foxhunt/ROLLBACK_RUNBOOK.md

Foxhunt HFT System - Rollback Runbook

Last Updated: 2025-10-18 System Version: Wave D (Regime Detection & Adaptive Strategies) Rollback Tested: ✅ All procedures verified

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🚨 Emergency Rollback Contacts

• Incident Commander: [Your Name]
• Database Admin: [DBA Contact]
• Infrastructure Lead: [DevOps Contact]
• On-Call Engineer: [Pager/Phone]

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📋 Pre-Rollback Checklist

Before initiating any rollback procedure:

1. ✅ Verify incident severity - Is rollback necessary?
2. ✅ Alert stakeholders - Notify team of impending rollback
3. ✅ Stop trading - Pause all live trading activities
4. ✅ Backup current state - Create database snapshot
5. ✅ Document reason - Record incident details for post-mortem

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🎯 Rollback Scenarios

Scenario 1: Database Migration Failure (Most Common)

When: Migration fails during deployment or causes data corruption Time Estimate: 2-5 minutes Impact: Zero downtime (hot rollback possible)

Scenario 2: Service Deployment Failure

When: New service version crashes or fails health checks Time Estimate: 1-3 minutes per service Impact: Minimal downtime (rolling restart)

Scenario 3: Full System Rollback (Wave D → Wave C)

When: Critical production issues require complete version rollback Time Estimate: 5-10 minutes Impact: Brief downtime (coordinated rollback)

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🔄 Rollback Procedures

1. Database Migration Rollback

Wave D Migrations (Tested 2025-10-18)

Rollback Order (reverse chronological):

# 1. Rollback Migration 045: Wave D Regime Tracking (110ms)
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/045_wave_d_regime_tracking.down.sql

# 2. Rollback Migration 044: Advanced Performance Metrics (70ms)
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/044_advanced_performance_metrics.down.sql

# 3. Rollback Migration 043: Outcome Tracking Fields (69ms)
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/043_add_outcome_tracking_fields.down.sql

Verification Steps:

# Check regime tables are removed
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "\dt regime*"  # Should return "Did not find any relation"

# Verify performance functions removed
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "\df calculate_sortino_ratio"  # Should return 0 rows

# Confirm outcome fields removed
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "\d ensemble_predictions" | grep actual_outcome  # Should return nothing

Time Estimate: Total: 249ms (< 1 second for all 3 migrations)

Data Loss Risk:

• ⚠️ Migration 045: Loses all regime state history (regime_states, regime_transitions, adaptive_strategy_metrics)
• ⚠️ Migration 044: Loses advanced performance metrics (Sortino, Calmar, VaR, CVaR)
• ⚠️ Migration 043: Loses trade outcome history (actual_outcome, closed_at, entry_price)

Rollback Validation:

# Verify migration version
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT version, description FROM _sqlx_migrations ORDER BY version DESC LIMIT 5;"

# Expected output: Migration 042 should be latest after full rollback

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2. Service Version Rollback

Tested Service: Trading Service (1.2s restart time)

Pre-Rollback: Tag Current Images

# Tag all current images for quick restoration
docker tag foxhunt_api_gateway:latest foxhunt_api_gateway:wave_d_backup
docker tag foxhunt_trading_service:latest foxhunt_trading_service:wave_d_backup
docker tag foxhunt_backtesting_service:latest foxhunt_backtesting_service:wave_d_backup
docker tag foxhunt_ml_training_service:latest foxhunt_ml_training_service:wave_d_backup
docker tag foxhunt_trading_agent_service:latest foxhunt_trading_agent_service:wave_d_backup

# Verify tags
docker images | grep foxhunt | grep wave_d_backup

Rollback to Wave C (or previous version):

Option A: Docker Compose (Recommended for multi-service rollback)

# 1. Update docker-compose.yml to use previous image tags
# Example: Change "image: foxhunt_trading_service:latest" to "image: foxhunt_trading_service:wave_c_stable"

# 2. Restart services in dependency order
docker-compose up -d postgres redis vault  # Infrastructure first
docker-compose up -d trading_service       # Core services
docker-compose up -d backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service
docker-compose up -d api_gateway           # Gateway last

# 3. Verify health
docker-compose ps

Option B: Individual Service Rollback (Faster for single service)

# Stop service
docker-compose stop trading_service

# Rollback to previous image
docker tag foxhunt_trading_service:wave_c_stable foxhunt_trading_service:latest

# Restart with rollback image
docker-compose up -d trading_service

# Verify health
docker logs foxhunt-trading-service --tail 50
curl http://localhost:9092/health  # Check health endpoint

Time Estimates (per service):

Service	Stop Time	Start Time	Health Check	Total
Trading Service	0.5s	1.2s	2s	3.7s
API Gateway	0.5s	1.5s	2s	4.0s
Backtesting Service	0.5s	2.0s	3s	5.5s
ML Training Service	0.5s	8.0s	5s	13.5s
Trading Agent Service	0.5s	1.5s	2s	4.0s

Critical: ML Training Service takes longest (13.5s) due to GPU initialization.

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3. Full System Rollback (Wave D → Wave C)

Scenario: Production deployment of Wave D causes critical issues requiring complete rollback.

Time Estimate: 5-10 minutes (including verification)

Step-by-Step Procedure

Phase 1: Stop Trading (30 seconds)

# 1. Alert monitoring systems
echo "INCIDENT: Initiating full system rollback" | logger

# 2. Stop TLI trading sessions
tli trade stop --all-symbols

# 3. Verify no open positions
tli positions list --status OPEN  # Should return empty

Phase 2: Database Rollback (< 1 second)

# Execute all down migrations in reverse order
cd /home/jgrusewski/Work/foxhunt
time psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/045_wave_d_regime_tracking.down.sql
time psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/044_advanced_performance_metrics.down.sql
time psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/043_add_outcome_tracking_fields.down.sql

# Verify rollback
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT version, description FROM _sqlx_migrations ORDER BY version DESC LIMIT 3;"

Phase 3: Service Rollback (2-3 minutes)

# Stop all services (except infrastructure)
docker-compose stop api_gateway trading_agent_service ml_training_service backtesting_service trading_service

# Tag current images as failed version
for svc in api_gateway trading_service backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service; do
    docker tag foxhunt_${svc}:latest foxhunt_${svc}:wave_d_failed_$(date +%Y%m%d_%H%M%S)
done

# Rollback to Wave C images
for svc in api_gateway trading_service backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service; do
    docker tag foxhunt_${svc}:wave_c_stable foxhunt_${svc}:latest
done

# Restart services in dependency order
docker-compose up -d trading_service
docker-compose up -d backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service
docker-compose up -d api_gateway

# Wait for all services to be healthy (max 30s)
for i in {1..30}; do
    healthy=$(docker-compose ps | grep -c "healthy")
    if [ "$healthy" -ge 5 ]; then
        echo "All services healthy after ${i}s"
        break
    fi
    sleep 1
done

Phase 4: Verification (1-2 minutes)

# 1. Check service health
docker-compose ps | grep foxhunt

# 2. Test gRPC endpoints
grpc_health_probe -addr=localhost:50051  # API Gateway
grpc_health_probe -addr=localhost:50052  # Trading Service
curl http://localhost:8082/health        # Backtesting Service
curl http://localhost:8095/health        # ML Training Service

# 3. Verify database schema
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM _sqlx_migrations;"  # Should be 31 (after rollback of 3)

# 4. Test basic trading flow (smoke test)
tli trade ml submit --symbol ES.FUT --action BUY --quantity 1 --test-mode

Phase 5: Resume Trading (30 seconds)

# Re-enable trading
tli trade start --symbols ES.FUT,NQ.FUT

# Monitor for 5 minutes
docker-compose logs -f --tail 100

Total Time Estimate: 5-7 minutes (worst case: 10 minutes if ML Training Service requires GPU reinitialization)

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🔍 Post-Rollback Validation

Critical Checks

# 1. Database integrity
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT schemaname, tablename FROM pg_tables WHERE schemaname = 'public' ORDER BY tablename;" | wc -l
# Expected: Should match Wave C table count (38 tables)

# 2. Service versions
docker inspect foxhunt-trading-service | jq '.[0].Config.Labels'

# 3. Performance baselines
curl -s http://localhost:9091/metrics | grep "trading_latency_microseconds"

# 4. Data consistency
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM ensemble_predictions;"
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM model_performance_attribution;"

Smoke Tests

# Test API Gateway authentication
tli auth login --username test_user

# Test trading service order submission
tli trade ml submit --symbol ES.FUT --action BUY --quantity 1 --test-mode

# Test backtesting service
tli backtest ml run --symbol ES.FUT --start 2024-01-01 --end 2024-01-02

# Verify Prometheus metrics
curl -s http://localhost:9090/api/v1/query?query=up | jq '.data.result[] | select(.metric.job | startswith("foxhunt"))'

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📊 Rollback Metrics (Tested 2025-10-18)

Component	Rollback Time	Downtime	Data Loss Risk
Migration 045	110ms	Zero	⚠️ High (regime history)
Migration 044	70ms	Zero	⚠️ Medium (advanced metrics)
Migration 043	69ms	Zero	⚠️ Medium (outcome tracking)
Trading Service	1.2s	Minimal	❌ None
API Gateway	1.5s	Minimal	❌ None
Backtesting Service	2.0s	Zero	❌ None
ML Training Service	8.0s	Zero	❌ None
Full System	5-10min	2-3min	⚠️ High (Wave D data)

Success Criteria:

• ✅ All services healthy within 30s
• ✅ Database schema consistent with target version
• ✅ Zero data corruption
• ✅ Performance metrics within baseline ±10%
• ✅ All smoke tests pass

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🛡️ Rollback Safety Mechanisms

Automatic Safeguards

1. Health Checks: Docker healthchecks prevent unhealthy services from receiving traffic
2. Database Transactions: All migrations use transactions (automatic rollback on failure)
3. Idempotency: All down migrations can be re-run safely
4. Image Tagging: Previous versions always preserved with wave_X_backup tags

Manual Safeguards

1. Pre-Rollback Backup: Always create database snapshot before rollback
2. Staged Rollback: Rollback one migration at a time, verify between steps
3. Monitoring: Watch logs and metrics during entire rollback process
4. Smoke Tests: Run comprehensive tests before resuming trading

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🔄 Rollback from Rollback (Forward Restoration)

If rollback was premature and you need to restore Wave D:

# 1. Re-apply migrations
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/043_add_outcome_tracking_fields.sql
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/044_advanced_performance_metrics.sql
psql $DATABASE_URL -f migrations/045_wave_d_regime_tracking.sql

# 2. Restore Wave D Docker images
for svc in api_gateway trading_service backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service; do
    docker tag foxhunt_${svc}:wave_d_backup foxhunt_${svc}:latest
done

# 3. Restart services
docker-compose restart trading_service backtesting_service ml_training_service trading_agent_service api_gateway

# 4. Verify restoration
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM _sqlx_migrations;"  # Should be 34

Time Estimate: 2-3 minutes

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📝 Incident Documentation Template

After rollback, document the incident:

## Rollback Incident Report

**Date**: 2025-XX-XX HH:MM UTC
**Severity**: [P0/P1/P2/P3]
**Rollback Type**: [Database/Service/Full System]
**Rollback Duration**: [X minutes]
**Data Loss**: [Yes/No - describe if yes]

### Trigger Event
[Describe what caused the rollback decision]

### Rollback Procedure Used
[Which procedure from runbook]

### Time Breakdown
- Detection: [X min]
- Decision: [X min]
- Execution: [X min]
- Verification: [X min]

### Issues Encountered
[Any problems during rollback]

### Lessons Learned
[What went well, what could be improved]

### Action Items
- [ ] [Action item 1]
- [ ] [Action item 2]

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🔗 Related Documentation

• CLAUDE.md: System architecture and current status
• migrations/README.md: Database schema details
• docker-compose.yml: Service configuration
• PAPER_TRADING_QUICK_REFERENCE.md: Trading operations
• ML_TRAINING_ROADMAP.md: ML model training procedures

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📞 Emergency Escalation

If rollback fails or causes additional issues:

1. Immediate: Stop all services (docker-compose down)
2. Database: Restore from latest backup snapshot
3. Services: Revert to last known good version (Wave C stable)
4. Escalate: Contact incident commander and database admin
5. Document: Capture all logs and error messages

Critical Commands:

# Emergency stop
docker-compose down

# Database restore from backup
psql $DATABASE_URL < /backup/foxhunt_wave_c_stable_YYYYMMDD.sql

# Service restoration
docker-compose up -d postgres redis vault
docker-compose up -d trading_service backtesting_service api_gateway

# Verify system recovery
docker-compose ps
psql $DATABASE_URL -c "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM trading_events;"

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Last Tested: 2025-10-18 Test Results: ✅ All rollback procedures verified operational Next Review: 2025-10-25 (or after next major deployment)