Files
foxhunt/ml/tests/real_data_pipeline_test.rs
jgrusewski eb26ca1e1f fix(ml): address code review feedback on pipeline integration tests
- Add #![allow(unused_crate_dependencies)] for consistency with other ml tests
- Extract EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM constant (replaces magic number 51)
- Add validated_folds counter to prevent vacuous pass in walk-forward test
- Replace unwrap_or_else(panic) with match pattern

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 19:30:00 +01:00

348 lines
12 KiB
Rust

//! Integration tests for the real-data training pipeline.
//!
//! Validates the full pipeline with synthetic data (no Databento API needed):
//! generate bars -> extract features -> walk-forward split -> normalization -> verify dimensions.
#![allow(unused_crate_dependencies)]
use chrono::{Datelike, NaiveDate, NaiveTime, TimeZone, Utc, Weekday};
use ml::features::extraction::extract_ml_features;
use ml::types::OHLCVBar;
use ml::walk_forward::{generate_walk_forward_windows, NormStats, WalkForwardConfig};
/// Expected feature dimension from `extract_ml_features`.
const EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM: usize = 51;
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Synthetic bar generator
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
/// Generate realistic-ish synthetic OHLCV bars starting from `start_date`.
///
/// - Skips weekends (Sat/Sun).
/// - Produces `bars_per_day` intraday bars per trading day (390 = 6.5h * 60min).
/// - Base price ~4500 with small drift and intraday noise.
/// - Volume varies with approximate U-shaped intraday pattern.
fn generate_synthetic_bars(start_date: NaiveDate, num_calendar_days: u32, bars_per_day: u32) -> Vec<OHLCVBar> {
let mut bars = Vec::new();
let mut price = 4500.0_f64;
let mut current = start_date;
for _day_offset in 0..num_calendar_days {
let weekday = current.weekday();
if weekday == Weekday::Sat || weekday == Weekday::Sun {
current = current.succ_opt().unwrap_or(current);
continue;
}
// Small daily drift (-0.05% to +0.05%)
let daily_drift = ((_day_offset as f64 * 0.7123).sin()) * 0.0005;
price *= 1.0 + daily_drift;
for minute in 0..bars_per_day {
// Intraday time: market opens at 09:30, each bar is 1 minute
let total_minutes = 9 * 60 + 30 + minute;
let hour = total_minutes / 60;
let min = total_minutes % 60;
// Clamp hour/minute to valid ranges
let hour_clamped = hour.min(23);
let min_clamped = min.min(59);
let time = NaiveTime::from_hms_opt(hour_clamped, min_clamped, 0)
.unwrap_or_default();
let dt = current.and_time(time);
let timestamp = Utc.from_utc_datetime(&dt);
// Small intrabar noise for realistic OHLCV
let noise_factor = ((bars.len() as f64 * 1.3217).sin()) * 0.001;
let open = price * (1.0 + noise_factor);
let close = price * (1.0 + noise_factor * 0.8 + daily_drift * 0.001);
// high is always >= max(open, close), low <= min(open, close)
let bar_max = open.max(close);
let bar_min = open.min(close);
let high = bar_max + bar_max.abs() * 0.0005;
let low = bar_min - bar_min.abs() * 0.0005;
// U-shaped volume: higher at open/close, lower midday
let session_pct = minute as f64 / bars_per_day.max(1) as f64;
let u_shape = (session_pct - 0.5).powi(2) * 4.0 + 0.5;
let volume = 50_000.0 * u_shape + 10_000.0;
bars.push(OHLCVBar {
timestamp,
open,
high,
low,
close,
volume,
});
// Evolve price slightly per bar
let bar_drift = ((bars.len() as f64 * 0.4567).sin()) * 0.0001;
price *= 1.0 + bar_drift;
}
current = current.succ_opt().unwrap_or(current);
}
bars
}
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Test 1: Feature extraction from synthetic bars
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#[test]
fn test_pipeline_features_extract_from_synthetic() {
// Generate 90 calendar days of synthetic bars, 390 per trading day
let start = NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 3, 1).unwrap_or_default();
let bars = generate_synthetic_bars(start, 90, 390);
// Verify we generated a reasonable number of bars (~63 trading days * 390)
assert!(
bars.len() > 20_000,
"Expected >20k bars for 90 days, got {}",
bars.len()
);
// Extract features
let features = match extract_ml_features(&bars) {
Ok(f) => f,
Err(e) => {
assert!(false, "Feature extraction failed: {e}");
return; // unreachable, satisfies type checker
}
};
// Features should be non-empty (bars - warmup period of 50)
assert!(
!features.is_empty(),
"Feature extraction returned empty vector"
);
assert!(
features.len() > 19_000,
"Expected >19k feature vectors, got {}",
features.len()
);
// Each feature vector must be 51-dimensional
for (i, fv) in features.iter().enumerate() {
assert_eq!(
fv.len(),
EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM,
"Feature vector at index {} has {} dims, expected {}",
i,
fv.len(),
EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM
);
// No NaN or Inf in any feature
for (j, &val) in fv.iter().enumerate() {
assert!(
val.is_finite(),
"NaN/Inf at feature[{}][{}] = {}",
i,
j,
val
);
}
}
}
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Test 2: Walk-forward windows with feature normalization
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#[test]
fn test_pipeline_walk_forward_with_features() {
// Generate 730 calendar days (~24 months) of synthetic bars
// Use fewer bars per day (20) to keep test runtime reasonable
let start = NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2022, 3, 1).unwrap_or_default();
let bars = generate_synthetic_bars(start, 730, 20);
assert!(
!bars.is_empty(),
"Bar generation produced no bars"
);
// Create walk-forward windows with default config (12/3/3/3 months)
let config = WalkForwardConfig::default();
let windows = generate_walk_forward_windows(&bars, &config);
assert!(
windows.len() >= 2,
"Expected at least 2 walk-forward windows, got {}",
windows.len()
);
let mut validated_folds = 0_usize;
for window in &windows {
// Extract features from training data
let train_features = if window.train.len() >= EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM {
extract_ml_features(&window.train).ok()
} else {
None
};
// Extract features from validation data
let val_features = if window.val.len() >= EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM {
extract_ml_features(&window.val).ok()
} else {
None
};
// Training features should exist and be non-empty
let train_feats = match train_features {
Some(ref f) if !f.is_empty() => f,
_ => continue, // Skip folds with insufficient data
};
validated_folds += 1;
// Compute NormStats from training data ONLY
let stats = NormStats::from_features(train_feats);
// Normalize training data
let normalized_train = stats.normalize_batch(train_feats);
// Verify normalized training mean is approximately 0
if !normalized_train.is_empty() {
let n = normalized_train.len() as f64;
// Compute per-feature mean of normalized training data
let mut mean_per_feature = vec![0.0_f64; EXPECTED_FEATURE_DIM];
for fv in &normalized_train {
for (m, &v) in mean_per_feature.iter_mut().zip(fv.iter()) {
*m += v;
}
}
for m in &mut mean_per_feature {
*m /= n;
}
// Each feature's mean should be close to 0
for (feat_idx, &m) in mean_per_feature.iter().enumerate() {
assert!(
m.abs() < 0.1,
"Fold {}: normalized training mean for feature {} = {}, expected ~0",
window.fold,
feat_idx,
m
);
}
}
// Normalize validation data using training stats
if let Some(ref val_feats) = val_features {
if !val_feats.is_empty() {
let normalized_val = stats.normalize_batch(val_feats);
assert!(
!normalized_val.is_empty(),
"Fold {}: normalized val features should be non-empty",
window.fold
);
// Verify all normalized values are finite
for (i, fv) in normalized_val.iter().enumerate() {
for (j, &val) in fv.iter().enumerate() {
assert!(
val.is_finite(),
"Fold {}: NaN/Inf in normalized val[{}][{}] = {}",
window.fold,
i,
j,
val
);
}
}
}
}
}
assert!(
validated_folds >= 1,
"No walk-forward folds were actually validated (all skipped due to insufficient data)"
);
}
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Test 3: No look-ahead bias
// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#[test]
fn test_pipeline_no_lookahead_bias() {
// Generate 730 calendar days (~24 months) of synthetic bars
let start = NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2022, 3, 1).unwrap_or_default();
let bars = generate_synthetic_bars(start, 730, 20);
assert!(!bars.is_empty(), "Bar generation produced no bars");
let config = WalkForwardConfig::default();
let windows = generate_walk_forward_windows(&bars, &config);
assert!(
!windows.is_empty(),
"Expected at least 1 walk-forward window"
);
for window in &windows {
// --- Train timestamps must all be < val start ---
// Get the earliest val timestamp
let val_start_ts = window
.val
.first()
.map(|b| b.timestamp);
if let Some(val_start) = val_start_ts {
// Every training bar must have timestamp < val_start
for (i, bar) in window.train.iter().enumerate() {
assert!(
bar.timestamp < val_start,
"Fold {}: look-ahead leak! train bar {} timestamp ({}) >= val start ({})",
window.fold,
i,
bar.timestamp,
val_start
);
}
}
// --- Val timestamps must all be < test start ---
let test_start_ts = window
.test
.first()
.map(|b| b.timestamp);
if let Some(test_start) = test_start_ts {
for (i, bar) in window.val.iter().enumerate() {
assert!(
bar.timestamp < test_start,
"Fold {}: look-ahead leak! val bar {} timestamp ({}) >= test start ({})",
window.fold,
i,
bar.timestamp,
test_start
);
}
}
// --- Also verify via date boundaries on the window struct ---
assert!(
window.train_end <= window.val_end,
"Fold {}: train_end ({}) > val_end ({})",
window.fold,
window.train_end,
window.val_end
);
assert!(
window.val_end <= window.test_end,
"Fold {}: val_end ({}) > test_end ({})",
window.fold,
window.val_end,
window.test_end
);
}
}