Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski ba269d7ce7 fix(ml): improve DQN backtest Sharpe — greedy eval, exposure-scaled reward, cost alignment
A: Switch backtest eval from Gumbel softmax to greedy argmax (batch_greedy_actions)
   so hyperopt Sharpe reflects the agent's actual learned policy, not noisy sampling.

C: Disable reward normalization (enable_normalization=false). EMA normalizer with
   ±3.0 clipping was flattening the reward landscape, preventing the agent from
   distinguishing large winners from scratch trades.

D: Wire tx_cost_bps (0.1 bps for IBKR ES) through to EvaluationEngine via
   new_with_fee_rate(). Previously hardcoded at 15 bps (150x mismatch with actual
   commission costs), massively penalizing every trade in backtest.

E: Scale PnL reward by agent's target exposure in calculate_pnl_reward().
   Previously, a Short100 action received POSITIVE reward when market went up
   (pct_return ignored position direction). Now: reward = pct_return × exposure.

2735 tests pass, 0 clippy warnings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-06 20:25:42 +01:00
..

ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;