Files
foxhunt/crates/ml
jgrusewski c05f75d0d8 feat: adaptive v_range reward-scale floor from observed reward_std
The hardcoded REWARD_SCALE_FLOOR=0.01 was tuned for smoketest (reward_std=0.007)
but 940× too small for production (reward_std=6.57). The v_range floor must match
the actual reward scale to ensure the Bellman projection can shift atoms meaningfully.

- adapt_v_range_full takes observed reward_std from experience collector
- EMA-smoothed reward_std (β=0.99) prevents single-epoch noise from jerking floor
- Falls back to 0.01 before first observation, then adapts automatically
- reward_std_ema field on GpuDqnTrainer, observed_reward_std on DQNTrainer
- Decaying floor uses actual reward scale: floor = R_std * exp(-|Q_mean|/R_std)

903/903 tests passing. Smoketest val_Sharpe positive (60.76 epoch 1).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-12 21:03:44 +02:00
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ml

10-model ML ensemble for the Foxhunt HFT system, built on Candle v0.9.1.

Models

  • DQN (Rainbow) — deep Q-network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO — proximal policy optimization with GAE, LSTM policies, clip-higher
  • TFT — temporal fusion transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 — state space model for sequence prediction
  • Liquid Networks — biologically inspired networks for non-stationary data
  • TLOB — transformer-based limit order book analysis
  • KAN — Kolmogorov-Arnold networks
  • xLSTM — extended LSTM architecture
  • TGGN — temporal graph neural network
  • Diffusion — diffusion-based generative model

Key Modules

  • ensemble — model ensemble coordination and confidence aggregation
  • hyperopt — PSO-based hyperparameter optimization with per-model adapters
  • trainers — unified training loops (DQN, PPO, supervised)
  • inferenceInferenceAdapter trait for prediction
  • checkpoint — model checkpointing and restoration
  • evaluation — walk-forward evaluation pipeline

Usage

use ml::dqn::DQN;
use ml::ppo::PpoTrainer;