_restrictive = state.get_valid_actions(0.3);
// Very permissive limit
let valid_permissive = state.get_valid_actions(3.0);
// Permissive should have more or equal valid actions
assert!(
valid_permissive.len() >= valid_restrictive.len(),
"Permissive limits should allow more or equal actions"
);
// Restrictive should mask some actions
assert!(
valid_restrictive.len() < 45,
"Restrictive limits should mask some actions"
);
}