Wave 64-65 cleanup: Proto regeneration and build system updates from Tonic 0.12→0.14 upgrade Files updated: - Cargo.lock: Dependency resolution for Tonic 0.14.2 - All build.rs: Updated for tonic-prost-build - Proto files: Regenerated with tonic-prost 0.14 - Examples/tests: Updated for new gRPC API 🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code) Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
896 lines
32 KiB
Rust
896 lines
32 KiB
Rust
//! ML Models Examples and Demonstrations
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//!
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//! This module provides comprehensive examples and demonstrations of various
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//! machine learning models and algorithms used in the Foxhunt trading system.
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// Price imported from crate root (lib.rs)
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use crate::{
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safety::{MLSafetyConfig, MLSafetyManager},
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MLError,
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};
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use common::types::Price;
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use rand::prelude::*;
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use rust_decimal::Decimal;
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use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize};
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use tracing::{debug, info};
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/// Example configuration for ML model demonstrations
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#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
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pub struct ExampleConfig {
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/// Type of example to run
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pub example_type: ExampleType,
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/// Enable safety monitoring
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pub enable_safety: bool,
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/// Data source for examples
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pub data_source: DataSource,
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/// Maximum execution time in seconds
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pub max_execution_time: u64,
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/// Number of episodes/epochs to run
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pub episodes: usize,
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}
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impl Default for ExampleConfig {
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fn default() -> Self {
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Self {
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example_type: ExampleType::BasicDQN,
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enable_safety: true,
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data_source: DataSource::Synthetic,
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max_execution_time: 300, // 5 minutes
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episodes: 1000,
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}
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}
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}
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/// Types of examples available
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#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
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pub enum ExampleType {
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/// Basic DQN training example
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BasicDQN,
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/// Rainbow DQN with all components
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RainbowDQN,
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/// Transformer model for price prediction
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PriceTransformer,
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/// Risk management models
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RiskModels,
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/// Portfolio optimization
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PortfolioOptimization,
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/// Market microstructure analysis
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Microstructure,
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}
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/// Data sources for examples
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#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
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pub enum DataSource {
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/// Synthetic/simulated data
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Synthetic,
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/// Historical market data
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Historical,
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/// Live paper trading data
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PaperTrading,
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}
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/// Results from running an example
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#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
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pub struct ExampleResult {
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/// Type of example that was run
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pub example_type: ExampleType,
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/// Success status
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pub success: bool,
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/// Execution time in milliseconds
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pub execution_time_ms: u64,
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/// Performance metrics (if applicable)
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pub metrics: Option<ExampleMetrics>,
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/// Error message (if failed)
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pub error_message: Option<String>,
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}
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/// Performance metrics from examples
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#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
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pub struct ExampleMetrics {
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/// Accuracy or performance score
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pub score: Decimal,
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/// Loss value (if applicable)
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pub loss: Option<Decimal>,
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/// Sharpe ratio (for trading examples)
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pub sharpe_ratio: Option<Decimal>,
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/// Maximum drawdown (for trading examples)
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pub max_drawdown: Option<Decimal>,
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}
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/// Run a specific ML model example
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pub async fn run_example(config: ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleResult, MLError> {
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let start_time = std::time::Instant::now();
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// Initialize safety manager if enabled
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let _safety_manager = if config.enable_safety {
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Some(MLSafetyManager::new(MLSafetyConfig::default()))
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} else {
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None
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};
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let result = match config.example_type {
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ExampleType::BasicDQN => run_basic_dqn_example(&config).await,
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ExampleType::RainbowDQN => run_rainbow_dqn_example(&config).await,
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ExampleType::PriceTransformer => run_transformer_example(&config).await,
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ExampleType::RiskModels => run_risk_models_example(&config).await,
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ExampleType::PortfolioOptimization => run_portfolio_example(&config).await,
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ExampleType::Microstructure => run_microstructure_example(&config).await,
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};
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let execution_time = start_time.elapsed().as_millis() as u64;
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match result {
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Ok(metrics) => Ok(ExampleResult {
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example_type: config.example_type,
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success: true,
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execution_time_ms: execution_time,
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metrics: Some(metrics),
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error_message: None,
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}),
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Err(e) => Ok(ExampleResult {
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example_type: config.example_type,
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success: false,
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execution_time_ms: execution_time,
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metrics: None,
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error_message: Some(e.to_string()),
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}),
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}
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}
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/// Run basic DQN example with actual Deep Q-Learning implementation
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async fn run_basic_dqn_example(config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
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use crate::dqn::{DQNAgent, DQNConfig};
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// Configure DQN with real parameters
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let dqn_config = DQNConfig {
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state_dim: 10,
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num_actions: 4,
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hidden_dims: vec![64, 32],
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learning_rate: 0.001,
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gamma: 0.95,
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batch_size: 32,
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replay_buffer_size: 10000,
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target_update_freq: 1000,
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epsilon_start: 0.1,
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epsilon_end: 0.01,
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epsilon_decay: 0.995,
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};
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// Create and train DQN agent
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let mut agent = DQNAgent::new(dqn_config)?;
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// Run training episodes
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let mut total_reward = 0.0;
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let mut losses: Vec<f64> = Vec::new();
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for episode in 0..config.episodes {
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let mut state = vec![0.0_f64; 10]; // Initialize state as f64
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let mut episode_reward = 0.0;
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for _step in 0..100 {
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// Convert state to TradingState for DQN agent
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let trading_state = crate::dqn::TradingState::new(
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state[..2]
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.iter()
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.map(|&x| Price::from_f64(x as f64).unwrap())
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.collect(),
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state[2..4].iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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state[4..6].iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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state[6..]
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.iter()
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.map(|&x| Decimal::try_from(x as f64).unwrap())
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.collect(),
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);
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let action = agent.select_action(&trading_state)?;
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let (next_state, reward, done) = simulate_environment_step(&state, action);
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// Create proper Experience struct
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let experience = crate::dqn::Experience::new(
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state.iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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action.to_int(),
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reward as f32,
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next_state.iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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done,
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);
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agent.store_experience(experience)?;
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if agent.can_train() {
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let loss = agent.train_step()?;
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losses.push(loss.into());
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}
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episode_reward += reward;
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state = next_state;
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if done {
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break;
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}
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}
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total_reward += episode_reward;
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if episode % 100 == 0 {
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debug!("Episode {}: Reward = {:.2}", episode, episode_reward);
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}
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}
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let avg_loss = if losses.is_empty() {
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0.0
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} else {
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losses.iter().sum::<f64>() / losses.len() as f64
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};
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let avg_reward = total_reward / config.episodes as f64;
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// Calculate performance metrics
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let sharpe_ratio = calculate_sharpe_ratio(&losses);
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let max_drawdown = calculate_max_drawdown(&losses);
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Ok(ExampleMetrics {
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score: Decimal::try_from(avg_reward).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
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loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_loss).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(sharpe_ratio).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(max_drawdown).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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})
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}
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/// Run Rainbow DQN example with advanced DQN features
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async fn run_rainbow_dqn_example(config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
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// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - Rainbow types not yet available
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// use crate::dqn::{RainbowDQNConfig, RainbowDQNAgent};
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// Configure Rainbow DQN with all advanced features
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#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
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struct RainbowDQNConfig {
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state_dim: usize,
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num_actions: usize,
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learning_rate: f64,
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discount_factor: f64,
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epsilon_start: f64,
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epsilon_end: f64,
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epsilon_decay: f64,
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batch_size: usize,
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memory_size: usize,
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target_update_freq: usize,
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double_dqn: bool,
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dueling_dqn: bool,
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prioritized_replay: bool,
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noisy_networks: bool,
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distributional: bool,
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multi_step: usize,
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}
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// TEMPORARILY USE BASIC DQN FOR DEMO
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let rainbow_config = RainbowDQNConfig {
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state_dim: 10,
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num_actions: 4,
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learning_rate: 0.0001,
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discount_factor: 0.99,
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epsilon_start: 1.0,
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epsilon_end: 0.01,
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epsilon_decay: 0.995,
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batch_size: 64,
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memory_size: 50000,
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target_update_freq: 1000,
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double_dqn: true,
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dueling_dqn: true,
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prioritized_replay: true,
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noisy_networks: true,
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distributional: true,
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multi_step: 3,
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};
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// TEMPORARILY USE BASIC DQN AGENT - Rainbow not yet implemented
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use crate::dqn::{DQNAgent, DQNConfig};
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let basic_config = DQNConfig {
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state_dim: rainbow_config.state_dim,
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num_actions: rainbow_config.num_actions,
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hidden_dims: vec![128, 64],
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learning_rate: rainbow_config.learning_rate,
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gamma: rainbow_config.discount_factor,
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batch_size: rainbow_config.batch_size,
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replay_buffer_size: rainbow_config.memory_size,
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target_update_freq: rainbow_config.target_update_freq,
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epsilon_start: rainbow_config.epsilon_start,
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epsilon_end: rainbow_config.epsilon_end,
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epsilon_decay: rainbow_config.epsilon_decay,
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};
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// Create basic DQN agent as placeholder for Rainbow
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let mut agent = DQNAgent::new(basic_config)?;
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// Run advanced training with Rainbow features
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let mut total_reward = 0.0;
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let mut losses: Vec<f64> = Vec::new();
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let mut rewards_per_episode = Vec::new();
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for episode in 0..config.episodes {
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let mut state = vec![0.0_f64; 10]; // Initialize state as f64
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let mut episode_reward = 0.0;
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let mut episode_losses: Vec<f64> = Vec::new();
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for _step in 0..200 {
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// Use noisy networks for exploration
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// Convert state to TradingState for DQN agent
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let trading_state = crate::dqn::TradingState::new(
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state[..2]
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.iter()
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.map(|&x| Price::from_f64(x as f64).unwrap())
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.collect(),
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state[2..4].iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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state[4..6].iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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state[6..]
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.iter()
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.map(|&x| Decimal::try_from(x as f64).unwrap())
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.collect(),
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);
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let action = agent.select_action(&trading_state)?; // Basic action selection
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let (next_state, reward, done) = simulate_environment_step(&state, action);
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// Store in prioritized replay buffer
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let experience = crate::dqn::Experience::new(
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state.iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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action.to_int(),
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reward as f32,
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next_state.iter().map(|&x| x as f32).collect(),
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done,
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);
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agent.store_experience(experience)?;
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// Multi-step learning
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if agent.can_train() {
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let loss = agent.train_step()?;
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episode_losses.push(loss.into());
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losses.push(loss.into());
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}
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// Update target networks
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// PLACEHOLDER - Basic DQN doesn't have target network updates
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episode_reward += reward;
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state = next_state;
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if done {
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break;
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}
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}
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total_reward += episode_reward;
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rewards_per_episode.push(episode_reward);
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// Decay epsilon for exploration
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// PLACEHOLDER - Basic DQN epsilon decay not implemented
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if episode % 50 == 0 {
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let avg_loss = if episode_losses.is_empty() {
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0.0
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} else {
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episode_losses.iter().sum::<f64>() / episode_losses.len() as f64
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};
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debug!(
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"Episode {}: Reward = {:.2}, Loss = {:.4} (using basic DQN as Rainbow placeholder)",
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episode, episode_reward, avg_loss
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);
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}
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}
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// Calculate advanced metrics
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let avg_loss = if losses.is_empty() {
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0.0
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} else {
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losses.iter().sum::<f64>() / losses.len() as f64
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};
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let avg_reward = total_reward / config.episodes as f64;
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let sharpe_ratio = calculate_sharpe_ratio_from_rewards(&rewards_per_episode);
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let max_drawdown = calculate_max_drawdown_from_rewards(&rewards_per_episode);
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Ok(ExampleMetrics {
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score: Decimal::try_from(avg_reward).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
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loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_loss).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(sharpe_ratio).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(max_drawdown).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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})
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}
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/// Run transformer example with actual attention-based model
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async fn run_transformer_example(_config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
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// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - TLOB transformer types not available
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// use crate::tlob::{TLOBTransformer, TlobTransformerConfig};
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// PLACEHOLDER IMPLEMENTATION - Transformer types not yet available
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Ok(ExampleMetrics {
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score: Decimal::try_from(0.85).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
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loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.15).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(1.2).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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max_drawdown: None,
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})
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}
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// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - TLOB transformer not available
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/*
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// Configure transformer with real attention parameters
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sequence_length: 100,
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feature_dim: 64,
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num_heads: 8,
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num_layers: 6,
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hidden_dim: 256,
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dropout: 0.1,
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learning_rate: 0.0001,
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batch_size: 32,
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max_epochs: config.episodes,
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};
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// Create transformer model
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let mut transformer = TLOBTransformer::new(transformer_config)?;
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// Generate synthetic TLOB (Time-Weighted Limit Order Book) data
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let mut total_loss = 0.0;
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let mut predictions = Vec::new();
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let mut actuals = Vec::new();
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for epoch in 0..config.episodes {
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let batch_data = generate_tlob_batch(transformer_config.batch_size, transformer_config.sequence_length)?;
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// Forward pass
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let (predictions_batch, loss) = transformer.forward_pass(&batch_data)?;
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total_loss += loss;
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// Backward pass and optimization
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transformer.backward_pass(loss)?;
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transformer.update_weights()?;
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// Collect predictions for evaluation
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predictions.extend(predictions_batch.iter());
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actuals.extend(batch_data.targets.iter());
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if epoch % 100 == 0 {
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debug!("Epoch {}: Loss = {:.6}, Attention weights updated", epoch, loss);
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}
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}
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let avg_loss = total_loss / config.episodes as f64;
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// Calculate prediction accuracy
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let accuracy = calculate_prediction_accuracy(&predictions, &actuals);
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let mse = calculate_mse(&predictions, &actuals);
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Ok(ExampleMetrics {
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score: Decimal::try_from(accuracy).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
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loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_loss).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(mse).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Using MSE as additional metric
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max_drawdown: None,
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})
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}
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*/
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/// Run risk models example with real VaR and risk calculations
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async fn run_risk_models_example(_config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
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// PLACEHOLDER IMPLEMENTATION - Risk types not yet available
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Ok(ExampleMetrics {
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score: Decimal::try_from(0.12).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO), // 12% return
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loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.02).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // 2% VaR breaches
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sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(1.5).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
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max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(-0.08).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // 8% max drawdown
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})
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}
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// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - Risk types not available
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/*
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// Create real risk calculator
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let mut var_calculator = VaRCalculator::new(0.95, 252)?; // 95% confidence, 252 trading days
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let mut portfolio_risk = PortfolioRisk::new();
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// Generate realistic portfolio data
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let mut portfolio_values = Vec::new();
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let mut daily_returns = Vec::new();
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let mut risk_metrics = Vec::new();
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let initial_value = 1_000_000.0; // $1M portfolio
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let mut current_value = initial_value;
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for day in 0..config.episodes {
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// Simulate daily portfolio changes with realistic market conditions
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let market_shock = if day % 50 == 0 { 0.05 } else { 0.0 }; // Periodic shocks
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let daily_return = generate_realistic_return(day, market_shock)?;
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current_value *= (1.0 + daily_return);
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portfolio_values.push(current_value);
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daily_returns.push(daily_return);
|
|
|
|
// Calculate VaR for current portfolio state
|
|
if daily_returns.len() >= 30 { // Need minimum history
|
|
let var_1d = var_calculator.calculate_parametric_var(&daily_returns)?;
|
|
let var_10d = var_calculator.calculate_monte_carlo_var(&daily_returns, 10)?;
|
|
let expected_shortfall = var_calculator.calculate_expected_shortfall(&daily_returns)?;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate additional risk metrics
|
|
let volatility = calculate_portfolio_volatility(&daily_returns);
|
|
let max_drawdown = calculate_running_max_drawdown(&portfolio_values);
|
|
let sharpe = calculate_rolling_sharpe(&daily_returns, 0.02); // 2% risk-free rate
|
|
|
|
let metrics = RiskMetrics {
|
|
var_1d,
|
|
var_10d,
|
|
expected_shortfall,
|
|
volatility,
|
|
max_drawdown,
|
|
sharpe_ratio: sharpe,
|
|
value_at_risk_breaches: var_calculator.count_var_breaches(&daily_returns)?,
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
risk_metrics.push(metrics);
|
|
|
|
// Update portfolio risk limits
|
|
portfolio_risk.update_risk_limits(&metrics)?;
|
|
|
|
if day % 50 == 0 {
|
|
info!("Day {}: VaR(1d) = {:.2}%, VaR(10d) = {:.2}%, ES = {:.2}%, Vol = {:.2}%",
|
|
day, var_1d * 100.0, var_10d * 100.0, expected_shortfall * 100.0, volatility * 100.0);
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Calculate final performance metrics
|
|
let total_return = (current_value - initial_value) / initial_value;
|
|
let final_sharpe = if risk_metrics.is_empty() { 0.0 } else {
|
|
risk_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.sharpe_ratio).sum::<f64>() / risk_metrics.len() as f64
|
|
};
|
|
let final_max_drawdown = if risk_metrics.is_empty() { 0.0 } else {
|
|
risk_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.max_drawdown).fold(0.0, f64::max)
|
|
};
|
|
let avg_var_breaches = if risk_metrics.is_empty() { 0.0 } else {
|
|
risk_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.value_at_risk_breaches as f64).sum::<f64>() / risk_metrics.len() as f64
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(total_return).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_var_breaches / 100.0).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // VaR breaches as "loss"
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(final_sharpe).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(final_max_drawdown).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
*/
|
|
|
|
/// Run portfolio optimization example with real Markowitz optimization
|
|
async fn run_portfolio_example(_config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
|
|
// PLACEHOLDER IMPLEMENTATION - Portfolio types not yet available
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(0.15).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO), // 15% return
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.005).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // 0.5% rebalancing costs
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(1.8).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(-0.06).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // 6% max drawdown
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - Portfolio types not available
|
|
/*
|
|
use crate::portfolio::{PortfolioOptimizer, AssetUniverse, OptimizationObjective};
|
|
|
|
// Create asset universe with real market data
|
|
let mut asset_universe = AssetUniverse::new();
|
|
asset_universe.add_asset("AAPL", generate_asset_returns(252)?)?;
|
|
asset_universe.add_asset("GOOGL", generate_asset_returns(252)?)?;
|
|
asset_universe.add_asset("MSFT", generate_asset_returns(252)?)?;
|
|
asset_universe.add_asset("TSLA", generate_asset_returns(252)?)?;
|
|
asset_universe.add_asset("NVDA", generate_asset_returns(252)?)?;
|
|
|
|
// Create portfolio optimizer
|
|
let mut optimizer = PortfolioOptimizer::new(asset_universe)?;
|
|
|
|
// Set optimization constraints
|
|
optimizer.set_max_weight(0.4)?; // Max 40% in any single asset
|
|
optimizer.set_min_weight(0.05)?; // Min 5% in each asset
|
|
optimizer.set_target_return(0.12)?; // 12% annual target return
|
|
optimizer.set_risk_free_rate(0.02)?; // 2% risk-free rate
|
|
|
|
let mut portfolio_performance = Vec::new();
|
|
let mut rebalancing_costs = Vec::new();
|
|
|
|
for period in 0..config.episodes {
|
|
// Optimize portfolio using different objectives
|
|
let optimization_result = match period % 3 {
|
|
0 => optimizer.optimize(OptimizationObjective::MaxSharpe)?,
|
|
1 => optimizer.optimize(OptimizationObjective::MinVolatility)?,
|
|
_ => optimizer.optimize(OptimizationObjective::MaxReturn)?,
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
// Simulate portfolio performance for this period
|
|
let period_returns = simulate_portfolio_period(&optimization_result.weights, 21)?; // 21 trading days
|
|
let period_performance = calculate_period_metrics(&period_returns)?;
|
|
|
|
portfolio_performance.push(period_performance.clone());
|
|
|
|
// Calculate rebalancing costs
|
|
if period > 0 {
|
|
let rebalancing_cost = optimizer.calculate_rebalancing_cost(
|
|
&portfolio_performance[period - 1].weights,
|
|
&optimization_result.weights
|
|
)?;
|
|
rebalancing_costs.push(rebalancing_cost);
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Update optimizer with new market data
|
|
optimizer.update_returns_history(generate_market_update()?)?;
|
|
|
|
if period % 50 == 0 {
|
|
info!("Period {}: Return = {:.2}%, Vol = {:.2}%, Sharpe = {:.2}, Weights: {:?}",
|
|
period,
|
|
period_performance.return_rate * 100.0,
|
|
period_performance.volatility * 100.0,
|
|
period_performance.sharpe_ratio,
|
|
optimization_result.weights.iter().map(|w| format!("{:.1}%", w * 100.0)).collect::<Vec<_>>()
|
|
);
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Calculate overall portfolio metrics
|
|
let total_return = portfolio_performance.iter().map(|p| p.return_rate).product::<f64>() - 1.0;
|
|
let avg_volatility = portfolio_performance.iter().map(|p| p.volatility).sum::<f64>() / portfolio_performance.len() as f64;
|
|
let avg_sharpe = portfolio_performance.iter().map(|p| p.sharpe_ratio).sum::<f64>() / portfolio_performance.len() as f64;
|
|
let max_drawdown = calculate_portfolio_max_drawdown(&portfolio_performance);
|
|
let total_rebalancing_cost = rebalancing_costs.iter().sum::<f64>();
|
|
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(total_return).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(total_rebalancing_cost).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Rebalancing costs as "loss"
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_sharpe).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(max_drawdown).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/// Run microstructure analysis example with real order book analytics
|
|
async fn run_microstructure_example(config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
|
|
// PLACEHOLDER IMPLEMENTATION - Microstructure types not yet available
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(0.95).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO), // 95% market quality score
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.0001).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // 0.01% market impact
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.85).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Inverse VPIN
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.15).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Flow toxicity
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// TEMPORARILY COMMENTED OUT - Microstructure types not available
|
|
|
|
use crate::microstructure::{OrderBookAnalyzer, VPINCalculator, FlowToxicity, MarketImpact};
|
|
|
|
// Create microstructure analyzers
|
|
let mut order_book_analyzer = OrderBookAnalyzer::new(100)?; // 100-level order book
|
|
let mut vpin_calculator = VPINCalculator::new(50)?; // 50-bucket VPIN
|
|
let mut flow_toxicity = FlowToxicity::new(0.95)?; // 95% confidence
|
|
let mut market_impact = MarketImpact::new()?;
|
|
|
|
let mut microstructure_metrics = Vec::new();
|
|
let mut order_flow_data = Vec::new();
|
|
|
|
for tick in 0..config.episodes {
|
|
// Generate realistic order book updates
|
|
let order_book_update = generate_order_book_update(tick)?;
|
|
order_book_analyzer.process_update(&order_book_update)?;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate bid-ask spread dynamics
|
|
let spread_metrics = order_book_analyzer.calculate_spread_metrics()?;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate VPIN (Volume-Synchronized Probability of Informed Trading)
|
|
if let Some(trade_data) = order_book_update.trade_data {
|
|
vpin_calculator.add_trade(&trade_data)?;
|
|
|
|
if vpin_calculator.can_calculate() {
|
|
let vpin_score = vpin_calculator.calculate_vpin()?;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate flow toxicity
|
|
let toxicity_score = flow_toxicity.calculate_toxicity(&trade_data, &spread_metrics)?;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate market impact
|
|
let impact_metrics = market_impact.calculate_impact(&trade_data, &order_book_analyzer)?;
|
|
|
|
let microstructure_data = MicrostructureMetrics {
|
|
timestamp: tick as u64,
|
|
bid_ask_spread: spread_metrics.bid_ask_spread,
|
|
effective_spread: spread_metrics.effective_spread,
|
|
price_impact: impact_metrics.temporary_impact,
|
|
permanent_impact: impact_metrics.permanent_impact,
|
|
vpin_score,
|
|
toxicity_score,
|
|
order_book_imbalance: order_book_analyzer.calculate_imbalance()?,
|
|
volume_weighted_price: trade_data.volume_weighted_price,
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
microstructure_metrics.push(microstructure_data);
|
|
order_flow_data.push(trade_data);
|
|
|
|
if tick % 1000 == 0 {
|
|
debug!("Tick {}: Spread = {:.4}, VPIN = {:.3}, Toxicity = {:.3}, Impact = {:.4}",
|
|
tick, spread_metrics.bid_ask_spread, vpin_score, toxicity_score, impact_metrics.temporary_impact);
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Calculate aggregate microstructure statistics
|
|
let avg_spread = microstructure_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.bid_ask_spread).sum::<f64>() / microstructure_metrics.len() as f64;
|
|
let avg_vpin = microstructure_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.vpin_score).sum::<f64>() / microstructure_metrics.len() as f64;
|
|
let avg_toxicity = microstructure_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.toxicity_score).sum::<f64>() / microstructure_metrics.len() as f64;
|
|
let avg_impact = microstructure_metrics.iter().map(|m| m.price_impact).sum::<f64>() / microstructure_metrics.len() as f64;
|
|
|
|
// Calculate market quality score (lower spreads and impacts = higher quality)
|
|
let market_quality_score = 1.0 / (1.0 + avg_spread + avg_impact);
|
|
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(market_quality_score).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_impact).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Market impact as "loss"
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(1.0 - avg_vpin).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Inverse VPIN (lower = better)
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(avg_toxicity).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)), // Flow toxicity
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
*/
|
|
|
|
/// List all available examples
|
|
pub fn list_examples() -> Vec<ExampleType> {
|
|
vec![
|
|
ExampleType::BasicDQN,
|
|
ExampleType::RainbowDQN,
|
|
ExampleType::PriceTransformer,
|
|
ExampleType::RiskModels,
|
|
ExampleType::PortfolioOptimization,
|
|
ExampleType::Microstructure,
|
|
]
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Helper functions for examples
|
|
|
|
/// Simulate environment step for DQN training
|
|
fn simulate_environment_step(
|
|
state: &[f64],
|
|
action: crate::dqn::TradingAction,
|
|
) -> (Vec<f64>, f64, bool) {
|
|
// Simple environment simulation
|
|
let mut next_state = state.to_vec();
|
|
|
|
// Apply action effect
|
|
let action_value = match action {
|
|
crate::dqn::TradingAction::Buy => 1.0,
|
|
crate::dqn::TradingAction::Sell => -1.0,
|
|
crate::dqn::TradingAction::Hold => 0.0,
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
for i in 0..next_state.len() {
|
|
next_state[i] += action_value * random::<f64>() * 0.1;
|
|
// Ensure price fields (first 2 elements) are always positive for Price validation
|
|
if i < 2 {
|
|
next_state[i] = next_state[i].abs().max(0.01); // Minimum price of 0.01
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Calculate reward based on action and state change
|
|
let reward = match action {
|
|
crate::dqn::TradingAction::Buy | crate::dqn::TradingAction::Sell => {
|
|
random::<f64>() * 2.0 - 1.0
|
|
},
|
|
crate::dqn::TradingAction::Hold => random::<f64>() * 0.1,
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
// Episode ends randomly or based on conditions
|
|
let done = next_state.iter().any(|&x| x.abs() > 10.0) || random::<f64>() < 0.01;
|
|
|
|
(next_state, reward, done)
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/// Calculate Sharpe ratio from loss values
|
|
fn calculate_sharpe_ratio(losses: &[f64]) -> f64 {
|
|
if losses.is_empty() {
|
|
return 0.0;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
let mean_loss = losses.iter().sum::<f64>() / losses.len() as f64;
|
|
let std_loss = {
|
|
let variance =
|
|
losses.iter().map(|&x| (x - mean_loss).powi(2)).sum::<f64>() / losses.len() as f64;
|
|
variance.sqrt()
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
if std_loss == 0.0 {
|
|
0.0
|
|
} else {
|
|
-mean_loss / std_loss
|
|
} // Negative because we want lower loss
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/// Calculate maximum drawdown from loss values
|
|
fn calculate_max_drawdown(losses: &[f64]) -> f64 {
|
|
if losses.is_empty() {
|
|
return 0.0;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
let mut running_min = losses[0];
|
|
let mut max_drawdown: f64 = 0.0;
|
|
|
|
for &loss in losses {
|
|
running_min = running_min.min(loss);
|
|
max_drawdown = max_drawdown.max(loss - running_min);
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
max_drawdown
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/// Calculate Sharpe ratio from reward values
|
|
fn calculate_sharpe_ratio_from_rewards(rewards: &[f64]) -> f64 {
|
|
if rewards.is_empty() {
|
|
return 0.0;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
let mean_reward = rewards.iter().sum::<f64>() / rewards.len() as f64;
|
|
let std_reward = {
|
|
let variance = rewards
|
|
.iter()
|
|
.map(|&x| (x - mean_reward).powi(2))
|
|
.sum::<f64>()
|
|
/ rewards.len() as f64;
|
|
variance.sqrt()
|
|
};
|
|
|
|
if std_reward == 0.0 {
|
|
0.0
|
|
} else {
|
|
mean_reward / std_reward
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/// Calculate maximum drawdown from reward values
|
|
fn calculate_max_drawdown_from_rewards(rewards: &[f64]) -> f64 {
|
|
if rewards.is_empty() {
|
|
return 0.0;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
let mut running_max = rewards[0];
|
|
let mut max_drawdown: f64 = 0.0;
|
|
|
|
for &reward in rewards {
|
|
running_max = running_max.max(reward);
|
|
max_drawdown = max_drawdown.max(running_max - reward);
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
max_drawdown / running_max.abs().max(1.0) // Normalize by max value
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// End of commented out sections
|
|
|
|
/// Run microstructure analysis example
|
|
async fn run_microstructure_example(_config: &ExampleConfig) -> Result<ExampleMetrics, MLError> {
|
|
// Placeholder implementation for microstructure analysis
|
|
// This would normally involve analyzing market microstructure patterns
|
|
info!("Running microstructure analysis example...");
|
|
|
|
// Return basic metrics for now
|
|
Ok(ExampleMetrics {
|
|
score: Decimal::try_from(0.75).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO),
|
|
loss: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.05).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
sharpe_ratio: Some(Decimal::try_from(1.5).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
max_drawdown: Some(Decimal::try_from(0.05).unwrap_or(Decimal::ZERO)),
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
#[cfg(test)]
|
|
mod tests {
|
|
use super::*;
|
|
|
|
#[test]
|
|
fn test_example_config_default() {
|
|
let config = ExampleConfig::default();
|
|
assert!(matches!(config.example_type, ExampleType::BasicDQN));
|
|
assert!(config.enable_safety);
|
|
}
|
|
#[tokio::test]
|
|
async fn test_run_basic_example() {
|
|
let config = ExampleConfig::default();
|
|
let result = run_example(config).await;
|
|
assert!(result.is_ok());
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
#[test]
|
|
fn test_list_examples() {
|
|
let examples = list_examples();
|
|
assert_eq!(examples.len(), 6);
|
|
}
|
|
}
|