Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski 9fb980da2b fixup(class-a-audit-batch-4b): invert MIN_HOLD_TEMPERATURE dir_acc → temp mapping
Post-commit kernel-formula audit of `compute_min_hold_penalty` at
trade_physics.cuh:567-577 showed the original `temp = TEMP_MIN +
(TEMP_MAX - TEMP_MIN) × skill` mapping was BACKWARDS for the
WR-plateau scenario this 8-commit chain targets.

Formula recap:
  soft_factor = deficit / (deficit + T)
  HIGH T → soft_factor → 0 → forgiving (no exit penalty)
  LOW T  → soft_factor → 1 → sharp (max exit penalty)

The deleted schedule's `START=50 → END=5` therefore meant
"permissive early, strict late" (classic explore-then-exploit), not
"permissive when committed, strict when uncertain" as the
substituted mapping assumed.

WR-plateau scenario: dir_acc ≈ 0.46-0.48 (model committed but
wrong) — the model needs a permissive (HIGH T) exit ramp to bail
out of bad committed directions, not maximum exit penalty (LOW T)
locking it into them.

Inverted the mapping using `confusion = 1 - skill`:
  - dir_acc ≈ 0.5 (random / plateau) → confusion=1 → temp=50
    (permissive, plateau exit ramp)
  - dir_acc → 1.0 (saturated skill)  → confusion=0 → temp=5
    (strict, force informed commitment)

This preserves the deleted schedule's epoch-0 anchor (T=50
cold-start) while reacting to actual realized skill instead of an
epoch-time anchor.

Files touched (atomic per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`):
- min_hold_temperature_update_kernel.cu — formula + header doctring.
- sp14_isv_slots.rs — slot-doc comment expanded with new mapping
  + fixup-rationale paragraph.
- gpu_aux_trunk.rs — `MinHoldTemperatureUpdateOps` docstring.
- gpu_dqn_trainer.rs — cubin docstring + ISV_TOTAL_DIM doc-comment.
- tests/sp14_oracle_tests.rs — Tests 3 + 4 flipped (high dir_acc
  now expects temp=TEMP_MIN; low dir_acc now expects TEMP_MAX);
  Tests 1, 2, 5 numerically unchanged (sentinel guard fires before
  the mapping; midpoint dir_acc=0.75 has skill=confusion=0.5 so
  pre/post-fixup numerics match).
- docs/dqn-wire-up-audit.md — Item 4 entry rewritten with the
  fixup rationale + mapping table updated.

Verification:
  cargo check -p ml --tests --all-targets   PASS
  cargo test sp14_audit_4b (lib)            4/4 PASS (slot layout
                                                   locks unchanged)

GPU oracle re-run deferred to next L40S smoke (kernel was rebuilt
in-place so cubin contents change; the 5 oracles encode the new
mapping and will exercise the new cubin).

Per `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.md` (sentinel→target
replace; sentinel anchors unchanged) +
`pearl_symmetric_clamp_audit.md` (bilateral clamp on target_temp
preserved) + `feedback_no_partial_refactor.md`.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 11:28:00 +02:00
..

ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;