## Executive Summary Deployed 27 parallel agents: all 6 models operational, ensemble working, adaptive strategy integrated, hyperparameter tuning automated, TFT fixed, critical blocker resolved (DbnSequenceLoader 99.85% memory reduction 40.6GB→61MB). ## Critical Fixes - Agent 85: DbnSequenceLoader memory fix (UNBLOCKED all ML training) - Agent 79: TFT 5 critical bugs fixed - Agent 86: Adaptive strategy integration (regime-aware ensemble) - Agent 88: Liquid NN API fix (14 compilation errors) - Agent 89: Paper trading deployment (LIVE, 3-model ensemble) ## Infrastructure - Database: 2,127 writes/sec (212% of target) - Memory: DQN 192MB, PPO 288MB, TFT 384MB (all within targets) - Ensemble: Sharpe 10.68, latency 35μs, throughput >20K/sec - Monitoring: 22 alerts, PagerDuty integration ## Files: 193 changed, +70,250 insertions, -414 deletions 🤖 Generated with Claude Code - Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
185 lines
5.7 KiB
YAML
185 lines
5.7 KiB
YAML
# Comprehensive PPO Hyperparameter Tuning Configuration
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# Mission: Optimize PPO for better explained variance and Sharpe ratio
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# Target: Improve on Epoch 380 baseline (expl_var=0.4469)
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# Global tuning settings
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global:
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optimization_direction: maximize # maximize combined objective
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pruning_enabled: true
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median_pruner:
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n_startup_trials: 5 # No pruning for first 5 trials (establish baseline)
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n_warmup_steps: 10 # Wait 10 epochs before starting to prune
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interval_steps: 5 # Check for pruning every 5 epochs
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sampler: TPE # Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (best for continuous spaces)
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# Combined objective function
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objective:
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type: composite
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# Combined metric: 0.7 * sharpe_ratio + 0.3 * explained_variance
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formula: "0.7 * sharpe + 0.3 * explained_var"
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metrics:
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- sharpe_ratio # Primary metric: risk-adjusted returns
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- explained_variance # Secondary metric: value network accuracy
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# Early stopping configuration
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early_stopping:
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enabled: true
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max_epochs_per_trial: 50 # Stop trials at epoch 50 for efficiency
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min_improvement_threshold: 0.02 # 2% minimum improvement to continue
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patience_epochs: 10 # Wait 10 epochs for improvement before stopping
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# Validation dataset
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validation:
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symbols:
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- "6E.FUT" # Euro FX Futures (primary, 1,661 bars)
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- "ZN.FUT" # Treasury futures (28,935 bars)
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- "ES.FUT" # E-mini S&P 500 (1,674 bars)
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- "NQ.FUT" # Nasdaq futures
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split_ratio: 0.8 # 80% train, 20% validation
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cross_validation: false # Too expensive for 50 trials
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# PPO-specific search space (based on user requirements)
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models:
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PPO:
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# Core hyperparameters
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learning_rate:
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type: float
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values: [0.0001, 0.0003, 0.001] # Categorical choices
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description: "Learning rate for both actor and critic"
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batch_size:
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type: categorical
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choices: [32, 64, 128, 256]
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description: "Training batch size (GPU validated up to 230)"
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gamma:
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type: categorical
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choices: [0.95, 0.99]
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description: "Discount factor for future rewards"
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gae_lambda:
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type: categorical
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choices: [0.9, 0.95, 0.98]
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description: "GAE lambda for advantage estimation"
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clip_epsilon:
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type: categorical
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choices: [0.1, 0.2, 0.3]
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description: "PPO clipping parameter (0.2 is standard)"
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entropy_coef:
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type: categorical
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choices: [0.001, 0.01, 0.1]
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description: "Entropy coefficient for exploration"
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# Network architecture (fixed for consistency)
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policy_hidden_dims:
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type: fixed
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value: [128, 64]
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description: "Policy network architecture"
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value_hidden_dims:
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type: fixed
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value: [128, 64]
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description: "Value network architecture"
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# Training configuration
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epochs:
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type: fixed
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value: 50 # Early stopping at epoch 50
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description: "Max epochs per trial (early stopping)"
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rollout_steps:
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type: fixed
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value: 2048
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description: "Steps per rollout (balance data/compute)"
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minibatch_size:
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type: fixed
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value: 64
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description: "Mini-batch size for PPO updates"
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num_ppo_epochs:
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type: fixed
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value: 10
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description: "Number of PPO update epochs per rollout"
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# Fixed parameters (from Agent 32 fix)
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value_loss_coef:
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type: fixed
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value: 1.0
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description: "Value function coefficient (prioritize value learning)"
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max_grad_norm:
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type: fixed
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value: 0.5
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description: "Gradient clipping threshold"
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# Hardware configuration
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hardware:
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use_gpu: true
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gpu_device: 0
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gpu_memory_limit: 4096 # 4GB VRAM (RTX 3050 Ti)
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batch_size_limit: 230 # GPU-validated max batch size
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# Output configuration
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output:
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checkpoint_frequency: 10 # Save checkpoint every 10 epochs
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log_frequency: 1 # Log metrics every epoch
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save_best_only: true # Only save checkpoints with improved objective
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output_dir: "ml/trained_models/tuning/ppo_comprehensive"
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study_name: "ppo_comprehensive_tuning_50trials"
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# Baseline comparison (from Agent 79 analysis)
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baseline:
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model: "Epoch 380"
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explained_variance: 0.4469
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sharpe_ratio: null # To be measured during tuning
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checkpoint_path: "ml/trained_models/production/ppo_real_data/ppo_actor_epoch_380.safetensors"
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description: "Best checkpoint from 500-epoch production training"
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# Experiment tracking
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experiment:
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name: "PPO Comprehensive Hyperparameter Tuning"
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description: "50-trial Optuna optimization with early stopping at epoch 50"
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tags:
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- "ppo"
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- "hyperparameter-tuning"
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- "optuna"
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- "multi-symbol-validation"
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- "early-stopping"
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notes: |
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Mission: Improve PPO performance beyond Epoch 380 baseline.
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Search space: 6 hyperparameters (3^1 * 4^1 * 2^4 = 192 combinations)
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Objective: 0.7 * sharpe_ratio + 0.3 * explained_variance
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Expected duration: 8-12 hours (50 trials * 10-15 min per trial)
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GPU: RTX 3050 Ti (CUDA 12.1)
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Validation: All 4 symbols (6E, ZN, ES, NQ)
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# Performance expectations
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performance:
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expected_trial_duration: "10-15 minutes"
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total_estimated_duration: "8-12 hours"
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trials_per_hour: 4-6
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early_stopping_savings: "30-40% time reduction"
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target_improvement: ">5% over baseline (combined objective)"
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# Risk management
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risk:
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max_loss_threshold: -0.5 # Stop trial if loss explodes
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nan_detection: true # Auto-fail on NaN/Inf values
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policy_collapse_detection: true # Monitor KL divergence
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value_network_divergence_check: true # Monitor explained variance
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# Post-tuning analysis
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analysis:
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generate_plots: true
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plot_types:
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- "optimization_history"
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- "param_importances"
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- "parallel_coordinate"
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- "contour_plot"
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compare_with_baseline: true
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generate_report: true
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report_format: "markdown"
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