110 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
44cbeef321 feat(scripts): cross-asset trend/lead-lag harness (6E/ES/NQ/ZN OHLCV)
Per-instrument time-series momentum + diversified trend portfolio + lead-lag,
honest IS(2024)/OOS(2025) Sharpe on non-overlapping daily P&L.

Verdict on 2y/4-instrument data: diversified trend portfolio IS Sharpe +1.98
(L10) -> OOS -0.50; per-instrument TSMOM sign-flips IS<->OOS; lead-lag ICs <0.11.
No robust edge. Conclusion: 4 instruments x 2y is underpowered by 1-2 orders of
magnitude for systematic edge discovery -- the bottleneck is data/universe, not
model. Real progress needs a broad futures universe + decades, or a less-efficient
order-book market (crypto).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 20:39:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
292147090f feat(scripts): lower-frequency directional IC harness (intraday + daily + backtest)
Tests minutes-to-days directional predictability on ES OHLCV-1m where moves
dwarf the spread: momentum/reversion IC (Pearson/Spearman/NW-t/OOS) + a
non-overlapping daily contrarian backtest (IS/OOS Sharpe).

Verdict on 2y ES (2024-25): intraday IC~0; daily mean-reversion IC looks large
(-0.44 Spearman @20d) but is overlap-inflated + regime artifact -- honest
non-overlapping backtest sign-flips IS<->OOS => no stable edge. Confirms no
robustly capturable directional edge on 2y ES across all measured horizons.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 19:58:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
343e90af54 feat(scripts): queue-aware passive-MM fill model (decisive viability test)
FIFO queue priority via price-level episodes: join back of queue, only trades
advance, fill when same-side aggressor volume clears the queue. Re-measures
markout + OFI-conditioning on ACTUALLY-WON (adversely-biased) fills.

Verdict (Q1+Q2 2024 ES): ~40% fill rate; won-fill markout -0.50..-0.55t
(winner's curse vs optimistic -0.40t); naive AND OFI-conditioned passive MM
both NEGATIVE (-$1..-$2/fill). The optimistic Q2 OFI tilt was a win-every-queue
artifact. Combined with the crossing result: no capturable seconds-horizon ES
edge for a non-colocated participant.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 19:28:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
f6745400ef feat(scripts): passive market-making markout/adverse-selection harness
Measures passive-MM economics on clean ES MBP-10: half-spread earned vs
adverse-selection markout at horizons, plus OFI-conditioned selective quoting.
Verdict on 2024 ES: adverse selection ~0.4 tick eats ~80% of the 0.5-tick
half-spread => naive passive MM is break-even (optimistic, win-every-queue;
realistically negative). OFI-conditioned selective quoting shows a consistent
edge in Q2 (+$0.5/fill) but not Q1 => promising but unconfirmed; decisive
next test is a realistic queue/fill model.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 19:21:30 +02:00
jgrusewski
7b33533bc8 feat(scripts): OFI information-coefficient signal-validation harness
Measures best-level Order-Flow-Imbalance (Cont-Kukanov-Stoikov) predictive
edge on clean ES MBP-10 vs forward returns: contemporaneous R², forward IC
(Pearson/Spearman), sign-accuracy, Newey-West t-stat across horizons, and a
CROSSING verdict (predicted move in ticks vs the 1-tick round-trip cost).
No training/RL. Verdict on clean 2024 ES: OFI fwd IC tiny (~0.02, Q2 NW-t 3.7),
predicted moves 0.01-0.06 ticks at 1-10s << 1-tick crossing cost (~20-100x gap)
=> spread-crossing directional strategy is structurally unprofitable.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 19:14:26 +02:00
jgrusewski
fa3f723983 docs: Phase A verdict — RA-G1 PASS, RA-G3 starvation-limited on clean data; proceed to D2
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 18:35:52 +02:00
jgrusewski
6df3284d0d fix(data): MBP-10 decoder corrupted the inside quote (level 0)
Both parse_mbp10_file and parse_mbp10_streaming wrote the single MBP-10
update event's (price,size) into levels[0] via update_level(0,...) and
then copied the authoritative book from mbp10.levels[1..] — starting at
index 1, so the corrupt L0 was never overwritten with the real
mbp10.levels[0]. Result on real cluster data (ES.FUT 2025-Q1 front-month,
2M records): 14.9% crossed books, 40% wide-L0 (>5pt) spikes, vs the raw
inside quote which is pristine (0.016% crossed, 0% wide, 0.25pt median).
Every mid/microprice/spread/OFI-L0 feature, the mid-based MTM reward, and
the LOB-sim fill reference read this phantom L0.

Extract the level-copy into a tested helper apply_mbp10_record() that:
- copies the full mbp10.levels[0..max] canonical post-update book
  (including L0, the inside quote);
- preserves trade_count on Trade-action records (a LIVE encoder feature
  [17]=log1p(trade_count) + the inter-snapshot trade delta in the
  ml-alpha/ml-features loaders) — naively dropping update_level(0) would
  have silently zeroed it.

Adds RED-verified unit tests for no-crossed-L0 and trade_count semantics.
cargo test -p data --lib: 377 passed.

Sidecars (.predecoded.bin) are mtime/size-keyed and will NOT auto-
invalidate on this parser change — they must be regenerated separately
(local + PVC).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 14:48:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
31f858b5ea docs(superpowers): edge investigation decision record + F4-gating/reward-alignment specs & plans
Session 2026-06-05: investigation-first falsification gated the F4 oracle
build (7-14 days) and walked back through the reward/edge question to a
code-verified root cause — the MBP-10 decoder corrupts the inside quote
(dbn_parser.rs:903 'for lvl in 1..max_lvl' never restores levels[0]),
contaminating mid/feature/reward/fill locally and on the cluster PVC.

- notes/2026-06-05-edge-investigation-decision-record.md: full 8-verdict arc
  (incl. 2 self-retractions) + next-session plan (confirm on PVC, fix parser,
  regenerate sidecars, re-audit on clean data).
- specs: f4-oracle-pretraining (GATED), reward-pnl-alignment-restoration
  (superseded by the data-quality finding), bellman-target-foundation-reshape.
- plans: reward-pnl-alignment-restoration-implementation, f2-q-centered-distill.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 12:59:19 +02:00
jgrusewski
e57b076577 feat(scripts): reward-pnl alignment measurement harness (RA-G3 gate)
Computes Pearson(rewards.sum, trading.realized_pnl_usd_delta) + sign-agreement
from a diag.jsonl. Exit 0 if Pearson >= 0.70 (RA-G3), 1 below, 2 on bad input.
Reproduces the baseline 0.2775 / sign 0.655 measurement.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 09:23:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
d8447475c9 feat(ml-alpha): Phase A — surfer-scaffold force-pin (slot 824 + kernel gate + env flag + diag)
Adds ISV slot 824 (RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_FORCE_PIN_INDEX) and a matching
kernel early-return in rl_surfer_scaffold_controller.cu so that when
FOXHUNT_PIN_SURFER_SCAFFOLD=1 is set, the controller leaves slot 753 at
its 0.0 pure-pnl bootstrap instead of overwriting it every step.
Without the pin, the 0.0 bootstrap was cosmetic — the unconditional
write re-enabled all four Phase-5 non-potential shaping terms each step,
giving Pearson(reward,pnl)=0.28 vs the 0.70 gate.  Pin=OFF leaves
behaviour fully unchanged (new branch only fires when slot 824 > 0.5).

- isv_slots.rs: slot 824 constant + RL_SLOTS_END 824→825 + test
- rl_surfer_scaffold_controller.cu: #define + early-return guard
- integrated.rs: isv_constants 275→276 + env-gated bootstrap entry
- eval_diag_emission.rs: rewards.surfer_scaffold_force_pin diag field +
  EXPECTED_LEAVES 746→747

Build: SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo build -p ml-alpha --profile=dev-release OK
Tests: 69 passed / 0 failed (force_pin_slot_allocated_below_end + all existing)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 09:18:39 +02:00
jgrusewski
7376b1c670 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7b F5 engagement — bootstrap RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED to 1.0
Per Tier 1.5 mid-smoke verification (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42,
b=128, 2000+500): F2+F5+Option A combined is best-of-session on every
metric vs Phase 5 baseline AND F2-alone baseline.

## Empirical evidence (Tier 1.5, /tmp/foxhunt-phase7b-f5-tier15)

| Metric              | Phase 5     | F2 alone    | F2+F5+OptA  |
|---------------------|-------------|-------------|-------------|
| eval pnl            | -$444,225   | -$494,887   | -$415,237   |
| win_rate            | 0.371       | 0.355       | 0.380       |
| sharpe_ann          | -7.20       | -8.49       | -5.31       |
| action_entropy@1999 | 0.215       | 0.188       | 0.445       |
| profit_factor       | 0.534       | 0.470       | 0.599       |
| max_drawdown_usd    | (n/a)       | (n/a)       | $436k       |

eval pnl improved $29k over Phase 5 and $80k over F2-alone.
action_entropy 2× higher than either baseline.

## F5 mechanism trajectory (verified working at scale)

step  hold_frac_flat  frac_batches_flat  entropy
   5  1.0             0.47                1.37    (session_risk tripped)
  50  1.0             0.59                0.46    (still locked)
 250  0.0             0.0                 0.69    (session recovered; F5 active)
 500  0.0             ~0.0                0.70
1000  0.0             ~0.0                0.54
1999  0.0             ~0.0                0.45

session_risk_check (hard safety, slot 540) correctly tripped early when
F5-forced opens lost money cold-start; by step ~250 it recovered and
F5 engaged. Net: most batches stay IN POSITION (F5 forces commitment
when flat), which is exactly the surfer→trend trade-off F5 was designed
to enable.

## F2 mechanism becomes ACTIVE under F5 forcing

f2_hinge_zero_rate dropped from 1.0 (F2-alone) to 0.909 — meaning ~9%
of action slots now show Q-advantage. F2 identified FlatFromShort as
modal target (target_argmax=4). The forced opens give Q outcomes to
discriminate against; F2 then captures the signal that Hold/Open were
mathematically silent without F5.

## What this commit does

Flips `RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX` bootstrap from 0.0 → 1.0 so the
F5 state-conditional action mask + Option A gate-aware patches engage
by default. Flipping back to 0.0 (or any value ≤ 0.5) reverts to F2-only
behavior bit-equal with commit e82049c77.

This is the Phase 7b production engagement. Cluster verification next.

Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md
§5.3 attribution outcome 1 ("eval pnl improves AND no new degenerate
attractor surfaces") — F5 Phase 7b ships as primary intervention with
the explicit surfer-principle relaxation documented in §3.5 + §4.4.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 01:47:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
e82049c779 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7b F5 Option A — gate-aware Hold suppression for confidence + FRD gates
When F5 state-conditional action availability mask (slot 823) is engaged AND
the position is flat, F5 has deliberately forced the agent into an opening
action by masking Hold (and other state-invalid actions) in `pi_logits`
pre-sample. Two downstream gates — `rl_confidence_gate` (slot 512..) and
`rl_frd_gate` (slot 516..) — silently overrode the sampled action back to
Hold at the same flat-state, neutralizing F5's surfer→trend choice-set
forcing and preventing F5-G1 (`hold_frac_flat == 0` from flat) from being
achieved at the agent layer.

Both kernels patched with the identical interop pattern:

  const bool f5_engaged = (isv[RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX] > 0.5f);
  if (f5_engaged) skip the Hold override;

The existing `if (position_lots != 0) return;` early-return in both kernels
already restricts the override site to flat batches, so the check on the F5
master gate alone is sufficient — no new position read needed. When F5 is
disabled (slot 823 == 0.0, the production default) the original code path
runs verbatim, preserving Phase 7a bit-equality.

Scope (per Phase 7b follow-up):
* `rl_confidence_gate.cu` — Hold-override at `conf < threshold` gated on
  `!f5_engaged`; fired-count increments only when the override actually fires.
* `rl_frd_gate.cu` — short-circuits before entry-quality computation when
  `f5_engaged`; the long/short Hold-override branches are skipped entirely.

NOT touched (per Option A scope constraint):
* `rl_session_risk_check.cu` — hard DD-limit safety. When F5-driven losses
  trip the session PnL EMA breaker, it correctly overrides opens-from-flat
  back to Hold; this is the documented "pro trader stops trading when down
  their limit" semantics and must persist regardless of F5 state.
* `rl_min_hold_check.cu` — only fires for in-position batches; not on the
  F5-relevant flat-state path.

Verification (RTX 3050, `test_data/futures-baseline-mid/`):

* `cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p ml-alpha` — clean.
* `./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick` (defaults, F5 OFF) — DETERMINISTIC
  across 200 train rows: same-seed bit-equal at slot 823 = 0.0.
* `FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick` (F5 OFF) —
  DETERMINISTIC across 200 train rows.
* `phase_5_invariants + band_invariants + multi_head_policy_invariants +
  eval_diag_emission --ignored` — 33/33 PASS (3 + 11 + 18 + 1).
* F5 ON 50-step smoke (slot 823 temporarily set to 1.0 then reverted before
  commit): hold_frac_flat = 0.0 at steps 0–3 (F5 mask + Option A patches
  successfully forcing opens from flat — modal_action_id ∈ {0, 5, 4}, none
  Hold). At step 4 onward hold_frac_flat → 1.0 due to `rl_session_risk_check`
  tripping after cumulative losses (-$292k by step 49 at b=128 b_size) drop
  the session PnL EMA below the bootstrap limit (-50.0 at slot 540). This is
  the documented hard-safety override (out of scope per task brief) — the
  first 3–4 steps confirm the Option A mechanism works at both gates before
  the safety fires.
* No NaN; training stable.

Bootstrap of slot 823 reverted to 0.0 (OFF) before committing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 01:28:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
9ea7692abd feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7b F5 — state-conditional action availability mask
Adds the no-op-set / direction / trail-at-cap action availability mask
specified in §3.5 of docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md.

## What lands

* New kernel `cuda/rl_state_action_mask.cu` (~115 LOC) modelled on
  `rl_band_mask.cu`'s lattice — Grid=(B), Block=(1,1,1), single thread
  per block, ISV-gated, reads `pos_state[b*pos_bytes+0..4]` for
  `position_lots` and the existing per-batch per-unit trail buffers
  (`unit_trail_distance`, `unit_initial_r`, `unit_active`).
* New ISV slot `RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX = 823` (binary master
  gate; bootstrap 0.0 = OFF; preserves Phase 7a `43e7b6383`
  bit-equality). `RL_SLOTS_END` bumped 823 → 824.
* Trainer integration: `launch_rl_state_action_mask` public wrapper +
  inline call sites at the two policy-sampling paths
  (`step_with_lobsim` and `step_with_lobsim_gpu_body`), inserted BEFORE
  `rl_pi_action_kernel` so the sampler sees the masked logits. Both
  sites sit inside the prefill graph capture (device-side master gate
  preserves bit-equality across off↔on flips). `isv_constants` array
  size bumped 274 → 275.
* `build.rs` registers the new cubin.

## Mask semantics (when slot 823 > 0.5)

* `position_lots == 0` (flat) → mask {Hold=2, FlatFromLong=3,
  FlatFromShort=4, TrailTighten=7, TrailLoosen=8, HalfFlatLong=9,
  HalfFlatShort=10}. Surviving support: {ShortLarge=0, ShortSmall=1,
  LongSmall=5, LongLarge=6} — agent is FORCED to open.
* `position_lots > 0` (long) → mask all short-side actions
  {ShortLarge=0, ShortSmall=1, FlatFromShort=4, HalfFlatShort=10}.
  Same-side opens (5/6) remain available; pyramid resolution stays in
  `actions_to_market_targets.cu`.
* `position_lots < 0` (short) → symmetric.
* Any active unit at trail-cap (`trail_distance ≥ unit_initial_r *
  RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO * (1 − 1e-3)`) → additionally mask
  TrailLoosen (mq2pc-specific gate per spec §3.5 trail-at-cap branch).

## Composition with F2 (Q-distill hinged advantage)

F2 computes `π_target` from unmasked E_Q; F5 sets `pi_logits[masked] =
−INFINITY` so `softmax(pi_logits)` has EXACTLY zero mass on masked
actions (F5-G1 design requirement). The distill gradient
`(π_θ − π_target)` evaluates to `(0 − π_target_masked)` at masked
actions, which naturally drives the target off those actions —
gradient consistency without re-masking inside `rl_q_pi_distill_grad`.

## Action enum (verified against actions_to_market_targets.cu and
   crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/common.rs)

| id | name           | masked from flat | masked from long | masked from short |
|----|----------------|------------------|------------------|-------------------|
|  0 | ShortLarge     |                  | ✓                |                   |
|  1 | ShortSmall     |                  | ✓                |                   |
|  2 | Hold           | ✓                |                  |                   |
|  3 | FlatFromLong   | ✓                |                  | ✓                 |
|  4 | FlatFromShort  | ✓                | ✓                |                   |
|  5 | LongSmall      |                  |                  | ✓                 |
|  6 | LongLarge      |                  |                  | ✓                 |
|  7 | TrailTighten   | ✓                |                  |                   |
|  8 | TrailLoosen    | ✓                | (cap-only)       | (cap-only)        |
|  9 | HalfFlatLong   | ✓                |                  | ✓                 |
| 10 | HalfFlatShort  | ✓                | ✓                |                   |

(There are NO separate PyramidLong/PyramidShort actions in foxhunt;
pyramid logic resolves inside `actions_to_market_targets.cu` when
same-side opens fire from an existing position.)

## Surfer-principle trade-off (acknowledged per spec §3.5 + §4.1.4)

F5 destroys patience-while-waiting-for-setup by construction. F2
preserves the surfer principle mathematically (Open mass = 0 when
E_Q(Open) ≤ baseline); F5 sacrifices it for choice-set enforcement.
Bootstrap 0.0 keeps F5 OFF until F2 alone fails the Tier 1.5 / Tier 2
verdict AND the operator explicitly accepts the trend-follower
regression. Reversible at runtime via ISV re-seed.

## Verification

* `cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p ml-alpha` clean.
* Determinism (band off, F5 off / band on, F5 off / F5 ON via
  temporary bootstrap=1.0): all three PASS — `determinism-check.sh
  --quick` reports byte-equal `eval_summary.json` and
  `alpha_rl_train_summary.json` plus checksum-equal diag rows.
* Invariants (band_invariants 11/11, eval_diag_emission 1/1,
  multi_head_policy_invariants 18/18, phase_5_invariants 3/3): 33/33
  PASS.

## STOP-on-surprise — F5 mechanism vs downstream gate-stack interaction

50-step smoke with F5 ON (bootstrap=1.0, then reverted) surfaced an
EXPECTED interaction documented in spec §3.5 expected-failure-mode #5:

* F5 mask itself is mechanically correct — `pi_logits[masked] = −INF`,
  softmax mass is zero, `rl_pi_action_kernel` samples only from
  {0,1,5,6} from flat.
* BUT the downstream gates that run AFTER `rl_pi_action_kernel` —
  `rl_confidence_gate` (lines 67-74 read `pos_state`, override opens
  from flat to Hold when C51 confidence is low), `rl_frd_gate`,
  `rl_session_risk_check`, `rl_min_hold_check` — re-introduce Hold
  into the executed action histogram. F5-G1 (`hold_frac_flat == 0`)
  is therefore NOT achieved by this commit alone.

The F5 kernel does what the spec asks; the gate-stack interaction is
the orthogonal wiring the spec called out as out-of-scope for F5
correctness. A follow-up plan should either suppress those gates'
Hold override when `isv[823] > 0.5 AND position_lots == 0`, OR
re-launch the F5 mask AFTER the gate stack (single extra device-side
kernel invocation). The mask kernel and ISV slot land here so the
follow-up is purely a wiring task. Per the STOP-on-unexpected-finding
discipline (feedback_investigation_first_falsification_methodology),
no further fix is applied in this dispatch.

## Files

* `crates/ml-alpha/cuda/rl_state_action_mask.cu` (new, ~115 LOC)
* `crates/ml-alpha/build.rs` (kernel registration)
* `crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/isv_slots.rs` (slot 823 + RL_SLOTS_END bump)
* `crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/integrated.rs` (cubin include, struct
  fields, ctor load + struct init, `launch_rl_state_action_mask`
  wrapper, ISV bootstrap entry + array size bump 274→275, two inline
  call sites at `step_with_lobsim` and `step_with_lobsim_gpu_body`)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-05 01:00:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
43e7b6383b feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7a F2 — Q-centered hinged-advantage distill target wired
rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu Step 2 modified: when RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX
(slot 817) > 0.5, π_target uses Q-centered hinged advantage:
  π_target(a) ∝ softmax( max(0, E_Q(a) − baseline) / τ )
where baseline = max E_Q over no-op set selected by
RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX (slot 818):
  - mode 0 (default, slot 818 = 0.0): {Hold=2, TrailTighten=7, TrailLoosen=8}
  - mode 1 (ablation, slot 818 = 1.0): {Hold=2} only

When slot 817 ≤ 0.5, the legacy softmax(E_Q/τ) path runs unchanged
(bit-equal with HEAD 0463e44e0 + Task 1.5 diag instrumentation).
Numerical stability: hinged values ≥ 0 by construction; the max-hinge
shift before exp prevents overflow.

## Surfer-principle preservation (mathematical proof)

When E_Q(Open) ≤ baseline (Q sees no edge): hinge zeros Open mass →
π_target(Open) = 0 → distill gradient does NOT push π toward Open →
surfer-style patience preserved as a learnable strategy.

When E_Q(Open) > baseline (Q sees edge): hinge gives positive mass →
distill gradient DOES push π toward Open → surfer-style commit on
detected edge.

This is the surfer principle expressed mathematically: act when your
model believes acting beats waiting; wait otherwise. Cf. spec
docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md
§3.2 + §4.2.

## Composition with Phase 4-A band mask

Band kernel modifies sampled actions (actions_d) post-policy-sampling.
F2 modifies the Q-distill target π_target (pi_logits_d / s_pi_target).
Disjoint pipelines — no interaction. Verified inline at integrated.rs
analysis during Task 0 reconnaissance (plan §0.3).

## 50-step local smoke (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128)

| step | hinge_zero | adv_max | target_arg | modal | hold_frac_flat |
|------|------------|---------|------------|-------|----------------|
| 0    | 0.724      | 0.0006  | 10         | 0     | 0.0            |
| 5    | 0.612      | 0.0005  | 4 (Short)  | 2 (Hold) | 0.83        |
| 10   | 0.648      | 0.0017  | 5          | 2     | 0.70           |
| 25   | 1.0        | 0.0     | 0          | 2     | 0.73           |
| 49   | 1.0        | 0.0     | 0          | 2     | 0.0            |

**Step 5 is the F2 mechanism in action**: target_arg=4 ≠ modal_action_id=2
means F2 is reshaping the gradient toward Open while the policy still
samples Hold. By step 25 Q has converged to "Hold > Open" and F2
correctly zeros all advantages — surfer-patience preserved as a
learnable equilibrium. F2 enables Open when Q sees edge; respects
patience when Q sees none.

eval_pnl=-$200,112 (50-step Tier 1 noise, not load-bearing).

## Verification

* `./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick` PASS (200 rows bit-equal)
* `FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick` PASS
* `cargo test --release -p ml-alpha --test phase_5_invariants
   --test band_invariants --test multi_head_policy_invariants
   --test eval_diag_emission -- --ignored`
   ALL PASS (3/3 phase_5, 11/11 band, 18/18 multi_head, 1/1 eval_diag)
* Build: cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train clean

## F2-G1 falsification gate (LOCAL preview, full gate at Tier 1.5 smoke)

f2_advantage_max_mean is positive at step 0-10 (~6e-4 to 17e-4) then
collapses to 0 at step 25+ as Q converges. q_distill_target_entropy
(slot 733) should show a similar shape — Tier 1.5 smoke at b=128
2000+500 will measure F2-G1 (target entropy drop ≥ 0.5 nats at step
1000 vs Phase 5 baseline).

f2_diag_emit GPU-oracle test file remains deferred per Task 1.5
disposition; the 50-step smoke verification confirms the mechanism
operates as designed.

Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md
§5: F2 Phase 7a primary intervention, Revision 3 surfer-principle-preserving.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 23:59:39 +02:00
jgrusewski
f788da862a feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7a Task 1.5 — comprehensive F2 diagnostic emissions (13 fields)
Adds instrumentation BEFORE the F2 hinge modification (Task 3) per
`feedback_investigation_first_falsification_methodology` "measure first,
change code second." Without these counters, the F2 cluster verdict
cannot distinguish "mechanism worked AND surfer preserved AND eval
improved" from "mechanism worked BUT surfer collapsed" — three
independent attribution signals collapse into one ambiguous outcome.

## ISV slots 819-822 (RL_SLOTS_END 819 → 823)

Four kernel-reduced F2 mechanism counters populated by
rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu's end-of-kernel single-thread reduction block
(one block per batch, thread a==0 writes its own [batch] index — NO
atomicAdd, no race). Host reduces to mean/mode at diag emit.

- RL_F2_DIAG_BASELINE_MEAN_INDEX (819): mean of max E_Q over no-op set
- RL_F2_DIAG_ADV_MAX_MEAN_INDEX (820): mean of max hinged advantage
- RL_F2_DIAG_HINGE_ZERO_RATE_INDEX (821): fraction of (b,a) slots zeroed
- RL_F2_DIAG_TARGET_ARGMAX_INDEX (822): modal π_target action id

## 13 new diag fields under existing top-level keys

Surfer (3): trading.frac_batches_{flat,long,short} — host reduce on
position_lots; fleet-fraction denominators per
`pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate`.

F2-G5 direct measurement (2): policy_diagnostic.hold_frac_flat,
open_action_mass_flat. F2-G5 (surfer-patience preservation gate, Hold%
when flat ∈ [30%, 85%]) is NOW LOCALLY MEASURABLE — closes the
measurement gap from plan v1.

Degenerate-attractor monitoring (4): policy_diagnostic.max_action_share
(detects single-action collapse), modal_action_id (which attractor),
noop_action_mass_{total,max} (no-op concentration).

F2 mechanism (4): policy_diagnostic.f2_baseline_mean,
f2_advantage_max_mean, f2_hinge_zero_rate, f2_target_argmax_action.
f2_target_argmax_action ≠ modal_action_id during surfer-adapt phase
indicates F2 is reshaping the gradient toward Open.

## Kernel changes

rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu signature extended with 4 new scratch buffer
args. Reduction logic in the `a == 0` block computes per-batch values
and writes single-thread to [batch] index — no atomicAdd, no race.

Existing path (legacy distill target) unchanged when
RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX (slot 817) is OFF.

## EXPECTED_LEAVES 712 → 746

13 new Phase 7a fields + 8 schema-drift leaves from upstream commits
(not re-synced in the prior B-11-β ledger between 671→672 and Phase 5
0463e44e0). All 8 pre-existed Phase 7a; just resyncing the count.

## Verification

* 3/3 phase_5_invariants PASS
* 11/11 band_invariants PASS
* 18/18 multi_head_policy_invariants PASS
* 1/1 eval_diag_emission PASS (after EXPECTED_LEAVES update)
* ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick: PASS (band off)
* FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick: PASS
* 50-step local smoke (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128):
  All 13 new fields emit with sensible values:
    frac_batches_flat=0.016 + frac_batches_long=0.664
      + frac_batches_short=0.320 = 1.0 ✓
    hold_frac_flat=0.5 + open_action_mass_flat=0.5 ✓
    max_action_share=0.914 (Hold dominates, expected early train)
    modal_action_id=2 (Hold)
    noop_action_mass_total=0.9375; noop_action_mass_max=0.914
    f2_baseline_mean=-1.155 (Q untrained, negative)
    f2_advantage_max_mean=0.0 (hinge zeroing everything, expected cold)
    f2_hinge_zero_rate=1.0 (all actions zeroed — Open hasn't exceeded
      no-op baseline yet; expected at step 50)
    f2_target_argmax_action=7 (deterministic tiebreak on zero-target)

## Falsification-gate enablement

This task does NOT change agent behavior. The legacy distill target
runs unchanged (slot 817 bootstrap = 1.0 means F2 IS active, but
Task 3 will modify the kernel to compute the centered target; here
the kernel only EMITS what the baseline WOULD be). After Task 3 ships,
F2-G1 (target entropy drop) and F2-G5 (Hold% when flat) become
locally measurable via these new fields.

f2_diag_emit.rs GPU-oracle test file DEFERRED — out-of-scope for the
"measure first" task; 50-step smoke + jq verification confirms the
13 fields populate correctly. Add in a follow-up commit if needed.

Per `pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate`: emits per-batch fractions
(not just aggregates) so b=1024 cluster diag retains per-batch
resolution.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 23:43:39 +02:00
jgrusewski
66a6db89b3 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 7a F2 — allocate ISV slots 817-818 for Q-centered distill target
Two new slots:
- RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX (817, bootstrap 1.0): master gate
  for the F2 hinge in rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu. Flip to 0.0 to fall back to
  the legacy softmax(E_Q/τ) target (bit-equal with HEAD 0463e44e0).
- RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX (818, bootstrap 0.0): selects the
  no-op-set definition. Mode 0 = F2a static {Hold, TrailTighten, TrailLoosen}.

RL_SLOTS_END: 817 → 819.

Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md
§3.2 + §4.2 (F2 recommended, Revision 3 surfer-principle-preserving primary phase).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 23:11:21 +02:00
jgrusewski
0463e44e0c feat(ml-alpha): Phase 5 — trail-max + MTM reward + entropy formula fix
Three coupled structural fixes for the TrailLoosen-pathology identified
by the Phase 4-A3 ultrathink investigation. Single-seed smoke
(FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128): eval pnl improved from
-$794k (4-A3) to -$444k = +$350k loss reduction (44% less negative).
Win rate 37.1% (was 31.7%).

## Fix 1: Trail-max ceiling (new ISV slot 814)

RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO_INDEX bootstrap 4.0. In rl_trail_mutate.cu,
clamp unit_trail_distance ≤ initial_trail × 4.0. Without this the
TrailLoosen action (× 1.1 per fire) grew distances to 2959 ticks
(~$37k risk per position) per the Phase 4-A3 diagnostic.

Test: trail_max_clamped_by_initial_r_ratio — verified that after 30
TrailLoosen fires, trail clamped at 4.0× (uncapped would have been
17.4×, a 4.4× reduction).

Empirical effect: TrailLoosen at smoke final = 0/128 batches (was
49/128 = 38% in Phase 4-A3). The arbitrage is mechanically eliminated.

## Fix 2: Mark-to-market reward (new ISV slots 815/816)

RL_MTM_REWARD_ENABLED_INDEX (bootstrap 1.0) + RL_MTM_REWARD_WEIGHT_INDEX
(bootstrap 1.0). New Phase 1.6 in rl_fused_reward_pipeline.cu:

    r += w_mtm × (unrealized_now − unrealized_prev)

Per-step reward proportional to total wealth delta (realized +
unrealized). Penalizes holding losers in real-time. Total reward over
a complete trade is identical to legacy (unrealized → 0 at close);
only the temporal distribution changes — with γ < 1, held losers are
visibly painful in the discounted return, closing actions get learned
properly.

Test: mtm_reward_disabled_matches_legacy — verified A/B gate cleanly
disables to legacy realized-only path. unrealized_pnl read from
pos.vwap_entry + current mid via standard accounting.

Empirical effect: FlatFromLong action appears in policy (was 0 in
4-A3), win rate up 5.4pp.

## Fix 3: Entropy gradient formula (correctness)

rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu:131 had spurious +1.0f:

    BEFORE: grad_entropy = -alpha × pi_a × (log_pi_a + 1.0f + s_entropy)
    AFTER:  grad_entropy = -alpha × pi_a × (log_pi_a + s_entropy)

True ∂(-H)/∂logit_a = π(a)·(log π(a) + H) per textbook softmax-entropy
gradient. Sign was correct; magnitude was 3× too aggressive on dominant
actions and 2-3× too weak on low-prob actions.

Test: entropy_gradient_matches_analytical — verified across all 11
actions with H=1.4931, kernel matches analytical formula within 1e-5.

## Verification

* 3/3 phase_5_invariants tests PASS
* 11/11 band_invariants regression tests PASS
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: exit 0 (200 rows bit-equal)
* FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick:
  exit 0 (200 rows bit-equal)
* Pre-commit hook: 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh

## Smoke trajectory (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128, 2000+500)

step    entropy   top_3_action_hist
   0    0.000     [128, 0, 0]   (init)
 100    0.785     [Hold=117, Long-=3, Short-=5, TrailLoosen=1]
 500    0.489     [Hold=122, Long-=1, FlatLong=2, TrailLoosen=0]
1000    0.359     [Hold=123, FlatLong=5, TrailLoosen=0]
1500    0.268     [Hold=124, FlatLong=3, TrailLoosen=1]
1999    0.215     [Hold=125, FlatLong=3, TrailLoosen=0]

eval (5000 steps frozen policy):
  total_pnl_usd:     -$444,225  (best of session, was -$794k in 4-A3)
  win_rate:          0.371      (best of session, was 0.317)
  n_trades:          197
  profit_factor:     0.534
  max_drawdown_usd:  $462,212
  sharpe_ann:        -7.20

## Falsification gates

* G_mechanism (no NaN, exit 0): PASS
* G_no_regression (pnl ≥ -$5M): PASS by wide margin (-$444k)
* G_trail_bounded: PASS (0 TrailLoosen fires at final, ceiling working)
* G_action_diversity (entropy ≥ 1.0): FAIL (0.22 — new pure-Hold
  conservatism failure mode emerges; the policy learns "don't open
  trades" as the safest path with all the constraints in place)

## Analysis of the new failure mode

The Phase 5 fixes worked exactly as designed: trail-max eliminated
the runaway risk mechanism, MTM made held losers painful, entropy
formula now matches theory. But with all three counter-pressures
applied, the policy's safest equilibrium is "Hold + occasionally
close." It's a strictly BETTER failure than 4-A3 (less negative pnl,
less risk-taking, cleaner action discipline), but still degenerate.

This is the conservation point: with TrailLoosen blocked, MTM
penalizing held losers, and quadratic cost on trades, the policy
discovers that doing NOTHING is approximately break-even. Genuinely
profitable opening is harder to learn than this no-trade baseline,
and Q-distill's distillation pressure plus SAC α saturation can't
push the policy off it.

Next investigation: WHY can't the policy discover profitable opens?
Either (a) the encoder isn't seeing actionable alpha signals, or (b)
the gradient flow to open-actions is too weak relative to the
counter-pressure stack. This is a separate spec.

## Linked

* Phase 4-A3: 65c328d3f (band foundation)
* Phase 4 cluster verdict: alpha-rl-4hq7c (band works at scale;
  same TrailLoosen pathology confirmed at cluster)
* Phase 4-A3 ultrathink diagnosis: identified the TrailLoosen
  pathology + entropy formula bug + this fix design

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 17:04:17 +02:00
jgrusewski
f593b1e617 feat(infra): plumb FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED through alpha-rl template
Mirror of the FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY pattern (c5036af03).
Adds --band-enabled flag to argo-alpha-rl.sh and band-enabled
workflow parameter wired into the container env block.

Required for Phase 4-C cluster verification of the full Tier 3
no-transaction-band stack (commits e41a7320865c328d3f).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:05:25 +02:00
jgrusewski
65c328d3f1 fix(ml-alpha): Phase 4-A3 — band position-zero exception (opens-from-flat allowed)
Davis-Norman (1990) is a theorem about MANAGING existing hedge
positions; it tells the agent NOT to micro-adjust within the band. It
says nothing about whether to open from flat.

The `±|tanh|` activation in rl_band_head_forward.cu guarantees
`b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u` (the Davis-Norman invariant). Combined with the foxhunt
invariant that agents start FLAT (position=0), every flat-batch was
being masked to Hold — agents never opened, positions never moved, the
sigmoid surrogate on (b_l, b_u) sat deep-in-band where its derivative
≈ 0, and the band loss had no gradient signal.

Verified empirically at 1c23ff368 (Phase 4-A2 smoke): action_hist
collapsed to bimodal [0,0,109,0,0,0,0,0,19,0,0] from step 100 onward,
total_trades = 8 over 2000 steps.

Fix (rl_band_mask.cu): immediately after the master-gate and
exploration-bypass checks, return when `position_lots == 0`. Flat
positions get free choice — opens from flat are NOT band-constrained.
Reads the same canonical offset as the existing band-position check.

Tests (band_invariants.rs):
* New: `band_mask_allows_opens_from_flat` — master gate ON, exploration
  bypass DISABLED, all positions=0, band [-0.5, +0.5]; pre-A3 this
  would mask every batch to Hold. Asserts the position-zero exception
  preserves every batch's original (non-Hold) action.
* Updated: `band_mask_forces_hold_when_in_band` now uses position=1 in
  band [-4, +4] (position=0 would unconditionally bypass post-A3).
* Updated: `band_mask_respects_exploration_bypass` now uses position=1
  in band [-2, +2] so the exploration-bypass path can be exercised
  without the position-zero exception pre-empting it.

11/11 band_invariants PASS. Determinism preserved across band-OFF,
band-ON, and multi-head+band-ON (`./scripts/determinism-check.sh
--quick` exit 0 in all three modes — the new check is integer-equality
and the master gate at slot 799 still defaults OFF, so bit-equality
with the Phase 3D baseline is intact when the band is disabled.

Single-seed smoke (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128):
* total_trades 8 → 1911 (trades restored)
* positions: 88/128 non-zero at step 1999 (was 0/128)
* band.width_mean trajectory 4.32 (step 100) → 7.37 (step 1999) —
  band NOT collapsing now (was → 0.085 in 4-A2)
* band.frac_masked = 0.797 ∈ (0, 0.85) — band doing meaningful work
* eval pnl = -$793k vs -$8M kill threshold
* NaN count = 0

Falsification gates (Phase 4-A3):
* G_mechanism: PASS (exit 0, no NaN)
* G_positions_become_nonzero: PASS (88/128 non-zero)
* G_trade_recovery: PASS (1911 ∈ [500, 8000]) ← PRIMARY
* G_no_regression: PASS (-$794k > -$8M)
* G_band_active: PASS (frac_masked 0.797 ∈ (0, 0.85))
* G_action_diversity: FAIL (action_entropy 0.65 < 1.0) — see below

The action-diversity gate fails because the policy still concentrates
on Hold (action 2) + TrailLoosen (action 8). However this is NOT the
4-A2 "band can't train" collapse: trades flow, band trains, positions
move. The bimodal pattern toward TrailLoosen is a separate Q-distill
or controller side-effect that pre-existed the band — surfaced by the
spec's STOP-on-surprise rule #2 for follow-up rather than fixed here.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md §10.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:03:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
1c23ff368a feat(ml-alpha): Phase 4-A2 — band exploration bypass (slot 813)
Adds RL_BAND_MAX_MASK_FRAC_INDEX (bootstrap 0.85) and modifies
rl_band_mask.cu to never mask the first (1 - max_mask) · B batches
per step. Resolves the dead-signal trap from Phase 4-B at 552d91bf4:
band saturated wide because all positions stayed at 0 (deep in
band ⇒ sigmoid surrogate gradient ~0 ⇒ no learning signal).

## Mechanism

* Slot 813 RL_BAND_MAX_MASK_FRAC_INDEX (bootstrap 0.85). RL_SLOTS_END=814.
* rl_band_mask.cu: deterministic first-N-batches bypass (preserves
  determinism per pearl_determinism_achieved).
* New test band_mask_respects_exploration_bypass; existing tests
  updated.

## Smoke result (FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1, seed 42, b=128, 2000+500)

The bypass mechanism works (15% of batches never see the mask).
The band IS learning (width 8.02 → 0.085 by step 1999, controller
drove turnover_target to MAX 0.20 as designed).

BUT: full policy collapse to bimodal `[0,0,109,0,0,0,0,0,19,0,0]`
from step 100 onward — 109 masked → Hold, 19 bypassed → all pick
TrailLoosen. action_entropy 0.45, total_trades=8.

## Architectural finding (Phase 4-A3 prerequisite)

The ±|tanh| activation guarantees b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u — position 0 is
ALWAYS in band. But foxhunt agents start flat (position 0), so
every batch starts masked, never opens trades, positions never
move, band has no exposure to non-zero positions, no gradient
signal to "open up". Davis-Norman semantics (band constrains
EXISTING positions) misapplied to "stay flat forever".

Phase 4-A3 will add a position-zero exception: band only
constrains already-positioned batches; opens from flat are
always allowed.

## Linked
* Phase 4-A: e41a73208 (band foundation)
* Phase 4-B: 552d91bf4 (controller + backward chain)
* Spec §2.2 + §9.1 Mitigation 2

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 08:17:28 +02:00
jgrusewski
552d91bf45 feat(ml-alpha): Tier 3 Phase 4-B — Band turnover controller + backward chain wiring
Closes Phase 4-A's open loop by making the no-transaction band LEARN its
width. Two coupled mechanisms wired in:

1. Adaptive turnover-target controller — single-thread CUDA kernel
   (rl_band_turnover_controller.cu) reads per-step `frac_not_masked` and
   adjusts the turnover target via asymmetric Schulman-bounded adapter:
   tighten (×0.97/step) above 0.60 threshold, loosen (×1.05/step) below
   0.20. Asymmetric LOOSEN rate is faster per
   `pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline`. First-observation
   bootstrap on slot 809 with dedicated boot-done sentinel slot 810.

2. Backward chain wiring — rl_band_head_backward.cu propagates
   `grad_band_per_b [B × 2]` through the asymmetric ±|tanh|·N_max
   activation and linear projection into per-batch weight/bias scratch
   plus `grad_h_t [B × HIDDEN_DIM]` (OVERWRITE). Trainer reduces via
   `reduce_axis0` and folds into the encoder grad combiner alongside
   π/V/FRD/outcome heads using the existing `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`
   pattern. Band-weight Adam steps share LR with π
   (RL_LR_PI_INDEX) — same plateau dynamics as policy.

Plus a GPU reducer rl_band_frac_aggregate.cu (single-block tree-reduce
over batch → writes to slot 812) and a host-side launch sequence in
step_with_lobsim_gpu_body that runs frac_aggregate → controller →
turnover_loss → backward outside graph capture, gated by
RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX > 0.5 so Phase 3D bit-equality is preserved when
the master gate is OFF.

ISV slots added (809-812): turnover_ema, controller_boot_done,
turnover_target_adaptive, frac_not_masked_observed. The turnover loss
kernel now reads slot 811 (controller output) instead of the static
slot 803. Bootstrap target 0.05 matches the Phase 4-A static default so
first-step behavior is identical.

Tests: 4 new band_invariants tests cover the controller bootstrap, the
escalate-on-over-trading path, the loosen-on-saturation path, and the
backward chain producing non-zero `grad_h_t` from a turnover/target
mismatch. All 9 band tests + 18 multi_head_policy regression tests pass.

Determinism: `determinism-check.sh --quick` exits 0 for the three
relevant configurations (band off, band on, band + multi-head on). The
Schulman controllers are deterministic by construction (no PRNG);
backward kernels are sole-writer per (batch, slot) so reduce_axis0
delivers bit-equal weight grads across replays.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md
§3.1 Option (c), §3.3 (backward chain), §3.4 (loss weight controller),
§5 (diag emission), §9.1 Mitigation 3 (resurrection discipline).

Pearls applied:
  * pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range — bootstrap 0.05 ∈ [0.01, 0.20]
  * pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline — asymmetric tighten/loosen rates
  * pearl_welford_trade_count_is_step_not_trade — bootstrap-done sentinel slot
  * pearl_determinism_achieved — single-thread controller, deterministic reducers

Single-seed local smoke (b=128, 2000+500 steps, FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1)
runs end-to-end without NaN. The band saturates to `frac_masked = 1.0`
because position state stays at 0 throughout — the sigmoid surrogate
gradient is zero deep inside the band, so the band's upper boundary
cannot be pulled toward 0 even though the controller drives the
adaptive target to its MAX (0.20). Spec §9.1 Mitigation 2
(`RL_BAND_MAX_MASK_FRAC_INDEX` exploration-slot bypass in
rl_band_mask.cu) was declared but not shipped in Phase 4-A; it is the
structural fix for this chicken-and-egg trap. Phase 4-B mechanism
itself is verified correct via the four new tests; the saturation is
an architectural-grafting gap surfaced for Phase 4-A2 follow-up rather
than a Phase 4-B implementation defect.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 01:41:45 +02:00
jgrusewski
e41a732081 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 4-A — No-transaction-band foundation (ISV slot 799 gate)
Foundation of the no-transaction-band architectural turnover regulator
described in
docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md.

Davis-Norman (1990) / Imaki-Imajo-Ito (2021, arXiv:2103.01775) — when the
current position lies inside a learned band [b_l, b_u], the architectural
default is "do nothing", complementing Phase 3D's reward-side fixes which
the literature (Goodhart-Skalse 2024) bounds the effectiveness of.

Scope: ISV slots 799-808 + BandHead forward + ±|tanh|·N_max_eff
activation + rl_band_mask action override + rl_band_turnover_loss
(Option b, fixed-target) + 5 GPU-oracle invariants + diag emission.
Master gate `RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX` (slot 799) bootstraps to 0.0 (OFF)
so the foundation preserves bit-equality with Phase 3D `bd811a774` until
operator opt-in via `FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1`.

Adaptive controller, encoder backward chain, and cluster verification
are Phase 4-B / 4-C, not in scope here.

ISV slots (799-808, bumps RL_SLOTS_END to 809):
  799  RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX            (master gate, bootstrap 0.0)
  800  RL_BAND_LOWER_INIT_INDEX         (b_l init, -0.5 in tanh space)
  801  RL_BAND_UPPER_INIT_INDEX         (b_u init, +0.5 in tanh space)
  802  RL_BAND_LOSS_WEIGHT_INDEX        (λ_turnover, 0.01)
  803  RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_INDEX    (target frac unmasked, 0.05)
  804  RL_BAND_GRAD_SHARPNESS_INDEX     (sigmoid surrogate, 4.0)
  805  RL_BAND_FLAT_RECENTER_RATE_INDEX (reserved for 4-B controller)
  806  RL_BAND_WIDTH_MIN_INDEX          (collapse detection, 0.1)
  807  RL_BAND_WIDTH_MAX_INDEX          (saturation detection, 1.8)
  808  RL_BAND_DIAG_LAUNCH_EVERY_INDEX  (diag cadence, 1.0)

CUDA kernels (3 new):
  rl_band_head_forward.cu       — 2-stage forward: linear projection
                                   (tree-reduce over HIDDEN_DIM, matches
                                   ppo_policy_logits_fwd shape) + asymmetric
                                   ±|tanh|·N_max_eff activation enforcing
                                   b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u (Davis-Norman invariant).
  rl_band_mask.cu               — overrides actions[b]→Hold when
                                   position_lots[b] ∈ [b_l, b_u]. Master-
                                   gated at slot 799; no atomicAdd; runs
                                   OUTSIDE graph capture per spec §9.5.
  rl_band_turnover_loss.cu      — Option (b) turnover regularizer with
                                   sigmoid surrogate. Per-batch loss +
                                   per-batch grad on (b_l, b_u). Phase 4-A
                                   wires kernel + test; full encoder grad
                                   fold is Phase 4-B.

Rust glue:
  crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/band_head.rs    — BandHead struct, forward,
                                            launch_mask, launch_turnover_loss.
                                            Xavier-0.01 init under
                                            scoped_init_seed(seed+0xBA_5EED).
  trainer/integrated.rs                  — BandHead field + construction
                                            (bias init = atanh(0.5)) +
                                            ISV bootstrap row + FOXHUNT_BAND_
                                            ENABLED override + forward call
                                            at both step_with_lobsim and
                                            step_with_lobsim_gpu_body sites
                                            + mask launch BEFORE confidence
                                            gate + per-step band aggregate
                                            diag (lower/upper/width means,
                                            frac_in_band, frac_masked,
                                            collapse_warning).

Tests (5 GPU-oracle invariants, all PASS):
  band_activation_clamps_correctly      — b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u, |·| ≤ N_max_eff
  band_mask_forces_hold_when_in_band    — pos 0 ∈ [-4,+4] → action becomes Hold
  band_mask_passes_through_when_out_of_band — pos 5 ∉ [-1,+1] → action unchanged
  band_turnover_loss_correct            — loss + grad match analytical form
  band_disabled_means_no_mask           — slot 799 = 0.0 → mask no-op

Verification:
  cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train: exit 0
  cargo test band_invariants --release -- --ignored: 5/5 PASS
  cargo test multi_head_policy_invariants -- --ignored: 18/18 PASS (regression)
  determinism-check.sh --quick (band OFF): exit 0
  FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 determinism-check.sh --quick: exit 0
  FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 determinism-check.sh --quick: exit 0
  FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 FOXHUNT_BAND_ENABLED=1 …: exit 0

Phase 4-A local mid-smoke (b=128, 2000+500 steps, band enabled):
  exit 0, no NaN observed
  frac_masked = 1.0 throughout (band wide at [-4,+4] init)
  total_trades = 0 (vs Phase 3D 11,767) — primary kill criterion PASS
  band width drifts 8.02 → 7.58 over 2000 steps (slight narrowing from
  encoder shared-h_t shift; band-head's own backward chain is Phase 4-B)
  G_no_band_collapse FAILS (frac_masked saturates at 1.0) — expected at
  Phase 4-A because turnover-loss gradient is not yet folded into the
  encoder (per spec §7.1 / §9.1 Mitigation 1, which requires Phase 4-B
  adaptive controller + backward chain).

Pearls:
  pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range (every bootstrap ∈ clamp)
  pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility (band-head init guard)
  pearl_determinism_achieved (no PRNG / no atomicAdd in kernels)
  pearl_foxhunt_pi_trained_by_q_distillation_not_ppo (band is structural,
    not reward-side — sidesteps Goodhart-Skalse attenuation)
  pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate (frac_in_band / frac_masked emitted)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 00:50:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
bd811a7748 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 3D — three-intervention overtrading fix (A+B+C)
Combined atomic attack on foxhunt's structural overtrading pathology
per omnisearch (2026-06-03) RL HFT literature: foxhunt uniquely uses
Q-distill as the SOLE policy-training mechanism, making it susceptible
to the four-stage Q→π attenuation chain (Goodhart-Skalse 2024) that
blinds π to small persistent fees. Three concurrent fixes attack
different layers:

A. Hold-action logit bias (+log(4) ≈ 1.386 on action 2)
   * crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/ppo.rs PolicyHead::new
   * crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/multi_head_policy.rs all K heads + build_priors
   Counter-balances the structural 4:1 open-vs-hold action prior (4
   open variants 0,1,5,6 vs 1 Hold=2). Pre-bias P(open)=36% / P(hold)=9%;
   post-bias P(hold)≈29% / P(any open)≈7%. Mid-smoke seed=42 confirms
   Hold rises to 71/128 = 55.5% by step 1999.

B. Quadratic-in-trade-size impact-aware cost (Cao et al. 2026,
   arXiv:2603.29086 §4)
   * crates/ml-alpha/cuda/rl_fused_reward_pipeline.cu Phase 1.5
   * 3 new ISV slots 794-796 (α=0.5, β=2.0, enabled=1.0)
   cost = α·|Δlots| + β·(Δlots)². 1-lot=2.5; 4-lot flip=34; 8-lot=132
   (superlinear). Applied BEFORE shaping so the surfer-scaffold weight
   does not amplify or mute. Trail actions (7,8) are no-ops in the
   position kernel → cost=0 for them as expected.

C. PPO surrogate gradient restoration with adaptive blend (Cao 2026 §4)
   * crates/ml-alpha/cuda/rl_pi_grad_blend.cu (new — element-wise
     scale-or-zero operator)
   * crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/integrated.rs Step 7 (π gradient blend)
   * 2 new ISV slots 797-798 (weight=0.005, enabled=1.0)
   Previously π was trained ONLY by Q-distillation (line 5850 header).
   Now: pi_grad = w_ppo·grad_PPO + grad_Q_distill + grad_SAC_entropy.
   Restores the direct fee-aware policy-gradient channel that Q-distill
   alone cannot transmit. Blend kernel runs BETWEEN surrogate_backward
   and rl_q_pi_distill_grad (which uses +=).

Diag emission (E):
* crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/integrated.rs rewards.{quadratic_cost_alpha,
  quadratic_cost_beta, quadratic_cost_enabled, ppo_surrogate_weight,
  ppo_surrogate_enabled}

Tests (D):
* multi_head_policy_invariants: updated k1_reduces_to_single_head for
  Phase 3D-A bias; new phase_3d_a_hold_bias_propagates_all_heads
  invariant verifies Hold dominance in every head at h_t=0. 18/18 pass.
* phase_3d_blend_kernel_invariants (new): 3 GPU-oracle invariants on
  rl_pi_grad_blend (disabled-zeros, enabled-scales-linearly, weight-0-
  equivalent-to-disabled). 3/3 pass.
* reward_alignment_invariants: 2 new tests (phase_3d_diag_emission +
  phase_3d_quadratic_cost_visible_in_rewards) + fix to the existing
  surfer_scaffold test (relaxed bootstrap check for Phase 3B-Y pure-pnl
  mode default 0.0; absorbs eval drain row). 3/3 pass.
* All 68 ml-alpha lib tests pass.

Verification:
* SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p
  ml-alpha: exit 0
* SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace: exit 0
* ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick: DETERMINISTIC (200/200 rows
  bit-equal across two same-seed runs)
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick:
  DETERMINISTIC
* Local Tier 1.5 mid-smoke (seed=42, b=128, 2000 train + 500 eval):
  exit 0, completed_clean=true, no NaN, no abort.

Primary kill criterion (total_trades final < 5,000): NOT MET.
  Result: 11,767 trades vs 14,691 baseline = 20% reduction. Cao 2026
  forecast 96% reduction for pure-PPO/SAC architectures was not
  achieved — foxhunt's Q-distill dominance (q_pi_agree_ema = 0.948 in
  this run) attenuates the PPO surrogate's fee signal even with the
  blend operator. The behavioral signature IS present (Hold dominance
  rises from baseline ~36% structural prior to 55.5% at step 1999;
  action_entropy = 1.748 within healthy [1.2, 2.04] target).

Regression guard (eval pnl ≥ -$5M): MARGINAL PASS at -$4.96M (-$36k
  inside threshold). The Tier 1.5 verdict flags KILL on Pearson +
  wr_train + wr_eval + eval_pnl. Pre-cluster, the literature
  recommendation is to A/B-ablate each intervention (slots 794-798
  individually gated). Mid-smoke architecturally validates that the
  three interventions PROPAGATE and do not crash; cluster b=1024 with
  longer runs (20k steps) will surface whether the 20% reduction
  compounds into a viable policy.

Architectural references:
* pearl_foxhunt_pi_trained_by_q_distillation_not_ppo
* pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl
* pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range
* feedback_no_atomicadd / feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 23:31:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
17e453a1d5 fix(ml-alpha): gate rl_popart_v_correct by slot 793 (Phase 3B-Y companion fix)
Phase 3B-Y gated PopArt reward normalization (slot 793 = 0) but
left the V-correction kernel running unconditionally. Mid-cluster
diagnostic (alpha-rl-k9lz9 step 77, ~80 min into Phase 3C):
catastrophic pnl bleed (-$6.3M cum) driven by V-head unit mismatch.

## Mechanism

* `rl_popart_normalize` running mean/sigma stats keep updating even
  when the rewards-write path is gated (so re-enabling produces
  sensible values mid-session). With rewards in raw pnl-units,
  sigma grew to ~2,666 in 77 cluster steps.
* `rl_popart_v_correct` unconditionally applies
  v_pred = (sigma_old/sigma_new)·v_pred + (mean_old-mean_new)/sigma_new
  every step — scaling V outputs against a running statistic that
  no longer matches the V regression target.
* Net effect: V predictions scaled toward zero while V regression
  target was raw pnl-units → broken V → broken Bellman Q-target →
  broken π via Q-distill → catastrophic policy.

## Fix

Add a short-circuit at the top of rl_popart_v_correct:
```c
if (isv[RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX] <= 0.5f) return;
```

When normalization is off (slot 793 = 0), V is being trained
against raw returns and needs no correction. The popart calibration
machinery is bypassed end-to-end.

## Verification

* Build clean (1m46s incremental).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0/1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: both exit 0 (200 rows match, rel-tol=1e-05).

## Discovery sequence

* Phase 2A-E cluster ran for 2h53m with shaped_reward=+$201M /
  pnl=-$330M (Phase 5 shaping anti-aligned)
* Phase 3B+Y disabled Phase 5 shaping + PopArt normalize + hindsight
* Phase 3C cluster (b=1024) at step 77 showed pnl=-$6.3M already
* Diagnosis: V-correction running against stale sigma created unit
  mismatch that broke V regression chain
* This fix is the natural companion to Phase 3B-Y's gate

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 22:06:55 +02:00
jgrusewski
093feac3da feat(ml-alpha): Phase 3B+Y — reward-pnl alignment foundation
Three coordinated changes to remove anti-aligned components from
the reward pipeline. Predicted Pearson trajectory based on Phase 3A
audit was wrong (PopArt + hindsight only delivered +0.04 not +0.4),
but the deep Phase 3B-Z audit revealed the "low Pearson" was largely
a measurement artifact: raw_reward tracks ALL PnL events (including
fees + partial closes via pos.realized_pnl_delta) while diag's
realized_pnl_usd_cum tracks only full closures. The actual training
reward IS aligned with total realized PnL evolution.

## Changes

* Slot 753 RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX bootstrap 1.0 → 0.0
  (Phase 5 hold-bonus/entry-cost/short-hold-penalty/long-ride-bonus
  shaping disabled — was the dominant anti-aligned contaminant per
  Phase 3A audit and cluster 2A-E evidence of +$201M shaped vs
  -$330M actual).
* New ISV slot 793 RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX bootstrap 0.0
  (PopArt batch normalization disabled — was found to sign-flip
  rewards under adverse batch composition).
* Hindsight injection (rl_hindsight_inject.cu wants_inject) extended
  with scaffold_w > 0.5 condition (when slot 753 = 0, hindsight off).
  Semantically pairs the two training scaffolds.

## Verification

* 13/13 multi_head_policy_invariants PASS (no regression).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0/1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: both exit 0.
* Local single-seed mid-smoke (b=128, seed 42):
  - eval pnl: -$4.6M (vs Phase 0 baseline -$4.46M, within noise)
  - 14,691 trades training / 3,268 eval (healthy, not paralyzed)
  - action_entropy 1.82 at step 1999 (below uniform 2.40, learning)
  - 0 NaN, exit 0

## Pearson interpretation (Phase 3B-Z audit)

The Pearson 0.38 between raw_reward and pnl_step_close_usd_delta is
a structural mismatch between two valid PnL views (all events vs
close events only), NOT an anti-alignment. raw_reward at slot
753 = 0 is the delta of pos.realized_pnl which already aggregates
the events we care about for total-USD optimization.

Cluster verification (Phase 3C, next) will reveal whether the
removal of Phase 5 + popart + hindsight produces a base policy
that can learn at scale. The 2A-E cluster catastrophe (-$330M)
was driven by Phase 5 shaping that's now disabled.

Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-reward-alignment-gae-
combined.md

Linked pearls:
* pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl
* pearl_phase5_term_4_is_almost_potential
* pearl_popart_blind_to_session_signals
* pearl_pure_pnl_mode_starves_b16_controllers

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 21:37:38 +02:00
jgrusewski
c5036af030 feat(infra): plumb FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY through alpha-rl template
Adds use-multi-head-policy workflow parameter (default "0") wired
into the container env block as FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY.
Adds --use-multi-head-policy flag to argo-alpha-rl.sh that passes
through to the workflow.

Enables Phase 2A-E cluster verification with the multi-head policy
mixture (commits 0b3e40150c8c81ab7e). Without this flag, the
cluster runs the legacy single-head path identical to pre-Phase-2A
behavior.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 16:46:33 +02:00
jgrusewski
c8c81ab7e4 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-D B1.3 — adaptive gate LR controller
Replaces the fixed 5.0 bootstrap of slot 790 with a real adaptive
controller. ISV slot 790 is now driven by signal observation per
foxhunt-discipline ("no hardcoded constants that should be ISV-
driven"). The constant value remains the bootstrap; the controller
takes over once the signal observation begins.

## Mechanism

* 2 new ISV slots (793 total now):
  - 791 RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX (Wiener-α=0.02 on slot 781)
  - 792 RL_POLICY_GATE_CONTROLLER_BOOTSTRAP_DONE_INDEX (0→1 latch)
* New kernel rl_gate_lr_multiplier_controller.cu — single-thread
  launch (1,1,1)/(1,1,1) matching rl_surfer_scaffold_controller
  pattern. No atomicAdd.
* Control law (per pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range +
  pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline):
    if !boot_done: ema = entropy_now; boot_done = 1
    else: ema = (1-α)·ema + α·entropy_now
    over   = 0.85·log(K)   (~0.934 for K=3)
    collapse = 0.20·log(K) (~0.220 for K=3)
    if ema > over:     mult *= 1.003  (escalate +0.3%/step)
    elif ema < collapse: mult *= 0.95  (decay -5%/step, emergency)
    mult = clamp(mult, 1.0, 50.0)
* Per-step launch wired flag-gated AFTER MultiHeadPolicy::
  emit_diag_stats (writes slot 781) and BEFORE next-step host-side
  lr_gate = lr_pi * isv[790] read. Captured inside the flag-on
  CUDA graph; flag-off graph never includes the launch.
* Bootstrap: slot 790=5.0 (B1's empirically-validated starting
  point), 791=0.0 (overwritten on first observation), 792=0.0.
* Diag emit: 3 new fields gate_lr_multiplier, gate_entropy_ema,
  gate_controller_bootstrap_done — inside the existing flag-gated
  multi_head_policy JSON block (flag-off schema unchanged).

## Test results

* 17/17 multi_head_policy_invariants PASS (13 pre-existing + 4 new):
  - bootstrap_initializes_ema_to_first_observation
  - escalates_when_entropy_above_threshold (5.0 → 6.747 in 100
    steps; matches analytical 5·1.003^100 within ±0.1)
  - decays_when_entropy_below_collapse (5.0 → 1.0 in 100 steps,
    clamped to MIN_FLOOR)
  - clamps_at_min_floor_and_max_ceiling (50.0 ceiling, 1.0 floor,
    long-escalate 5.0 → 50.0 over 800 steps)
* Flag-off determinism: exit 0, byte-equal to pre-B1.3 modulo
  elapsed_s (0/200 non-elapsed_s diffs).
* Flag-on determinism: exit 0 (verified 3 consecutive runs).
  Note: one transient first-run FAIL surfaced during verification
  (mamba2_l2_out step 0 Δ≈4773) that disappeared after clean
  rebuild — same build-cache pattern documented in Phase 2A-C
  reports. Three confirmed clean post-rebuild.
* Pre-commit: 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh, 0 TODO.

## Single-seed seed-42 trajectory (b=128, 2000 train steps)

step   entropy_ema   multiplier   notes
   0   1.0986        5.015        bootstrap
 100   1.0972        6.75         escalating
 500   1.0967       22.36
1000   1.0944       50.00         hit MAX_CEIL
1500   1.0820       50.00
1999   1.0830       50.00         stuck at ceiling

Final gate_probs_mean = [0.253, 0.383, 0.365] — close to fixed 5×
endpoint [0.252, 0.382, 0.366]. The controller saturated at the
50× ceiling because entropy_ema never crossed below the 0.934
threshold — but the gate end-state matched 5× regardless. This
is the controller correctly diagnosing "no value of multiplier in
[1, 50] is sufficient to specialize the gate at b=128" — the
binding constraint is scale (signal/noise ratio), not LR. Cluster
b=1024 / 20k steps provides ~80× more gradient signal and is the
right next test.

## Linked

* Phase 2A-A: 0b3e40150
* Phase 2A-B: e22da61cf
* Phase 2A-C: 3e36f4a0e
* Phase 2A-C+: 5f10bcde3
* Phase 2A-D B1: 6f3639bfb (fixed 5.0 multiplier — now superseded
  by adaptive control built on this commit)
* Phase 2A-D B1.2: 20× test verdict — saturates at ~5×, motivated
  adaptive control rather than higher fixed multiplier

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 16:35:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
6f3639bfbf feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-D B1 — gate LR multiplier (ISV slot 790)
Addresses the gate-not-learning failure mode observed at 3-seed
local mid-smoke verification of HEAD 5f10bcde3: gate_entropy_mean
stayed at MAX (Δ -0.0003 over 2000 steps) and max(gate_argmax_mass)
stuck at 1.0. Root cause: at uniform gate (g_k ≈ 1/K), the chain
grad_pi_probs → grad_gate_probs has small magnitude — gate Adam
moves W_gate too slowly to escape the uniform basin.

## Mechanism

* New ISV slot 790 RL_POLICY_GATE_LR_MULTIPLIER_INDEX, bootstrap
  5.0 inside the flag-gated block (slots 761-764 +790).
  RL_SLOTS_END = 791.
* Per-step LR-set site (only inside if self.use_multi_head_policy):
    lr_gate = lr_pi * isv[790]
    self.mhp_w_gate_adam.lr = lr_gate
    self.mhp_b_gate_adam.lr = lr_gate
* Head Adams (mhp_w_heads_adam, mhp_b_heads_adam) keep raw lr_pi.

## Verification (single-seed seed=42, flag-on, b=128, 2000 steps)

* gate_entropy_mean trajectory (5× multiplier vs baseline 5f10bcde3):
    step 0     1.0986 → 1.0986
    step 100   1.0986 → 1.0968 (Δ -0.0018)
    step 500   1.0985 → 1.0968
    step 1000  1.0985 → 1.0944
    step 1500  1.0985 → 1.0822
    step 1999  1.0983 → 1.0829 (Δ -0.0157)
  → 52× more gate gradient flow at 5× LR multiplier.
* gate_probs_mean differentiated: [0.333, 0.333, 0.333] →
  [0.252, 0.382, 0.366]. Head 0 (Short-bias, init = +0.5 on
  ShortLarge) deselected by 0.081 — semantically sensible because
  test data is 2024-Q1 ES futures (bullish/range-bound regime).
* max(gate_argmax_mass) = 1.0 still (head 1 wins 100% of batches
  by margin 0.382 vs 0.366) — soft routing emerging in gate_probs
  but argmax has not yet crossed over.

## Status

5.0 multiplier is "GATE_MOVING (partial pass)" per the dispatch's
threshold (entropy ≤ 1.05 not crossed). Slot is ISV-tunable so
escalation to 10×-20× is a single-line bootstrap change. The 52×
local improvement projected to cluster scale (b=1024 × 20k steps,
~80× more gradient signal) suggests the gate should specialize
clearly at cluster — but a stronger local multiplier first
verifies the dose-response curve hasn't saturated at 5×.

## Other verification gates

* 13/13 invariants PASS (unchanged).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: exit 0. isv_state checksum byte-identical to pre-B1
  (slot 790 zero-bootstrap contributes 0² to checksum).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 determinism-check.sh: exit 0.
* Pre-commit: 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh, 0 TODO.

## Linked
* Phase 2A-A: 0b3e40150 (foundation, inert)
* Phase 2A-B: e22da61cf (backward + aux KL prior)
* Phase 2A-C: 3e36f4a0e (trainer integration behind flag)
* Phase 2A-C+: 5f10bcde3 (device-aggregated gate diag)
* Phase 2A-D verdict: 3-seed pnl t=+0.223 (NOISE), G4 FAIL
  (argmax_mass=1.0) → motivated B1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 13:49:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
5f10bcde3a feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-C+ — device-aggregated gate diag
Adds the specialization-signal diagnostics that Phase 2A-C deferred.
4 new stats are emitted under policy_diagnostic.multi_head_policy.*
when FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1: gate_probs_mean[K],
gate_argmax_mass[K], gate_entropy_mean, per_head_entropy_mean[K].

These are the load-bearing signals for Phase 2A-D's verdict —
without them we'd see a pnl delta but couldn't distinguish "the
mixture genuinely specializes by regime" from "the mixture
accidentally acts as a single-head regularizer".

## ISV slots (25 new)

* 765-772 RL_POLICY_GATE_PROBS_MEAN_BASE (8 slots, MAX_K_HEADS=8 stride)
* 773-780 RL_POLICY_GATE_ARGMAX_MASS_BASE
* 781     RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_MEAN
* 782-789 RL_POLICY_PER_HEAD_ENTROPY_MEAN_BASE
* RL_SLOTS_END = 790

## Aggregator kernel (multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag.cu)

* Grid = (MAX_K_HEADS + 1, 1, 1) = 9 blocks. Block = (128, 1, 1).
* Per-head blocks (k_block 0..7): if k_block ≥ runtime K, thread 0
  writes 0.0 to its two ISV destinations. Else parallel-sum over B
  in shared memory, tree-reduce by halving stride, thread 0 writes
  gate_probs_mean[k] + per_head_entropy_mean[k].
* Global block (k_block = MAX_K_HEADS): single block computes gate
  entropy + argmax-mass in one pass. Per-thread argmax counter
  array in registers scatters to s_am[MAX_K_HEADS][BLOCK_THREADS]
  shared mem; tree-reduce; thread 0 writes 9 ISV scalars.
* No-atomicAdd: every ISV destination has a single writer thread.
  Tree-reduce via shared memory + __syncthreads(). Deterministic
  fixed-order pairwise sum.

## Trainer wiring

* MultiHeadPolicy::emit_diag_stats(isv_dev_ptr) launches the
  aggregator on the struct stream. Called at all 3 train-path
  forward sites in integrated.rs immediately after mhp.forward()
  (gate_probs and pi_probs_k are forward outputs — must aggregate
  before next step's forward overwrites them).
* build_diag_value emits the 4 fields inside the existing
  multi_head_policy.* block under if self.use_multi_head_policy.
  Flag-off schema unchanged (multi_head_policy key absent).

## Verification (all gates pass)

* 13/13 invariants: 11 pre-existing + 2 new
  - aggregate_diag_gate_probs_mean_correct: uniform 1/K + asymmetric
    ramp case, max abs err < 1e-5
  - aggregate_diag_entropy_pins_top_and_bottom: top (uniform gate
    → entropy = log(K) = 1.0986; uniform pi → per-head = log(11) =
    2.398); bottom (one-hot gate → 0; one-hot pi → 0). Tie-broken-
    low argmax verified.
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0 determinism-check.sh --quick:
  exit 0. Flag-off diag.jsonl preserved (multi_head_policy key
  ABSENT, EXPECTED_LEAVES=712 unchanged).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 determinism-check.sh --quick:
  exit 0. Aggregator is deterministic.
* 200-step flag-on smoke shows the diag working as designed:
  - gate_probs_mean ≈ [0.328, 0.339, 0.333, 0,0,0,0,0] sum ≈ 1.0
  - gate_argmax_mass ≈ [0, 1.0, 0, ...] (Head 1 Long-bias dominant
    at init — matches init bias asymmetry)
  - gate_entropy_mean ≈ 1.0985 (at max log(3) ≈ 1.0986 — gate has
    NOT collapsed)
  - per_head_entropy_mean ≈ [2.36, 2.28, 2.29] vs max 2.398 —
    heads slightly less than uniform, expected at random init
* Pre-commit: 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh, 0 TODO.

## Surprises handled

None — all STOP-on-surprise predictions held:
1. Slot bootstrap zero-init contributes 0² to isv_state checksum,
   so unconditional bootstrap preserves flag-off bit-equality
   without needing a flag-gated block (unlike the 2A-C ISV
   surprise).
2. EXPECTED_LEAVES (712) preserved — flag-off schema unchanged.
3. K consistency (Rust MAX_K_HEADS=8 + CUDA #define) maintained.
4. emit_diag_stats placed after mhp.forward() and before any
   downstream consumer that would overwrite forward outputs.
5. CUDA graph capture: aggregator launch is deterministic (fixed
   grid/block, fixed reductions). Replay single-path. No conflict.

## Linked

* Phase 2A-A: 0b3e40150 (MultiHeadPolicy foundation, inert)
* Phase 2A-B: e22da61cf (backward + aux KL prior)
* Phase 2A-C: 3e36f4a0e (trainer integration behind flag)
* Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-
  implementation.md
* Spec ADDENDUM §R.5 (falsification gates for specialization)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 12:15:39 +02:00
jgrusewski
3e36f4a0e6 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-C — trainer integration behind FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY flag
Wires MultiHeadPolicy into the live trainer's π forward + backward
+ Adam path, gated by FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY (default off).
Mirrors the FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT precedent (commit 779c03b9d) for
load-bearing refactors with emergency rollback.

## Wiring sites

* Forward: 4 call sites — step_synthetic_body (training_graph),
  step_with_lobsim (prefill_graph CPU), step_with_lobsim_gpu_body
  (prefill_graph GPU), eval_policy_probs_per_action (no graph).
* Backward: step_synthetic_body only (line 5764+).
* Adam apply: 4 new Adam optimizers (W_heads, b_heads, W_gate,
  b_gate) when flag on.
* LR plumbing: same lr_pi mirrored onto all 4 MHP Adams.
* ISV bootstrap: slots 761-764 (K=3, gating_entropy_floor=0.549,
  head_entropy_floor=0.959, aux_prior_β=0.05) written in a
  flag-gated block AFTER the main bootstrap loop (preserves
  flag-off bit-equality — see surprise #2).
* regime_h plumbing: new pub accessor PerceptionTrainer::
  step_regime_d_view() mirrors h_t_view; gate kernel reads the
  same buffer the encoder reads (no new memcpy, no shape change).

## CUDA Graph capture treatment

Host-side select. The flag is invariant for trainer lifetime, so
the branch evaluates at graph CAPTURE time — the selected kernel
sequence is baked into the captured graph and replays single-path.
No host branches inside the captured stream. Verified by
determinism preservation in both flag-off and flag-on regimes.

## Verification (all gates passed)

* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=0 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: exit 0.
* Flag-off diag.jsonl byte-equal to e22da61cf baseline (modulo
  elapsed_s timestamps).
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 ./scripts/determinism-check.sh
  --quick: exit 0 (new path is deterministic).
* 11/11 multi_head_policy_invariants tests still pass.
* FOXHUNT_USE_MULTI_HEAD_POLICY=1 ./scripts/local-mid-smoke.sh:
  2500 steps (2000 train + 500 eval) completed without NaN.
  0 NaN/null in 2000-row diag.jsonl and 501-row eval_diag.jsonl.
  eval_summary.total_pnl_usd = -$3.82M (single-seed at random
  init — not load-bearing; behavioral verdict requires 3-seed
  per pearl_local_smoke_noise_floor_and_regime_concentration).
* 68/0/6 lib tests (passed/failed/ignored).
* Pre-commit: 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh, 0 TODO,
  0 host-branches inside captured streams.

## Surprises handled (not silently)

1. step_regime_d was private on PerceptionTrainer — added clean
   pub accessor step_regime_d_view mirroring h_t_view pattern.
2. Unconditional ISV bootstrap broke flag-off bit-equality
   (writing 761-764 from 0.0 sentinel shifted isv_state checksum).
   Caught by verification gate. Resolved by moving the 4 writes
   into a flag-gated block AFTER the main bootstrap loop. Flag-off
   leaves slots 761-764 at 0.0 sentinel, matching e22da61cf.
3. Spectral-norm regularization on legacy policy_head.w_d still
   runs when flag on (cost: one kernel/step, no correctness
   impact). Documented as known follow-up — proper gating happens
   in Phase 2A-E productionization, not C.3 (which must preserve
   flag-off bit-equality).
4. Adam state across flag toggles: 4 MHP Adams are None when
   flag off. Mirrors FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT precedent — flag cached
   at construction, one-shot read.
5. Device-aggregated diag deferred (gate_probs_mean[K],
   gate_argmax_mass[K], gate_entropy_mean, per_head_entropy_mean
   [K]). These require either a new reduction kernel + ISV slots
   or host-readback (forbidden by feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_
   mapped_pinned). Emitted ISV-resident summary leaves only
   (multi_head_policy.{active,k,gating_entropy_floor,head_
   entropy_floor,aux_prior_beta}). Phase 2A-D scope.

## Linked
* Phase 2A-A: 0b3e40150 (MultiHeadPolicy foundation, inert)
* Phase 2A-B: e22da61cf (backward + aux KL prior)
* Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-
  implementation.md
* Spec ADDENDUM: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-
  policy-with-r-multiple.md
* Q-distill pearl: pearl_foxhunt_pi_trained_by_q_distillation_
  not_ppo.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 11:07:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
e22da61cf8 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-B — MultiHeadPolicy backward + aux KL prior
Backward pass through the K-head mixture + per-head KL prior
regularization. Components still inert — trainer integration is
Phase 2A-C.

* multi_head_policy_backward.cu: two kernels.
  - backward_pi (grid=(B), block=(HIDDEN_DIM=128)): full chain rule
    log_grad → mixture decomposition → per-head softmax-Jacobian
    → W_heads/b_heads/h_t grads. Per-batch grad scratch +
    reduce_axis0 reduction; no atomicAdd. Sole-writer per (b,k,a,h).
  - backward_gate (grid=(B), block=(K=8)): gating softmax-Jacobian +
    W_gate/b_gate grad scratch + grad_regime_h (computed but NOT
    routed upstream — regime_h is loader-precomputed).
* multi_head_policy_aux_prior.cu: per-head KL prior softmax-Jacobian
  grad β·π·(log_ratio − KL) additively accumulated into
  grad_pi_logits_k. Read-modify-write race-free (sequential same
  stream after backward_pi).
* MultiHeadPolicy::backward(grad_pi_logits, h_t, regime_h, isv) —
  launches backward_pi → aux_prior → backward_gate → 4× reduce_axis0
  on the same stream. Priors are computed at new() as softmax of
  the per-head init bias vectors, so KL=0 at initialization and
  the aux term only fires once Adam moves W_heads off zero.
* 4 new GPU-oracle invariant tests (9/9 total):
  - backward_gradcheck_w_heads (W_heads central difference)
  - backward_gradcheck_w_gate  (W_gate central difference)
  - aux_prior_grad_sums_to_zero_per_head (softmax-Jacobian invariant)
  - backward_is_deterministic_across_contexts
* 2 diagnostic tests (no asserts, print-only):
  - backward_gradcheck_w_heads_eps_sweep
  - backward_gradcheck_w_gate_eps_sweep

## Math investigation (gradcheck error chase)

Initial gradcheck at ε=1e-3 showed 1.7–1.9% relative error which
SHOULD have meant a chain-rule bug. Investigation:

1. Re-derived the analytical backward chain from first principles
   (8 chain steps) and diff'd against actual kernel source line
   by line. No discrepancies — math is implemented exactly as
   derived. ε in log-divisor (1e-12) matches forward.
2. ε-sweep characterization (b=2, k=2):

   |  ε   | max_rel_err W_heads | max_rel_err W_gate |
   |------|---------------------|--------------------|
   | 1e-2 | 1.6e-3              | 5.0e-3             |
   | 5e-3 | 1.3e-3              | 1.8e-2             |
   | 1e-3 | 1.9e-2              | 3.3e-2             |
   | 5e-4 | 1.0e-2              | 4.3e-2             |
   | 1e-4 | 1.0e-1              | 4.7e-1             |

   Error INCREASES as ε shrinks — opposite of O(ε²) truncation.
   Unambiguous fingerprint of fp32 catastrophic cancellation in
   (L_plus − L_minus)/2ε with |L| ≈ 6.6, |grad| ≈ 1e-2:
     noise ≈ ulp(L)/(2ε·|grad|) ≈ 2⁻²³·6.6/(2ε·0.01)
   ε=1e-3 → 4% (matches 1.9% observed), ε=1e-2 → 0.4%, ε=1e-4 → 40%.
3. Max-error indices random (not init-bias positions, not saturated
   softmax) — consistent with noise scatter, not systematic bug.

Verdict: TRUNCATION_CONFIRMED (specifically fp32 cancellation, not
chain-rule truncation). Math is correct.

Fix: ε bumped 1e-3 → 1e-2 (the cancellation/truncation sweet
spot for fp32 chained softmax). Tolerance restored to foxhunt-
standard 1e-2 / 1e-3 (was 5e-2 / 5e-4 — that was a workaround for
the noise-dominated ε, not justified). Measured error now
1.6e-3 / 5.0e-3 — comfortably under tolerance. ε-sweep diagnostic
tests added as a permanent reproducibility anchor so future
gradcheck regressions are easy to diagnose.

## Verification
* `cargo test multi_head_policy_invariants --release -- --ignored`:
  11/11 PASS (9 invariants + 2 diagnostics).
* `./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick`: exit 0
  (pipeline unchanged — backward not yet wired).
* 0 atomicAdd, 0 raw memcpy_htod/dtoh, 0 TODO/FIXME.

## Linked
* Phase 2A-A: 0b3e40150
* Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md
* Spec ADDENDUM: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 09:51:55 +02:00
jgrusewski
0b3e401500 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 2A-A — MultiHeadPolicy foundation (inert)
K=3 policy mixture + regime-gated routing head, with gate reading
REGIME_DIM=6 features DIRECTLY (bypassing the VSN softmax bottleneck
per the regime-attenuation empirical finding). Components are
unconditional but not yet wired into the trainer — Phase 2A-B
adds backward + aux KL prior, 2A-C wires Q-distill grad routing
to the mixture.

* 4 new ISV slots 761-764 (K, gating entropy floor, head entropy
  floor, aux prior β) + RL_SLOTS_END 761→765.
* multi_head_policy_forward.cu: per-batch K-head logits + mixture
  combination. Grid=(B), Block=(N_ACTIONS=11). Persists pi_logits_k
  + pi_probs_k for backward.
* multi_head_policy_gate_forward.cu: per-batch K-thread softmax
  over W·regime + b. Reads regime_h directly (parallel channel —
  bypass VSN). Stores pre-softmax logits to gmem BEFORE the
  in-place exp (caught during impl — plan pseudocode would have
  corrupted gate_logits).
* MultiHeadPolicy struct with Option A asymmetry-break init:
  Head 0 → ShortLarge bias (+0.5), Head 1 → LongSmall+LongLarge
  bias (+0.5 each), Head 2 → Hold bias (+0.5). Indices verified
  against rl/common.rs:56-70 N_ACTIONS=11 enum. htod via local
  upload() helper using MappedF32Buffer + raw_memcpy_dtod_async
  (mirrors rl/ppo.rs, rl/dueling_q.rs).
* 5 GPU-oracle invariant tests, all PASS:
  - gate_probs_sum_to_one
  - pi_probs_mixture_sums_to_one
  - k1_reduces_to_single_head (bit-equal vs reference Linear)
  - gate_responds_to_regime_change (TVD > 0.5, modal head flips)
  - forward_is_deterministic_across_contexts (bit-equal across
    two fresh CUDA contexts)
* Determinism preserved: ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick
  exits 0 (pipeline unchanged, components inert).
* No memcpy_htod/memcpy_dtoh on regular slices, no atomicAdd, no
  scoped-init-seed bypass.

Empirical motivation (3-seed mid-smoke at HEAD 779c03b9d, b=128):
  mean -$6.41M ± $1.39M σ; 62× spread in popart_envelope quartile
  (Q1 -$1.99M / Q4 -$32k); policy TVD asymmetry 0.17 on popart
  axis vs 0.02 on vol axis. Regime-direct gating targets the
  attenuation chokepoint; mixture provides regime-conditional
  capacity that single-head softmax cannot express.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-03 01:41:57 +02:00
jgrusewski
779c03b9d7 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 1B-B — rollout collection loop + GAE behind FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT flag
Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae.md
Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae-implementation.md §Phase 1B-B

Builds on commit 5cd2f8703 (1B-A foundation). Wires the RolloutBuffer
into the per-step training loop via a new RolloutCollection helper,
gated behind FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT=1 env flag. Mode 0 (default unset) is
bit-equal to HEAD; Mode 1 (flag=1) snapshots per-step data into the
rollout buffer and invokes GAE every T_rollout steps.

This phase is a STRUCTURAL validation, not an empirical pnl test.
Phase 1B-C will replace the per-step training in Mode 1 with multi-
epoch PPO over the rollout buffer.

New components:

* crates/ml-alpha/cuda/rollout_pack.cu (42 LOC):
    Single-thread-per-batch deterministic f32 -> u8 packer for dones.
    Used because RolloutBuffer.dones_d is u8 (per spec for memory) but
    the trainer's dones_d is f32 (per existing pipeline).

* crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/rollout_collection.rs (375 LOC):
    RolloutCollection helper with three methods:
      - new(ctx): loads rollout_pack cubin
      - snapshot_step(trainer, buf, t, b_size, t_max): DtoD scatter via
        cuMemcpy2DAsync_v2 for rewards/v_t/actions/log_pi/h_t at offset
        b*t_max+t in the [B × T] buffer; rollout_pack kernel for dones
      - copy_bootstrap_v(trainer, buf, b_size): DtoD V(s_T) from
        trainer.v_pred_tp1_d into buf.v_t_bootstrap_d at rollout end
    All transfers use mapped-pinned / DtoD only — no raw memcpy_dtoh
    on regular slices (`feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned`).

* crates/ml-alpha/examples/alpha_rl_train.rs (+137 LOC at lines 59-66,
  410-466, 591-666):
    - FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT env-flag parse at startup
    - Conditional RolloutBuffer + RolloutCollection allocation
    - Per-step snapshot_step() after step_with_lobsim_gpu
    - Every T_rollout steps: copy_bootstrap_v + compute_gae + stderr log
      `[rollout] step=N GAE complete (T=…, γ=…, λ=0.95): adv_mean=…
       adv_abs_mean=… returns_mean=…`

Adaptations from the dispatch (documented inline):

1. T_rollout fallback to 32 when slot 758 is unbootstrapped. Slot 758
   (RL_PPO_ROLLOUT_HORIZON_INDEX) was allocated in 1B-A but no kernel
   bootstraps it — `read_isv_host(758)` returns 0.0. Binary uses
   `.clamp(32, 1024)`, flooring to T=32 for the smoke. Phase 1B-C will
   add the trainer bootstrap entry (or a controller kernel) to make
   T_rollout=256 the production default.

2. Mode 1 still runs per-step training as a side effect; the rollout
   buffer is populated as a parallel snapshot. The "stop training in
   Mode 1" separation would require a ~1500 LOC refactor of
   step_with_lobsim_gpu (single-step/training-coupled per
   pearl_foxhunt_trainer_is_genuinely_single_step). The dispatch
   explicitly authorized this "skeleton with correct semantics"
   adaptation — the load-bearing 1B-B gate is "collection + GAE
   pipeline works structurally", which is verified. Phase 1B-C will
   replace the per-step training with multi-epoch PPO over the rollout
   buffer.

Validation (all gates PASS):
* cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p ml-alpha: exit 0 (~60s)
* cargo test rollout_buffer_invariants --release: 5/5 PASS (no regression)
* Mode 0 (flag unset, default): ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick exit 0
  - DETERMINISTIC: all checksums.* leaves match across all 200 rows
  - pipeline output bit-equal to HEAD 5cd2f8703 baseline
* Mode 1 (FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT=1): smoke completes in 2m 53s
  - 500 train + 100 eval steps, exit 0, completed_clean=true
  - 16 GAE windows logged (T=32 each)
  - adv_abs_mean range [4.4e-3, 1.92e-1] — always > 1e-3 sanity gate
  - eval_summary written: total_pnl_usd=-$101,487.70, n_trades=301, wr=0.346
* Cross-source consistency BOTH modes within $50 (Mode 0: $0.00 diff;
  Mode 1: $0.01 diff). Phase 0 contract preserved.
* Pre-commit hook PASS (0 memcpy_dtoh raw violations, 0 atomicAdd).

Next: Phase 1B-C will (a) bootstrap slot 758 to production T_rollout=256,
(b) replace Mode 1's per-step training with multi-epoch PPO over the
rollout buffer using the existing PPO surrogate + V regression kernels
operating on minibatches of [B × T] flattened to [B*T].

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 22:42:39 +02:00
jgrusewski
969caf26c3 docs(ml-alpha): spec + plan for Phase 1B trainer rollout-buffer + GAE refactor
Companion docs for commit 5cd2f8703 (Phase 1B-A foundation) — got missed
in the foundation commit's staging. The spec drives all 5 sub-phases
(1B-A through 1B-E), the plan expands them into atomic tasks.

* docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae.md
  — Why (math case + Phase 1A regression evidence)
  — Architecture decisions (rollout buffer shape, T_rollout, K_ppo, GAE
    kernel, multi-epoch PPO, PER reconciliation, CUDA Graph compat,
    determinism preservation)
  — 6 falsification gates (G1 alignment / G2 V regression Pearson /
    G3 sample efficiency / G4 determinism / G5 cross-source / G6 eval pnl)
  — Risks + decision tree from Phase 1A verdict

* docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae-implementation.md
  — Phase 1B-A tasks (now COMPLETE in 5cd2f8703)
  — Phase 1B-B through 1B-E task outlines (expand when prerequisites pass)

Per feedback_investigation_first_falsification_methodology: spec-then-
plan-then-implement; predetermined falsification gates at every phase.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 22:10:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
5cd2f87039 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 1B-A — RolloutBuffer + GAE kernel foundation
Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae.md
Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae-implementation.md

Foundation phase of the trainer rollout-buffer + GAE refactor (Phase 1B).
Empirically required after Phase 1A regression confirmed math-agent's
atomicity claim: dropping Phase 5 shaping WITHOUT GAE makes things worse
(eval_pnl regressed -$691k from -$4.46M to -$5.15M, popart sigma CV
0.96 -> 1.58, sign agreement 60% -> 46%). See pearl_reward_signal_
anti_aligned_with_pnl ADDENDUM 2026-06-02d for the mechanism analysis.

This commit establishes the components WITHOUT trainer integration —
subsequent phases (1B-B through 1B-E) wire them into the actual training
loop. Subdivides the multi-week refactor into atomically-verifiable
phases per feedback_investigation_first_falsification_methodology.

New components:

* 3 ISV slots (758-760):
    RL_PPO_ROLLOUT_HORIZON_INDEX = 758 (T_rollout, bootstrap 256)
    RL_PPO_N_EPOCHS_INDEX        = 759 (K_ppo, bootstrap 4)
    RL_PPO_N_MINIBATCHES_INDEX   = 760 (minibatches/epoch, bootstrap 8)
    RL_SLOTS_END 757 -> 761

* crates/ml-alpha/cuda/gae_backward_sweep.cu (58 LOC):
    Single-thread-per-batch sequential backward sweep computing
    A_t = δ_t + γλ·A_{t+1}·(1-done), returns_t = A_t + V_t.
    Deterministic by construction (no parallel reductions, no atomicAdd,
    no nvrtc). Reset on done. v_T_bootstrap parameter for trajectory-end
    V estimate.

* crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/rollout_buffer.rs (210 LOC):
    RolloutBuffer struct with [B × T] device buffers for rewards, dones,
    v_t, actions, log_pi_old, h_t; plus [B] v_T_bootstrap; plus output
    advantages, returns. compute_gae(γ, λ) invokes the kernel using
    cudarc raw-pointer pattern (`device_ptr(stream).0` resolved into
    local before .arg() — idiomatic for codebase). Loaded module +
    kernel handle stay private; struct fields exposed per spec.

* crates/ml-alpha/tests/rollout_buffer_invariants.rs (466 LOC):
    5 GPU-oracle invariant tests (#[ignore = "requires CUDA"]):
      1. gae_terminal_only_matches_close_event_pnl — single done at T-1
      2. gae_dense_reward_geometric_decay — Σ(γλ)^k geometric series
      3. gae_done_resets_credit — done reset propagation
      4. gae_deterministic_across_runs — bit-equality across contexts
      5. rollout_buffer_alloc_sizes_match_spec — alloc verification
    All 5 PASS in 2.15s.

Validation gates (Phase 1B-A complete when all pass):
* cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p ml-alpha: exit 0
  (1m 00s release build, gae_backward_sweep.cubin compiled with -O3
  --use_fast_math --ftz=true --fmad=true for sm_86)
* cargo test -p ml-alpha --test rollout_buffer_invariants --release: 5/5 PASS
* ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick: exit 0 — DETERMINISTIC: all
  checksums.* leaves match across all 200 rows (rel-tol=1e-5, abs-tol=1e-7).
  Pipeline output bit-equal to baseline since new struct/kernel are
  loaded but unused in the training loop.
* Pre-commit hook on staged diff: PASS (0 memcpy_dtoh, 0 atomicAdd).

Next: Phase 1B-B (rollout collection loop behind FOXHUNT_USE_ROLLOUT env
flag) per plan §Phase 1B-B. Dispatch after this commit lands.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 22:09:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
cfaa420bd4 fix(ml-alpha): Phase 0 — per-step authoritative USD pnl in diag + fix mislabeled fields
The diag's `trading.*_pnl_*_usd` fields were systematically mislabeled, making
the eval verdict signal untrustworthy. Three quantities shared the `_usd`
suffix but were not in USD:

  - `eval_summary.total_pnl_usd` (USD ground truth, $50/pt ES applied)
  - `trading.realized_pnl_cum_usd` (cumulative SHAPED reward at close events;
    pts × lots × Phase-5 shaping; NOT USD despite the suffix)
  - `trading.pnl_cum_usd` (mathematically nonsense — reads rewards_d after
    apply_reward_scale AND rl_popart_normalize whiten it in-place; dividing
    by current_scale un-does only the first transform)

At baseline mid-smoke (b=128, 2000+500, seed=42): eval_summary.total_pnl_usd
= -$4,457,625 while diag.trading.realized_pnl_cum_usd = +$469k and
diag.trading.pnl_cum_usd = +$12.9k. 346x ratio, sign-opposite. Same
mechanism as `pearl_grwwh_eval_catastrophic_collapse` ($234M cluster
discrepancy). Every Pearson(reward, Δpnl_usd) computation against these
fields was shaped-vs-shaped tautology, not pnl alignment.

This commit:

  DELETE `trading.pnl_cum_usd` (mathematically nonsense post-popart).

  RENAME `trading.realized_pnl_cum_usd` -> `trading.shaped_reward_close_event_cum`.
  Truthful name; the underlying values are post-Phase-5 shaped reward
  summed at close events, useful for gradient-signal diagnostics but never
  to be confused with USD pnl.

  ADD `trading.realized_pnl_usd_delta` and `trading.realized_pnl_usd_cum` in
  diag.jsonl / eval_diag.jsonl. Source: new per-batch float buffer
  pnl_step_close_usd_d on LobSimCuda, zeroed via raw_memset_d8_zero before
  each pnl_track_step launch, written by pnl_track.cu's close branch as
  realised_pnl_usd_fp / 100.0 (same arithmetic as eval_summary's
  TradeRecord aggregator, applying ES $50/pt). Single-writer per block —
  no atomicAdd per feedback_no_atomicadd.

  Direct readback via read_slice_d_into<f32> from sim.pnl_step_close_usd_d()
  after step_with_lobsim_gpu returns (main stream already synchronized via
  self.stream.synchronize() at pnl_track_step exit). NOT routed through
  diag_staging double-buffer — a prior implementation tried this and
  broke determinism (cross-stream race between main-stream
  raw_memset_d8_zero + pnl_track_step write and diag-stream
  raw_memcpy_dtod_async read). Direct same-stream read avoids the race
  entirely and stays mega-graph compatible (the readback runs AFTER
  per-step pipeline finishes, outside any captured CUDA graph).

  Cumulative tracked Rust-side in alpha_rl_train.rs; reset at train->eval
  boundary so realized_pnl_usd_cum tracks the eval window only.

  scripts/tier1_5_verdict.py upgrade:
  - signal_reward_alignment reads trading.realized_pnl_usd_cum
  - signal_eval_pnl falls back to realized_pnl_usd_cum
  - signal_consistency upgraded from WARN-at-5% to KILL-at-$50 with a new
    consistency_kill_usd threshold key; cross-source disagreement is now
    a hard kill not a warning

  tests/eval_diag_emission.rs: bumped EXPECTED_LEAVES 711 -> 712 (-1 deleted,
  -0 renamed, +2 added); added invariant that cum == running_sum(delta) and
  regression check that legacy pnl_cum_usd / realized_pnl_cum_usd fields are
  absent from the schema; allowed n_eval_steps + 1 row count for the
  drain-row pattern.

Falsification gate (load-bearing, must hold every smoke from this commit
forward): `diag.last_eval_row.trading.realized_pnl_usd_cum` matches
`eval_summary.total_pnl_usd` within $50.

Validation (mid-smoke b=128, 2000 train + 500 eval, seed=42, RTX 3050):
  - cargo build --release --example alpha_rl_train -p ml-alpha: exit 0
  - cargo test -p ml-alpha --test eval_diag_emission: PASS (712 leaves)
  - local-mid-smoke.sh: exit 0, drain row at step 2500
  - cross-source consistency: eval_summary=-$4,457,625.00 vs
    diag.realized_pnl_usd_cum=-$4,457,625.18 -> delta=$0.18 (exactly fp/100
    f32 rounding noise; well within $50 tolerance)
  - ./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick: PASS — all checksums.* leaves
    match across all 200 rows (rel-tol 1e-5, abs-tol 1e-7)
  - Pre-commit hook on staged diff: PASS

Memory pearls created in this session document the diagnostic chain:
  - pearl_diag_pnl_fields_are_shaped_reward_not_usd (the mislabeling root)
  - pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl ADDENDUM 2026-06-02b
    (correction to the 2026-06-02 ADDENDUM — the "+0.93 Pearson at HEAD"
    finding was a measurement artifact because both sides were in shaped
    pts x lots units, not USD)
  - pearl_advantage_kernel_is_done_gated_td_not_gae (related signal-density
    gap — Phase 1.5 follow-up)
  - pearl_phase5_term_4_is_almost_potential (Ng-Harada-Russell analysis of
    Phase 5 shaping terms — Phase 1 follow-up)

Unlocks: TRUE Pearson(rewards.sum, Δpnl_usd) can now be measured per-step
at HEAD. The eval-collapse investigation (next phases: Ng-Harada-Russell
shaping cleanup + GAE upgrade) is now falsifiable with bit-deterministic
verdicts grounded in authoritative USD pnl.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 19:55:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
629ebd667c feat(ml-alpha): deterministic same-seed training + Tier 1.5 fast-dev-cycle
Two same-seed runs now produce bit-equal eval_summary.json, alpha_rl_train_summary.json,
and diag.jsonl (modulo wall-clock elapsed_s). The 5-phase falsification chain landed:

  Phase 2   PER tree-rebuild: __threadfence is NOT a grid-wide barrier; multiple blocks
            raced across sum-tree levels. Fix: Grid=(1) Block=(1024) + __syncthreads
            in rl_per_tree_rebuild.cu.

  Phase 2.3 cuBLAS GEMM_DFALT + TF32 default-math allowed split-K non-deterministic
            accumulation at 3 sites. New crates/ml-alpha/src/cublas_determinism.rs
            applies CUBLAS_PEDANTIC_MATH via FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC env toggle
            (0=TF32 prod, 1=PEDANTIC dev default, 2=DEFAULT_MATH control).

  Phase 2.6 Two bugs surfaced sequentially in the backward kernel chain:
            (1) rl_iqn_tau_cos_features had a multi-block r/w race on prng_state[batch]
                — all N_TAU=32 blocks read seed; only tau_idx==0 wrote back; no
                inter-block barrier. Fix: split into READ-ONLY rl_iqn_tau_cos_features
                + new sibling rl_iqn_advance_prng_state launched on same stream
                (kernel-launch ordering = grid-wide barrier).
            (2) OutcomeHead::new called near_zero_xavier without scoped_init_seed,
                falling back to time+thread-id RNG. Stayed dormant until first done
                event activated non-sentinel labels and divergent weights flowed via
                grad_h_t_outcome into encoder gradient. Fix: add seed param + install
                scoped_init_seed(dqn_seed.wrapping_add(0x0CE0)) guard.

Validation (./scripts/determinism-check.sh --quick, RTX 3050, b=128, 200+50 steps):
  - All 200 rows of checksums.* leaves match (rel-tol 1e-5, abs-tol 1e-7)
  - eval_summary.json, alpha_rl_train_summary.json byte-equal between runs
  - diag.jsonl byte-equal modulo elapsed_s
  - Eval pnl identical run-A vs run-B at seed 42

Pre-fix baseline (Phase 2.5 measurement): same-seed eval pnl spread $450k
($187k vs -$261k). Post-fix: $0 spread.

Speed cost: ~1.5ms/step amortised; ~10-15% slower than TF32 production
(PEDANTIC tax — acceptable in dev, toggle to FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC=0 for prod).

Mapped-pinned discipline: all 11 NEW memcpy_dtoh sites in diagnostic dump methods
+ per-step checksum readback use a new pub(crate) helper
read_slice_d_into<T: Copy>(stream, src, dst) — MappedRecordBuffer + raw
memcpy_dtod_async + raw_stream_sync + volatile read. Generic over T (f32, f64,
i32, u32, u8). Satisfies feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned + hook guard.

Bundled Tier 1.5 fast-dev-cycle infrastructure (spec
docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-fast-dev-cycle.md):
  - scripts/local-mid-smoke.sh        b=128, 2000+500, ~10min on RTX 3050
  - scripts/determinism-check.sh      runs mid-smoke twice, diffs checksums
  - scripts/tier1_5_verdict.py        behavioral kill verdict
  - AdamW checkpoint save/load (crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/optim.rs)
  - IntegratedTrainer checkpoint save/load (resume from checkpoint)
  - 15 Phase 1 checksum leaves in build_diag_value
  - Env-gated dump methods (FOXHUNT_DETERMINISM_DEBUG_PER/MAMBA2/RL/BACKWARD)
    for future divergence-chasing — never run in production

Documentation:
  - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation.md
  - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-fast-dev-cycle.md
  - docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation-implementation.md
  - docs/superpowers/notes/2026-06-02-determinism-phase{1,2,2.2,2.5,2.6}-*.md
  - Adjacent specs/plans/notes from the analytical chain that surfaced determinism
    as the load-bearing blocker (eval-summary, eval-boundary, regime-observer,
    multi-head policy, regime-invariance, Phase 3 IQN-complement post-mortem)

Unlocks: every controller / architecture / reward-shaping A/B from this commit
onward attributes outcome differences to the change, not random-init kernel-race
drift cascading through training x eval LOB-sim trajectories. The eval-collapse
investigation (pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl, multi-head spec,
regime-invariance spec) is now testable with trustworthy verdicts.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 17:56:00 +02:00
jgrusewski
63fc16f173 fix(rl): surfer-scaffold v5.2 — drop wr_excess clamp, full scaffold when novice
alpha-rl-mjsmr (4a4953b01 step 99-249, 2026-06-02): v5.1 with wr_ema=0.248
(below break_even 0.30) produced scaffold_weight = 0.500, not the expected
1.0. Math: `max(0, wr_ema - break_even) = 0` → sigmoid(0) = 0.5 → competence
= 0.5 → w_competence = 0.5. So a novice agent below break-even got
HALF-scaffold instead of full scaffold (entropy dropped to 1.27 at step 249
because of the early directional signal, then ramped back up to 1.96 once
w_decay took over — unstable).

Fix: drop the `max(0, ...)` clamp. Use signed `wr_distance = wr_ema -
break_even` so:

  wr=0.20 → sigmoid(30·-0.10) ≈ 0.05 → w_competence ≈ 0.95 (full scaffold ✓)
  wr=0.30 → sigmoid(0)        = 0.50  → w_competence = 0.50 (half at BE)
  wr=0.40 → sigmoid(30·+0.10) ≈ 0.95 → w_competence ≈ 0.05 (pure pnl ✓)

This is the proper symmetric fade around break_even; the asymmetry was a
v5 original-design error. Combined with v5.1 `w_decay = max(0, 2·frac-1)`,
the scaffold should now:
  - hold near 1.0 while wr < break_even (novice)
  - smoothly fade through 0.5 as wr crosses break_even
  - drop toward 0 as wr settles above break_even AND PH decay subsides

Local invariant test:
  reward_alignment_surfer_scaffold_invariants OK: 251 rows validated
  train[0] bootstrap = 0.966 (unchanged)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 00:34:03 +02:00
jgrusewski
4a4953b01f fix(rl): surfer-scaffold v5.1 — decay re-engagement requires EXCESS alertedness
alpha-rl-zf6s5 (38a4aa15b b=1024 fold-1 step 5719 verdict, 2026-06-02):
the v5 scaffold_weight stayed pinned at 1.0 even when wr crossed
break-even (0.306 > 0.30). Root cause: `w_decay = min(1, 2 × frac_alerted)`
saturated at 1.0 because train-time Page-Hinkley naturally alerts on
75-95% of batches (per pearl_edge_decay_detector_phase1_validated_train_also_decays
discovered 2026-06-01); `max(w_competence, w_decay)` then kept the
scaffold engaged forever, defeating the fade mechanism.

FIX: `w_decay = max(0, 2 × frac_alerted − 1)` so re-engagement measures
EXCESS alertedness above 50% baseline, not absolute level:

  frac_alerted   v5 w_decay    v5.1 w_decay
  -----------   -----------   ------------
  0.50          1.0           0.00      ← v5 broken here
  0.78          1.0           0.56
  0.90          1.0           0.80
  1.00          1.0           1.00

At zf6s5 step 5719 (frac_alerted=0.78), v5.1 gives w_decay=0.56 not 1.0;
w_competence=0.455 wins via max(), so w drops to ~0.56 letting the fade
begin properly.

Health signals from zf6s5 (informative even though terminated):
  step 5719: wr=0.306, hold=14.4, entropy=1.82, realized=+$152M
  trajectory: wr crossing 0.30 ✓, hold growing 12→14 ✓, entropy ↓ ✓
  the agent IS becoming competent; the scaffold just couldn't fade.

Local invariant test:
  reward_alignment_surfer_scaffold_invariants OK: 251 rows validated
  train[0] bootstrap = 0.966 (unchanged — boot path identical)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-02 00:22:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
38a4aa15b3 feat(rl): adaptive surfer-scaffold reward shaping (spec v5 A+B combined)
Diagnosis from alpha-rl-8fb55 (fa347e481 b=1024 fold-1, 4500 steps):
the v4 binary `pure_pnl_mode=1` correctly aligned the gradient (Pearson
0.92) but left the agent unable to LEARN. action_entropy stayed at
1.9-2.1 (near uniform log(11)=2.40) — the policy never converged on a
strategy, just oscillated between random trading and all-flat. pnl
bled −$3.9M, wr stuck at 0.30 (random-baseline). The Phase 5 hold-bonus
was NOT pure contamination — it was the INDUCTIVE BIAS SCAFFOLD that
taught a random-init network what to optimize. Pure pnl alone is too
sparse to bootstrap learning in foxhunt's reward-density regime.

REDESIGN — replace binary pure_pnl_mode with continuous adaptive
surfer-scaffold weight w ∈ [0,1] multiplying Phase 5 shaping:
  w=1 → identical to dd049d9a4 surfer-baseline shaping (full scaffold)
  w=0 → identical to v4 pure pnl reward (no shaping)
  0<w<1 → smooth lerp

Controller `rl_surfer_scaffold_controller.cu` writes w each step from:
  - RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX (677): agent's competence signal
  - RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX (660): trade-count confidence gate
  - RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX (751): edge-decay re-engagement

Math:
  confidence  = sigmoid((n_trades - warmup) / (warmup*0.3))
  competence  = confidence × sigmoid(k_sharp × max(0, wr_ema - break_even))
  w_competence = 1 - competence
  w_decay     = min(1, 2 × frac_alerted)
  w = clamp(max(w_competence, w_decay), 0, 1)

At random init (n_trades≈0, wr≈0): w → 1 (full scaffold, agent learns
to hold via Phase 5 like dd049d9a4 surfer baseline). After warmup with
wr crossing break-even: w → 0 (pure pnl reward, no Phase 5
contamination for eval-relevant strategies). Edge-decay PH alerts
force w back up if the policy degrades — Option A "rethink strategy"
mechanism without an explicit reset.

Slot reuse: 753 was `RL_REWARD_PURE_PNL_MODE_INDEX` (v4 binary, never
deployed beyond fa347e481 cluster smoke alpha-rl-kwppb/8fb55, both
verdict=fail). v5 renames to `RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX` with
semantic flip (v5 w=1 ⇔ v4 mode=0; bootstrap 1.0 invariant). 3 new
config slots (754/755/756) for break_even_wr / k_sharpness /
warmup_trades. RL_SLOTS_END 754 → 757.

Phase 5 kernel modifications — multiplicative lerp form preserves
w=1 ⇔ legacy shaping:
  additive a:        r += w × a
  multiplicative m:  r *= (1 + w × (m - 1))

Diag: `rewards.surfer_scaffold_weight` replaces `rewards.pure_pnl_mode`
(1 leaf in, 1 leaf out → EXPECTED_LEAVES still 679).

Invariant test:
  - I1+I2: scaffold_weight ∈ [0, 1] across train + eval (250 rows)
  - I3: scaffold_weight ≥ 0.9 at step 0 (novice agent ⇒ full scaffold)

Local validation:
  reward_alignment_surfer_scaffold_invariants OK: 251 rows validated;
    train[0] bootstrap = 0.966 (matches math: 1 - sigmoid(-3.33)×0.5 ≈ 0.98)
  eval_diag_emission OK: 679 leaves train + eval (schema parity)

Cluster smoke (next): fold-1 b=1024 20k+5k. Falsification:
  PASS: action_entropy drops below 1.7 by step 5000 (policy concentrating)
        AND wr_ema crosses 0.35 by step 10000
        AND surfer_scaffold_weight fades to < 0.5 by step 15000
  FAIL: any criterion below → revisit signal weights or anneal schedule

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-reward-policy-alignment-investigation.md §6
Pearls:
  - pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl (the v4 diagnosis)
  - pearl_pure_pnl_mode_starves_b16_controllers (the v4 cluster verdict)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 23:52:14 +02:00
jgrusewski
fa347e4812 feat(rl): reward-policy alignment — pure-pnl mode default (spec 2026-06-01)
Empirical diagnosis (local analysis of two 20k+5k cluster runs on PVC,
SHAs 22e6ddbca alpha-rl-6kghr and 87a8259c6 alpha-rl-8gtk2):

  Pearson(rewards.sum, Δrealized_pnl_cum_usd) = 0.16 train / 0.31 eval
  sign-agreement (rewards.sum vs Δpnl direction)   = 23-32% across both
  (random baseline 50%)

The shaped reward fed to PPO/Q/V losses is systematically anti-aligned
with profitable trade direction. wr_max=0.418 in train of 87a8259c6
proves the architecture can find profitable patterns; the misaligned
gradient un-learns them. THE single load-bearing bug behind 64 prior
negative-eval commits — controllers were rebalancing around a wrong
optimization target, not a wrong solver.

Mechanism: Phase 5 step 4 of rl_fused_reward_pipeline (per-step hold
bonus = hold_bonus × √hold_time, with hold_bonus=2.0) adds +20/step at
hold_time=100, dominating realized pnl (~$1k scale) by ~2600× per held
trade. V-regression learns inflated baseline → close-event advantages
wrong-signed → PPO un-trains profitable closes.

Implementation (ONE atomic commit, gated on a single ISV slot):
  - RL_REWARD_PURE_PNL_MODE_INDEX (slot 753), RL_SLOTS_END 753→754
  - Bootstrap = 1.0 (NEW path default; mode=0 preserves legacy shaping
    for ONE regression cluster smoke, deleted in 24-48h follow-up per
    feedback_no_feature_flags + feedback_single_source_of_truth)
  - rl_fused_reward_pipeline.cu: Phase 5 steps 1-4 AND Phase 5b
    inventory penalty gated by pure_pnl_mode > 0.5
  - rewards.pure_pnl_mode emitted in diag.jsonl (679 leaves)
  - tests/reward_alignment_invariants.rs: 250-row GPU-oracle invariant
    test (mode==1.0 propagation + abs_max < $25k inflation fence)

Fees: LobSimCuda apply_fill_to_pos deducts cost_per_lot_per_side per
fill into pos.realized_pnl (resting_orders.cu:213-219). realized_pnl_delta
is already net-of-fee; mode=1 cleanly delegates execution costs to
LobSim, inventory limits to Layers 1/2/4 (CMDP + IQN τ + Kelly sizing).

Local validation:
  reward_alignment_pure_pnl_mode_invariants OK: 250 rows validated
  eval_diag_emission OK: 679 leaves train + eval (schema parity)

Falsification (cluster smoke, fold-1 walk-forward 20k+5k b=1024):
  PASS: Pearson(rewards.sum, Δrealized_pnl) ≥ 0.7 train @ steps 1500-2000
        AND ≥ 0.5 eval; AND wr ≥ 0.30 in train post step 1000
  FAIL: any below → controller transient extended to step 3000-4000,
        re-check; if still fails, abandon reward path within 1 retry

Risk A acknowledged (HIGH): 12 adaptive controllers will rebalance
under new sparse-reward distribution. Dominant time constant is
RL_REWARD_CLAMP_V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA = 0.001 (τ=1000 steps; ~3τ to 95%
convergence). §2 robustness clause extends verdict window if clamp
bounds haven't stabilized.

Reviewer (sp-critical-reviewer 2 passes): FIX-AND-PROCEED — all v3
BLOCKERs structurally resolved; v4 + 5 LOW edits approved.

Refs:
  spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-reward-policy-alignment-investigation.md
  pearl: pearl_reward_signal_anti_aligned_with_pnl

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 22:38:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
b45c2fb108 fix(rl): edge-decay PH — flip sign for downside detection
Canonical Page-Hinkley as cited in spec/pearl uses m = Σ(x − μ̄ − δ),
which detects mean INCREASE not decrease. First cluster smoke alpha-rl-n5x87
exposed the sign error: at train step 1277 the detector showed
77% fleet alerted (ph_mean=237.8 vs λ=5) — but training-time improvement
shouldn't trigger the decay detector. The current formula was firing on
"recent x > long-run μ̄" (improvement) rather than "x < μ̄" (decay).

Fix: m = Σ(μ̄_pre − x_t − δ). Now grows when x_t < μ̄ − δ (signal below
mean by more than tolerance = degradation). M still tracks min(m) and
ph_stat = m − M still triggers when cumulative deviation rises above
recent minimum.

Local b=16 smoke (100+50) post-fix: train[99] ph_mean=40, alert=20%,
warmup=0.69 — detector firing on early-training noise. Eval ph_mean=0
(too few closes for warmup). The cluster scale will give the real test.

Also renamed kernel param `ph_M_per_batch` → `ph_mmin_per_batch` to match
Rust snake_case field naming. (Was a name mismatch between Rust struct
and CUDA kernel param that snuck through the v1 build because both sides
were edited consistently within their own languages but the cross-language
contract wasn't.)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 21:36:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
34806b6b62 diag(rl): edge-decay detector Phase 1 — Page-Hinkley on per-trade EV
Pure observability. No behavior change. Implements the missing
"short-run trust adjustment" layer between Kelly long-run sizing and
CMDP tail kill, per pearl_edge_decay_detection_is_a_missing_abstraction_layer.

The 64 commits since dd049d9a4 added tail-event circuit breakers (CMDP DD,
Kelly trap, IQN-τ); none addressed slow-bleed via overtrading on degraded
edge. alpha-rl-glv6n showed eval pnl -$24.85M came from 47K trades at
wr=0.256 with 95 closes/step — 2000× higher close rate than train —
invisible to all existing risk machinery because no single trade tripped
a tail-event threshold.

Page-Hinkley change-point detector on σ_welford-normalized per-trade PnL:

  x_t           = rewards[b] / σ_welford   (slot 725, scale-invariant)
  μ̄_t           = pre-update Welford running mean
  m_t           = m_{t-1} + (x_t − μ̄_pre − δ)    [only after warmup]
  M_t           = min(M_{t-1}, m_t)               [only after warmup]
  ph_stat_t     = m_t − M_t

ISV slots (6 new, 747-752): δ=0.1, λ=5.0, warmup_min=10 (σ-relative
unit-less); fleet aggregates ph_mean (over active batches),
frac_ph_alerted (n_alerted/n_active), frac_ph_warmup (n_warmup/b_size).

Per-batch device buffers (5 new): ph_mu/count/m/mmin/stat. Read+written
only by rl_cmdp_constraints_check kernel.

Reset discipline: all 5 PH buffers added to reset_session_state memset
block alongside existing CMDP per-batch state. PH is PREDICTIVE (predicts
future edge degradation from recent trajectory), so it follows
"RESET PREDICTIVE, PRESERVE NORMALIZATION" per
pearl_popart_reset_at_eval_boundary_shocks_normalization. σ_welford
itself is normalization — it lives in popart EMA which IS preserved
across boundaries.

Kernel ordering note: rl_cmdp_constraints_check fires BEFORE
apply_reward_scale and rl_popart_normalize, so rewards[b] at kernel
entry is RAW USD and the σ slot read is the prior step's σ_welford
(one-step lag, acceptable for diagnostic). Slot 725 chosen over slot 555
(σ_effective) because slot 555 spikes 1000× at the eval shock window —
blinding the detector exactly when bleed is largest.

EXPECTED_LEAVES bump 675 → 678 (+3 diag leaves
edge_ph_{mean,frac_alerted,frac_warmup}).

Local b=16 smoke (100+50): wiring validated. Train phase by step 99
shows ph_mean=3.5 (close to λ=5), frac_alerted=0.25 — detector
firing as designed at active batches. Eval[0] frac_warmup snaps back to
1.0 — confirms reset_session_state extension correctly zeroed all 5
PH buffers at fold/eval boundary (BLOCKER #1 contract validated).

Predetermined falsification (cluster smoke b=1024, per spec §G5):
- frac_ph_warmup drops <0.4 by train step 1000 AND eval step 200
  (≥35% cooldown-suppressed tail acknowledged)
- frac_ph_warmup snaps to ≥0.95 at first eval row (reset wiring test)
- ph_mean rises from <1 to >3 over first 200 eval trades
- frac_ph_alerted > 0.3 by eval step 300

3-strike abandonment: if 3 V2 iterations fail for 3 different parameter
reasons, audit signal source (per feedback_going_in_circles_pattern).

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-edge-decay-detector-phase1-diagnostic.md
(v3 after 3 sp-critical-reviewer passes; verdict GO after final review).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 21:04:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
a5e0d00794 diag(rl): CMDP fleet-fraction observability — 4 new ISV slots
The existing CMDP diag emits AGGREGATES (worst_consec, max_cool_remain,
mean session_pnl) that, at b=1024, hide per-batch behavior. The aggregate
"worst" stays at the trip limit even when only a single batch is
constrained — which misled today's investigation into thinking the fleet
was in a perma-trap when local b=16 smoke shows only 31% of batches in
cooldown during train, 0% during eval.

This commit adds 4 new ISV slots that count what FRACTION of the fleet is
constrained at each step, computed in the existing rl_cmdp_constraints_check
per-batch loop. Pure observability — no behavior change.

ISV slots (RL_SLOTS_END 743 → 747):
- RL_CMDP_FRAC_IN_COOLDOWN_INDEX       = 743: cooldown_remaining > 0
- RL_CMDP_FRAC_CONSEC_NEAR_LIMIT_INDEX = 744: consec >= limit - 1
- RL_CMDP_FRAC_DD_TRIGGERED_INDEX      = 745: dd_triggered flag set
- RL_CMDP_FRAC_SESSION_NEG_INDEX       = 746: session_pnl < 0

Diag emit: risk_stack.cmdp.frac_{in_cooldown, consec_near_limit,
dd_triggered, session_neg}. EXPECTED_LEAVES 671 → 675.

Bootstrap array 230 → 234 (all 4 default 0.0; kernel overwrites every step).

Predetermined falsification criteria (cluster smoke b=1024):
- frac_in_cooldown > 0.5 sustained → cooldown trap is real, ship a
  resurrection fix to rl_cmdp_constraints_check.
- frac_in_cooldown < 0.1 throughout → cooldown is fine, look elsewhere
  (overfit / training scale / data signal).
- 0.1-0.5 → ambiguous, refine.

Local b=16 smoke (100+50): leaves=675, schema parity, kernel writes
fractions correctly. Train peaks at frac_in_cooldown=0.31 / frac_dd=0.31.
Eval stays at 0.0 throughout. Aggregate `cooldown_remaining_steps=495`
at train[99] coexists with frac_in_cooldown=0.31, confirming the aggregate
hides the fleet-level reality.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 16:53:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
f428be794b Revert "feat(rl): B-11-β Q-distill informativeness gate"
This reverts commit b93971726d.
2026-06-01 14:57:41 +02:00
jgrusewski
b93971726d feat(rl): B-11-β Q-distill informativeness gate
First behavior change since B-7 (preceding B-8/B-9/B-10 were
observability-only). Attenuates the distill gradient when softmax(Q/τ)
is near-uniform — when target_entropy → ln(N_ACTIONS), the distill term
is pure max-entropy regularization with no informational signal, so it
fights PPO instead of carrying Q's preferences into π.

Verified cluster cause @ alpha-rl-88f5c (B-10 smoke, c1dc84a34):
target_entropy = 2.3976 / ln(11) = 2.398 max → 99.98% of max with Q_range
13.79 and τ=20.18. Distill at λ=0.224 was applying ~uniform-target KL
regularization across 20k steps → eval pnl -$218M at full run
(alpha-rl-8gtk2).

Gate (per-block, smooth):
  λ_eff = λ_base × max(0, 1 − h_target / ln(N_ACTIONS))^p
where λ_base is the existing KL-target Schulman controller's output
(slot 486, untouched) and p defaults to 2.0 (slot 744).

Bitwise disabled-mode: when RL_Q_DISTILL_INFO_GATE_ENABLED_INDEX = 0.0
the ternary forces gate_factor = 1.0 verbatim and s_lambda_eff = lambda
exactly. Same ISV-toggle pattern as B-7's reward-clamp control (slot 724).

Source delta:
- 3 new ISV slots: RL_Q_DISTILL_INFO_GATE_ENABLED_INDEX = 743,
  RL_Q_DISTILL_INFO_GATE_SENSITIVITY_INDEX = 744,
  RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_EFFECTIVE_INDEX = 745; RL_SLOTS_END 743 → 746.
- Bootstrap array 230 → 233 (defaults: ENABLED=1.0, SENSITIVITY=2.0,
  LAMBDA_EFFECTIVE=0.0 sentinel; kernel block-0 overwrites every step).
- rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu: shared s_lambda_eff, per-block target-entropy
  reduction in the existing thread-0 s_pi_target block, gate compute,
  __syncthreads broadcast; grad_distill uses s_lambda_eff. Block-0 emits
  slot 745 alongside existing B-10 G2 emits.
- Diag: policy_diagnostic.q_distill_lambda_effective (672 leaves total).
- New invariant smoke: tests/q_distill_info_gate_invariants.rs (4 gates).

Local 200+50 b=16 fold-1 smoke validates all 4 invariants across 249 rows:
peak h_target/ln(N) = 1.000 (β cause confirmed at smoke scale too); gate
factor range [0, 5.99e-6]; 132 saturated rows (h_frac ≥ 0.999). l_q_b
healthy throughout.

NOT byte-identical to pre-B-11-β runs by design: gated grad_distill
changes π → action distribution → trade outcomes. V4 (spec §4) calls
this out explicitly. Cluster comparison is on aggregate signals (eval
pnl, l_pi trajectory), not exact reproducibility.

Falsification criteria (spec §2.G5) gate the next iteration:
- eval pnl > -$50M  → β was dominant, B-11-β is the fix
- -$50M to -$100M  → β contributed, write B-11-γ (advantage standardization)
- < -$100M          → β not dominant alone; B-11-α + B-11-γ combined

Risk D explicit threshold (spec §8): if λ_base (slot 486) exceeds 2× its
pre-B-11-β baseline EMA sustained 5k steps, the KL-target controller is
in compensatory-ramp territory and B-11-β.1 gates the controller's input
on the gated KL.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-b11-beta-q-distill-informativeness-gate.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 13:00:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
c1dc84a345 fix(rl): B-10 wire G1 Q-distribution launch into step_with_lobsim_gpu
Initial B-10 commit placed `launch_q_distribution_stats` after the
`dqn_head.forward(h_t)` at line 6615 — but that's inside
`step_with_lobsim`, the legacy non-GPU path. The actual GPU path
exercised by `alpha_rl_train` is `step_with_lobsim_gpu` (line 8402),
which has its own h_t-based Q forward at line 8632. The G1 diag fields
(q_dist_entropy_mean, q_value_range_mean, q_value_abs_max) returned 0
locally because the launch never ran in the GPU path.

Added the same launch_q_distribution_stats call after line 8632.
The non-GPU launch at 6615 is left in place — `step_with_lobsim` is
still callable; per `feedback_no_partial_refactor.md` both paths are
instrumented consistently.

Validated locally (RTX 3050 Ti, 200+50 b=16 fold-1):
  q_dist_entropy_mean       = 2.6482   (was 0)
  q_value_range_mean        = 4.9257   (was 0)
  q_value_abs_max           = 3.8715   (was 0)

The entropy value 2.65 is consistent with a near-uniform softmax over
Q_N_ATOMS=21 atoms with some learned concentration (ln(21)=3.04 = full
uniform, 0 = one-hot delta). Range and abs_max in 4-5 unit scale match
the locally-adapted atom support.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 12:25:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
8c7ce02da9 feat(rl): B-10 policy-quality cascade diagnostic
alpha-rl-8gtk2 (B-7+B-8+B-9 run at SHA 87a8259c6) exposed a degenerate
equilibrium at step 6478 (~32% through 20k train): l_pi diverged 15×
from best (stale 478 steps), l_q + l_v bit-flat (stale 524/615 steps),
π near-uniform (entropy 2.36 / ln(11)=2.40 max, Hold-dominant 32%),
Kelly fraction floored at 0.025 with consistently-negative EV.

Three lit-confirmed candidate root causes (perplexity 2026-06-01):
  α Q-collapse via adaptive C51 EWMA atom support — Bellemare projection
    collapses target distribution to one-hot at center atom under
    EWMA-narrowed [V_MIN_eff, V_MAX_eff], yielding near-zero CE without
    Q having any information content.
  β Q→π distill amplification — softmax(Q/τ) is uniform for ANY τ when
    Q is uniform across actions, so high-τ distill = pure max-entropy
    regularization regardless of τ value.
  γ Heavy-tailed advantage normalization — per-batch standardization
    (Schulman 2017 canonical, computed in `rl_advantage_normalize.cu`,
    publishes var to slot 612) produces 5-10σ outliers under B-7's
    unclamped reward distribution → PPO surrogate magnitude explodes.

B-10 ships PURE OBSERVABILITY across 4 groups (G1 Q-dist informativeness,
G2 Q-distill effectiveness, G3 PPO advantage normalization, G4 PPO
surrogate decomposition). No controller, no behavior change, no atom-span
modification. The falsification criteria predetermine the B-11 path the
next cluster run motivates.

Changes:
- 13 new ISV slots (730-742) in isv_slots.rs; `RL_SLOTS_END = 743`.
- 13 bootstrap entries; fixed-size array `[(usize, f32); 217]` → 230 at
  integrated.rs:3394.
- New kernel `rl_q_distribution_stats.cu` — two entry points
  (`rl_q_distribution_per_batch` + `rl_q_distribution_reduce`) computing
  online Q distribution entropy + E_Q range + |E_Q| max via single-block
  tree-reduce (B-9 pattern). Reads online `q_logits_d` + `atom_supports_d`.
- New kernel `rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce.cu` — cross-batch reducer
  over 4 per-batch scratches (`ppo_a_norm_pb`, `ppo_ratio_dev_pb`,
  `ppo_ratio_clipped_pb`, `ppo_surrogate_pb`) written by surrogate_fwd.
  Reads slot 612 (var_pre_norm) for σ_used = sqrt(var); reconstructs
  |A_unnorm| stats from |A_norm| × σ_used.
- Modified `ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu` — 4 new pointer params for the
  scratches; writes happen in the same `act == 0` branch that already
  owns per-batch reductions, alongside existing loss_pi_per_b. Loss
  reduce path (`ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu`) and ratio path
  (`ppo_log_ratio_abs_max_b.cu`) untouched.
- Modified `rl_q_pi_distill_grad.cu` — adds 2 inline emits (slot 733
  target entropy, 734 target-π entropy diff) in the existing batch-0
  diagnostic block; controller writes (slot 486 λ, slot 487 τ) untouched.
- 5 new `[B] f32` scratch buffers + 2 new function handles in
  `PolicyHead` + 2 new function handles in `DqnHead`. New launch methods
  `launch_q_distribution_stats` (DqnHead) and
  `launch_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce` (PolicyHead) following B-9 pattern.
- Trainer wires: G1 launch after `dqn_head.forward(h_t)` at line 6615;
  G3+G4 reducer call right after `surrogate_forward` at line 5211
  (single call site verified — `surrogate_forward` is invoked once per
  step_with_lobsim_gpu pass).
- 14 new diag leaves under `policy_diagnostic` block: 13 from new slots
  + 1 from existing slot 407 (`rl_q_pi_agree_b` was writing every step
  but never reached diag; per B-10 spec §6 Open Decision 4 audit).
- `EXPECTED_LEAVES` 657 → 671 in `eval_diag_emission.rs`.

Local validation (RTX 3050 Ti, 200+50 b=16 fold-1 smoke):
  * Build clean, release binary 1m 43s.
  * Schema parity test path: train = eval = 671 leaves ✓
  * 11/14 new diag fields populating correctly:
    - q_distill_target_entropy = 2.395 (near-uniform ⇒ G2 working)
    - q_pi_agree_ema evolving 0.41 → -0.80 → 0.36 across training
    - PPO scratches show non-zero ppo_a_norm_mean=0.65 at step 50
      (when advantages have signal) and 0 elsewhere (correct: A=0 at
      most steps with replay still warming).
  * 3/14 fields (G1 q_dist_*) return 0 locally — possible sm_86-specific
    runtime issue with the new `rl_q_distribution_stats` kernel; will
    debug on the next cluster run (H100 sm_90) which is the canonical
    diagnostic environment for B-10's intended cluster validation.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-b10-policy-quality-cascade-diagnostic.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 12:20:42 +02:00
jgrusewski
033906f213 docs(rl): fix stale C51 V_MAX/V_MIN "ratchet" claims + B-9 test bug
While alpha-rl-8gtk2 (the B-7+B-8+B-9 20k+5k cluster run) was training,
B-9's saturation diag exposed V_MAX_eff dropping from 856.82 (step 482)
to 464.61 (step 817) within the same run. The kernel docstrings and slot
doc-comments uniformly claimed "ratchet (monotone-grow)" semantics —
contradicting the observation by 392 units.

Root cause: wwcsz followup 2026-05-24 (commit landed in
rl_reward_clamp_controller.cu Step 5 only) REPLACED the original ratchet
with a slow symmetric EWMA (α=0.001, half-life ~700 steps) on
`win_bound`/`loss_bound`. Static ratchet was wasting atom resolution on
rare tails (avg rewards in [-5,+5] with span at [-60,+20] → Δz=4, Q
couldn't distinguish "slightly winning" from "slightly losing"). The
EWMA refocuses atom resolution on the ACTIVE range.

The controller's own header was correctly updated at the time. The
documentation drift was in 3 other places — fixed here:

- bellman_target_projection.cu header (lines 47-49): "ratchet
  (monotone-grow)" → accurate EWMA description with cross-references
  + pearl_c51_v_max_freeze_required_for_surfer warning (V_MAX in
  100-200 → trend-follower; past 1000 → degraded).

- rl_atom_support_update.cu line 4: "Companion to the C51 atom-span
  ratchet" → "Companion to the C51 atom-span EWMA".

- isv_slots.rs slot allocation table line 43: "C51 atom-span ratchet
  slots" → "C51 atom-span EWMA slots (α=0.001)".

- isv_slots.rs RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX / RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX doc-comments
  (lines 649-668): replaced with accurate EWMA description, observed
  857 → 465 drop example, and asymmetric tracking note (V_MIN_eff
  EWMAs -loss_bound NOT -V_MAX_eff — they only coincide when ratio≈1).

Latent test bug also surfaced + fixed: c51_atom_saturation_diagnostic
assumed `V_MIN_eff = -V_MAX_eff` (line 136). With observed Kelly EMAs
avg_loss=$436 vs avg_win=$872 → ratio ≈ 0.5 → V_MIN_eff ≈ -0.5 ×
V_MAX_eff, the test's bot-rate consistency check would false-fail if
saturation ever became non-zero. Dormant so far (sat=0% in both smoke
and full run). Relaxed the bot-rate assertion to use the v_bound_floor
(-1.0) as the necessary lower bound — correct for any asymmetric ratio
and catches gross drift without false-failing on legitimate adaptation.

No behavior change; pure docstring drift + dormant test bug repair per
feedback_trust_code_not_docs. Compile clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 11:31:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
87a8259c6e fix(build): ml-backtesting honors CUDA_COMPUTE_CAP for sm_90 on H100
alpha-rl-mbg2n on H100 failed at LobSimCuda::new with
`CUDA_ERROR_NO_BINARY_FOR_GPU` loading book_update.cubin. Root cause:
ml-backtesting/build.rs read only `FOXHUNT_CUDA_ARCH` (set by
lob-backtest-sweep-template) but NOT `CUDA_COMPUTE_CAP` (set by
alpha-rl-template from `nvidia-smi --query-gpu=compute_cap` inside the
compile pod). On H100 it silently fell through to default sm_86; the
sm_86 cubin contains no PTX → no JIT path on sm_90 device.

The docstring claimed "Mirrors crates/ml-alpha/build.rs" — it didn't
(ml-alpha reads CUDA_COMPUTE_CAP). Completing the mirror now: detect_arch
returns sm_<NN> honoring (in order):
  1. CUDA_COMPUTE_CAP numeric env (alpha-rl-template)
  2. FOXHUNT_CUDA_ARCH sm_-prefixed env (lob-backtest-sweep-template)
  3. nvidia-smi --query-gpu=compute_cap at build time
  4. Default sm_86 (RTX 3050 Ti local dev)

Both production argo templates now produce sm_90 cubins on H100 and
sm_89 on L40S without further changes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 11:00:53 +02:00
jgrusewski
29b5acad55 feat(rl): B-9 C51 Bellman-target saturation observability
Under B-7 (clamp default-disabled), per-transition rewards in
bellman_target_projection / bellman_fused_select_project can exceed the
adaptive atom support [V_MIN_eff, V_MAX_eff]; each t_z overshoot is
silently clamped before being mapped onto the discrete support. B-9
publishes the per-step saturation rate + pre-clamp t_z extremes so we
can decide if the atom span has become a bottleneck — without
re-attempting the reverted Fix F atom-widening (pearl_c51_v_max_freeze
_required_for_surfer).

Changes:
- 4 new ISV slots (726-729): top/bot saturation rate + max/min pre-proj.
- bellman_target_projection.cu: both entry points (bellman_target_projection
  AND bellman_fused_select_project per feedback_no_partial_refactor) gain
  4 new [B] f32 pointer params; thread-0 sequential reduction over
  Q_N_ATOMS=21 (odd count rules out symmetric tree-reduce — matches the
  kernel's existing softmax max/sum pattern at lines 157/171).
- New cross-batch reducer cuda/rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce.cu:
  single block, grid-stride gather + power-of-2 tree reduce, no atomicAdd
  per feedback_no_atomicadd.
- dqn.rs: load reducer cubin, add saturation_reduce_fn handle,
  launch_saturation_reduce method, 4 scratch pointer params on both
  bellman methods.
- integrated.rs: allocate 4 [B] f32 scratch buffers; pass through both
  fused_select_and_project_bellman call sites + launch reducer after each.
  4 new bootstrap entries (213 → 217 fixed-size array).
- build.rs: register new kernel.
- 4 new diag leaves under risk_stack.atom_calibration.target_*. Comment
  distinguishes them from popart.max_abs_reward_ema (different signal:
  Bellman target = r + γ·atom_value, can exceed reward by γ·V_MAX_eff).
- EXPECTED_LEAVES 653 → 657.
- tests/c51_atom_saturation_diagnostic.rs: GPU-oracle test asserts
  4 invariants over 249 rows — rates in [0,1], max≥min, rate>0 ⇒
  overshoot exists, top+bot ≤ 1.

Validation:
- 200+50 b=16 fold-1 smoke clean. Locally V_MAX_eff adapts to ~19.3
  (atom support is ISV-driven via rl_atom_support_update), so saturation
  is 0% in the smoke; both diag leaves emit + invariants hold.
- popart_disaggregation_invariants: still passes (249 rows, identity).
- eval_diag_emission: train = eval = 657 leaves.
- Determinism preserved: kernel adds shared-mem reduction over per-thread
  t_z values that were already computed; target_dist output unchanged.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-b9-c51-atom-saturation-diagnostic.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 10:31:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
1739d9c173 feat(rl): B-8 popart σ_welford disaggregation + identity invariant
Under B-7 (clamp default-disabled), popart's Welford state now updates
against unclamped magnitudes; σ_effective = max(σ_welford, env.max) can
spike from either source but diag only emitted the combined value. This
blocks attribution of any future σ shocks.

Changes:
- RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX (slot 725): Welford-only σ, BEFORE the
  F4 envelope floor at rl_popart_normalize.cu:156. Pure observability —
  no computation change.
- rl_popart_normalize.cu: insert one ISV write between σ_welford
  computation (line 141) and envelope-floor application (line 156).
  Mirrors the existing #define-local-then-write pattern (POPART_SIGMA_INDEX).
- build_diag_value: new leaf popart.sigma_welford in the canonical
  popart block. NOT duplicating max_abs_reward_ema (already emitted at
  risk_stack.regime.popart_envelope.max_abs_reward_ema per
  feedback_single_source_of_truth_no_duplicates).
- EXPECTED_LEAVES 652 → 653.
- Bootstrap array [(usize, f32); 212] → 213 with sentinel 0.0
  (overwritten every step by popart kernel).
- tests/popart_disaggregation_invariants.rs: GPU-oracle test asserts
  identity popart.sigma == max(σ_welford, env.max) across 249 rows
  (200 train + 50 eval), skipping step 0 bootstrap.
- tests/eval_diag_emission.rs: migrate fold-idx 0/n_folds 2 → 1/3
  (the n_folds=2 split picks the first 4 files which don't satisfy
  loader's 1033-snapshot minimum after test_data grew from 2 → 9 files).

Validation:
- popart_disaggregation_invariants passes locally (249 rows OK).
- eval_diag_emission passes locally: train=653 eval=653 leaves.
- B-9 spec at docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-b9-c51-atom-saturation-diagnostic.md
  builds on slots 726-729 next (uncommitted, awaiting implementation).

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-b8-popart-calibration-observability-and-floor.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 10:15:36 +02:00
jgrusewski
55d049ecf4 feat(rl): B-7 ISV-toggle reward clamp (default disabled)
apply_reward_scale.cu's post-scale [-3,+1] clamp was masking ~99.99% of
realized tail magnitudes from the agent's reward signal: local b=16 smoke
showed train pnl_cum_usd −$0.63 (clamp-truncated) vs realized_pnl_cum_usd
−$8,574.63 (raw raw_rewards sum), a 13,600× compression. Per van Hasselt
2016, popart standardization + F4 envelope are designed to handle tail
magnitudes; the clamp fights them.

Changes:
- RL_REWARD_CLAMP_ENABLED_INDEX (slot 724): default 0 (disabled). When 0
  the kernel skips the asymmetric clamp; scaled rewards pass through to
  rewards[b] unchanged. Legacy behavior restored by setting to 1.
- DiagInputs.realized_pnl_cum_usd: parallel counter computed from
  raw_rewards (pre-scale, pre-clamp shaped pnl). Compare against
  trading.pnl_cum_usd to surface clamp-truncation gaps.
- Trainer accumulates realized_pnl_cum_usd in both train + eval loops
  per closed-trade done-step (same pattern as pnl_cum_usd).
- EXPECTED_LEAVES 651 → 652 for the new diag leaf.

Validation:
- 200+100 b=16 fold-1 smoke clean; train leaves = eval leaves = 652;
  realized_pnl_cum_usd diverges from pnl_cum_usd as expected when clamp
  disabled (the reward-hacking gap is now observable).
- compute-sanitizer pending (cluster).

B-8 (popart σ_welford disaggregation) and B-9 (C51 Bellman-target
saturation observability) specs at docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-*
build on this slot allocation (725, 726-729 next).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 10:05:59 +02:00
jgrusewski
912f33c6fc test(rl): B-6 invariant regression test — asymmetric Wiener-α / Bayesian shrinkage
GPU-oracle test (per `feedback_no_cpu_test_fallbacks`) validating:

1. Cold-start EMA values match spec defaults (avg_w=1, avg_l=1, wr_ema=0.5
   from B-3 cold_start bootstrap)
2. ISV slot 721/722/723 defaults exposed in diag (α_slow_min=0.001,
   n_full_threshold=30000, cv_gain=1.0)
3. Asymmetric direction holds at cold-start: avg_loss EMA grows ~50× faster
   than avg_win EMA per equivalent observation (because α_fast/α_slow_min
   = 0.05/0.001 = 50). Verified locally: avg_l=$425 vs avg_w=$4.36 at
   train_end (100× empirical ratio — matches expected math under volatile
   batch=16 data)
4. Boundary reset: at eval[1], avg_w=avg_l=1.0 and wr_ema=0.5 (cold_start
   resumed via reset_session_state)

Test result locally:
  cold-start: avg_w=1 avg_l=1 wr_ema=0.5
  ISV slots:  alpha_slow_min=0.001 trust_full=30000 cv_gain=1
  train_end:  avg_w=4.36 avg_l=425.39 dones=131
  eval[1]:    avg_w=1.00 avg_l=1.00 wr_ema=0.500 dones=0
  TEST PASS

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 01:19:52 +02:00
jgrusewski
bc9eaac89d fix(rl): B-6 — ISV-driven adaptive asymmetric Wiener-α (Bayesian shrinkage)
B-5 (asymmetric α with static α_slow=0.001) revealed the static parameter
problem: provably bounds cascades (avg_win peak $2k vs B-4's $40k) BUT
over-conservative in train (dckcc step 800: avg_l > avg_w → Kelly says
don't trade → model can't discover edges; wr_ema crashed to 0.145).

The fundamental tension: static α_slow can't satisfy BOTH
  - Train convergence: asymmetry must FADE so model learns from real data
  - Boundary safety: asymmetry must ENGAGE at every fold to prevent cascade

B-6 RESOLVES this via Bayesian shrinkage:

  trust(n)   = min(1, cum_dones / n_full_threshold)           [Phase 1]
  stability  = exp(-CV × cv_gain)                              [Phase 2]
  trust_eff  = trust(n) × stability
  α_slow_eff = α_slow_min + (α_fast − α_slow_min) × trust_eff

Phase 1 (data-quantity): trust grows with cum_dones; reset_session_state
zeroes cum_dones → asymmetry RESUMES at every boundary. Math: at n=0
α_slow_eff = α_slow_min = 0.001 (full skepticism). At n=n_full = 30k
trades: α_slow_eff = α_fast = 0.05 (full standard Wiener).

Phase 2 (data-quality): Welford CV of reward magnitude gates trust. Stable
signal (CV→0): stability=1, trust opens normally. Volatile signal (CV high):
stability→0, asymmetry persists. cv_gain=0 disables Phase 2.

Per-EMA asymmetry direction encodes Kelly safety semantics:
  avg_win:  slow-up (skeptical of wins),    fast-down
  avg_loss: fast-up (admit losses),         slow-down (slow forget)
  wr_ema:   slow-up (skeptical of high WR), fast-down

ISV slots (all signal-derived from cum_dones + Welford):
  721 RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_MIN_INDEX           = 0.001
  722 RL_EMA_TRUST_FULL_THRESHOLD_INDEX     = 30000
  723 RL_EMA_CV_GAIN_INDEX                  = 1.0

Threshold calibration (n_full=30k):
- Train: ~1000 cluster steps for trust to fully open → asymmetry active
  during cold-start (first 30 steps, cascade prevention) then fades.
- Eval: 30 dones/step × 500 eval steps = 15k dones → trust climbs to 0.5
  by eval end → partial protection throughout eval.

Composes:
- B-3 Kelly fractional-trust (Kelly SIZING gated by cum_dones)
- B-6 EMA asymmetric-α (Kelly INPUTS biased conservative by cum_dones)
Both fade as data accumulates; both reset at boundary.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-ema-asymmetric-trust-with-cv-gain.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 01:13:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
d725b77031 fix(rl): B-5 — asymmetric Wiener-α replaces B-4 caps (math gap fix)
B-4 multiplicative cap (1.5/step) and additive cap (0.05) failed math gap:
1. Multiplicative cap: 1.5^N grows unboundedly over many steps. zh96b
   confirmed avg_win peak still $40,911 (B-4) vs $44,821 (B-3) — only 9%
   reduction at peak despite 12× reduction at early steps.
2. Additive cap on wr_ema: 0.05 > natural Wiener step at α=0.05 (max 0.035
   from p=0.3 to obs=1.0). Cap NEVER engages → no-op.

Fundamental math: per-step rate-caps CANNOT bound EMA convergence to E[X].
For sustained observations, ema → X regardless of any per-step rate-cap
(EMA's natural property).

B-5 ASYMMETRIC WIENER-α — provably biased estimator for Kelly safety:

  avg_win:  alpha = (step_avg > prev) ? α_slow : α_fast
  avg_loss: alpha = (step_avg > prev) ? α_fast : α_slow   // mirror
  wr_ema:   alpha = (step_wr > prev) ? α_slow : α_fast

With α_slow=0.001, α_fast=0.05:

  EMA_N (sustained X in slow direction) = X × (1 - 0.999^N)
  N=100: ema = 9.5% × X
  N=200: 18%
  N=500: 39%
  N=1000: 63%

For avg_win: $40k sustained → ema reaches only $3,800 by step 100 (vs
B-4's $40k peak). Provably biased low → Kelly's b̂ underestimated →
smaller f_safe by construction.

For wr_ema: 100% wr sustained from prev=0.3 → reaches 0.87 in N=694 steps
(vs prior cascade in 140 steps).

Asymmetry direction chosen per-EMA for Kelly safety:
- avg_win:  slow up (skeptical of wins), fast down (correct quickly)
- avg_loss: fast up (admit losses), slow down (slow to forget pessimism)
- wr_ema:   slow up (skeptical of high WR), fast down

Single new ISV slot: RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_INDEX = 0.001. Replaces B-4's
RL_WR_EMA_MAX_DELTA_INDEX (same slot 721, repurposed).

Removed: B-4 cap logic from both kernels (multiplicative + additive).
Single uniform asymmetric-alpha rule. Cleaner than B-4 patchwork.

Math validation prediction: avg_win peak should be ≤ $5k (vs B-4's $40k);
wr_ema peak should be ≤ 0.50 (vs B-4's 0.88).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 00:57:58 +02:00
jgrusewski
cbe4869375 fix(rl): B-4 — extend Winsorization rate-cap to Kelly input EMAs
Deep JSONL analysis of x56wn revealed the B-2/B-3 cold-start fixes still
left Kelly inputs (avg_win/loss, wr_ema) vulnerable to Wiener-α cascade:
  - avg_win_ema spiked to $44,820 by step 219 (vs current $1.6k stable)
  - wr_ema oscillated 0.32 ↔ 0.60 across 500-step windows
  - Per-step wr stable 0.29-0.33 but EMA admitted 27-percentage-point swings

Root cause: B-3 fixed the cold_start=1.0 anti-pattern, but Wiener-α=0.05
still admits 5% of arbitrarily large observations into the EMA. From
cold_start=1, a single $45k tail-win lifts ema by 5% × $45k = $2250 in
ONE step. Heavy-tailed magnitude → unbounded EMA variance.

B-4 fix — apply Winsorization rate-caps with EMA-type-appropriate form:

ISSUE A — avg_win/loss EMAs (heavy-tailed positive magnitudes)
==============================================================
Math: Hoeffding bound requires bounded support; heavy-tailed sample mean
is unboundedly biased. Winsorize observations at c × prev. Same multiplicative
rate-cap as pos_max_ema (B-2). REUSES slot 718 — single source of truth
for "magnitude EMA growth cap".

  ema_raw = (1-α) × prev + α × step_avg
  ema_new = min(ema_raw, prev × growth_cap)   // growth_cap = isv[718]

At growth_cap=1.225 (B-2 default): adapts from cold_start=1.0 to 10000×
in ~50 steps. Single $45k observation now caps at $1.225 first step.

ISSUE B — wr_ema (proportion [0,1])
====================================
Multiplicative cap wrong for bounded proportion. Use ADDITIVE cap:
  |ema_new - prev| ≤ max_delta   (default 0.05)

Math (Hoeffding): at batch=1024, σ_binomial = √(p(1-p)/b) ≈ 0.014 for
p=0.3. Cap 0.05 = 3.5σ → P(admit | IID) ≈ 1.2%. Steady-state EMA noise
std ≈ 0.004 (α=0.05) so cap = 12σ_EMA — never noise-triggered.

ISIV-driven: new slot 721 RL_WR_EMA_MAX_DELTA_INDEX = 0.05 (tunable).

Also REMOVED first-observation bootstrap branch in win_rate_ema_update
(was: if prev==SENTINEL → ema = step_wr direct). SENTINEL=0.5 is a
conservative neutral; Wiener-α blend from it is safe.

Generalized principle (deeper than B-2/B-3): every adaptive EMA that
gates a magnitude-sensitive downstream controller needs a rate-limit
on per-step change. Form depends on domain:
  - Unbounded ℝ⁺ (magnitudes): multiplicative cap (Winsorize at c × prev)
  - Bounded proportion [0,1]: additive cap (|Δ| ≤ ε)
  - Signed unbounded: additive cap scaled by EMA magnitude

Validation: cargo check clean. Will validate at cluster against x56wn
(same SHA except B-4 additions) for direct comparison.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-01 00:32:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
42b4898239 fix(rl): B-3 — Kelly fractional-trust schedule + avg_win/loss cold-start
alpha-rl-4xmxm eval analysis revealed the residual -$100M loss was OVERCONFIDENT
SIZING, not σ-explosion. At eval[1]: wr_ema=0.575, avg_win=$1180, avg_loss=$117
(b=10:1), kelly_fraction=1.0 (warmup gate). The controller was sizing at 53% of
capital based on n=1 sample — Hoeffding ε at n=1 is √(ln(40)/2) = 1.36, so the
empirical win-rate has 95% CI half-width of 100%+. Kelly is mathematically
unidentified from this sample.

ISSUE A — binary warmup gate at f=1.0
=====================================
rl_kelly_fraction_controller.cu:45 + rl_fused_controllers.cu:858:
```
if (cumulative_dones < min_trades) kelly = 1.0;  // MAX SIZE during warmup
```
Intent was anti-trade-death (pearl_kelly_trade_stream_death). But forces
maximum Kelly at every fold boundary where parent fix resets cum_dones=0.

ISSUE B — avg_win/loss bootstrap to first observation
=====================================================
rl_avg_win_loss_ema_update.cu:61-65,71-75:
```
if (prev == 0.0f) ema_new = step_avg;  // bootstrap = first observation
```
Same anti-pattern as pos_max_ema (B-2). At eval[1] the first trade pair's
INSTANCE ratio (b=10:1) became the EMA, making Kelly's b̂ wildly biased.

B-3 FIX — fractional-trust schedule with bounded floor:
  trust(n) = max(f_floor, min(1, n / N_full))
  f_safe   = max(f_floor·safety, f_kelly · trust · safety)

Where:
  N_full = 200 trades (Hoeffding-derived: ε=0.10 at 95% confidence)
  f_floor = 0.05 (5% of full Kelly, prevents trade-death)
  safety  = 0.5 (existing fractional-Kelly multiplier)

At n=0: f_safe = 0.05 × 0.5 = 0.025 (2.5% of capital — 21× smaller than
                                       the prior f=1.0 catastrophe)
At n=N_full: f_safe = f_kelly · safety (asymptotic optimality)

Plus B-2 extension: avg_win, avg_loss cold-start to 1.0 (was 0), in both
`with_controllers_bootstrapped` AND `reset_session_state`. Single uniform
Wiener-α update — no first-observation branch.

New ISV slot 720: RL_KELLY_BOOTSTRAP_FLOOR_INDEX = 0.05.
Mirror change to fused_controllers.cu Kelly block (twice-implementation rule).

Local validation (b=16 800+200 fold-1):
- eval[1]: avg_win=1.0, avg_loss=1.0, wr_ema=0.5 (NEUTRAL — NOT bootstrapped
  to first-observation $1180/$117 ratio)
- eval[100]: avg_win=153, avg_loss=12 (controller smoothly adapted via Wiener-α)
- eval pnl: -$169k (similar to prior smokes; local scale doesn't trigger
  the b=1024 catastrophe pattern)

Cluster prediction: Kelly's max sizing during eval should be ~2.5% during
first ~200 trades, then asymptote to safety × kelly. Expected eval pnl
improvement vs 4xmxm's -$100M: at least 5×, target 10×.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-pos-max-ema-cold-start-redesign.md
      (B-3 follow-up appended; full Hoeffding math in spec body)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 23:35:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
16cf9f260c fix(rl): B-2 — pos_max_ema cold-start cascade eliminated, ISV-driven cap
The addendum's rate-cap (B-1) only protected the Wiener-α path; the first-
observation bootstrap branch let cold-start fat-tail events seed pos_max_ema
unbounded. At alpha-rl-4xmxm step 5, a single $947 scaled reward bootstrapped
pos_max_ema=879 directly, cascading through clamp_win → unclamped subsequent
rewards → env.max=11375 by step 37 (1500× the eventual steady-state σ).

B-2 fix per docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-pos-max-ema-cold-start-redesign.md:

1. Bootstrap RL_POS/NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX to MIN_WIN=1.0 (was 0)
   in `with_controllers_bootstrapped`. Conservative neutral value → clamp_win
   starts at MARGIN × 1.0 = 1.5 → rewards heavily clipped until adaptation.

2. Remove the `if (ema_prev == 0.0f) ema_new = pos_max;` branch from
   `rl_reward_clamp_controller.cu`. Single uniform update rule (Wiener-α +
   rate-cap) applies from cold-start onward. Mirror change for neg_max_ema.

3. Replace `#define POS_MAX_EMA_MAX_GROWTH_PER_STEP 1.5f` with ISV-driven
   reads (per feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds). Three new slots:
     717 RL_POS_MAX_EMA_COLD_START_INDEX             = 1.0
     718 RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_BASE_INDEX        = 1.225 (√1.5 for
                                                       twice-per-step inv)
     719 RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_CV_GAIN_INDEX     = 0.0   (adaptive layer
                                                       disabled by default)

4. Adaptive growth_cap from Welford CV of reward magnitude (slot 615-617)
   when cv_gain > 0: stable regime → tight cap, volatile regime → loose.
   Disabled by default; opt-in via ISV tuning.

Local smoke validation (800+200 fold-1 b=16):
- step 1:  pos_ema=1.0 (initialized, NOT bootstrapped from observation)
- step 5:  pos_ema=1.0 (no observation yet, sparse-skip working)
- step 25: pos_ema=63.8 (vs 1314 without B-2 — 21× reduction)
- step 37: pos_ema=32.5 (vs 7074 without B-2 — 218× reduction)
- env.max @ step 37: 126 (vs 11375 without B-2 — 90× reduction)

Generalizes the pattern: NORMALIZATION EMAs that gate signal magnitudes
should bootstrap to CONSERVATIVE neutral values, NEVER to first observation.
Cross-references pearl_first_observation_bootstrap which needs revision.

Phase 4 audit (other controllers with same anti-pattern) deferred to
follow-up — see spec §4 Phase 4 for the grep target list.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 23:09:59 +02:00
jgrusewski
1aa92f57f0 fix(rl): eval-boundary addendum — reward_scale warmed_flag + pos_max_ema rate-cap
The parent eval-boundary fix (72684ed3e) preserved env.max/clamp EMAs but
left the σ explosion intact. Diagnosis from alpha-rl-jnct8 (10k+2500 eval,
fold-1, -$106M eval pnl, σ → 4451 by eval step 5) revealed two pre-existing
mechanisms compounding the eval shock:

ISSUE A — reward_scale snaps to 0.10 at boundary
================================================
rl_fused_controllers' reward_scale block had a bootstrap-fraction-floor
gate: `(cumulative_dones < min_trades) → boot_floor = 0.10`. The intent
was cold-start protection (prevent scale crash before any closed-trade
ground truth). But cumulative_dones (slot 660) is reset by
reset_session_state for Kelly's PREDICTIVE-warmup purpose. At fold
boundary the gate fires again, clamping the preserved scale (0.0046 in
jnct8) UP to 0.10 — a 22× upward jump. Eval rewards are then 22× larger,
overwhelming env.max preservation; σ explodes regardless.

FIX A — decouple via monotonic warmed_flag (slot 716, never reset).
Set ONCE when cumulative_dones first crosses min_trades; persists across
all subsequent fold boundaries. boot_floor reads the flag instead of
re-evaluating trade_count. Math: at cold-start flag=0 → boot_floor=0.10
(original protection preserved). Post-warmup flag=1 → boot_floor=scale_min
(~1e-4) → preserved scale survives boundaries.

ISSUE B — pos_max_ema growth unbounded (train-phase fat-tail spike)
====================================================================
Pre-existing fat-tail behavior: at alpha-rl-jnct8 step 3895 a single
account had pre_clamp scaled reward 724. The clamp's Wiener-α EMA
(α=0.4 floor) admitted 40% of the observation, jumping pos_max_ema
112 → 834 in 5 steps. clamp_win = MARGIN × pos_max_ema followed
magnitude up rather than bounding it; env.max captured the unclamped
reward (121 → 1306). Recovery via slow-decay over 600 steps, but
during the spike PPO gradients were mis-scaled.

FIX B — asymmetric per-step growth cap on pos_max_ema (1.5× max).
Same Schulman-bounded-step pattern as reward_scale's 2% per-step
movement clamp. Decreases unbounded (allows fast recovery from spike).
Bootstrap path unchanged (ema_prev=0 → ema_new=pos_max, no cap).
Math: 5-step max growth = 1.5^5 ≈ 7.6× vs prior uncapped 7.4× in
practice — similar steady-state, bounded transient.

Local validation (b=16, 800+200 fold-1):
- σ preserved across boundary (51.9 → 51.4 at eval[1])
- σ stays bounded in 23-57 range across full eval phase (no 60× explosion)
- scale=0.10 stable across boundary
- warmed_flag stays 0 at b=16 (cumulative_dones never crosses min_trades
  at this scale — flip behavior tested at cluster b=1024)

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-eval-boundary-addendum-reward-scale-and-train-spike.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 22:25:24 +02:00
jgrusewski
72684ed3ef fix(rl): preserve normalization EMAs across eval boundary
reset_session_state was resetting four EMAs that calibrate signal
scale rather than predict behavior:
  - RL_POS_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX (clamp scale anchor)
  - RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX (clamp scale anchor)
  - RL_REWARD_CLAMP_CLIP_RATE_EMA_INDEX (clamp feedback)
  - RL_POPART_MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA_INDEX (F4 envelope)

At the train→eval fold boundary this disabled the reward clamp
(cap = pos_max_ema × ratio = 0) and let eval's first ~10 trade
outliers blow up the popart envelope σ 1500× (57 → 4471) over
~14 steps. PPO surrogate (A_unnorm = σ × A_norm) ran with
catastrophically mis-scaled gradients for the next ~1000 eval
steps, accounting for the bulk of the -$185M eval loss at
alpha-rl-6kghr fold 1.

Refines pearl_adaptive_carryover_discipline: RESET PREDICTIVE
EMAs (Kelly, dd, recency) but PRESERVE NORMALIZATION EMAs.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-eval-boundary-normalization-preservation-design.md
Pearl: pearl_popart_reset_at_eval_boundary_shocks_normalization.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 21:10:59 +02:00
jgrusewski
22e6ddbcac fix(rl): eval_summary aggregates across all b_size accounts (E.4-E.5)
Replaces the broken single-account + scale-mismatch slicing block in
alpha_rl_train.rs eval phase with proper per-account aggregation.

Pre-fix (cluster v11 alpha-rl-8ll7j, b=1024):
  head_before_eval = sim.read_total_trade_count()  // aggregate=1,203,376
  all_records      = sim.read_trade_records(0)     // backtest 0 only, ≤1024
  // 1.2M > 1024 → wrap branch fires → eval_records = ALL 1024 records
  //   from account 0, mixing train+eval trades
  eval_summary: n_trades=1024 pnl=$61,513 wr=0.217 — MEANINGLESS

Post-fix (this commit, b=16 local smoke):
  head_before_per_b = sim.read_per_backtest_trade_counts()
  all_per_b         = sim.read_trade_records_all()
  // for each backtest: slice ring by per-account head_before vs head_after,
  //   handle wrap correctly, aggregate eval-only records
  eval_summary: n_trades=226 pnl=$-41,137 wr=0.376
  n_eval_trades_seen=226 (= captured) n_dropped=0 n_pre_eval_wrapped=0

Local smoke validation (b=16, 1k train + 250 eval, fold 1 ES.FUT all):
  - n_trades jumped 58 → 226 (4× — confirms aggregation across 16 accts)
  - per-account pre-eval heads: min=16 max=59 sum=596 (correct scale)
  - n_eval_trades_seen == n_trades (no wrap at this scale)
  - eval_summary.json gained 4 new fields:
      n_eval_trades_seen, n_eval_trades_dropped,
      n_pre_eval_trades_wrapped, b_size

Existing keys (n_trades, total_pnl_usd, profit_factor, sharpe_ann,
max_drawdown_usd, win_rate) preserved for downstream G8-gate / Argo
aggregator consumers (per spec §3).

Cluster validation pending Phase A cluster (alpha-rl-jz48s) completion
to avoid alpha_rl_train.rs branch conflict. After Phase A merges,
this fix can submit alongside.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-eval-summary-trade-aggregation-design.md
Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-05-31-eval-summary-trade-aggregation.md

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 18:09:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
fa0858f0b1 feat(lobsim): per-backtest trade-count read + 4× TRADE_LOG_CAP (E.1-E.3)
Adds two new public methods to LobSimCuda + bumps TRADE_LOG_CAP to
prevent eval-phase ring-buffer wrap at cluster scale.

- read_per_backtest_trade_counts() -> Vec<u32>: cumulative trade
  counters per backtest (length n_backtests). Replaces the broken
  pattern in alpha_rl_train.rs where head_before_eval = aggregate
  across batch was compared against all_records = single-account ring.

- read_trade_records_all() -> Vec<Vec<TradeRecord>>: all backtests'
  rings in one call. Mapped-pinned staging per
  feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned: allocate
  MappedRecordBuffer<u8> for the payload + MappedRecordBuffer<u32>
  for heads, DtoD copy from device buffers into mapped-pinned
  dev_ptrs, sync, read host_ptrs.

- TRADE_LOG_CAP 1024 → 4096: cluster v11 (alpha-rl-8ll7j) showed
  ~342 eval trades/account mean with peaks toward 1000. 4096 gives
  4× headroom; memory cost b=1024 × cap × 40 B = 167 MB (was 41 MB),
  comfortable on L40S 48GB / H100 80GB.

Both methods synchronize after DtoD so host reads see the data.
E.4 (alpha_rl_train.rs aggregation block replacement) lands
separately after Phase A cluster validates to avoid alpha_rl_train.rs
conflict.

See spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-eval-summary-trade-aggregation-design.md
and plan docs/superpowers/plans/2026-05-31-eval-summary-trade-aggregation.md.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 18:01:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
ad16e9d941 fix(trainer): address Phase A code review minors (8 fixes)
Per `feedback_always_fix_minor_review_findings`, all 8 minor review
findings from Phase A (eval-diag emission) are applied:

1. Restore aliasing comment for trail_fired_step / conf_gate_step
   (both read RL_CONF_GATE_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX deliberately).
2. Replace act_hist[7/8/9/10] magic indices with `Action::*` enum
   variants in both `IntegratedTrainer::build_diag_value` and the
   train/eval loops in `alpha_rl_train.rs`.
3. Rewrite `recursion_limit = "256"` comment in `lib.rs` to describe
   macro recursion DEPTH (~30 nested object blocks), not leaf count.
4. Move `RL_CONF_GATE_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX`, `RL_PYRAMID_ADD_COUNT_INDEX`,
   `RL_FRD_GATE_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX`, `RL_HEAT_CAP_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX`
   to the top-of-file `use` block (each appears ≥2× as a fully-
   qualified path); 10 call sites switched to bare names.
5. Harmonise leaf-count documentation to 643 (642 scalars + 1 bool
   `pyramid.max_units_reached`) across `build_diag_value` docstring,
   `--eval-diag-jsonl` arg docs, eval-phase comment, and the test
   module-level docstring.
6. Drop `_host` suffix from every `DiagInputs` field (14 fields).
   The struct's docstring already states all slices are host-side;
   the suffix was redundant. `DiagStaging.*_host_ptr` fields are
   NOT renamed — those still refer to actual host pointers.
   28 internal trainer references and 28 call-site references
   updated in lockstep.
7. Align eval_diag_emission test default data dir with foxhunt
   convention: `test_data/futures-baseline/ES.FUT` (resolved from
   `CARGO_MANIFEST_DIR`) instead of `/tmp/rl-smoke-lpi-diag/data`.
   Switch `--instrument-mode` from `front-month` to `all` to match
   the all-instrument predecoded files at that path. Env override
   `FOXHUNT_EVAL_DIAG_DATA` still wins.
8. Add eval-step monotone assertion: verify `eval[0].step == n_steps`
   and `eval[N-1].step == n_steps + n_eval_steps - 1`. Catches a
   regression where the eval loop would reuse the training step
   counter instead of continuing past it.

Verification: `SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check -p ml-alpha` clean +
`cargo test --release -p ml-alpha --test eval_diag_emission --
--ignored --nocapture` PASS with curated data (100 train + 50 eval
lines, 643 leaves both phases, schema parity, step axis 100..=149).
2026-05-31 17:49:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
210794626a feat(rl): emit eval-phase per-step diag to eval_diag.jsonl
Cluster run alpha-rl-8ll7j ended with +$61,513 pnl and max_dd -$444,512
but the eval phase emitted ZERO per-step diag, leaving the drawdown
trajectory invisible. Phase A of the 2026-05-31 checkpoints+eval-diag
plan wires the eval loop into the same diag pipeline as train using
the builder extracted in the previous commit.

Changes:
  * `--eval-diag-jsonl <PATH>` CLI flag (defaults to
    `<out>/eval_diag.jsonl`).
  * Eval loop now calls `diag_staging.sync_and_swap` +
    `snapshot_async` after every `step_with_lobsim_gpu`, builds a
    `DiagInputs` from the staging reads, and writes a JSONL line via
    the same `IntegratedTrainer::build_diag_value` the train loop
    uses. Step indices continue past the train phase
    (`cli.n_steps + eval_step`) so post-hoc tooling can concatenate
    train + eval JSONL into a monotone step axis.
  * Eval-phase running counters (pnl_cum_usd, trades, gates, …) are
    independent of train counters so the eval JSONL reflects the
    eval window only — mirrors the trade-record checkpoint that
    eval_summary.json uses.
  * New integration test `eval_diag_emission` validates schema
    parity: same 643 leaf paths in `diag.jsonl` and `eval_diag.jsonl`,
    correct line counts (n_steps / n_eval_steps). Ignored by default
    because it requires CUDA + the pre-built release binary.

Verification (locally on RTX 3050 Ti):
  100 train + 50 eval @ b=16, n_folds=2 →
  `diff <(head -1 diag.jsonl | jq 'paths(scalars)|sort')
        <(head -1 eval_diag.jsonl | jq 'paths(scalars)|sort')`
  returns empty (schema parity confirmed).
2026-05-31 17:26:21 +02:00
jgrusewski
8a93a77adc refactor(trainer): extract json!{} into IntegratedTrainer::build_diag_value
The per-step diag JSONL `json!{...}` block had grown to 642 leaf paths
across ~30 nested objects, duplicating every ISV slot read into the
example binary. Phase A of the 2026-05-31 checkpoints+eval-diag plan
extracts it into a single builder on the trainer so the eval phase
can reuse it (next commit) without duplicating the schema.

Changes:
  * `IntegratedTrainer::build_diag_value(step, elapsed_s, &DiagInputs)
    -> Result<serde_json::Value>` — same 642-leaf schema as before,
    bit-equivalent ISV reads (all from `self.isv_host_slice()`).
  * `DiagInputs<'a>` struct bundles the host-side per-step state the
    trainer doesn't own (DiagStaging reads + running counters +
    windowed act histogram), so the call site stays a 1-liner.
  * Train loop in `alpha_rl_train.rs` swaps the inline json! for the
    builder call; the ~140-slot ISV-imports wall collapses to four
    slots still read by the stderr ticker.
  * `#![recursion_limit = "256"]` moves from the example into
    `ml-alpha/src/lib.rs` since the builder now lives in the library.

Schema parity verified: `head -1 diag.jsonl | jq 'paths(scalars)|sort'`
yields the same 642 keys as before this refactor (no schema drift).
2026-05-31 17:25:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
13d8ed76da docs: checkpoints + eval-diag spec + plans (v1 superseded by v2) 2026-05-31 16:57:43 +02:00
jgrusewski
7b3309edcc fix(rl): eliminate atomicAdd in PPO+DQN loss reduction (F4.1)
Replaces atomicAdd accumulators in `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd` and
`dqn_distributional_q_bwd` with per-batch [B] outputs + a dedicated
single-block tree-reduce kernel. Per feedback_no_atomicadd.

Root cause: `ss_pi_loss_dev_ptr` was zero-init at trainer construction
but never reset between steps; the PPO atomicAdd accumulated across
every step since startup. Result: `loss.pi` = step_count × mean_per_step,
bit-exact step-count fingerprints:
  - local 1k × ~9 ≈ 9080 ✓
  - cluster 20k × ~1200 ≈ 24M ✓

The DQN distributional Q kernel had the same atomicAdd pattern. Its
trainer caller happened to memset between launches in dqn_replay_step
so the symptom was masked, but the anti-pattern was identical. Fixed
in the same commit per the user's "atomicAdd should not be used at all"
reminder.

Local smoke (RTX 3050, b=16, 1k steps, seed=16962):

  step | l_pi (pre → post)  | l_q (pre → post)
   100 |   27.5 → 0.56      |  18.1 → 0.19
   500 |  743.1 → 4.59      |  93.3 → 0.19
   999 | 9080.5 → 65.1      | 186.1 → 0.19

l_q now bit-flat at per-step mean (~0.19) — no step-count fingerprint.
l_pi grows organically with policy excursion (PPO surrogate magnitude
when ratio→clamp_max under Q-distillation-driven policy updates),
which is the legitimate diagnostic the prior staleness was burying.

Changes:
  - ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd: scalar [1] outputs → per-batch [B]
  - dqn_distributional_q_bwd: remove atomicAdd; per_batch[B] only
  - ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu (NEW): two block tree-reduce kernels
      • ppo_loss_reduce_b (dual: PPO loss + entropy loss)
      • mean_reduce_b_f32 (single, reused by DQN head)
  - PolicyHead + DqnHead: load reducer cubin, add reduce_loss_to_scalar
  - Trainer: allocate ss_pi_loss_per_b_d + ss_pi_loss_entropy_per_b_d,
    invoke reducer after each backward (PPO + DQN replay paths)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 14:40:58 +02:00
jgrusewski
30982963ef feat(rl): IQN τ tail-recency consumer + G24/G25 invariants (F5)
When TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY < N_window (default 100), boost τ_min by
factor (default 1.5) — agent uses more pessimistic action selection
during tail-recent regimes.

Defense-in-depth alongside Kelly resurrection (F2): F2 catches the
sizing-layer absorbing state; F5 makes action selection more
risk-averse right after a shock.

Tests:
- G24: TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY < 100 → τ_action ≥ τ_min × 1.5
- G25: TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY ≥ 100 → τ_action behavior unchanged

22 risk_stack_invariants now pass on RTX 3050 Ti.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 12:59:48 +02:00
jgrusewski
6dacde95ef feat(rl): popart per-account max-magnitude envelope (F4) — Problem 3 fix
Adds envelope-detector floor on popart_sigma so single-account tail events
within a batch are captured instead of diluted by the batch-mean variance.

Kernel changes (rl_popart_normalize.cu):
- warp_reduce_max helper alongside existing warp_reduce_sum
- Pass 1 extension: per-thread local_max_abs via fmaxf(fabsf(r))
- 3rd shared-mem bank for max_abs reduction (s_max_abs[])
- envelope-detector inside tid==0 block: fast-up, slow-down (α_d=0.01)
- new_sigma = fmaxf(new_sigma, max_r_ema) before write
- CRITICAL (Issue β): Pass 3 broadcast slots moved block_dim*2 → block_dim*3

Trainer launch update: smem_bytes = (block_x * 3 + 3) * sizeof(f32).

Per Theorem 6 (spec v3): at Run #8 step 7377 with r_tail=-19.45, the
envelope captures 19.45 instantly via fast-up path; sigma jumps from
2.327 → 19.45 in one step. The popart_v_correct kernel handles the
σ discontinuity affinely so V regression doesn't destabilize.

Decay phase: α_d=0.01 (69-step half-life); max_r_ema returns to typical
batch-max baseline over ~200 steps after a single shock.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 12:50:31 +02:00
jgrusewski
cfe40f2f3f test(rl): G10-G12 back-compat + G15-G21 Kelly resurrection (F2.3+F2.4)
G10/G11/G12: explicit dead-zone disable (DEAD_ZONE_FLAG=0, TIMEOUT_FLAG=0)
before Kelly kernel launch — verifies analytic-Kelly path stays unmodified.

New invariants:
- G15: DEAD_ZONE_FLAG = 1 on composite kelly=0 ∧ all-flat ∧ no-cooldown
- G16: DEAD_ZONE_FLAG = 0 when any condition violated
- G17: Kelly resurrection sets kelly_f = ε_recovery_live when flag set
- G18: Kelly retains analytic value when flag NOT set
- G19: ε_recovery_live ramps linearly from ε_min at T=0 to ε_max at T≥N
- G20: TIMEOUT_FLAG fires when DURATION > MAX_DURATION
- G21: Kelly resurrection NOT triggered when TIMEOUT_FLAG = 1

20 risk_stack_invariants now pass on RTX 3050 Ti.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 12:42:16 +02:00
jgrusewski
ad05ffeb2a feat(rl): Kelly resurrection override (F2) — Problem 1 fix
When DEAD_ZONE_FLAG fires (kelly_f=0 ∧ all-flat ∧ no-cooldown), override
Kelly with ε_recovery_live (regime_observer-computed value ramping from
ε_min=0.05 to ε_max=0.50 as TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY grows). TIMEOUT_FLAG
gates resurrection off after MAX_DURATION=1000 steps (safety net).

Per Theorem 1 (spec v3): exit probability from absorbing state per step is
> 1 - 10^-23 given π(any Open) ≥ 0.05 over 1024 accounts. The Kelly
absorbing state no longer exists in the state graph (except the
operator-intended TIMEOUT terminal).

Block appended to end of rl_kelly_fraction_controller.cu (analytic Kelly
clamp first, then conditional override) and mirrored in Layer-4 branch
of rl_fused_controllers.cu.
2026-05-31 12:33:13 +02:00
jgrusewski
bf214d1a09 refactor(rl): v9 slot rename — RL_EVAL_WARMUP_* → RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_* (F3)
Theorem 2 (v9 behavior preserved): pure constant identifier rename across 3 files;
no physical migration. Slots 685/686/687 keep their addresses; v9 kernel,
trainer reset_session_state, and diag emit all reference the same memory.

- crates/ml-alpha/src/trainer/integrated.rs: 4 references renamed
- crates/ml-alpha/cuda/rl_eval_warmup_decay.cu: 3 `#define`s renamed
- crates/ml-alpha/examples/alpha_rl_train.rs: ~12 references renamed (import + diag emit)

Unblocks the 4 pre-existing errors that F1.1 introduced. Branch now compiles
cleanly with regime_observer foundation (F1) + v9 cleanup (F3).
2026-05-31 12:26:54 +02:00
jgrusewski
b09feaf9e4 feat(rl): regime_observer diag emit (F1.8)
Adds 'regime' block to risk_stack diag JSON, surfacing 5 nested groups:
- dead_zone: flag, duration, timeout_flag, max_duration
- tail: recency, session_pnl_variance_ema, sigma_threshold, welford_count
- kelly_eps_recovery: factor, live, min, max, n_recovery
- popart_envelope: max_abs_reward_ema, decay_alpha
- iqn_tau_boost: factor, n_window

All values read directly from ISV slots (drift-free per spec issue #9).
F3 will add the 'transition' group when v9 slot renames land in the diag.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 12:17:13 +02:00
jgrusewski
0a9ff73b1f feat(rl): reset_session_state regime boundary policy (F1.7)
Extends reset_session_state with 8 new regime_observer slot resets per
spec section "Regime observer reset policy at fold/eval boundaries":

- Transient state (FLAG/DURATION/TIMEOUT) → 0
- RECOVERY_FACTOR → 1.0
- TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY → 1e6 sentinel
- KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE → 0.50 (= ε_max)
- PREV_WORST_PNL → 0 (CRITICAL — prevents spurious 3σ tail at boundary)
- POPART_MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA → 0 (F4 envelope reset)

Welford state (M2/MEAN/COUNT) intentionally NOT reset — variance of
session_pnl_change is regime-invariant per pearl_adaptive_carryover_discipline.

Issue γ fix: without PREV_WORST_PNL reset, the first regime_observer call
after a fold boundary would see Δworst = 0 - (-\$15k_train) = +\$15k, fire
a spurious 3σ tail event, and peg ε_recovery at ε_min for 100 steps.
2026-05-31 12:15:34 +02:00
jgrusewski
67f862191f feat(rl): regime_observer bootstrap entries (F1.6) — array 179→199
Initial values for the 20 new regime_observer slots per spec v3:
- Transient state: DEAD_ZONE_FLAG/DURATION/TIMEOUT = 0, RECOVERY_FACTOR = 1
- Sentinels: TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY = 1e6, PREV_WORST_PNL = 0, MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA = 0
- Welford state: M2/MEAN/COUNT = 0 (bootstrap via first-observation, gated count>=10)
- Configs: ε_recovery_min=0.05, ε_recovery_max=0.50, N_recovery=100
- Configs: TAIL_SIGMA_THRESHOLD=3.0, MAX_DURATION=1000, popart α_d=0.01
- IQN τ tail boost: factor=1.5, window=100
2026-05-31 12:14:30 +02:00
jgrusewski
9e97c2acaf feat(rl): wire regime_observer into step_with_lobsim_reward_and_train (F1.5)
Inserts flat_count helper + regime_observer kernel launches BEFORE the
risk-stack controllers (CMDP/IQN/Inventory/Kelly). Uses prev_position_lots_d
(current-step snapshot, just-updated by LobSim per existing pipeline) as
the input to flat_count.

One-step lag on kelly_f/cooldown/worst_pnl reads is benign per Theorem 1:
absorbing state persists across step boundaries, detection at T+1 still
fires before harm escalates.

No consumer changes yet — F2/F3/F4/F5 land independently.
2026-05-31 12:12:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
79b8a43491 style(rl): F1.4 code review fixes — borrow + naming + format
Code-quality review found 1 Important + 2 Minor; applied all 3:
- Important: launch_rl_regime_flat_count(&mut self) → (&self)
  GPU writes through device pointer are invisible to borrow checker;
  matches pattern of launch_rl_win_rate_ema_update (&self) at adjacent line.
- Minor: smem_bytes → smem (matches convention of 11 other launchers)
- Minor: removed column-padding alignment on 5 new struct fields + changed
  `///` doc comment to `//` for private field flat_count_d (matches surrounding
  private fields).

Zero functional change.
2026-05-31 12:11:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
6e0c9abff2 feat(rl): regime_observer trainer wiring — loaders + struct + launchers (F1.4)
Adds:
- include_bytes! for rl_regime_flat_count + rl_regime_observer cubins
- IntegratedTrainer struct fields: 2 modules + 2 functions + flat_count_d helper buffer
- new() cubin loading + struct field assignment
- launch_rl_regime_flat_count(): Grid=(1), Block=(256), smem=256*sizeof(int)
- launch_rl_regime_observer(): Grid=(1), Block=(1), smem=0

Does NOT wire launchers into step_with_lobsim (that's F1.5).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-31 12:05:49 +02:00
jgrusewski
6ded2c55c2 style(rl): F1.3 code review fixes — comments + spec annotations
Code-quality review found 1 Important + 4 Minor; applied all 5:
- I1: restored `(issue #9, drift-free)` cross-link in Phase 4 header
- M1: added explicit launch profile in header `Grid=(1,1,1), Block=(1,1,1), smem=0`
- M2: comment explaining `count` reuse in Phase 3 (Welford state retained in registers)
- M3: inline rationale for `kelly == 0.0f` and `cooldown == 0.0f` exact equality
- M4: extended Welford-bootstrap comment with statistical floor justification
       (exempt from ISV-promotion per "physics/math constants" rule)

Zero functional change — comments only; cubin rebuilds identical bytes.
2026-05-31 12:01:50 +02:00
jgrusewski
b8272221db feat(rl): rl_regime_observer kernel (F1.3)
Single-thread single-block kernel emitting 4 surface signals
+ internal Welford state + drift-free recovery_factor/eps_live.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-regime-observer-design.md v3
Pearls: [[pearl_kelly_trade_stream_death]], [[pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline]]

4 phases:
- 1. Dead-zone detection (composite kelly=0 ∧ all-flat ∧ no-cooldown)
- 2. Welford variance on Δworst_pnl (skips bootstrap, gated count >= 10)
- 3. 3σ tail event detection → resets TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY
- 4. Linear ramp recovery_factor + eps_recovery_live for F2 Kelly consumer

Per feedback_no_atomicadd: single-thread, no atomics.
Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only: pure device kernel.
2026-05-31 11:58:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
8ba9417837 style(rl): F1.2 code review fixes — comment + const + power-of-2 doc
Code-quality review found 1 Important + 3 Minor; applied all 4:
- comment: "warp-aware shared-mem reduction" → "shared-mem block reduction"
  (no __shfl_down_sync used; claim was misleading per reviewer)
- const-correctness: tid is now `const int tid = threadIdx.x` (matches sibling kernels)
- power-of-2 assumption: documented via `#define BLOCK_X 256` + comment
- removed unused `#include <stdint.h>` (kernel uses plain int only)

Zero functional change — kernel emit is identical; cubin rebuilds and passes.
2026-05-31 11:55:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
c76d960645 feat(rl): rl_regime_flat_count kernel (F1.2)
Block-reduce per-account lots[b] → flat_count single int.
Per feedback_no_atomicadd: shared-mem tree-reduce, no atomics.

Foundation for regime_observer (F1.3) which reads flat_count
to compose the dead-zone detection (kelly=0 ∧ all-flat ∧ no-cooldown).

Launch profile (for trainer in F1.4):
  Grid=(1), Block=(256), smem=256*sizeof(int)=1024 bytes.
2026-05-31 11:51:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
6353deed15 style(rl): F1.1 code review fixes — separator + comments
Code-quality review found 2 Important + 2 Minor issues; applied all 4:
- separator style: ────── → ============ (file convention)
- restored split sub-headers: outputs (6) / Welford state (4)
- restored full safety-net comment with issue #4 reference
- added inline value hints on every constant (per spec block)

Zero functional change — comments and whitespace only.
2026-05-31 11:49:37 +02:00
jgrusewski
c1a0143311 feat(rl): regime_observer ISV slot allocation (F1.1)
20 new slots (696-715) + 3 v9 slot renames (685-687).
Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-regime-observer-design.md v3.

Slot map:
- 696-705: regime_observer outputs + internal Welford state
- 706-709: Kelly resurrection config + live value
- 710: dead-zone timeout config
- 711-712: IQN τ tail-boost config
- 713: tail σ threshold
- 714-715: popart max envelope (F4)

v9 renames are zero-move (same physical addresses):
- 685 RL_EVAL_WARMUP_REMAINING → RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_REMAINING
- 686 RL_EVAL_WARMUP_STEPS_CONFIG → RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_STEPS_CONFIG
- 687 RL_EVAL_WARMUP_DECAY_STEPS_CONFIG → RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_DECAY_STEPS_CONFIG

RL_SLOTS_END: 696 → 716

Downstream sites (eval_warmup_decay.cu, integrated.rs) will show
"cannot find" errors against the renamed v9 constants until F3 updates them.
2026-05-31 11:44:35 +02:00
jgrusewski
baf971ba54 diag(rl): emit v9 eval_warmup state to JSONL + cleanup lints
Diag: surfaces `risk_stack.eval_warmup.{remaining,active,blend,
floor_*,target_*}` so the v9 defensive-warmup window is observable
in diag.jsonl. `remaining` is the counter; `blend` is the
defensive-vs-normal mix coefficient (1.0 = full defensive, 0.0 =
normal); `floor_*` reflect the LIVE override values (read AFTER the
warmup kernel ran). Pre-warmup the kernel is a no-op (remaining=-1),
so v9 train-phase diag is bit-identical to v8.

Cleanup: tightens unreachable_pub items in tests/behavioral/* and
tests/sp5_producer_unit_tests.rs (pub → pub(crate)), removes
unused_mut on 6 sp5 scratch buffers, renames unused `step` loop
counter in alpha_baseline example, and explicitly discards an
intentionally-no-op `Command::assert` in cli_integration_test.
Reduces lint count by ~25; remaining 3 dead_code warnings flag
SP15 Phase 2A behavioral scaffolding (Phase 2B never landed —
deliberate signal, not noise).

Pre-existing pearl per feedback_no_hiding: do NOT suppress these
with #[allow]; the warnings ARE the design call surface.
2026-05-31 02:12:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
0c8cb6ad5b fix(rl): v9 defensive eval-boundary calibration
Implements docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-v9-defensive-eval-boundary-calibration.md.
Closes the [[pearl_adaptive_carryover_discipline]] gap: every adaptive
EMA must reset OR re-bootstrap at regime boundaries, never selectively
preserve train-acquired statistics.

Layer 1 — full EMA reset in `reset_session_state`:
  - win_rate, avg_win/loss EMAs → neutral sentinels
  - cumulative_dones → 0 (re-enter Kelly bootstrap)
  - inventory_beta + inventory_variance EMAs → 0
  - reward_clamp pos/neg max EMAs + clip_rate EMA → 0
  - Kelly fraction → 1.0 (bootstrap)
  Lifts Fix D's deliberate carryover (commit 7064c9269), which was
  diagnosed in v8 fold-1 eval as the primary -$507k driver: agent
  entered eval with train wr=0.34 EMA and took aggressively-sized
  losing trades while EMA decayed to true eval wr=0.25.

Layer 2 — defensive warmup window:
  - New `rl_eval_warmup_decay` CUDA kernel: single-thread single-block,
    no atomics, mapped-pinned only. Runs after fused controllers each
    step. Overrides 4 risk-sizing floors (Kelly safety_frac, IQN τ_min,
    entropy_coef_min, PPO clip ε_min) with conservative defensive
    values for the first 500 steps post-boundary, with linear decay
    over the final 200 steps back to normal targets.
  - 11 new ISV slots (685-695): remaining counter, configured
    durations, defensive overrides (0.25/0.30/0.05/0.10), normal
    targets (0.50/0.10/0.01/0.05).
  - Sentinel counter = -1 at boot → kernel is no-op until reset arms it.

All boundary semantics live in ISV; no hardcoded constants in the
kernel. Build verified, all 13 risk-stack invariants + 5 controller
adaptive-floor tests + integrated-trainer smoke pass on RTX 3050.
2026-05-31 01:52:29 +02:00
jgrusewski
6c4945fe16 docs(spec): v9 defensive eval-boundary calibration (completes adaptive principle)
Per the newly-saved memory pearl pearl_adaptive_carryover_discipline,
diagnoses Fix D's "intentionally preserve train Kelly + inventory EMAs
into eval" as the dominant cause of v8's eval-phase regression.

Design — 3 layers at the train→eval boundary:

  Layer 1: Reset every adaptive EMA (Kelly wr/avg-win/avg-loss/
  cumulative_dones, inventory β/variance, reward-clamp pos/neg/clip
  EMAs) to neutral sentinels. Lets the controllers re-bootstrap from
  eval-distribution observations rather than carrying poisoned train
  state.

  Layer 2: Defensive warmup window (500 steps) overrides risk-sizing
  controllers — Kelly safety_frac 0.5→0.25, IQN τ_min 0.10→0.30,
  entropy coef floor 0.01→0.05, PPO ε floor 0.05→0.10. Linear decay
  back to normal over additional 200 steps.

  Layer 3: 2× LR multiplier during warmup window. Network weights
  adapt fast to new-regime statistics; this is the slowest-adapting
  layer of the agent.

Adds 8 new ISV slots (686-693), bumps RL_SLOTS_END 686→694. New
small kernel rl_eval_warmup_decay applies overrides each step during
warmup. Pure additive design — no kernel logic changes outside the
new warmup-decay kernel.

Validation requires running ALL 3 folds (vs v8's single fold-1) per
pearl_single_window_oos_is_not_oos. Success criterion: mean eval pnl
across 3 folds > v8 mean.

No code change in this commit — design document only. Implementation
deferred until decision is made on whether to ship v9 or first
collect v8's fold-0 + fold-2 baseline for cleaner comparison.
2026-05-31 01:31:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
ad5b29e652 diag(rl): emit atom-span calibration signals (no behavior change)
Per docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-c51-atom-span-math-validation.md,
the binding constraint on atom_max during training is the dynamic
Bellman bound `atom_max ≥ WIN + γ × atom_max`, not the overstated
fixed-point `WIN/(1-γ)`. The math validation against local b=128
smoke confirmed atom_max can be 4.5× the fixed-point bound yet train
cleanly (qpa=+0.969 at step 999).

This commit adds derived diag fields under
`risk_stack.atom_calibration` to expose the bound directly:

  - win_bound, atom_max, gamma         (inputs)
  - dynamic_bound = WIN + γ × atom_max (the binding constraint)
  - atom_max_headroom (=atom_max - dynamic_bound; >0 = self-consistent)
  - popart_sigma, v_target_max_3sigma  (statistical V_target estimate)
  - atom_max_over_3sigma                (resolution waste ratio)

These let future cluster runs measure CURRENT design's over-sizing
empirically (smoke step 999 showed atom_max ~5× larger than 3σ of
V_target requires — wasteful but safe). Future iterations can use
this data to safely tighten atom_max anchor toward V_target_max
without speculating about which design works.

Pure additive diag — no kernel changes, no behavior change. Pulls
values from existing ISV slots (RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX,
RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX, RL_GAMMA_INDEX, RL_POPART_SIGMA_INDEX).

Validates the math from 2026-05-31-c51-atom-span-math-validation.md
empirically in every cluster run going forward.
2026-05-31 01:20:37 +02:00
jgrusewski
82572ff3bd docs(spec): C51 atom span math validation + empirical proof
Formal proof of why the current `atom_max = EWMA(WIN_bound)` design
trains successfully despite empirical violations of the "structural
minimum atom_max ≥ WIN/(1-γ)" claim made in 2026-05-30-c51-atom-
resolution-design-alternatives.md.

Key findings (proven by local smoke + cluster v8 trajectory):

1. The fixed-point bound `WIN/(1-γ)` is overstated as a structural
   constraint. Empirical: smoke step 999 atom_max = 4.5× the bound,
   system trains healthy (qpa=+0.969).

2. The actually-binding constraint is the dynamic bound:
   `atom_max ≥ max V_target_observed ≤ WIN + γ × V_max_observed`
   Self-consistent and satisfied with margin 23 at smoke step 999.

3. Both speculative alternatives (Fix F = mean_abs_pnl anchor,
   Fix F-v2 = V_target_observed anchor) have closed-form instability
   at γ(1+ε) ≥ 1 — for γ=0.99 only ε ≤ 0.01 stable, no resolution
   benefit over current design.

4. Current design is *conservative* (atom_max ~5× larger than V_target
   3σ requires) but *correct* — slow EWMA hysteresis absorbs WIN
   transients and keeps Q-V Bellman self-consistent.

Includes empirical trajectory data:
- Local smoke (b=128, HEAD d57bee054, 1000 steps): atom_max 1798→1468,
  qpa +0.65→+0.97, clip_rate 5-11%, dynamic bound satisfied with
  margin 23 at convergence.
- Cluster v8 (b=1024, alpha-rl-vxbpq @ 6d4a962e5): popart_σ collapses
  56→1.69 from step 100→16830, qpa stays >+0.93, pnl_cum $164M.

Saves pearl_atom_span_dynamic_vs_fixed_point for future sessions.

Diagnostic emit of V_target_max_observed proposed (§5) but deferred
— current signals (WIN + γ × atom_max) already provide the bound
indirectly via JSONL. Real-time V_target_max is a nice-to-have for
future calibration work, not required to validate the current design.
2026-05-31 01:13:47 +02:00
jgrusewski
d57bee0542 docs(spec): atom resolution design alternatives (post Fix F failure)
Documents why Fix F crashed at cluster scale (qpa: +0.898 → -0.976
between step 371 and step 500 in alpha-rl-qrgjr v7), the structural
Bellman self-consistency constraint atom_max >= WIN/(1-γ) that makes
the resolution trade-off fundamental, and the design alternatives
considered (non-uniform atoms, adaptive γ, two-headed Q). Recommends
shipping A+B+C+D+E only — the pre-Fix-F design implements the
structurally-correct atom span via WIN-tracking EWMA.

No code change in this commit — design document only. Empirical
result from v8 (alpha-rl-vxbpq, SHA 6d4a962e5) will determine whether
deeper atom-resolution work (Options 4.C or 4.E) is justified.
2026-05-31 00:10:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
6d4a962e5c Revert "fix(rl): decouple C51 atom span from reward-clamp ceiling"
This reverts commit 0fe825a8c5.
2026-05-31 00:01:19 +02:00
jgrusewski
0fe825a8c5 fix(rl): decouple C51 atom span from reward-clamp ceiling
Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-c51-atom-span-decouple-from-clamp.md

Diagnosed in cluster v5 (alpha-rl-rjsjq SHA 7064c9269) at step 371:
c51_v_max ratcheted up 1 → 24 → 53 → 859 → 1938 while WIN clamp swung
4910 → 568 → 7540 → 44 (volatile from MARGIN saturation). The slow
EWMA tracking win_bound time-averaged the early spikes, locking
atom span at extreme-value magnitude. Δz reached ~184 per atom — Q
could no longer discriminate +$500 from +$5000 wins.

Root cause: atom-span target was anchored on `MARGIN × pos_max_ema`,
where pos_max is the EXTREME-VALUE statistic across b=1024 batch
elements. The clamp bound (rightly fat-tail) and the atom span (should
be typical-magnitude) were treating two distinct concerns as one.

Fix F: anchor atom span on `atom_margin × mean_abs_pnl_ema` — true
central-tendency signal — while leaving the reward clamp on
pos_max_ema. The clamp can still admit fat-tail wins ($42k → +245)
and V regression (scalar head) retains the magnitude for PPO advantage,
but Q's CATEGORICAL distributional support now sizes itself for the
trades where most learning happens.

New ISV slot 685 (RL_C51_ATOM_MARGIN_INDEX, bootstrap 10.0).
RL_SLOTS_END 685 → 686.

Validation (local b=128 1k smoke):
  metric          | pre-Fix-F      | with Fix F
  v_max final      | 1929           | 86.6        (22× tighter)
  Δz per atom      | 184            | 8.7         (resolution restored)
  qpa final        | +0.957         | +0.958      (Q-π alignment preserved)
  mean_active      | +$47k          | +$34k       (within smoke variance)

13/13 risk_stack_invariants + 20/20 trade_management_kernels +
integrated_trainer_smoke pass.

Tradeoff documented in spec: Q loses fat-tail categorical magnitude
(rewards beyond ±87 project to top/bottom atom), but V regression
preserves it. Acceptable for the lottery-ticket strategy where typical-
magnitude resolution matters more than fat-tail magnitude precision.
2026-05-30 23:52:43 +02:00
jgrusewski
1a05af803d fix(cuda): force-close existing position on DD trip / cooldown entry
Cluster v5 alpha-rl-rjsjq step 371 revealed worst-account session_pnl
growing monotonically across cooldown windows (-$3.7k → -$9.3k from
step 100 → 371). Root cause: when DD triggers, actions_to_market_targets
forces {side=2, size=0} — a no-op that suppresses EVERY action type
including trail-stop-driven closes. If the account was holding a
losing position when DD fired, that position bleeds mark-to-market for
the entire 500-step cooldown with no exit path.

Fix: on first DD/cooldown step, emit a closing market order matched to
the current position (side=1 sell for long, side=0 buy for short, size
= |position_lots|). Once flat, subsequent cooldown steps emit the
existing no-op. Net effect: account closes its position at the moment
of DD trip, then sits flat until its recovery clock expires.

Validation: 13/13 risk_stack_invariants pass, 20/20 trade_management
pass, integrated_trainer_smoke passes. Local b=128 1k smoke:
  qpa: +0.95 (best result of session)
  mean_active: +$47k
  worst: stabilizes at -$11.8k (vs unbounded growth pre-fix); residual
  loss is from fat-tail single-step market moves that cross dd_limit
  before the controller can react — out of scope for this fix.
2026-05-30 23:35:54 +02:00
jgrusewski
7064c9269e fix(rl): un-freeze adaptive WIN/LOSS clamp + reset per-batch state on fold
Two compounding bugs found via cluster diag at alpha-rl-gwmkf step 4083:

Fix C — reward-clamp writeback un-freeze:
  rewards.clip_rate_ema = 0.9999 — essentially every win clamped to +1.
  With R-multiple 43 trade outcomes ($7k avg win / $163 avg loss), V
  regression saw identical targets for +$500 wins and +$42k wins; PPO
  advantage lost magnitude signal; policy stagnated at qpa = -0.95.

  Root cause: a 2026-05-24 "G.2" patch in rl_reward_clamp_controller.cu
  added `(void) margin;` and froze WIN=1.0, LOSS=3.0 over concern that
  simultaneously adapting clamp bounds + atom span could create a
  positive feedback loop. Empirically refuted — MARGIN is bounded
  [1.0, 5.0] and pos_max_ema is bounded by reward_scale × raw_PnL, so
  WIN has natural structural ceiling. The freeze was over-conservative.

  Restore the writeback: WIN = max(MIN_WIN, MARGIN × pos_max_ema),
  LOSS = max(MIN_WIN, WIN × RATIO). Atom span Step 5 then follows via
  the slow EWMA already in place.

  Local b=128 1k smoke confirms:
    clip_rate_ema: 0.9999 → 0.094  (target 5%, near hit)
    WIN clamp:     1.0    → 245.6
    V_max atom:    1.0    → 1929
    qpa:           -0.95  → +0.71  (Q and π aligned!)
    mean_active:   +$47k stays positive

Fix D — reset_session_state extends to per-batch buffers:
  The 39efacf77 per-batch CMDP refactor added 4 device buffers but
  reset_session_state() was only zeroing the 4 ISV summary slots. On
  train→eval fold transition, eval inherited all the accumulated
  dead/cooldown accounts from training — eval started with a poisoned
  fleet.

  reset_session_state now also memsets session_pnl_per_batch_d,
  session_dd_triggered_per_batch_d, consec_loss_per_batch_d, and
  cooldown_remaining_per_batch_d to zero. Plus also resets the new
  RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX slot.

Validation: 13/13 risk_stack_invariants pass, 20/20 trade_management
pass, integrated_trainer_smoke end-to-end passes.
2026-05-30 23:19:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
5e4c2e62b6 fix(rl): CMDP DD recovery + IQN τ reads mean-of-active (not worst)
Diagnosed via the diag-emit added in 6e0f56816 — alpha-rl-d6d8d step 2000
showed worst-account at -$18k, IQN τ pinned at floor 0.1, popart σ
collapsing 1.00 → 0.47. Root cause: dead-account accumulation in a
sticky-DD fleet.

The per-batch CMDP from 39efacf77 fixed the GLOBAL lockout but left
two failure modes:

  1. Once an account hit `dd_limit`, `session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b]`
     stayed sticky for the fold. `actions_to_market_targets` forced
     those accounts to no-op → V_target ≈ γ·V(s'_unchanged) → popart
     σ leaked variance from accumulating dead-weight.

  2. ISV[RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX] exposed worst-account pnl, which
     IQN-τ consumes for `drawdown_frac`. A single broken account
     dragged τ to its floor for the entire fold — defensive action
     selection for a fleet that was, on average, doing fine.

Fix A: DD recovery on cooldown expiry. When `dd_limit` trips, also
start a recovery cooldown clock. When the clock decrements to 0,
clear `dd_triggered` + reset `session_pnl` to 0. Account rejoins the
active fleet. Matches surfer trading philosophy: accept the wipeout,
take the forced break, get back on the board.

Fix B: IQN-τ signal split. CMDP now writes mean-of-active-accounts
to RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX (slot 662, IQN-τ consumer) and mirrors
worst per-batch pnl to a new slot RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX (684,
diag only). τ now tracks fleet-typical drawdown instead of a single
catastrophic outlier.

Subtle kernel detail caught by G1: `cool_prev` must be snapshotted
BEFORE the DD-trip section, otherwise a fresh cooldown set this step
gets immediately decremented by 1 in the same launch.

Validation (local b=128 1k smoke):
  metric            | pre-fix (HEAD) | with A+B
  worst pnl          | -$34,016       | -$7,183     (79% less bleed)
  mean active pnl    | n/a            | +$40,343    (typical account profitable)
  IQN τ              | 0.10 (floored) | 0.50        (neutral)
  popart σ           | 0.47→collapsing| 0.84        (variance preserved)
  win rate           | 0.21           | 0.56        (positive edge)

13/13 risk_stack_invariants pass (G1 updated, G1b NEW for cooldown
recovery). 20/20 trade_management_kernels pass. integrated_trainer_smoke
end-to-end passes.

Slot 684 added: RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX. RL_SLOTS_END 684 → 685.
2026-05-30 22:40:36 +02:00
jgrusewski
39efacf77d fix(rl): CMDP gates per-batch (one independent session per b)
Each batch element is an independent backtest session with its own
$35k starting capital. The CMDP kernel had been summing per-batch
rewards into a single ISV slot — at b=1024 the accumulator grew
b_size× faster than the -$3500 single-account DD limit, tripping
session_dd_triggered globally in ~250 steps (cluster alpha-rl-2j9k9
step 320: session_pnl_usd=-$5775, all 1024 sessions locked out).
Same flaw on consec_loss_count: any 10 losses across the batch in a
single step triggered cooldown for the entire fleet.

Refactor — every Layer-1 state shard is per-batch:
  session_pnl_per_batch_d            [b_size] f32
  session_dd_triggered_per_batch_d   [b_size] f32
  consec_loss_per_batch_d            [b_size] f32
  cooldown_remaining_per_batch_d     [b_size] f32

`actions_to_market_targets` now reads per-batch DD-triggered + cooldown,
so one account hitting its limit does not lock out the other 1023.

Summary ISV slots (RL_SESSION_PNL_USD, RL_CONSEC_LOSS_COUNT,
RL_SESSION_DD_TRIGGERED, RL_COOLDOWN_REMAINING_STEPS) are now
kernel-OUT only — they expose worst-account / any-triggered / max
aggregates for diag + the single IQN-τ consumer ("be pessimistic
when ANY session is in trouble").

3 raw `actions_to_market_targets_fn.cu_function()` launch sites in
integrated.rs were updated atomically per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`
— public wrapper + 2 internal step_with_lobsim sites. The first
attempt hit CUDA_ERROR_INVALID_VALUE in integrated_trainer_smoke
because only the public wrapper had been updated.

Validation:
- 12/12 risk_stack_invariants pass on per-batch semantics (G1-G4
  rewritten to seed per-batch buffers via write_slice_f32_d_pub).
- 20/20 trade_management_kernels still pass (actions gating intact).
- integrated_trainer_smoke passes end-to-end.
- Local b=128 1k smoke: 1000/1000 steps clean, no NaN. CMDP behavior
  matches design: worst-of-128 hit DD (-$34k > $3500 limit), other 127
  unaffected. IQN τ floored at 0.1 (worst-account drawdown >>10%),
  Kelly = 0.0 (observed edge negative: wr=0.21, R=1.57).
2026-05-30 22:06:22 +02:00
jgrusewski
6e0f568160 diag(rl): emit risk-stack ISVs to JSONL
Added `risk_stack` section to alpha_rl_train.rs diag emitter so the five
risk-management layers introduced in 285d42aa7 are observable from the
diag JSONL. Without this the kernels run but the output is invisible.

  cmdp           session_pnl_usd, session_dd_triggered, consec_loss_*,
                 cooldown_*, max_open_units, net_inventory_limit_usd
  iqn_tau        action_tau, tau_min, dd_sensitivity
  inventory      penalty_beta, variance_ema
  kelly          fraction, win_rate_ema, avg_win/loss_usd_ema,
                 safety_frac, min_trades_for_release, cumulative_dones
  trail_factors  tighten, loosen

Pure additive emission — no kernel changes, no perturbation of training
state. Local 5-step smoke b=16 confirms every field appears with values
that match the spec math (e.g. IQN τ adapts linearly with drawdown).

Doesn't affect the in-flight alpha-rl-2bm59 (pinned SHA 285d42aa7);
takes effect on the next submission.
2026-05-30 21:24:22 +02:00
jgrusewski
285d42aa7b feat(rl): adaptive risk-management stack — 5 layers, all ISV-driven
Layered risk stack per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md:

  Layer 1 (CMDP)        hard session-DD, cooldown, max-open, inventory limits
  Layer 2 (IQN τ)       risk-averse action selection adapts to session drawdown
  Layer 3 (Inventory)   Avellaneda-Stoikov penalty β scales with reward magnitude
                        and inventory variance
  Layer 4 (Kelly)       half-Kelly fraction sizing from observed win-rate +
                        R-multiple, warmup-gated until cumulative_dones >= 1000
  Layer D (Trail)       wire dead a7/a8 (TrailTighten/Loosen) via independent
                        ISV factors, replacing the symmetric reciprocal

Architecture: every threshold ISV-driven (22 new slots, RL_SLOTS_END 662→684).
Every adaptive bound follows the canonical Wiener-α blend with floor 0.4,
sentinel-zero bootstrap, and asymmetric Schulman where applicable.

Kernels:
  rl_cmdp_constraints_check        session pnl + cooldown + consec-loss tracking
  rl_iqn_action_tau_controller     τ = clamp(0.5 - 5·dd_frac, τ_min, 1.0)
  rl_inventory_beta_controller     β_target = 0.01·E|reward| / (2·σ_inventory)
  rl_kelly_fraction_controller     f = clamp(safety · (p·b - q)/b, 0, 1)
  rl_win_rate_ema_update           closed-trade win-rate EMA from rewards + dones
  rl_avg_win_loss_ema_update       separate avg-win and avg-loss EMAs
  rl_inventory_variance_update     Welford variance of net-position-per-batch

Integration:
- All 7 new cubins loaded in IntegratedTrainer + launched per step in spec order
  (CMDP after reward pipeline, before actions_to_market_targets reads override
  flags; Layer 2/3/4 controllers in rl_fused_controllers.cu).
- actions_to_market_targets.cu: Layer 1 hard overrides (DD-triggered → 0 lots;
  cooldown → 0 lots; max-open → block opening actions; inventory cap → block
  one-sided expansion) and Layer 4 Kelly fraction scaling on target lots.
- rl_fused_reward_pipeline.cu: Layer 3 inventory penalty term in reward shaping.
- rl_trail_mutate.cu: a7 multiplies trail by RL_TRAIL_TIGHTEN_FACTOR_INDEX,
  a8 by RL_TRAIL_LOOSEN_FACTOR_INDEX (was symmetric reciprocal — pearls
  pearl_dead_trail_stop_actions_a7_a8).

Validation:
- 12 GPU-oracle invariants pass (tests/risk_stack_invariants.rs):
  G1-G4 CMDP, G5-G7 IQN τ, G8-G9 inventory β, G10-G12 Kelly.
- 20/20 trade_management_kernels.rs tests pass (a7/a8 migrated).
- 5/5 controller_adaptive_floors.rs tests still pass.
- integrated_trainer_smoke passes (end-to-end pipeline launch).
- Local 1k smoke b=128: completes 1000/1000 steps, no NaN, controllers steady.
- compute-sanitizer memcheck (5 steps b=128): ERROR SUMMARY: 0 errors.

Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-plan.md
2026-05-30 20:52:28 +02:00
jgrusewski
448c5189cf fix(cuda): confidence gate honors pos_state (skip non-flat positions)
rl_confidence_gate.cu accepted pos_state as a kernel argument but the
body never dereferenced it. Reading position_lots from bytes [0..4] and
returning early when non-flat makes Case 3 of the existing test
(`confidence_gate_overrides_low_confidence_opening`) pass and restores
the documented opening-only gating semantics.

Repro before fix:
  SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p ml-alpha --release \
    --test trade_management_kernels \
    confidence_gate_overrides_low_confidence_opening \
    -- --ignored --nocapture
  → FAIL Case 3: non-flat position got Hold instead of original action

After: 20/20 trade_management_kernels tests pass.
2026-05-30 20:39:58 +02:00
jgrusewski
b1ef6664ab fix(rl): reward_scale floor uses cumulative dones, not closed-trade-steps
Follow-up to the 2026-05-30 adaptive controller floor refactor (commit
083a88f7c). Spec Special case R wired the bootstrap-fraction floor to
release after `RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX < MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE
(=100)`. That counter increments via the Welford trade-duration-EMA
producer ONCE PER STEP where any trade closed — not once per closed
trade. At b=1024 with typical ~7 dones/step, the gate released after
step ~100 (= ~700 actual closed trades, far short of the intended
"100 trades of confidence"). After release reward_scale crashed to
~0.001 within 200 more steps, identical to the pre-fix fold 0/1
behavior the spec was supposed to prevent.

Fix: track REAL cumulative closed trades by summing `dones[b]` per
step in the fused kernel's reward_scale block. New ISV slots:
  - RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX (660) — running total
  - RL_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX (661) — gate threshold,
    ISV-driven per `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`, bootstrap 5000

At ~7 dones/step (typical) the floor now holds for ~715 steps before
release — enough for the reward magnitude EMA to stabilize against
genuine trade outcomes rather than early-training noise. Threshold is
ISV-resident so production runs can tune without recompile.

Verified locally (500-step b=128 smoke):
  step 50:  reward_scale = 0.384 (decaying toward floor)
  step 100: reward_scale = 0.140 (approaching floor)
  step 200: reward_scale = 0.100 (AT FLOOR, held)
  step 500: reward_scale = 0.100 (still at floor)

Without this fix (pre-commit): reward_scale crashed to 0.001 by step 500.

Tests: integrated_trainer_smoke + signal_variance_kernel +
controller_adaptive_floors all pass. Release build clean.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 16:38:17 +02:00
jgrusewski
083a88f7c3 feat(rl): adaptive controller floors — 12 controllers, all signal-driven
Replaces hardcoded thresholds AND clamp bounds across 12 RL controllers
with observed-signal-driven ISV-slot bounds. Eliminates the architectural
failure mode that surfaced in walk-forward fold 0 (alpha-rl-m9cx5) and
fold 1 (alpha-rl-jgdh6): under Phase 4.5 advantage normalization, eight
controllers (PPO clip, target_tau, rollout_steps, entropy_coef, per_α,
gamma, reward_scale, q_distill_lambda) saturated at extrema within ~50
steps and stayed pinned for the rest of training — same pattern across
two different data slices, confirming the bug is structural rather than
data-size-dependent.

Mechanism: each controller's noise floor was hardcoded as a small
fraction of its target (`_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC = 0.01f`), calibrated against
a pre-Phase-4.5 signal regime. Phase 4.5 normalization reduces operating
KL by ~50× — observed signal stays below the 1%-of-target floor, the
Schulman widen path fires continuously (asymmetric in the wrong
direction), and ε hits MAX 0.50 within ~50 training steps. ksll2's full-
data run (n_folds=1) happened to escape via a single above-band KL
observation that triggered tighten; both walk-forward folds (3 and 6
files) did not.

Per `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`, `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`,
`pearl_controller_anchors_isv_driven`: every threshold now derives from
observed signal statistics (Welford online variance) rather than
constants calibrated against a prior signal regime. User explicitly
expanded scope mid-implementation: "if all clamps ISV bound should be
added to this spec and tasks" — applying the principle consistently
means hardcoded MIN/MAX clamp bounds count too, not just the saturating
noise floors. 12 controllers, single atomic commit per
`feedback_no_partial_refactor`.

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design.md
Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-plan.md

# New kernel
- rl_signal_variance_update.cu (80 LOC) — Welford online variance.
  Single-thread single-block. Sentinel-zero skip per pearl. Per-controller
  Welford triple (count, mean, M²) drives every adaptive noise floor.

# Per-controller refactors (12 .cu files)
- ppo_clip + target_tau + rollout_steps + entropy_coef + per_α —
  adaptive noise floor = max(target × 0.5, sqrt(observed_var) × 2);
  asymmetric Schulman (tighten on single observation, widen requires 3
  consecutive below-band).
- gamma (Special G) — hardcoded GAMMA_MIN = 0.995 → adaptive via
  Welford MEAN of trade duration. Per spec Q6 resolution: the Welford
  mean's natural N-smoothing lag breaks the gamma↔trade_duration
  feedback loop without explicit step-period gating. 100-observation
  warmup falls back to EMA before Welford has enough samples.
- reward_scale (Special R) — asymmetric DECREASE rate cap (5% per
  step) on both bootstrap-replace and Wiener-blend paths; bootstrap-
  fraction floor (10% of bootstrap) until 100 trades close.
- q_distill_lambda (Special Q) — hardcoded MIN_LAMBDA = 0.05 → adaptive
  via Welford on q_distill_kl_ema: max(0.001, std × 0.05).
- v_blend_alpha (Phase 4.4) — 5 hardcoded constants → 5 ISV slots
  (DEAD_SIGNAL_FLOOR, TARGET_TRACK_RATIO, SCHULMAN_STEP, EMA_ALPHA,
  BOOTSTRAP_ALPHA) + adaptive dead-signal floor from V_scalar magnitude
  variance.
- ppo_ratio_clamp — adaptive MIN/MAX from observed log-ratio variance.
  Architectural 2.0 absolute floor preserved (don't degenerate to
  vanilla policy gradient).
- reward_clamp — V_BOUND_FLOOR, V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA, MIN_WIN, MIN_RATIO,
  MAX_RATIO, MIN/MAX_MARGIN, MARGIN_TOLERANCE/ADJUST_RATE,
  CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA → 10 ISV slots.
- gate_threshold — hardcoded alpha = 0.01 → ISV slot 638.
- Clamp-bound expansion: EPS_MIN/MAX, TAU_MIN, ROLLOUT_MIN/MAX,
  COEF_MIN/MAX, PER_ALPHA_MIN/MAX, GAMMA_MAX, MAX_LAMBDA, KL_TOLERANCE,
  LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE, LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE → all ISV.
- WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR shared across 9 controllers → single ISV slot 659.

# Trainer integration (integrated.rs)
- rl_signal_variance_update kernel loaded + helper method
  `launch_rl_signal_variance_update`.
- Per-step Welford launches for 9 controller inputs, placed between
  EMA producers and rl_fused_controllers in the per-step pipeline.
- Input-slot lookup array for rl_fused_controllers updated: rollout_steps
  now consumes RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX (emitted by
  rl_advantage_normalize before in-place normalize) instead of the
  post-norm advantage_var_ratio (definitionally ~0 under Phase 4.5).
- ~30 new ISV bootstrap entries in with_controllers_bootstrapped.

# ISV slot allocation (isv_slots.rs)
- 72 new slots, RL_SLOTS_END 588 → 660. +288 bytes mapped-pinned.
- 9 Welford variance triples + 5 asymmetric Schulman counters +
  3 new input signals (var_pre_norm, gamma_min_adaptive, reward_mag) +
  v_blend (5 + 3 Welford) + ppo_ratio_clamp (1 + 3 Welford) +
  reward_clamp (5) + gate_threshold (1) + q_distill (1) + 20 clamp bounds +
  shared wiener floor.

# Bootstrap-clamp consistency fix (caught by Task 16 testing)
The original draft bootstrapped RL_EPS_BOOTSTRAP at 0.01 (= KL target),
but EPS_MIN was 0.05 — bootstrap value below clamp range. First post-
bootstrap step always snapped ε to MIN regardless of signal direction
("snap to MIN" behavior the unit tests surfaced). Fixed by bootstrapping
ε at MIN (0.05) so asymmetric Schulman operates from a valid state.

# Validation
- cargo build --release: clean
- cargo build --tests: clean
- 3 GPU Welford kernel tests (G1 constant→0var, G2 sequence→known var,
  G3 sentinel skip): all pass
- 5 GPU adaptive-floor invariant tests (G3 PPO clip holds at bootstrap
  when signal below floor, G4 tightens on single above-band, G5 widens
  only after 3 consecutive below-band, G6 post-warmup uses Welford mean,
  G6 pre-warmup uses EMA): all pass
- integrated_trainer_smoke (full GPU pipeline): passes
- 1k local smoke at b=128: 1000/1000 steps, completed_clean, no NaN,
  controllers genuinely adapting (γ 0.90→0.974, per_α 0.40→0.52,
  q_distill_λ 0.05→0.21, ε held at 0.05 = MIN per Phase 4.5 small-KL
  regime — was previously stuck at MAX 0.50 throughout fold 0/1)
- compute-sanitizer memcheck b=128 5 steps: 0 errors

Cluster validation (G7-G9) submitted as follow-up runs.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 15:41:51 +02:00
jgrusewski
a3dfcd63f5 test(ml-alpha): migrate integration tests to post-Phase-4 trainer API
After the Phase 4 dueling-head merge landed on main, six integration
tests no longer compiled — they referenced trainer fields and methods
that were renamed or removed during the R-series refactor:

  isv_d (CudaSlice<f32>)              → isv_dev_ptr: u64 (raw, cached)
  isv_host (Vec<f32>)                 → isv_mapped: MappedF32Buffer
  launch_rl_controllers_per_step()    → launch_rl_fused_controllers()
  softmax_ce_grad(..&mut CudaSlice)   → softmax_ce_grad(..&u64)
  trainer.replay (Vec-based PER)      → gpu_replay (CUDA buffers)
  N_HORIZONS = 5                      → N_HORIZONS = 3

Release binary built clean throughout (the cluster doesn't pull in
test sources), so the breakage was invisible until `cargo test --tests`
surfaced it post-merge.

Per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`: when a contract changes, every
consumer migrates atomically — the test suite was left behind by
those R-series PRs, this commit closes the gap.

Per `feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned`: tests now use the
same mapped-pinned ISV view as production (zero-copy host reads via
`isv_host_slice()` / `read_isv_host(slot)`, single-slot writes via
`isv_mapped.write_record(slot, val)`).

Changes per file:

  isv_bootstrap.rs (1 site)
    Read full ISV via `trainer.isv_host_slice()` instead of dtoh
    of the now-removed `isv_d` CudaSlice. Sync producing stream
    first so bootstrap-controller writes are visible host-side.

  r3_ema_advantage.rs (5 sites)
    Rewrote `readback_isv` helper to take `&IntegratedTrainer`
    and use the mapped-pinned mirror. All 5 call sites simplified
    from `readback_isv(&dev, &trainer.isv_d)` to `readback_isv(&trainer)`.

  r5_controllers_and_soft_update.rs
    Deleted G3 (`launch_rl_controllers_per_step` no longer exists;
    `launch_rl_fused_controllers` is the architectural replacement
    with different setup requirements — its 'all controllers move
    slots' invariant is exercised end-to-end by every cluster run).
    Kept G4 (DqnHead soft-update Polyak formula) with updated API.

  trade_management_kernels.rs (3 sites)
    `set_isv_slot` helper now uses `isv_mapped.write_record(slot, val)`
    — single volatile write to mapped-pinned, GPU sees it after next
    sync, no explicit HtoD copy needed.

  frd_head.rs (11 sites incl. ce_total_loss helper)
    Added `alloc_loss_buf(n) -> MappedF32Buffer` helper. All callers
    of `FrdHead::softmax_ce_grad` now pass `&loss_buf.dev_ptr`
    (raw u64) instead of `&mut loss_d` (CudaSlice), and read results
    via `stream.synchronize()?; loss_buf.read_all()`.

  heads_bit_equiv.rs (per_head_independence)
    N_HORIZONS dropped from 5 to 3 in production. Test was hardcoded
    against the old count (probs[3], probs[4], 5-element bias vec)
    causing compile-time index-out-of-bounds. Per
    `feedback_use_consts_not_literals_for_structural_dims`: rewrote
    to address by N_HORIZONS-relative offsets (first / last / middle).

  r7d_per_wiring.rs (deleted)
    The old Rust-side `PrioritizedReplay` struct (R7c's
    `src/rl/replay.rs`) was removed when the PER buffer moved fully
    GPU-side as `gpu_replay: GpuReplayBuffer`. The test was a guard
    against re-introducing that dead Rust struct; the dead file no
    longer exists in the tree (verified `crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/replay.rs`
    is gone), so the guard is moot. The new buffer's correctness is
    exercised end-to-end by every cluster training run.

Validation:
  - cargo build -p ml-alpha --release: clean
  - cargo build -p ml-alpha --tests:    clean (all files compile)
  - integrated_trainer_smoke (GPU, --ignored): passes

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 11:52:36 +02:00
jgrusewski
6695785666 feat(rl): Phase 4.5 — per-batch advantage normalization
Standard PPO practice (Schulman et al. 2017): normalize advantages
per-batch BEFORE PPO surrogate computation:

    advantage[b] ← (advantage[b] − mean_b) / sqrt(var_b + ε²)

Self-adaptive — uses observed per-batch statistics, no tuned
hyperparameters (fits feedback_adaptive_not_tuned).

Why now: Phase 4.3 cluster (alpha-rl-qkdm2) ended with pnl=+$16.28M
(2x Plan A v2's +$8.5M) but l_pi=1.6e9 vs Plan A v2's 3.6e5 — a
4500× increase in PPO surrogate magnitude. Adam internally normalizes
the gradient direction, but per-step magnitude variance is high
→ pnl trajectory chops (saw ±$2-4M swings between milestones).

Advantage normalization fixes this regardless of V baseline source:
batches with high-magnitude advantages get scaled down to ~unit
variance, ensuring consistent PPO update strength across batches.
Standard in Stable-Baselines3, RLlib, OpenAI Baselines.

New kernel: rl_advantage_normalize.cu (~80 LOC).
  Grid=(1,1,1), block=(min(B,1024),1,1).
  Single block parallel reduction: pass 1 = mean, pass 2 = variance,
  pass 3 = normalize in-place. ε² floor on variance prevents
  div-by-zero when all advantages identical.

Trainer wiring (~30 LOC):
  Load kernel + handle field + struct init.
  Single launch immediately AFTER compute_advantage_return,
  BEFORE PPO surrogate consumes advantages_d. In-place.

Stacks with Phase 4.4 adaptive V blend on same branch
(ml-alpha-phase4-dueling-head). Two complementary stabilization
mechanisms:
  - Phase 4.4: adapts WHICH V baseline (scalar vs dq) to use based
    on observed tracking error → reduces variance source
  - Phase 4.5: normalizes advantages regardless of variance source
    → reduces variance impact

Validated:
  - cargo build --release clean
  - integrated_trainer_smoke 1 step passes
  - alpha_rl_train --steps 3 --b 128 under compute-sanitizer: 0 errors

Cluster validation pending — submit Phase 4.4+4.5 combined to test
whether dampened-variance preserves Phase 4.3's +$16M pnl gain.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 10:22:24 +02:00
jgrusewski
12635bd708 feat(rl): Phase 4.4 — ISV-adaptive V blend controller
Replaces Phase 4.3's hard V_dq → PPO swap with an adaptive blend
driven by an on-device controller. Per the project's no-tuning
philosophy (pearl_controller_anchors_isv_driven, feedback_adaptive_not_tuned):

    V_used[b] = α × V_scalar[b] + (1 − α) × V_dq[b]

where α ∈ [0, 1] is emitted by rl_v_blend_alpha_controller from
the observed V_dq vs V_scalar tracking ratio:

    track_ratio = EMA(|V_dq − V_scalar|) / EMA(|V_scalar|)

    if track_ratio > 1.5 × TARGET:   α ← min(α + 0.01, 1.0)
    if track_ratio < TARGET / 1.5:   α ← max(α - 0.01, 0.0)
    else:                            hold α

Plus dead-signal guard: if EMA(|V_scalar|) < 1e-4, hold α (no V
signal yet to calibrate against).

Bootstrap on sentinel 0: α = 1.0 (Plan A v2 behavior on first step).
EMAs first-observation bootstrap (no Wiener-α blend on first sample).

Two new kernels:
  - rl_v_blend.cu: elementwise blend (~25 LOC). Grid (ceil(B/256),1,1).
  - rl_v_blend_alpha_controller.cu: single-block parallel reduction
    + Schulman-bounded controller (~90 LOC). Grid (1,1,1), block (1024,1,1).

Three new ISV slots (585/586/587):
  - RL_V_BLEND_ALPHA_INDEX        — current α
  - RL_V_TRACK_ERR_EMA_INDEX      — EMA(|V_dq − V_scalar|)
  - RL_V_SCALAR_MAG_EMA_INDEX     — EMA(|V_scalar|), dead-signal floor

IntegratedTrainer wiring (~80 LOC):
  - 2 new buffers v_blended_d, v_blended_tp1_d
  - In step_with_lobsim_gpu_body, after DuelingQHead Adam steps:
    1. Launch controller (reads V_scalar at h_t + V_dq at h_t, emits α)
    2. Launch blend kernel for s_t   → v_blended_d
    3. Launch blend kernel for s_tp1 → v_blended_tp1_d
  - compute_advantage_return now reads v_blended_d / v_blended_tp1_d
    instead of dueling_v_d / dueling_v_tp1_d (Phase 4.3's direct swap)

Both value_head and DuelingQHead still train independently. The blend
just selects which baseline drives PPO advantage per step based on
observed calibration. As V_dq learns to track V_scalar, the controller
gradually shifts α down toward V_dq usage. If V_dq diverges (e.g., late
training entropy spikes producing volatile advantages), controller
raises α back to V_scalar safety.

Phase 4.3 cluster (alpha-rl-qkdm2 @ 25f5ce99b) is still running and
showing dramatic late-training pnl growth (+$20M at step 18132 vs
Plan A v2 peak +$9.3M). Phase 4.4 adds adaptive control on top —
should reduce variance while preserving the architectural benefit.

Validated:
  - cargo build --release clean
  - integrated_trainer_smoke 1 step passes
  - alpha_rl_train --steps 3 --b 128 under compute-sanitizer: 0 errors

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 10:09:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
25f5ce99b6 feat(rl): Phase 4.3 — V_dq → PPO advantage swap + target net soft-update
Activates DuelingQHead's V output as the PPO advantage baseline,
replacing scalar value_head's contribution. Also wires soft-update
of DuelingQHead's target net (was deferred from 4.2).

Two changes:

1. DuelingQHead.soft_update_target(): reuses dqn_target_soft_update
   kernel (generic element-wise blend with τ from ISV[401]) across
   all 4 weight tensors (w_v, b_v, w_a, b_a). Called once per training
   step after Adam, mirroring DQN's pattern.

2. compute_advantage_return call: v_pred_d → dueling_v_d,
   v_pred_tp1_d → dueling_v_tp1_d. PPO advantage is now:
       A(s_t, a_t) = E_Q_C51(s_t, a_taken) − V_dq(s_t)
       returns(s_t) = r_t + γ(1−done) × V_dq(s_{t+1})
   value_head still trains via MSE on returns for diagnostic
   comparison; can be retired in a future commit if V_dq proves
   itself.

Phase 4.2 validated structurally at b=1024 5k that DuelingQHead's
training does not perturb Plan A v2's dynamics (qpa tracked within
0.02 at every milestone). Phase 4.3 is the smallest possible commit
that USES V_dq downstream — fully de-risked by 4.2's structural test.

Cluster expectation: qpa trajectory roughly matches Plan A v2 (V_dq
calibrated by joint training on same Bellman reward signal as C51,
so cross-architecture scale issue from Phase 3.2 doesn't apply here).

Validated:
  - cargo build --release clean
  - integrated_trainer_smoke 1 step passes
  - alpha_rl_train --steps 3 --b 128 under compute-sanitizer: 0 errors,
    l_q=0.024, l_v=0.0003 (slightly higher than Plan A v2's 0.0001
    because V_scalar now sees different gradient prop now that V_dq
    drives advantage — still healthy)

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 09:14:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
acdafe508e feat(rl): Phase 4.2 — DuelingQHead trainer integration (diagnostic mode)
Implements §6 of the Phase 4 spec — wires DuelingQHead into
IntegratedTrainer in DIAGNOSTIC-ONLY mode (V_dq trains via Bellman
loss every step, but does NOT yet feed PPO advantage — that's
Phase 4.3, a 10-LOC follow-up commit).

IntegratedTrainer additions:
  - dueling_q_head: DuelingQHead field
  - 4 AdamW states (w_v, b_v, w_a, b_a) — LR from RL_LR_Q_INDEX
  - 19 per-step buffer fields:
    Forward outputs:
      dueling_v_d [B], dueling_v_tp1_d [B], dueling_a_d [B×N],
      dueling_q_composed_d [B×N]
    Target net forward scratch:
      dueling_q_target_composed_d [B×N], dueling_v_target_tp1_d [B],
      dueling_a_target_tp1_d [B×N]
    Loss path scratch:
      dueling_v_loss_d [B], dueling_a_loss_d [B×N],
      dueling_target_value_d [B], dueling_loss_pb_d [B],
      dueling_grad_composed_d [B×N]
    Per-batch weight grads:
      dueling_grad_w_v_pb_d [B×HIDDEN_DIM], dueling_grad_b_v_pb_d [B],
      dueling_grad_w_a_pb_d [B×HIDDEN_DIM×N], dueling_grad_b_a_pb_d [B×N]
    Reduced weight grads:
      dueling_grad_w_v_d [HIDDEN_DIM], dueling_grad_b_v_d [1],
      dueling_grad_w_a_d [HIDDEN_DIM×N], dueling_grad_b_a_d [N]

10-step launch sequence in step_with_lobsim_gpu_body (after existing
IQN forward block):

  1. dueling_q_head.forward(h_t_borrow)            → V_dq, A, composed_Q
  2. dueling_q_head.forward(h_tp1_d)               → V_dq_tp1
  3. dueling_q_head.forward(sampled_h_t_d)         → online composed_Q for loss
  4. dueling_q_head.forward_target(sampled_h_tp1_d) → target composed_Q
  5. build_bellman_target(target_composed, r, dones, γ^n) → target_value
  6. compute_loss_and_grad(online, target, actions)    → loss + grad_composed
  7. decompose_and_backward_to_weights(sampled_h_t, grad, actions)
                                                       → per-batch w/b grads
  8. reduce_axis0_free × 4 → final weight grads
  9. LR ← ISV[RL_LR_Q_INDEX] (DuelingQHead is a Q learner)
 10. Adam step × 4 (w_v, b_v, w_a, b_a)

What's NOT yet done (Phase 4.3):
  - compute_advantage_return STILL uses v_pred_d / v_pred_tp1_d
    (Plan A v2 path UNTOUCHED — qpa should stay healthy in cluster smoke)
  - Soft-update of target net weights (recommend reusing
    dqn_target_soft_update_fn kernel in Phase 4.3)
  - Diag JSONL fields for dueling_v_at_taken_ema, dueling_loss

Validated:
  - cargo build --release clean
  - integrated_trainer_smoke (1 step end-to-end) passes
  - alpha_rl_train --steps 3 --n-backtests 128 under compute-sanitizer
    memcheck: 0 errors, l_q rising 0 → 0.024, l_v = 0.0001

CRITICAL: This commit should be cluster-validated BEFORE Phase 4.3.
At b=1024 5k steps, expected:
  - qpa stays healthy (composed_Q_dq doesn't feed ensemble)
  - pnl matches Plan A v2 trajectory exactly (V_dq doesn't drive PPO)
  - V_dq trains stably (visible in compute-sanitizer's grad flow)

If cluster shows any regression, the bug is in this commit's wiring,
NOT in Plan A v2 (which is structurally preserved).

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 08:48:35 +02:00
jgrusewski
13bf277cd6 feat(rl): Phase 4.1 — DuelingQHead loss + Bellman target + decompose backward
Implements §4.2/4.3/4.4 + §5 of Phase 4 spec.

Three new CUDA kernels:

1. rl_dueling_q_bellman_target.cu — argmax over target composed_Q at
   s_{t+1}, build target_value = r + γ^n × (1-done) × max_Q. Grid
   (B,1,1), block (N_ACTIONS,1,1). Reads γ via per-sample n_step_gammas
   passed by trainer (matches PER convention).

2. rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad.cu — scalar Huber loss on
   (target − online_composed_Q[taken]). Emits per-batch loss and
   grad_composed (only taken action has nonzero gradient — this is
   single-Q scalar regression, not distributional CE). Grid (B,1,1),
   block (N_ACTIONS,1,1). Threads write zero into non-taken cells.

3. rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd.cu — decompose grad_composed →
   grad_V + grad_A via mean-subtraction Jacobian:
     grad_V[b]    = Σ_a grad_composed[b, a] = grad_composed[b, a_taken]
     grad_A[b, a] = grad_composed[b, a] − (1/N) × grad_V[b]
   Then computes per-batch weight gradients via outer product with h_t:
     grad_w_v_pb[b, c]    = grad_V[b] × h_t[b, c]
     grad_b_v_pb[b]       = grad_V[b]
     grad_w_a_pb[b, c, a] = grad_A[b, a] × h_t[b, c]
     grad_b_a_pb[b, a]    = grad_A[b, a]
   Grid (B,1,1), block (HIDDEN_DIM,1,1). Thread 0 also writes biases.

DuelingQHead Rust API (3 new methods):
  - build_bellman_target(target_composed_q, r, dones, n_step_gammas, B, out)
  - compute_loss_and_grad(online_composed_q, target_value, actions, B,
                          loss_pb, grad_composed_out)
  - decompose_and_backward_to_weights(h_t, grad_composed, actions, B,
                                      grad_w_v_pb, grad_b_v_pb,
                                      grad_w_a_pb, grad_b_a_pb)

Caller (trainer) is responsible for reduce_axis0 of per-batch grads
→ final weight gradients [HIDDEN_DIM], [1], [HIDDEN_DIM × N_ACTIONS],
[N_ACTIONS]. Will be wired in Phase 4.2.

Soft-update of target weights still TODO — recommend reusing
dqn_target_soft_update kernel pattern in Phase 4.2.

Validated:
  - cargo build --release clean
  - integrated_trainer_smoke (1 step) passes

Per pearl_complement_internal_loss_vs_external_consumers: this loss
path is fully internal to DuelingQHead. No downstream consumer ever
sees composed_Q or grad_composed. The four prior session failure
modes are structurally impossible.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 08:33:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
af35bc778e feat(rl): Phase 4.0 — DuelingQHead forward kernel + struct skeleton
Implements §4.1 + §5 of the Phase 4 spec
(docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-phase4-independent-dueling-head-design.md).

Forward kernel rl_dueling_q_forward.cu:
  V[b]             = Σ_c w_v[c] × h_t[b, c] + b_v[0]
  A[b, a]          = Σ_c w_a[c, a] × h_t[b, c] + b_a[a]
  composed_Q[b, a] = V[b] + A[b, a] − (1/N) Σ_a' A[b, a']

Single fused kernel — three outputs (V, A, composed_Q) computed in one
pass with shared-mem cache of h_t row. Grid (B,1,1), block (HIDDEN_DIM,1,1),
smem HIDDEN_DIM × 4 bytes. Tree-reduce for V projection; per-action
matmul (threads 0..N-1 active); mean-over-actions in shared mem.

DuelingQHead struct (crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/dueling_q.rs, NEW FILE):
  - Config + new() with Xavier init (HIDDEN_DIM → 1 for V,
    HIDDEN_DIM → N_ACTIONS for A); seed 0x4DEAD_1234
  - Online weights: w_v_d, b_v_d, w_a_d, b_a_d
  - Target weights: mirrors of online (soft-update wiring in Phase 4.1)
  - forward(h_t, b_size, v_out, a_out, q_composed_out)
  - forward_target(...) — same kernel with target weights
  - forward_inner — parameterized over weight slices

What this is NOT yet:
  - No loss kernel (Phase 4.1)
  - No backward / decompose (Phase 4.1)
  - No trainer wiring (Phase 4.2)
  - No PPO advantage swap (Phase 4.3)

Built off Plan A v2 baseline fd3174262 on branch
ml-alpha-phase4-dueling-head. Build verified clean.

Per session pearls:
  - pearl_complement_dont_replace_with_dual_architecture: this IS the
    'add a complement' pattern, but in fully encapsulated form (zero
    shared state with downstream consumers, unlike Phase 3.x attempts).
  - pearl_complement_internal_loss_vs_external_consumers: composed_Q
    from this head NEVER feeds ensemble/distill/selection (the failure
    mode that broke Phase 3.x is structurally impossible here).

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-30 08:26:00 +02:00
jgrusewski
fd31742627 fix(cuda): Plan A v2 — dd049d9a4 + 3 kernel-only bug fixes (no Phase 2.0)
Plan A v1 (commit 2d68ef5d8 = revert Phase 2.1 on top of 104fe81ca)
failed at cluster (alpha-rl-4sjzw): entropy collapsed to 0.69 by step 3000.
The Phase 2.0 V envelope clamp (c52282fb4) — kept in v1 — was likely
the culprit: it bounds V_pred to a tight envelope, biasing advantages
and breaking PPO gradient flow.

Plan A v2: start from dd049d9a4 (proven working at cluster wr=0.57
+$6.3M @ step 15000 today via alpha-rl-lpbp8) and apply ONLY the
kernel-only bug fixes that don't affect training dynamics:

- variable_selection.cu: VSN stride 40→56 fix (104fe81ca) — prevents
  step-4 NaN from reading wrong-stride window_tensor
- bucket_transition_kernels.cu: h_mag_per_bucket multi-warp 32→128
  (7e38e46e6) — correct warp-shuffle reduction for HIDDEN_DIM=128
- compute_advantage_return.cu: branch-gate done flag (a6acc25ec) —
  done's terminal-state semantics applied via gate, resolves step-4 NaN

NOT applied (intentionally):
- c52282fb4 Phase 2.0 V envelope clamp — biases V regression target
- b4aadff75 V envelope ±200→±10 — extends Phase 2.0
- 10d4614fb atomicAdd removal — kernel non-determinism is real but
  intrusive (Rust changes), dd049d9a4 works without this fix
- db4d9a16f Phase 2.1 dueling — broken decomposition per spec analysis
- 72672c9e7+ Phase 2.2/2.3/H/P1+P2+P3 — built on broken Phase 2.1

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-29 21:34:29 +02:00
206 changed files with 53449 additions and 4294 deletions

3
.gitignore vendored
View File

@@ -7,6 +7,9 @@ test_data/feature-cache/
/data/feature-cache/
*.fxcache
# Tier 1.5 mid-smoke local data (symlinks to test_data/futures-baseline-mbp10/)
test_data/futures-baseline-mid/
# IDE files
.vscode/
.idea/

View File

@@ -66,6 +66,24 @@ cargo bench --bench database_performance
- `SQLX_OFFLINE=true` — compiled SQL queries (no live DB needed for build)
- `SCCACHE_BUCKET=foxhunt-sccache` — shared compile cache
### Tiered local validation (fast dev cycle)
Three-tier funnel before cluster submit (per `docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-fast-dev-cycle.md`):
| Tier | Setup | Time | What it validates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (correctness) | RTX 3050, b=16, 200 steps, 1 file | ~6 sec | Kernel correctness, ISV slots, NaN |
| 1.5 (behavior) | RTX 3050, b=128, 2000+500 steps, 2 files | ~10 min | entropy, hold growth, controller stability, early Pearson |
| 2 (eval verdict) | L40S, b=1024, 20k+5k, 9 files | ~70 min | eval pnl, eval wr, regime stratification |
**Tier 1.5 data path**: `test_data/futures-baseline-mid/` (symlinks to existing MBP-10 files for fold-1 train/eval split).
```bash
./scripts/local-mid-smoke.sh # Run Tier 1.5 mid-smoke (~10 min)
./scripts/determinism-check.sh # Reproducibility self-test (runs mid-smoke twice, diffs final 5 rows)
python3 scripts/tier1_5_verdict.py /tmp/foxhunt-mid-smoke # Behavioral kill verdict
```
## Deployment (Argo Workflows)
```bash

1
Cargo.lock generated
View File

@@ -6090,7 +6090,6 @@ dependencies = [
"approx",
"arrow 56.2.0",
"bincode",
"bytemuck",
"clap",
"cudarc",
"data",

View File

@@ -215,10 +215,11 @@ fn test_tune_status_invalid_uuid() {
#[ignore = "Ignored because it tries to launch terminal UI"]
fn test_dashboard_command() {
let mut cmd = Command::cargo_bin("fxt").unwrap();
cmd.arg("dashboard")
let _ = cmd.arg("dashboard")
.timeout(std::time::Duration::from_secs(2))
.assert();
// Will timeout or fail trying to connect, but that's expected
// Will timeout or fail trying to connect, but that's expected — assert result
// intentionally discarded; this test verifies arg parsing reaches launch.
}
/// Test version flag

View File

@@ -699,38 +699,19 @@ impl DbnParser {
if let RecordRefEnum::Mbp10(mbp10) = record_enum {
update_count += 1;
// Phase E.1 fix (2026-05-15): MBP-10 messages carry
// the FULL post-update top-10 book in
// `mbp10.levels: [BidAskPair; 10]` — not just the
// single update event. We copy the full top-10
// here so downstream consumers (OFI, microprice,
// FillModel L2/L3) see real data. Mirror of the
// parse_mbp10_streaming fix in the same file.
let is_bid = mbp10.side == b'B' as i8;
// MBP-10 messages carry the FULL post-update top-10 book
// in `mbp10.levels`; `apply_mbp10_record` overlays all 10
// levels (incl. L0, the inside quote) and bumps
// trade_count on Trade actions. See its doc comment.
let action = OrderBookAction::from(mbp10.action as u8);
current_snapshot.update_level(
0, // Level index
apply_mbp10_record(
&mut current_snapshot,
&mbp10.levels,
action,
mbp10.price,
mbp10.size,
1, // Order count (not available in MBP-10 single update)
is_bid,
mbp10.hd.ts_event,
mbp10.sequence,
);
let max_lvl = mbp10.levels.len().min(current_snapshot.levels.len());
for lvl in 1..max_lvl {
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_px = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_px;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_sz = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_sz;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_ct = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_ct;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_px = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_px;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_sz = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_sz;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_ct = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_ct;
}
current_snapshot.timestamp = mbp10.hd.ts_event;
current_snapshot.sequence = mbp10.sequence;
// Create snapshot periodically to reduce memory
if update_count % SNAPSHOT_INTERVAL == 0 {
snapshots.push(current_snapshot.clone());
@@ -870,48 +851,23 @@ impl DbnParser {
kept += 1;
update_count += 1;
let is_bid = mbp10.side == b'B' as i8;
// The dbn `Mbp10Msg` carries the full 10-level
// post-update book in `levels: [BidAskPair; 10]`
// (index 0 = inside quote). `apply_mbp10_record` overlays
// ALL levels — including L0 — using the existing 1e9
// fixed-point scale convention, and bumps trade_count on
// Trade actions. Writing the single update event into L0
// (the previous behavior) corrupted the inside quote:
// ~6.4% crossed books, ~10% wide-L0 spikes.
let action = OrderBookAction::from(mbp10.action as u8);
current_snapshot.update_level(
0,
apply_mbp10_record(
&mut current_snapshot,
&mbp10.levels,
action,
mbp10.price,
mbp10.size,
1,
is_bid,
mbp10.hd.ts_event,
mbp10.sequence,
);
// Phase E.1 fix (2026-05-15): copy the full top-10
// post-update book snapshot from `mbp10.levels[1..]`
// into `current_snapshot.levels[1..]`. Without this,
// levels[1..10] stayed at default-empty, so downstream
// consumers (OFI calculator's L2-L5 reads, microprice
// at `snapshot.levels[1]`, FillModel L2/L3 distributions)
// received zeros for everything below L1. The dbn
// crate's `Mbp10Msg` carries the full 10-level
// post-update book in `levels: [BidAskPair; 10]`;
// previously only the single update event's
// (price, size) was captured (into level 0 via
// `update_level`).
//
// Field-by-field copy preserves the existing scale
// convention (raw 1e9 fixed-point i64; readers apply
// 1e-9 via `BidAskPair::price_to_f64` or local
// `raw_price_to_f32` workarounds).
let max_lvl = mbp10.levels.len().min(current_snapshot.levels.len());
for lvl in 1..max_lvl {
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_px = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_px;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_sz = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_sz;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_ct = mbp10.levels[lvl].bid_ct;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_px = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_px;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_sz = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_sz;
current_snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_ct = mbp10.levels[lvl].ask_ct;
}
current_snapshot.timestamp = mbp10.hd.ts_event;
current_snapshot.sequence = mbp10.sequence;
if update_count % snapshot_interval == 0 {
callback(&current_snapshot);
snapshot_count += 1;
@@ -1289,6 +1245,43 @@ impl DbnParserMetrics {
}
}
/// Overlay an MBP-10 record's authoritative post-update book onto `snapshot`.
///
/// MBP-10 messages carry the full top-10 book in `levels` (index 0 = inside
/// quote). We copy **all** levels including L0. A prior version wrote only the
/// single update event's price into L0 via `update_level(0, …)` and then copied
/// `levels[1..]`, which left L0 holding the lone event price (typically one side
/// only) instead of the real inside quote → crossed books and wide-L0 spikes.
///
/// `trade_count` is bumped on Trade-action records, preserving the downstream
/// signal (encoder feature `[17] = log1p(trade_count)` and the inter-snapshot
/// trade delta in the ml-alpha / ml-features loaders). A trade does not alter
/// the book structure itself, so only the counter moves.
fn apply_mbp10_record(
snapshot: &mut Mbp10Snapshot,
levels: &[dbn::BidAskPair],
action: OrderBookAction,
ts_event: u64,
sequence: u32,
) {
let max_lvl = levels.len().min(snapshot.levels.len());
for lvl in 0..max_lvl {
snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_px = levels[lvl].bid_px;
snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_sz = levels[lvl].bid_sz;
snapshot.levels[lvl].bid_ct = levels[lvl].bid_ct;
snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_px = levels[lvl].ask_px;
snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_sz = levels[lvl].ask_sz;
snapshot.levels[lvl].ask_ct = levels[lvl].ask_ct;
}
if action == OrderBookAction::Trade {
snapshot.trade_count += 1;
}
snapshot.timestamp = ts_event;
snapshot.sequence = sequence;
}
/// Snapshot of DBN parser metrics
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct DbnParserMetricsSnapshot {
@@ -1348,6 +1341,92 @@ mod tests {
assert_eq!(parser.get_symbol(999), "UNKNOWN_999");
}
/// Regression: the MBP-10 decoder must populate L0 from the authoritative
/// `mbp10.levels[0]` (the inside quote), NOT from the lone update event.
/// Writing the event into L0 produced crossed/half-empty inside quotes
/// (root cause of ~6.4% crossed books + ~10% wide-L0 spikes).
#[test]
fn apply_mbp10_record_fills_inside_quote_without_crossing() {
use dbn::BidAskPair as DbnBidAskPair;
// Authoritative post-update book: L0 = normal uncrossed inside quote.
let mut levels: [DbnBidAskPair; 10] = std::array::from_fn(|_| DbnBidAskPair {
bid_px: 0,
ask_px: 0,
bid_sz: 0,
ask_sz: 0,
bid_ct: 0,
ask_ct: 0,
});
levels[0] = DbnBidAskPair {
bid_px: 5_000_000_000_000, // 5000.00 (×1e9)
ask_px: 5_000_250_000_000, // 5000.25 (×1e9)
bid_sz: 10,
ask_sz: 12,
bid_ct: 1,
ask_ct: 1,
};
levels[1] = DbnBidAskPair {
bid_px: 4_999_750_000_000,
ask_px: 5_000_500_000_000,
bid_sz: 7,
ask_sz: 9,
bid_ct: 1,
ask_ct: 1,
};
let mut snap = Mbp10Snapshot::empty("ES.FUT".to_string());
// A bid-side ADD event priced ABOVE the real ask — the classic
// corruptor. Pre-fix code wrote this into L0 and copied only levels[1..].
apply_mbp10_record(
&mut snap,
&levels,
OrderBookAction::Add,
1_700_000_000_000_000_000,
42,
);
assert_eq!(
snap.levels[0].bid_px, 5_000_000_000_000,
"L0 bid must be the real inside bid, not the event price"
);
assert_eq!(
snap.levels[0].ask_px, 5_000_250_000_000,
"L0 ask must be the real inside ask (event never set the ask side)"
);
assert!(
snap.levels[0].bid_px < snap.levels[0].ask_px,
"inside quote must not be crossed"
);
assert_eq!(snap.levels[1].ask_px, 5_000_500_000_000, "L1 still copied");
assert_eq!(snap.timestamp, 1_700_000_000_000_000_000);
assert_eq!(snap.sequence, 42);
}
/// `trade_count` is a live model feature; only Trade-action records bump it.
#[test]
fn apply_mbp10_record_counts_only_trade_actions() {
use dbn::BidAskPair as DbnBidAskPair;
let levels: [DbnBidAskPair; 10] = std::array::from_fn(|_| DbnBidAskPair {
bid_px: 5_000_000_000_000,
ask_px: 5_000_250_000_000,
bid_sz: 1,
ask_sz: 1,
bid_ct: 1,
ask_ct: 1,
});
let mut snap = Mbp10Snapshot::empty("ES.FUT".to_string());
apply_mbp10_record(&mut snap, &levels, OrderBookAction::Add, 1, 1);
assert_eq!(snap.trade_count, 0, "non-trade action must not bump count");
apply_mbp10_record(&mut snap, &levels, OrderBookAction::Trade, 2, 2);
apply_mbp10_record(&mut snap, &levels, OrderBookAction::Trade, 3, 3);
assert_eq!(snap.trade_count, 2, "Trade actions must increment trade_count");
}
#[test]
fn test_price_scaling() {
let parser = DbnParser::new().unwrap();

View File

@@ -33,7 +33,6 @@ tracing-subscriber.workspace = true
serde = { workspace = true, features = ["derive"] }
serde_json.workspace = true
bincode.workspace = true
bytemuck = { workspace = true }
thiserror.workspace = true
clap = { workspace = true, features = ["derive"] }

View File

@@ -35,11 +35,15 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"rl_gamma_controller", // RL Phase C: ISV controller emitting γ to ISV[RL_GAMMA_INDEX=400]
"rl_target_tau_controller", // RL Phase C: ISV controller emitting τ to ISV[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX=401]
"ppo_clipped_surrogate", // RL Phase D: PPO clipped-surrogate + entropy bonus + value MSE fwd/bwd
"ppo_loss_reduce_b", // F4.1 (2026-05-31): [B] → [1] block tree-reduce mean of per-batch PPO loss + entropy loss (replaces atomicAdd; eliminates l_pi step-count staleness bug — see ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu header)
"rl_ppo_clip_controller", // RL Phase D: ISV controller emitting ε to ISV[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX=402]
"rl_entropy_coef_controller", // RL Phase D: ISV controller emitting entropy bonus weight to ISV[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX=403]
"v_head_fwd_bwd", // RL Phase E.2: scalar V(s) head fwd + MSE bwd (linear layer; per-batch scratch + reduce_axis0)
"grad_h_accumulate", // RL Phase E.2: element-wise grad_h_encoder += λ × grad_h_head accumulator (one head at a time, serialised by stream)
"bellman_target_projection", // RL Phase E.2-DEFER: C51 categorical projection of Bellman target Z(s_{t+1}, a*) onto the discrete support, reads γ from ISV[400]; replaces host-side build_synthetic_bellman_target stand-in
"rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce", // B-9 (2026-06-01): cross-batch tree-reduce of per-batch saturation tallies from bellman_target_projection / _fused; emits ISV slots 726-729 (top/bot rate + max/min pre-proj)
"rl_q_distribution_stats", // B-10 (2026-06-01) G1: Q-distribution informativeness; two entry points `rl_q_distribution_per_batch` (per-block per-action softmax + entropy + E_Q over online Q logits) + `rl_q_distribution_reduce` (cross-batch tree-reduce → ISV slots 730/731/732)
"rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce",// B-10 (2026-06-01) G3+G4: cross-batch tree-reduce of per-batch advantage + ratio + surrogate scratches written by ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu; reads var_pre_norm slot 612 for σ_used; emits ISV slots 735-742
"rl_lr_controller", // RL Phase E.2-DEFER: per-head learning-rate ISV emitter — bootstraps ISV[412..417] with 1e-3 (BCE/Q/π/V/aux); replaces hardcoded PHASE_E2_DEFAULT_LR
"rl_rollout_steps_controller", // RL Phase E.3b: rollout-buffer-length ISV emitter — emits ISV[RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX=404] from var(advantage)/|mean A| EMA; bootstraps 2048
"rl_per_alpha_controller", // RL Phase E.3b: PER priority-exponent ISV emitter — emits ISV[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX=405] from TD-error kurtosis EMA; bootstraps 0.6
@@ -47,6 +51,8 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"ema_update_on_done", // RL Phase R3: generic done-gated EMA producer (slot-parameterised) for closed-trade-magnitude EMAs (mean_abs_pnl, q_divergence, td_kurtosis)
"ema_update_per_step", // RL Phase R3: generic per-step EMA producer (slot-parameterised) for continuous EMAs (kl_pi, entropy_observed, advantage_var_ratio, trade_duration)
"compute_advantage_return", // RL Phase R3: element-wise A_t = r + γ(1-done)·V(s_{t+1}) V(s_t), R_t = r + γ(1-done)·V(s_{t+1}); reads γ from ISV[400]
"gae_backward_sweep", // Phase 1B-A (2026-06-02): GAE backward sweep over [B × T] rollout trajectories — A_t = δ_t + γλ·A_{t+1}·non_terminal, returns_t = A_t + V_t; deterministic single-thread-per-batch sequential sweep; replaces compute_advantage_return when wired in Phase 1B-B+
"rollout_pack", // Phase 1B-B (2026-06-02): per-step f32→u8 dones packer; writes `dones_f32 [B]` into rollout buffer's `dones_u8_bt [B × T]` at offset `b * T + t_cursor`; single-thread-per-batch, deterministic
"rl_action_kernel", // RL Phase R4: Thompson sampler over C51 atoms; one block per batch, N_ACTIONS threads; per-batch xorshift32 PRNG state; replaces host Thompson loop per feedback_cpu_is_read_only
"argmax_expected_q", // RL Phase R4: argmax over expected Q per action; Bellman-target argmax (Double-DQN); pairs with rl_action_kernel per pearl_thompson_for_distributional_action_selection
"log_pi_at_action", // RL Phase R4: per-batch log π(action_b) via log-softmax + lookup; PPO importance-ratio path
@@ -72,8 +78,8 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"rl_atom_support_update", // audit 2026-05-24 followup: refreshes atom_supports_d from ISV V_MIN/V_MAX so C51 atom span adapts with reward clamp (Q learning was capped at V_MAX=1.0)
"rl_kl_reference_grad",
"rl_q_pi_distill_grad", // audit 2026-05-24 vj5f6 followup: KL(softmax(E_Q/τ) || π_new) gradient ADDED to pi_grad_logits — couples Q's improved C51 calibration to action selection (was decoupled per Option B)
"rl_pi_grad_blend", // Phase 3D-C (2026-06-03): PPO surrogate × Q-distill blend operator (replaces zero-fill before Q-distill +=); restores direct PG signal to π
"action_entropy_per_step", // POST-gate action entropy EMA for SAC α/τ co-tuning
"rl_drawdown_stop", // per-step drawdown penalty + hard stop-loss
"rl_q_distill_lambda_controller",// audit 2026-05-24 rljzl followup: adaptive λ_distill via Schulman bounded step on KL_EMA vs target
"rl_unit_state_update", // SP20 P1+P5 audit fix: per-unit trade state machine — detects open/close/reverse transitions, sets up unit slot 0 entry+trail
"rl_trail_mutate", // SP20 P1+P5 audit fix (a7/a8 dead): TrailTighten/TrailLoosen mutate unit_trail_distance bounded MIN/MAX, symmetric reciprocal adjust
@@ -97,6 +103,25 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"rl_iqn_forward", // IQN distributional Q-head: quantile embedding + action-value projection; complementary to C51
"rl_iqn_loss", // IQN quantile Huber loss: ρ_τ(δ) = |τ - 1(δ<0)| × Huber(δ, κ=1.0); forward + backward
"rl_iqn_backward", // IQN backward through forward pass: grad_output → grad_w_out/b_out/w_embed/b_embed per-batch scratch
"rl_dueling_q_forward", // Phase 4 (2026-05-30): Independent dueling Q head forward — V[B] + A[B,N] + composed_Q[B,N] = V + A mean_a A; parallel to C51/IQN, zero shared state per spec 2026-05-30-phase4-independent-dueling-head-design.md
"rl_dueling_q_bellman_target", // Phase 4: argmax over target composed_Q + Bellman target = r + γ^n × (1-done) × max_Q
"rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad", // Phase 4: Huber loss on (target online_composed_Q[taken]) + grad_composed
"rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd", // Phase 4: decompose grad_composed → grad_V + grad_A via mean-subtraction Jacobian + per-batch weight gradients
"rl_v_blend", // Phase 4.4 (2026-05-30): elementwise V_used = α V_scalar + (1α) V_dq, α from ISV
"rl_v_blend_alpha_controller", // Phase 4.4: ISV-adaptive Schulman-bounded controller on α from observed |V_dq V_scalar| / |V_scalar| tracking ratio
"rl_advantage_normalize", // Phase 4.5 (2026-05-30): per-batch advantage normalization (A mean)/std with ε² variance floor — standard PPO practice, self-adaptive (no tuned params)
"rl_signal_variance_update", // Adaptive controller floors (2026-05-30): Welford online variance for controller input EMAs; replaces hardcoded NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC constants in 8 controllers — sample_var = M² / (count-1); see spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design
"rl_win_rate_ema_update", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 4 (Kelly) input — observed win_rate EMA from per-batch trade outcomes
"rl_avg_win_loss_ema_update", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 4 (Kelly) input — avg_win/avg_loss USD EMAs from per-batch closed-trade pnl
"rl_inventory_variance_update", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 3 (inventory β) input — |net_position| variance EMA across batches
"rl_cmdp_constraints_check", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 1 hard gates — session DD + cooldown + consecutive-loss tracking; writes override flags to ISV
"rl_iqn_action_tau_controller", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 2 — adapts IQN action-selection quantile τ from session drawdown signal
"rl_inventory_beta_controller", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 3 — adapts inventory penalty β from observed inventory variance vs reward magnitude
"rl_kelly_fraction_controller", // Adaptive risk management (2026-05-30): Layer 4 — half-Kelly position-size multiplier from observed win_rate × R-multiple; warmup-gated
"rl_surfer_scaffold_controller", // Reward-policy realignment v5 (2026-06-01): adaptive Phase 5 shaping weight ∈ [0,1] — fades surfer-bias scaffold as agent crosses break-even, re-engages on edge-decay PH alerts
"rl_eval_warmup_decay", // v9 (2026-05-31): defensive eval-boundary calibration — overrides Kelly/τ_min/entropy_min/ε_min during warmup, linearly decays back to normal; runs every step
"rl_regime_flat_count", // F1.2 (2026-05-31): block-reduce per-account lots[b] → flat_count single int; prereq for regime_observer (F1.3)
"rl_regime_observer", // F1.3 (2026-05-31): unified regime state-machine — dead-zone, Welford PnL variance, tail-event, recovery_factor/eps_live
"rl_ensemble_action_value", // C51+IQN ensemble: E_ensemble = α×E_C51 + (1-α)×E_IQN; α from ISV[544]
"rl_noisy_linear_forward", // NoisyNet: factored noisy linear forward — y = (mu_w + sigma_w ⊙ eps_w) × x + (mu_b + sigma_b ⊙ eps_b); state-dependent exploration for C51/IQN final projection
"rl_noisy_linear_backward", // NoisyNet: factored noisy linear backward — grad_mu_w/sigma_w/mu_b/sigma_b per-batch scratch for reduce_axis0
@@ -112,7 +137,6 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"rl_hindsight_track", // HER Phase 1: per-step mid-price ring + peak tracking for backward hindsight
"rl_hindsight_inject", // HER Phase 2: backward inject — synthetic replay push on done if peak >> actual
"rl_hindsight_forward", // HER Phase 3: forward continuation — evaluates closed trades after lookahead
"rl_lr_from_mapped_pinned", // Mega-graph: LR controller reads loss from mapped-pinned dev_ptrs (eliminates host loss readback between reward + training graphs)
"rl_increment_step", // device-resident step counter bump (ISV[548] += 1.0); graph-safe prereq — removes scalar current_step from all downstream kernel args
"rl_fused_controllers", // fused kernel: 10 RL ISV controllers in one launch (gamma, tau, ppo_clip, entropy_coef, rollout_steps, per_alpha, reward_scale, ppo_ratio_clamp, gate_threshold, q_distill_lambda) — saves 9 kernel launch overheads (~40-80μs/step)
"rl_popart_normalize", // PopArt: Welford-EMA reward normalization (replaces apply_reward_scale)
@@ -131,6 +155,20 @@ const KERNELS: &[&str] = &[
"rl_outcome_bwd", // Outcome aux: single linear layer backward — dW (per-batch), db (per-batch), dh_t (per-batch); 1 block per batch, 128 threads
"snapshot_aos_to_soa", // AoS→SoA scatter: one thread per snapshot reads contiguous Mbp10RawInput, writes into 10 SoA device buffers; replaces host nested loops + 10 DtoD copies
"gpu_sample_and_gather", // GPU-resident batch sampler: random file+anchor sampling + AoS→SoA gather from pre-uploaded dataset; eliminates ALL per-step CPU data loading
"rl_deterministic_checksum", // Determinism foundation Phase 1 (2026-06-02): provably deterministic sum-of-squares (single-block / single-thread / f64 accumulation) for per-step component checksums in diag; localizes non-determinism source. Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation.md §1.1
"multi_head_policy_forward", // Phase 2A-A (2026-06-03): K-head policy logit + softmax + mixture combination; per-batch deterministic sequential mixture sum. Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md §R.6
"multi_head_policy_gate_forward",// Phase 2A-A (2026-06-03): gating head from raw regime features [B × 6] (parallel channel bypassing VSN/Mamba2). Spec ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.3 Option B
"multi_head_policy_backward", // Phase 2A-B (2026-06-03): backward through mixture + per-head softmax + gating softmax. Two kernels: `_backward_pi` and `_backward_gate`. Per-batch grad scratch; caller reduces via reduce_axis0. Spec ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.6
"multi_head_policy_aux_prior", // Phase 2A-B (2026-06-03): per-head auxiliary KL prior gradient — additive into grad_pi_logits_k. β read from ISV slot 764. Spec ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.4
"multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag", // Phase 2A-D (2026-06-03): device-aggregated gate-and-head diagnostics. Reduces forward outputs (gate_probs, pi_probs_k) over B → 25 ISV slots (gate_probs_mean[K] / gate_argmax_mass[K] / gate_entropy_mean / per_head_entropy_mean[K]) for the multi-head specialization verdict signal. Tree-reduce, no atomicAdd.
"rl_gate_lr_multiplier_controller", // Phase 2A-D fix B1.3 (2026-06-03): adaptive gate-LR multiplier controller. Reads gate_entropy_mean (slot 781) via EMA → escalates +0.3 %/step when entropy_ema > 0.85·log(K) (under-learning), decays 5 %/step when < 0.20·log(K) (collapse risk), leaves alone in healthy band. Single-thread launch (1,1,1)/(1,1,1).
"rl_band_head_forward", // Phase 4-A (2026-06-03): No-transaction-band head forward — two-stage launch: (1) `rl_band_head_linear_fwd` produces [B × 2] pre-activation band logits via tree-reduce over HIDDEN_DIM; (2) `rl_band_apply_activation` applies asymmetric ±|tanh| × N_max_eff to enforce b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u per Davis-Norman optimality. Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md §1.1.
"rl_band_mask", // Phase 4-A: override actions[b]→Hold when position_lots[b] ∈ [b_l, b_u]. Master-gated at slot 799 (RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX). Grid=(B), Block=(1) — mirrors rl_confidence_gate launch shape; runs OUTSIDE graph capture per spec §9.5.
"rl_state_action_mask", // Phase 7b F5 (2026-06-05): state-conditional action availability mask. Sets pi_logits[b][a]=-INF for state-illegal actions BEFORE rl_pi_action_kernel samples. Master-gated at slot 823 (RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX, bootstrap 0.0 = OFF). Grid=(B), Block=(1). Spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md §3.5.
"rl_band_turnover_loss", // Phase 4-A: turnover regularizer (Option b) with sigmoid surrogate for differentiable boundary gradient. Emits per-batch loss + per-batch grad on (b_l, b_u). Phase 4-A wires for OBSERVABILITY only; full encoder backward chain lands in Phase 4-B.
"rl_band_frac_aggregate", // Phase 4-B (2026-06-04): per-step `frac_not_masked` reducer (single-block tree-reduce over batch) → writes to RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX (slot 812). Consumed by `rl_band_turnover_controller`.
"rl_band_turnover_controller", // Phase 4-B: adaptive turnover-target controller. Single-thread launch (1×1×1); first-observation bootstrap for EMA at slot 809 + Schulman-bounded asymmetric adapter for slot 811 from slot 812 input. Spec §3.1 Option (c).
"rl_band_head_backward", // Phase 4-B: backward through ±|tanh|×N_max activation + linear projection → per-batch grad_w/grad_b scratch + grad_h_t (OVERWRITE). Caller reduces via reduce_axis0 + folds grad_h_t into encoder via grad_h_accumulate_scaled. Spec §3.3.
];
// Cache bust v31 — five new reduce / derive kernels populate the input

View File

@@ -40,6 +40,30 @@
#define RL_ANTIMARTINGALE_MIN_INDEX 510
#define RL_ANTIMARTINGALE_MAX_INDEX 511
// ── Layer 1 (CMDP hard constraints — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management) ──
// Session-level DD-triggered + cooldown are PER-BATCH (one buffer slot per
// independent backtest session). The two ISV slots below carry only
// canonical-summary aggregates (worst per-batch DD, max per-batch
// cooldown) for diag visibility — gating reads the per-batch arrays.
#define RL_MAX_OPEN_UNITS_INDEX 665
#define RL_NET_INVENTORY_LIMIT_USD_INDEX 670
// ── Layer 4 (Kelly fraction sizing — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management) ──
#define RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX 676
// Action indices — must match crate::rl::common::Action.
#define ACTION_SHORT_LARGE 0
#define ACTION_SHORT_SMALL 1
#define ACTION_HOLD 2
#define ACTION_FLAT_FROM_LONG 3
#define ACTION_FLAT_FROM_SHORT 4
#define ACTION_LONG_SMALL 5
#define ACTION_LONG_LARGE 6
#define ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN 7
#define ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN 8
#define ACTION_HALF_FLAT_LONG 9
#define ACTION_HALF_FLAT_SHORT 10
__device__ __forceinline__ int antimartingale_size(
int base_size, float outcome_ema_b, const float* isv
) {
@@ -51,6 +75,24 @@ __device__ __forceinline__ int antimartingale_size(
return (sized > 0) ? sized : 1;
}
// Returns true if `action` would open or grow a one-sided position
// (excludes closes, half-flats, holds, and trail mutations).
__device__ __forceinline__ bool is_opening_action(int action) {
return (action == ACTION_SHORT_LARGE) || (action == ACTION_SHORT_SMALL)
|| (action == ACTION_LONG_SMALL) || (action == ACTION_LONG_LARGE);
}
// Returns true if executing `action` from the current `net_pos_lots`
// would INCREASE one-sided exposure (i.e. opens/grows the dominant side).
// Closes/reverses/holds never trigger this — only same-side adds.
__device__ __forceinline__ bool would_increase_exposure(int action, int net_pos_lots) {
const bool longs = (action == ACTION_LONG_SMALL) || (action == ACTION_LONG_LARGE);
const bool shorts = (action == ACTION_SHORT_SMALL) || (action == ACTION_SHORT_LARGE);
if (longs && net_pos_lots >= 0) return true; // open or pyramid same side
if (shorts && net_pos_lots <= 0) return true;
return false;
}
extern "C" __global__ void actions_to_market_targets(
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [b_size]
const unsigned char* __restrict__ pos_state, // [b_size * pos_bytes]
@@ -64,19 +106,86 @@ extern "C" __global__ void actions_to_market_targets(
const int* __restrict__ pyramid_units_count, // [b_size]
const int* __restrict__ close_unit_index, // [b_size] (-1 = auto oldest)
const float* __restrict__ outcome_ema, // [b_size] per-batch
// CMDP per-batch state (Layer 1, spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management).
// Each batch element is an independent session; one account hitting
// its DD limit or cooldown does not gate the other 1023 sessions.
const float* __restrict__ session_dd_triggered_per_batch, // [b_size]
const float* __restrict__ cooldown_remaining_per_batch, // [b_size]
int b_size,
int pos_bytes
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
const int action = actions[b];
int action = actions[b];
const int position_lots = *(const int*)(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
const float outcome_ema_b = outcome_ema[b];
int side = 2; // default no-op
int size = 0;
// ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Layer 1 (CMDP hard constraints — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management).
// Session-level overrides force the account FLAT regardless of agent's
// choice. Per-batch (one independent backtest session per b); a tripped
// DD or active cooldown on session `b` does NOT lock out the others.
//
// Fix E (2026-05-30): emit a *closing* market order when the account
// is non-flat — otherwise an existing losing position bleeds m2m for
// the entire 500-step cooldown with no exit (trail stops are also
// suppressed by this branch). Cluster alpha-rl-rjsjq step 371 showed
// worst session_pnl growing monotonically -$3.7k → -$9.3k from
// exactly this mechanism.
//
// Once the position is flat, subsequent cooldown steps emit a true
// no-op (side=2, size=0) and the account waits for its recovery clock.
// ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
const bool dd_triggered = session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b] >= 0.5f;
const bool in_cooldown = cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b] > 0.0f;
if (dd_triggered || in_cooldown) {
if (position_lots > 0) {
// long → close via sell
market_targets[b * 2 + 0] = 1;
market_targets[b * 2 + 1] = position_lots;
} else if (position_lots < 0) {
// short → close via buy
market_targets[b * 2 + 0] = 0;
market_targets[b * 2 + 1] = -position_lots;
} else {
// already flat → true no-op
market_targets[b * 2 + 0] = 2;
market_targets[b * 2 + 1] = 0;
}
return;
}
// Max-open-units check (per-batch dynamic count): refuse opens once
// pyramid is at MAX. Closes still allowed (handled by remaining logic).
{
int active_units = 0;
const int base_u = b * MAX_UNITS;
for (int u = 0; u < MAX_UNITS; ++u) {
if (unit_active[base_u + u]) active_units += 1;
}
const int max_open = (int)isv[RL_MAX_OPEN_UNITS_INDEX];
if (active_units >= max_open && is_opening_action(action)) {
action = ACTION_HOLD;
}
}
// Net-inventory cap (USD): block actions that grow one-sided exposure
// beyond the limit. Uses bid/ask mid as the USD multiplier.
{
const float inv_limit = isv[RL_NET_INVENTORY_LIMIT_USD_INDEX];
if (inv_limit > 0.0f) {
const float mid = 0.5f * (bid_px[0] + ask_px[0]);
const float net_pos_usd = (float)position_lots * mid;
if (fabsf(net_pos_usd) > inv_limit && would_increase_exposure(action, position_lots)) {
action = ACTION_HOLD;
}
}
}
if (action == 0) {
// ShortLarge — when already short, apply pyramid logic.
if (position_lots < 0) {
@@ -240,6 +349,27 @@ extern "C" __global__ void actions_to_market_targets(
// actions 7, 8 (TrailTighten/Loosen): no fill — handled by
// rl_trail_mutate kernel. The side=2 no-op default is correct here.
// ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Layer 4 (Kelly-fraction sizing — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management).
// Scales the opening/sizing size by the observed-edge Kelly fraction.
// Closes (FlatFrom* + HalfFlat*) and Hold are NOT scaled — risk
// management for exiting positions is handled by Layer 1 + trail stops.
// ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
if (size > 0 && is_opening_action(action)) {
const float kelly = isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX];
// Bootstrap = 1.0 (full size); negative or zero → no commitment.
const float scaled = (float)size * kelly;
if (scaled <= 0.0f) {
size = 0;
side = 2;
} else {
// Ceil to preserve at least 1-lot when kelly is small-but-positive.
int new_size = (int)ceilf(scaled);
if (new_size < 1) new_size = 1;
size = new_size;
}
}
market_targets[b * 2 + 0] = side;
market_targets[b * 2 + 1] = size;
}

View File

@@ -44,41 +44,3 @@ extern "C" __global__ void adamw_step(
theta[i] -= lr * (m_hat / (sqrtf(v_hat) + eps) + wd * theta[i]);
}
// Mega-graph variant: reads LR from an ISV device pointer at a given
// slot index instead of taking a scalar argument. This allows the LR
// to vary across graph replays (the ISV slot is modified in-place by
// the rl_lr_from_mapped_pinned controller kernel which is captured
// earlier in the same graph). All other args are identical to adamw_step.
extern "C" __global__ void adamw_step_isv_lr(
float* __restrict__ theta,
const float* __restrict__ grad,
float* __restrict__ m,
float* __restrict__ v,
int n_params,
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int lr_slot,
float beta1,
float beta2,
float eps,
float wd,
int step
) {
int i = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (i >= n_params) return;
const float lr = isv[lr_slot];
const float g = grad[i];
const float m_n = beta1 * m[i] + (1.0f - beta1) * g;
const float v_n = beta2 * v[i] + (1.0f - beta2) * g * g;
m[i] = m_n;
v[i] = v_n;
const float bc1 = 1.0f - powf(beta1, (float) step);
const float bc2 = 1.0f - powf(beta2, (float) step);
const float m_hat = m_n / fmaxf(bc1, 1e-12f);
const float v_hat = v_n / fmaxf(bc2, 1e-12f);
theta[i] -= lr * (m_hat / (sqrtf(v_hat) + eps) + wd * theta[i]);
}

View File

@@ -57,7 +57,11 @@
// by `rl_isv_write`; tunable at runtime by re-seeding. Also adaptive
// per-step via `rl_reward_clamp_controller` reading the per-step
// positive-scaled max published below.
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX 452
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX 452
// B-7 (2026-06-01): ISV toggle to disable the post-scale clamp entirely.
// Default 0 → clamp disabled, popart's standardization + F4 envelope
// handle tail magnitudes. Legacy 1 → clamp applied as before.
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_ENABLED_INDEX 724
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX 453
// audit 2026-05-24: per-step max(positive scaled reward, 0) published
@@ -99,8 +103,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void apply_reward_scale(
// ISV-driven clamp bounds (was hardcoded 1.0 / 3.0). Reading per
// kernel launch is one extra coalesced load; broadcast across the
// block by all threads.
const float clamp_win = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX];
const float clamp_loss = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX];
const float clamp_win = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX];
const float clamp_loss = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX];
const float clamp_enabled = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_ENABLED_INDEX];
// Pass 1 — scale, clamp, accumulate per-thread max |scaled|, max
// max(positive scaled, 0), AND max(-scaled, 0). Three independent
@@ -131,11 +136,15 @@ extern "C" __global__ void apply_reward_scale(
const float n = fmaxf(-scaled, 0.0f);
if (n > local_neg) local_neg = n;
// Asymmetric clamp: [-clamp_loss, +clamp_win] from ISV.
// Defaults preserve loss aversion (loss > win) while bounding
// V regression target.
const float clamped = fmaxf(-clamp_loss,
fminf(scaled, clamp_win));
// B-7 (2026-06-01): ISV-gated clamp. Default OFF — popart's
// standardization + F4 envelope handle tail magnitudes per
// van Hasselt 2016. Clamp truncates tail losses BEFORE popart
// sees them, creating a reward-hacking gap (training reward
// signal positive while realized eval pnl strongly negative).
// Set RL_REWARD_CLAMP_ENABLED_INDEX = 1 to restore legacy.
const float clamped = (clamp_enabled > 0.5f)
? fmaxf(-clamp_loss, fminf(scaled, clamp_win))
: scaled;
rewards[b] = clamped;
}
s_abs[tid] = local_abs;

View File

@@ -44,13 +44,29 @@
#define N_ACTIONS 11
// V_MIN/V_MAX/DELTA_Z are now ISV-driven per audit 2026-05-24 followup
// so adaptive reward clamps also lift Q's distributional support.
// Slots RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX/RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX are ratchet (monotone-
// grow), so the C51 atom mapping never coarsens — only expands as
// wider trades are observed.
// Slots RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX/RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX track the active reward
// range via a symmetric slow EWMA (α=0.001, half-life ~700 steps) on
// the WIN/LOSS clamp bounds — see `rl_reward_clamp_controller.cu`
// Step 5 (lines 72-81 for design rationale, 333-350 for the update).
// Floored at [-1, +1] per pearl_c51_v_max_freeze_required_for_surfer
// (V_MAX in 100-200 → trend-follower; past 1000 → degraded). The
// earlier "ratchet (monotone-grow)" comment here was stale — superseded
// by the wwcsz followup 2026-05-24 which replaced the ratchet to focus
// atom resolution on the active range. B-9's saturation observability
// (slots 726-729) surfaces if the EWMA decay over-shrinks the span.
#define RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX 484
#define RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX 485
#define RL_GAMMA_INDEX 400
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-batch scratch outputs for the C51 Bellman-target
// saturation diagnostic. Each `[B]` array receives one value per block;
// the cross-batch reduce kernel `rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce`
// folds them into ISV slots 726-729. Per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`:
// scratch + tree-reduce; no atomicAdd anywhere. The sequential thread-0
// reduction below matches the existing softmax max/sum pattern (lines
// 157 / 171 / 234 / 248) — avoids the odd-`Q_N_ATOMS=21` tree-reduce
// partner-skip bug.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// dqn_select_action_atoms — extract per-batch atom row at the requested
@@ -120,14 +136,21 @@ extern "C" __global__ void dqn_select_action_atoms(
// block = (Q_N_ATOMS, 1, 1)
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void bellman_fused_select_project(
const float* __restrict__ full_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS]
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ n_step_gammas, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ≥ 486
const float* __restrict__ full_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS]
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ n_step_gammas, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ≥ 486
int B,
float* __restrict__ target_dist // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
float* __restrict__ target_dist, // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-batch saturation tally scratch. Each block
// (one per batch element) writes one value to each. Consumed by
// `rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce` after this kernel returns.
float* __restrict__ sat_top_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ sat_bot_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ max_pre_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ min_pre_per_batch // [B]
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x;
const int atom = threadIdx.x;
@@ -193,6 +216,31 @@ extern "C" __global__ void bellman_fused_select_project(
const int u = max(0, min(Q_N_ATOMS - 1, (int)ceilf(b_frac)));
const float frac = b_frac - (float)l;
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-(b, atom_z) saturation tally over pre-clamp
// t_z. Sequential thread-0 reduction over Q_N_ATOMS=21 (matches the
// softmax pattern at lines 157 / 171). Odd count rules out a
// symmetric tree-reduce.
__shared__ float s_t_z[Q_N_ATOMS];
s_t_z[atom] = t_z;
__syncthreads();
if (atom == 0) {
float sum_top = 0.0f, sum_bot = 0.0f;
float max_tz = s_t_z[0], min_tz = s_t_z[0];
#pragma unroll
for (int z = 0; z < Q_N_ATOMS; ++z) {
const float tz_z = s_t_z[z];
sum_top += (tz_z > V_MAX_eff) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
sum_bot += (tz_z < V_MIN_eff) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
max_tz = fmaxf(max_tz, tz_z);
min_tz = fminf(min_tz, tz_z);
}
sat_top_per_batch[batch] = sum_top;
sat_bot_per_batch[batch] = sum_bot;
max_pre_per_batch[batch] = max_tz;
min_pre_per_batch[batch] = min_tz;
}
__syncthreads();
// Distribute mass — serialised walk per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`
for (int src = 0; src < Q_N_ATOMS; ++src) {
__syncthreads();
@@ -211,13 +259,21 @@ extern "C" __global__ void bellman_fused_select_project(
extern "C" __global__ void bellman_target_projection(
const float* __restrict__ target_logits, // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B] (n-step discounted R_n)
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ n_step_gammas, // [B] (γⁿ per transition, 0 if done)
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ≥ 401
const float* __restrict__ target_logits, // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B] (n-step discounted R_n)
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ n_step_gammas, // [B] (γⁿ per transition, 0 if done)
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ≥ 401
int B,
float* __restrict__ target_dist // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
float* __restrict__ target_dist, // [B × Q_N_ATOMS]
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-batch saturation tally scratch. Mirrors the
// fused variant above (`bellman_fused_select_project`); per
// `feedback_no_partial_refactor.md` both entry points must be
// instrumented atomically.
float* __restrict__ sat_top_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ sat_bot_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ max_pre_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ min_pre_per_batch // [B]
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x;
const int atom = threadIdx.x;
@@ -278,6 +334,30 @@ extern "C" __global__ void bellman_target_projection(
const int u = max(0, min(Q_N_ATOMS - 1, (int)ceilf(b_frac)));
const float frac = b_frac - (float)l;
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-(b, atom_z) saturation tally over pre-clamp
// t_z. Identical reduction as `bellman_fused_select_project` above
// — per `feedback_no_partial_refactor.md`.
__shared__ float s_t_z[Q_N_ATOMS];
s_t_z[atom] = t_z;
__syncthreads();
if (atom == 0) {
float sum_top = 0.0f, sum_bot = 0.0f;
float max_tz = s_t_z[0], min_tz = s_t_z[0];
#pragma unroll
for (int z = 0; z < Q_N_ATOMS; ++z) {
const float tz_z = s_t_z[z];
sum_top += (tz_z > V_MAX_eff) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
sum_bot += (tz_z < V_MIN_eff) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
max_tz = fmaxf(max_tz, tz_z);
min_tz = fminf(min_tz, tz_z);
}
sat_top_per_batch[batch] = sum_top;
sat_bot_per_batch[batch] = sum_bot;
max_pre_per_batch[batch] = max_tz;
min_pre_per_batch[batch] = min_tz;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Distribute mass into the two nearest support atoms ───────────
//
// Each thread holds (l, u, frac, p) for its OWN source atom. We

View File

@@ -392,10 +392,14 @@ extern "C" __global__ void heads_lr_multiplier_scale_kernel(
// `channels_in_bucket[bucket][i]` populated at transition by
// `channels_in_bucket_kernel`.
//
// Launch: grid = (N_HORIZONS, 1, 1), block = (32, 1, 1). Each block
// Launch: grid = (N_HORIZONS, 1, 1), block = (128, 1, 1). Each block
// reduces one bucket. Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`, reduction is
// block-tree on shared memory (no atomicAdd).
//
// Block size = 128 covers MAX_BUCKET_DIM=96 (smallest pow2 ≥ 96).
// Previous block_dim=32 silently dropped channels 32..bdim when bdim>32
// — caught by `tests/bucket_transition_kernels.rs` (block_dim=43 case).
//
// Input `h_state` is `[B × HIDDEN_DIM]` (ORIGINAL channel layout). Each
// block reads its bucket's `bucket_dim_k[bucket]` channels (via
// `channels_in_bucket[bucket][0..bdim]`) per sample (across all B
@@ -412,20 +416,20 @@ extern "C" __global__ void h_mag_per_bucket_kernel(
if (bucket >= N_HORIZONS) return;
int bdim = (int)bucket_dim_k[bucket];
// sdata sized for a single-warp reduction (32 lanes).
__shared__ float sdata[32];
// sdata sized for the 128-lane block reduction.
__shared__ float sdata[128];
int tid = threadIdx.x;
// Each thread sums |h| over its bucket-local index (tid), looking up
// the ORIGINAL channel via channels_in_bucket. Threads with tid >= bdim
// idle — uniform predicate, no warp divergence inside [0, 32).
// contribute 0. With bdim ∈ [1, MAX_BUCKET_DIM=96] and block_dim=128,
// tail lanes [bdim, 128) are always inactive — uniform predicate.
float local_sum = 0.0f;
if (tid < bdim) {
unsigned int c = channels_in_bucket[bucket * MAX_BUCKET_DIM + tid];
// Defensive: sentinel slot OR out-of-range channel index should
// not contribute. Predicate is uniform across the warp because all
// active threads (tid < bdim) hold valid entries by construction
// of channels_in_bucket_kernel.
// Defensive: out-of-range channel index should not contribute.
// Predicate is uniform across active lanes (tid < bdim) — all hold
// valid entries by construction of channels_in_bucket_kernel.
if (c < (unsigned int)HIDDEN_DIM) {
for (int b = 0; b < B; ++b) {
float v = h_state[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
@@ -433,11 +437,12 @@ extern "C" __global__ void h_mag_per_bucket_kernel(
}
}
}
sdata[tid] = (tid < 32) ? local_sum : 0.0f;
sdata[tid] = local_sum;
__syncthreads();
// Block-tree reduction over 32 lanes (single warp). No atomicAdd.
for (int s = 16; s > 0; s >>= 1) {
// Block-tree reduction over 128 lanes (multi-warp). No atomicAdd.
// Stages: 64→32→16→8→4→2→1. Each stage halves the active lane count.
for (int s = 64; s > 0; s >>= 1) {
if (tid < s) sdata[tid] += sdata[tid + s];
__syncthreads();
}

View File

@@ -19,13 +19,26 @@ extern "C" __global__ void compute_advantage_return(
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
const float gamma = isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX];
const float r = rewards[b];
const float done = dones[b];
const float vt = v_t[b];
const float vtp1 = v_tp1[b];
const float gamma = isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX];
const float r = rewards[b];
const float is_done = (dones[b] > 0.5f);
const float vt = v_t[b];
const float vtp1 = v_tp1[b];
const float ret = r + gamma * (1.0f - done) * vtp1;
returns[b] = ret;
advantages[b] = done * (ret - vt);
// 2026-05-29: branch-gate (not multiplication-gate) the V_tp1 term
// and the (ret - vt) advantage. Multiplication-gating fails on IEEE
// `0 * Inf = NaN`: if any batch's encoder produces a non-finite V
// prediction early in training (random init outliers), the prior
// `done * (ret - vt)` multiplication propagated NaN to ALL non-done
// batches' advantages, which then broke compute_advantage_rms (sum
// of A² → NaN) and PPO (A/RMS → NaN, ratio×A → NaN, l_pi → NaN).
// Branch-gating ensures non-finite vtp1/vt are NEVER mixed into a
// non-done batch's advantage. Validated by the smoke bisect at
// 10d4614fb (deterministic NaN at step 4 with l_v=6.329 stable —
// proving V REGRESSION is fine while V FORWARD has at least one
// non-finite output that the 0*Inf trick was promoting to NaN
// everywhere). Per `pearl_atomicadd_masks_v_instability`.
const float ret = is_done ? r : (r + gamma * vtp1);
returns[b] = ret;
advantages[b] = is_done ? (ret - vt) : 0.0f;
}

View File

@@ -33,24 +33,22 @@
// One thread per (action, atom) pair (231 live threads,
// 25 padding). Softmax uses shared-memory reduce (21
// atoms for the taken action). Loss uses a 256-wide
// block-level tree-reduce in shared memory. Cross-batch
// loss accumulation uses atomicAdd ONLY into the scalar
// loss_out — see ATOMIC NOTE below.
// block-level tree-reduce in shared memory. Per-batch CE
// is written to `loss_per_batch[batch]` (single writer per
// slot); the trainer's scalar diagnostic is produced by a
// separate `mean_reduce_b_f32` kernel call. No atomicAdd.
//
// ATOMIC NOTE (deliberate, deferred fix): the cross-batch loss
// accumulator uses `atomicAdd(loss_out, ce_b)`. This nominally violates
// `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`, which exists to keep cross-batch
// reductions deterministic and contention-free at production batch
// sizes. We accept it HERE in Phase C because:
// (a) the toy-bandit smoke runs with B ≤ 32, so atomic contention is
// negligible (32 writers on a single L2 line);
// (b) the loss_out scalar is purely diagnostic — gradient flow goes
// through `grad_logits`, which is NEVER atomicAdded;
// (c) Phase E replaces this with a two-stage warp-shuffle → shared
// reduce → single-writer store, matching the `aux_loss.cu` pattern,
// when the trainer batches reach production sizes (B = 256+).
// Documented loudly here so the audit trail is visible at the kernel
// header without diving into the loss kernel body.
// REDUCTION DISCIPLINE (per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`):
// F4.1 (2026-05-31) removed the prior `atomicAdd(loss_out, ce/B)`
// call. The kernel still tree-reduces atoms-per-batch in shared
// memory; cross-batch reduction is now external (single block,
// `mean_reduce_b_f32` in ppo_loss_reduce_b cubin) so every device
// write in the loss path has exactly one writer. The atomicAdd was
// structurally fine here because the trainer DID memset `loss_out`
// between launches in `dqn_replay_step`, but the same pattern in
// `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd` lacked that memset and silently
// accumulated across steps — see commit log for the
// step-count-fingerprint diagnosis. Both fixed identically.
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define N_ACTIONS 11
@@ -159,8 +157,8 @@ extern "C" __global__ void dqn_distributional_q_bwd(
const float* __restrict__ target_dist, // [B * Q_N_ATOMS]
const int* __restrict__ actions_taken, // [B]
int B,
float* __restrict__ loss_out, // [1]
float* __restrict__ loss_per_batch, // [B] — R7d: per-sample CE for PER priority update
float* __restrict__ loss_per_batch, // [B] — per-sample CE (PER priority update + diagnostic
// mean reduction via `mean_reduce_b_f32`).
float* __restrict__ grad_logits // [B * N_ACTIONS * Q_N_ATOMS]
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x;
@@ -275,14 +273,17 @@ extern "C" __global__ void dqn_distributional_q_bwd(
__syncthreads();
}
// Thread 0 writes the per-batch CE and accumulates into loss_out.
// The cross-batch atomicAdd on loss_out is the Phase C deferred
// fix (see ATOMIC NOTE in the file header). grad_logits is never
// atomicAdded.
// F4.1 (2026-05-31): single writer per batch slot — no atomicAdd.
// The trainer-side scalar `loss_out` is produced by a separate
// `mean_reduce_b_f32` block tree-reduce kernel (ppo_loss_reduce_b
// cubin), called immediately after this kernel. Replaces the Phase
// C "loud-flagged" atomicAdd that — like the analogous bug in
// `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd` — accumulated across steps whenever
// the caller forgot to memset between launches, producing
// step-count-fingerprinted loss inflation. Per
// `feedback_no_atomicadd`.
if (tid == 0) {
const float ce = s_ce[0];
loss_per_batch[batch] = ce;
atomicAdd(loss_out, ce / (float)B);
loss_per_batch[batch] = s_ce[0];
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,58 @@
// gae_backward_sweep.cu — Generalized Advantage Estimation backward sweep.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae.md §1.3
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae-implementation.md
//
// Per batch b, sequentially compute (backward over T):
// A_T = 0
// for t in (T-1)..=0:
// non_terminal = 1.0f - (float)dones[b][t]
// v_tp1 = (t == T-1) ? v_T_bootstrap[b] : v_t[b][t+1]
// δ_t = r[b][t] + γ * v_tp1 * non_terminal - v_t[b][t]
// A_t = δ_t + γ * λ * A_next * non_terminal
// A_next = A_t * non_terminal // reset GAE accumulator on terminal
// returns[b][t] = A_t + v_t[b][t]
//
// Single-thread-per-batch kernel. Sequential backward sweep guarantees
// determinism (no parallel reductions, no inter-thread/block races).
// Memory access is strided over T for each thread — coalescing is
// suboptimal but functional; the rollout T (≤1024) and B (≤1024) keep
// this off the hot path. If profiling later shows it dominating, the
// follow-up is a warp-cooperative tiled implementation that preserves
// determinism via a single-warp reduction.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: no atomic ops anywhere.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device-side, no host roundtrips.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin (build.rs registers it).
#include <stdint.h>
extern "C" __global__ void gae_backward_sweep(
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B × T]
const uint8_t* __restrict__ dones, // [B × T]
const float* __restrict__ v_t, // [B × T]
const float* __restrict__ v_T_bootstrap, // [B] — V(s_T) for trajectory end
float* __restrict__ advantages, // [B × T] (output)
float* __restrict__ returns, // [B × T] (output)
const int B,
const int T,
const float gamma,
const float lambda
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
float a_next = 0.0f;
for (int t = T - 1; t >= 0; t--) {
const int idx = b * T + t;
const float r_t = rewards[idx];
const float v_curr = v_t[idx];
const float non_terminal = 1.0f - (float)dones[idx];
const float v_tp1 = (t == T - 1) ? v_T_bootstrap[b] : v_t[idx + 1];
const float delta = r_t + gamma * v_tp1 * non_terminal - v_curr;
const float a_t = delta + gamma * lambda * a_next * non_terminal;
advantages[idx] = a_t;
returns[idx] = a_t + v_curr;
a_next = a_t * non_terminal; // reset on done
}
}

View File

@@ -24,8 +24,6 @@
#define BOOK_LEVELS 10
#define REGIME_DIM 6
#define N_HORIZONS 3
#define N_LABEL_SOURCES 5
// Must match #[repr(C)] Mbp10RawInput in snap_features.rs (216 bytes).
struct __align__(8) Mbp10Raw {
@@ -82,26 +80,11 @@ extern "C" __global__ void gpu_sample_and_gather(
long long* __restrict__ ts_ns_soa, // [B*K]
long long* __restrict__ prev_ts_ns_soa, // [B*K]
// Global-memory outputs for the sampled (file_offset, anchor, file_idx)
// per batch element. Read by gpu_gather_next and gpu_gather_frd_labels
// to reuse the same sampling decision.
// per batch element. Read by gpu_gather_next, gpu_gather_frd_labels,
// and gpu_gather_bce_labels to reuse the same sampling decision.
int* __restrict__ out_file_offset, // [B]
int* __restrict__ out_anchor, // [B]
int* __restrict__ out_file_idx, // [B]
// Fused label gather — 5 label sources (BCE, prof_long, prof_short,
// size_long, size_short), each [N_HORIZONS × total_snaps]. Reads in
// the same pass as snapshot gather to avoid 5 separate random-access
// kernel launches that consumed 95.6% of GPU time.
int total_snaps,
const float* __restrict__ labels_src_0, // [N_HORIZONS × total_snaps]
const float* __restrict__ labels_src_1,
const float* __restrict__ labels_src_2,
const float* __restrict__ labels_src_3,
const float* __restrict__ labels_src_4,
float* __restrict__ labels_out_0, // [K, B, N_HORIZONS]
float* __restrict__ labels_out_1,
float* __restrict__ labels_out_2,
float* __restrict__ labels_out_3,
float* __restrict__ labels_out_4,
int B
) {
int b = blockIdx.x;
@@ -165,26 +148,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void gpu_sample_and_gather(
tc_soa[n] = (int)snap.trade_count;
ts_ns_soa[n] = (long long)snap.ts_ns;
prev_ts_ns_soa[n] = (long long)snap.prev_ts_ns;
// Fused label gather — same global_idx, zero extra random access.
// Output layout: [K, B, N_HORIZONS] row-major.
int lbl_base = (k * B + b) * N_HORIZONS;
const float* srcs[N_LABEL_SOURCES] = {
labels_src_0, labels_src_1, labels_src_2, labels_src_3, labels_src_4
};
float* outs[N_LABEL_SOURCES] = {
labels_out_0, labels_out_1, labels_out_2, labels_out_3, labels_out_4
};
#pragma unroll
for (int s = 0; s < N_LABEL_SOURCES; s++) {
#pragma unroll
for (int h = 0; h < N_HORIZONS; h++) {
outs[s][lbl_base + h] = srcs[s][h * total_snaps + global_idx];
}
}
}
// ── Label gather kernel (STANDALONE — kept for backward compat) ─────
// ── Label gather kernel ──────────────────────────────────────────────
//
// Runs AFTER gpu_sample_and_gather. Gathers per-horizon FRD labels at
// the anchor position (rightmost K position = newest snapshot in the

View File

@@ -36,20 +36,3 @@ extern "C" __global__ void grad_h_accumulate_scaled(
if (i >= n) return;
grad_h_encoder[i] += lambda * grad_h_head[i];
}
// Mega-graph variant: reads lambda from ISV device pointer at given slot.
// This allows the lambda to vary across graph replays (ISV is modified
// in-place by controller kernels captured earlier in the same graph).
extern "C" __global__ void grad_h_accumulate_scaled_isv(
const float* __restrict__ grad_h_head,
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int lambda_slot,
float batch_inv, // 1.0 / b_size
int n,
float* __restrict__ grad_h_encoder
) {
const int i = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (i >= n) return;
const float lambda = isv[lambda_slot] * batch_inv;
grad_h_encoder[i] += lambda * grad_h_head[i];
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,200 @@
// multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag.cu — Phase 2A-D (2026-06-03)
//
// Device-aggregated gate-and-head diagnostics for the MultiHeadPolicy
// path. Reads forward outputs (`gate_probs [B × K]`, `pi_probs_k
// [B × K × N_ACTIONS]`) and writes 25 scalars into the ISV bus:
//
// 765..773 gate_probs_mean[K] — mean over B of gate_probs[b,k]
// 773..781 gate_argmax_mass[K] — fraction of B where head k is argmax
// 781 gate_entropy_mean — mean over B of Σ_k p·log p
// 782..790 per_head_entropy_mean[K] — mean over B of Σ_a π_k·log π_k
//
// Tail entries past runtime K (in the 8-stride arrays) are written 0.0
// so the diag JSON schema is constant for K ∈ [1, 8] (matches the
// MAX_K_HEADS=8 mirror in `rl/multi_head_policy.rs` and the kernel
// `#define MAX_K_HEADS 8` in `multi_head_policy_forward.cu` /
// `multi_head_policy_gate_forward.cu`).
//
// Constraints honoured:
// * `feedback_no_atomicadd` — no atomic ops. Each ISV destination cell
// has a single writer (thread 0 of the responsible block).
// * `feedback_cpu_is_read_only` — pure device kernel.
// * `feedback_nvidia_grade_perf_for_kernels` — no host branches in
// capture path; deterministic launch shape.
// * `pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate` — these are explicit
// per-batch-fraction stats (mean over B / argmax-mass over B), not
// aggregate scalars hiding per-batch state.
//
// Determinism: every reduction uses a fixed-order sequential sum within
// a single thread. Inputs (`gate_probs`, `pi_probs_k`) are forward
// outputs already on the launching stream; aggregator runs on the same
// stream so the producer→consumer ordering is single-stream.
//
// Launch config:
// grid = (MAX_K_HEADS + 1, 1, 1) = 9 blocks
// block = (BLOCK_THREADS, 1, 1) = 128 threads
// smem = 0 (small static shared arrays declared inside)
//
// Block role assignment:
// blockIdx.x = 0..MAX_K_HEADS-1 → per-head stats for head k = blockIdx.x.
// Writes gate_probs_mean[k] +
// per_head_entropy_mean[k]. Tail
// heads (k >= runtime K) write 0.0.
// blockIdx.x = MAX_K_HEADS → global stats. Computes
// gate_entropy_mean +
// gate_argmax_mass[k] for all K
// heads. Tail entries write 0.0.
#include <stdint.h>
#define MAX_K_HEADS 8
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define BLOCK_THREADS 128
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag(
const float* __restrict__ gate_probs, // [B × K]
const float* __restrict__ pi_probs_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS]
float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus
int b_size,
int k_runtime, // ∈ [1, MAX_K_HEADS]
int gate_probs_mean_base, // 765
int gate_argmax_mass_base,// 773
int gate_entropy_mean_slot,// 781
int per_head_entropy_mean_base // 782
) {
const int k_block = blockIdx.x; // ∈ [0, MAX_K_HEADS]
const int tid = threadIdx.x; // ∈ [0, BLOCK_THREADS)
const float inv_b = (b_size > 0) ? (1.0f / (float)b_size) : 0.0f;
// ── Per-head blocks (k_block = 0 .. MAX_K_HEADS-1) ────────────────
if (k_block < MAX_K_HEADS) {
// Tail heads past runtime K — sole writer (thread 0) clears its
// two ISV destinations to 0.0 and exits.
if (k_block >= k_runtime) {
if (tid == 0) {
isv[gate_probs_mean_base + k_block] = 0.0f;
isv[per_head_entropy_mean_base + k_block] = 0.0f;
}
return;
}
// ── Stat 1: gate_probs_mean[k_block] ─────────────────────────
// Each thread sums a strided subset of batches; tree-reduce in
// shared memory.
__shared__ float s_gpm[BLOCK_THREADS];
__shared__ float s_phe[BLOCK_THREADS];
float my_gpm = 0.0f;
float my_phe = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < b_size; b += BLOCK_THREADS) {
// gate_probs is [B × K] row-major over (b, k).
const float p = gate_probs[b * k_runtime + k_block];
my_gpm += p;
// ── Stat 2: per-head entropy ─────────────────────────────
// pi_probs_k is [B × K × N_ACTIONS] row-major over
// (b, k, a). Per-head per-batch entropy:
// H_k(b) = -Σ_a π_k[b,a] · log(π_k[b,a])
// Guard against log(0); the forward kernel writes a softmax
// output so π_k[b,a] > 0 (modulo fp32 underflow), but be
// defensive — entries < 1e-12 are clamped to a 0 contribution
// (matches the standard entropy convention 0·log(0) = 0).
const int row = (b * k_runtime + k_block) * N_ACTIONS;
float h = 0.0f;
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
const float pa = pi_probs_k[row + a];
if (pa > 1e-12f) {
h -= pa * logf(pa);
}
}
my_phe += h;
}
s_gpm[tid] = my_gpm;
s_phe[tid] = my_phe;
__syncthreads();
// Tree-reduce in shared memory. Fixed-order sequential pairwise
// sum — deterministic across launches (no warp shuffles, no
// atomic adds).
for (int stride = BLOCK_THREADS / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_gpm[tid] += s_gpm[tid + stride];
s_phe[tid] += s_phe[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
isv[gate_probs_mean_base + k_block] = s_gpm[0] * inv_b;
isv[per_head_entropy_mean_base + k_block] = s_phe[0] * inv_b;
}
return;
}
// ── Global block (k_block == MAX_K_HEADS) ─────────────────────────
// Computes gate_entropy_mean (scalar) and gate_argmax_mass[K] (array).
//
// The argmax tally must avoid atomicAdd. Each thread maintains a
// private per-head counter in registers (small array indexed by
// 0..MAX_K_HEADS-1) while iterating its stride of batches. After
// the per-thread loop, tree-reduce each counter across threads via
// shared memory.
__shared__ float s_ge[BLOCK_THREADS]; // gate entropy partial
__shared__ float s_am[MAX_K_HEADS][BLOCK_THREADS]; // argmax counts per (k, tid)
int my_am[MAX_K_HEADS];
float my_ge = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < MAX_K_HEADS; ++k) my_am[k] = 0;
for (int b = tid; b < b_size; b += BLOCK_THREADS) {
// Walk this batch row once: argmax + entropy in one pass.
int argmax_k = 0;
float max_p = gate_probs[b * k_runtime + 0];
float h = 0.0f;
if (max_p > 1e-12f) h -= max_p * logf(max_p);
for (int k = 1; k < k_runtime; ++k) {
const float p = gate_probs[b * k_runtime + k];
// Ties broken by lowest index — `>` not `>=`. Deterministic.
if (p > max_p) {
max_p = p;
argmax_k = k;
}
if (p > 1e-12f) h -= p * logf(p);
}
my_am[argmax_k] += 1;
my_ge += h;
}
// Scatter per-thread counters into shared memory for tree reduction.
s_ge[tid] = my_ge;
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < MAX_K_HEADS; ++k) {
s_am[k][tid] = (float)my_am[k];
}
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = BLOCK_THREADS / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_ge[tid] += s_ge[tid + stride];
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < MAX_K_HEADS; ++k) {
s_am[k][tid] += s_am[k][tid + stride];
}
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
// gate_entropy_mean — scalar.
isv[gate_entropy_mean_slot] = s_ge[0] * inv_b;
// gate_argmax_mass[k] — fraction over B. Tail entries (k >= K)
// are 0 by construction (my_am[k>=K] is never incremented).
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < MAX_K_HEADS; ++k) {
isv[gate_argmax_mass_base + k] = s_am[k][0] * inv_b;
}
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,91 @@
// multi_head_policy_aux_prior.cu — Per-head auxiliary KL prior gradient.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
// ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.4 (per-head aux KL priors)
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md (Phase 2A-B)
//
// For each head k, we add an auxiliary KL regularizer that anchors the
// head distribution to a fixed prior:
//
// L_aux_k = β · KL(π_k || prior_k)
// = β · Σ_a π_k(a) · log( π_k(a) / prior_k(a) )
//
// The grad of L_aux on the head's pre-softmax logits is the standard
// softmax-Jacobian form (parameterization-invariant):
//
// ∂L_aux_k / ∂pi_logits_k[a] = β · π_k(a) · ( log(π_k(a)/prior_k(a)) KL_k )
//
// This kernel ADDS that contribution to `grad_pi_logits_k` (which the
// backward pi kernel populated with the Q-distill chain rule).
//
// β is read from ISV slot `RL_POLICY_AUX_PRIOR_BETA_INDEX = 764`.
//
// ── Block layout ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// grid = (B, K, 1)
// block = (N_ACTIONS = 11, 1, 1)
//
// One block per (batch, head). N_ACTIONS threads cooperate via shared
// memory to compute KL_k[b] then write the additive grad per action.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per (b, k, a) cell within this
// kernel; `grad_pi_logits_k` is read-modify-write but additive into a
// slot that was just exclusively written by the preceding pi backward
// kernel on the same stream — sequential stream ordering keeps the RMW
// safe (no races).
//
// Per feedback_no_nvrtc: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define RL_POLICY_AUX_PRIOR_BETA_INDEX 764
#define KL_PROB_EPS 1e-12f // log domain stability
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_aux_prior(
const float* __restrict__ pi_probs_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ priors, // [K × N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus — slot 764 holds β
const int B,
const int K,
float* __restrict__ grad_pi_logits_k // [B × K × N_ACTIONS] RW (+=)
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int k = blockIdx.y;
if (b >= B || k >= K) return;
const int a = threadIdx.x;
if (a >= N_ACTIONS) return;
const float beta = isv[RL_POLICY_AUX_PRIOR_BETA_INDEX];
// Zero-β short circuit — leaves grad_pi_logits_k untouched.
if (beta == 0.0f) return;
// ── Stage probs + per-action log(π/prior) ─────────────────────────
__shared__ float s_pi[N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_log_ratio[N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_kl;
const int pk_idx = (b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + a;
const float pi_a = pi_probs_k[pk_idx];
const float prior_a = priors[k * N_ACTIONS + a];
s_pi[a] = pi_a;
// log(π_a / prior_a) with both args clamped against fp32 underflow.
s_log_ratio[a] = logf(fmaxf(pi_a, KL_PROB_EPS) / fmaxf(prior_a, KL_PROB_EPS));
__syncthreads();
// ── KL_k[b] = Σ_a π_a · log(π_a / prior_a) ────────────────────────
// Single-thread reduction over N_ACTIONS=11 for deterministic order.
if (a == 0) {
float kl = 0.0f;
for (int aa = 0; aa < N_ACTIONS; ++aa) {
kl += s_pi[aa] * s_log_ratio[aa];
}
s_kl = kl;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── grad += β · π_a · (log_ratio KL) ────────────────────────────
const float g_aux = beta * s_pi[a] * (s_log_ratio[a] - s_kl);
grad_pi_logits_k[pk_idx] += g_aux;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,300 @@
// multi_head_policy_backward.cu — Backward pass for the K-head policy mixture.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
// ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.4 (per-head aux KL priors), §R.6 (gradient flow)
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md (Phase 2A-B)
//
// ── Forward recap (multi_head_policy_forward.cu) ────────────────────────
// pi_logits_k[b,k,a] = W_heads[k,a,:] · h_t[b,:] + b_heads[k,a]
// pi_probs_k[b,k,a] = softmax_a(pi_logits_k[b,k,:])
// pi_probs[b,a] = Σ_k gate_probs[b,k] · pi_probs_k[b,k,a]
// pi_logits[b,a] = log(pi_probs[b,a] + ε)
//
// ── Backward chain implemented by this file (two kernels) ───────────────
//
// (1) `multi_head_policy_backward_pi` — distributes incoming `grad_pi_logits`
// through the mixture and per-head softmax. Outputs:
// a. grad_pi_logits_k [B × K × N_ACTIONS] (for aux prior + diag)
// b. grad_gate_probs [B × K] (consumed by kernel 2)
// c. grad_W_heads_pb [B × K × N_ACTIONS × HIDDEN_DIM]
// d. grad_b_heads_pb [B × K × N_ACTIONS]
// e. grad_h_t_scratch [B × HIDDEN_DIM] (OVERWRITE; caller folds
// via grad_h_accumulate_scaled)
//
// (2) `multi_head_policy_backward_gate` — distributes `grad_gate_probs`
// through the gating softmax. Outputs:
// a. grad_gate_logits [B × K] (diag)
// b. grad_W_gate_pb [B × K × REGIME_DIM]
// c. grad_b_gate_pb [B × K]
// d. grad_regime_h [B × REGIME_DIM] (computed; NOT used
// upstream in Phase 2A-B)
//
// ── Math (kernel 1) ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// grad_pi_probs[b,a] = grad_pi_logits[b,a] / (pi_probs[b,a] + ε)
// grad_pi_probs_k[b,k,a] = gate_probs[b,k] · grad_pi_probs[b,a]
// grad_gate_probs[b,k] = Σ_a pi_probs_k[b,k,a] · grad_pi_probs[b,a]
//
// (per-head softmax-Jacobian; standard form):
// grad_pi_logits_k[b,k,a] = pi_probs_k[b,k,a]
// · ( grad_pi_probs_k[b,k,a]
// Σ_{a'} pi_probs_k[b,k,a'] · grad_pi_probs_k[b,k,a'] )
//
// ── Math (kernel 2) ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// grad_gate_logits[b,k] = gate_probs[b,k]
// · ( grad_gate_probs[b,k]
// Σ_{k'} gate_probs[b,k'] · grad_gate_probs[b,k'] )
//
// grad_W_gate_pb[b,k,r] = grad_gate_logits[b,k] · regime_h[b,r]
// grad_b_gate_pb[b,k] = grad_gate_logits[b,k]
// grad_regime_h[b,r] = Σ_k W_gate[k,r] · grad_gate_logits[b,k]
//
// ── Per-batch grad scratch convention ───────────────────────────────────
// Caller reduces `_pb` buffers via `reduce_axis0`:
// grad_W_heads_pb [B × K·N·H] → grad_W_heads [K·N·H]
// grad_b_heads_pb [B × K·N] → grad_b_heads [K·N]
// grad_W_gate_pb [B × K·R] → grad_W_gate [K·R]
// grad_b_gate_pb [B × K] → grad_b_gate [K]
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: NO atomicAdd. Each output cell has exactly one
// writer per launch. Per-batch scratch + reduce_axis0 is the standard
// foxhunt pattern (see ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu::ppo_grad_w_b_h_t).
//
// Per feedback_no_nvrtc: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define REGIME_DIM 6
#define MAX_K_HEADS 8 // Compile-time max; runtime K from ISV
#define LOG_PROB_EPS 1e-12f // mirrors forward kernel's `+1e-12` guard
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Kernel 1: backward through the mixture + per-head softmax.
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (HIDDEN_DIM = 128, 1, 1)
// shared = MAX_K_HEADS*N_ACTIONS*3 + MAX_K_HEADS + N_ACTIONS ≈ 304 floats
//
// Thread c handles one hidden-dim index. Threads 0..N_ACTIONS-1 first
// reconstruct pi_probs[b,:] and the softmax-Jacobian — only threads with
// `c < N_ACTIONS` participate in the small reductions. All HIDDEN_DIM
// threads participate in the per-batch weight-grad emit.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_backward_pi(
const float* __restrict__ grad_pi_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS] incoming grad on log-mixture
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ W_heads, // [K × N_ACTIONS × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ gate_probs, // [B × K] forward output
const float* __restrict__ pi_probs_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS] forward output
const int B,
const int K,
float* __restrict__ grad_pi_logits_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS] OUT (for aux + diag)
float* __restrict__ grad_gate_probs, // [B × K] OUT (→ kernel 2)
float* __restrict__ grad_W_heads_pb, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS × HIDDEN_DIM]
float* __restrict__ grad_b_heads_pb, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS]
float* __restrict__ grad_h_t_scratch // [B × HIDDEN_DIM] (OVERWRITE)
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
const int c = threadIdx.x; // hidden-dim index, 0..HIDDEN_DIM-1
// ── Shared state (per-batch) ──────────────────────────────────────
__shared__ float s_pi_probs[N_ACTIONS]; // mixture probs
__shared__ float s_grad_pi_probs[N_ACTIONS]; // dL/dp[a]
__shared__ float s_gate_probs[MAX_K_HEADS]; // forward gate
__shared__ float s_pi_probs_k[MAX_K_HEADS * N_ACTIONS]; // forward per-head probs
__shared__ float s_grad_pi_probs_k[MAX_K_HEADS * N_ACTIONS]; // step 2 intermediate
__shared__ float s_grad_pi_logits_k[MAX_K_HEADS * N_ACTIONS]; // final per-head logit grad
__shared__ float s_dot_k[MAX_K_HEADS]; // softmax-Jacobian scalar per head
// ── Stage forward outputs (small, per-batch) into shared mem ───────
if (c < K) {
s_gate_probs[c] = gate_probs[b * K + c];
}
if (c < N_ACTIONS) {
const int gpi_idx = b * N_ACTIONS + c;
s_grad_pi_probs[c] = 0.0f; // accumulator, populated below
// Stage pi_probs_k[b, :, c] across all heads.
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
s_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + c] =
pi_probs_k[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + c];
}
// Reconstruct pi_probs[b, c] = Σ_k gate · pi_probs_k.
// Sequential summation order matches the forward kernel for
// determinism.
float p = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
p += gate_probs[b * K + k] * pi_probs_k[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + c];
}
s_pi_probs[c] = p;
// dL/dp[a] = dL/dlog(p+ε) × 1/(p+ε)
const float gl = grad_pi_logits[gpi_idx];
s_grad_pi_probs[c] = gl / (s_pi_probs[c] + LOG_PROB_EPS);
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 2: grad_pi_probs_k + grad_gate_probs ─────────────────────
// grad_pi_probs_k[b,k,a] = gate_probs[b,k] · grad_pi_probs[b,a]
// grad_gate_probs[b,k] = Σ_a pi_probs_k[b,k,a] · grad_pi_probs[b,a]
if (c < N_ACTIONS) {
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
s_grad_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + c] =
s_gate_probs[k] * s_grad_pi_probs[c];
}
}
__syncthreads();
// Thread k computes Σ_a pi_probs_k[k,a] · grad_pi_probs[a] for its head.
if (c < K) {
float gp = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
gp += s_pi_probs_k[c * N_ACTIONS + a] * s_grad_pi_probs[a];
}
grad_gate_probs[b * K + c] = gp;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 3: per-head softmax-Jacobian → grad_pi_logits_k ──────────
// dot_k[b,k] = Σ_{a'} pi_probs_k[k,a'] · grad_pi_probs_k[k,a']
if (c < K) {
float dot = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
dot += s_pi_probs_k[c * N_ACTIONS + a]
* s_grad_pi_probs_k[c * N_ACTIONS + a];
}
s_dot_k[c] = dot;
}
__syncthreads();
if (c < N_ACTIONS) {
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
const int kak = k * N_ACTIONS + c;
const float gl = s_pi_probs_k[kak]
* ( s_grad_pi_probs_k[kak] - s_dot_k[k] );
s_grad_pi_logits_k[kak] = gl;
// Persist to global memory for aux prior kernel + diagnostics.
grad_pi_logits_k[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + c] = gl;
}
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 4: per-batch weight grads + grad_h_t ─────────────────────
// Each thread c is the sole writer of:
// grad_W_heads_pb[b, k, a, c] for all (k, a)
// grad_h_t_scratch[b, c]
// Threads c<K * N_ACTIONS additionally write grad_b_heads_pb[b, k, a].
if (c < HIDDEN_DIM) {
const float h_bc = h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
float gh_acc = 0.0f;
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
const int kak = k * N_ACTIONS + a;
const float g = s_grad_pi_logits_k[kak];
// grad_W_heads_pb[b, k, a, c] = g * h[b, c]
grad_W_heads_pb[(long long)((b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + a) * HIDDEN_DIM + c]
= g * h_bc;
// Accumulate grad_h_t[b, c] = Σ_{k,a} g · W_heads[k, a, c]
gh_acc += g * W_heads[(long long)((k * N_ACTIONS) + a) * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
}
}
// OVERWRITE — caller folds via grad_h_accumulate_scaled.
grad_h_t_scratch[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = gh_acc;
}
// Bias grads — sole-writer per (b, k, a). Use the first K*N_ACTIONS
// threads to cover the per-(k, a) slots in one pass.
if (c < K * N_ACTIONS) {
const int k = c / N_ACTIONS;
const int a = c % N_ACTIONS;
grad_b_heads_pb[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + a] =
s_grad_pi_logits_k[k * N_ACTIONS + a];
}
}
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Kernel 2: backward through the gating softmax.
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (max(K, REGIME_DIM) = 8, 1, 1)
//
// Tiny block — K≤8 and REGIME_DIM=6. Thread layout is per-head for the
// softmax-Jacobian reduction, per-regime-dim for the regime-grad output.
// We use the same threads for both phases since both dimensions are ≤8.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_backward_gate(
const float* __restrict__ grad_gate_probs, // [B × K] from kernel 1
const float* __restrict__ gate_probs, // [B × K] forward output
const float* __restrict__ regime_h, // [B × REGIME_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ W_gate, // [K × REGIME_DIM]
const int B,
const int K,
float* __restrict__ grad_gate_logits,// [B × K] OUT (for diag)
float* __restrict__ grad_W_gate_pb, // [B × K × REGIME_DIM]
float* __restrict__ grad_b_gate_pb, // [B × K]
float* __restrict__ grad_regime_h // [B × REGIME_DIM] (computed; unused upstream)
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
__shared__ float s_gate_probs[MAX_K_HEADS];
__shared__ float s_grad_gate_probs[MAX_K_HEADS];
__shared__ float s_grad_gate_logits[MAX_K_HEADS];
__shared__ float s_dot; // Σ_{k'} gate · grad_gate_probs
// ── Stage forward + incoming grad ─────────────────────────────────
if (tid < K) {
s_gate_probs[tid] = gate_probs[b * K + tid];
s_grad_gate_probs[tid] = grad_gate_probs[b * K + tid];
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Softmax-Jacobian reduction (single thread for determinism) ────
if (tid == 0) {
float dot = 0.0f;
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
dot += s_gate_probs[k] * s_grad_gate_probs[k];
}
s_dot = dot;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── grad_gate_logits[b, k] = p · (dp dot) ───────────────────────
if (tid < K) {
const float gl = s_gate_probs[tid] * (s_grad_gate_probs[tid] - s_dot);
s_grad_gate_logits[tid] = gl;
grad_gate_logits[b * K + tid] = gl;
grad_b_gate_pb[b * K + tid] = gl;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── grad_W_gate_pb[b, k, r] = grad_gate_logits[k] · regime_h[r] ───
// Cover all (k, r) slots — K*REGIME_DIM ≤ 48 — using a single loop
// per active thread. Thread `tid` handles its column across all k.
if (tid < REGIME_DIM) {
const float r_b = regime_h[b * REGIME_DIM + tid];
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
grad_W_gate_pb[((b * K + k) * REGIME_DIM) + tid] =
s_grad_gate_logits[k] * r_b;
}
}
// ── grad_regime_h[b, r] = Σ_k W_gate[k, r] · grad_gate_logits[k] ──
// Computed but NOT propagated upstream in Phase 2A-B (regime_h is
// loader-precomputed in foxhunt). Allocate + write the buffer so a
// future phase can route it if needed.
if (tid < REGIME_DIM) {
float gr = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
gr += W_gate[k * REGIME_DIM + tid] * s_grad_gate_logits[k];
}
grad_regime_h[b * REGIME_DIM + tid] = gr;
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,136 @@
// multi_head_policy_forward.cu — K-head policy logit + mixture combination.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
// ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.6
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md (Phase 2A-A)
//
// Per-(batch, head) computes pi_logits_k = W_k @ h_t + b_k (HIDDEN_DIM=128 → N_ACTIONS=11).
// Then per-batch computes the mixture:
// pi_probs_k[b, k, a] = softmax_a(pi_logits_k[b, k, :])
// pi_probs[b, a] = Σ_k gate_probs[b, k] · pi_probs_k[b, k, a]
// pi_logits[b, a] = log(pi_probs[b, a] + 1e-12)
//
// Deterministic by construction: per-batch sequential mixture sum (no parallel
// reductions across batches; the only reduction is over K=3 heads with fixed
// summation order). Sole-writer per output cell.
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (N_ACTIONS = 11, 1, 1)
// One block per batch. N_ACTIONS threads. Each thread owns one action across
// all K heads; loops K times for per-head matmul + softmax + mixture combine.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: no atomic ops.
// Per feedback_no_nvrtc: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define MAX_K_HEADS 8 // Compile-time max; runtime K from ISV
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_forward(
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ W_heads, // [K × N_ACTIONS × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ b_heads, // [K × N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ gate_probs, // [B × K] — already softmax'd
float* __restrict__ pi_logits_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS] (output, for backward)
float* __restrict__ pi_probs_k, // [B × K × N_ACTIONS] (output, for backward)
float* __restrict__ pi_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS] (output, mixture)
const int B,
const int K
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
const int tid = threadIdx.x; // 0..N_ACTIONS-1
__shared__ float s_pi_logits_k[MAX_K_HEADS * N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_pi_probs_k[MAX_K_HEADS * N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_pi_probs[N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_max_k[MAX_K_HEADS]; // for softmax stability
__shared__ float s_sum_k[MAX_K_HEADS];
// ── Step 1: per-head linear projection ───────────────────────────────
// pi_logits_k[b, k, a] = Σ_j W_heads[k, a, j] × h_t[b, j] + b_heads[k, a]
// One thread per action; loops over k inside thread.
if (tid < N_ACTIONS) {
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
float gl = b_heads[k * N_ACTIONS + tid];
#pragma unroll
for (int j = 0; j < HIDDEN_DIM; ++j) {
gl += W_heads[(k * N_ACTIONS + tid) * HIDDEN_DIM + j]
* h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + j];
}
s_pi_logits_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid] = gl;
}
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 2: per-head softmax (max-subtract for stability) ────────────
// Threads 0..K-1 compute per-head max over the N_ACTIONS logits.
if (tid < K) {
float mx = s_pi_logits_k[tid * N_ACTIONS];
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 1; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
float v = s_pi_logits_k[tid * N_ACTIONS + a];
mx = fmaxf(mx, v);
}
s_max_k[tid] = mx;
}
__syncthreads();
// Each action-thread exponentiates its slot for every head.
if (tid < N_ACTIONS) {
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
float v = expf(s_pi_logits_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid] - s_max_k[k]);
s_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid] = v;
}
}
__syncthreads();
// Threads 0..K-1 reduce per-head sum (denominator).
if (tid < K) {
float sm = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
sm += s_pi_probs_k[tid * N_ACTIONS + a];
}
s_sum_k[tid] = sm;
}
__syncthreads();
// Normalize.
if (tid < N_ACTIONS) {
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
s_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid] /= s_sum_k[k];
}
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 3: mixture ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
// pi_probs[b, a] = Σ_k gate_probs[b, k] · pi_probs_k[k, a]
// Sequential summation order over K (deterministic).
if (tid < N_ACTIONS) {
float p = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
p += gate_probs[b * K + k] * s_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid];
}
s_pi_probs[tid] = p;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 4: write outputs ────────────────────────────────────────────
// pi_logits[b, a] = log(pi_probs[b, a] + 1e-12) for downstream softmax callers.
// Also stash per-head logits + probs for the Phase 2A-B backward kernel.
if (tid < N_ACTIONS) {
pi_logits[b * N_ACTIONS + tid] = logf(s_pi_probs[tid] + 1e-12f);
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
pi_logits_k[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + tid] =
s_pi_logits_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid];
pi_probs_k[(b * K + k) * N_ACTIONS + tid] =
s_pi_probs_k[k * N_ACTIONS + tid];
}
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
// multi_head_policy_gate_forward.cu — gating head from raw regime features.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
// ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.3 Option B (regime-direct gating, bypass VSN)
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md (Phase 2A-A)
//
// gate_logits[b, k] = Σ_j W_gate[k, j] × regime_h[b, j] + b_gate[k]
// gate_probs[b, k] = softmax_k(gate_logits[b])
//
// Reads regime_h DIRECTLY (parallel channel — does NOT go through VSN/Mamba2).
// This is the load-bearing architectural choice motivated by the empirical
// regime-attenuation finding (pearl_local_smoke_noise_floor_and_regime_concentration):
// VSN's softmax-over-40 gating structurally limits any single encoder-input
// feature to ~1/40 of attention budget, suppressing vol-axis routing. The gate
// reads regime[0..6] without that bottleneck.
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (K, 1, 1) — typically K=3, ≤ MAX_K_HEADS=8
// One block per batch. K threads cooperate via shared-mem reductions.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: no atomic ops.
// Per feedback_no_nvrtc: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#define REGIME_DIM 6
#define MAX_K_HEADS 8
extern "C" __global__ void multi_head_policy_gate_forward(
const float* __restrict__ regime_h, // [B × REGIME_DIM=6]
const float* __restrict__ W_gate, // [K × REGIME_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ b_gate, // [K]
float* __restrict__ gate_logits, // [B × K] (output, for backward)
float* __restrict__ gate_probs, // [B × K] (output, post-softmax)
const int B,
const int K
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
__shared__ float s_logits[MAX_K_HEADS]; // pre-softmax logits
__shared__ float s_exp[MAX_K_HEADS]; // exp(logit - max) for softmax
__shared__ float s_max;
__shared__ float s_sum;
// ── Step 1: linear projection ────────────────────────────────────────
// gate_logits[b, k] = Σ_j W_gate[k, j] × regime_h[b, j] + b_gate[k]
// One thread per head k.
if (tid < K) {
float gl = b_gate[tid];
#pragma unroll
for (int j = 0; j < REGIME_DIM; ++j) {
gl += W_gate[tid * REGIME_DIM + j] * regime_h[b * REGIME_DIM + j];
}
s_logits[tid] = gl;
// Persist pre-softmax logits to gmem for the Phase 2A-B backward kernel.
gate_logits[b * K + tid] = gl;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 2: softmax (max-subtract for stability) ─────────────────────
if (tid == 0) {
float mx = s_logits[0];
for (int k = 1; k < K; ++k) {
mx = fmaxf(mx, s_logits[k]);
}
s_max = mx;
}
__syncthreads();
if (tid < K) {
s_exp[tid] = expf(s_logits[tid] - s_max);
}
__syncthreads();
if (tid == 0) {
float sm = 0.0f;
for (int k = 0; k < K; ++k) {
sm += s_exp[k];
}
s_sum = sm;
}
__syncthreads();
if (tid < K) {
gate_probs[b * K + tid] = s_exp[tid] / s_sum;
}
}

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@@ -29,33 +29,26 @@
// combined with the clip mask (gradient of the surrogate
// is zero in the clipped region).
//
// PHASE D scope: kernel signature + per-element body. The atomicAdd in
// the loss accumulator is the same loud-flagged deferral as Phase C's
// dqn_distributional_q_bwd — see ATOMIC NOTE below. Phase E refactors
// to warp-shuffle reduce across batches.
//
// ATOMIC NOTE (deliberate, deferred fix): the cross-batch loss
// accumulators (loss_pi / loss_entropy) use `atomicAdd`. This nominally
// violates `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`, which exists to keep cross-batch
// reductions deterministic and contention-free at production batch
// sizes. We accept it HERE in Phase D because:
// (a) the toy-bandit smoke runs with B ≤ 32, so atomic contention is
// negligible (32 writers on a single L2 line);
// (b) the loss scalars are purely diagnostic — gradient flow goes
// through `grad_logits`, which is NEVER atomicAdded;
// (c) Phase E replaces this with a two-stage warp-shuffle → shared
// reduce → single-writer store, matching the `aux_loss.cu` pattern,
// when the trainer batches reach production sizes (B = 256+).
// Documented loudly here so the audit trail is visible at the kernel
// header without diving into the loss kernel body.
// REDUCTION DISCIPLINE (per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`):
// Each block (= one batch element) is the SOLE writer of its own slot
// in two per-batch buffers — `loss_pi_per_b[batch]` and
// `loss_entropy_per_b[batch]`. No atomicAdd. The scalar diagnostics
// the trainer reads (mean over batch) are produced by a separate
// `ppo_loss_reduce_b` block tree-reduce kernel that the trainer calls
// immediately after this kernel. This eliminates the staleness bug
// that inflated `last_pi_loss` by N steps (the old mapped-pinned
// scalar was never zeroed between forwards, so an atomicAdd from
// every step kept accumulating; local 1k × ~9 ≈ 9080 and cluster
// 20k × ~1200 ≈ 24M were both bit-exact step-count fingerprints of
// that accumulator — see commit log for the diagnosis trail).
//
// Block layout:
// Forward: grid = (B, 1, 1); block = (N_ACTIONS, 1, 1).
// One block per batch element, one thread per action.
// Shared-mem softmax (max + sumexp) computed by thread 0
// then broadcast. Thread 0 also writes the per-batch loss
// contributions (the surrogate only depends on the taken
// action, so no parallelism is wasted there).
// slots (the surrogate only depends on the taken action,
// so no parallelism is wasted there).
// Backward: same layout. Each thread writes its own logit's gradient.
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
@@ -133,23 +126,39 @@ extern "C" __global__ void ppo_policy_logits_fwd(
// isv [≥ 404] — reads ε at 402, coef at 403
// B — batch size
// Outputs:
// pi_log_prob [B] — log π_new(a_taken|s) for diagnostics
// and Phase E KL EMA
// entropy [B] — H(π_new) per batch sample
// loss_pi [1] — Σ_b L_π (ATOMIC; see header)
// loss_entropy [1] — Σ_b L_entropy
// pi_log_prob [B] — log π_new(a_taken|s) for diagnostics
// and Phase E KL EMA
// entropy [B] — H(π_new) per batch sample
// loss_pi_per_b [B] — per-batch L_π (single writer per slot,
// NO atomicAdd). Reduced to scalar mean
// by `ppo_loss_reduce_b`.
// loss_entropy_per_b [B] — per-batch L_entropy, same discipline.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd(
const float* __restrict__ logits, // [B * N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ log_pi_old, // [B]
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ advantages, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // [>= 404]
const float* __restrict__ logits, // [B * N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ log_pi_old, // [B]
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ advantages, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // [>= 404]
int B,
float* __restrict__ pi_log_prob, // [B]
float* __restrict__ entropy, // [B]
float* __restrict__ loss_pi, // [1]
float* __restrict__ loss_entropy // [1]
float* __restrict__ pi_log_prob, // [B]
float* __restrict__ entropy, // [B]
float* __restrict__ loss_pi_per_b, // [B]
float* __restrict__ loss_entropy_per_b, // [B]
// B-10 (2026-06-01) G3+G4: per-batch observability scratches.
// Pure observability; written ALONGSIDE existing loss_pi_per_b — does
// NOT perturb the loss reduce path (`ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu`). Consumed
// by the dedicated reducer `rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce.cu` which
// folds these [B] arrays into ISV slots 735-742. σ_used (= sqrt(var_
// pre_norm) from slot 612) is constant per step → reducer computes
// it once and reconstructs |A_unnorm| statistics from |A_norm| stats
// (no per-batch unnorm scratch needed). The kernel's existing math
// (softmax, ratio clamp, surr1/surr2 → l_pi) is byte-identical to
// pre-B-10; new writes happen in the same `act == 0` branch.
float* __restrict__ ppo_a_norm_pb, // [B] |advantages[batch]|
float* __restrict__ ppo_ratio_dev_pb, // [B] |ratio 1|
float* __restrict__ ppo_ratio_clipped_pb, // [B] {0.0, 1.0} outside [1-ε, 1+ε]
float* __restrict__ ppo_surrogate_pb // [B] clipped surrogate (no entropy bonus)
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x;
const int act = threadIdx.x;
@@ -244,14 +253,41 @@ extern "C" __global__ void ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd(
const float coef = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX];
const float l_ent = -coef * h;
// ATOMIC NOTE: see header. Phase E warp-shuffles these out.
// /B for batch-invariant loss reporting.
const float b_inv = 1.0f / (float)B;
atomicAdd(loss_pi, l_pi * b_inv);
atomicAdd(loss_entropy, l_ent * b_inv);
// Sole writer of per-batch loss slots. No atomicAdd — the
// [B] → [1] mean reduction lives in `ppo_loss_reduce_b`.
loss_pi_per_b[batch] = l_pi;
loss_entropy_per_b[batch] = l_ent;
// B-10 G3+G4: per-batch observability writes.
// surrogate (no entropy bonus) = -l_pi (l_pi negates min in line
// above; the canonical surrogate value Schulman PPO reports is
// mean of min(ratio*A, clip*A), so we re-construct it here).
// Magnitudes intentional: max/mean reductions need positive values.
ppo_a_norm_pb[batch] = fabsf(A);
ppo_ratio_dev_pb[batch] = fabsf(ratio - 1.0f);
// Clipped flag: ratio outside [1-ε, 1+ε] band. We use the
// pre-magnitude-clamp `ratio_raw` so it captures excursions
// the rl_ppo_ratio_clamp_controller's hard clamp would also
// catch; consistent with how ppo_log_ratio_abs_max_b reports.
const bool clipped = (ratio_raw < 1.0f - eps) ||
(ratio_raw > 1.0f + eps);
ppo_ratio_clipped_pb[batch] = clipped ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
// Clipped surrogate (Schulman canonical): min(surr1, surr2).
// l_pi above = -min(surr1, surr2); negate back to the natural
// surrogate value so positive surrogate = positive expected
// policy-improvement direction.
ppo_surrogate_pb[batch] = -l_pi;
} else {
// Invalid action; leave diagnostics at 0, skip loss accum.
pi_log_prob[batch] = 0.0f;
// Invalid action; zero per-batch loss slots + diagnostic
// (caller's reducer treats these slots like any other).
pi_log_prob[batch] = 0.0f;
loss_pi_per_b[batch] = 0.0f;
loss_entropy_per_b[batch] = 0.0f;
// B-10: zero observability scratches consistently.
ppo_a_norm_pb[batch] = 0.0f;
ppo_ratio_dev_pb[batch] = 0.0f;
ppo_ratio_clipped_pb[batch] = 0.0f;
ppo_surrogate_pb[batch] = 0.0f;
}
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,102 @@
// ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu — [B] → [1] mean reducer for the two PPO loss
// scalars produced by `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd`.
//
// Replaces the prior `atomicAdd(loss_pi, l_pi/B)` pattern. Per
// `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`: block tree-reduce in shared memory only,
// no atomics. The forward kernel writes per-batch values to
// `loss_pi_per_b[B]` and `loss_entropy_per_b[B]` (single writer per
// slot), then this kernel reduces each to a scalar mean.
//
// Computes:
// loss_pi_out[0] = (1/B) * Σ_b loss_pi_per_b[b]
// loss_entropy_out[0] = (1/B) * Σ_b loss_entropy_per_b[b]
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (1, 1, 1)
// block = (BLOCK_X, 1, 1) (BLOCK_X = 256; power of 2 required)
// shared = 2 * BLOCK_X * sizeof(float)
//
// Caller passes B = batch size; the kernel grid-strides if B > BLOCK_X
// (so a single launch supports any cluster batch size).
#define BLOCK_X 256
extern "C" __global__ void ppo_loss_reduce_b(
const float* __restrict__ loss_pi_per_b, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ loss_entropy_per_b, // [B]
int B,
float* __restrict__ loss_pi_out, // [1] OVERWRITE
float* __restrict__ loss_entropy_out // [1] OVERWRITE
) {
__shared__ float s_pi[BLOCK_X];
__shared__ float s_ent[BLOCK_X];
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
// Per-thread grid-stride sum over the [B] axis.
float local_pi = 0.0f;
float local_ent = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
local_pi += loss_pi_per_b[b];
local_ent += loss_entropy_per_b[b];
}
s_pi[tid] = local_pi;
s_ent[tid] = local_ent;
__syncthreads();
// Block tree-reduce in shared memory. BLOCK_X must be a power of 2.
for (int stride = BLOCK_X / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_pi[tid] += s_pi[tid + stride];
s_ent[tid] += s_ent[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
// Single-writer store of the batch-mean diagnostics.
if (tid == 0) {
const float b_inv = 1.0f / (float)((B > 0) ? B : 1);
loss_pi_out[0] = s_pi[0] * b_inv;
loss_entropy_out[0] = s_ent[0] * b_inv;
}
}
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// mean_reduce_b_f32 — single-input variant of the same pattern. Used by
// `dqn_distributional_q_bwd` whose per-batch CE values live in
// `loss_per_batch[B]` (single-writer already); this kernel produces
// the scalar mean for the trainer's diagnostic readout, replacing the
// prior `atomicAdd(loss_out, ce / B)` (Phase C "loud-flagged deferral"
// — see dqn_distributional_q.cu header).
//
// Block layout: identical to `ppo_loss_reduce_b`.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void mean_reduce_b_f32(
const float* __restrict__ values_per_b, // [B]
int B,
float* __restrict__ mean_out // [1] OVERWRITE
) {
__shared__ float s_val[BLOCK_X];
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
float local = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
local += values_per_b[b];
}
s_val[tid] = local;
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = BLOCK_X / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_val[tid] += s_val[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float b_inv = 1.0f / (float)((B > 0) ? B : 1);
mean_out[0] = s_val[0] * b_inv;
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
// rl_advantage_normalize.cu — Phase 4.5 per-batch advantage normalization (2026-05-30).
//
// Standard PPO practice (Schulman et al. 2017): normalize per-batch
// advantages before the PPO surrogate computation:
//
// mean = (1/B) Σ_b advantage[b]
// var = (1/B) Σ_b (advantage[b] mean)²
// std = sqrt(var + ε²)
// advantage_norm[b] = (advantage[b] mean) / std (in-place)
//
// Why: PPO surrogate = ratio × A. Without normalization, |A| can vary
// 1000× across batches → l_pi magnitude unstable → Adam's per-parameter
// scaling still functional, but gradient direction confidence drops
// when advantage magnitudes are wildly inconsistent.
//
// In Phase 4.3, V_dq baseline produced advantages with ~100× more
// variance than Plan A v2's V_scalar baseline → l_pi grew to 1.6e9
// vs Plan A v2's 3.6e5. Adam internally normalizes, but the policy
// updates have higher variance per step → pnl trajectory chops.
//
// Per pearl_adaptive_not_tuned: this normalization is self-adaptive
// (uses observed per-batch statistics, no tuned hyperparameters).
// Per pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor: ε² floor on
// variance prevents div-by-zero when all advantages are identical.
//
// Block layout: grid=(1, 1, 1), block=(BLOCK_X=1024, 1, 1). Single
// block does parallel reduction for mean → variance → normalize.
// Suitable for batch sizes up to B=1024 (current production scale).
#define BLOCK_X 1024
#define ADVANTAGE_VAR_FLOOR 1e-6f
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// emit raw per-batch advantage variance to ISV[612] BEFORE the in-place
// normalize. `rl_rollout_steps_controller` consumes this as its driving
// signal — post-normalization variance is definitionally ~ε² floor under
// Phase 4.5 and useless as a controller input. Pre-norm variance is the
// real signal of "how much advantage spread the policy is producing".
#define RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX 612
extern "C" __global__ void rl_advantage_normalize(
float* __restrict__ advantage, // [B] in-place
float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus — only ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM written
int B
) {
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
if (tid >= BLOCK_X) return;
// ── Pass 1: compute mean ──
__shared__ float s_sum[BLOCK_X];
float sum_partial = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
sum_partial += advantage[b];
}
s_sum[tid] = sum_partial;
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = BLOCK_X / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) s_sum[tid] += s_sum[tid + stride];
__syncthreads();
}
__shared__ float s_mean;
if (tid == 0) s_mean = s_sum[0] / (float)B;
__syncthreads();
const float mean = s_mean;
// ── Pass 2: compute variance ──
__shared__ float s_var[BLOCK_X];
float var_partial = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
const float d = advantage[b] - mean;
var_partial += d * d;
}
s_var[tid] = var_partial;
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = BLOCK_X / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) s_var[tid] += s_var[tid + stride];
__syncthreads();
}
__shared__ float s_inv_std;
if (tid == 0) {
const float var = s_var[0] / (float)B;
// Emit raw pre-normalization variance for rl_rollout_steps_controller.
// Done BEFORE we add the ε² floor — the controller wants the true
// signal, not the numerical-stability-adjusted divisor.
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX] = var;
s_inv_std = rsqrtf(var + ADVANTAGE_VAR_FLOOR); // 1/sqrt(var + ε²)
}
__syncthreads();
const float inv_std = s_inv_std;
// ── Pass 3: normalize in-place ──
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
advantage[b] = (advantage[b] - mean) * inv_std;
}
}

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@@ -1,7 +1,9 @@
// rl_atom_support_update.cu — refresh `atom_supports_d` from the
// ISV-driven [V_MIN, V_MAX] span (audit 2026-05-24 second follow-up).
//
// Companion to the C51 atom-span ratchet in rl_reward_clamp_controller.
// Companion to the C51 atom-span EWMA in rl_reward_clamp_controller
// (α=0.001, ~700-step half-life — wwcsz followup 2026-05-24 replaced
// the original ratchet to focus atom resolution on the ACTIVE range).
// `atom_supports_d` is the device buffer of 21 float values that the
// non-projection C51 kernels (`argmax_expected_q`, `rl_action_kernel`,
// `dqn_distributional_q`) read instead of recomputing the per-atom

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@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
// rl_avg_win_loss_ema_update.cu — Layer 4 (Kelly) input EMA producer.
//
// Tracks observed per-trade avg_win and avg_loss magnitudes in USD as
// EMAs. Kelly fraction uses R-multiple = avg_win / avg_loss together
// with win_rate to derive the safe Kelly bet size.
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Inputs:
// rewards[b] f32 — per-batch realized pnl delta (shaped) this step
// dones[b] f32 — 1.0 if a trade closed this step, else 0.0
//
// Outcome derived inline: win = (done & reward > 0); loss = (done & reward < 0).
//
// Outputs:
// ISV[RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX = 678] (positive USD)
// ISV[RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX = 679] (positive USD, magnitude)
//
// Bootstrap semantics per `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`:
// sentinel = 0.0; first non-zero closed-trade step replaces directly.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block (sums sequentially).
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: EMA-α structural smoothing
// parameter (same as ema_update_per_step convention).
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX 678
#define RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX 679
#define EMA_ALPHA_FAST 0.05f
// B-6 ISV-driven adaptive asymmetric Wiener-α (2026-06-01 spec).
// α_slow_eff = α_slow_min + (α_fast α_slow_min) × trust_eff
// trust_eff = trust(n) × stability(CV)
// trust(n) = min(1, cum_dones / n_full_threshold) [Phase 1]
// stability(CV) = exp(-CV × cv_gain) [Phase 2]
// Slot 721 α_slow_min, 722 n_full_threshold, 723 cv_gain.
// Welford triplet for reward_magnitude provides CV (Phase 2).
#define RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_MIN_INDEX 721
#define RL_EMA_TRUST_FULL_THRESHOLD_INDEX 722
#define RL_EMA_CV_GAIN_INDEX 723
#define RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 615
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 616
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX 617
extern "C" __global__ void rl_avg_win_loss_ema_update(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [b_size] shaped pnl
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [b_size] 1.0 = close
int b_size
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
// Sum per-trade win/loss magnitudes across the batch.
float sum_win = 0.0f;
float sum_loss = 0.0f;
int n_win = 0;
int n_loss = 0;
for (int b = 0; b < b_size; ++b) {
if (dones[b] < 0.5f) continue;
const float p = rewards[b];
if (p > 0.0f) {
sum_win += p;
n_win += 1;
} else if (p < 0.0f) {
sum_loss += fabsf(p);
n_loss += 1;
}
}
// B-6 ISV-driven adaptive asymmetric Wiener-α (Bayesian shrinkage).
// α_slow_eff blends α_slow_min → α_fast as data confidence grows.
const float a_slow_min = isv[RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_MIN_INDEX];
const float a_fast = EMA_ALPHA_FAST;
const float n_trades = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float n_full = isv[RL_EMA_TRUST_FULL_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float cv_gain = isv[RL_EMA_CV_GAIN_INDEX];
// Phase 1: data-quantity trust (resets at fold boundary via reset_session_state)
float trust = (n_full > 0.0f) ? fminf(1.0f, n_trades / n_full) : 1.0f;
// Phase 2: signal-volatility gain (set cv_gain=0 to disable)
if (cv_gain > 0.0f) {
const float wf_count = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
if (wf_count > 1.0f) {
const float wf_m2 = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX];
const float wf_mean = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
const float wf_var = wf_m2 / (wf_count - 1.0f);
const float cv = (wf_mean > 1e-6f) ? sqrtf(wf_var) / wf_mean : 0.0f;
const float stability = expf(-cv * cv_gain);
trust *= stability;
}
}
const float a_slow_eff = a_slow_min + (a_fast - a_slow_min) * trust;
if (n_win > 0) {
const float step_avg = sum_win / (float)n_win;
const float prev = isv[RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX];
// avg_win: slow-up (skeptical of wins), fast-down (correct quickly)
const float alpha = (step_avg > prev) ? a_slow_eff : a_fast;
isv[RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX] = (1.0f - alpha) * prev + alpha * step_avg;
}
if (n_loss > 0) {
const float step_avg = sum_loss / (float)n_loss;
const float prev = isv[RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX];
// avg_loss: fast-up (admit losses, safety), slow-down (slow forget)
const float alpha = (step_avg > prev) ? a_fast : a_slow_eff;
isv[RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX] = (1.0f - alpha) * prev + alpha * step_avg;
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,86 @@
// rl_band_frac_aggregate.cu — Phase 4-B per-step `frac_not_masked` reducer.
//
// Single-block tree-reduce over batch. Reads:
// * band_out [B × 2] — (b_l, b_u) post-activation, lots units
// * pos_state [B × P] — i32 position lots at offset 0
// * isv — read-only (gate slot)
//
// Computes the per-batch boolean `position ∈ [b_l, b_u]` and reduces
// `(1 - in_band)` (= "this batch is FREE to trade this step") to a single
// scalar `frac_not_masked ∈ [0, 1]`, written to
// `RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX` (slot 812).
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md
// §5.2 + §5.3 (fleet-fraction discipline per pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate).
//
// Disciplines:
// * `feedback_no_atomicadd` — tree-reduce in shared memory, single-thread
// writes the final scalar to ISV.
// * `pearl_determinism_achieved` — deterministic shared-mem reduction with
// `__syncthreads()` barriers; no PRNG.
// * `feedback_no_nvrtc` — pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
//
// Launch:
// grid = (1, 1, 1)
// block = (block_dim, 1, 1) — power-of-two, ≥ b_size when possible
// shared_mem_bytes = block_dim × sizeof(float)
//
// The host caller picks `block_dim = next_power_of_two(b_size).min(1024)`
// — matches `rl_q_pi_agree_b`'s launch shape so the reduction is fully
// captured in a single warp-aligned tree-reduce.
#include <stdint.h>
#define BAND_OUT 2
#define RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX 799
#define RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX 812
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_frac_aggregate(
const float* __restrict__ band_outputs, // [B × 2]
const unsigned char* __restrict__ pos_state, // [B × pos_bytes]
float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
int pos_bytes
) {
extern __shared__ float s_partial[]; // [block_dim]
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
const int bdim = blockDim.x;
// Master gate: if band disabled, write sentinel 0.0 and return — the
// controller's master-gate guard will skip the EMA update.
const float enabled = isv[RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) {
if (tid == 0) {
isv[RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX] = 0.0f;
}
return;
}
// Per-thread accumulation: walk over batch indices in strides of bdim.
float local = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < b_size; b += bdim) {
const int position_lots =
*reinterpret_cast<const int*>(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
const float pos_f = (float)position_lots;
const float b_l = band_outputs[b * BAND_OUT + 0];
const float b_u = band_outputs[b * BAND_OUT + 1];
const float in_band = (pos_f >= b_l && pos_f <= b_u) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
local += (1.0f - in_band);
}
s_partial[tid] = local;
__syncthreads();
// Tree-reduce.
for (int stride = bdim / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_partial[tid] += s_partial[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float inv_b = 1.0f / (float)b_size;
isv[RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX] = s_partial[0] * inv_b;
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,136 @@
// rl_band_head_backward.cu — Phase 4-B band-head backward chain.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md
// §3.3 (backward chain into encoder).
//
// Forward chain (recap, see `rl_band_head_forward.cu`):
// band_pre[b, j] = b_band[j] + Σ_c W_band[j, c] · h_t[b, c]
// b_l = -|tanh(band_pre[b, 0])| × N_max_eff
// b_u = +|tanh(band_pre[b, 1])| × N_max_eff
//
// Backward chain (this file):
// Given dL/d(b_l) = grad_band[b, 0] and dL/d(b_u) = grad_band[b, 1] from
// the turnover-loss kernel:
//
// dL/d(band_pre[b, 0]) = grad_band[b, 0] · d(b_l)/d(pre)
// = grad_band[b, 0] · (-sign(t_l)) · (1 - t_l²) · N_max
// = grad_band[b, 0] · (-sign(t_l)) · sech²(pre_l) · N_max
// dL/d(band_pre[b, 1]) = grad_band[b, 1] · d(b_u)/d(pre)
// = grad_band[b, 1] · (+sign(t_u)) · sech²(pre_u) · N_max
//
// Then the linear backward:
// dL/d(W_band[j, c]) per batch = dL/d(pre[b, j]) · h_t[b, c]
// dL/d(b_band[j]) per batch = dL/d(pre[b, j])
// dL/d(h_t[b, c]) = Σ_j dL/d(pre[b, j]) · W_band[j, c]
//
// Outputs (per-batch scratch; caller reduces via `reduce_axis0`):
// grad_w_per_batch [B × BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]
// grad_b_per_batch [B × BAND_OUT]
// grad_h_t [B × HIDDEN_DIM] (OVERWRITE — caller folds into encoder
// grad via `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`)
//
// Disciplines:
// * `feedback_no_atomicadd` — per-batch scratch + reduce_axis0
// * `feedback_no_nvrtc` — pre-compiled cubin via build.rs
// * `pearl_determinism_achieved` — sole-writer per (b, j, c); no PRNG
// * `pearl_no_host_branches_in_captured_graph` — only kernel args, no
// host scalars in control flow
//
// Launch:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (HIDDEN_DIM, 1, 1)
// shared_mem_bytes = BAND_OUT × sizeof(float) (s_dpre[2] staging)
//
// Per-block: thread c writes its own grad_w[b, 0, c], grad_w[b, 1, c],
// grad_h_t[b, c]. Thread 0 additionally writes grad_b[b, 0] and grad_b[b, 1].
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math.h>
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define BAND_OUT 2
#define RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX 799
#define RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX 504
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_head_backward(
const float* __restrict__ w_band, // [BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ band_pre, // [B × BAND_OUT]
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ grad_band, // [B × BAND_OUT]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
float* __restrict__ grad_w_per_batch, // [B × BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]
float* __restrict__ grad_b_per_batch, // [B × BAND_OUT]
float* __restrict__ grad_h_t // [B × HIDDEN_DIM] (OVERWRITE)
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int c = threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size || c >= HIDDEN_DIM) return;
__shared__ float s_dpre[BAND_OUT];
// Master gate: write zeros and return so the caller's reduce_axis0 +
// accumulate_grad_h chain produces no encoder-grad contribution. The
// host-side branch in the trainer ALSO short-circuits the launch when
// disabled — this device-side guard is defense-in-depth so the kernel
// is safe to launch unconditionally during graph capture.
const float enabled = isv[RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) {
grad_w_per_batch[(b * BAND_OUT + 0) * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = 0.0f;
grad_w_per_batch[(b * BAND_OUT + 1) * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = 0.0f;
grad_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = 0.0f;
if (c == 0) {
grad_b_per_batch[b * BAND_OUT + 0] = 0.0f;
grad_b_per_batch[b * BAND_OUT + 1] = 0.0f;
}
return;
}
// ── Stage 1: thread 0 computes the two activation-derivative scalars ─
if (c == 0) {
const float n_max_eff = isv[RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX];
const float pre_l = band_pre[b * BAND_OUT + 0];
const float pre_u = band_pre[b * BAND_OUT + 1];
const float t_l = tanhf(pre_l);
const float t_u = tanhf(pre_u);
// sech²(x) = 1 tanh²(x)
const float sech2_l = 1.0f - t_l * t_l;
const float sech2_u = 1.0f - t_u * t_u;
// d(b_l)/d(pre_l) = -sign(t_l) · sech²(pre_l) · N_max
// d(b_u)/d(pre_u) = +sign(t_u) · sech²(pre_u) · N_max
// sign(0) = 0 — at pre = 0 the gradient is zero (the activation
// is non-differentiable at the cusp |tanh| → 0). Treat as zero;
// upstream signs propagate cleanly.
const float sign_l = (t_l > 0.0f) ? 1.0f : ((t_l < 0.0f) ? -1.0f : 0.0f);
const float sign_u = (t_u > 0.0f) ? 1.0f : ((t_u < 0.0f) ? -1.0f : 0.0f);
const float g_b_l = grad_band[b * BAND_OUT + 0];
const float g_b_u = grad_band[b * BAND_OUT + 1];
// dL/d(pre_l) = g_b_l · (-sign_l · sech2_l · N_max)
// dL/d(pre_u) = g_b_u · (+sign_u · sech2_u · N_max)
s_dpre[0] = g_b_l * (-sign_l) * sech2_l * n_max_eff;
s_dpre[1] = g_b_u * (+sign_u) * sech2_u * n_max_eff;
// grad_b_band per batch is just dL/d(pre[b, j]).
grad_b_per_batch[b * BAND_OUT + 0] = s_dpre[0];
grad_b_per_batch[b * BAND_OUT + 1] = s_dpre[1];
}
__syncthreads();
const float dpre_l = s_dpre[0];
const float dpre_u = s_dpre[1];
// ── Stage 2: per-(b, c) writes ───────────────────────────────────
// grad_w_band[j, c] per batch = dpre[j] · h_t[b, c]
const float h_bc = h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
grad_w_per_batch[(b * BAND_OUT + 0) * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = dpre_l * h_bc;
grad_w_per_batch[(b * BAND_OUT + 1) * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = dpre_u * h_bc;
// grad_h_t[b, c] = dpre_l · W_band[0, c] + dpre_u · W_band[1, c]
// OVERWRITE — caller's `grad_h_accumulate_scaled` folds into encoder
// grad via additive +=.
const float w_lc = w_band[0 * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
const float w_uc = w_band[1 * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
grad_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = dpre_l * w_lc + dpre_u * w_uc;
}

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// rl_band_head_forward.cu — Phase 4-A band-head forward.
//
// Two entry points:
// * `rl_band_head_linear_fwd` — small linear projection
// band_pre[b, j] = b_band[j] + Σ_c W_band[j, c] · h_t[b, c]
// for j ∈ {0 (b_l), 1 (b_u)}. Grid = (B, 2, 1), Block = (HIDDEN_DIM, 1, 1)
// (matches the `ppo_policy_logits_fwd` launch shape for parity with
// `PolicyHead::forward_logits`).
// * `rl_band_apply_activation` — asymmetric ±|tanh| activation that
// enforces `b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u` by construction:
// b_l = -|tanh(band_pre[b, 0])| × N_max_eff
// b_u = +|tanh(band_pre[b, 1])| × N_max_eff
// where `N_max_eff` is read from `RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX`. Grid =
// (ceil(B/32), 1, 1), Block = (32, 1, 1); single-thread-per-batch
// element, deterministic.
//
// No PRNG, no atomicAdd, no shared mem. Pure read-deterministic;
// graph-capturable. The forward is independent of the master gate at slot
// 799 — the trainer skips the launch when the band is disabled.
//
// Per `pearl_determinism_achieved` discipline; per spec §1.1 / §1.3.
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math.h>
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define BAND_OUT 2
#define RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX 504
// ── Linear forward: band_pre[b, j] = b_band[j] + Σ_c W_band[j, c] · h_t[b, c]
//
// Block-reduce over HIDDEN_DIM threads via shared memory. Matches the
// existing `ppo_policy_logits_fwd` reduction pattern; deterministic
// tree-reduce (no atomics) so output is bit-equal across runs.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_head_linear_fwd(
const float* __restrict__ w_band, // [BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ b_band, // [BAND_OUT]
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
int b_size,
float* __restrict__ band_pre // [B × BAND_OUT]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int j = blockIdx.y;
if (b >= b_size || j >= BAND_OUT) return;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
__shared__ float partial[HIDDEN_DIM];
const float* w_row = w_band + j * HIDDEN_DIM;
const float* h_row = h_t + b * HIDDEN_DIM;
partial[tid] = w_row[tid] * h_row[tid];
__syncthreads();
// Tree-reduce over HIDDEN_DIM (assumed power-of-two = 128).
for (int stride = HIDDEN_DIM / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
partial[tid] += partial[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
band_pre[b * BAND_OUT + j] = partial[0] + b_band[j];
}
}
// ── Asymmetric ±|tanh| activation, scaled by N_max_eff.
//
// Output layout (per spec §1.1):
// band_out[b, 0] = -|tanh(band_pre[b, 0])| × N_max_eff (≤ 0)
// band_out[b, 1] = +|tanh(band_pre[b, 1])| × N_max_eff (≥ 0)
//
// Guarantees `b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u` for every batch element by construction —
// Davis-Norman optimality theorem requires position 0 (flat) to lie inside
// the no-transaction region; this activation enforces it.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_apply_activation(
const float* __restrict__ band_pre, // [B × BAND_OUT]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
float* __restrict__ band_out // [B × BAND_OUT]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
const float n_max_eff = isv[RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX];
const float pre_l = band_pre[b * BAND_OUT + 0];
const float pre_u = band_pre[b * BAND_OUT + 1];
const float t_l = tanhf(pre_l);
const float t_u = tanhf(pre_u);
band_out[b * BAND_OUT + 0] = -fabsf(t_l) * n_max_eff;
band_out[b * BAND_OUT + 1] = +fabsf(t_u) * n_max_eff;
}

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// rl_band_mask.cu — Phase 4-A no-transaction-band action override.
//
// When the current position lies inside the learned band `[b_l, b_u]`,
// force `actions[b] = Hold` regardless of the sampled / argmax action.
// This is the architectural default of the Davis-Norman (1990) no-trade
// region (extended to deep RL by Imaki-Imajo-Ito 2021, arXiv:2103.01775).
//
// Layout matches `rl_confidence_gate.cu`:
// * Grid=(B, 1, 1), Block=(1, 1, 1).
// * One block per batch, single thread — pos_state read + 2-float band
// read + scalar compare; no reduction.
// * Master gate at `RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX` (slot 799). When ≤ 0.5f the
// kernel returns immediately, preserving Phase 3D bit-equality.
// * No atomicAdd; no shared mem; no PRNG; pure device-side, fully
// graph-capturable BUT launched OUTSIDE graph capture per spec §9.5
// so the host can branch on the master gate value without runtime
// graph rebuild.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`, `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`,
// `pearl_fleet_fraction_not_aggregate`.
#include <stdint.h>
#define ACTION_HOLD 2
#define RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX 799
#define RL_BAND_MAX_MASK_FRAC_INDEX 813
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_mask(
int* __restrict__ actions, // [B] IN/OUT
const float* __restrict__ band_outputs, // [B × 2] (b_l, b_u)
const unsigned char* __restrict__ pos_state, // [B × pos_bytes]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
int pos_bytes
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
// Master gate — bootstrap default is OFF (slot 799 = 0.0). When the
// operator flips it to 1.0 the band defaults engage.
const float enabled = isv[RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) return;
// Phase 4-A2 exploration bypass — guarantee at least
// `(1 max_mask) · B` batches are NEVER masked, so positions vary
// and the sigmoid surrogate gradient on (b_l, b_u) can flow into the
// band head. Without this the band collapses to the dead-signal trap
// observed at 552d91bf4 (Phase 4-B smoke): all positions stuck at 0,
// deep-in-band sigmoid argument, ~zero gradient, band stays wide.
//
// Bypass is DETERMINISTIC (lowest-index batches bypass) — random
// sampling would break `pearl_determinism_achieved` bit-equality.
// Spec §2.2 (kernel) + §9.1 Mitigation 2 (justification).
const float max_mask = isv[RL_BAND_MAX_MASK_FRAC_INDEX];
const int min_explore = (int)((float)b_size * (1.0f - max_mask));
if (b < min_explore) return;
// Position layout: pos_state[b * pos_bytes + 0..4] = position_lots:i32
// (canonical foxhunt offset; see PosFlat at
// crates/ml-backtesting/src/lob/mod.rs and the rl_confidence_gate
// reader at line 72).
const int position_lots =
*reinterpret_cast<const int*>(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
// Phase 4-A3 (2026-06-04): Davis-Norman position-zero exception.
// The Davis-Norman (1990) no-transaction band is a theorem about
// MANAGING an EXISTING hedge position — it tells the agent NOT to
// micro-adjust within the band. It says nothing about whether to
// open a position from flat.
//
// The `±|tanh|` activation in `rl_band_head_forward.cu` guarantees
// `b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u` (the Davis-Norman invariant). Combined with the
// foxhunt invariant that agents start FLAT (position = 0), every
// single flat-batch would be masked to Hold — agents never open,
// positions never move, the sigmoid surrogate on (b_l, b_u) sits
// deep-in-band where its derivative ≈ 0, and the band loss has no
// gradient signal. Verified empirically at 1c23ff368 (Phase 4-A2):
// action_hist collapsed to bimodal [0,0,109,0,0,0,0,0,19,0,0] from
// step 100 onward, total_trades = 8 over 2000 steps.
//
// Flat positions get free choice — opens are NOT band-constrained.
if (position_lots == 0) return;
const float b_l = band_outputs[b * 2 + 0];
const float b_u = band_outputs[b * 2 + 1];
const float pos_f = (float)position_lots;
if (pos_f >= b_l && pos_f <= b_u) {
actions[b] = ACTION_HOLD;
}
}

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// rl_band_turnover_controller.cu — Phase 4-B adaptive turnover-target
// controller.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md
// §3.1 Option (c) + §3.4 (Schulman-bounded adaptive controller).
//
// Reads (from ISV):
// * RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX (799) — master gate
// * RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX (812) — per-step raw signal
// written by
// `rl_band_frac_aggregate.cu`
// * RL_BAND_TURNOVER_EMA_INDEX (809) — EMA state (owned)
// * RL_BAND_CONTROLLER_BOOT_DONE_INDEX (810) — bootstrap latch (owned)
// * RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX (811) — output (owned)
//
// Writes (to ISV):
// * 809 — updated EMA (first-observation bootstrap or Wiener-α blend)
// * 810 — latched 1.0 on first observation
// * 811 — adaptive target, clamped to [TARGET_MIN, TARGET_MAX]
//
// Control law (per the Phase 4-B dispatch & spec §3.1 Option c):
// Healthy frac_not_masked target ≈ 0.4 (40% of batches free to trade,
// 60% inside band). Asymmetric Schulman-bounded adapter:
//
// if frac_not_masked_ema > OVER_THRESHOLD (too much trading):
// target *= TIGHTEN_RATE (push narrower band → fewer trades)
// elif frac_not_masked_ema < UNDER_THRESHOLD (band saturated):
// target *= LOOSEN_RATE (push wider band → more trading)
// else:
// healthy band — leave alone.
// clamp(target, TARGET_MIN, TARGET_MAX).
//
// Per `pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range`: bootstrap 0.05 ∈
// [TARGET_MIN=0.01, TARGET_MAX=0.20]; controller never snaps to a clamp
// boundary on its first emission.
//
// Per `pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline`: the band's output gates
// its own input (mask → fewer trades → narrower band drift → mask). The
// asymmetric LOOSEN escape rate is faster than the TIGHTEN rate so the
// controller can recover when frac_not_masked drops below 0.2.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread launch (1×1×1), no atomics.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math.h>
#define RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX 799
#define RL_BAND_TURNOVER_EMA_INDEX 809
#define RL_BAND_CONTROLLER_BOOT_DONE_INDEX 810
#define RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 811
#define RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX 812
// Tuning constants (all dimensionless).
#define BAND_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA 0.02f // Wiener-α — ~50-step horizon
#define BAND_CTRL_OVER_THRESHOLD 0.60f // frac_not_masked above → too much trading
#define BAND_CTRL_UNDER_THRESHOLD 0.20f // frac_not_masked below → band saturated
#define BAND_CTRL_TIGHTEN_RATE 0.97f // 3 %/step (slow narrow)
#define BAND_CTRL_LOOSEN_RATE 1.05f // +5 %/step (faster escape per resurrection discipline)
#define BAND_CTRL_TARGET_MIN 0.01f // never below 1 % of batches trading
#define BAND_CTRL_TARGET_MAX 0.20f // never above 20 % — keeps band materially active
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_turnover_controller(float* isv) {
// Single-thread kernel — launched (1,1,1)/(1,1,1).
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
// Master gate: when the band is disabled, leave all owned slots
// untouched so Phase 3D bit-equality is preserved.
const float enabled = isv[RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) return;
const float frac_now = isv[RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX];
const float boot_done = isv[RL_BAND_CONTROLLER_BOOT_DONE_INDEX];
// ── EMA update (first-observation bootstrap pattern) ─────────────
float ema;
if (boot_done < 0.5f) {
// Replace EMA with current observation; latch flag. Necessary
// because slot 809 sentinel-zeroes at trainer init and blending
// zero with the first real measurement (likely ≈ 0.5 at warm
// band-start) would lag the controller by ~50 steps before it
// sees a representative value.
ema = frac_now;
isv[RL_BAND_CONTROLLER_BOOT_DONE_INDEX] = 1.0f;
} else {
ema = (1.0f - BAND_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA) * isv[RL_BAND_TURNOVER_EMA_INDEX]
+ BAND_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA * frac_now;
}
isv[RL_BAND_TURNOVER_EMA_INDEX] = ema;
// ── Target update — asymmetric Schulman-bounded adapter ──────────
float target = isv[RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX];
if (ema > BAND_CTRL_OVER_THRESHOLD) {
// Trading too much → tighten band (smaller target → smaller
// frac_not_masked goal → narrower bands chase the goal).
target *= BAND_CTRL_TIGHTEN_RATE;
} else if (ema < BAND_CTRL_UNDER_THRESHOLD) {
// Band saturated → loosen (escape with faster rate per
// resurrection discipline).
target *= BAND_CTRL_LOOSEN_RATE;
}
// Healthy band — leave target alone.
// Clamp; bootstrap 0.05 sits strictly inside [0.01, 0.20].
target = fmaxf(BAND_CTRL_TARGET_MIN,
fminf(target, BAND_CTRL_TARGET_MAX));
isv[RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX] = target;
}

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// rl_band_turnover_loss.cu — Phase 4-A turnover regularizer (Option b).
//
// Per spec §3.1 Option (b) + §3.2:
// * Soft turnover proxy per batch:
// m_soft[b] = sigmoid(s · (pos b_l)) · sigmoid(s · (b_u pos))
// where `s` is `RL_BAND_GRAD_SHARPNESS_INDEX` (slot 804). `m_soft[b]`
// ≈ 1.0 when position is in band (would-be-Hold), ≈ 0.0 outside.
// `not_masked[b] = 1 m_soft[b]` is the differentiable surrogate for
// "this batch was free to trade this step".
// * Mean across batch: `turnover_t = mean_b (1 m_soft[b])`.
// * Loss: `L = λ · (turnover_t target)²` (same scalar for every batch
// element; gradient is per-batch via the chain rule below).
//
// In Phase 4-A this kernel emits the per-batch loss scalar and the per-
// batch gradient on `(b_l, b_u)` for future wiring. The trainer integration
// (step 4) launches the kernel for OBSERVABILITY only — the gradient is
// written to a scratch buffer that is not yet folded into the encoder grad
// path. Adaptive controller + full backward chain are Phase 4-B / 4-C.
//
// Gradient derivation (per spec §3.2):
// diff = turnover target
// d(turnover)/db_l = +(1/B) · σ' · s (looser lower bound → fewer in band → higher turnover)
// d(turnover)/db_u = (1/B) · σ' · s (looser upper bound → more in band → lower turnover)
// where σ' is sigmoid derivative evaluated at the boundary surrogate.
//
// `RL_BAND_LOSS_WEIGHT_INDEX` (802) multiplies the loss. `RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX`
// (799) gates the entire write — when ≤ 0.5 the kernel writes zeros so the
// per-batch loss reducer sees no contribution.
//
// Phase 4-B (2026-06-04): the turnover target is now read from the
// adaptive controller's output at `RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX`
// (811) instead of the static slot 803. The controller updates 811 every
// step based on the EMA of `frac_not_masked`. Slot 803 remains in the ISV
// (Phase 4-A clamp anchor for the controller) but is no longer the loss
// kernel's input. See spec §3.1 Option (c) and `rl_band_turnover_controller.cu`.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd` (single-writer per slot), `pearl_determinism_achieved`
// (no PRNG, single-thread-per-batch, no shared reductions across blocks).
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math.h>
#define BAND_OUT 2
#define RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX 799
#define RL_BAND_LOSS_WEIGHT_INDEX 802
#define RL_BAND_GRAD_SHARPNESS_INDEX 804
#define RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 811
// Numerically-stable sigmoid (clamps argument to avoid expf overflow).
static __device__ __forceinline__ float stable_sigmoid(float x) {
if (x >= 0.0f) {
const float e = expf(-fminf(x, 40.0f));
return 1.0f / (1.0f + e);
} else {
const float e = expf(fmaxf(x, -40.0f));
return e / (1.0f + e);
}
}
// Per-batch soft-mask + per-batch loss/grad scratch.
//
// Inputs:
// band_outputs [B × 2] — (b_l, b_u) post-activation, in lots units.
// pos_state [B × pos_bytes] — i32 position lots at offset 0.
// isv [..] — read-only ISV slots.
// turnover_t scalar — current per-step soft turnover (mean across B
// of (1 - m_soft)), pre-computed by a separate
// reduce kernel OR passed as 0 for Phase 4-A
// OBSERVABILITY-ONLY (gradient still meaningful
// via diff signal).
//
// Outputs:
// m_soft_per_b [B] — sigmoid surrogate "in band" mass ∈ [0, 1].
// loss_per_b [B] — per-batch loss contribution (same scalar).
// grad_band_per_b [B × 2] — per-batch grad on (b_l, b_u).
//
// Grid = (ceil(B/32), 1, 1), Block = (32, 1, 1).
extern "C" __global__ void rl_band_turnover_loss(
const float* __restrict__ band_outputs, // [B × 2]
const unsigned char* __restrict__ pos_state, // [B × pos_bytes]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
float turnover_t, // host-supplied scalar
int b_size,
int pos_bytes,
float* __restrict__ m_soft_per_b, // [B]
float* __restrict__ loss_per_b, // [B]
float* __restrict__ grad_band_per_b // [B × 2]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
const float enabled = isv[RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) {
m_soft_per_b[b] = 0.0f;
loss_per_b[b] = 0.0f;
grad_band_per_b[b * BAND_OUT + 0] = 0.0f;
grad_band_per_b[b * BAND_OUT + 1] = 0.0f;
return;
}
const int position_lots =
*reinterpret_cast<const int*>(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
const float pos_f = (float)position_lots;
const float b_l = band_outputs[b * BAND_OUT + 0];
const float b_u = band_outputs[b * BAND_OUT + 1];
const float sharpness = isv[RL_BAND_GRAD_SHARPNESS_INDEX];
// Phase 4-B: read the adaptive controller's target instead of the
// static slot 803. The controller's bootstrap matches the static
// default so first-step behavior is identical to Phase 4-A.
const float target = isv[RL_BAND_TURNOVER_TARGET_ADAPTIVE_INDEX];
const float loss_w = isv[RL_BAND_LOSS_WEIGHT_INDEX];
// Sigmoid surrogate near each boundary. `m_lower` ≈ 1 when pos ≥ b_l;
// `m_upper` ≈ 1 when pos ≤ b_u; their product is the soft "in band".
const float arg_l = sharpness * (pos_f - b_l);
const float arg_u = sharpness * (b_u - pos_f);
const float s_l = stable_sigmoid(arg_l); // ∂m/∂b_l requires σ_l(1σ_l)·s
const float s_u = stable_sigmoid(arg_u); // ∂m/∂b_u requires +σ_u(1σ_u)·s
const float m_soft = s_l * s_u;
m_soft_per_b[b] = m_soft;
// Loss: L = (λ × (turnover target)²) / B, distributed evenly across
// batches for reduction purposes. Same value per batch element.
const float diff = turnover_t - target;
const float inv_b = 1.0f / (float)b_size;
loss_per_b[b] = loss_w * diff * diff * inv_b;
// d(turnover)/d(b_l) = -(1/B) · d(m_soft)/d(b_l)
// = -(1/B) · s_u · d(s_l)/d(b_l)
// = -(1/B) · s_u · (-sharpness · s_l · (1 s_l))
// = +(1/B) · sharpness · s_l · (1 s_l) · s_u
// d(turnover)/d(b_u) similarly with sign flipped.
const float ds_l_db_l = -sharpness * s_l * (1.0f - s_l);
const float ds_u_db_u = +sharpness * s_u * (1.0f - s_u);
// dL/db_l = 2 · λ · diff · d(turnover)/db_l = -2λ·diff·s_u·ds_l_db_l/B
// dL/db_u = -2λ·diff·s_l·ds_u_db_u/B
grad_band_per_b[b * BAND_OUT + 0] =
-2.0f * loss_w * diff * s_u * ds_l_db_l * inv_b;
grad_band_per_b[b * BAND_OUT + 1] =
-2.0f * loss_w * diff * s_l * ds_u_db_u * inv_b;
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,84 @@
// rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce.cu — B-9 cross-batch tree-reduce of
// per-batch saturation tallies produced by `bellman_target_projection` and
// `bellman_fused_select_project`. Writes per-step rates + extremes to ISV.
//
// Inputs (consumed AFTER one of the two bellman variants has run):
// sat_top_per_batch [B] — per-block count of (atom_z) where t_z > V_MAX_eff
// sat_bot_per_batch [B] — per-block count of (atom_z) where t_z < V_MIN_eff
// max_pre_per_batch [B] — per-block max(t_z) pre-clamp
// min_pre_per_batch [B] — per-block min(t_z) pre-clamp
//
// Outputs (single ISV write each, by thread 0):
// ISV[RL_Q_TARGET_TOP_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX = 726] Σ(top) / (B × Q_N_ATOMS)
// ISV[RL_Q_TARGET_BOT_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX = 727] Σ(bot) / (B × Q_N_ATOMS)
// ISV[RL_Q_TARGET_MAX_PRE_PROJ_INDEX = 728] max over batches
// ISV[RL_Q_TARGET_MIN_PRE_PROJ_INDEX = 729] min over batches
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md`: single-block kernel, shared-mem
// tree-reduce. Caller launches with grid_dim=(1,1,1), block_dim=(N,1,1)
// where N is a power of 2 with N <= max(1, B/2) and N <= 256, and
// shared bytes = 4 * N * sizeof(float).
//
// Block size rationale: each thread iterates B/N elements via grid-stride;
// the tree-reduce after the strided gather is over N threads.
#include <cuda_runtime.h>
#define RL_Q_TARGET_TOP_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX 726
#define RL_Q_TARGET_BOT_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX 727
#define RL_Q_TARGET_MAX_PRE_PROJ_INDEX 728
#define RL_Q_TARGET_MIN_PRE_PROJ_INDEX 729
#define Q_N_ATOMS 21
extern "C" __global__ void rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ sat_top_per_batch,
const float* __restrict__ sat_bot_per_batch,
const float* __restrict__ max_pre_per_batch,
const float* __restrict__ min_pre_per_batch,
int B
) {
extern __shared__ float smem[];
float* s_top = smem;
float* s_bot = smem + blockDim.x;
float* s_max = smem + 2 * blockDim.x;
float* s_min = smem + 3 * blockDim.x;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
// Grid-stride gather. Padded identity values for max/min reductions
// (+/- infinity) ensure threads with no work don't pollute the
// result.
float l_top = 0.0f, l_bot = 0.0f;
float l_max = -INFINITY, l_min = INFINITY;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += blockDim.x) {
l_top += sat_top_per_batch[b];
l_bot += sat_bot_per_batch[b];
l_max = fmaxf(l_max, max_pre_per_batch[b]);
l_min = fminf(l_min, min_pre_per_batch[b]);
}
s_top[tid] = l_top;
s_bot[tid] = l_bot;
s_max[tid] = l_max;
s_min[tid] = l_min;
__syncthreads();
// Power-of-2 tree reduce — blockDim.x guaranteed power of 2 by caller.
for (int stride = blockDim.x / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_top[tid] += s_top[tid + stride];
s_bot[tid] += s_bot[tid + stride];
s_max[tid] = fmaxf(s_max[tid], s_max[tid + stride]);
s_min[tid] = fminf(s_min[tid], s_min[tid + stride]);
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float denom = (float)(B * Q_N_ATOMS);
isv[RL_Q_TARGET_TOP_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX] = s_top[0] / denom;
isv[RL_Q_TARGET_BOT_SATURATION_RATE_INDEX] = s_bot[0] / denom;
isv[RL_Q_TARGET_MAX_PRE_PROJ_INDEX] = s_max[0];
isv[RL_Q_TARGET_MIN_PRE_PROJ_INDEX] = s_min[0];
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,295 @@
// rl_cmdp_constraints_check.cu — Layer 1 hard CMDP gates.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Maintains the session-level + cooldown state that downstream consumers
// (actions_to_market_targets) read as override flags. Three independent
// risk constraints are tracked here:
//
// 1. Session pnl accumulation + DD limit (sticky `triggered` flag)
// 2. Cooldown counter decrement (after consecutive losses limit fires)
// 3. Consecutive-loss tracking (sets cooldown when limit hit)
//
// Max-open-units + net-inventory checks are evaluated PER BATCH inside
// actions_to_market_targets where per-batch unit state is available.
// This kernel handles only session-wide state.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block, sums sequentially.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`: ISV slots must match isv_slots.rs.
//
// Launch config:
// grid = (1, 1, 1)
// block = (1, 1, 1)
// smem = 0
// stream = main RL stream (sequenced AFTER rl_fused_reward_pipeline
// writes realized_pnl / outcomes, BEFORE actions_to_market_targets
// reads override flags).
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX 662
#define RL_SESSION_DD_LIMIT_USD_INDEX 663
#define RL_SESSION_DD_TRIGGERED_INDEX 664
#define RL_CONSEC_LOSS_LIMIT_INDEX 666
#define RL_CONSEC_LOSS_COUNT_INDEX 667
#define RL_COOLDOWN_REMAINING_STEPS_INDEX 668
#define RL_COOLDOWN_DURATION_INDEX 669
#define RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX 684
// Fleet-fraction observability (2026-06-01). Existing aggregates above
// emit the SINGLE WORST batch state, which at b=1024 stays pegged at
// the limit even when most batches are healthy. These fractions emit
// what proportion of the fleet is currently constrained, distinguishing
// "normal per-batch risk-management" from "fleet-wide absorbing trap".
#define RL_CMDP_FRAC_IN_COOLDOWN_INDEX 743
#define RL_CMDP_FRAC_CONSEC_NEAR_LIMIT_INDEX 744
#define RL_CMDP_FRAC_DD_TRIGGERED_INDEX 745
#define RL_CMDP_FRAC_SESSION_NEG_INDEX 746
// Edge-decay detector Phase 1 (2026-06-01). Page-Hinkley change-point
// detector on σ_welford-normalized per-trade PnL stream. Diagnostic-only
// (no behavior change). See spec
// docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-edge-decay-detector-phase1-diagnostic.md.
//
// Kernel ordering: rl_cmdp_constraints_check fires BEFORE apply_reward_scale
// and rl_popart_normalize in step_with_lobsim_gpu_body. So rewards[b] at
// kernel entry is RAW per-step PnL (USD), NOT popart-scaled. The σ slot
// read is the PRIOR step's σ_welford (one-step lag). Slot 725 is the
// pre-envelope-floor Welford σ — chosen over slot 555 (σ_effective)
// because slot 555 spikes 1000× at the eval shock window, blinding the
// detector.
#define RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX 725
#define RL_EDGE_PH_TOLERANCE_INDEX 747
#define RL_EDGE_PH_THRESHOLD_INDEX 748
#define RL_EDGE_PH_WARMUP_MIN_INDEX 749
#define RL_EDGE_PH_MEAN_INDEX 750
#define RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX 751
#define RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_WARMUP_INDEX 752
// Per-batch session-pnl + consec-loss tracking. Each batch element is an
// independent backtest "session" with its own $35k starting capital;
// `session_pnl_per_batch[b]` is the running PnL of that session and
// `consec_loss_per_batch[b]` is its losing-trade streak. The kernel
// writes per-batch state out for `actions_to_market_targets` to read
// (per-batch DD-triggered / cooldown gating) and also writes the
// canonical summary slots so diag + IQN-τ keep a single-account view.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_cmdp_constraints_check(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [b_size] RAW per-step pnl (USD)
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [b_size] 1.0 = close
float* __restrict__ session_pnl_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ consec_loss_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ session_dd_triggered_per_batch,// [b_size] IN/OUT (0/1)
float* __restrict__ cooldown_remaining_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT
// Edge-decay Phase 1: Page-Hinkley per-batch state (5 buffers).
// Zero-init at construction AND on every fold/eval boundary via
// reset_session_state (predictive-reset discipline).
float* __restrict__ ph_mu_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT — pre-update Welford mean (σ-normalized y)
float* __restrict__ ph_count_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT — trades observed (f32)
float* __restrict__ ph_m_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT — Σ(y_i μ̄_pre δ) post-warmup
float* __restrict__ ph_mmin_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT — min(ph_m_b) so far post-warmup
float* __restrict__ ph_stat_per_batch, // [b_size] IN/OUT — current ph_m ph_M (the PH statistic)
int b_size
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
const float dd_limit = isv[RL_SESSION_DD_LIMIT_USD_INDEX];
const float consec_lim = isv[RL_CONSEC_LOSS_LIMIT_INDEX];
const float cool_dur = isv[RL_COOLDOWN_DURATION_INDEX];
// Edge-decay Phase 1: read PH config + σ_welford for normalization.
// pop_sigma is clamped to 1e-6 to avoid div-by-zero in early bootstrap
// (before any reward has been observed, σ_welford may still be 0).
const float ph_delta = isv[RL_EDGE_PH_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float ph_lambda = isv[RL_EDGE_PH_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float ph_warmup_min = isv[RL_EDGE_PH_WARMUP_MIN_INDEX];
const float pop_sigma = fmaxf(isv[RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX], 1e-6f);
// Summary aggregates (single-account view, written at end of loop).
//
// Fix B: IQN-τ reads `RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX`, so we expose the
// MEAN-of-active-accounts there instead of the worst — one bad
// account no longer drags the fleet's risk aversion to its floor.
// The worst per-batch pnl mirrors to `RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX`
// for diag (helps spot fleet skew).
float worst_pnl = 0.0f;
float worst_consec = 0.0f;
float any_dd_trig = 0.0f;
float max_cool_remain = 0.0f;
float active_pnl_sum = 0.0f;
int n_active = 0;
// Fleet-fraction observability counters (2026-06-01). See header
// block above for the falsification criteria these support.
int n_in_cooldown = 0; // batches with cooldown_remaining > 0
int n_consec_near_lim = 0; // batches with consec >= limit - 1
int n_dd_triggered = 0; // batches with dd_triggered flag set
int n_session_neg = 0; // batches with session_pnl < 0
// Edge-decay Phase 1 fleet-fraction counters.
float ph_active_sum = 0.0f;
int n_ph_active = 0;
int n_ph_alerted = 0;
int n_ph_warmup = 0;
for (int b = 0; b < b_size; ++b) {
// Snapshot cooldown state BEFORE Section 1, so Section 2's
// decrement only consumes what was already in flight from a
// prior step. Without this, a fresh cooldown set in Section 1
// would be immediately decremented in Section 2 same-step
// (off-by-one — G1 caught this with cool=499 vs expected 500).
const float cool_prev = cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b];
// ── 1. Per-batch session pnl + DD check ─────────────────
// Fix A: when DD trips, also START a recovery cooldown — sticky
// dd_triggered without a recovery path leaves accounts dead for
// the rest of the fold, leaking variance from popart σ and
// pinning IQN-τ at its floor.
const float pnl_new = session_pnl_per_batch[b] + rewards[b];
session_pnl_per_batch[b] = pnl_new;
const bool was_triggered = session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b] >= 0.5f;
if (pnl_new < dd_limit && !was_triggered) {
session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b] = 1.0f;
cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b] = cool_dur; // recovery clock
}
// ── 2. Per-batch cooldown decrement + recovery reset ────
// When the cooldown clock expires, give the account a fresh
// start — matches [[feedback_surfer_philosophy_trading]]:
// accept the wipeout, take the forced break, then get back on
// the board. Otherwise the account contributes V_target ≈
// γ·V(s'_unchanged) for the rest of the fold (zero-variance
// dead-weight that compounds in popart σ).
if (cool_prev > 0.0f) {
const float cool_new = cool_prev - 1.0f;
cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b] = cool_new;
if (cool_new == 0.0f) {
session_pnl_per_batch[b] = 0.0f;
session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b] = 0.0f;
// consec already cleared at its own limit-trip path
}
}
// ── 3. Per-batch consec-loss tracking on closes ─────────
// r == 0 with done: ambiguous break-even, leave streak as-is.
float consec = consec_loss_per_batch[b];
if (dones[b] >= 0.5f) {
const float r = rewards[b];
if (r < 0.0f) consec += 1.0f;
else if (r > 0.0f) consec = 0.0f;
}
if (consec >= consec_lim) {
// Streak limit on THIS account — open its cooldown, reset
// streak. Other accounts unaffected. Recovery reset above
// will also clear it when the cooldown clock expires.
cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b] = cool_dur;
consec = 0.0f;
}
consec_loss_per_batch[b] = consec;
// ── Aggregates ──────────────────────────────────────────
// Active = post-recovery state (after the reset path above), so
// accounts that just recovered this step count as active again.
const float final_pnl = session_pnl_per_batch[b];
const float final_consec = consec_loss_per_batch[b];
const float final_cool = cooldown_remaining_per_batch[b];
const float final_triggered = session_dd_triggered_per_batch[b];
if (final_pnl < worst_pnl) worst_pnl = final_pnl;
if (final_consec > worst_consec) worst_consec = final_consec;
if (final_triggered >= 0.5f) any_dd_trig = 1.0f;
if (final_cool > max_cool_remain) max_cool_remain = final_cool;
if (final_triggered < 0.5f) {
active_pnl_sum += final_pnl;
n_active += 1;
}
// Fleet-fraction counters. consec_near_lim uses (limit - 1) as
// the threshold since the kernel resets consec to 0 the moment
// it hits the limit (line above), so we'd never observe consec
// AT limit at the aggregation point. (limit - 1) catches "about
// to trip" which is the diagnostic-relevant state.
if (final_cool > 0.0f) n_in_cooldown += 1;
if (final_consec >= consec_lim - 1.0f) n_consec_near_lim += 1;
if (final_triggered >= 0.5f) n_dd_triggered += 1;
if (final_pnl < 0.0f) n_session_neg += 1;
// ── Edge-decay Phase 1: Page-Hinkley state update ─────────
// Updates ONLY on done events (close-trade gate, same as consec).
// σ-normalized via σ_welford (slot 725); δ, λ are unit-less.
// m, M only accumulate AFTER warmup completes (cnt_prev >= warmup_min)
// to avoid cold-start Welford bias being baked into permanent offset.
if (dones[b] >= 0.5f) {
const float y = rewards[b] / pop_sigma;
const float mu_prev = ph_mu_per_batch[b];
const float cnt_prev = ph_count_per_batch[b];
const float cnt = cnt_prev + 1.0f;
// Welford mean update always runs (post-update value stored).
ph_mu_per_batch[b] = mu_prev + (y - mu_prev) / cnt;
ph_count_per_batch[b] = cnt;
// PH cumulative + M gated behind warmup completion.
// SIGN: detect mean DECREASE (edge decay). The cumulative
// m = Σ(μ̄_pre x_t δ) grows when x_t < μ̄ δ (signal is
// below recent mean by more than tolerance → degradation).
// The earlier formulation (x μ̄ δ) detects INCREASE which
// is the opposite of what we want; first cluster smoke
// (alpha-rl-n5x87 train step 1277) showed 77% of fleet
// alerted during normal training improvement, confirming
// the wrong-direction sign.
if (cnt_prev >= ph_warmup_min) {
const float m = ph_m_per_batch[b] + (mu_prev - y - ph_delta);
ph_m_per_batch[b] = m;
float M = ph_mmin_per_batch[b];
if (m < M) {
ph_mmin_per_batch[b] = m;
M = m;
}
ph_stat_per_batch[b] = m - M;
}
}
// Edge-decay fleet aggregates (every batch, every step — not gated
// on done). Active = past warmup; alerted = active AND stat > λ.
const float ph_stat_b = ph_stat_per_batch[b];
const float ph_cnt_b = ph_count_per_batch[b];
if (ph_cnt_b < ph_warmup_min) {
n_ph_warmup += 1;
} else {
n_ph_active += 1;
ph_active_sum += ph_stat_b;
if (ph_stat_b > ph_lambda) n_ph_alerted += 1;
}
}
// ── Canonical summary slots ────────────────────────────────────
// Fix B: IQN-τ reads `RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX` — feed it the
// mean-of-active-accounts so τ reflects the fleet's typical DD
// rather than one outlier's catastrophic loss. Worst stays
// visible for diag.
const float mean_active = (n_active > 0)
? (active_pnl_sum / (float)n_active)
: 0.0f;
isv[RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX] = mean_active;
isv[RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX] = worst_pnl;
isv[RL_SESSION_DD_TRIGGERED_INDEX] = any_dd_trig;
isv[RL_CONSEC_LOSS_COUNT_INDEX] = worst_consec;
isv[RL_COOLDOWN_REMAINING_STEPS_INDEX] = max_cool_remain;
// Fleet-fraction emits. b_size guaranteed > 0 by the launch-config
// assertion in the trainer (kernel returns early at threadIdx check
// above if b_size == 0 was somehow let through).
const float inv_b = 1.0f / (float)b_size;
isv[RL_CMDP_FRAC_IN_COOLDOWN_INDEX] = (float)n_in_cooldown * inv_b;
isv[RL_CMDP_FRAC_CONSEC_NEAR_LIMIT_INDEX] = (float)n_consec_near_lim * inv_b;
isv[RL_CMDP_FRAC_DD_TRIGGERED_INDEX] = (float)n_dd_triggered * inv_b;
isv[RL_CMDP_FRAC_SESSION_NEG_INDEX] = (float)n_session_neg * inv_b;
// Edge-decay Phase 1 fleet emits. ph_mean and frac_ph_alerted use
// n_active denominator (NOT b_size) — only batches past warmup can
// be alerted; before warmup completes the denominator would structurally
// cap the alert rate. frac_ph_warmup uses b_size (proper fleet fraction).
isv[RL_EDGE_PH_MEAN_INDEX] = (n_ph_active > 0) ? (ph_active_sum / (float)n_ph_active) : 0.0f;
isv[RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX] = (n_ph_active > 0) ? ((float)n_ph_alerted / (float)n_ph_active) : 0.0f;
isv[RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_WARMUP_INDEX] = (float)n_ph_warmup * inv_b;
}

View File

@@ -34,8 +34,15 @@
#define RL_HOLD_TARGET_FRAC_INDEX 575
#define RL_HOLD_FRAC_EMA_INDEX 576
#define RL_CONF_GATE_MAX_HOLD_FRAC_INDEX 584
#define RL_STOP_LOSS_THRESHOLD_INDEX 587
#define RL_MEAN_ABS_PNL_EMA_INDEX 423
// Phase 7b F5 (2026-06-05) Option A — interop with state-conditional
// action availability mask. When F5 master gate (slot 823) is engaged
// AND position is flat, F5 has DELIBERATELY forced the agent into an
// opening action by masking Hold (and other invalid actions) in
// pi_logits. Overriding that back to Hold here neutralizes F5's
// surfer→trend choice-set forcing and prevents F5-G1 from achieving
// `hold_frac_flat == 0`. The suppression is gated on F5-engaged AND
// flat — in-position safety overrides are preserved verbatim.
#define RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX 823
#define THRESHOLD_MIN 0.05f
#define THRESHOLD_MAX 0.95f
#define HOLD_EMA_ALPHA 0.1f
@@ -53,35 +60,6 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_confidence_gate(
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
// ── Hard stop-loss: override action to Flat when unrealized loss
// exceeds ISV-driven threshold. Fires BEFORE gate logic so the
// lobsim actually closes the position (no state mismatch).
// unrealized_loss = |vwap - mid| × |lots|; normalized by mean_abs_pnl.
{
const unsigned char* p = pos_state + b * pos_bytes;
const int lots = *(const int*)(p + 0);
if (lots != 0) {
const float stop_thresh = isv[RL_STOP_LOSS_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float mean_abs = fmaxf(isv[RL_MEAN_ABS_PNL_EMA_INDEX], 1e-6f);
// Approximate mid from the first bid/ask level would need
// book data; instead use the realized_pnl delta as a proxy
// for position health. Simpler: use vwap vs realized_pnl trend.
// For now, use the unit_entry_price-based unrealized_r from
// trade_context — but that runs AFTER this kernel.
//
// Practical approach: read peak_equity (offset 12) and
// realized_pnl (offset 8). Drawdown from peak = peak - realized.
const float realized = *(const float*)(p + 8);
const float peak = *(const float*)(p + 12);
const float drawdown = peak - realized;
const float normalized_dd = drawdown / mean_abs;
if (normalized_dd > stop_thresh) {
actions[b] = (lots > 0) ? 3 : 4; // FlatFromLong / FlatFromShort
return;
}
}
}
const int current_step = (int)isv[RL_STEP_COUNTER_ISV_INDEX];
const int warmup = (int)isv[RL_GATE_WARMUP_STEPS_INDEX];
if (current_step < warmup) return;
@@ -97,6 +75,13 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_confidence_gate(
const int action = actions[b];
if (action == ACTION_HOLD) return;
// Gate is opening-only: a non-flat position has already cleared
// the confidence check, so overriding it to Hold would suppress
// legitimate adds/exits. pos_state[0..4] = position_lots:i32.
const int position_lots =
*reinterpret_cast<const int*>(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
if (position_lots != 0) return;
const float threshold = isv[RL_CONF_GATE_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float lambda = isv[RL_CONF_GATE_LAMBDA_INDEX];
const float sigma_norm = isv[RL_CONF_GATE_SIGMA_NORM_INDEX];
@@ -142,7 +127,14 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_confidence_gate(
const float lcb = (mu - v_min) - lambda * sigma;
const float conf = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(lcb / span, 1.0f));
if (conf < threshold) {
// Phase 7b F5 (2026-06-05) Option A — suppress Hold override when
// F5 is engaged and we are flat. F5 has masked Hold (and other
// invalid actions) in pi_logits, so the sampled action is a
// deliberate F5-allowed opening. The early-return at line above
// (`position_lots != 0 → return`) already restricts us to flat
// here, so checking only the F5 master gate is sufficient.
const bool f5_engaged = (isv[RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX] > 0.5f);
if (conf < threshold && !f5_engaged) {
actions[b] = ACTION_HOLD;
isv[RL_CONF_GATE_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX] += 1.0f;
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
// rl_deterministic_checksum.cu — provably deterministic sum-of-squares.
//
// Phase 1 of the determinism foundation
// (`docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-determinism-foundation.md` §1.1).
//
// Computes `Σ data[i]^2` over `n` elements with construction-guaranteed
// determinism. Launch geometry is hard-coded (1,1,1)/(1,1,1) — a single
// thread iterates sequentially. The accumulator is double precision; no
// intermediate fp32 round-off varies with launch geometry or block count.
//
// Trade-off vs throughput:
// * RTX 3050 / L40S sum-of-squares throughput at single-thread is on the
// order of 10^9 elements/s. The largest tensor in foxhunt's RL train
// loop is ~24k floats (Q-head grad_w). Cost per launch is therefore
// dominated by launch overhead (~5-20 μs) — 15 launches/step add
// ~150-300 μs total, well within the dev-mode budget per §4 of the
// spec.
// * The deliberately slow accumulation order is the entire point. Any
// parallel reduction tree introduces order-of-addition variance that
// would invalidate the diagnostic.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: zero atomics — pure sequential accumulation.
// Per `feedback_no_stubs`: kernel always executes, no early-exit; n=0
// writes 0.0 (defined behavior).
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: registered in `crates/ml-alpha/build.rs` for
// AOT compilation to per-arch cubin.
//
// Output is f64 (one element). Reading it from the host is the only CPU
// roundtrip; the value itself is computed entirely on device, satisfying
// `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`.
#include <cuda_runtime.h>
#include <stdint.h>
// `n` is passed as int (32-bit) to match the kernel arg-passing
// convention used throughout foxhunt (raw_launch + RawArgs::push_i32).
// All checksum-able tensors in the RL trainer are < 2 billion elements
// (the largest, Q-head weights with HIDDEN_DIM * N_ACTIONS * Q_N_ATOMS,
// is on the order of 1e5 floats), so int is safe.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_deterministic_checksum_f32(
const float* __restrict__ data,
int n,
double* __restrict__ out
) {
// Single block, single thread — only thread 0 does anything.
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) {
return;
}
double acc = 0.0;
for (int i = 0; i < n; ++i) {
const double v = static_cast<double>(data[i]);
acc += v * v;
}
out[0] = acc;
}
// Integer variant for replay indices and other u32/i32 tensors. Same
// accumulation discipline; the input is cast through int64 to avoid
// signed-overflow UB on the sum-of-squares accumulation.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_deterministic_checksum_i32(
const int* __restrict__ data,
int n,
double* __restrict__ out
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) {
return;
}
double acc = 0.0;
for (int i = 0; i < n; ++i) {
// Cast to int64 first to widen — int32^2 fits in int64 exactly;
// double's 53-bit mantissa may round large sums but the
// accumulation ORDER is still deterministic, which is the
// contract.
const int64_t v = static_cast<int64_t>(data[i]);
acc += static_cast<double>(v) * static_cast<double>(v);
}
out[0] = acc;
}

View File

@@ -1,49 +0,0 @@
// rl_drawdown_stop.cu — per-step drawdown penalty + hard stop-loss.
//
// Runs AFTER rl_trade_context_update (which computes unrealized_r).
// Reads unrealized_r from trade_context_d and applies:
//
// 1. Per-step drawdown penalty: adds min(0, unrealized_r) × PENALTY_RATE
// to rewards[b]. Creates continuous exit gradient on losing positions.
// Penalty-only (never positive) = no exposure incentive.
//
// 2. Hard stop-loss: when unrealized_r < -STOP_THRESHOLD, force-close
// by setting dones[b] = 1. The realized PnL at this point becomes
// the final trade reward. Caps max loss per trade.
//
// Both thresholds are ISV-driven per feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds.
// Grid: ceil(B/32), Block: 32.
#define RL_DRAWDOWN_PENALTY_RATE_INDEX 586
#define RL_STOP_LOSS_THRESHOLD_INDEX 587
#define TRADE_CONTEXT_STRIDE 5
#define UNREALIZED_R_OFFSET 1
extern "C" __global__ void rl_drawdown_stop(
const float* __restrict__ trade_context, // [B, TRADE_CONTEXT_STRIDE]
float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ dones, // [B] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
const float unrealized_r = trade_context[b * TRADE_CONTEXT_STRIDE + UNREALIZED_R_OFFSET];
const float penalty_rate = isv[RL_DRAWDOWN_PENALTY_RATE_INDEX];
const float stop_thresh = isv[RL_STOP_LOSS_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
// Per-step drawdown penalty: only fires when losing (unrealized_r < 0).
// min(0, x) * rate is always <= 0.
if (unrealized_r < 0.0f) {
rewards[b] += unrealized_r * penalty_rate;
}
// Hard stop-loss DISABLED: setting dones=1 here creates a state
// mismatch — the lobsim position stays open while Q sees a false
// close. The done signal must come from actual position changes
// in the lobsim, not synthetic overrides. To implement hard
// stop-loss properly, the action must be overridden to FlatL/FlatS
// BEFORE the lobsim step, not after.
(void) stop_thresh;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,57 @@
// rl_dueling_q_bellman_target.cu — Phase 4 Bellman target build.
//
// Picks argmax_a' over the target net's composed_Q at s_{t+1}, then
// builds the scalar Bellman target:
//
// a*_b = argmax_a' target_composed_Q[b, a']
// target_value[b] = r[b] + γ × (1 done[b]) × target_composed_Q[b, a*_b]
//
// γ read from ISV bus at runtime — same source as C51 / IQN Bellman
// target kernels (RL_GAMMA_INDEX=400). For n-step returns, the
// per-batch n_step_gammas are passed (matches existing PER convention).
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (N_ACTIONS, 1, 1)
// One block per batch. Each thread holds one action's value.
// Tree-reduce in shared mem to find argmax. Thread 0 computes the
// final target.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per output cell.
#define N_ACTIONS 11
extern "C" __global__ void rl_dueling_q_bellman_target_build(
const float* __restrict__ target_composed_q, // [B × N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ n_step_gammas, // [B] (γ^n_step per sample)
int B,
float* __restrict__ target_value_out // [B]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int a = threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
if (a >= N_ACTIONS) return;
__shared__ float s_q[N_ACTIONS];
s_q[a] = target_composed_q[b * N_ACTIONS + a];
__syncthreads();
if (a == 0) {
// Find argmax serially (small N).
float best = s_q[0];
#pragma unroll
for (int i = 1; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
if (s_q[i] > best) best = s_q[i];
}
const float r = rewards[b];
const float done = dones[b];
const float gamma_n = n_step_gammas[b];
// Standard Bellman with done masking:
// target = r + γ^n × (1 done) × max_q
target_value_out[b] = r + gamma_n * (1.0f - done) * best;
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,89 @@
// rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd.cu — Phase 4 decompose grad + weight grad.
//
// Decompose:
// composed_Q[b, a] = V[b] + A[b, a] (1/N) Σ_a' A[b, a']
//
// Chain rule (only taken action has nonzero grad_composed[b, a]):
// grad_V[b] = Σ_a grad_composed[b, a] = grad_composed[b, a_taken]
// grad_A[b, a] = grad_composed[b, a] (1/N) × grad_V[b]
//
// For a == a_taken: grad_A[b, a] = (1 1/N) × grad_composed[b, a_taken]
// For a ≠ a_taken: grad_A[b, a] = (1/N) × grad_composed[b, a_taken]
//
// After decompose, compute per-batch weight gradients via outer
// product with h_t:
// grad_w_v_pb[b, c] = grad_V[b] × h_t[b, c]
// grad_b_v_pb[b] = grad_V[b]
// grad_w_a_pb[b, c, a] = grad_A[b, a] × h_t[b, c]
// grad_b_a_pb[b, a] = grad_A[b, a]
//
// Caller reduces per-batch grads via reduce_axis0 to final shapes:
// grad_w_v [HIDDEN_DIM]
// grad_b_v [1]
// grad_w_a [HIDDEN_DIM × N_ACTIONS]
// grad_b_a [N_ACTIONS]
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (HIDDEN_DIM, 1, 1) — one thread per hidden-dim index
// Each thread loops over N_ACTIONS to write A weights, plus the
// single V weight. Thread 0 additionally writes grad_b_v_pb +
// grad_b_a_pb (small).
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per (b, c, a) and (b, c) cells.
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define N_ACTIONS 11
extern "C" __global__ void rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_weight_grad(
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ grad_composed, // [B × N_ACTIONS] (only taken cell nonzero)
const int* __restrict__ actions_taken, // [B]
int B,
float* __restrict__ grad_w_v_pb, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
float* __restrict__ grad_b_v_pb, // [B]
float* __restrict__ grad_w_a_pb, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM × N_ACTIONS]
float* __restrict__ grad_b_a_pb // [B × N_ACTIONS]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int c = threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
if (c >= HIDDEN_DIM) return;
int a_t = actions_taken[b];
if (a_t < 0) a_t = 0;
if (a_t >= N_ACTIONS) a_t = 0;
// grad_composed is nonzero only at a == a_t.
const float gc_taken = grad_composed[b * N_ACTIONS + a_t];
// grad_V[b] = Σ_a grad_composed[b, a] = gc_taken (others are 0).
const float grad_v = gc_taken;
// h_t[b, c].
const float h_bc = h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
// Per-batch V weight grad.
grad_w_v_pb[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c] = grad_v * h_bc;
// Per-batch A weight grad (one thread writes N_ACTIONS values).
// grad_A[b, a] = grad_composed[b, a] (1/N) × grad_V[b]
// = (a == a_t ? gc_taken : 0) (1/N) × gc_taken
const float inv_N = 1.0f / (float)N_ACTIONS;
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
const float grad_a = (a == a_t ? gc_taken : 0.0f) - inv_N * gc_taken;
// Layout: grad_w_a_pb[b, c, a] = h_bc * grad_a
grad_w_a_pb[b * HIDDEN_DIM * N_ACTIONS + c * N_ACTIONS + a] = h_bc * grad_a;
}
// Thread 0 writes biases (small).
if (c == 0) {
grad_b_v_pb[b] = grad_v;
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
const float grad_a = (a == a_t ? gc_taken : 0.0f) - inv_N * gc_taken;
grad_b_a_pb[b * N_ACTIONS + a] = grad_a;
}
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,121 @@
// rl_dueling_q_forward.cu — Phase 4 Independent Dueling Q head forward.
//
// Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-phase4-independent-dueling-head-design.md.
//
// Architecture: parallel head to C51/IQN/π/value_head with ZERO shared
// state with downstream consumers (ensemble, distill, action selection).
// Trains its own V + A weights via Bellman loss on composed_Q at taken
// action. V output feeds PPO advantage baseline (Phase 4.3) — composed_Q
// is internal to this head's loss path and never consumed elsewhere.
//
// Why this design (vs Phase 2 v2 / Phase 3.x failures):
// - Phase 2 v2 (scalar V + categorical CE): N/A here — uses scalar
// Bellman loss, no softmax math eating V.
// - Phase 3.2 (V_IQN cross-architecture calibration): V_dq trained
// on same Bellman reward signal as C51, scales align by construction.
// - Phase 3.1 (composed Q perturbs ensemble): composed_Q_dq never
// feeds ensemble. Only feeds its own Bellman loss + diag.
// - Phase 3.1-fix (gradient structure mismatch contaminates weights):
// DuelingQHead has its OWN weights — mean-zero A grad pattern only
// affects DuelingQHead's training, no shared weights with C51/IQN.
//
// Forward computation:
// V[b] = Σ_c w_v[c] × h_t[b, c] + b_v[0]
// A[b, a] = Σ_c w_a[c, a] × h_t[b, c] + b_a[a] for a in 0..N
// composed_Q[b, a] = V[b] + A[b, a] (1/N) Σ_a' A[b, a']
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (HIDDEN_DIM = 128, 1, 1)
// One block per batch. Each thread computes one hidden-dim term and
// participates in tree-reduce. Then thread 0 broadcasts to A
// computation. Each thread computes one action's matmul contribution.
// Mean reduction over N_ACTIONS done in shared mem.
//
// Memory:
// shared float s_h[HIDDEN_DIM] — cached h_t row
// shared float s_v — scalar V value
// shared float s_a[N_ACTIONS] — A values (post-bias)
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per output cell.
// Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only: pure device kernel.
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
#define N_ACTIONS 11
extern "C" __global__ void rl_dueling_q_forward(
const float* __restrict__ h_t, // [B × HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ w_v, // [HIDDEN_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ b_v, // [1]
const float* __restrict__ w_a, // [HIDDEN_DIM × N_ACTIONS], row-major
const float* __restrict__ b_a, // [N_ACTIONS]
int B,
float* __restrict__ v_out, // [B]
float* __restrict__ a_out, // [B × N_ACTIONS]
float* __restrict__ q_composed_out // [B × N_ACTIONS]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int c = threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
if (c >= HIDDEN_DIM) return;
extern __shared__ float s_h[]; // [HIDDEN_DIM], sized by smem arg
// ── Load h_t[b] into shared mem ──
s_h[c] = h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + c];
__syncthreads();
// ── V projection (block-reduce) ──
// V[b] = Σ_c w_v[c] × s_h[c] + b_v[0]
// Tree reduction over HIDDEN_DIM threads.
__shared__ float s_v_partial[HIDDEN_DIM];
s_v_partial[c] = w_v[c] * s_h[c];
__syncthreads();
// Tree reduce
for (int stride = HIDDEN_DIM / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (c < stride) {
s_v_partial[c] += s_v_partial[c + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
__shared__ float s_v;
if (c == 0) {
s_v = s_v_partial[0] + b_v[0];
v_out[b] = s_v;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── A projection (each thread handles one action) ──
// A[b, a] = Σ_c w_a[c, a] × s_h[c] + b_a[a]
// Threads 0..N_ACTIONS-1 compute one action each.
// Other threads idle for this section.
__shared__ float s_a[N_ACTIONS];
if (c < N_ACTIONS) {
float acc = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int i = 0; i < HIDDEN_DIM; ++i) {
acc += w_a[i * N_ACTIONS + c] * s_h[i];
}
acc += b_a[c];
s_a[c] = acc;
a_out[b * N_ACTIONS + c] = acc;
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Mean over actions (thread 0 only — small N) ──
__shared__ float s_mean_a;
if (c == 0) {
float sum = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
sum += s_a[i];
}
s_mean_a = sum * (1.0f / (float)N_ACTIONS);
}
__syncthreads();
// ── Compose Q (each thread for one action writes the result) ──
if (c < N_ACTIONS) {
q_composed_out[b * N_ACTIONS + c] = s_v + s_a[c] - s_mean_a;
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,83 @@
// rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad.cu — Phase 4 Bellman loss + decompose backward.
//
// Computes the scalar Huber loss on (target online_composed_Q[taken])
// AND emits grad_composed[B × N_ACTIONS] in one fused kernel.
//
// Loss (per-batch):
// δ_b = target_value[b] online_composed_Q[b, a_taken[b]]
// L_b = Huber(δ_b, κ=1.0) / B (mean over batch)
// loss_per_batch[b] = L_b
//
// Gradient w.r.t. online_composed_Q (mostly zero, nonzero at taken):
// For a_taken: dL/d_composed[b, a_taken] = (1/B) × Huber'(δ_b)
// For a ≠ a_taken: dL/d_composed[b, a] = 0
//
// Huber'(δ) = δ if |δ| ≤ κ
// = κ × sign(δ) if |δ| > κ
//
// Block layout:
// grid = (B, 1, 1)
// block = (N_ACTIONS, 1, 1)
// Each thread writes one (b, a) cell of grad_composed; thread 0
// computes loss + the nonzero gradient scalar.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per cell.
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define HUBER_KAPPA 1.0f
extern "C" __global__ void rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad(
const float* __restrict__ online_composed_q, // [B × N_ACTIONS]
const float* __restrict__ target_value, // [B]
const int* __restrict__ actions_taken, // [B]
int B,
float* __restrict__ loss_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ grad_composed // [B × N_ACTIONS]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int a = threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
if (a >= N_ACTIONS) return;
// Defensive clamp on actions_taken (trainer should never produce
// out-of-range, but guard against corrupt indices).
int a_t = actions_taken[b];
if (a_t < 0) a_t = 0;
if (a_t >= N_ACTIONS) a_t = 0;
__shared__ float s_grad_scalar;
if (a == 0) {
const float q_taken = online_composed_q[b * N_ACTIONS + a_t];
const float target = target_value[b];
const float delta = target - q_taken;
const float abs_d = fabsf(delta);
const float inv_B = 1.0f / (float)B;
// Huber loss.
float l;
if (abs_d <= HUBER_KAPPA) {
l = 0.5f * delta * delta;
} else {
l = HUBER_KAPPA * (abs_d - 0.5f * HUBER_KAPPA);
}
loss_per_batch[b] = l * inv_B;
// Huber'(δ) — gradient of l w.r.t. delta.
float huber_grad;
if (abs_d <= HUBER_KAPPA) {
huber_grad = delta;
} else {
huber_grad = HUBER_KAPPA * ((delta > 0.0f) ? 1.0f : -1.0f);
}
// dL/d_composed[a_taken] = (dL/dδ) × (dδ/d_composed[a_taken])
// = (1/B) × huber_grad (δ = target Q)
s_grad_scalar = -inv_B * huber_grad;
}
__syncthreads();
// All threads write grad_composed. Only the taken action gets a
// nonzero value (CE on a single Q value).
const int idx = b * N_ACTIONS + a;
grad_composed[idx] = (a == a_t) ? s_grad_scalar : 0.0f;
}

View File

@@ -46,13 +46,35 @@
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX 403
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define COEF_MIN 0.0f
#define COEF_MAX 0.5f
// COEF MIN/MAX clamp bounds are now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30
// clamp-bound extension. Runtime-tunable + visible in diag.
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX 645
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MAX_INDEX 646
// ISV-driven entropy-target fraction per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`.
// Default 0.7 (70% of ln(N_ACTIONS) = "explore but not too randomly").
// Seeded by rl_isv_write at trainer init.
#define RL_ENTROPY_TARGET_FRAC_INDEX 458
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// noise floor derives from observed entropy_observed_ema variance via
// Welford triples. Replaces the hardcoded `0.5f` emergency-bypass fraction
// with `max(h_target × 0.5, h_target 2σ)` — under Phase 4.5 the entropy
// distribution narrows around the SAC target and the hardcoded 0.5×h_target
// emergency gate never fires, leaving the Wiener blend to drag coef to MIN
// (alpha-rl-... fold 0 confirmed entropy_coef stuck at 0.01).
// Asymmetric Schulman semantics: coef RAISES on a single below-target
// observation (entropy collapse = safety signal, act fast); coef DROPS
// only after N consecutive above-target observations (healthy entropy =
// drift coef down patiently).
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 600
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_M2_INDEX 602
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 603
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
#define NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC 0.5f // floor ≥ 50% of target
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed signal
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // descent requires N above-band steps
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -101,10 +123,12 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_entropy_coef_controller(
// At h_obs = 0 (total collapse): coef = COEF_MAX (emergency)
// At h_obs > h_target: coef = COEF_FLOOR (no penalty for exploring)
const float COEF_FLOOR = 0.01f;
const float coef_min = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX];
const float coef_max = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MAX_INDEX];
const float deficit_frac = fmaxf(0.0f,
fminf((h_target - entropy_observed_ema) / fmaxf(h_target, 1e-6f), 1.0f));
float coef_target = COEF_FLOOR + (COEF_MAX - COEF_FLOOR) * deficit_frac;
coef_target = fmaxf(COEF_MIN, fminf(coef_target, COEF_MAX));
float coef_target = COEF_FLOOR + (coef_max - COEF_FLOOR) * deficit_frac;
coef_target = fmaxf(coef_min, fminf(coef_target, coef_max));
// Bootstrap on sentinel 0.0 per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap:
// first emit replaces directly with the computed target. At cold
@@ -117,17 +141,56 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_entropy_coef_controller(
return;
}
// Emergency: bypass Wiener blend when entropy is below 50% of target.
// The slow blend can't react fast enough to prevent Hold collapse.
if (entropy_observed_ema < h_target * 0.5f && entropy_observed_ema > 0.0f) {
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven per
// `pearl_zscore_normalization_for_magnitude_asymmetric_signals` and
// `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`. Replaces hardcoded `h_target × 0.5`
// emergency-bypass threshold with adaptive `max(h_target × 0.5,
// h_target 2σ_observed)` so the emergency path still fires when
// entropy drops more than 2σ below its observed mean even if the
// distribution is so narrow that 50% × h_target is unreachable.
// Welford sample variance = M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
const float h_count = isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float h_var = (h_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (h_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float h_std = sqrtf(h_var);
const float emergency_floor = fmaxf(h_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
h_target - h_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
// Asymmetric Schulman (spec 2026-05-30): RAISE coef on a single
// below-emergency-floor observation — entropy collapse is a safety
// signal we act on fast. DROP coef only after N consecutive
// above-band observations so a single noisy spike of healthy
// entropy can't drag coef toward MIN. Below-counter is on the
// "healthy entropy" direction here (entropy_observed > h_target ×
// tolerance), distinct from the canonical Schulman semantics where
// below-counter means "input below band."
if (entropy_observed_ema > 0.0f && entropy_observed_ema < emergency_floor) {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_target;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
return;
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
float coef_new = (1.0f - a) * coef_prev + a * coef_target;
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float wiener_a = fmaxf(alpha, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float coef_new = (1.0f - wiener_a) * coef_prev + wiener_a * coef_target;
coef_new = fmaxf(coef_min, fminf(coef_new, coef_max));
if (coef_new < coef_prev && entropy_observed_ema > h_target * tolerance) {
// Healthy-entropy direction — require N consecutive observations
// before letting the Wiener blend drag coef downward. Single noisy
// high-entropy spike must not erode the entropy bonus.
const float new_count = isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
if (new_count < WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) {
// Hold coef at previous value until patience accumulates.
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_prev;
return;
}
} else {
// Either entropy unhealthy (coef rising) or in-band — reset patience.
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
}
coef_new = fmaxf(COEF_MIN, fminf(coef_new, COEF_MAX));
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_new;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
// rl_eval_warmup_decay.cu — defensive eval-boundary calibration (v9).
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-v9-defensive-eval-boundary-calibration.md
// Pearl: pearl_adaptive_carryover_discipline
//
// At every regime boundary (train→eval, fold transition), the trainer
// calls `reset_session_state` which sets `RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_REMAINING_INDEX`
// to the configured warmup duration. This kernel runs once per step
// thereafter; while the counter is positive, it overrides four
// risk-sizing controller floors with conservative defensive values.
//
// Schedule (let R = warmup_remaining, W = warmup_steps, D = decay_steps):
//
// R > D full defensive overrides written
// 0 < R ≤ D linear interpolation: defensive (1) → normal (0)
// R = 0 normal values written once, counter goes to -1
// R < 0 no-op (warmup completed, controllers run unimpeded)
//
// The override slots affected are read-only by their consuming controllers
// (Kelly safety_frac, IQN τ_min, entropy_coef_min, PPO clip ε_min), so
// last-writer-wins applies cleanly when this kernel runs AFTER the
// controller batch.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block, no atomics.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: defensive override values, normal
// target values, warmup/decay durations are all ISV-driven.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_REMAINING_INDEX 685
#define RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_STEPS_CONFIG_INDEX 686
#define RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_DECAY_STEPS_CONFIG_INDEX 687
#define RL_EVAL_KELLY_SAFETY_DEFENSIVE_INDEX 688
#define RL_EVAL_IQN_TAU_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX 689
#define RL_EVAL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX 690
#define RL_EVAL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX 691
#define RL_EVAL_KELLY_SAFETY_NORMAL_INDEX 692
#define RL_EVAL_IQN_TAU_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX 693
#define RL_EVAL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX 694
#define RL_EVAL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX 695
// Consumer slots (controller floors that this kernel overrides during warmup).
#define RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX 680
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX 672
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX 645
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX 640
extern "C" __global__ void rl_eval_warmup_decay(
float* __restrict__ isv
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
const float remaining = isv[RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_REMAINING_INDEX];
// Post-warmup steady state: do nothing. The normal floors stay at
// their bootstrap values (or whatever the last-warmup-step wrote).
if (remaining < 0.0f) {
return;
}
// Read configured durations + override / normal values.
const float warmup_steps = isv[RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_STEPS_CONFIG_INDEX];
const float decay_steps = isv[RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_DECAY_STEPS_CONFIG_INDEX];
const float kelly_def = isv[RL_EVAL_KELLY_SAFETY_DEFENSIVE_INDEX];
const float tau_def = isv[RL_EVAL_IQN_TAU_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX];
const float entropy_def = isv[RL_EVAL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX];
const float ppo_def = isv[RL_EVAL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_DEFENSIVE_INDEX];
const float kelly_norm = isv[RL_EVAL_KELLY_SAFETY_NORMAL_INDEX];
const float tau_norm = isv[RL_EVAL_IQN_TAU_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX];
const float entropy_norm = isv[RL_EVAL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX];
const float ppo_norm = isv[RL_EVAL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_NORMAL_INDEX];
// Phase selection:
// pure warmup remaining > decay_steps → blend = 1.0 (full defensive)
// decay phase 0 < remaining ≤ decay_steps → blend = remaining/decay_steps
// final boundary remaining == 0 → blend = 0.0 (full normal)
float blend;
if (remaining > decay_steps) {
blend = 1.0f;
} else if (decay_steps > 0.0f) {
blend = remaining / decay_steps; // 1.0 → 0.0 as remaining → 0
} else {
// Defensive: decay_steps configured to 0 means no decay phase.
blend = (remaining > 0.0f) ? 1.0f : 0.0f;
}
// Linear interpolation: blend × defensive + (1blend) × normal.
isv[RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX] = blend * kelly_def + (1.0f - blend) * kelly_norm;
isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX] = blend * tau_def + (1.0f - blend) * tau_norm;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX] = blend * entropy_def + (1.0f - blend) * entropy_norm;
isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX] = blend * ppo_def + (1.0f - blend) * ppo_norm;
// Decrement counter for next step. When it crosses 0, the next step
// sees remaining = -1 and returns early (controllers run unimpeded).
isv[RL_REGIME_TRANSITION_REMAINING_INDEX] = remaining - 1.0f;
// Spec note: warmup_steps is used only by the trainer to set the
// initial counter value; this kernel reads warmup_steps only to make
// the `remaining > decay_steps` comparison meaningful for non-default
// configurations (e.g., shorter warmup with same decay).
(void) warmup_steps;
}

View File

@@ -35,6 +35,15 @@
#define RL_FRD_GATE_FIRED_COUNT_INDEX 518
#define RL_GATE_WARMUP_STEPS_INDEX 524
#define RL_STEP_COUNTER_ISV_INDEX 548
// Phase 7b F5 (2026-06-05) Option A — interop with state-conditional
// action availability mask. When F5 master gate (slot 823) is engaged
// AND position is flat, F5 has DELIBERATELY forced the agent into an
// opening action by masking Hold (and other invalid actions) in
// pi_logits. Overriding that back to Hold here neutralizes F5's
// surfer→trend choice-set forcing and prevents F5-G1 from achieving
// `hold_frac_flat == 0`. The suppression is gated on F5-engaged AND
// flat — in-position safety overrides are preserved verbatim.
#define RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX 823
extern "C" __global__ void rl_frd_gate(
int* __restrict__ actions, // [B] IN/OUT
@@ -60,6 +69,15 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_frd_gate(
const int position_lots = *(const int*)(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
if (position_lots != 0) return;
// Phase 7b F5 (2026-06-05) Option A — short-circuit before quality
// computation when F5 is engaged and we are flat. F5 has masked
// Hold in pi_logits so the sampled opening is deliberate; overriding
// here would neutralize F5-G1 (`hold_frac_flat == 0` from flat).
// The early `position_lots != 0 → return` above already restricts
// us to flat, so checking the F5 master gate alone is sufficient.
const bool f5_engaged = (isv[RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX] > 0.5f);
if (f5_engaged) return;
// Horizon 2 logits for this batch.
const float* h2 = frd_logits + b * (FRD_N_HORIZONS * FRD_N_ATOMS) + FRD_H2_OFFSET;

View File

@@ -1,21 +1,29 @@
// rl_fused_controllers.cu — single-kernel fusion of 10 RL ISV controllers.
// rl_fused_controllers.cu — single-kernel fusion of 13 RL ISV controllers.
//
// Eliminates 9 kernel-launch overheads (~40-80μs/step) by running all
// Eliminates 12 kernel-launch overheads (~55-100μs/step) by running all
// controllers sequentially in one thread. Each controller's logic is
// copied verbatim from its standalone .cu file. The standalone files
// are retained for documentation and individual testing.
// MIRRORED from its standalone .cu file (post-2026-05-30 adaptive
// controller-floor + risk-management refactors): adaptive noise floor
// derived from Welford variance, asymmetric Schulman patience counters,
// ISV-driven clamp bounds + Wiener-α floor. Per `feedback_no_partial_refactor`
// and the "fused kernel must be semantically equivalent to running all
// individual controllers in sequence" contract, every branch below matches
// its standalone counterpart's ISV reads, math, and counter semantics.
//
// Controllers fused (in execution order):
// 1. rl_gamma_controller ISV[400] ← ISV[input_slots[0]]
// 2. rl_target_tau_controller ISV[401] ← ISV[input_slots[1]]
// 3. rl_ppo_clip_controller ISV[402] ← ISV[input_slots[2]]
// 4. rl_entropy_coef_controller ISV[403] ← ISV[input_slots[3]]
// 5. rl_rollout_steps_controller ISV[404] ← ISV[input_slots[4]]
// 5. rl_rollout_steps_controller ISV[404] ← ISV[input_slots[4]] (caller passes ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM=612)
// 6. rl_per_alpha_controller ISV[405] ← ISV[input_slots[5]]
// 7. rl_reward_scale_controller ISV[406] ← ISV[input_slots[6]]
// 8. rl_ppo_ratio_clamp_controller ISV[440] ← ISV[402] (reads ε just written)
// 9. rl_gate_threshold_controller ISV[512,516,517] ← dones[B]
// 10. rl_q_distill_lambda_controller ISV[486] ← ISV[488]
// 11. rl_iqn_action_tau_controller ISV[671] ← ISV[662] (Layer 2, spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management)
// 12. rl_inventory_beta_controller ISV[674] ← ISV[675,614] (Layer 3)
// 13. rl_kelly_fraction_controller ISV[676] ← ISV[677,678,679,680,681,660] (Layer 4)
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single thread, no atomics.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: all state in ISV, no host roundtrip.
@@ -24,65 +32,116 @@
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// ISV slot indices — mirrored from individual controller headers.
// All MIN/MAX/threshold/rate constants are ISV-resident per the 2026-05-30
// adaptive controller-floor design. The few remaining `#define`s below are
// architectural exemptions (physics/math constants, structural safeguards).
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// --- 1. Gamma controller ---
// --- Output slots (controller emits) ---
#define RL_GAMMA_INDEX 400
#define GAMMA_MIN 0.995f
#define GAMMA_MAX 0.999f
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX 401
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX 402
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX 403
#define RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX 404
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX 405
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX 406
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX 440
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX 486
// --- 1. Gamma controller (Special G) ---
// γ MIN now adaptive via RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX (slot 613) derived
// from the Welford mean of trade duration. γ MAX is ISV-resident.
#define RL_GAMMA_MAX_INDEX 649
#define RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 613
#define RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 608
// Reward-floor fix (2026-05-30 follow-up): track REAL cumulative closed
// trades via dones-sum accumulation. The Welford trade-duration counter
// increments per closed-trade STEP, not per closed trade — at b=1024 with
// ~7 dones/step this released the floor after only ~700 actual trades.
#define RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660
#define RL_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX 661
// Monotonic 0→1 latch (2026-05-31 eval-boundary addendum). Set ONCE when
// cumulative_dones first crosses min_trades; persists across reset_session_state
// (NEVER reset). Replaces the prior `(cumulative_dones < min_trades)` test in
// reward_scale's boot_floor gate so the floor doesn't re-fire at fold boundaries
// when cumulative_dones is reset for Kelly's predictive-warmup purpose.
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_CONTROLLER_WARMED_FLAG_INDEX 716
#define RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 609
#define RL_MEAN_TRADE_DURATION_EMA_INDEX 417
#define GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE 0.9f // architectural: don't degenerate to bandit
#define HORIZON_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // architectural: effective horizon = 2× transaction horizon
#define WELFORD_WARMUP_OBS 100.0f // architectural: confidence threshold, not magnitude calibration
#define HORIZON_FLOOR 10.0f // architectural: `1/d` numerical-stability floor
// --- 2. Target tau controller ---
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX 401
#define TAU_MIN 0.001f
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_MIN_INDEX 642
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX 573
#define RL_TAU_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 473
#define RL_DIV_TARGET_INDEX 457
#define DIV_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define RL_Q_DIV_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 592
#define RL_Q_DIV_VAR_M2_INDEX 594
#define RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 595
// --- 3. PPO clip controller ---
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX 402
#define EPS_MIN 0.05f
#define EPS_MAX 0.5f
// --- 3. PPO clip controller (canonical pattern) ---
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX 640
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MAX_INDEX 641
#define RL_EPS_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 474
#define RL_KL_TARGET_INDEX 454
#define KL_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define RL_KL_PI_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 588
#define RL_KL_PI_VAR_M2_INDEX 590
#define RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 591
// --- 4. Entropy coef controller ---
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX 403
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define COEF_MIN 0.0f
#define COEF_MAX 0.5f
#define N_ACTIONS 11 // architectural: matches Q head / action space dim
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX 645
#define RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MAX_INDEX 646
#define RL_ENTROPY_TARGET_FRAC_INDEX 458
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 600
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_M2_INDEX 602
#define RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 603
// --- 5. Rollout steps controller ---
#define RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX 404
#define ROLLOUT_MIN 256.0f
#define ROLLOUT_MAX 8192.0f
// Input slot is now RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX=612 (caller-supplied via
// input_slots[4]) since post-Phase-4.5 advantage variance is definitionally
// near-zero and useless. See `rl_rollout_steps_controller.cu` comments.
#define RL_ROLLOUT_MIN_INDEX 643
#define RL_ROLLOUT_MAX_INDEX 644
#define RL_ROLLOUT_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 475
#define RL_ADV_VAR_RATIO_TARGET_INDEX 449
#define ADV_VAR_RATIO_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 596
#define RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_M2_INDEX 598
#define RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 599
// --- 6. PER alpha controller ---
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX 405
#define PER_ALPHA_MIN 0.3f
#define PER_ALPHA_MAX 1.0f
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_MIN_INDEX 647
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_MAX_INDEX 648
#define RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX 471
#define RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX 472
#define RL_KURT_LIFT_SCALE_INDEX 459
#define RL_TD_KURT_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 604
#define RL_TD_KURT_VAR_M2_INDEX 606
#define RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 607
// --- 7. Reward scale controller ---
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX 406
// --- 7. Reward scale controller (Special R) ---
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_MIN_INDEX 492
#define REWARD_SCALE_MAX 1e3f
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 476
#define EPS_PNL 1e-3f
#define RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX 614
#define EPS_PNL 1e-3f // architectural: div-by-zero guard
#define REWARD_SCALE_MAX 1e3f // architectural: 5-order-of-magnitude runaway guard
#define BOOTSTRAP_FRACTION_FLOOR 0.1f // architectural: early-training spiral guard (spec §Special R)
#define MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE 100.0f // architectural: confidence threshold for releasing bootstrap floor
#define ASYM_DECREASE_RATE 1.05f // architectural: asymmetric per-step decrease cap
// --- 8. PPO ratio clamp controller ---
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX 440
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 477
#define RL_PPO_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX 460
#define PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT 2.0f
#define PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT 1000.0f
// MIN_OUT now adaptive from observed ratio variance; MAX_OUT is ISV-resident.
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 629
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 477
#define RL_PPO_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX 460
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 630
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_M2_INDEX 632
#define PPO_RATIO_MIN_ABSOLUTE 2.0f // architectural exemption: vanilla-PG safeguard
#define PPO_RATIO_MIN_STD_SCALE 3.0f // architectural: 3σ healthy-update coverage
#define PPO_RATIO_MAX_OVER_MIN_FACTOR 5.0f // architectural: ensure max ≥ 5× min
// --- 9. Gate threshold controller ---
#define RL_CONF_GATE_THRESHOLD_INDEX 512
@@ -96,27 +155,73 @@
#define RL_GATE_FRD_MIN_INDEX 529
#define RL_GATE_FRD_MAX_INDEX 530
#define RL_GATE_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 531
#define RL_GATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX 638
// --- 10. Q distill lambda controller ---
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX 486
// --- 10. Q distill lambda controller (Special Q) ---
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_EMA_INDEX 488
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TARGET_INDEX 491
#define MIN_LAMBDA 0.05f
#define MAX_LAMBDA 1.0f
#define KL_TOLERANCE 3.0f
#define LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE 1.2f
#define LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE 0.998f
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 618
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_M2_INDEX 620
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 639
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MAX_INDEX 650
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TOLERANCE_INDEX 651
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE_INDEX 652
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE_INDEX 653
#define ADAPTIVE_MIN_ABSOLUTE 0.001f // architectural: q_distill_lambda safety floor
#define ADAPTIVE_MIN_STD_SCALE 0.05f // architectural: signal-noise proportional scale
// --- Shared Schulman params ---
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
#define RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 469
// --- Shared Wiener ---
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// --- Shared adaptive-floor constants (spec 2026-05-30) ---
#define NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC 0.5f // floor ≥ 50% of target
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed signal
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // widen/descend requires N below-band steps
// --- Shared Wiener-α floor ---
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// --- Step counter (device-resident) ---
#define RL_STEP_COUNTER_ISV_INDEX 548
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// Adaptive risk management — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management.
// Layers 2/3/4 controllers fused below. Layer 1 (CMDP gates) runs as a
// separate kernel because it needs per-step `realized_pnl` + `outcome`
// arrays not available here. Layer D (trail factors) is read-only ISV.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// --- 11. Layer 2: IQN action τ controller ---
#define RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX 662
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_INDEX 671
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX 672
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_DD_SENSITIVITY_INDEX 673
#define RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX 701
#define RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_FACTOR_INDEX 711
#define RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_N_WINDOW_INDEX 712
#define DEFAULT_STARTING_CAPITAL_USD 35000.0f
// --- 12. Layer 3: Inventory β controller ---
#define RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX 674
#define RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX 675
// (RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX 614 already defined above)
#define BETA_TARGET_FRAC_OF_REWARD 0.01f
#define BETA_SIGMA_MULTIPLIER 2.0f
// --- 13. Layer 4: Kelly fraction controller ---
#define RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX 676
#define RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX 677
#define RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX 678
#define RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX 679
#define RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX 680
#define RL_KELLY_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX 681
#define RL_KELLY_BOOTSTRAP_FLOOR_INDEX 720 // B-3 fractional-trust floor
// (RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660 already defined above)
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX 696
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX 698
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX 706
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// Fused kernel: all 10 controllers in one launch.
@@ -126,7 +231,7 @@
// [1] = RL_Q_DIVERGENCE_EMA_INDEX (418) — target_tau
// [2] = RL_KL_PI_EMA_INDEX (419) — ppo_clip
// [3] = RL_ENTROPY_OBSERVED_EMA_INDEX (420) — entropy_coef
// [4] = RL_ADVANTAGE_VAR_RATIO_EMA_INDEX (421) — rollout_steps
// [4] = RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX (612) — rollout_steps (post-Phase-4.5)
// [5] = RL_TD_KURTOSIS_EMA_INDEX (422) — per_alpha
// [6] = RL_MEAN_ABS_PNL_EMA_INDEX (423) — reward_scale
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
@@ -140,29 +245,44 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
const int current_step = (int)isv[RL_STEP_COUNTER_ISV_INDEX];
const float wiener_floor = isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX];
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 1. Gamma controller → ISV[400]
// 1. Gamma controller → ISV[400] (Special G)
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float gamma_prev = isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX];
// Adaptive GAMMA_MIN: Welford mean of trade duration after warmup,
// EMA before warmup. See rl_gamma_controller.cu Special case G.
const float d_welford_count = isv[RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float d_welford_mean = isv[RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
const float d_smoothed = (d_welford_count >= WELFORD_WARMUP_OBS)
? d_welford_mean
: isv[RL_MEAN_TRADE_DURATION_EMA_INDEX];
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
1.0f - 1.0f / fmaxf(d_smoothed * HORIZON_MULTIPLIER,
HORIZON_FLOOR));
isv[RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX] = adaptive_min;
const float mean_trade_duration_events = isv[input_slots[0]];
const float d = fmaxf(mean_trade_duration_events, 1.0f);
const float gamma_max = isv[RL_GAMMA_MAX_INDEX];
float gamma_target = powf(0.5f, 1.0f / d);
gamma_target = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN, fminf(gamma_target, GAMMA_MAX));
gamma_target = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(gamma_target, gamma_max));
if (gamma_prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX] = gamma_target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float gamma_new = (1.0f - a) * gamma_prev + a * gamma_target;
gamma_new = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN, fminf(gamma_new, GAMMA_MAX));
gamma_new = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(gamma_new, gamma_max));
isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX] = gamma_new;
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 2. Target tau controller → ISV[401]
// 2. Target tau controller → ISV[401] (canonical pattern)
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float tau_prev = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX];
@@ -172,28 +292,44 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
const float q_divergence_norm = isv[input_slots[1]];
if (q_divergence_norm != 0.0f) {
const float div_target = isv[RL_DIV_TARGET_INDEX];
const float div_noise_floor = div_target * DIV_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven via Welford variance.
const float div_count = isv[RL_Q_DIV_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float div_var = (div_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_Q_DIV_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (div_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float div_std = sqrtf(div_var);
const float div_noise_floor = fmaxf(div_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
div_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (q_divergence_norm >= div_noise_floor) {
float ratio;
// Asymmetric Schulman: raise τ on single observation,
// lower τ requires N consecutive below-band observations.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float ratio;
if (q_divergence_norm > div_target * tolerance) {
ratio = adjust_rate;
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
} else if (q_divergence_norm < div_target / tolerance) {
ratio = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
ratio = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? (1.0f / adjust_rate) : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
ratio = 1.0f;
}
float tau_target = tau_prev * ratio;
const float tau_max_isv = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX];
tau_target = fmaxf(TAU_MIN, fminf(tau_target, tau_max_isv));
const float tau_min = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_MIN_INDEX];
const float tau_max = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX];
tau_target = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_target, tau_max));
if (tau_prev == isv[RL_TAU_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX] = tau_target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float tau_new = (1.0f - a) * tau_prev + a * tau_target;
tau_new = fmaxf(TAU_MIN, fminf(tau_new, tau_max_isv));
tau_new = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_new, tau_max));
isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX] = tau_new;
}
}
@@ -202,7 +338,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 3. PPO clip controller → ISV[402]
// 3. PPO clip controller → ISV[402] (canonical pattern — reference)
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float eps_prev = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX];
@@ -212,27 +348,44 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
const float kl_ema = isv[input_slots[2]];
if (kl_ema != 0.0f) {
const float kl_target = isv[RL_KL_TARGET_INDEX];
const float kl_noise_floor = kl_target * KL_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven via Welford variance.
const float kl_count = isv[RL_KL_PI_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kl_var = (kl_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_KL_PI_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kl_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kl_std = sqrtf(kl_var);
const float kl_noise_floor = fmaxf(kl_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
kl_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (kl_ema >= kl_noise_floor) {
// Asymmetric Schulman: tighten on single observation,
// widen requires N consecutive below-band observations.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float ratio;
if (kl_ema > kl_target * tolerance) {
ratio = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
} else if (kl_ema < kl_target / tolerance) {
ratio = adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
ratio = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? adjust_rate : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
ratio = 1.0f;
}
const float eps_min = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX];
const float eps_max = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MAX_INDEX];
float eps_target = eps_prev * ratio;
eps_target = fmaxf(EPS_MIN, fminf(eps_target, EPS_MAX));
eps_target = fmaxf(eps_min, fminf(eps_target, eps_max));
if (eps_prev == isv[RL_EPS_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX] = eps_target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float eps_new = (1.0f - a) * eps_prev + a * eps_target;
eps_new = fmaxf(EPS_MIN, fminf(eps_new, EPS_MAX));
eps_new = fmaxf(eps_min, fminf(eps_new, eps_max));
isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX] = eps_new;
}
}
@@ -242,6 +395,8 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 4. Entropy coef controller → ISV[403]
// Asymmetric: raise coef on single below-floor observation,
// drop coef requires N consecutive above-band observations.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float coef_prev = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX];
@@ -249,26 +404,57 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
const float h_max = logf((float)N_ACTIONS);
const float target_frac = isv[RL_ENTROPY_TARGET_FRAC_INDEX];
const float h_target = target_frac * h_max;
const float COEF_FLOOR = 0.01f;
const float COEF_FLOOR = 0.01f; // architectural: maintenance pressure baseline
const float coef_min = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MIN_INDEX];
const float coef_max = isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_MAX_INDEX];
const float deficit_frac = fmaxf(0.0f,
fminf((h_target - entropy_observed_ema) / fmaxf(h_target, 1e-6f), 1.0f));
float coef_target = COEF_FLOOR + (COEF_MAX - COEF_FLOOR) * deficit_frac;
coef_target = fmaxf(COEF_MIN, fminf(coef_target, COEF_MAX));
float coef_target = COEF_FLOOR + (coef_max - COEF_FLOOR) * deficit_frac;
coef_target = fmaxf(coef_min, fminf(coef_target, coef_max));
if (coef_prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_target;
} else if (entropy_observed_ema < h_target * 0.5f && entropy_observed_ema > 0.0f) {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
float coef_new = (1.0f - a) * coef_prev + a * coef_target;
coef_new = fmaxf(COEF_MIN, fminf(coef_new, COEF_MAX));
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_new;
// Adaptive emergency floor (signal-driven via Welford variance).
const float h_count = isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float h_var = (h_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (h_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float h_std = sqrtf(h_var);
const float emergency_floor = fmaxf(h_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
h_target - h_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (entropy_observed_ema > 0.0f && entropy_observed_ema < emergency_floor) {
// Single-observation emergency raise; reset patience.
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_target;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
} else {
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float coef_new = (1.0f - a) * coef_prev + a * coef_target;
coef_new = fmaxf(coef_min, fminf(coef_new, coef_max));
if (coef_new < coef_prev && entropy_observed_ema > h_target * tolerance) {
// Healthy-entropy descent direction — require N consecutive observations
// before letting Wiener drag coef downward.
const float new_count = isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
if (new_count < WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_prev;
} else {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_new;
}
} else {
isv[RL_ENTROPY_OBS_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX] = coef_new;
}
}
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 5. Rollout steps controller → ISV[404]
// Input now is RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX=612 (caller via input_slots[4]).
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float prev = isv[RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX];
@@ -278,28 +464,44 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
const float advantage_var_over_abs_mean = isv[input_slots[4]];
if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean != 0.0f) {
const float adv_var_target = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_RATIO_TARGET_INDEX];
const float adv_var_noise_floor =
adv_var_target * ADV_VAR_RATIO_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven via Welford variance.
const float adv_count = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float adv_var = (adv_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (adv_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float adv_std = sqrtf(adv_var);
const float adv_var_noise_floor = fmaxf(adv_var_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
adv_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean >= adv_var_noise_floor) {
// Asymmetric Schulman: widen rollout on single above-band observation,
// shrink requires N consecutive below-band observations.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float scale;
if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean > adv_var_target * tolerance) {
scale = adjust_rate;
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
} else if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean < adv_var_target / tolerance) {
scale = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
scale = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? (1.0f / adjust_rate) : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
scale = 1.0f;
}
const float rollout_min = isv[RL_ROLLOUT_MIN_INDEX];
const float rollout_max = isv[RL_ROLLOUT_MAX_INDEX];
float target = prev * scale;
target = fmaxf(ROLLOUT_MIN, fminf(target, ROLLOUT_MAX));
target = fmaxf(rollout_min, fminf(target, rollout_max));
if (prev == isv[RL_ROLLOUT_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX] = target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(ROLLOUT_MIN, fminf(out, ROLLOUT_MAX));
out = fmaxf(rollout_min, fminf(out, rollout_max));
isv[RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX] = out;
}
}
@@ -309,35 +511,90 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 6. PER alpha controller → ISV[405]
// Asymmetric Schulman patience on descent direction (light tails).
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float prev = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float td_kurtosis_ema = isv[input_slots[5]];
if (td_kurtosis_ema > 0.0f && td_kurtosis_ema < isv[RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX]) {
// Adaptive noise floor: combines absolute ISV floor with Welford-derived
// adaptive component (std-scaled).
const float kurt_count = isv[RL_TD_KURT_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kurt_var = (kurt_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_TD_KURT_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kurt_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kurt_std = sqrtf(kurt_var);
const float adaptive_noise_floor = fmaxf(isv[RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX],
kurt_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
// Hold-at-prev when signal present but below adaptive noise floor
// (matches standalone semantics: cold-start prev==0 takes the
// bootstrap path below, otherwise return).
if (td_kurtosis_ema > 0.0f && td_kurtosis_ema < adaptive_noise_floor) {
if (prev != 0.0f) goto per_alpha_done;
}
{
const float per_alpha_min = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_MIN_INDEX];
const float per_alpha_max = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_MAX_INDEX];
const float kurt_excess = fmaxf(0.0f, td_kurtosis_ema - isv[RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX]);
const float kurt_lift_scale = isv[RL_KURT_LIFT_SCALE_INDEX];
float target = 0.4f + 0.2f * (kurt_excess / kurt_lift_scale);
target = fmaxf(PER_ALPHA_MIN, fminf(target, PER_ALPHA_MAX));
target = fmaxf(per_alpha_min, fminf(target, per_alpha_max));
if (prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(PER_ALPHA_MIN, fminf(out, PER_ALPHA_MAX));
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = out;
out = fmaxf(per_alpha_min, fminf(out, per_alpha_max));
// Asymmetric Schulman patience on the DESCENT direction:
// α rises on a single above-band observation, falls only
// after N consecutive below-band observations.
const float kurt_gaussian = isv[RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX];
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
if (out < prev && td_kurtosis_ema < kurt_gaussian / tolerance) {
const float new_count = isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
if (new_count < WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) {
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = prev;
} else {
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = out;
}
} else {
isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = out;
}
}
}
per_alpha_done:;
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 7. Reward scale controller → ISV[406]
// 7a. Cumulative dones accumulator → ISV[660] (reward-floor-fix follow-up)
//
// Sums `dones[b]` across this step's batch and accumulates into the
// cumulative-closed-trades slot. Used by the reward_scale bootstrap-
// floor gate below. Replaces the prior `RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX`
// gate which counted closed-trade STEPS (not closed trades) and
// released the floor ~100× too early in real-trade terms.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread sum-and-write — no atomic
// needed since the fused kernel is single-thread / single-block.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
float dones_this_step = 0.0f;
for (int b = 0; b < b_size; b++) {
dones_this_step += dones[b];
}
isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX] = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX] + dones_this_step;
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 7. Reward scale controller → ISV[406] (Special R)
// Asymmetric per-step decrease cap (5%) + bootstrap-fraction floor
// (10% of bootstrap) until N=100 closed trades.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float prev = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX];
@@ -346,23 +603,67 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
} else {
const float mean_abs_pnl_ema = isv[input_slots[6]];
if (mean_abs_pnl_ema != 0.0f) {
// Emit per-batch pnl magnitude EMA to the public slot for
// downstream Welford-variance kernel consumption.
isv[RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX] = mean_abs_pnl_ema;
const float denom = fmaxf(mean_abs_pnl_ema, EPS_PNL);
float target = 1.0f / denom;
const float scale_min = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_MIN_INDEX];
target = fmaxf(scale_min, fminf(target, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
if (prev == isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = target;
// Bootstrap-fraction floor: at COLD START, scale cannot drop below
// 10% of bootstrap until the controller has demonstrated it can adapt
// to real PnL magnitudes (i.e. cumulative_dones first crosses min_trades).
// After that one-time warmup, the floor relaxes to scale_min permanently.
//
// Audit 2026-05-31 (eval-boundary addendum): the prior test
// `(cumulative_dones < min_trades)` fired spuriously at every fold
// boundary because `reset_session_state` zeroes cumulative_dones to
// re-enter Kelly's predictive-safety warmup. The boot_floor's intent
// is "is this the cold-start regime where scale could crash before any
// trade ground truth?" — NOT "have we accumulated trades in the current
// session?". Decouple via a persistent latch (slot 716): set once when
// cumulative_dones FIRST crosses min_trades, never reset. Past that
// point the floor stays at scale_min regardless of session resets.
const float trade_count = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float min_trades = isv[RL_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX];
const float warmed_flag = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_CONTROLLER_WARMED_FLAG_INDEX];
const float boot = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX];
const float boot_floor = (warmed_flag == 0.0f)
? boot * BOOTSTRAP_FRACTION_FLOOR
: scale_min;
// Latch the warmed flag exactly once when cumulative_dones first
// crosses the threshold. Monotonic 0→1 — never cleared by any path.
if (warmed_flag == 0.0f && trade_count >= min_trades) {
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_CONTROLLER_WARMED_FLAG_INDEX] = 1.0f;
}
if (prev == boot) {
// First-observation replace-directly with asymmetric DECREASE
// rate-limit applied (per spec §Special R bullet (a)).
float first = target;
if (first < prev) {
first = fmaxf(first, prev / ASYM_DECREASE_RATE);
}
first = fmaxf(boot_floor, fminf(first, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = first;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
// Per-step ±2% movement clamp.
// Per-step ±2% symmetric movement clamp.
const float max_move = prev * 1.02f;
const float min_move = prev * 0.98f;
out = fmaxf(min_move, fminf(out, max_move));
out = fmaxf(scale_min, fminf(out, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
// Asymmetric DECREASE rate limit (belt-and-braces — documents
// the controller invariant even if 2% symmetric clamp relaxes).
if (out < prev) {
out = fmaxf(out, prev / ASYM_DECREASE_RATE);
}
out = fmaxf(boot_floor, fminf(out, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = out;
}
}
@@ -372,6 +673,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 8. PPO ratio clamp controller → ISV[440]
// Reads ε from ISV[402] which was just written above.
// MIN_OUT adaptive from observed ratio variance; MAX_OUT ISV-driven.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float prev = isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX];
@@ -381,16 +683,26 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
const float eps = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX];
const float clamp_margin = isv[RL_PPO_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX];
float target = (1.0f + eps) * clamp_margin;
target = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT,
fminf(target, PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT));
// Adaptive MIN/MAX from observed log-ratio variance.
const float ratio_count = isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float ratio_var = (ratio_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (ratio_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float ratio_std = sqrtf(ratio_var);
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
1.0f + ratio_std * PPO_RATIO_MIN_STD_SCALE);
const float adaptive_max = fmaxf(adaptive_min * PPO_RATIO_MAX_OVER_MIN_FACTOR,
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_ADAPTIVE_INDEX]);
target = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(target, adaptive_max));
if (prev == isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX] = target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT,
fminf(out, PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT));
out = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(out, adaptive_max));
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX] = out;
}
}
@@ -399,7 +711,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 9. Gate threshold controller → ISV[512,516,517]
// Scans dones[B] to compute done_rate EMA → ISV[525].
// Adjusts conf + FRD thresholds via Schulman bounded step.
// EMA-α is now ISV-resident (slot 638) per spec §Group B Task 13.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const int warmup = (int)isv[RL_GATE_WARMUP_STEPS_INDEX];
@@ -409,7 +721,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
if (dones[b] > 0.5f) done_count += 1.0f;
}
const float done_rate = done_count / (float)b_size;
const float gate_alpha = 0.01f;
const float gate_alpha = isv[RL_GATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float prev_ema = isv[RL_GATE_DONES_EMA_INDEX];
const float dones_ema = (prev_ema == 0.0f && done_rate > 0.0f)
? done_rate
@@ -445,8 +757,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 10. Q→π distill lambda controller → ISV[486]
// Asymmetric bounded step on KL_EMA vs target.
// 10. Q→π distill lambda controller → ISV[486] (Special Q)
// Adaptive MIN from Welford-var of q_distill_kl_ema; MAX + rates
// ISV-driven (slots 650/651/652/653).
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float kl_observed = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_EMA_INDEX];
@@ -454,16 +767,134 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_controllers(
float lambda = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX];
if (kl_observed > 0.0f && kl_target > 0.0f && lambda > 0.0f) {
const float upper = kl_target * KL_TOLERANCE;
const float lower = kl_target / KL_TOLERANCE;
// Adaptive MIN: max(0.001, sqrt(var) × 0.05).
const float kl_var_count = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kl_var = (kl_var_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kl_var_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kl_std = sqrtf(kl_var);
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(ADAPTIVE_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
kl_std * ADAPTIVE_MIN_STD_SCALE);
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX] = adaptive_min;
const float max_lambda = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MAX_INDEX];
const float kl_tolerance = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float lambda_ramp_rate = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE_INDEX];
const float lambda_decay_rate = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE_INDEX];
const float upper = kl_target * kl_tolerance;
const float lower = kl_target / kl_tolerance;
if (kl_observed > upper) {
lambda = fminf(MAX_LAMBDA, lambda * LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE);
lambda = fminf(max_lambda, lambda * lambda_ramp_rate);
} else if (kl_observed < lower) {
lambda = fmaxf(MIN_LAMBDA, lambda * LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE);
lambda = fmaxf(adaptive_min, lambda * lambda_decay_rate);
}
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX] = lambda;
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 11. Layer 2 — IQN action τ controller → ISV[671]
// τ = clamp(τ_min, 0.5 - sensitivity × drawdown_frac, 1.0)
// drawdown_frac = max(0, -session_pnl) / starting_capital
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float session_pnl = isv[RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX];
const float drawdown_usd = fmaxf(0.0f, -session_pnl);
const float drawdown_frac = drawdown_usd / DEFAULT_STARTING_CAPITAL_USD;
const float tau_min = isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX];
const float sensitivity = isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_DD_SENSITIVITY_INDEX];
float tau_action = 0.5f - sensitivity * drawdown_frac;
tau_action = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_action, 1.0f));
// Tail-recency τ_min boost (defense in depth, F5 / spec v3)
const float recency = isv[RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX];
const float tail_window = isv[RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_N_WINDOW_INDEX];
const float boost = isv[RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_FACTOR_INDEX];
float tau_min_eff = tau_min;
if (recency < tail_window) {
tau_min_eff *= boost;
}
tau_action = fmaxf(tau_action, tau_min_eff);
isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_INDEX] = tau_action;
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 12. Layer 3 — Inventory β controller → ISV[674]
// β_target = 0.01 × E[|reward|] / (2 × σ_inventory)
// Sentinel-zero bootstrap; Wiener-α blend with floor 0.4 after.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float reward_mag = isv[RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX];
const float inv_var = isv[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX];
if (inv_var > 0.0f && reward_mag > 0.0f) {
const float inv_std = sqrtf(inv_var);
const float beta_target = BETA_TARGET_FRAC_OF_REWARD * reward_mag
/ (BETA_SIGMA_MULTIPLIER * inv_std);
const float prev = isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX];
if (prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX] = beta_target;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX] =
(1.0f - a) * prev + a * beta_target;
}
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// 13. Layer 4 — Kelly fraction controller → ISV[676]
// B-3 fractional-trust schedule (2026-05-31):
// trust(n) = max(f_floor, min(1, n/N_full))
// f_safe = max(f_floor·safety, f_kelly · trust · safety)
// Replaces binary warmup gate which forced f=1.0 (max sizing) at
// every fold boundary (4xmxm eval[1] → 53% positions → -$100M).
// Math: Hoeffding ε(n=200) ≈ 0.10 → N_full=200 gives 10% precision.
// f_floor=0.05 prevents Kelly trade-stream death.
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
{
const float p = isv[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX];
const float avg_win = isv[RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX];
const float avg_loss = isv[RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX];
const float safety = isv[RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX];
const float n_trades = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float n_full = isv[RL_KELLY_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX];
const float f_floor = isv[RL_KELLY_BOOTSTRAP_FLOOR_INDEX];
const float trust = (n_full > 0.0f)
? fmaxf(f_floor, fminf(1.0f, n_trades / n_full))
: 1.0f;
if (avg_loss <= 0.0f || avg_win <= 0.0f) {
// Dead-signal: trust × safety floor keeps trades flowing.
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(trust * safety, 1.0f));
} else {
const float b_ratio = avg_win / avg_loss;
const float q = 1.0f - p;
const float f_kelly = (p * b_ratio - q) / b_ratio;
const float f_raw = f_kelly * trust * safety;
const float f_min = f_floor * safety;
float f = fmaxf(f_min, f_raw);
f = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(f, 1.0f));
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = f;
}
// Kelly resurrection (Theorem 1): override analytic kelly if DEAD_ZONE_FLAG fires.
//
// Two safety checks:
// 1. DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG: if dead-zone has persisted > MAX_DURATION steps,
// stop trying to resurrect (let kelly stay at 0; halt the bleed).
// The trainer monitors TIMEOUT_FLAG as a halt-training signal.
// 2. Otherwise: kelly_f overridden with ε_recovery_live (computed by regime_observer).
const int dead_zone = (int)isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX];
const int timeout = (int)isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX];
if (dead_zone && !timeout) {
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX];
}
}
}

View File

@@ -39,6 +39,33 @@
#define RL_SHORT_HOLD_PENALTY_INDEX 534
#define RL_HOLD_BONUS_INDEX 535
#define RL_OUTCOME_ALPHA_INDEX 520
// Layer 3 (inventory penalty — spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management).
#define RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX 674
// Adaptive surfer-scaffold shaping (spec v5 2026-06-01 §6).
// w ∈ [0, 1] multiplies the Phase 5 shaping contribution:
// w = 1 → full shaping (surfer-baseline dd049d9a4 path)
// w = 0 → pure realized_pnl_delta reward
// 0<w<1 → smooth interpolation
// Driven by rl_surfer_scaffold_controller (reads wr_ema + cumulative
// dones + edge_decay_frac_alerted; fades w as agent crosses break-even).
#define RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX 753
// Phase 3D-B (2026-06-03): quadratic-in-trade-size impact-aware cost
// (Cao et al. 2026 arXiv:2603.29086). cost = α·|Δlots| + β·(Δlots)²
// applied per env step in Phase 1.5 BETWEEN realized_pnl_delta (Phase 1)
// and surfer-scaffold shaping (Phase 5). Disabled when gate slot is ≤ 0.5.
#define RL_QUADRATIC_COST_ALPHA_INDEX 794
#define RL_QUADRATIC_COST_BETA_INDEX 795
#define RL_QUADRATIC_COST_ENABLED_INDEX 796
// Phase 5 (2026-06-04) MTM reward — per-step reward proportional to
// total-wealth delta (realized + unrealized). Breaks the bimodal
// Hold+TrailLoosen pathology where held losers emit zero reward
// regardless of how badly they're going. With MTM enabled every step
// underwater contributes negative reward → Q learns held losers are
// costly → policy prefers to close earlier.
#define RL_MTM_REWARD_ENABLED_INDEX 815
#define RL_MTM_REWARD_WEIGHT_INDEX 816
#define MAX_UNITS 4
@@ -71,6 +98,16 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_reward_pipeline(
float* __restrict__ reward_abs, // [B] OUT
float* __restrict__ raw_rewards, // [B] OUT
float* __restrict__ outcome_ema, // [B] IN/OUT
// --- Phase 5 (2026-06-04) MTM reward ---
// bid/ask top-of-book — to compute mid_price for unrealized PnL.
// Single shared book across batches (the GPU LobSim uses a per-batch
// book; bid_px/ask_px are the [BOOK_LEVELS]-arrays for batch 0
// only — but at b=1024 the LobSim runs the SAME book across batches
// per its design, see lobsim_cuda.cu). Caller passes the head
// pointer; the kernel reads bid_px[0], ask_px[0].
const float* __restrict__ bid_px, // [BOOK_LEVELS]
const float* __restrict__ ask_px, // [BOOK_LEVELS]
float* __restrict__ prev_unrealized_pnl, // [B] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
int pos_bytes
@@ -99,6 +136,83 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_reward_pipeline(
rewards[b] = reward;
dones[b] = done;
// ================================================================
// PHASE 1.5 (Phase 3D-B, 2026-06-03): Cao et al. 2026
// quadratic-in-trade-size impact-aware cost.
//
// cost = α·|Δlots| + β·(Δlots)²
//
// Applied BEFORE Phase 5 shaping so the shaped-vs-raw weight w (slot
// 753) does not amplify or mute the cost. Discourages overtrading
// even when reward is pnl-aligned. Trail-stop actions (7, 8) are
// no-ops in actions_to_market_targets and don't change current_lots,
// so Δlots = 0 for those and the cost stays at 0. Hold (2) likewise
// produces no position change → no cost. FlatFrom* / HalfFlat* /
// open actions all incur position changes proportional to their
// size, so they pay an impact penalty scaled by the change magnitude.
//
// Reward units: pts × lots (matches realized_pnl_delta convention).
// Bootstrap α=0.5, β=2.0 yields: 1-lot=2.5, 4-lot flip=34, 8-lot flip=132.
// ================================================================
if (isv[RL_QUADRATIC_COST_ENABLED_INDEX] > 0.5f) {
const float trade_size = fabsf((float)(current_lots - prev_lots));
if (trade_size > 0.0f) {
const float alpha_cost = isv[RL_QUADRATIC_COST_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float beta_cost = isv[RL_QUADRATIC_COST_BETA_INDEX];
const float cost = alpha_cost * trade_size
+ beta_cost * trade_size * trade_size;
reward -= cost;
rewards[b] = reward;
}
}
// ================================================================
// PHASE 1.6 (Phase 5, 2026-06-04): mark-to-market reward.
//
// Reward component proportional to total-wealth delta (realized +
// unrealized). Without this, the agent learns to widen trails on
// losing positions indefinitely (TrailLoosen pathology surfaced in
// Phase 4-A3 smoke at 65c328d3f) because:
// - close-event-only reward = 0 during holds, < 0 only at close
// - TrailLoosen emits no market order → no realization → reward 0
// - Q learns the arbitrage: TrailLoosen > Close on losing positions
//
// MTM fix: every step underwater emits negative reward proportional
// to the unrealized delta. Over a complete trade the SUMMED reward
// is invariant vs close-event-only (unrealized → 0 at close); only
// the TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION changes — with γ < 1, held losers are
// visibly painful in the discounted return.
//
// unrealized_pnl = direction · (mid vwap_entry) · |lots|
// (lots is signed; direction = sign(lots); |lots| × direction = lots
// so unrealized_pnl = (mid vwap_entry) × lots — same identity
// as in `rl_trade_context_update.cu` line 73 modulo `initial_r`
// normalisation.)
//
// Note on units: realized_pnl from `pos_state` is in
// (price-points × lots) — same units as our MTM component. Mixing
// is unit-consistent.
//
// Determinism: pure per-thread arithmetic over per-batch buffers
// and a SHARED bid_px[0]/ask_px[0] read — no atomics. Equivalent
// to the existing `rl_trade_context_update.cu` mid computation.
// ================================================================
if (isv[RL_MTM_REWARD_ENABLED_INDEX] > 0.5f) {
const float w_mtm = isv[RL_MTM_REWARD_WEIGHT_INDEX];
const float mid = 0.5f * (bid_px[0] + ask_px[0]);
// current_lots is the post-fill position (set above). vwap is
// the post-fill VWAP — when current_lots == 0 the position is
// flat and unrealized must be zero (vwap may carry stale data
// from the close).
const float unrealized_now = (current_lots != 0)
? (mid - vwap) * (float)current_lots
: 0.0f;
const float unrealized_prev = prev_unrealized_pnl[b];
reward += w_mtm * (unrealized_now - unrealized_prev);
rewards[b] = reward;
prev_unrealized_pnl[b] = unrealized_now;
}
// ================================================================
// PHASE 2: rl_unit_state_update
// ================================================================
@@ -204,8 +318,19 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_reward_pipeline(
reward_abs[b] = fabsf(reward);
// ================================================================
// PHASE 5: rl_reward_shaping (surfer philosophy)
// PHASE 5: rl_reward_shaping (adaptive surfer-scaffold, spec v5)
// ================================================================
// Adaptive scaffold weight w ∈ [0,1]: each shaping contribution is
// multiplied by w so the kernel smoothly interpolates between the
// pre-v4 surfer-baseline path (w=1) and pure pnl (w=0). Controller
// `rl_surfer_scaffold_controller` writes w per step from wr_ema +
// cumulative_dones + edge_decay_frac_alerted.
//
// LERP forms (preserve w=1 ↔ legacy shaping):
// additive a: r += w * a (entry_cost neg, hold_bonus pos)
// multiplicative m: r *= (1 + w*(m-1)) (penalty, ride_mult)
const float w = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(1.0f, isv[RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX]));
const float entry_cost = isv[RL_ENTRY_COST_INDEX];
const float min_hold = isv[RL_SHORT_HOLD_MIN_STEPS_INDEX];
const float penalty = isv[RL_SHORT_HOLD_PENALTY_INDEX];
@@ -217,23 +342,34 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_fused_reward_pipeline(
// 1. Entry cost: flat → positioned transition.
if (prev_lots == 0 && current_lots != 0) {
r -= entry_cost;
r -= w * entry_cost;
}
// 2. Short-hold penalty: trade close with hold time below minimum.
if (done > 0.5f && (float)hold_time < min_hold) {
r *= penalty;
r *= (1.0f + w * (penalty - 1.0f));
}
// 3. Long-ride bonus: profitable close amplified by hold time.
if (done > 0.5f && r > 0.0f && hold_time > 0) {
const float ride_mult = 1.0f + hold_bonus * sqrtf((float)hold_time);
r *= ride_mult;
r *= (1.0f + w * (ride_mult - 1.0f));
}
// 4. Per-step hold bonus for staying in a profitable position.
if (prev_lots != 0 && current_lots != 0 && r > 0.0f && hold_time > 0) {
r += hold_bonus * sqrtf((float)hold_time);
r += w * hold_bonus * sqrtf((float)hold_time);
}
// ================================================================
// PHASE 5b: Layer 3 inventory penalty (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management).
// Apply BEFORE raw_rewards snapshot. β = 0 (sentinel) → no-op.
// Also weighted by w: Layers 1/2/4 own inventory risk when w → 0.
// ================================================================
const float inv_beta = isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX];
if (inv_beta > 0.0f) {
const float net_pos_mag = (float)((current_lots < 0) ? -current_lots : current_lots);
r -= w * inv_beta * net_pos_mag;
}
// Write shaped reward back.

View File

@@ -45,9 +45,35 @@
// the policy myopic).
#define RL_GAMMA_INDEX 400
#define GAMMA_MIN 0.995f
#define GAMMA_MAX 0.999f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// γ MAX clamp ceiling is now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30 clamp-bound
// extension. γ MIN already adaptive via RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX (613).
#define RL_GAMMA_MAX_INDEX 649
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30 Special case G):
// hardcoded `GAMMA_MIN = 0.995f` replaced with an adaptive bound derived
// from the Welford mean of trade duration. With short-horizon trade
// regimes (d_ema = 15.6 in fold 0) the static 0.995 floor pinned gamma
// for the entire run; adaptive bound `1 - 1/(d_smoothed × 2)` lets the
// controller drop gamma low enough for the current regime while keeping
// a hard `GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE = 0.9` to prevent bandit-mode degenerate.
//
// Smoothed-duration choice: Welford mean (slot 609) is used after a
// 100-observation warmup so the gamma↔trade_duration feedback loop is
// damped by the natural N-smoothing of running mean. Before warmup, the
// EMA at slot 417 is used directly (less stable but available
// immediately at cold-start).
#define RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 613
#define RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 608
#define RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 609
#define RL_MEAN_TRADE_DURATION_EMA_INDEX 417
#define GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE 0.9f
#define HORIZON_MULTIPLIER 2.0f
#define WELFORD_WARMUP_OBS 100.0f
// Floor for `d × HORIZON_MULTIPLIER` to prevent the `1/d` term from
// blowing up when trade duration is very small (cold start, no closes).
#define HORIZON_FLOOR 10.0f
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -84,6 +110,27 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_gamma_controller(
const float gamma_prev = isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX];
// Adaptive GAMMA_MIN (spec 2026-05-30 Special case G).
// Replaces hardcoded `GAMMA_MIN = 0.995f`. With d_ema = 15.6 (fold 0)
// the static 0.995 floor pinned γ for the entire run — the target
// formula `0.5^(1/d)` produces γ_target = 0.936 at d = 15.6, which
// clamps to 0.995 = floor and never moves. Adaptive bound
// `1 - 1/(d × 2)` gives γ_min ≈ 0.968 at d = 15.6 — leaving room
// for the controller to track the actual trade horizon.
//
// After 100 Welford observations the running mean is used (more
// stable than EMA against per-batch outliers); before that the EMA
// at slot 417 is used directly so cold-start has a usable signal.
const float d_welford_count = isv[RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float d_welford_mean = isv[RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
const float d_smoothed = (d_welford_count >= WELFORD_WARMUP_OBS)
? d_welford_mean
: isv[RL_MEAN_TRADE_DURATION_EMA_INDEX];
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
1.0f - 1.0f / fmaxf(d_smoothed * HORIZON_MULTIPLIER,
HORIZON_FLOOR));
isv[RL_GAMMA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX] = adaptive_min;
// Compute target from the current input EMA. Shared between
// bootstrap and per-step paths so the dead-zone coincidence with
// a hardcoded bootstrap cannot recur.
@@ -91,26 +138,25 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_gamma_controller(
// single-event trade doesn't push γ to 0.5.
const float mean_trade_duration_events = isv[input_slot];
const float d = fmaxf(mean_trade_duration_events, 1.0f);
const float gamma_max = isv[RL_GAMMA_MAX_INDEX];
float gamma_target = powf(0.5f, 1.0f / d);
gamma_target = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN, fminf(gamma_target, GAMMA_MAX));
gamma_target = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(gamma_target, gamma_max));
// Bootstrap on sentinel 0.0 per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap:
// first emit replaces directly with the computed target. At cold
// start (input EMA also sentinel-zero), clamped d=1, target=0.5,
// clamped to GAMMA_MIN = 0.90 (the floor). Any non-sentinel input
// produces target ≥ 0.90 → ≤ 0.999, distinct from the floor so
// the per-step Wiener blend on subsequent calls always sees a
// prev vs target delta.
// clamped to adaptive_min (≥ GAMMA_MIN_ABSOLUTE = 0.90). Any
// non-sentinel input produces target ≥ adaptive_min → ≤ 0.999.
if (gamma_prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX] = gamma_target;
return;
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float gamma_new = (1.0f - a) * gamma_prev + a * gamma_target;
// Clamp into the bounded range; runaway protection.
gamma_new = fmaxf(GAMMA_MIN, fminf(gamma_new, GAMMA_MAX));
gamma_new = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(gamma_new, gamma_max));
isv[RL_GAMMA_INDEX] = gamma_new;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,121 @@
// rl_gate_lr_multiplier_controller.cu — adaptive gate-LR multiplier (B1.3).
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
// Phase 2A-D fix B1.3 dispatch (2026-06-03).
//
// Reads (from ISV):
// RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX (781) — produced per-step
// by `multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag.cu`
// (Phase 2A-D); mean over batches
// of `Σ_k p[b,k]·log p[b,k]`.
// RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX (791) — EMA state; this kernel
// owns it.
// RL_POLICY_GATE_CONTROLLER_BOOTSTRAP_DONE_INDEX (792) — monotonic 0→1 latch.
// RL_POLICY_GATE_LR_MULTIPLIER_INDEX (790) — output, also the
// previous-step value.
// RL_POLICY_NUM_HEADS_INDEX (761) — K (active head count),
// drives regime-adaptive
// entropy thresholds.
//
// Writes (to ISV):
// slot 791 — updated EMA
// slot 792 — bootstrap-done flag (latched to 1.0 on first observation)
// slot 790 — updated multiplier (clamped to [MIN_FLOOR, MAX_CEIL])
//
// Control law (per `pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline`):
// • EMA Wiener-α = 0.02 (~50-step horizon) — smooths per-step noise.
// • Escalate +0.3 %/step (compounds to ≈+50 % over 137 steps) when
// `entropy_ema > 0.85·log(K)` — gate is "under-learning" / stuck
// near uniform.
// • Decay 5 %/step (emergency back-off) when
// `entropy_ema < 0.20·log(K)` — gate is at risk of collapse to
// single-head routing.
// • Healthy band [0.20·log(K), 0.85·log(K)]: leave multiplier alone
// (current value is working — no need to hunt).
// • Clamp to [1.0, 50.0] per `pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range`
// so the bootstrap 5.0 lies strictly inside the range.
//
// Per `pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range`: bootstrap 5.0 ∈ [1.0,
// 50.0]; controller never snaps to a clamp boundary on its first signal.
//
// Per `pearl_welford_trade_count_is_step_not_trade`: the first-observation
// EMA initialisation is gated by a dedicated `bootstrap_done` flag at
// slot 792; the controller cannot rely on `prev == bootstrap` because 5.0
// is also a valid steady-state value the controller may visit after
// escalating from a lower point.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread launch (1×1×1), no atomics.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device-side; reads + writes are
// all ISV slots.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math_constants.h>
// ISV slot indices (must match crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/isv_slots.rs).
#define RL_POLICY_NUM_HEADS_INDEX 761
#define RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX 781
#define RL_POLICY_GATE_LR_MULTIPLIER_INDEX 790
#define RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX 791
#define RL_POLICY_GATE_CONTROLLER_BOOTSTRAP_DONE_INDEX 792
// Tuning constants (B1.3 design — anchored on the B1.2 dose-response).
// All values are dimensionless ratios or rate scalars.
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA 0.02f // Wiener-α — ~50-step horizon
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_OVER_FRAC 0.85f // multiplier of log(K) — under-learning threshold
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_COLLAPSE_FRAC 0.20f // multiplier of log(K) — collapse threshold
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_ESCALATE_RATE 1.003f // +0.3 %/step (≈+50 % in 137 steps)
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_DECAY_RATE 0.95f // 5 %/step (emergency back-off)
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_MIN_FLOOR 1.0f // never below 1× (effectively off)
#define GATE_LR_CTRL_MAX_CEIL 50.0f // saturation cap (B1.2 plateau ≈20×)
extern "C" __global__ void rl_gate_lr_multiplier_controller(float* isv) {
// Single-thread kernel — launched (1,1,1)/(1,1,1).
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
const float entropy_now = isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX];
const float boot_done = isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_CONTROLLER_BOOTSTRAP_DONE_INDEX];
const float k_active = isv[RL_POLICY_NUM_HEADS_INDEX];
// ── EMA update (first-observation bootstrap pattern) ─────────────
float entropy_ema;
if (boot_done < 0.5f) {
// First call: replace EMA with current observation; latch flag.
// Necessary because slot 791 sentinel-zeroes at trainer init and
// blending zero with the first real measurement (~log(K) ≈ 1.10
// for K=3) would lag the controller by ~50 steps before it ever
// sees a representative value.
entropy_ema = entropy_now;
isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_CONTROLLER_BOOTSTRAP_DONE_INDEX] = 1.0f;
} else {
entropy_ema = (1.0f - GATE_LR_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA) * isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX]
+ GATE_LR_CTRL_EMA_ALPHA * entropy_now;
}
isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX] = entropy_ema;
// ── Regime-adaptive thresholds (scale with K) ────────────────────
// K ≥ 1 by construction (multi-head policy bootstraps NUM_HEADS to 3
// or higher in the same flag-on block); guard with fmaxf so logf is
// well-defined even if a future caller writes K=0 (would degenerate
// to single-head and the controller becomes a no-op via the healthy
// band → multiplier left alone, which is the right behaviour).
const float log_k = logf(fmaxf(k_active, 1.0f));
const float over_threshold = GATE_LR_CTRL_OVER_FRAC * log_k;
const float collapse_threshold = GATE_LR_CTRL_COLLAPSE_FRAC * log_k;
// ── Multiplier update ─────────────────────────────────────────────
float multiplier = isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_LR_MULTIPLIER_INDEX];
if (entropy_ema > over_threshold) {
// Under-learning: slowly compound up.
multiplier *= GATE_LR_CTRL_ESCALATE_RATE;
} else if (entropy_ema < collapse_threshold) {
// Collapse risk: fast back-off.
multiplier *= GATE_LR_CTRL_DECAY_RATE;
}
// Healthy band — leave multiplier alone.
// Clamp; bootstrap 5.0 sits strictly inside [1.0, 50.0].
multiplier = fmaxf(GATE_LR_CTRL_MIN_FLOOR,
fminf(multiplier, GATE_LR_CTRL_MAX_CEIL));
isv[RL_POLICY_GATE_LR_MULTIPLIER_INDEX] = multiplier;
}

View File

@@ -23,6 +23,12 @@
#define RL_GATE_FRD_MAX_INDEX 530
#define RL_GATE_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 531
#define RL_STEP_COUNTER_ISV_INDEX 548
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// EMA smoothing α was hardcoded 0.01f; ISV slot 638 makes it tunable
// at runtime so the dones-rate EMA half-life can adapt to data volume
// (e.g. small-batch smoke runs may want a faster α to surface signal
// before warmup completes).
#define RL_GATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX 638
extern "C" __global__ void rl_gate_threshold_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv,
@@ -41,7 +47,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_gate_threshold_controller(
if (dones[b] > 0.5f) done_count += 1.0f;
}
const float done_rate = done_count / (float)b_size;
const float alpha = 0.01f;
const float alpha = isv[RL_GATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float prev_ema = isv[RL_GATE_DONES_EMA_INDEX];
const float dones_ema = (prev_ema == 0.0f && done_rate > 0.0f)
? done_rate

View File

@@ -27,6 +27,13 @@
#define RL_HINDSIGHT_INJECT_COUNT_INDEX 551
#define RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX 406
/* Phase 3B-Y (2026-06-03): hindsight is conceptually paired with the surfer
* scaffold — both are training-scaffold biases on the gradient. Gate hindsight
* injection by slot 753 so that pure-pnl mode (scaffold_w = 0.0) also disables
* hindsight, eliminating the second of three contaminants identified by the
* Phase 3B-followup audit. */
#define RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX 753
extern "C" __global__ void rl_hindsight_inject(
const float* __restrict__ dones, /* [B] */
const float* __restrict__ rewards_raw, /* [B] */
@@ -64,9 +71,16 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_hindsight_inject(
float peak_pnl = (float)dir * (peak_mid[b] - entry_mid[b]);
float threshold = isv[RL_HINDSIGHT_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
/* Phase 3B-Y: gate by surfer-scaffold weight (slot 753). When scaffold
* is fully faded (w = 0.0, pure-pnl mode), hindsight injection is also
* disabled — they are paired training scaffolds. */
float scaffold_w = isv[RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX];
/* Peak PnL must exceed actual by the threshold factor AND be positive. */
if (peak_pnl > 0.0f && peak_pnl > actual_pnl * threshold) {
/* Peak PnL must exceed actual by the threshold factor AND be positive,
* AND the scaffold gate must be on. */
if (peak_pnl > 0.0f
&& peak_pnl > actual_pnl * threshold
&& scaffold_w > 0.5f) {
wants_inject = 1;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,57 @@
// rl_inventory_beta_controller.cu — Layer 3: adaptive inventory penalty β.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Scales the inventory penalty `reward_shaped = reward_raw - β × |net_pos|`
// so that at ~2σ inventory the penalty is ~1% of typical reward magnitude.
//
// β_target = 0.01 × E[|reward|] / (2 × σ_inventory)
//
// Sentinel-zero bootstrap per `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`: hold β
// at 0 until BOTH reward magnitude EMA and inventory variance EMA have
// real data. After bootstrap, Wiener-α blend with floor 0.4 per
// `pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary`.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: every threshold via ISV slot.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX 674
#define RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX 675
#define RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX 614
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// 1% of typical reward magnitude at 2σ inventory — Avellaneda-Stoikov
// canonical "noticeable but not dominant" calibration. Structural ratio.
#define BETA_TARGET_FRAC_OF_REWARD 0.01f
#define BETA_SIGMA_MULTIPLIER 2.0f
extern "C" __global__ void rl_inventory_beta_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
const float reward_mag = isv[RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX];
const float inv_var = isv[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX];
// Dead-signal hold: need real data on both inputs.
if (inv_var <= 0.0f || reward_mag <= 0.0f) return;
const float inv_std = sqrtf(inv_var);
const float beta_target = BETA_TARGET_FRAC_OF_REWARD * reward_mag
/ (BETA_SIGMA_MULTIPLIER * inv_std);
const float prev = isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX];
const float a_floor = isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX];
if (prev == 0.0f) {
// First-observation bootstrap.
isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX] = beta_target;
} else {
isv[RL_INVENTORY_PENALTY_BETA_INDEX] =
(1.0f - a_floor) * prev + a_floor * beta_target;
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,59 @@
// rl_inventory_variance_update.cu — Layer 3 (inventory penalty) input EMA.
//
// Tracks running variance of |net_position| across batches. Layer 3's β
// controller scales the penalty so that at ~2σ inventory the penalty
// equals ~1% of typical reward magnitude.
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Inputs:
// net_position_per_batch[b] signed contracts (current_lots, i32)
//
// Output: ISV[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX = 675]
//
// EMA over the batch variance of |net_position|; sentinel-zero bootstrap.
// This is NOT a true Welford triple — we collapse the batch into a single
// scalar (batch variance) then EMA across steps with a constant alpha.
// The β controller treats this slot as σ² directly.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block, sums sequentially.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: Welford-EMA α is a structural
// smoothing parameter, matching ema_update_per_step convention.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX 675
#define WELFORD_ALPHA 0.01f // slower EMA than Kelly inputs
extern "C" __global__ void rl_inventory_variance_update(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const int* __restrict__ net_position_per_batch, // [b_size] signed contracts (i32)
int b_size
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
if (b_size <= 0) return;
// Compute batch mean + variance of |net_position|.
float sum = 0.0f;
float sum_sq = 0.0f;
for (int b = 0; b < b_size; ++b) {
const int lots = net_position_per_batch[b];
const float v = (float)((lots < 0) ? -lots : lots);
sum += v;
sum_sq += v * v;
}
const float n = (float)b_size;
const float mean = sum / n;
const float var = (sum_sq / n) - (mean * mean);
if (var < 0.0f) return; // numerical safety: should not happen but defend
const float prev = isv[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX];
if (prev == 0.0f) {
isv[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX] = var;
} else {
isv[RL_INVENTORY_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX] =
(1.0f - WELFORD_ALPHA) * prev + WELFORD_ALPHA * var;
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,67 @@
// rl_iqn_action_tau_controller.cu — Layer 2: adaptive IQN action-selection τ.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Adapts the quantile used for IQN risk-averse action selection from the
// observed session drawdown. Normal trading: τ = 0.5 (median ≈ expected-Q
// behavior). Under drawdown: τ → τ_MIN (pessimistic, downside-aware).
//
// τ_target = max(τ_min, 0.5 - sensitivity × drawdown_frac)
//
// Drawdown approximation: `drawdown_frac = max(0, -session_pnl) /
// starting_capital`. Because the trainer resets session_pnl on each fold
// boundary, this approximates "drawdown from session start". For the
// strict "drawdown from session peak" formulation we'd need a peak-tracker
// slot — deferred (see plan note); the current formulation is correct in
// the dominant case where the agent is in a losing session and provides
// the right pressure (more pessimistic action selection as losses
// accumulate). In a strongly-winning session τ stays at 0.5.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: τ_min, sensitivity ISV-driven.
//
// Starting capital is the $35k single-contract ES baseline per
// `project_ml_alpha_starting_capital`; structural constant exemption.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX 662
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_INDEX 671
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX 672
#define RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_DD_SENSITIVITY_INDEX 673
#define RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX 701
#define RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_FACTOR_INDEX 711
#define RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_N_WINDOW_INDEX 712
#define DEFAULT_STARTING_CAPITAL_USD 35000.0f
extern "C" __global__ void rl_iqn_action_tau_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
const float session_pnl = isv[RL_SESSION_PNL_USD_INDEX];
// Approximate drawdown from session boundary as max(0, -session_pnl).
const float drawdown_usd = fmaxf(0.0f, -session_pnl);
const float drawdown_frac = drawdown_usd / DEFAULT_STARTING_CAPITAL_USD;
const float tau_min = isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_MIN_INDEX];
const float sensitivity = isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_DD_SENSITIVITY_INDEX];
float tau_action = 0.5f - sensitivity * drawdown_frac;
tau_action = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_action, 1.0f));
// Tail-recency τ_min boost (defense in depth, F5 / spec v3)
const float recency = isv[RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX];
const float tail_window = isv[RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_N_WINDOW_INDEX];
const float boost = isv[RL_IQN_TAU_TAIL_BOOST_FACTOR_INDEX];
float tau_min_eff = tau_min;
if (recency < tail_window) {
tau_min_eff *= boost;
}
tau_action = fmaxf(tau_action, tau_min_eff);
isv[RL_IQN_ACTION_TAU_INDEX] = tau_action;
}

View File

@@ -60,8 +60,34 @@ __device__ static uint32_t xorshift32_iqn(uint32_t* state) {
// Grid = (B, N_TAU, 1)
// Block = (EMBED_DIM, 1, 1) — one thread per embedding dimension.
//
// DETERMINISM (Phase 2.6, 2026-06-02): `prng_state` is now READ-ONLY
// in this kernel. The previous version had a read-write race: all
// N_TAU blocks per batch read `prng_state[batch]` at the head of the
// kernel, and the (tau_idx == 0) block wrote back the advanced state
// at the end — with NO inter-block barrier. Blocks with tau_idx > 0
// running on a different SM could read the post-write value (if the
// tau_idx == 0 block finished first) OR the pre-write value
// (otherwise), depending on SM scheduling. Different runs picked
// different orderings, producing run-dependent τ values for
// tau_idx > 0 and hence run-dependent `iqn_q_values` even at step 0
// (no upstream RL-loop divergence required). Diagnosed via Phase 2.6
// `dump_backward_state_for_debug` Group H verdict (iqn_q_values
// DIVERGE at step 0 idx 55, max|Δ|=4.5e-5) while Groups G/I/J stayed
// EQUAL through steps 0/1 — see
// `docs/superpowers/notes/2026-06-02-determinism-phase2.6-backward
// -kernel-fix.md`.
//
// Fix: kernel now READS prng_state[batch] only (no writes); the
// state advancement is performed by `rl_iqn_advance_prng_state`
// in a separate single-thread-per-batch launch that runs AFTER
// `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features` finishes via stream ordering — no race
// possible. Per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md` + canonical Phase-2
// PER-rebuild rule: "fixed accumulation order requires a real
// barrier between stages, and kernel-launch ordering on a single
// stream is the cleanest grid-wide barrier we have".
//
// Inputs:
// prng_state [B] — per-batch xorshift32 seed (mutated)
// prng_state [B] — per-batch xorshift32 seed (READ-ONLY)
// B — batch size
// N_TAU — number of quantile samples
// Outputs:
@@ -69,9 +95,9 @@ __device__ static uint32_t xorshift32_iqn(uint32_t* state) {
// cos_features [B*N_TAU, EMBED_DIM] — cos((j+1) * pi * tau)
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void rl_iqn_tau_cos_features(
uint32_t* __restrict__ prng_state, // [B]
int B,
int N_TAU,
const uint32_t* __restrict__ prng_state, // [B] READ-ONLY (advanced by sibling kernel)
int B,
int N_TAU,
float* __restrict__ tau, // [B, N_TAU]
float* __restrict__ cos_features // [B*N_TAU, EMBED_DIM]
) {
@@ -98,13 +124,8 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_iqn_tau_cos_features(
tau[batch * N_TAU + tau_idx] = u;
s_tau_val = u;
if (tau_idx == 0) {
uint32_t adv = seed;
#pragma unroll
for (int w = 0; w < 8; ++w) xorshift32_iqn(&adv);
prng_state[batch] = adv;
}
// prng_state advancement moved to `rl_iqn_advance_prng_state`
// (see kernel below); no writes to prng_state in this kernel.
}
__syncthreads();
@@ -115,6 +136,51 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_iqn_tau_cos_features(
cos_features[row * EMBED_DIM + j] = cosf((float)(j + 1) * PI_F * tau_val);
}
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_iqn_advance_prng_state:
// Companion to `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features` — advances the per-batch
// xorshift32 PRNG state by exactly 8 steps. Launched AFTER
// `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features` so the read-only sampling sees a stable
// value for prng_state[batch] across all (tau_idx) blocks, then
// this kernel applies a single deterministic update per batch.
//
// Determinism rationale: by separating "read state for tau sampling"
// from "advance state for next call", we eliminate the read-write
// race the previous monolithic kernel had. Both kernels run on the
// same stream, so the launch ordering is a grid-wide barrier
// (no __threadfence required).
//
// Grid = (ceil(B/256), 1, 1)
// Block = (256, 1, 1) — one thread per batch element.
//
// Inputs:
// B — batch size
// Outputs:
// prng_state [B] — advanced 8 xorshift32 steps in place.
// `0` seed bootstrap matches the
// `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features` convention
// `(batch + 1) * 2654435761u + 0xBEEFu`
// so the first advance from the
// cold-start sentinel is identical to
// what the prior monolithic kernel
// produced for tau_idx==0.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void rl_iqn_advance_prng_state(
uint32_t* __restrict__ prng_state, // [B]
int B
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (batch >= B) return;
uint32_t seed = prng_state[batch];
if (seed == 0u) seed = (uint32_t)(batch + 1) * 2654435761u + 0xBEEFu;
uint32_t adv = seed;
#pragma unroll
for (int w = 0; w < 8; ++w) xorshift32_iqn(&adv);
prng_state[batch] = adv;
}
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_iqn_relu_hadamard:
// Stage 3: bias-add → ReLU → element-wise product with h_t.

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,102 @@
// rl_kelly_fraction_controller.cu — Layer 4: half-Kelly position-size multiplier.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Half-Kelly (Thorp) from observed win_rate × R-multiple:
//
// f_kelly = (p × b q) / b where p = win_rate, q = 1 p,
// b = avg_win / avg_loss
// f = clamp(safety × f_kelly, 0, 1) where safety = 0.5 (half-Kelly)
//
// Warmup gate (`pearl_first_observation_bootstrap` + warmup discipline):
// hold f at bootstrap = 1.0 until `cumulative_dones >= MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE`
// so the EMA inputs (win_rate, avg_win, avg_loss) have time to converge
// past cold-start noise. After release, f tracks observed edge — if
// edge is negative or zero, Kelly clamps to 0 = no commitment.
//
// Dead-signal guard: if avg_loss <= 0 (sentinel, no losses observed yet)
// hold f at 1.0 — we don't have a denominator for the R-multiple.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: safety multiplier + warmup gate
// are ISV-driven (slots 680, 681).
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX 676
#define RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX 677
#define RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX 678
#define RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX 679
#define RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX 680
#define RL_KELLY_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX 681
#define RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX 696
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX 698
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX 706
// Fractional-Kelly trust floor (2026-05-31 B-3). Prevents trade-death
// absorbing state during warmup; replaces the prior binary "f=1.0 during
// warmup" gate that caused 53% sizing at every fold boundary.
#define RL_KELLY_BOOTSTRAP_FLOOR_INDEX 720
extern "C" __global__ void rl_kelly_fraction_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
const float p = isv[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX];
const float avg_win = isv[RL_AVG_WIN_USD_EMA_INDEX];
const float avg_loss = isv[RL_AVG_LOSS_USD_EMA_INDEX];
const float safety = isv[RL_KELLY_SAFETY_FRAC_INDEX]; // typically 0.5
// ── Fractional-trust schedule (2026-05-31 B-3 fix). Math:
// Hoeffding gives |p̂ p*| ≤ √(ln(40)/(2n)) with 95% confidence.
// At N_full = 200 trades: ε = √(1.844/200) ≈ 0.10 (10% Kelly precision).
// Below N_full: trust(n) = max(f_floor, n/N_full) gradually opens.
// f_floor=0.05 (5%) prevents Kelly trade-stream death — see
// `pearl_kelly_trade_stream_death`. Replaces the prior binary gate
// `if (n < N_min) kelly = 1.0` which was catastrophic at every
// boundary (4xmxm eval[1]: trade_count=0 → kelly=1.0 → 53% sizing
// → -$100M eval pnl).
const float n_trades = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float n_full = isv[RL_KELLY_MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE_INDEX];
const float f_floor = isv[RL_KELLY_BOOTSTRAP_FLOOR_INDEX];
const float trust = (n_full > 0.0f)
? fmaxf(f_floor, fminf(1.0f, n_trades / n_full))
: 1.0f; // n_full=0 → trust=1 (gate disabled, for legacy configs)
// Dead-signal guards: need positive magnitudes for Kelly formula.
// After B-3 bootstrap (avg_win=avg_loss=1.0 in `with_controllers_bootstrapped`
// AND in `reset_session_state`), these branches only fire if a controller
// upstream zeroed them (shouldn't happen). Trust × safety provides a small
// positive position to keep trades flowing for the trade-stream warmup.
if (avg_loss <= 0.0f || avg_win <= 0.0f) {
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(trust * safety, 1.0f));
return;
}
const float b = avg_win / avg_loss;
const float q = 1.0f - p;
const float f_kelly = (p * b - q) / b;
// f_safe = max(f_floor·safety, f_kelly · trust · safety) — trust schedule
// gates aggressive Kelly during warmup; floor prevents trade-stream death.
const float f_raw = f_kelly * trust * safety;
const float f_min = f_floor * safety;
float f = fmaxf(f_min, f_raw);
f = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(f, 1.0f));
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = f;
// Kelly resurrection (Theorem 1): override analytic kelly if DEAD_ZONE_FLAG fires.
//
// Two safety checks:
// 1. DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG: if dead-zone has persisted > MAX_DURATION steps,
// stop trying to resurrect (let kelly stay at 0; halt the bleed).
// The trainer monitors TIMEOUT_FLAG as a halt-training signal.
// 2. Otherwise: kelly_f overridden with ε_recovery_live (computed by regime_observer).
const int dead_zone = (int)isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX];
const int timeout = (int)isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX];
if (dead_zone && !timeout) {
isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX] = isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX];
}
}

View File

@@ -1,134 +0,0 @@
// rl_lr_from_mapped_pinned.cu — GPU-side LR controller that reads loss
// observations from mapped-pinned device pointers instead of host-
// supplied scalar arguments. This eliminates the host-side loss readback
// between the reward graph and training graph, enabling mega-graph
// capture of the entire per-step pipeline.
//
// The mapped-pinned buffers (ss_q_loss_mapped, ss_pi_loss_mapped,
// ss_v_loss_sum_mapped) have stable device pointers. The GPU writes
// loss values during backward kernels; this kernel reads them from the
// same physical memory via the device-side pointer. The reads are
// coherent because this kernel launches AFTER the backward kernels on
// the same stream (stream ordering guarantees visibility).
//
// Internally delegates to the same plateau_decay_head logic as
// rl_lr_controller.cu. The only difference is the loss observation
// source: pointer dereference instead of scalar argument.
#define RL_LR_BCE_INDEX 412
#define RL_LR_Q_INDEX 413
#define RL_LR_PI_INDEX 414
#define RL_LR_V_INDEX 415
#define RL_LR_AUX_INDEX 416
#define RL_LR_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 462
#define RL_LR_MIN_INDEX 463
#define RL_LR_MAX_INDEX 464
#define RL_LR_LOSS_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX 465
#define RL_LR_DECAY_FACTOR_INDEX 466
#define RL_IMPROVEMENT_THRESHOLD_INDEX 455
#define RL_PLATEAU_PATIENCE_INDEX 456
#define RL_LR_WARMUP_STEPS_INDEX 461
__device__ __forceinline__ void plateau_decay_head(
float* isv,
int lr_idx,
float observed_loss,
int loss_ema_slot,
int best_slot,
int counter_slot,
int warmup_slot
) {
const float lr_prev = isv[lr_idx];
const float lr_bootstrap = isv[RL_LR_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX];
if (lr_prev == 0.0f) {
isv[lr_idx] = lr_bootstrap;
return;
}
if (observed_loss == 0.0f) return;
if (loss_ema_slot < 0) return;
const float loss_ema_prev = isv[loss_ema_slot];
const float loss_ema_alpha = isv[RL_LR_LOSS_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
float loss_ema_new;
if (loss_ema_prev == 0.0f) {
loss_ema_new = observed_loss;
} else {
loss_ema_new = (1.0f - loss_ema_alpha) * loss_ema_prev
+ loss_ema_alpha * observed_loss;
}
isv[loss_ema_slot] = loss_ema_new;
const float warmup_prev = isv[warmup_slot];
const float warmup_target = isv[RL_LR_WARMUP_STEPS_INDEX];
if (warmup_prev < warmup_target) {
isv[best_slot] = loss_ema_new;
isv[counter_slot] = 0.0f;
isv[warmup_slot] = warmup_prev + 1.0f;
return;
}
const float improvement_threshold = isv[RL_IMPROVEMENT_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float plateau_patience = isv[RL_PLATEAU_PATIENCE_INDEX];
const float best_prev = isv[best_slot];
if (loss_ema_new < best_prev * improvement_threshold) {
isv[best_slot] = loss_ema_new;
isv[counter_slot] = 0.0f;
return;
}
const float counter_next = isv[counter_slot] + 1.0f;
if (counter_next >= plateau_patience) {
const float lr_min = isv[RL_LR_MIN_INDEX];
const float decay_factor = isv[RL_LR_DECAY_FACTOR_INDEX];
const float lr_new = fmaxf(lr_min, lr_prev * decay_factor);
isv[lr_idx] = lr_new;
isv[counter_slot] = 0.0f;
} else {
isv[counter_slot] = counter_next;
}
}
extern "C" __global__ void rl_lr_from_mapped_pinned(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ q_loss_ptr, // mapped-pinned dev_ptr (1 float)
const float* __restrict__ pi_loss_ptr, // mapped-pinned dev_ptr (1 float)
const float* __restrict__ v_loss_sum_ptr, // mapped-pinned dev_ptr (1 float)
int b_size, // batch size for V loss normalization
int q_loss_ema_slot,
int q_best_slot,
int q_counter_slot,
int q_warmup_slot,
int pi_loss_ema_slot,
int pi_best_slot,
int pi_counter_slot,
int pi_warmup_slot,
int v_loss_ema_slot,
int v_best_slot,
int v_counter_slot,
int v_warmup_slot
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
// Read losses from mapped-pinned device pointers. These are the
// same physical pages the backward kernels wrote to — coherent
// because this kernel is stream-ordered after them.
const float observed_loss_q = *q_loss_ptr;
const float observed_loss_pi = *pi_loss_ptr;
// V loss is stored as a sum across the batch; normalize to per-sample.
const float observed_loss_v = (b_size > 0) ? (*v_loss_sum_ptr / (float)b_size) : 0.0f;
// BCE and AUX: perception-owned heads, pass slot=-1 to skip.
plateau_decay_head(isv, RL_LR_BCE_INDEX, 0.0f, -1, -1, -1, -1);
plateau_decay_head(isv, RL_LR_Q_INDEX, observed_loss_q,
q_loss_ema_slot, q_best_slot, q_counter_slot, q_warmup_slot);
plateau_decay_head(isv, RL_LR_PI_INDEX, observed_loss_pi,
pi_loss_ema_slot, pi_best_slot, pi_counter_slot, pi_warmup_slot);
plateau_decay_head(isv, RL_LR_V_INDEX, observed_loss_v,
v_loss_ema_slot, v_best_slot, v_counter_slot, v_warmup_slot);
plateau_decay_head(isv, RL_LR_AUX_INDEX, 0.0f, -1, -1, -1, -1);
}

View File

@@ -42,8 +42,10 @@
// sampling is perfectly proportional to priority.
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX 405
#define PER_ALPHA_MIN 0.3f
#define PER_ALPHA_MAX 1.0f
// PER α MIN/MAX clamp bounds are now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30
// clamp-bound extension. Runtime-tunable + visible in diag.
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_MIN_INDEX 647
#define RL_PER_ALPHA_MAX_INDEX 648
// Kurtosis of a standard normal = 3.0 ("excess kurtosis 0" with the
// alternative convention). Used as the breakpoint above which we start
// raising α.
@@ -52,6 +54,8 @@
#define RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX 471
#define RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX 472
#define RL_KURT_LIFT_SCALE_INDEX 459
// Schulman tolerance from the shared global slot.
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
// Noise-floor gate: if the streaming kurtosis estimator emits a value
// below this magnitude, treat it as "no signal" (sentinel-zero proxy)
// and hold α at the prior value. Without this, on the first few steps
@@ -62,7 +66,23 @@
// pattern on the other controllers (per
// pearl_multiplicative_controllers_need_bounded_step_and_noise_floor).
// (KURT_NOISE_FLOOR — was 1.0f #define — now isv[RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX])
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// noise floor augmented with Welford-derived adaptive component (replaces
// reliance on the ISV-driven RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX absolute floor alone).
// Asymmetric Schulman semantics: α RISES on a single above-band kurtosis
// observation (heavy tails = safety signal, sharpen PER fast); α FALLS only
// after N consecutive below-band observations (light tails = patient drift).
// Replaces the regime where the controller stuck at MIN 0.4 because every
// step's kurtosis read landed just above the absolute floor but well below
// the band — the Wiener blend dragged α down even on single observations.
#define RL_TD_KURT_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 604
#define RL_TD_KURT_VAR_M2_INDEX 606
#define RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 607
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed kurtosis
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // α descent requires N below-band steps
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_per_alpha_controller:
@@ -97,12 +117,23 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_alpha_controller(
const float prev = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX];
// Noise-floor gate: kurtosis below KURT_NOISE_FLOOR is dominated
// by streaming-estimator startup noise (per-step batch-mean
// Noise-floor gate: kurtosis below the adaptive noise floor is
// dominated by streaming-estimator startup noise (per-step batch-mean
// differences before tails accumulate). Hold α at prev to avoid
// dragging toward PER_ALPHA_MIN on cold-start.
//
// Adaptive component (spec 2026-05-30): floor scales with observed
// kurtosis std. Replaces reliance on the absolute ISV floor alone.
// Welford sample variance = M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
const float td_kurtosis_ema = isv[input_slot];
if (td_kurtosis_ema > 0.0f && td_kurtosis_ema < isv[RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX]) {
const float kurt_count = isv[RL_TD_KURT_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kurt_var = (kurt_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_TD_KURT_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kurt_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kurt_std = sqrtf(kurt_var);
const float adaptive_noise_floor = fmaxf(isv[RL_KURT_NOISE_FLOOR_INDEX],
kurt_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (td_kurtosis_ema > 0.0f && td_kurtosis_ema < adaptive_noise_floor) {
// Real signal present but below the noise floor — hold prev.
// (Strict sentinel zero handled by the prev==0 bootstrap path
// below, which derives target from the current EMA so the
@@ -120,10 +151,12 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_alpha_controller(
// The 0.4-0.6 baseline keeps the steady-state output near PER's
// canonical 0.6 (when input EMA stabilises at kurt=10) while
// leaving headroom to lift toward 1.0 under heavy tails.
const float per_alpha_min = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_MIN_INDEX];
const float per_alpha_max = isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_MAX_INDEX];
const float kurt_excess = fmaxf(0.0f, td_kurtosis_ema - isv[RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX]);
const float kurt_lift_scale = isv[RL_KURT_LIFT_SCALE_INDEX];
float target = 0.4f + 0.2f * (kurt_excess / kurt_lift_scale);
target = fmaxf(PER_ALPHA_MIN, fminf(target, PER_ALPHA_MAX));
target = fmaxf(per_alpha_min, fminf(target, per_alpha_max));
// Bootstrap on sentinel 0.0 per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap:
// first emit replaces directly with the computed target. At
@@ -138,9 +171,29 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_alpha_controller(
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(PER_ALPHA_MIN, fminf(out, PER_ALPHA_MAX));
out = fmaxf(per_alpha_min, fminf(out, per_alpha_max));
// Asymmetric Schulman patience on the DESCENT direction (spec 2026-05-30):
// PER α rises on a single above-band kurtosis observation (heavy tails
// = act fast to concentrate sampling on informative tails). PER α
// falls only after N consecutive below-band observations — a single
// light-tailed step must not drag α toward MIN.
const float kurt_gaussian = isv[RL_KURT_GAUSSIAN_INDEX];
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
if (out < prev && td_kurtosis_ema < kurt_gaussian / tolerance) {
const float new_count = isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
if (new_count < WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) {
// Hold at prev until patience accumulates.
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = prev;
return;
}
} else {
isv[RL_TD_KURT_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f;
}
isv[RL_PER_ALPHA_INDEX] = out;
}

View File

@@ -1,23 +1,25 @@
/**
* rl_per_push_flush.cu — Two-kernel coordinated coalesced replay write.
* rl_per_push_flush.cu — Coordinated coalesced replay write.
*
* Split from the original single-kernel volatile-spin design into two
* kernels with stream-ordered dependency (graph-safe):
* Second kernel in the split rl_per_push pipeline. After rl_per_push_ring has
* written data to the n-step ring and set flush_flags[b] for completed n-step
* transitions, this kernel coordinates slot allocation and performs the actual
* coalesced write to the replay buffer.
*
* Kernel 1: rl_per_flush_prefix_sum
* Grid=(1), Block=(1). Single thread computes exclusive prefix-sum of
* flush_flags, advances write_head and replay_len, writes per-batch
* offsets + base into write_offsets[0..b_size+1].
* Architecture:
* - Grid=(b_size, 1, 1), Block=(128, 1, 1). One block per batch element.
* - Block 0 runs the prefix-sum to assign write slots (single-threaded, O(B)).
* - All other blocks spin on a volatile global-memory ready flag (no atomics).
* - Once ready, each flushing block does a coalesced 128-thread copy of h_t
* and h_tp1, then thread 0 computes the n-step return and writes scalars +
* priority + resets the ring count.
*
* Kernel 2: rl_per_flush_write
* Grid=(b_size), Block=(128). Each block reads its pre-computed offset
* from write_offsets, then does the coalesced h_t/h_tp1 copy and
* scalar write. No spin — the prefix-sum kernel completed before this
* launch (stream ordering).
*
* No atomicAdd — slot assignment is deterministic serial scan.
* No volatile spin — correctness from stream ordering / graph node deps.
* Coordination: block-0 prefix-sum + volatile ready flag.
* No atomicAdd — slot assignment is deterministic serial scan (feedback_no_atomicadd).
* Pre-compiled cubin only (feedback_no_nvrtc).
*
* Launch: CUDA_HOME=/usr/local/cuda nvcc -cubin -arch sm_86 -O3 \
* --generate-line-info rl_per_push_flush.cu -o rl_per_push_flush.cubin
*/
#define HIDDEN_DIM 128
@@ -28,89 +30,105 @@
#define RL_GAMMA_INDEX 400
#define RL_N_STEP_INDEX 403
/* =====================================================================
* Kernel 1: prefix-sum + write_head advance.
*
* Grid=(1,1,1), Block=(1,1,1). Single thread.
*
* Reads flush_flags[0..b_size], computes exclusive prefix-sum into
* write_offsets[0..b_size], stores base write_head at write_offsets[b_size],
* and advances the replay buffer's write_head + replay_len.
* ===================================================================== */
extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_flush_prefix_sum(
const int* __restrict__ flush_flags, /* [B] */
int* __restrict__ write_offsets, /* [B+1] output: offsets + base */
unsigned int* __restrict__ write_head, /* [1] */
unsigned int* __restrict__ replay_len, /* [1] */
int b_size,
int capacity
)
{
unsigned int base = write_head[0];
extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_push_flush(
/* ── Flush coordination ── */
const int* __restrict__ flush_flags, /* [B] from ring kernel: 1=flush, 0=skip */
int* __restrict__ write_offsets, /* [B+2] output: per-batch offsets, base, ready flag */
/* Exclusive prefix-sum */
int total = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < b_size; ++i) {
write_offsets[i] = total;
total += flush_flags[i];
}
/* Advance write head and replay length */
if (total > 0) {
write_head[0] = (base + (unsigned int)total) % (unsigned int)capacity;
unsigned int len = replay_len[0] + (unsigned int)total;
if (len > (unsigned int)capacity) len = (unsigned int)capacity;
replay_len[0] = len;
}
/* Store base write head for the write kernel */
write_offsets[b_size] = (int)base;
}
/* =====================================================================
* Kernel 2: coalesced replay write.
*
* Grid=(b_size,1,1), Block=(128,1,1). One block per batch element.
*
* Reads pre-computed offset from write_offsets (populated by kernel 1).
* No spin — stream ordering guarantees kernel 1 completed before this.
* ===================================================================== */
extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_flush_write(
const int* __restrict__ flush_flags, /* [B] */
const int* __restrict__ write_offsets, /* [B+1] */
/* N-step ring (read source) */
const float* __restrict__ nstep_scalars, /* [B * N_STEP_MAX * 3] */
/* ── N-step ring (read source) ── */
const float* __restrict__ nstep_scalars, /* [B * N_STEP_MAX * 3]: (r_scaled, r_raw, done) per ring slot */
const float* __restrict__ nstep_h_t, /* [B * N_STEP_MAX * HIDDEN_DIM] */
const unsigned int* __restrict__ nstep_write_idx, /* [B] ring write cursor */
const unsigned int* __restrict__ nstep_count, /* [B] items in ring */
/* Current step data (for h_tp1) */
/* ── Current step data (for h_tp1) ── */
const float* __restrict__ h_tp1_current, /* [B * HIDDEN_DIM] */
const float* __restrict__ log_pi_old, /* [B] */
const int* __restrict__ actions, /* [B] */
const float* __restrict__ isv, /* ISV array */
/* Replay storage (write destination) */
/* ── Replay storage (write destination) ── */
float* __restrict__ replay_h_t, /* [capacity * HIDDEN_DIM] */
float* __restrict__ replay_h_tp1, /* [capacity * HIDDEN_DIM] */
float* __restrict__ replay_scalars, /* [capacity * SCALARS_PER_TRANSITION] */
float* __restrict__ priority_tree, /* [2 * capacity] (leaf layer at offset capacity) */
float* __restrict__ max_priority, /* [1] running max priority */
unsigned int* __restrict__ write_head, /* [1] circular write cursor */
unsigned int* __restrict__ replay_len, /* [1] current buffer occupancy */
float* __restrict__ max_priority, /* [1] running max priority for new inserts */
/* N-step count reset (written on flush) */
unsigned int* __restrict__ nstep_count_out, /* [B] */
/* ── N-step count reset (written on flush) ── */
unsigned int* __restrict__ nstep_count_out, /* [B] — set to 0 for flushed batches */
int b_size,
int capacity
)
{
/* ====================================================================
* PHASE 1: Block 0 coordination (thread 0 only).
*
* Computes prefix-sum of flush_flags to assign contiguous write slots,
* advances write_head and replay_len, stores base for other blocks,
* and signals ready via volatile write.
* ==================================================================== */
if (blockIdx.x == 0 && threadIdx.x == 0) {
unsigned int base = write_head[0];
/* Exclusive prefix-sum: write_offsets[i] = number of flushes before batch i */
int total = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < b_size; ++i) {
write_offsets[i] = total;
total += flush_flags[i];
}
/* Advance write head and replay length */
if (total > 0) {
write_head[0] = (base + (unsigned int)total) % (unsigned int)capacity;
unsigned int len = replay_len[0] + (unsigned int)total;
if (len > (unsigned int)capacity) len = (unsigned int)capacity;
replay_len[0] = len;
}
/* Store base write head for other blocks at slot [b_size] */
write_offsets[b_size] = (int)base;
/* Fence: ensure all writes above are globally visible before signaling */
__threadfence();
/* Signal ready at slot [b_size + 1] */
write_offsets[b_size + 1] = 1;
__threadfence();
}
/* ====================================================================
* PHASE 2: All blocks wait for ready signal.
*
* Non-block-0 blocks spin on a volatile read of the ready flag.
* Block 0 already wrote it, so it proceeds immediately.
* ==================================================================== */
if (threadIdx.x == 0 && blockIdx.x != 0) {
volatile int* ready = (volatile int*)&write_offsets[b_size + 1];
while (*ready == 0) {
/* spin — volatile load, no atomic */
}
}
__syncthreads();
/* ====================================================================
* PHASE 3: Coalesced replay write (128 threads per block).
*
* Each flushing block writes:
* - h_t[HIDDEN_DIM]: from oldest ring entry (coalesced, all 128 threads)
* - h_tp1[HIDDEN_DIM]: from current step (coalesced, all 128 threads)
* - scalars[7]: n-step return + metadata (thread 0 only)
* - priority: max_priority into leaf layer (thread 0 only)
* - reset: nstep_count_out[b] = 0 (thread 0 only)
* ==================================================================== */
const int b = blockIdx.x;
/* Early exit: nothing to flush for this batch */
if (flush_flags[b] == 0) return;
/* Compute target replay slot from pre-computed offsets */
/* Compute target replay slot */
const unsigned int base = (unsigned int)write_offsets[b_size];
const unsigned int my_offset = (unsigned int)write_offsets[b];
const unsigned int my_slot = (base + my_offset) % (unsigned int)capacity;

View File

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
/* =====================================================================
* rl_per_sample.cu — GPU-resident PER: proportional sampling via sum-tree
*
* Grid=(b_size), Block=(128). One block per sample.
* Grid=(b_size), Block=(1). One thread per sample.
*
* Thread 0 does the tree walk + scalar unpack. All 128 threads cooperate
* on the coalesced h_t and h_tp1 gathers (128 floats = HIDDEN_DIM per
* sample, one float per thread, single 512-byte coalesced transaction).
* Each thread samples a leaf from the priority sum-tree using stratified
* sampling (segment per thread) with xorshift32 PRNG, then gathers the
* transition data from replay storage.
*
* ISV reads: none (alpha used only at priority-update time)
* ===================================================================== */
@@ -44,87 +44,75 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_sample(
int capacity
)
{
const int b = blockIdx.x;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
/* ── Shared memory for broadcasting the sampled leaf index ────────── */
__shared__ int s_safe_leaf;
const unsigned int len = replay_len[0];
const float total_priority = priority_tree[1]; /* root */
/* ── Thread 0: tree walk + scalar reads ──────────────────────────── */
if (tid == 0) {
const unsigned int len = replay_len[0];
const float total_priority = priority_tree[1]; /* root */
/* Guard: empty or zero-priority replay */
if (total_priority < 1e-9f || len == 0) {
s_safe_leaf = -1; /* sentinel: zero-fill outputs */
} else {
/* Seed PRNG if cold */
if (prng_state[b] == 0) {
prng_state[b] = (unsigned int)(b + 1) * 2654435761u;
}
/* Stratified sampling: draw u in [b*segment, (b+1)*segment) */
const float segment = total_priority / (float)b_size;
unsigned int rng = xorshift32(&prng_state[b]);
const float u_frac = (float)(rng & 0x00FFFFFFu) / (float)0x01000000u;
float u = ((float)b + u_frac) * segment;
/* Clamp to avoid floating-point overshoot */
if (u >= total_priority) u = total_priority - 1e-6f;
if (u < 0.0f) u = 0.0f;
/* Walk tree top-down */
int idx = 1;
while (idx < capacity) {
const int left = 2 * idx;
const float left_val = priority_tree[left];
if (u <= left_val) {
idx = left;
} else {
u -= left_val;
idx = left + 1;
}
}
const int leaf = idx - capacity;
/* Clamp leaf to valid range */
const int safe_leaf = (leaf >= 0 && leaf < (int)len) ? leaf : 0;
s_safe_leaf = safe_leaf;
sample_indices[b] = (unsigned int)safe_leaf;
/* Unpack scalars (thread 0 only — small data, not worth parallelising) */
const int sc_base = safe_leaf * SCALARS_PER_TRANSITION;
sampled_actions[b] = (int)replay_scalars[sc_base + 0];
sampled_rewards[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 1];
sampled_dones[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 3];
sampled_log_pi_old[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 4];
sampled_n_step_gammas[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 5];
}
}
__syncthreads();
const int safe_leaf = s_safe_leaf;
if (safe_leaf < 0) {
/* Empty replay — zero-fill h_t and h_tp1 (coalesced, all 128 threads) */
sampled_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + tid] = 0.0f;
sampled_h_tp1[b * HIDDEN_DIM + tid] = 0.0f;
if (tid == 0) {
sampled_rewards[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_dones[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_log_pi_old[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_n_step_gammas[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_actions[b] = 0;
sample_indices[b] = 0;
/* Guard: empty or zero-priority replay */
if (total_priority < 1e-9f || len == 0) {
for (int i = 0; i < HIDDEN_DIM; ++i) {
sampled_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + i] = 0.0f;
sampled_h_tp1[b * HIDDEN_DIM + i] = 0.0f;
}
sampled_rewards[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_dones[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_log_pi_old[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_n_step_gammas[b] = 0.0f;
sampled_actions[b] = 0;
sample_indices[b] = 0;
return;
}
/* ── Coalesced h_t gather (128 threads, 1 float each) ────────────── */
sampled_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + tid] = replay_h_t[safe_leaf * HIDDEN_DIM + tid];
/* ── Seed PRNG if cold ────────────────────────────────────────────── */
if (prng_state[b] == 0) {
prng_state[b] = (unsigned int)(b + 1) * 2654435761u;
}
/* ── Coalesced h_tp1 gather (128 threads, 1 float each) ──────────── */
sampled_h_tp1[b * HIDDEN_DIM + tid] = replay_h_tp1[safe_leaf * HIDDEN_DIM + tid];
/* ── Stratified sampling: draw u in [b*segment, (b+1)*segment) ────── */
const float segment = total_priority / (float)b_size;
unsigned int rng = xorshift32(&prng_state[b]);
const float u_frac = (float)(rng & 0x00FFFFFFu) / (float)0x01000000u; /* [0, 1) */
float u = ((float)b + u_frac) * segment;
/* Clamp to avoid floating-point overshoot */
if (u >= total_priority) u = total_priority - 1e-6f;
if (u < 0.0f) u = 0.0f;
/* ── Walk tree top-down ───────────────────────────────────────────── */
int idx = 1;
while (idx < capacity) {
const int left = 2 * idx;
const float left_val = priority_tree[left];
if (u <= left_val) {
idx = left;
} else {
u -= left_val;
idx = left + 1;
}
}
const int leaf = idx - capacity;
/* Clamp leaf to valid range */
const int safe_leaf = (leaf >= 0 && leaf < (int)len) ? leaf : 0;
sample_indices[b] = (unsigned int)safe_leaf;
/* ── Gather h_t ──────────────────────────────────────────────────── */
for (int i = 0; i < HIDDEN_DIM; ++i) {
sampled_h_t[b * HIDDEN_DIM + i] = replay_h_t[safe_leaf * HIDDEN_DIM + i];
}
/* ── Gather h_tp1 ────────────────────────────────────────────────── */
for (int i = 0; i < HIDDEN_DIM; ++i) {
sampled_h_tp1[b * HIDDEN_DIM + i] = replay_h_tp1[safe_leaf * HIDDEN_DIM + i];
}
/* ── Unpack scalars ──────────────────────────────────────────────── */
const int sc_base = safe_leaf * SCALARS_PER_TRANSITION;
sampled_actions[b] = (int)replay_scalars[sc_base + 0];
sampled_rewards[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 1]; /* n-step scaled return */
sampled_dones[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 3];
sampled_log_pi_old[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 4];
sampled_n_step_gammas[b] = replay_scalars[sc_base + 5];
}

View File

@@ -1,30 +1,86 @@
/* =====================================================================
* rl_per_tree_rebuild.cu — GPU-resident PER: per-level sum-tree rebuild
* rl_per_tree_rebuild.cu — GPU-resident PER: bottom-up sum-tree rebuild
*
* One kernel invocation per tree level. The host launches log2(capacity)
* times, from bottom (level 0 = parents of leaves) to top (root).
* Stream ordering between launches provides the device-wide barrier that
* the previous __threadfence() approach lacked — each level's writes are
* fully complete before the next level reads them.
* Grid=(1), Block=(1024). Single-block deterministic rebuild.
*
* Graph-safe: each level is a separate kernel node in the CUDA graph.
* The graph engine respects stream-order dependencies between nodes.
* Rebuilds the entire sum-tree from leaf priorities (at indices
* [capacity..2*capacity)) up to the root (index 1). All levels are
* processed within ONE block: __syncthreads() between levels is a
* proper barrier guaranteeing every thread in the block sees every
* other thread's writes from the previous level.
*
* Determinism rationale (Phase 2 §2.F fix — Option C):
* The previous Grid=(128) launch used __threadfence() between levels.
* __threadfence() is a memory-ordering primitive, NOT a grid-wide
* barrier — it orders THIS thread's writes globally but does not
* wait for OTHER blocks' writes to be visible. Under the previous
* geometry, block N could read level-L nodes while block M's
* level-L writes were still in flight, producing different
* addition orderings across same-seed runs. Same-seed runs of the
* determinism diagnostic at b=128 saw root priority diverge
* ~592.7 vs ~695.7 at step 2 (Phase 2 sub-investigation dumps).
*
* By collapsing to a single block, we lose grid-level parallelism
* but gain bit-deterministic execution: __syncthreads() is a hard
* intra-block barrier, and every internal node is the deterministic
* sum of its two specific children written in a definite order
* (sequential grid-stride within one block, fixed thread→node
* mapping via i = tid + k*blockDim.x).
*
* Speed cost: capacity=32768 → ~65k floating-point adds total, 15
* levels = 15 syncs. On RTX 3050 the kernel runs ~30-80 μs which
* is a ~10× slowdown vs the parallel version but well within the
* per-step budget (the step itself is ~30-50 ms at b=128).
*
* Launch: Grid=(1,1,1), Block=(1024,1,1). Block size 1024 is the
* CUDA hard maximum; works on all foxhunt GPUs (sm_86 / sm_89 /
* sm_90). If capacity grows past 2^21 in the future, switch to
* cooperative_groups::grid().sync() for a multi-block deterministic
* path.
*
* No atomicAdd — each internal node is written by exactly one thread.
* No __threadfence() — __syncthreads() is the only inter-level barrier.
* ===================================================================== */
extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_tree_rebuild_level(
extern "C" __global__ void rl_per_tree_rebuild(
float* __restrict__ priority_tree, /* [2 * capacity] */
int start, /* first node index at this level */
int nodes_at_level /* number of nodes to process at this level */
int capacity
)
{
const int tid_global = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
const int total_threads = gridDim.x * blockDim.x;
/* Single block, single-block-stride loop per level. blockIdx.x is
* guaranteed 0 by the launch geometry, but guard anyway so a
* future caller passing Grid>(1,1,1) is a silent no-op rather than
* a corrupted tree. */
if (blockIdx.x != 0) return;
/* Grid-stride loop: each thread processes one or more nodes */
for (int i = tid_global; i < nodes_at_level; i += total_threads) {
const int node = start + i;
priority_tree[node] = priority_tree[2 * node] + priority_tree[2 * node + 1];
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
const int block_size = blockDim.x;
/* Bottom-up: level 0 = parents of leaves, last level = root.
* At level L, there are (capacity >> (L+1)) internal nodes,
* with indices [capacity >> (L+1) .. capacity >> L). */
int nodes_at_level = capacity >> 1; /* level 0: cap/2 nodes */
int start = nodes_at_level; /* first node index at this level */
while (nodes_at_level >= 1) {
/* Each thread processes multiple nodes via block-stride loop.
* Mapping `i = tid + k*block_size` is FIXED across runs:
* thread t always writes nodes (start + t), (start + t + B),
* (start + t + 2B), ... ensuring a deterministic write order.
*/
for (int i = tid; i < nodes_at_level; i += block_size) {
const int node = start + i;
priority_tree[node] = priority_tree[2 * node]
+ priority_tree[2 * node + 1];
}
/* Intra-block barrier — proper synchronisation, unlike the
* previous __threadfence() which did NOT wait for other
* blocks' writes. */
__syncthreads();
/* Move up one level */
nodes_at_level >>= 1;
start >>= 1;
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
// rl_pi_grad_blend.cu — Phase 3D-C (2026-06-03): PPO surrogate × Q-distill
// gradient blend operator.
//
// Replaces the pre-Q-distill zero-fill of `ss_pi_grad_logits_d` with a
// conditional scale/zero step that lets the PPO clipped-surrogate
// gradient flow into π alongside the Q-distill term:
//
// ENABLED (slot RL_PPO_SURROGATE_ENABLED_INDEX > 0.5):
// pi_grad[i] *= weight (slot RL_PPO_SURROGATE_WEIGHT_INDEX)
// DISABLED:
// pi_grad[i] = 0.0 (legacy zero-then-distill path)
//
// Q-distill then ADDS (`pi_grad_logits[i] += ...`) on top, producing:
// pi_grad[i] = weight * grad_PPO[i] + grad_Q_distill[i]
//
// Why this is needed: per Goodhart-Skalse 2024 (Causes of Misalignment),
// the four-stage Q→π attenuation chain (V → Bellman target → softmax(Q/τ)
// → KL distill) cannot transmit small persistent fees back to π. Cao et
// al. 2026 (arXiv:2603.29086) showed restoring a direct policy-gradient
// channel (weight 1e-3 to 1e-2) cuts turnover 96% across TD3 / PPO / SAC
// when paired with quadratic impact costs.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: element-wise, one thread per logit.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_PPO_SURROGATE_WEIGHT_INDEX 797
#define RL_PPO_SURROGATE_ENABLED_INDEX 798
extern "C" __global__ void rl_pi_grad_blend(
float* __restrict__ pi_grad_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS] IN/OUT
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus (RO)
int b_size,
int n_actions
) {
const int i = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
const int total = b_size * n_actions;
if (i >= total) return;
const float enabled = isv[RL_PPO_SURROGATE_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled > 0.5f) {
const float w = isv[RL_PPO_SURROGATE_WEIGHT_INDEX];
pi_grad_logits[i] *= w;
} else {
pi_grad_logits[i] = 0.0f;
}
}

View File

@@ -9,9 +9,10 @@
// Grid=(1), Block=(min(b_size, 256)).
//
// Two-pass design:
// Pass 1: warp-shuffle + shared-mem tree-reduce to compute batch sum
// and sum-of-squares.
// Pass 1: warp-shuffle + shared-mem tree-reduce to compute batch sum,
// sum-of-squares, and per-account max |r| (F4 envelope).
// Pass 2: thread 0 computes batch mean/var, updates ISV via Welford-EMA,
// applies max-magnitude envelope floor on sigma,
// broadcasts new mean+sigma to all threads via shared mem.
// Pass 3: each thread normalizes its reward(s) in place.
//
@@ -27,6 +28,21 @@
#define POPART_MEAN_OLD_INDEX 557
#define POPART_ALPHA_INDEX 558
// F4: per-account max-magnitude envelope (Theorem 6, spec v3)
#define RL_POPART_MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA_INDEX 714
#define RL_POPART_MAX_DECAY_ALPHA_INDEX 715
// B-8 (2026-06-01): pre-envelope-floor Welford σ. Diag emits as
// `popart.sigma_welford` for σ shock attribution under B-7. Mirror of
// Rust const `RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX` in `isv_slots.rs`.
#define RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX 725
// Phase 3B-Y (2026-06-03): PopArt normalize gate. 0.0 = DISABLED (skip the
// final whitening loop but keep running stats updating). 1.0 = ENABLED
// (legacy van Hasselt 2016 whitening). Mirror of Rust const
// `RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX` in `isv_slots.rs`.
#define RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX 793
#define BLOCK_SIZE 256
// Warp-level sum reduction via shuffle-down.
@@ -36,6 +52,14 @@ __device__ __forceinline__ float warp_reduce_sum(float val) {
return val;
}
// Warp-level max reduction via shuffle-down.
__device__ __forceinline__ float warp_reduce_max(float val) {
for (int offset = 16; offset > 0; offset >>= 1) {
val = fmaxf(val, __shfl_down_sync(0xFFFFFFFF, val, offset));
}
return val;
}
extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_normalize(
float* __restrict__ rewards, // [B] IN/OUT
float* __restrict__ isv,
@@ -48,33 +72,40 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_normalize(
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
const int block_dim = blockDim.x;
// Shared memory: 2 banks for tree-reduce + 2 floats for broadcast.
extern __shared__ float sdata[]; // [block_dim * 2 + 2]
float* s_sum = sdata; // [block_dim]
float* s_sum_sq = sdata + block_dim; // [block_dim]
// Broadcast slots at the end:
// sdata[block_dim * 2 + 0] = new_mean
// sdata[block_dim * 2 + 1] = new_sigma
// Shared memory: 3 banks for tree-reduce + 2 floats for broadcast.
// Layout:
// s_sum[] at sdata + 0 [block_dim floats]
// s_sum_sq[] at sdata + block_dim [block_dim floats]
// s_max_abs[] at sdata + block_dim * 2 [block_dim floats] (F4)
// Broadcast at sdata + block_dim * 3 [2 floats: new_mean, new_sigma]
extern __shared__ float sdata[]; // [block_dim * 3 + 2]
float* s_sum = sdata; // [block_dim]
float* s_sum_sq = sdata + block_dim; // [block_dim]
float* s_max_abs = sdata + block_dim * 2; // [block_dim] F4
// ── Pass 1: grid-stride accumulation of sum and sum-of-squares ──
float local_sum = 0.0f;
// ── Pass 1: grid-stride accumulation of sum, sum-of-squares, max |r| ──
float local_sum = 0.0f;
float local_sum_sq = 0.0f;
float local_max_abs = 0.0f; // neutral element (|r| >= 0)
for (int i = tid; i < b_size; i += block_dim) {
float r = rewards[i];
local_sum += r;
local_sum += r;
local_sum_sq += r * r;
local_max_abs = fmaxf(local_max_abs, fabsf(r)); // F4
}
// ── Warp shuffle reduction within each warp ──
float warp_sum = warp_reduce_sum(local_sum);
float warp_sum = warp_reduce_sum(local_sum);
float warp_sum_sq = warp_reduce_sum(local_sum_sq);
float warp_max = warp_reduce_max(local_max_abs); // F4
// Lane 0 of each warp writes to shared memory.
int warp_id = tid / 32;
int lane_id = tid % 32;
if (lane_id == 0) {
s_sum[warp_id] = warp_sum;
s_sum_sq[warp_id] = warp_sum_sq;
s_sum[warp_id] = warp_sum;
s_sum_sq[warp_id] = warp_sum_sq;
s_max_abs[warp_id] = warp_max; // F4
}
__syncthreads();
@@ -83,8 +114,10 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_normalize(
if (tid < 32) {
float v_sum = (tid < n_warps) ? s_sum[tid] : 0.0f;
float v_ssq = (tid < n_warps) ? s_sum_sq[tid] : 0.0f;
float v_max = (tid < n_warps) ? s_max_abs[tid] : 0.0f; // F4
v_sum = warp_reduce_sum(v_sum);
v_ssq = warp_reduce_sum(v_ssq);
v_max = warp_reduce_max(v_max); // F4
if (tid == 0) {
// ── Batch statistics ──
@@ -118,13 +151,35 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_normalize(
float new_sigma = sqrtf(fmaxf(new_var, 1e-6f));
// B-8 (2026-06-01): publish Welford-only σ BEFORE the F4 envelope
// floor below. Diag emits this as `popart.sigma_welford` so σ shocks
// can be attributed to either Welford drift OR envelope spike.
// Pure observability — does not perturb computation.
isv[RL_POPART_SIGMA_WELFORD_INDEX] = new_sigma;
// ── F4: per-account max-magnitude envelope detector (Theorem 6) ──
// Fast-up, slow-decay EMA on per-step max |r|. Floors popart sigma
// so single-account tail events are not diluted by the batch mean.
const float max_r_this_step = v_max;
const float decay_alpha = isv[RL_POPART_MAX_DECAY_ALPHA_INDEX];
float max_r_ema = isv[RL_POPART_MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA_INDEX];
if (max_r_this_step > max_r_ema) {
max_r_ema = max_r_this_step; // fast-up
} else {
max_r_ema = (1.0f - decay_alpha) * max_r_ema + decay_alpha * max_r_this_step; // slow decay
}
isv[RL_POPART_MAX_ABS_REWARD_EMA_INDEX] = max_r_ema;
new_sigma = fmaxf(new_sigma, max_r_ema); // floor: σ_effective = max(σ_existing, max_r_ema)
isv[POPART_MEAN_INDEX] = new_mean;
isv[POPART_VAR_INDEX] = new_var;
isv[POPART_SIGMA_INDEX] = new_sigma;
// Broadcast to all threads via shared mem.
sdata[block_dim * 2 + 0] = new_mean;
sdata[block_dim * 2 + 1] = new_sigma;
// CRITICAL (Issue β): broadcast slots at block_dim * 3, not block_dim * 2.
sdata[block_dim * 3 + 0] = new_mean;
sdata[block_dim * 3 + 1] = new_sigma;
__threadfence_system();
}
@@ -132,11 +187,18 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_normalize(
__syncthreads();
// ── Pass 3: normalize rewards in place ──
float mean = sdata[block_dim * 2 + 0];
float sigma = sdata[block_dim * 2 + 1];
float inv_sigma = 1.0f / sigma; // sigma >= sqrt(1e-6) > 0
// CRITICAL (Issue β): read broadcast slots at block_dim * 3.
// Phase 3B-Y (2026-06-03): gated by slot 793 (RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX).
// Running stats above (mean/var/sigma + envelope EMA) still update so that
// re-enabling the gate produces sensible values without a session restart.
const float popart_enabled = isv[RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (popart_enabled > 0.5f) {
float mean = sdata[block_dim * 3 + 0];
float sigma = sdata[block_dim * 3 + 1];
float inv_sigma = 1.0f / sigma; // sigma >= sqrt(1e-6) > 0
for (int i = tid; i < b_size; i += block_dim) {
rewards[i] = (rewards[i] - mean) * inv_sigma;
for (int i = tid; i < b_size; i += block_dim) {
rewards[i] = (rewards[i] - mean) * inv_sigma;
}
}
}

View File

@@ -18,10 +18,16 @@
#include <cuda_runtime.h>
#define POPART_MEAN_INDEX 553
#define POPART_SIGMA_INDEX 555
#define POPART_SIGMA_OLD_INDEX 556
#define POPART_MEAN_OLD_INDEX 557
#define POPART_MEAN_INDEX 553
#define POPART_SIGMA_INDEX 555
#define POPART_SIGMA_OLD_INDEX 556
#define POPART_MEAN_OLD_INDEX 557
// Phase 3B-Y companion gate: when PopArt normalization is disabled
// (slot 793 = 0), V-correction MUST also be skipped. The running
// mean/sigma stats still update against raw reward magnitudes, so
// the correction formula would scale v_pred against an out-of-band
// scale that no longer matches the V regression target.
#define RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX 793
extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_v_correct(
float* __restrict__ v_pred, // [B] IN/OUT
@@ -32,6 +38,11 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_popart_v_correct(
int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
// Phase 3B-Y: skip correction when popart normalization is off.
// Reward stream is in raw pnl-units; V is trained against the raw
// returns directly; the correction would introduce a unit mismatch.
if (isv[RL_POPART_NORMALIZE_ENABLED_INDEX] <= 0.5f) return;
float sigma_old = isv[POPART_SIGMA_OLD_INDEX];
float sigma_new = isv[POPART_SIGMA_INDEX];
float mean_old = isv[POPART_MEAN_OLD_INDEX];

View File

@@ -42,16 +42,36 @@
// when ratios run away).
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX 402
#define EPS_MIN 0.05f
#define EPS_MAX 0.5f
// ε MIN/MAX are now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30 clamp-bound extension —
// the prior hardcoded `[0.05, 0.5]` calibration was a fixed-regime choice
// that contributed to fold 0/1 saturation when Phase 4.5 narrowed the KL
// signal distribution. ISV-residence makes the bound runtime-tunable
// (visible in diag JSONL, re-seedable without recompile).
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX 640
#define RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MAX_INDEX 641
// ISV-driven bootstrap + KL target per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`.
#define RL_EPS_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 474
#define RL_KL_TARGET_INDEX 454
// Schulman pattern parameters — global slots shared by 4 controllers.
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
#define RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 469
#define KL_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers per
// `pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary`. ISV-resident at slot 659
// so all consumers stay aligned without per-file `#define` drift.
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// noise floor derives from observed kl_pi_ema variance via Welford triples,
// asymmetric Schulman widening requires N consecutive below-band observations.
// Replaces hardcoded KL_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC=0.01f which was the root cause of
// the fold 0/1 saturation (ε locked at MAX 0.50 within 50 steps because the
// 1%-of-target floor was 100× too low for the post-Phase-4.5 KL regime).
#define RL_KL_PI_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 588
#define RL_KL_PI_VAR_M2_INDEX 590
#define RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 591
#define NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC 0.5f // floor ≥ 50% of target
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed signal
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // widen requires N below-band steps
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -93,26 +113,49 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_ppo_clip_controller(
// ISV-driven KL target (was hardcoded #define).
const float kl_target = isv[RL_KL_TARGET_INDEX];
const float kl_noise_floor = kl_target * KL_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Noise-floor gate: KL below kl_noise_floor is dominated by
// numerical noise, not real policy divergence. Hold ε unchanged.
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven per
// `pearl_zscore_normalization_for_magnitude_asymmetric_signals` and
// `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`. Floor must scale with observed signal
// magnitude AND have an absolute minimum tied to the target so a
// momentarily-noisy signal can't trigger spurious adjustments.
// Welford sample variance = M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
const float kl_count = isv[RL_KL_PI_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kl_var = (kl_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_KL_PI_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kl_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kl_std = sqrtf(kl_var);
const float kl_noise_floor = fmaxf(kl_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
kl_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
// Noise-floor gate: KL below the adaptive floor is dominated by
// numerical noise OR signal stays naturally below target under the
// current architecture (e.g., Phase 4.5 reduces KL by ~50×). Hold ε.
if (kl_ema < kl_noise_floor) return;
// Bounded multiplicative adjustment (Schulman-style adaptive KL).
// Schulman params from ISV — shared with target_tau, rollout_steps.
// Asymmetric Schulman (spec 2026-05-30 Section "Approach C, folded in"):
// tightening fires on a single above-band observation — real policy
// divergence is a safety signal we act on fast. Widening requires
// N consecutive below-band observations so a single noisy step can't
// drive ε past bootstrap. Below-band counter is per-controller in ISV.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float ratio;
if (kl_ema > kl_target * tolerance) {
ratio = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
ratio = 1.0f / adjust_rate; // tighten — single observation
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // reset patience
} else if (kl_ema < kl_target / tolerance) {
ratio = adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
ratio = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? adjust_rate : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_KL_PI_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // in-band → reset
ratio = 1.0f;
}
const float eps_min = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MIN_INDEX];
const float eps_max = isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_EPS_MAX_INDEX];
float eps_target = eps_prev * ratio;
eps_target = fmaxf(EPS_MIN, fminf(eps_target, EPS_MAX));
eps_target = fmaxf(eps_min, fminf(eps_target, eps_max));
// First-observation replace-directly per
// `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`. See rl_target_tau_controller
@@ -125,9 +168,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_ppo_clip_controller(
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float eps_new = (1.0f - a) * eps_prev + a * eps_target;
eps_new = fmaxf(EPS_MIN, fminf(eps_new, EPS_MAX));
eps_new = fmaxf(eps_min, fminf(eps_new, eps_max));
isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX] = eps_new;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,117 @@
// rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce.cu — B-10 G3+G4: PPO advantage
// normalization + surrogate decomposition observability. Consumes 5
// per-batch scratch arrays written by `ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu` (which
// gains 5 new pointer params alongside the existing `loss_per_batch[B]`
// write) and emits 8 ISV slots:
//
// 735 RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX — max |A_norm| across B
// 736 RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX — mean |A_norm| across B
// 737 RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX — max |A_unnorm| across B
// 738 RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX — mean |A_unnorm| across B
// 739 RL_PPO_A_SIGMA_USED_INDEX — sqrt(isv[612]) — the per-batch
// std actually applied as divisor
// in `rl_advantage_normalize.cu`
// (Schulman 2017 canonical
// per-batch standardization).
// 740 RL_PPO_RATIO_DEV_ABS_MEAN_INDEX — mean |ratio - 1| across B
// 741 RL_PPO_RATIO_CLIP_RATE_INDEX — fraction outside [1-ε, 1+ε]
// (sum of 0/1 flags / B)
// 742 RL_PPO_L_SURROGATE_INDEX — mean clipped surrogate
// (without entropy bonus)
//
// Pattern lifted from `rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce.cu`: single
// block, grid-stride loop, separate `__shared__` arrays per reduction.
// Per `pearl_no_atomicadd`: no atomicAdd anywhere. Per
// `feedback_no_partial_refactor`: the new scratches in
// `ppo_clipped_surrogate.cu` are written alongside `loss_per_batch`
// (untouched); `ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu` and `ppo_log_ratio_abs_max_b.cu`
// continue to operate on their existing inputs.
//
// Caller launches with block_dim = next_pow2(B).min(256), grid = (1,1,1),
// shared bytes = 7 * block_dim * sizeof(float).
#include <cuda_runtime.h>
#include <math_constants.h>
#define RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX 612
#define RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX 735
#define RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX 736
#define RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX 737
#define RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX 738
#define RL_PPO_A_SIGMA_USED_INDEX 739
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_DEV_ABS_MEAN_INDEX 740
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLIP_RATE_INDEX 741
#define RL_PPO_L_SURROGATE_INDEX 742
extern "C" __global__ void rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ a_norm_per_batch, // [B] |A_norm|
const float* __restrict__ ratio_dev_per_batch, // [B] |ratio - 1|
const float* __restrict__ ratio_clipped_pb, // [B] {0.0, 1.0}
const float* __restrict__ surrogate_per_batch, // [B] clipped surrogate
int B
) {
// 5 reductions × block_dim floats. Separate arrays to avoid any
// cross-talk that could perturb determinism (per spec §3.4 + §4 V3).
// σ_used is a per-step scalar (read once at end from slot 612);
// |A_unnorm| stats are reconstructed from |A_norm| × σ_used in the
// final write — no per-batch unnorm scratch needed.
extern __shared__ float smem[];
float* s_an_max = smem;
float* s_an_sum = smem + blockDim.x;
float* s_rd_sum = smem + 2 * blockDim.x;
float* s_rc_sum = smem + 3 * blockDim.x;
float* s_su_sum = smem + 4 * blockDim.x;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
// Grid-stride per-thread folds.
float l_an_max = 0.0f, l_an_sum = 0.0f;
float l_rd_sum = 0.0f, l_rc_sum = 0.0f, l_su_sum = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += blockDim.x) {
const float an = a_norm_per_batch[b];
l_an_max = fmaxf(l_an_max, an);
l_an_sum += an;
l_rd_sum += ratio_dev_per_batch[b];
l_rc_sum += ratio_clipped_pb[b];
l_su_sum += surrogate_per_batch[b];
}
s_an_max[tid] = l_an_max;
s_an_sum[tid] = l_an_sum;
s_rd_sum[tid] = l_rd_sum;
s_rc_sum[tid] = l_rc_sum;
s_su_sum[tid] = l_su_sum;
__syncthreads();
// Power-of-2 tree reduce. blockDim.x is guaranteed power of 2 by caller.
for (int stride = blockDim.x / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_an_max[tid] = fmaxf(s_an_max[tid], s_an_max[tid + stride]);
s_an_sum[tid] += s_an_sum[tid + stride];
s_rd_sum[tid] += s_rd_sum[tid + stride];
s_rc_sum[tid] += s_rc_sum[tid + stride];
s_su_sum[tid] += s_su_sum[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float denom = (float)B;
const float var_pre_norm = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX];
// σ_used = sqrt(var_pre_norm). Guard against tiny negative
// residuals from float ε.
const float sigma_used = sqrtf(fmaxf(var_pre_norm, 0.0f));
const float a_norm_max = s_an_max[0];
const float a_norm_mean = s_an_sum[0] / denom;
isv[RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX] = a_norm_max;
isv[RL_PPO_A_NORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX] = a_norm_mean;
// |A_unnorm| = |A_norm| × σ_used (σ_used is constant across batch
// by construction in rl_advantage_normalize); reconstruction
// preserves max/mean structure without a per-batch scratch.
isv[RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MAX_INDEX] = a_norm_max * sigma_used;
isv[RL_PPO_A_UNNORM_ABS_MEAN_INDEX] = a_norm_mean * sigma_used;
isv[RL_PPO_A_SIGMA_USED_INDEX] = sigma_used;
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_DEV_ABS_MEAN_INDEX] = s_rd_sum[0] / denom;
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLIP_RATE_INDEX] = s_rc_sum[0] / denom;
isv[RL_PPO_L_SURROGATE_INDEX] = s_su_sum[0] / denom;
}
}

View File

@@ -53,9 +53,21 @@
// Default 10.0 — clamp_max = (1+ε) × this. Seeded by rl_isv_write
// at init. Tuning lower tightens the importance-ratio bound.
#define RL_PPO_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX 460
#define PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT 2.0f
#define PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT 1000.0f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// the MIN_OUT floor derives from observed log-ratio variance (Welford
// triple at slots 630/631/632) rather than the static `2.0f` baseline.
// The MAX ceiling is ISV-resident at slot 629 so it can be tuned at
// runtime. The hardcoded `2.0f` survives as an architectural minimum
// per the spec's "physics-constant" exemption ("don't degenerate to
// vanilla policy gradient when σ_ratio is tiny").
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 629
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 630
#define RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_M2_INDEX 632
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
#define PPO_RATIO_MIN_ABSOLUTE 2.0f // architectural exemption: vanilla-PG safeguard
#define PPO_RATIO_MIN_STD_SCALE 3.0f // adaptive min = max(2.0, 1 + 3σ)
#define PPO_RATIO_MAX_OVER_MIN_FACTOR 5.0f // adaptive max ≥ 5× adaptive min
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_ppo_ratio_clamp_controller:
@@ -98,9 +110,25 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_ppo_ratio_clamp_controller(
const float clamp_margin = isv[RL_PPO_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX];
float target = (1.0f + eps) * clamp_margin;
// ── Adaptive MIN/MAX from observed log-ratio variance ───────────
// Welford sample variance = M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
// Adaptive min: max(2.0, 1 + 3σ_ratio). The 2.0 floor is the
// architectural-minimum exemption ("don't degenerate to vanilla
// policy gradient") — kept as a #define per the spec. The 3σ scale
// gives the clamp window roughly the same coverage of healthy
// policy updates as the prior static 2.0 baseline did pre-Phase 4.5.
const float ratio_count = isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float ratio_var = (ratio_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (ratio_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float ratio_std = sqrtf(ratio_var);
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
1.0f + ratio_std * PPO_RATIO_MIN_STD_SCALE);
const float adaptive_max = fmaxf(adaptive_min * PPO_RATIO_MAX_OVER_MIN_FACTOR,
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_ADAPTIVE_INDEX]);
// Permanent floor / ceiling per pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor.
target = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT,
fminf(target, PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT));
target = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(target, adaptive_max));
// First-observation replace-directly per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.
// prev == PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_BOOTSTRAP means "we just bootstrapped last
@@ -113,10 +141,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_ppo_ratio_clamp_controller(
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MIN_OUT,
fminf(out, PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_OUT));
out = fmaxf(adaptive_min, fminf(out, adaptive_max));
isv[RL_PPO_RATIO_CLAMP_MAX_INDEX] = out;
}

View File

@@ -23,11 +23,27 @@
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_EMA_INDEX 488
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TARGET_INDEX 491
#define MIN_LAMBDA 0.05f
#define MAX_LAMBDA 1.0f
#define KL_TOLERANCE 3.0f
#define LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE 1.2f
#define LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE 0.998f
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30 Special case Q):
// hardcoded `MIN_LAMBDA = 0.05f` floor replaced with adaptive bound
// derived from Welford variance on q_distill_kl_ema. Phase 4.5 reduces
// KL signal magnitudes which this controller consumes; the "below target"
// path fires continuously, decaying λ to MIN. Adaptive bound
// `max(0.001, sqrt(var) × 0.05)` lets λ decay to a level proportional to
// the actual signal noise rather than the hardcoded 0.05 floor.
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 618
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_M2_INDEX 620
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX 639
// MAX_LAMBDA, KL_TOLERANCE, LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE, LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE are now
// ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30 clamp-bound extension. ADAPTIVE_MIN_*
// remain hardcoded — they're new constants from the noise-floor design
// itself per spec exemption ("not clamp bounds, new pattern constants").
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MAX_INDEX 650
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TOLERANCE_INDEX 651
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE_INDEX 652
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE_INDEX 653
#define ADAPTIVE_MIN_ABSOLUTE 0.001f
#define ADAPTIVE_MIN_STD_SCALE 0.05f
extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_distill_lambda_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv
@@ -40,13 +56,32 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_distill_lambda_controller(
if (kl_observed <= 0.0f || kl_target <= 0.0f || lambda <= 0.0f) return;
const float upper = kl_target * KL_TOLERANCE;
const float lower = kl_target / KL_TOLERANCE;
// Adaptive MIN bound (spec 2026-05-30 Special case Q): replaces
// hardcoded `MIN_LAMBDA = 0.05f`. Welford sample variance =
// M² / (count 1) when count > 1. Adaptive min scales with signal
// std so λ can decay proportional to actual KL noise rather than
// pegging at an arbitrary 0.05 floor.
const float kl_var_count = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float kl_var = (kl_var_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (kl_var_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float kl_std = sqrtf(kl_var);
const float adaptive_min = fmaxf(ADAPTIVE_MIN_ABSOLUTE,
kl_std * ADAPTIVE_MIN_STD_SCALE);
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MIN_ADAPTIVE_INDEX] = adaptive_min;
const float max_lambda = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_MAX_INDEX];
const float kl_tolerance = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float lambda_ramp_rate = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE_INDEX];
const float lambda_decay_rate = isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE_INDEX];
const float upper = kl_target * kl_tolerance;
const float lower = kl_target / kl_tolerance;
if (kl_observed > upper) {
lambda = fminf(MAX_LAMBDA, lambda * LAMBDA_RAMP_RATE);
lambda = fminf(max_lambda, lambda * lambda_ramp_rate);
} else if (kl_observed < lower) {
lambda = fmaxf(MIN_LAMBDA, lambda * LAMBDA_DECAY_RATE);
lambda = fmaxf(adaptive_min, lambda * lambda_decay_rate);
}
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX] = lambda;

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,217 @@
// rl_q_distribution_stats.cu — B-10 G1: Q-distribution informativeness
// diagnostic. Detects C51 Q-collapse (target → one-hot at center atom
// under EWMA-narrowed atom support) via Q output STRUCTURE rather than
// loss magnitude. A bit-flat `l_q ≈ 0.002` is a known false-positive of
// adaptive-support categorical DQN (per literature 2026-06-01 perplexity:
// "near-zero categorical cross-entropy under adaptive support is a known
// Q-collapse symptom"), so we measure Q's information content directly:
//
// * `q_dist_entropy_mean` — mean over (b, a) of Σ_z p log p (where p
// is softmax over Q_N_ATOMS atoms for that action). Near 0 ⇒ Q
// concentrates on one atom (could be informative or collapsed-at-edge).
// Near ln(Q_N_ATOMS) ≈ 3.045 ⇒ near-uniform Q (information-free).
//
// * `q_value_range_mean` — mean over b of (max_a E_Q(s,a) min_a E_Q(s,a)).
// E_Q is the expected return Σ_z p · atom_value[z]. Range near 0 ⇒
// Q has no preference among actions.
//
// * `q_value_abs_max` — per-step max over (b, a) of |E_Q|. Surfaces
// whether Q's expected values are scale-consistent with realized
// returns or have drifted.
//
// Two-kernel pattern per `pearl_no_atomicadd` (no atomicAdd anywhere)
// and per the B-9 saturation-reduce precedent:
// 1. `rl_q_distribution_per_batch` — grid (B, 1, 1), block (Q_N_ATOMS, 1, 1).
// Each block processes one batch element across all N_ACTIONS actions
// sequentially; computes per-action softmax + entropy + E_Q in shared
// mem; writes per-batch entropy_mean / range / abs_max to 3 [B]
// scratch arrays.
// 2. `rl_q_distribution_reduce` — single-block tree-reduce over the [B]
// scratch arrays; writes ISV slots 730 / 731 / 732.
//
// Inputs (online Q logits ONLY — target Q is not consumed by Q-Thompson
// or Q→π distill, so its informativeness is irrelevant to the cascade
// we're diagnosing):
// q_logits [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS] — raw atom logits.
// atom_supports [Q_N_ATOMS] — atom value array
// (V_MIN + i·Δz, ISV-driven).
// B int — batch size.
//
// Outputs (per-batch scratch consumed by reducer below):
// entropy_per_batch [B]
// range_per_batch [B]
// abs_max_per_batch [B]
//
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: no HtoD, no host compute. Per
// `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin. Per
// `feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned`: device-only reads/writes.
#include <cuda_runtime.h>
#include <math_constants.h>
#define Q_N_ATOMS 21
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define RL_Q_DIST_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX 730
#define RL_Q_VALUE_RANGE_MEAN_INDEX 731
#define RL_Q_VALUE_ABS_MAX_INDEX 732
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Per-batch kernel: grid (B, 1, 1), block (Q_N_ATOMS, 1, 1).
// Each block processes ONE batch element by iterating over all
// N_ACTIONS actions sequentially (cheap — N_ACTIONS=11). For each
// action, compute softmax over Q_N_ATOMS atoms (parallel across the
// 21 threads), then entropy and expected value E_Q. Track running
// max_a E_Q, min_a E_Q, max_a |E_Q|, and Σ_a entropy in shared mem.
// Thread 0 writes the 3 per-batch outputs at the end.
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_distribution_per_batch(
const float* __restrict__ q_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS]
const float* __restrict__ atom_supports, // [Q_N_ATOMS]
int B,
float* __restrict__ entropy_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ range_per_batch, // [B]
float* __restrict__ abs_max_per_batch // [B]
) {
const int batch = blockIdx.x;
const int atom = threadIdx.x;
if (batch >= B || atom >= Q_N_ATOMS) return;
// Shared mem for per-action softmax computation. Same layout as
// `bellman_target_projection.cu` (single per-action reduction).
__shared__ float s_logits[Q_N_ATOMS];
__shared__ float s_softmax[Q_N_ATOMS];
__shared__ float s_max;
__shared__ float s_sumexp;
// Per-action accumulators on thread 0; per-block aggregates.
__shared__ float s_e_q[N_ACTIONS];
__shared__ float s_entropy_sum;
// Atom value cached once for this block (read-only, all threads).
__shared__ float s_atom_value[Q_N_ATOMS];
s_atom_value[atom] = atom_supports[atom];
if (atom == 0) {
s_entropy_sum = 0.0f;
}
__syncthreads();
// Iterate over all actions for this batch element.
for (int a = 0; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
// ── 1. Load logits for (batch, a) into shared mem ─────────────
const long long base = (long long)batch * N_ACTIONS * Q_N_ATOMS
+ (long long)a * Q_N_ATOMS;
s_logits[atom] = q_logits[base + atom];
__syncthreads();
// ── 2. Softmax over atoms (numerically-stable max-subtract) ───
if (atom == 0) {
float m = s_logits[0];
#pragma unroll
for (int z = 1; z < Q_N_ATOMS; ++z) m = fmaxf(m, s_logits[z]);
s_max = m;
}
__syncthreads();
const float e = expf(s_logits[atom] - s_max);
s_softmax[atom] = e;
__syncthreads();
if (atom == 0) {
float sum = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int z = 0; z < Q_N_ATOMS; ++z) sum += s_softmax[z];
s_sumexp = sum;
}
__syncthreads();
const float p = s_softmax[atom] / s_sumexp;
// ── 3. Reduce to E_Q and entropy on thread 0 ──────────────────
if (atom == 0) {
float e_q = 0.0f;
float ent = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int z = 0; z < Q_N_ATOMS; ++z) {
const float pz = s_softmax[z] / s_sumexp;
e_q += pz * s_atom_value[z];
// entropy: -p log p; safe for p>0 since softmax is positive.
if (pz > 1e-30f) {
ent -= pz * logf(pz);
}
}
s_e_q[a] = e_q;
s_entropy_sum += ent;
}
__syncthreads();
}
// ── 4. Per-batch aggregates: thread 0 writes scratch ──────────────
if (atom == 0) {
float max_q = s_e_q[0];
float min_q = s_e_q[0];
float abs_max = fabsf(s_e_q[0]);
#pragma unroll
for (int a = 1; a < N_ACTIONS; ++a) {
const float q = s_e_q[a];
max_q = fmaxf(max_q, q);
min_q = fminf(min_q, q);
abs_max = fmaxf(abs_max, fabsf(q));
}
// Per-batch entropy averaged across actions (so 0..ln(Q_N_ATOMS)
// range is preserved; the cross-batch reducer averages across B).
entropy_per_batch[batch] = s_entropy_sum / (float)N_ACTIONS;
range_per_batch[batch] = max_q - min_q;
abs_max_per_batch[batch] = abs_max;
}
}
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Cross-batch reducer: single block, grid-stride loop. Writes the 3
// per-step diag values to ISV. Pattern lifted from
// `rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce.cu`.
//
// Caller passes block_dim = next_pow2(B).min(256), grid = (1, 1, 1),
// shared bytes = 3 * block_dim * sizeof(float).
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_distribution_reduce(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ entropy_per_batch,
const float* __restrict__ range_per_batch,
const float* __restrict__ abs_max_per_batch,
int B
) {
extern __shared__ float smem[];
float* s_ent_sum = smem;
float* s_rng_sum = smem + blockDim.x;
float* s_abs_max = smem + 2 * blockDim.x;
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
float l_ent = 0.0f, l_rng = 0.0f;
float l_abs = -CUDART_INF_F;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += blockDim.x) {
l_ent += entropy_per_batch[b];
l_rng += range_per_batch[b];
l_abs = fmaxf(l_abs, abs_max_per_batch[b]);
}
s_ent_sum[tid] = l_ent;
s_rng_sum[tid] = l_rng;
s_abs_max[tid] = l_abs;
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = blockDim.x / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_ent_sum[tid] += s_ent_sum[tid + stride];
s_rng_sum[tid] += s_rng_sum[tid + stride];
s_abs_max[tid] = fmaxf(s_abs_max[tid], s_abs_max[tid + stride]);
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float denom = (float)B;
isv[RL_Q_DIST_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX] = s_ent_sum[0] / denom;
isv[RL_Q_VALUE_RANGE_MEAN_INDEX] = s_rng_sum[0] / denom;
isv[RL_Q_VALUE_ABS_MAX_INDEX] = s_abs_max[0];
}
}

View File

@@ -16,6 +16,12 @@
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define Q_N_ATOMS 21
// Action enum mirrors crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/common.rs (Action enum).
// Used by the Phase 7a F2-diag per-batch reduction at end-of-kernel
// (no-op-set baseline = max E_Q over {Hold, TrailTighten, TrailLoosen}).
#define ACTION_HOLD 2
#define ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN 7
#define ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN 8
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX 486
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_TEMPERATURE_INDEX 487
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_KL_EMA_INDEX 488
@@ -24,6 +30,23 @@
#define RL_SAC_ALPHA_INDEX 581
#define RL_SAC_ENTROPY_TARGET_INDEX 582
#define RL_ACTION_ENTROPY_EMA_INDEX 583
// Phase 7a F2 (2026-06-04) — Q-centered distill target gates.
// Mirrored from crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/isv_slots.rs. The diag block
// below reads these to compute the no-op-set baseline regardless of
// whether the F2 mechanism is wired up to alter the gradient — pure
// observability (Task 1.5 is diag-only; the F2 hinge in pi_target is
// a separate task).
#define RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX 817
#define RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX 818
// B-10 (2026-06-01) G2 — Q→π distill effectiveness observability.
// Read-only emits from the existing batch-0 diagnostic block below; no
// controller perturbation (RL_Q_DISTILL_LAMBDA_INDEX 486 and
// RL_Q_DISTILL_TEMPERATURE_INDEX 487 writes are untouched). When π_target
// = softmax(E_Q / τ) is near-uniform (entropy → ln(N_ACTIONS)), the
// distill term is pure max-entropy regularization regardless of τ —
// confirmed by 2026-06-01 perplexity research on Q→policy distillation.
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_TARGET_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX 733
#define RL_Q_DISTILL_PI_ENTROPY_DIFF_INDEX 734
#define AGREE_EMA_ALPHA 0.05f
#define SAC_STEP_RAMP 0.01f
#define SAC_STEP_DECAY 0.0001f
@@ -36,6 +59,15 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_pi_distill_grad(
const float* __restrict__ atom_supports, // [Q_N_ATOMS]
float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus (RW)
float* __restrict__ pi_grad_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS] WRITE (buffer pre-zeroed)
// Phase 7a F2-diag (2026-06-04) — per-batch scratch buffers
// populated by the single-thread reduction at the END of the
// kernel. All length [B]; populated by the `a == 0` thread of each
// block (one block per batch → no cross-block write race). Trainer
// aggregates host-side at diag emit. NO atomicAdd anywhere.
float* __restrict__ f2_diag_baseline_per_b, // baseline per batch
float* __restrict__ f2_diag_adv_max_per_b, // max hinged per batch
float* __restrict__ f2_diag_hinge_zero_per_b, // fraction-zeroed per batch
int* __restrict__ f2_diag_target_argmax_per_b, // argmax π_target per batch
int B
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
@@ -66,19 +98,74 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_pi_distill_grad(
s_eq[a] = (sum_exp > 1e-9f) ? (e_q / sum_exp) : 0.0f;
__syncthreads();
// ── Step 2: π_target = softmax(E_Q / τ) ─────────────────────
// ── Step 2: π_target ─────────────────────────────────────────
// Phase 7a F2 (2026-06-04): if RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX
// > 0.5, compute the Q-centered hinged-advantage target
// π_target(a) ∝ softmax( max(0, E_Q(a) baseline) / τ )
// where baseline = max E_Q over the no-op set selected by
// RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX (mode 0 = {Hold, TrailTighten,
// TrailLoosen}, mode 1 = {Hold} only). Else fall back to legacy
// softmax(E_Q/τ) target for bit-equality with HEAD 0463e44e0.
//
// Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-04-bellman-target-foundation-reshape.md
// §3.2 + §4.2: the hinge zeroes Open mass when E_Q(Open) ≤ baseline
// (preserves surfer-style patience), and gives positive mass when
// E_Q(Open) > baseline (preserves surfer-style commit on detected
// edge). Composes with band mask (band touches sampled actions; F2
// touches Q-distill target — disjoint pipelines).
__shared__ float s_pi_target[N_ACTIONS];
if (a == 0) {
float max_eq = s_eq[0];
for (int i = 1; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) max_eq = fmaxf(max_eq, s_eq[i]);
const float f2_enabled = isv[RL_F2_DISTILL_CENTERED_ENABLED_INDEX];
const float tau_safe = fmaxf(tau, 1e-3f);
float total = 0.0f;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
s_pi_target[i] = expf((s_eq[i] - max_eq) / tau_safe);
total += s_pi_target[i];
if (f2_enabled > 0.5f) {
// F2 hinged-advantage target.
const float mode = isv[RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX];
// Compute baseline = max E_Q over no-op set.
float baseline;
if (mode > 0.5f && mode <= 1.5f) {
// Mode 1: Hold-only baseline.
baseline = s_eq[ACTION_HOLD];
} else {
// Mode 0 (default): static set {Hold, TrailTighten, TrailLoosen}.
baseline = fmaxf(s_eq[ACTION_HOLD],
fmaxf(s_eq[ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN],
s_eq[ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN]));
}
// hinged[a] = max(0, E_Q(a) baseline).
// softmax over hinged values, scaled by 1/τ.
// Numerical stability: hinged ≥ 0 by construction, so the
// max hinged value is a finite, non-negative number. We
// subtract it before exp to keep magnitudes bounded.
float max_hinge = 0.0f;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
const float h = fmaxf(0.0f, s_eq[i] - baseline);
if (h > max_hinge) max_hinge = h;
}
float total = 0.0f;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
const float h = fmaxf(0.0f, s_eq[i] - baseline);
s_pi_target[i] = expf((h - max_hinge) / tau_safe);
total += s_pi_target[i];
}
const float inv = (total > 1e-9f) ? (1.0f / total)
: (1.0f / (float)N_ACTIONS);
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) s_pi_target[i] *= inv;
} else {
// Legacy path (pre-F2, bit-equality with HEAD 0463e44e0).
float max_eq = s_eq[0];
for (int i = 1; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) max_eq = fmaxf(max_eq, s_eq[i]);
float total = 0.0f;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
s_pi_target[i] = expf((s_eq[i] - max_eq) / tau_safe);
total += s_pi_target[i];
}
const float inv = (total > 1e-9f) ? (1.0f / total)
: (1.0f / (float)N_ACTIONS);
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) s_pi_target[i] *= inv;
}
const float inv = (total > 1e-9f) ? (1.0f / total) : (1.0f / (float)N_ACTIONS);
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) s_pi_target[i] *= inv;
}
__syncthreads();
@@ -116,16 +203,56 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_pi_distill_grad(
// Distillation: push π toward Q_target's ranking
const float grad_distill = lambda * (pi_a - s_pi_target[a]);
// SAC entropy: push π toward higher entropy
// ∂(-H)/∂logit_a = π(a) × (log π(a) + 1 + H)
// We want to MAXIMIZE H, so gradient = -∂(-H)/∂logit = -π(a)×(log π(a) + 1 + H)
const float grad_entropy = -alpha * pi_a * (log_pi_a + 1.0f + s_entropy);
// SAC entropy: push π toward higher entropy.
// Loss term: L_α = -α · H(π), so ∂L_α/∂logit_a = -α · ∂H/∂logit_a.
// Derivation: H(π) = -Σ_i π_i log π_i, and ∂π_i/∂logit_a = π_i (δ_{i,a} - π_a). Then:
// ∂H/∂logit_a = -Σ_i (∂π_i/∂logit_a)(log π_i + 1)
// = -Σ_i π_i (δ_{i,a} - π_a)(log π_i + 1)
// = -π_a (log π_a + 1) + π_a Σ_i π_i (log π_i + 1)
// = -π_a (log π_a + 1) + π_a (-H + 1)
// = -π_a (log π_a + H)
// Hence the gradient-descent update on L_α uses
// ∂L_α/∂logit_a = -α · ∂H/∂logit_a = α · π_a · (log π_a + H)
// and the WRITE here is the *negative* update step (the kernel
// accumulates the entropy-bonus *into* `pi_grad_logits` for the
// optimizer's descent step, which means we MUST write
// -α · π_a · (log π_a + H) so that the optimizer subtracts the bonus
// direction).
//
// Phase 5 (2026-06-04) fix: previous formula had a spurious `+ 1.0f`
// term — the literature form `(log π + 1 + H)` is the entropy of the
// softmax *output* w.r.t. the softmax *input* (the "log-trick"
// identity), NOT the entropy gradient. The bug made the per-action
// entropy gradient 3× too aggressive on dominant actions and 2-3×
// too weak on low-prob actions — verified analytically against
// closed-form symbolic differentiation.
const float grad_entropy = -alpha * pi_a * (log_pi_a + s_entropy);
const int pi_idx = b * N_ACTIONS + a;
pi_grad_logits[pi_idx] += (grad_distill + grad_entropy) / (float)B;
// ── Step 5: diagnostics + SAC α auto-tune (block 0 only) ────
if (b == 0 && a == 0) {
// B-10 G2: emit Q-distill target entropy + (target π) entropy diff.
// Reads existing s_pi_target / s_pi_new (computed for batch 0 above).
// Pure observability — batch-0 sample is consistent with this
// kernel's existing diagnostic pattern (KL/qpa/SAC-α emits below
// are also batch-0 only). At b=1024 with stationary-step data
// batch 0 is representative; spec name `_MEAN` is the cluster-side
// semantic, the kernel emit is the per-step sample. Local names
// are `h_t_b10` / `h_p_b10` to avoid the existing `h_target` /
// SAC-α scope conflict below.
float h_t_b10 = 0.0f, h_p_b10 = 0.0f;
#pragma unroll
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
const float pt = s_pi_target[i];
const float pn = s_pi_new[i];
if (pt > 1e-12f) h_t_b10 -= pt * logf(pt);
if (pn > 1e-12f) h_p_b10 -= pn * logf(pn);
}
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_TARGET_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX] = h_t_b10;
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_PI_ENTROPY_DIFF_INDEX] = h_t_b10 - h_p_b10;
// KL EMA for distillation controller
float kl = 0.0f;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
@@ -181,4 +308,57 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_q_pi_distill_grad(
float new_tau = tau * expf(step * h_error);
isv[RL_Q_DISTILL_TEMPERATURE_INDEX] = fmaxf(TAU_DISTILL_MIN, fminf(new_tau, TAU_DISTILL_MAX));
}
// ── Phase 7a F2-diag: per-batch mechanism counters ───────────
// Only thread a == 0 writes (single-thread reduction inside the
// block — uses the s_eq + s_pi_target shared memory already
// computed above; no race, no atomicAdd). The trainer reduces
// these [B]-sized buffers host-side at diag emit.
//
// The baseline is computed for diag observability REGARDLESS of
// whether the F2 hinge is wired into pi_target (Task 1.5 is diag-
// only). Mode selects which action subset forms the no-op set:
// mode 1 → {Hold}
// mode 0 or other (default) → {Hold, TrailTighten, TrailLoosen}
if (a == 0) {
const int batch = (int)blockIdx.x;
if (batch < B) {
const float mode_diag = isv[RL_F2_DISTILL_NOOP_SET_MODE_INDEX];
float baseline_diag;
if (mode_diag > 0.5f && mode_diag <= 1.5f) {
baseline_diag = s_eq[ACTION_HOLD];
} else {
baseline_diag = fmaxf(s_eq[ACTION_HOLD],
fmaxf(s_eq[ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN],
s_eq[ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN]));
}
f2_diag_baseline_per_b[batch] = baseline_diag;
// max hinged advantage across actions for this batch +
// count of actions where the hinge clamped to zero.
float adv_max = 0.0f;
int n_zero = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
const float h = fmaxf(0.0f, s_eq[i] - baseline_diag);
if (h > adv_max) adv_max = h;
if (h <= 0.0f) ++n_zero;
}
f2_diag_adv_max_per_b[batch] = adv_max;
f2_diag_hinge_zero_per_b[batch] =
(float)n_zero / (float)N_ACTIONS;
// argmax of s_pi_target — already computed by Step 2 above
// (legacy softmax(E_Q/τ); when the F2 hinge is wired this
// becomes softmax(max(0, E_Q baseline)/τ)).
int t_arg = 0;
float t_max = s_pi_target[0];
for (int i = 1; i < N_ACTIONS; ++i) {
if (s_pi_target[i] > t_max) {
t_max = s_pi_target[i];
t_arg = i;
}
}
f2_diag_target_argmax_per_b[batch] = t_arg;
}
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
// rl_regime_flat_count.cu — block-reduce per-account flat count.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-regime-observer-design.md v3
//
// Counts how many of `b_size` accounts have `lots[b] == 0` (i.e. are flat).
// Output: single int written to `flat_count_out[0]`.
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: shared-mem block reduction, no atomics.
// Caller must launch with Block=(BLOCK_X,1,1) and smem = BLOCK_X*sizeof(int).
// The tree-reduce loop requires BLOCK_X to be a power of two.
#define BLOCK_X 256 // must match the launch block size and be a power of 2
extern "C" __global__ void rl_regime_flat_count(
const int* __restrict__ lots,
int* __restrict__ flat_count_out,
int b_size
) {
extern __shared__ int s_count[];
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
int sum = 0;
for (int b = tid; b < b_size; b += blockDim.x) {
sum += (lots[b] == 0) ? 1 : 0;
}
s_count[tid] = sum;
__syncthreads();
for (int s = blockDim.x / 2; s > 0; s >>= 1) {
if (tid < s) s_count[tid] += s_count[tid + s];
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) flat_count_out[0] = s_count[0];
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,119 @@
// rl_regime_observer.cu — unified state-machine for risk-stack controllers.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-31-regime-observer-design.md v3
// Pearls:
// - [[pearl_kelly_trade_stream_death]] — empirical motivation
// - [[pearl_dead_signal_resurrection_discipline]] — meta-principle
//
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: single-thread single-block, no atomics.
// Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only: pure device kernel.
// Per feedback_nvidia_grade_perf_for_kernels: no host branches in capture.
//
// Launch: Grid=(1,1,1), Block=(1,1,1), smem=0.
// ─── ISV slot indices (mirror Rust constants from isv_slots.rs) ─────
#define RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX 676
#define RL_COOLDOWN_REMAINING_STEPS_INDEX 668
#define RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX 684
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX 696
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_DURATION_INDEX 697
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX 698
#define RL_REGIME_RECOVERY_FACTOR_INDEX 699
#define RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX 700
#define RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX 701
#define RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_M2_INDEX 702
#define RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 703
#define RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 704
#define RL_REGIME_PREV_WORST_PNL_INDEX 705
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX 706
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_MIN_INDEX 707
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_MAX_INDEX 708
#define RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_N_RECOVERY_INDEX 709
#define RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_MAX_DURATION_INDEX 710
#define RL_REGIME_TAIL_SIGMA_THRESHOLD_INDEX 713
extern "C" __global__ void rl_regime_observer(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const int* __restrict__ flat_count_d,
int b_size
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
// ─── Phase 1: dead-zone detection ──────────────────────
// kelly==0.0f: analytic Kelly clamp writes exactly 0.0 when fraction ≤ 0
// (see rl_kelly_fraction_controller). Exact equality is the intended test.
// cooldown==0.0f: integer-valued step counter stored as float; exact 0 is
// the only safe comparison point.
const float kelly = isv[RL_KELLY_FRACTION_INDEX]; // prior-step value
const float cooldown = isv[RL_COOLDOWN_REMAINING_STEPS_INDEX];
const int flat_count = flat_count_d[0];
const int dead_zone = (kelly == 0.0f)
&& (flat_count == b_size)
&& (cooldown == 0.0f) ? 1 : 0;
isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_FLAG_INDEX] = (float)dead_zone;
// Duration counter
float duration = isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_DURATION_INDEX];
if (dead_zone) duration += 1.0f; else duration = 0.0f;
isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_DURATION_INDEX] = duration;
// Safety net: timeout flag fires if dead-zone persists past MAX_DURATION
const float max_dur = isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_MAX_DURATION_INDEX];
const int timeout = (duration > max_dur) ? 1 : 0;
isv[RL_REGIME_DEAD_ZONE_TIMEOUT_FLAG_INDEX] = (float)timeout;
// ─── Phase 2: session_pnl_change Welford variance ──────
const float worst_now = isv[RL_SESSION_PNL_WORST_INDEX];
const float worst_prev = isv[RL_REGIME_PREV_WORST_PNL_INDEX];
const float dx = worst_now - worst_prev;
isv[RL_REGIME_PREV_WORST_PNL_INDEX] = worst_now;
float mean = isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
float m2 = isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_M2_INDEX];
float count = isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
// Skip update on bootstrap (both zero)
if (worst_now != 0.0f || worst_prev != 0.0f) {
count += 1.0f;
const float delta = dx - mean;
mean += delta / count;
const float delta2 = dx - mean;
m2 += delta * delta2;
isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_MEAN_INDEX] = mean;
isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_M2_INDEX] = m2;
isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VAR_COUNT_INDEX] = count;
const float variance = (count > 1.0f) ? (m2 / (count - 1.0f)) : 0.0f;
isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX] = variance;
}
// ─── Phase 3: tail-event detection (3σ threshold) ──────
// `count` is intentionally reused below from Phase 2 (in-register value
// post-conditional-increment); no re-read from ISV needed.
const float var = isv[RL_REGIME_SESSION_PNL_VARIANCE_EMA_INDEX];
const float sigma_thr = isv[RL_REGIME_TAIL_SIGMA_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float sigma = sqrtf(var);
// Require count >= 10 before tail detection. Statistical floor — Welford
// sample variance is undefined for N<2 and noisy for N<10; exempt from
// ISV-promotion per "physics/math constants" rule.
const int sufficient_count = (count >= 10.0f) ? 1 : 0;
const int is_tail = sufficient_count && (sigma > 0.0f) && (fabsf(dx) > sigma_thr * sigma);
float recency = isv[RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX];
if (is_tail) recency = 0.0f; else recency += 1.0f;
isv[RL_REGIME_TAIL_EVENT_RECENCY_INDEX] = recency;
// ─── Phase 4: emit recovery_factor and eps_recovery_live (issue #9, drift-free) ──
const float n_recovery = isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_N_RECOVERY_INDEX];
const float eps_min = isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_MIN_INDEX];
const float eps_max = isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_MAX_INDEX];
const float recovery_factor = fminf(1.0f, recency / fmaxf(n_recovery, 1.0f));
const float eps_live = eps_min + (eps_max - eps_min) * recovery_factor;
isv[RL_REGIME_RECOVERY_FACTOR_INDEX] = recovery_factor;
isv[RL_KELLY_EPS_RECOVERY_LIVE_INDEX] = eps_live;
}

View File

@@ -88,25 +88,34 @@
#define RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_INDEX 489
#define RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX 490
#define MIN_WIN 1.0f
#define MIN_RATIO 1.0f // no inverted asymmetry (loss never < win)
#define MAX_RATIO 3.0f // no worse than original loss-aversion
#define V_BOUND_FLOOR 1.0f // |V_MIN| and V_MAX both ≥ 1.0
#define V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA 0.001f // slow — half-life ~700 steps
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// every prior `#define` clamp-bound constant becomes ISV-driven so it can
// be tuned at runtime via re-seed instead of recompile. Defaults preserve
// the historic behaviour exactly.
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_V_BOUND_FLOOR_INDEX 633
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA_INDEX 634
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_WIN_INDEX 635
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_RATIO_INDEX 636
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MAX_RATIO_INDEX 637
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_MARGIN_INDEX 654
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MAX_MARGIN_INDEX 655
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 656
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 657
#define RL_REWARD_CLAMP_CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX 658
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// MARGIN Schulman bounded-step bounds + adjust rate per
// `pearl_multiplicative_controllers_need_bounded_step_and_noise_floor`.
// TOLERANCE=1.5 → dead-zone is [target/1.5, target×1.5] = [0.033, 0.075];
// ADJUST_RATE=1.2 → MARGIN moves by ≤20% per controller call (one per
// trainer step). Bounds [MIN_MARGIN=1.0, MAX_MARGIN=5.0] — MIN preserves
// the initial passthrough behaviour; MAX × (mean pos_max_ema≈3-5) →
// WIN_eff up to ~15-25 which is well within MAX_WIN=50 ceiling.
#define MIN_MARGIN 1.0f
#define MAX_MARGIN 5.0f
#define MARGIN_TOLERANCE 1.5f
#define MARGIN_ADJUST_RATE 1.2f
#define CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA 0.05f
// pos_max_ema cold-start redesign (2026-05-31 B-2 spec). Growth cap is
// ISV-driven (was `#define POS_MAX_EMA_MAX_GROWTH_PER_STEP 1.5f`) per
// `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`. Two slots:
// 718: base cap value (√1.5 ≈ 1.225 nets ~1.5×/step under twice-per-step invocation)
// 719: adaptive CV-gain (0 = disabled; >0 enables Welford-CV-driven cap relaxation)
#define RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_BASE_INDEX 718
#define RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_CV_GAIN_INDEX 719
// Welford triplet for RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX (used to compute signal CV
// for adaptive layer). Slots from rl_signal_variance_update wiring.
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 615
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 616
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX 617
extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
float* __restrict__ isv,
@@ -114,6 +123,21 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
) {
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
// ── ISV-driven design constants (spec 2026-05-30) ──
// Loaded once at the top of the kernel so they're consistent across
// all sub-controllers (EMA → MARGIN → RATIO → C51 span) within this
// step. Default values preserve historic behaviour exactly.
const float v_bound_floor = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_V_BOUND_FLOOR_INDEX];
const float v_bound_ewma_alpha = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float min_ratio_isv = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_RATIO_INDEX];
const float max_ratio_isv = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MAX_RATIO_INDEX];
const float min_margin_isv = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_MARGIN_INDEX];
const float max_margin_isv = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MAX_MARGIN_INDEX];
const float margin_tolerance = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float margin_adjust_rate = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
const float clip_rate_ema_alpha = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float wiener_floor = isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX];
const float pos_max = isv[RL_POS_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_INDEX];
const float ema_prev = isv[RL_POS_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX];
@@ -131,14 +155,41 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
// Fix: pos_max=0 means "no signal this step," not "win magnitude
// is zero." Skip EMA updates during dry spells; the EMA retains
// the last winning-period estimate until the next observation.
// ── Adaptive growth cap (2026-05-31 B-2 spec, ISV-driven per
// feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds). When cv_gain=0, falls back to
// fixed base. Non-zero cv_gain enables Welford-CV-driven relaxation:
// stable regime (CV→0): growth_cap = base (tight)
// volatile regime (CV→1): growth_cap = base + cv_gain (loose)
const float growth_base = isv[RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_BASE_INDEX];
const float growth_cv_gain = isv[RL_POS_MAX_EMA_GROWTH_CAP_CV_GAIN_INDEX];
float growth_cap = growth_base;
if (growth_cv_gain > 0.0f) {
const float wf_count = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
if (wf_count > 1.0f) {
const float wf_m2 = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX];
const float wf_mean = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
const float wf_var = wf_m2 / (wf_count - 1.0f);
const float wf_cv = (wf_mean > 1e-6f) ? sqrtf(wf_var) / wf_mean : 0.0f;
growth_cap = growth_base + growth_cv_gain * fminf(wf_cv, 1.0f);
}
}
// ── Single uniform update rule (2026-05-31 B-2 spec §3.3). The
// first-observation branch `if (ema_prev == 0.0f) ema_new = pos_max;`
// was REMOVED — it let a single cold-start fat-tail observation seed
// pos_max_ema at unbounded magnitude (jnct8 step 5: pos_ema=879
// directly from first positive reward). EMA slots are now bootstrapped
// to MIN_WIN=1.0 in `with_controllers_bootstrapped`, so ema_prev is
// never 0 at run start. Cold-start adaptation is geometric at
// growth_cap per invocation (~1.5×/step under twice-per-step invocation
// → ~30 steps to reach 11500× initial = saturates any realistic
// magnitude). Dry-spell skip preserved via the outer pos_max>0 check.
float ema_new = ema_prev;
if (pos_max > 0.0f) {
if (ema_prev == 0.0f) {
ema_new = pos_max; // first-observation bootstrap
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
ema_new = (1.0f - a) * ema_prev + a * pos_max;
}
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
const float ema_raw = (1.0f - a) * ema_prev + a * pos_max;
const float max_grow = ema_prev * growth_cap;
ema_new = fminf(ema_raw, max_grow);
isv[RL_POS_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX] = ema_new;
}
// If ema_prev was 0 AND pos_max was 0 → ema_new still 0 here →
@@ -171,8 +222,8 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
if (clip_rate_prev == 0.0f) {
clip_rate_new = clip_indicator; // bootstrap
} else {
clip_rate_new = (1.0f - CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA) * clip_rate_prev
+ CLIP_RATE_EMA_ALPHA * clip_indicator;
clip_rate_new = (1.0f - clip_rate_ema_alpha) * clip_rate_prev
+ clip_rate_ema_alpha * clip_indicator;
}
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_CLIP_RATE_EMA_INDEX] = clip_rate_new;
}
@@ -184,12 +235,12 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
float margin = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX];
if (pos_max > 0.0f) {
const float clip_target = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_CLIP_RATE_TARGET_INDEX];
const float upper = clip_target * MARGIN_TOLERANCE;
const float lower = clip_target / MARGIN_TOLERANCE;
const float upper = clip_target * margin_tolerance;
const float lower = clip_target / margin_tolerance;
if (clip_rate_new > upper) {
margin = fminf(MAX_MARGIN, margin * MARGIN_ADJUST_RATE);
margin = fminf(max_margin_isv, margin * margin_adjust_rate);
} else if (clip_rate_new < lower) {
margin = fmaxf(MIN_MARGIN, margin / MARGIN_ADJUST_RATE);
margin = fmaxf(min_margin_isv, margin / margin_adjust_rate);
}
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MARGIN_INDEX] = margin;
}
@@ -203,40 +254,57 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
// RATIO = clamp(MIN=1.0, neg_ema/pos_ema, MAX=3.0). Floor 1.0
// prevents inverted asymmetry; ceiling 3.0 preserves original
// loss-aversion as the worst case.
// Single uniform update (B-2 spec §3.3 — same as pos_max_ema above).
// neg_prev is bootstrapped to cold_start=1.0; no first-observation special case.
// Same growth_cap (computed above) applies — neg-side cascade is mirror-image
// of pos-side, same protection needed.
const float neg_max = isv[RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_INDEX];
const float neg_prev = isv[RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX];
float neg_new = neg_prev;
if (neg_max > 0.0f) {
if (neg_prev == 0.0f) {
neg_new = neg_max;
} else {
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
neg_new = (1.0f - a) * neg_prev + a * neg_max;
}
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, wiener_floor);
const float neg_raw = (1.0f - a) * neg_prev + a * neg_max;
const float neg_max_grow = neg_prev * growth_cap;
neg_new = fminf(neg_raw, neg_max_grow);
isv[RL_NEG_SCALED_REWARD_MAX_EMA_INDEX] = neg_new;
}
// Adaptive RATIO. Defer if EMAs not warmed up yet — keep
// statically-seeded RATIO=3.0 until both EMAs are non-zero.
if (ema_new > 0.0f && neg_new > 0.0f) {
const float ratio_target = neg_new / ema_new;
const float ratio_clamped = fmaxf(MIN_RATIO,
fminf(MAX_RATIO, ratio_target));
const float ratio_clamped = fmaxf(min_ratio_isv,
fminf(max_ratio_isv, ratio_target));
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_RATIO_INDEX] = ratio_clamped;
}
// Step 4 (G.2): WIN / LOSS clamp bounds remain STRUCTURAL — the
// G.2 feedback loop required BOTH clamp widening AND span widening.
// With clamp frozen here, only the atom span adapts (Step 5 below).
// Suppress unused warnings on diagnostic-only state.
(void) margin;
// Adaptive LOSS clamp from observed neg/pos ratio. WIN stays
// structural at 1.0; LOSS adapts to actual loss magnitude to
// give Q accurate resolution without over-allocating to rare tails.
if (ema_new > 0.0f && neg_new > 0.0f) {
const float observed_ratio = neg_new / ema_new;
const float adaptive_loss = fmaxf(1.0f, fminf(observed_ratio * 1.1f, 3.0f));
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX] = adaptive_loss;
// ── Step 4: Adaptive WIN / LOSS clamp writeback. ──────────────
//
// History: a 2026-05-24 G.2 patch froze the clamp bounds at the
// trainer-seeded WIN=1.0, LOSS=3.0 over concern that simultaneously
// adapting clamps + atom span could form a positive feedback loop.
//
// Empirical refutation (alpha-rl-gwmkf step 4083, 2026-05-30):
// with R-multiple 43 trade distributions (avg_win $7062, avg_loss
// $163) the frozen WIN=1.0 caused clip_rate_ema = 0.9999 —
// essentially every win gets clamped, V regression sees identical
// targets for +$500 wins and +$42k wins, and PPO advantage loses
// magnitude signal. Diagnosis: starved policy gradient.
//
// Safety argument: the MARGIN controller above already saturates
// at MAX_MARGIN_ISV (bounded ≤ 5.0). pos_max_ema is bounded by
// `reward_scale × raw_PnL`, both finite. So WIN ≤ MAX_MARGIN ×
// MAX_REWARD_SCALE × MAX_RAW_PNL is structurally bounded.
//
// Atom span (Step 5) follows the new WIN via slow EWMA (α=0.001,
// half-life ~700 steps), so resolution adjusts gradually as the
// reward distribution evolves rather than whipsawing.
if (ema_new > 0.0f) {
const float min_win_isv = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_MIN_WIN_INDEX];
const float win_new = fmaxf(min_win_isv, margin * ema_new);
const float ratio = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_RATIO_INDEX];
const float loss_new = fmaxf(min_win_isv, win_new * ratio);
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_WIN_INDEX] = win_new;
isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX] = loss_new;
}
// ── Step 5: C51 atom span adaptation from observed reward EMAs. ──
@@ -264,20 +332,20 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_clamp_controller(
const float loss_bound = isv[RL_REWARD_CLAMP_LOSS_INDEX]; // 3.0
{
const float v_max_prev = isv[RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX];
const float v_max_target = fmaxf(V_BOUND_FLOOR, win_bound);
const float v_max_target = fmaxf(v_bound_floor, win_bound);
const float v_max_new = (v_max_prev == 0.0f)
? v_max_target
: (1.0f - V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA) * v_max_prev
+ V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA * v_max_target;
isv[RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX] = fmaxf(V_BOUND_FLOOR, v_max_new);
: (1.0f - v_bound_ewma_alpha) * v_max_prev
+ v_bound_ewma_alpha * v_max_target;
isv[RL_C51_V_MAX_INDEX] = fmaxf(v_bound_floor, v_max_new);
}
{
const float v_min_prev = isv[RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX];
const float v_min_target = fminf(-V_BOUND_FLOOR, -loss_bound);
const float v_min_target = fminf(-v_bound_floor, -loss_bound);
const float v_min_new = (v_min_prev == 0.0f)
? v_min_target
: (1.0f - V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA) * v_min_prev
+ V_BOUND_EWMA_ALPHA * v_min_target;
isv[RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX] = fminf(-V_BOUND_FLOOR, v_min_new);
: (1.0f - v_bound_ewma_alpha) * v_min_prev
+ v_bound_ewma_alpha * v_min_target;
isv[RL_C51_V_MIN_INDEX] = fminf(-v_bound_floor, v_min_new);
}
}

View File

@@ -48,7 +48,30 @@
// Floor for the mean_abs_pnl_ema denominator to guard against div-by-zero
// when the EMA hasn't accumulated any closed trades yet.
#define EPS_PNL 1e-3f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30 Special case R):
// asymmetric rate limit on DECREASE (new ≥ prev / 1.05) + bootstrap-fraction
// floor until N=100 trades have closed. Together these prevent the
// catastrophic 1.0 → 0.004 crash in 100 steps observed in fold 0 (where a
// single large pnl signal — pre-trade — would crater the scale before any
// closed-trade signal could anchor it).
//
// Trade-count signal: RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX (608) is the Welford
// count over per-batch trade durations — incremented once per closed trade.
// Reusing it as the trade-count signal avoids a parallel counter.
//
// Emit: RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX (614) mirrors the input EMA so the
// downstream Welford kernel can track variance for noise-floor derivation
// elsewhere in the controller cascade. Single-source-of-truth: this
// controller's input IS the pnl magnitude EMA; slot 614 is the public
// emit-slot consumed by the Welford-variance kernel.
#define RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 608
#define RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX 614
#define BOOTSTRAP_FRACTION_FLOOR 0.1f
#define MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE 100.0f
#define ASYM_DECREASE_RATE 1.05f
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_reward_scale_controller:
@@ -105,6 +128,15 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_scale_controller(
// noise.
const float mean_abs_pnl_ema = isv[input_slot];
if (mean_abs_pnl_ema == 0.0f) return;
// Emit per-batch pnl magnitude EMA to the public slot so the Welford
// variance kernel and any other downstream consumer can track it
// without re-reading the input slot through indirect plumbing.
// Single-source-of-truth: this controller's input IS the pnl magnitude
// EMA — slot 614 mirrors it as the public emit (spec 2026-05-30
// Special case R bullet (c)).
isv[RL_REWARD_MAGNITUDE_EMA_INDEX] = mean_abs_pnl_ema;
// target_scale = 1.0 / max(mean_abs_pnl_ema, EPS_PNL).
// Larger typical PnL → smaller scale (reward is divided down toward ±1).
// Smaller typical PnL → larger scale (reward is amplified toward ±1).
@@ -113,6 +145,20 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_scale_controller(
const float scale_min = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_MIN_INDEX];
target = fmaxf(scale_min, fminf(target, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
// Bootstrap-fraction floor (spec 2026-05-30 Special case R bullet (b)):
// until N=MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE trades have closed, the scale cannot
// drop below 10% of bootstrap. The trade count comes from the Welford
// trade-duration counter (incremented once per closed trade). This
// protects against the early-training spiral where a single large
// mean_abs_pnl pre-trade signal cratered the scale before any closed-
// trade ground truth could anchor it (fold 0 crash 1.0 → 0.004 in 100
// steps).
const float trade_count = isv[RL_TRADE_DUR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float boot = isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX];
const float boot_floor = (trade_count < MIN_TRADES_FOR_RELEASE)
? boot * BOOTSTRAP_FRACTION_FLOOR
: scale_min;
// First-observation replace-directly per
// `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`. With prev=1.0 (bootstrap)
// and a target far from 1.0 on the first real PnL signal, the
@@ -121,13 +167,25 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_scale_controller(
// feeds V regression at magnitude 500× the atom support's
// ±1 expectation. Replacing directly with target eliminates
// this cold-start contamination.
if (prev == isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX]) {
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = target;
//
// Asymmetric DECREASE rate limit (spec 2026-05-30 bullet (a)): even
// on the first-observation path, cap per-step decrease at 5%
// (new ≥ prev / 1.05) so a tiny initial target can't crater scale
// before downstream signal accumulates. The existing 2% per-step
// symmetric clamp below remains for subsequent steps (stricter than
// 5%, so it stays load-bearing on the slow path).
if (prev == boot) {
float first = target;
if (first < prev) {
first = fmaxf(first, prev / ASYM_DECREASE_RATE);
}
first = fmaxf(boot_floor, fminf(first, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = first;
return;
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha_step, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
// Per-step movement clamp: scale moves at most ±2% from previous.
@@ -139,6 +197,16 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_reward_scale_controller(
const float min_move = prev * 0.98f;
out = fmaxf(min_move, fminf(out, max_move));
out = fmaxf(scale_min, fminf(out, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
// Asymmetric DECREASE rate limit (spec 2026-05-30 bullet (a)):
// belt-and-braces — the symmetric 2% clamp above is stricter than
// the 5% asymmetric cap on the slow path, but the explicit
// asymmetric clamp here documents the controller invariant
// (decreases cannot exceed 5% per step) and survives any future
// relaxation of the 2% symmetric clamp.
if (out < prev) {
out = fmaxf(out, prev / ASYM_DECREASE_RATE);
}
out = fmaxf(boot_floor, fminf(out, REWARD_SCALE_MAX));
isv[RL_REWARD_SCALE_INDEX] = out;
}

View File

@@ -46,16 +46,33 @@
// past the clip band.
#define RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX 404
#define ROLLOUT_MIN 256.0f
#define ROLLOUT_MAX 8192.0f
// ROLLOUT MIN/MAX clamp bounds are now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30
// clamp-bound extension. Runtime-tunable + visible in diag.
#define RL_ROLLOUT_MIN_INDEX 643
#define RL_ROLLOUT_MAX_INDEX 644
// ISV-driven bootstrap + target.
#define RL_ROLLOUT_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 475
#define RL_ADV_VAR_RATIO_TARGET_INDEX 449
// Schulman params from shared global slots (same as ppo_clip, target_tau).
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
#define RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 469
#define ADV_VAR_RATIO_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// noise floor derives from observed advantage-variance signal via Welford
// triples, asymmetric Schulman widening requires N consecutive below-band
// observations. Replaces hardcoded ADV_VAR_RATIO_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC=0.01f
// (calibrated against the pre-Phase-4.5 advantage regime; under Phase 4.5
// post-norm advantage variance is definitionally near-zero, so the
// controller is also rewired to consume RL_ADV_VAR_PRE_NORM_INDEX=612 —
// the pre-normalization variance emitted by rl_advantage_normalize.cu).
#define RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 596
#define RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_M2_INDEX 598
#define RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 599
#define NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC 0.5f // floor ≥ 50% of target
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed signal
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // widen requires N below-band steps
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// rl_rollout_steps_controller:
@@ -103,31 +120,43 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_rollout_steps_controller(
// RL_ADV_VAR_RATIO_TARGET_INDEX (seeded at trainer init).
const float adv_var_target = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_RATIO_TARGET_INDEX];
// Noise-floor gate: input below target × NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC is
// dominated by numerical noise — hold rollout unchanged.
// Mirrors the ppo_clip / target_tau controllers' design after the
// alpha-rl-mjzfk multiplicative-blow-up incident.
const float adv_var_noise_floor =
adv_var_target * ADV_VAR_RATIO_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven per
// `pearl_zscore_normalization_for_magnitude_asymmetric_signals` and
// `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`. Welford sample variance =
// M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
const float adv_count = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float adv_var = (adv_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_ADV_VAR_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (adv_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float adv_std = sqrtf(adv_var);
const float adv_var_noise_floor = fmaxf(adv_var_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
adv_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean < adv_var_noise_floor) return;
// Bounded multiplicative adjustment (Schulman-style adaptive).
// At most ADV_VAR_RATIO_ADJUST_RATE × shift per step regardless of
// how far input is from target. After several consecutive
// out-of-band observations the output drifts smoothly toward
// MIN/MAX, but a single observation can't slam it there.
// Asymmetric Schulman (spec 2026-05-30 Section "Approach C, folded in"):
// widening rollout fires on a single above-band observation — noisy
// advantages are a safety signal we act on fast (collect more samples
// before updating). Shrinking rollout requires N consecutive below-band
// observations so a single quiet step can't push the buffer too small.
// Below-band counter is per-controller in ISV.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float scale;
if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean > adv_var_target * tolerance) {
scale = adjust_rate;
scale = adjust_rate; // widen — single observation
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // reset patience
} else if (advantage_var_over_abs_mean < adv_var_target / tolerance) {
scale = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
scale = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? (1.0f / adjust_rate) : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_ADV_VAR_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // in-band → reset
scale = 1.0f;
}
const float rollout_min = isv[RL_ROLLOUT_MIN_INDEX];
const float rollout_max = isv[RL_ROLLOUT_MAX_INDEX];
float target = prev * scale;
target = fmaxf(ROLLOUT_MIN, fminf(target, ROLLOUT_MAX));
target = fmaxf(rollout_min, fminf(target, rollout_max));
// First-observation replace-directly per
// `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`.
@@ -137,9 +166,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_rollout_steps_controller(
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float out = (1.0f - a) * prev + a * target;
out = fmaxf(ROLLOUT_MIN, fminf(out, ROLLOUT_MAX));
out = fmaxf(rollout_min, fminf(out, rollout_max));
isv[RL_N_ROLLOUT_STEPS_INDEX] = out;
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,73 @@
// rl_signal_variance_update.cu — Welford online variance for controller inputs (2026-05-30).
//
// Per `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`, `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`,
// `pearl_controller_anchors_isv_driven`: every adaptive controller's noise
// floor / target / threshold must derive from observed signal statistics,
// not from hardcoded constants. This kernel maintains a running mean and
// M² (sum of squared deviations from mean) for each controller-input EMA,
// using Welford's online algorithm for numerical stability with float32.
//
// Welford recurrence (numerically stable, single-pass):
// n_new = n_prev + 1
// delta = x - mean_prev
// mean = mean_prev + delta / n_new
// delta2 = x - mean // recomputed against NEW mean
// m2 = m2_prev + delta * delta2
//
// Sample variance = m2 / (n - 1) when n > 1; undefined when n ≤ 1.
//
// Per `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`: skip the update when input ==
// sentinel 0.0. The first non-zero observation initializes mean directly
// (delta against mean_prev=0 produces mean = x for n=1; delta against the
// new mean is 0; m2 stays 0; subsequent observations build real variance).
//
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel. ISV is the contract
// surface; no host computation, no host control. Caller threads ISV bus
// pointer + four slot indices (input + count/mean/M² triple). Caller is
// responsible for launching once per controller input per step (usually
// via fused-kernel orchestration).
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`, `feedback_nvidia_grade_perf_for_kernels`:
// single-thread block. Each Welford triple is owned by exactly one input
// slot, accessed sequentially across steps — no concurrent writers, no
// reduction, no atomic.
//
// Launch config:
// grid = (1, 1, 1)
// block = (1, 1, 1)
// smem = 0
// stream = main RL stream (sequenced after EMA producers and before
// controllers consume the variance)
extern "C" __global__ void rl_signal_variance_update(
float* __restrict__ isv,
int input_slot,
int count_slot,
int mean_slot,
int m2_slot
) {
// Single-thread guard. Block shape is (1,1,1) by contract but defend
// against a mis-configured launcher.
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
// Sentinel-zero skip per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap.
// Producers (EMA kernels) hold their slot at 0.0 until the first
// real observation. Welford should NOT count those zero reads as
// genuine observations of "the signal is zero".
const float x = isv[input_slot];
if (x == 0.0f) return;
// Welford online update.
const float n_prev = isv[count_slot];
const float n_new = n_prev + 1.0f;
const float mean_prev = isv[mean_slot];
const float delta = x - mean_prev;
const float mean_new = mean_prev + delta / n_new;
const float delta2 = x - mean_new; // against new mean — load-bearing for stability
const float m2_new = isv[m2_slot] + delta * delta2;
isv[count_slot] = n_new;
isv[mean_slot] = mean_new;
isv[m2_slot] = m2_new;
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,152 @@
// rl_state_action_mask.cu — Phase 7b F5 state-conditional action availability mask.
//
// Modeled directly on `rl_band_mask.cu`'s lattice (Grid=(B), Block=(1, 1, 1),
// single thread per block, ISV-gated, reads `pos_state`).
//
// Unlike the band mask (which OVERRIDES `actions_d` post-sampling), F5
// applies a HARD PRE-SAMPLE LOGIT MASK: it writes `-INFINITY` into
// `pi_logits[b][a]` for state-illegal actions, so that downstream
// `softmax(pi_logits)` produces EXACTLY 0 probability on masked actions
// (F5-G1 demands exactly 0, not "low"). The `rl_pi_action_kernel` then
// reads the masked logits and cannot sample those actions.
//
// Mathematical composition with F2 (rl_q_pi_distill_grad):
// F2 computes π_target from unmasked E_Q values; F5 masks π_θ by
// forcing pi_logits[masked]=-INF before softmax. The distill gradient
// for masked actions becomes (π_θ - π_target) = (0 - π_target_masked),
// which drives π_target_masked toward zero on those actions — the
// gradient naturally encodes the constraint.
//
// State-conditional rules (per spec §3.5):
//
// * When position_lots == 0 (FLAT):
// mask {Hold=2, FlatFromLong=3, FlatFromShort=4, TrailTighten=7,
// TrailLoosen=8, HalfFlatLong=9, HalfFlatShort=10}
// leaving only {ShortLarge=0, ShortSmall=1, LongSmall=5, LongLarge=6}
// → agent MUST open a position.
//
// * When position_lots > 0 (LONG):
// mask all short-side actions: {ShortLarge=0, ShortSmall=1,
// FlatFromShort=4, HalfFlatShort=10}.
// Same-side opens (LongSmall=5/LongLarge=6) remain available — they
// resolve to pyramid adds in `actions_to_market_targets.cu`.
//
// * When position_lots < 0 (SHORT):
// symmetric: mask {LongSmall=5, LongLarge=6, FlatFromLong=3,
// HalfFlatLong=9}.
//
// * When any active unit has trail_distance ≥ unit_initial_r *
// RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO * (1 - eps):
// mask TrailLoosen (8) — at the per-unit cap it is a mechanical
// no-op in `rl_trail_mutate.cu` (Phase 5 clamp).
//
// Master gate at `RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX` (slot 823). Bootstrap
// 0.0 (OFF) → kernel returns immediately, preserving bit-equality with
// Phase 7a HEAD. Operator flips to 1.0 to engage Phase 7b.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd` (no atomics — single-thread-per-block),
// `feedback_cpu_is_read_only` (pure device-side), `pearl_band_mask` /
// `pearl_state_conditional_action_mask` (structural twin to the band).
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math.h>
#define N_ACTIONS 11
#define MAX_UNITS 4
// Action enum (must match crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/common.rs).
#define ACTION_SHORT_LARGE 0
#define ACTION_SHORT_SMALL 1
#define ACTION_HOLD 2
#define ACTION_FLAT_FROM_LONG 3
#define ACTION_FLAT_FROM_SHORT 4
#define ACTION_LONG_SMALL 5
#define ACTION_LONG_LARGE 6
#define ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN 7
#define ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN 8
#define ACTION_HALF_FLAT_LONG 9
#define ACTION_HALF_FLAT_SHORT 10
#define RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO_INDEX 814
#define RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX 823
extern "C" __global__ void rl_state_action_mask(
float* __restrict__ pi_logits, // [B × N_ACTIONS] IN/OUT
const unsigned char* __restrict__ pos_state, // [B × pos_bytes]
const float* __restrict__ unit_trail_distance, // [B × MAX_UNITS]
const float* __restrict__ unit_initial_r, // [B × MAX_UNITS]
const unsigned char* __restrict__ unit_active, // [B × MAX_UNITS]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
int b_size,
int pos_bytes
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x;
if (b >= b_size) return;
// Master gate — bootstrap default OFF preserves Phase 7a bit-equality.
const float enabled = isv[RL_F5_STATE_MASK_ENABLED_INDEX];
if (enabled <= 0.5f) return;
// Position layout: pos_state[b * pos_bytes + 0..4] = position_lots:i32
// (canonical foxhunt offset; matches rl_band_mask.cu and
// rl_confidence_gate.cu readers).
const int position_lots =
*reinterpret_cast<const int*>(pos_state + b * pos_bytes);
const float neg_inf = -INFINITY;
float* row = pi_logits + b * N_ACTIONS;
if (position_lots == 0) {
// FLAT — mask Hold + all close/trail/half-flat; force open commit.
row[ACTION_HOLD] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_FLAT_FROM_LONG] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_FLAT_FROM_SHORT] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_HALF_FLAT_LONG] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_HALF_FLAT_SHORT] = neg_inf;
// Surviving: {ShortLarge=0, ShortSmall=1, LongSmall=5, LongLarge=6}.
} else if (position_lots > 0) {
// LONG — mask all short-side actions; same-side opens remain
// available (pyramid resolution via actions_to_market_targets).
row[ACTION_SHORT_LARGE] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_SHORT_SMALL] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_FLAT_FROM_SHORT] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_HALF_FLAT_SHORT] = neg_inf;
} else {
// SHORT — symmetric: mask all long-side actions.
row[ACTION_LONG_SMALL] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_LONG_LARGE] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_FLAT_FROM_LONG] = neg_inf;
row[ACTION_HALF_FLAT_LONG] = neg_inf;
}
// Trail-at-cap branch (mq2pc-specific). When ANY active unit has its
// trail saturated at the per-unit-initial_r ceiling, TrailLoosen is a
// mechanical no-op in `rl_trail_mutate.cu` — mask it.
//
// From flat, TrailLoosen is already masked above; this branch only
// adds the mask for in-position states (the trail buffers are
// meaningful only when units are active).
if (position_lots != 0) {
const float trail_ratio = isv[RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO_INDEX];
// Use a small relative epsilon to catch float-comparison saturation.
const float eps = 1.0e-3f;
bool any_at_cap = false;
const int base = b * MAX_UNITS;
for (int u = 0; u < MAX_UNITS; ++u) {
if (unit_active[base + u]) {
const float t = unit_trail_distance[base + u];
const float r0 = unit_initial_r[base + u];
const float cap = r0 * trail_ratio;
if (cap > 0.0f && t >= cap * (1.0f - eps)) {
any_at_cap = true;
break;
}
}
}
if (any_at_cap) {
row[ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN] = neg_inf;
}
}
}

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,110 @@
// rl_surfer_scaffold_controller.cu — adaptive Phase 5 shaping weight.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-01-reward-policy-alignment-investigation.md §6
//
// Reads (from ISV):
// RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX (677) — agent's running win rate
// RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX (660) — total closed-trade count (resets at
// fold/eval boundary; controller bootstraps
// scaffold back to 1.0 from there)
// RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX (751) — fraction of batches whose Page-Hinkley
// edge-decay detector has alerted; used as
// re-engagement trigger when policy edge
// degrades
// RL_SURFER_BREAK_EVEN_WR_INDEX (754) — config, default 0.30
// RL_SURFER_K_SHARPNESS_INDEX (755) — config, default 30.0
// RL_SURFER_WARMUP_TRADES_INDEX (756) — config, default 200.0
//
// Writes (to ISV):
// RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX (753) — w ∈ [0,1] consumed by
// rl_fused_reward_pipeline.cu Phase 5
//
// Math (v5.2):
// competence = confidence(n_trades) × sigmoid(k_sharp × (wr_ema break_even))
// w_competence = 1 competence
// w_decay = max(0, 2 × frac_alerted 1) // v5.1: fires above 50% baseline
// w = clamp(max(w_competence, w_decay), 0, 1)
//
// v5.2 fix (alpha-rl-mjsmr step 99-249 verdict 2026-06-02): dropped the
// `max(0, …)` clamp on `wr_excess`. With the clamp, wr<break_even mapped to
// sigmoid(0)=0.5 (half-scaffold at novice agent — wrong). Now wr=0.20 maps
// to sigmoid(3)≈0.05 ⇒ competence≈0.05 ⇒ w_competence≈0.95 (full scaffold,
// correct novice-bias). Symmetric around break_even — competence saturates
// fast both directions for k_sharp=30.
//
// Behavioral table:
// wr_ema wr-bk sigmoid competence (n_trades≫warmup) w_competence
// 0.20 -0.10 0.047 0.05 0.95 (full scaffold)
// 0.27 -0.03 0.29 0.29 0.71
// 0.30 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 (half at break-even)
// 0.33 +0.03 0.71 0.71 0.29
// 0.40 +0.10 0.953 0.95 0.05 (pure pnl)
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread launch (1×1×1), no atomic ops.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device-side.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin.
#include <stdint.h>
#include <math_constants.h>
// ISV slot indices (must match crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/isv_slots.rs)
#define RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX 677
#define RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660
#define RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX 751
#define RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX 753
#define RL_SURFER_BREAK_EVEN_WR_INDEX 754
#define RL_SURFER_K_SHARPNESS_INDEX 755
#define RL_SURFER_WARMUP_TRADES_INDEX 756
#define RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_FORCE_PIN_INDEX 824
__device__ static inline float sigmoidf(float x) {
return 1.0f / (1.0f + expf(-x));
}
extern "C" __global__ void rl_surfer_scaffold_controller(float* isv) {
// Single-thread kernel — launched (1,1,1)/(1,1,1).
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.x != 0) return;
// Phase A force-pin (2026-06-05): when set, leave slot 753 at its
// bootstrap value (pure-pnl) instead of overwriting it. Fixes the
// cosmetic-bootstrap bug (pearl_reward_misalign_blocks_f4_slot753_override).
if (isv[RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_FORCE_PIN_INDEX] > 0.5f) {
return; // do NOT write isv[RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX]
}
const float wr_ema = isv[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX];
const float n_trades = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float frac_decay = isv[RL_EDGE_PH_FRAC_ALERTED_INDEX];
const float break_even = isv[RL_SURFER_BREAK_EVEN_WR_INDEX];
const float k_sharp = isv[RL_SURFER_K_SHARPNESS_INDEX];
const float warmup_n = isv[RL_SURFER_WARMUP_TRADES_INDEX];
// Confidence: sigmoid centered on warmup_n, scale = 30% of warmup.
// n_trades=0 → confidence ≈ sigmoid(-warmup/(0.3*warmup)) = sigmoid(-3.33) ≈ 0.034
// n_trades=warmup → confidence = sigmoid(0) = 0.5
// n_trades=2*warmup → confidence ≈ sigmoid(3.33) ≈ 0.966
const float warmup_scale = fmaxf(warmup_n * 0.3f, 1.0f); // floor to avoid div-by-zero
const float confidence = sigmoidf((n_trades - warmup_n) / warmup_scale);
// Win-rate distance from break-even (signed — v5.2 drops the max(0,...) clamp
// so wr<break_even properly maps to low competence ⇒ full scaffold).
const float wr_distance = wr_ema - break_even;
// Competence: agent must have BOTH trade-count confidence AND wr above break-even.
const float competence = confidence * sigmoidf(k_sharp * wr_distance);
// Inverse: scaffold weight from competence.
const float w_competence = 1.0f - competence;
// Edge-decay re-engagement: only fires ABOVE 50% baseline. Train-time PH
// naturally alerts on a steady fraction of batches even during healthy
// learning (pearl_edge_decay_detector_phase1_validated_train_also_decays);
// re-engagement must measure EXCESS alertedness, not absolute level, or it
// pins the scaffold at w=1 forever (alpha-rl-zf6s5 step 5719 failure mode).
const float w_decay = fmaxf(0.0f, 2.0f * frac_decay - 1.0f);
const float w_raw = fmaxf(w_competence, w_decay);
const float w = fmaxf(0.0f, fminf(1.0f, w_raw));
isv[RL_SURFER_SCAFFOLD_WEIGHT_INDEX] = w;
}

View File

@@ -26,16 +26,34 @@
// the target-net design exists to provide.
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX 401
#define TAU_MIN 0.001f
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX 573
// τ MIN clamp bound is now ISV-driven per the 2026-05-30 clamp-bound
// extension. ISV-residence makes the floor runtime-tunable and aligns
// with the broader principle that every controller bound is observed-
// signal driven rather than calibrated against a prior regime.
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_MIN_INDEX 642
#define RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX 573
// ISV-driven bootstrap + target.
#define RL_TAU_BOOTSTRAP_INDEX 473
#define RL_DIV_TARGET_INDEX 457
// Schulman params from shared global slots (same as ppo_clip).
#define RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX 468
#define RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 469
#define DIV_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC 0.01f
#define WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR 0.4f
// Wiener-α floor — shared across 9 controllers (slot 659).
#define RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX 659
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// noise floor derives from observed q_divergence_ema variance via Welford
// triples, asymmetric Schulman widening requires N consecutive below-band
// observations. Replaces hardcoded DIV_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC=0.01f which was
// calibrated against the pre-Phase-4.5 divergence regime — under Phase 4.5
// the 1%-of-target floor is ~100× too low and the controller never moved
// from bootstrap (alpha-rl-... fold 0 confirmed τ stuck at 0.005).
#define RL_Q_DIV_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 592
#define RL_Q_DIV_VAR_M2_INDEX 594
#define RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX 595
#define NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC 0.5f // floor ≥ 50% of target
#define NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER 2.0f // floor ≥ 2σ of observed signal
#define WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE 3.0f // widen requires N below-band steps
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -77,25 +95,50 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_target_tau_controller(
// ISV-driven divergence target (was hardcoded #define).
const float div_target = isv[RL_DIV_TARGET_INDEX];
const float div_noise_floor = div_target * DIV_NOISE_FLOOR_FRAC;
// Noise-floor gate.
// Adaptive noise floor — signal-driven per
// `pearl_zscore_normalization_for_magnitude_asymmetric_signals` and
// `feedback_adaptive_not_tuned`. Floor must scale with observed signal
// magnitude AND have an absolute minimum tied to the target so a
// momentarily-noisy signal can't trigger spurious adjustments.
// Welford sample variance = M² / (count 1) when count > 1.
const float div_count = isv[RL_Q_DIV_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float div_var = (div_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_Q_DIV_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (div_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float div_std = sqrtf(div_var);
const float div_noise_floor = fmaxf(div_target * NOISE_FLOOR_TARGET_FRAC,
div_std * NOISE_FLOOR_STD_MULTIPLIER);
// Noise-floor gate: divergence below the adaptive floor is dominated by
// numerical noise OR signal stays naturally below target under the
// current architecture. Hold τ.
if (q_divergence_norm < div_noise_floor) return;
// Bounded multiplicative adjustment.
float ratio;
// Asymmetric Schulman (spec 2026-05-30 Section "Approach C, folded in"):
// raising τ fires on a single above-band observation — real Q
// divergence is a safety signal we act on fast (target net falling
// behind = raise the bootstrap rate). Lowering τ requires N consecutive
// below-band observations so a single noisy step can't push τ toward
// the floor. Below-band counter is per-controller in ISV.
const float tolerance = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_TOLERANCE_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_SCHULMAN_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
float ratio;
if (q_divergence_norm > div_target * tolerance) {
ratio = adjust_rate;
ratio = adjust_rate; // raise τ — single observation
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // reset patience
} else if (q_divergence_norm < div_target / tolerance) {
ratio = 1.0f / adjust_rate;
const float new_count = isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] + 1.0f;
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = new_count;
ratio = (new_count >= WIDEN_PATIENCE_CONSECUTIVE) ? (1.0f / adjust_rate) : 1.0f;
} else {
isv[RL_Q_DIV_BELOW_COUNT_INDEX] = 0.0f; // in-band → reset
ratio = 1.0f;
}
float tau_target = tau_prev * ratio;
const float tau_min = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_MIN_INDEX];
const float tau_max = isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_MAX_INDEX];
tau_target = fmaxf(TAU_MIN, fminf(tau_target, tau_max));
tau_target = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_target, tau_max));
// First-observation replace-directly: if
// prev is still exactly the hardcoded bootstrap value, this is
@@ -112,9 +155,9 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_target_tau_controller(
}
// Wiener-α blend with floor per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary.
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR);
const float a = fmaxf(alpha, isv[RL_WIENER_ALPHA_FLOOR_INDEX]);
float tau_new = (1.0f - a) * tau_prev + a * tau_target;
tau_new = fmaxf(TAU_MIN, fminf(tau_new, tau_max));
tau_new = fmaxf(tau_min, fminf(tau_new, tau_max));
isv[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX] = tau_new;
}

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@@ -1,40 +1,56 @@
// rl_trail_mutate.cu — SP20 P5 trail mutation kernel.
//
// Handles the previously-dead a7 (TrailTighten) and a8 (TrailLoosen)
// actions per `pearl_dead_trail_stop_actions_a7_a8`. Mutates each
// active unit's trail_distance bounded by ISV-driven MIN/MAX with
// symmetric reciprocal adjust rate per SP20 §4.12:
// a7 (tighten): trail = max(MIN, trail × rate)
// a8 (loosen): trail = min(MAX, trail / rate)
// Handles a7 (TrailTighten) and a8 (TrailLoosen) — closes
// `pearl_dead_trail_stop_actions_a7_a8`. Mutates each active unit's
// trail_distance bounded by ISV-driven MIN/MAX. Each direction has its
// own independent factor per spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management:
//
// Tighten and loosen are reciprocal: N tightens followed by N loosens
// returns trail to its original distance.
// a7 (tighten): trail = max(MIN, trail × TIGHTEN_FACTOR) (default 0.9)
// a8 (loosen): trail = min(MAX, trail × LOOSEN_FACTOR) (default 1.1)
//
// Audit history: scripts/audit-wiring.sh dogfood pass flagged that
// a7/a8 had no consumer anywhere in the codebase prior to this
// kernel.
// Tighten and loosen are NO LONGER strictly reciprocal — the agent can
// learn (via the ISV slots' controllers, if any) to bias one direction
// or the other. Bootstrap factors (0.9 / 1.1) preserve the prior
// approximately-symmetric behavior.
//
// Slot migration: previously read `RL_TRAIL_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX = 497`
// and used `trail × rate` for tighten and `trail / rate` for loosen.
// Now reads independent `RL_TRAIL_TIGHTEN_FACTOR_INDEX = 682` and
// `RL_TRAIL_LOOSEN_FACTOR_INDEX = 683` from the risk-management spec.
//
// Phase 5 (2026-06-04): adds a per-unit absolute ceiling on the loosen
// action. The TrailLoosen pathology surfaced by the Phase 4-A3
// ultrathink investigation showed mean trail 376 → max 2959 ticks
// (~$37k risk per position) because the multiplicative loosen had no
// per-unit anchor — only the global slot 495 cap (100.0 price units).
// The fix: clamp `unit_trail_distance ≤ unit_initial_r ·
// RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO` after the multiply. Ratio bootstrap
// 4.0 — agent can widen ≤ 4× from open, far below the smoke fleet's
// 2959-tick worst case.
//
// One thread per (batch, unit). Mutates ALL active units uniformly
// when the batch chose a7/a8 — matches SP20 §2.2 Tier 2 design
// ("a7/a8 uniformly tighten/loosen all active units").
// when the batch chose a7/a8 — matches SP20 §2.2 Tier 2 design.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: per-(batch, unit) independent writes.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device-side.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: MIN/MAX/rate all ISV slots.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: MIN/MAX/factors all ISV slots.
#include <stdint.h>
#define MAX_UNITS 4
#define ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN 7
#define ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN 8
#define RL_TRAIL_MIN_INDEX 494
#define RL_TRAIL_MAX_INDEX 495
#define RL_TRAIL_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX 497
#define MAX_UNITS 4
#define ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN 7
#define ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN 8
#define RL_TRAIL_MIN_INDEX 494
#define RL_TRAIL_MAX_INDEX 495
#define RL_TRAIL_TIGHTEN_FACTOR_INDEX 682
#define RL_TRAIL_LOOSEN_FACTOR_INDEX 683
#define RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO_INDEX 814
extern "C" __global__ void rl_trail_mutate(
const int* __restrict__ actions, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv,
const unsigned char* __restrict__ unit_active, // [B * MAX_UNITS]
const float* __restrict__ unit_initial_r, // [B * MAX_UNITS]
float* __restrict__ unit_trail_distance, // [B * MAX_UNITS] IN/OUT
int b_size
) {
@@ -48,17 +64,27 @@ extern "C" __global__ void rl_trail_mutate(
const int idx = b * MAX_UNITS + u;
if (unit_active[idx] == 0) return;
const float trail_min = isv[RL_TRAIL_MIN_INDEX];
const float trail_max = isv[RL_TRAIL_MAX_INDEX];
const float adjust_rate = isv[RL_TRAIL_ADJUST_RATE_INDEX];
const float current = unit_trail_distance[idx];
const float trail_min = isv[RL_TRAIL_MIN_INDEX];
const float trail_max = isv[RL_TRAIL_MAX_INDEX];
const float current = unit_trail_distance[idx];
float updated;
if (action == ACTION_TRAIL_TIGHTEN) {
updated = fmaxf(trail_min, current * adjust_rate);
const float factor = isv[RL_TRAIL_TIGHTEN_FACTOR_INDEX]; // bootstrap 0.9
updated = fmaxf(trail_min, current * factor);
} else { // ACTION_TRAIL_LOOSEN
const float inv_rate = (adjust_rate > 1e-6f) ? (1.0f / adjust_rate) : 1.0f;
updated = fminf(trail_max, current * inv_rate);
const float factor = isv[RL_TRAIL_LOOSEN_FACTOR_INDEX]; // bootstrap 1.1
updated = fminf(trail_max, current * factor);
// Phase 5 per-unit absolute ceiling: trail ≤ initial_r · ratio.
// Guards against the bimodal Hold+TrailLoosen risk-shifting
// pathology (Phase 4-A3 diagnosis 2026-06-04).
const float initial_r = unit_initial_r[idx];
if (initial_r > 1e-8f) {
const float ratio = isv[RL_TRAIL_MAX_INITIAL_R_RATIO_INDEX];
const float per_unit_cap = initial_r * ratio;
updated = fminf(updated, per_unit_cap);
}
}
unit_trail_distance[idx] = updated;
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
// rl_v_blend.cu — Phase 4.4 adaptive V baseline blend (2026-05-30).
//
// V_used[b] = α × V_scalar[b] + (1 α) × V_dq[b]
//
// α read on-device from ISV[alpha_slot], emitted by
// rl_v_blend_alpha_controller (separate kernel) which adapts α
// based on observed |V_dq V_scalar| / |V_scalar| tracking ratio.
//
// α = 1.0: pure Plan A v2 behavior (V_scalar drives PPO advantage)
// α = 0.0: pure Phase 4.3 behavior (V_dq drives PPO advantage)
// Anywhere in between: adaptive blend
//
// Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only: pure device kernel; α computed
// device-side by the controller.
// Per pearl_no_host_branches_in_captured_graph: graph-safe (reads
// ISV pointer, no host params).
// Per feedback_no_atomicadd: sole-writer per cell.
//
// Block layout: grid=(ceil(B/256), 1, 1), block=(256, 1, 1). Pure
// elementwise op.
extern "C" __global__ void rl_v_blend(
const float* __restrict__ v_scalar, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ v_dq, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus
int B,
int alpha_slot,
float* __restrict__ v_blended // [B]
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
// Defensive clamp to [0, 1] — controller should keep α bounded
// (per pearl_audit_unboundedness_for_implicit_asymmetry) but a
// kernel-side guard protects against any controller bug.
const float a = fminf(1.0f, fmaxf(0.0f, isv[alpha_slot]));
v_blended[b] = a * v_scalar[b] + (1.0f - a) * v_dq[b];
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,160 @@
// rl_v_blend_alpha_controller.cu — Phase 4.4 ISV-adaptive V blend (2026-05-30).
//
// Drives α ∈ [0, 1] for `V_used = α × V_scalar + (1α) × V_dq` based
// on observed V_dq vs V_scalar tracking ratio:
//
// track_ratio = EMA(|V_dq V_scalar|) / EMA(|V_scalar|)
//
// if track_ratio > 1.5 × TARGET: α ← min(α + step, 1.0) ↑ V_scalar
// if track_ratio < TARGET / 1.5: α ← max(α - step, 0.0) ↑ V_dq
// else: hold α
//
// Per pearl_wiener_alpha_floor_for_nonstationary: Schulman bounded
// discrete step, no Wiener-α blending of the controller variable
// itself (α is the controlled quantity).
//
// Per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap: bootstrap α = 1.0 on
// sentinel input (ISV[alpha_slot] == 0), EMAs use first observation
// directly. After bootstrap, α never naturally returns to exactly 0
// because Schulman step (0.01) is unlikely to land on it; if it
// does, controller re-bootstraps harmlessly.
//
// Per pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor: dead-signal
// guard — if EMA(|V_scalar|) < adaptive floor, hold α (no V signal
// to calibrate against; the trainer hasn't seen meaningful rewards
// yet).
//
// Per feedback_cpu_is_read_only: pure device kernel; reads V_scalar,
// V_dq, ISV; emits α + EMAs to ISV. No host control.
//
// Adaptive controller floors (spec 2026-05-30-adaptive-controller-floor-design):
// the 5 design constants below become ISV-driven so they can be tuned
// at runtime without recompile. The dead-signal floor additionally
// adapts to observed |V_scalar| variance via Welford slots 626/627/628
// (Welford updates wired by the trainer pass alongside the other
// controller Welford triples).
//
// Block layout: grid=(1, 1, 1), block=(BLOCK_X=1024, 1, 1). Single
// block does parallel reduction over batch up to B=1024. Thread 0
// performs the controller update.
#define BLOCK_X 1024
// ISV-driven slots — replace prior hardcoded design constants per the
// 2026-05-30 adaptive-controller-floor spec.
#define RL_V_BLEND_DEAD_SIGNAL_FLOOR_INDEX 621
#define RL_V_BLEND_TARGET_TRACK_RATIO_INDEX 622
#define RL_V_BLEND_SCHULMAN_STEP_INDEX 623
#define RL_V_BLEND_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX 624
#define RL_V_BLEND_BOOTSTRAP_ALPHA_INDEX 625
#define RL_V_BLEND_SCALAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 626
#define RL_V_BLEND_SCALAR_VAR_M2_INDEX 628
// Adaptive-dead-floor scaling for the Welford std term — keeps the
// floor at least one σ_observed × ADAPTIVE_DEAD_FLOOR_STD_SCALE above
// numerical noise even when the ISV-resident absolute floor is tighter.
#define ADAPTIVE_DEAD_FLOOR_STD_SCALE 0.1f
extern "C" __global__ void rl_v_blend_alpha_controller(
const float* __restrict__ v_scalar, // [B]
const float* __restrict__ v_dq, // [B]
float* __restrict__ isv, // ISV bus
int B,
int alpha_slot, // ISV[α]
int trackerr_ema_slot, // ISV[|V_dq V_scalar|_ema]
int v_scalar_mag_ema_slot // ISV[|V_scalar|_ema] (dead-signal floor)
) {
const int tid = threadIdx.x;
if (tid >= BLOCK_X) return;
// ── Per-thread partial sums over strided batch ──
float track_partial = 0.0f;
float mag_partial = 0.0f;
for (int b = tid; b < B; b += BLOCK_X) {
const float vs = v_scalar[b];
const float vd = v_dq[b];
track_partial += fabsf(vd - vs);
mag_partial += fabsf(vs);
}
// ── Tree-reduce in shared mem ──
__shared__ float s_t[BLOCK_X];
__shared__ float s_m[BLOCK_X];
s_t[tid] = track_partial;
s_m[tid] = mag_partial;
__syncthreads();
for (int stride = BLOCK_X / 2; stride > 0; stride >>= 1) {
if (tid < stride) {
s_t[tid] += s_t[tid + stride];
s_m[tid] += s_m[tid + stride];
}
__syncthreads();
}
if (tid == 0) {
const float inv_B = 1.0f / (float)B;
const float track_mean = s_t[0] * inv_B;
const float mag_mean = s_m[0] * inv_B;
// ── ISV-driven design constants (spec 2026-05-30) ──
const float ema_alpha = isv[RL_V_BLEND_EMA_ALPHA_INDEX];
const float target_track_ratio = isv[RL_V_BLEND_TARGET_TRACK_RATIO_INDEX];
const float schulman_step = isv[RL_V_BLEND_SCHULMAN_STEP_INDEX];
const float bootstrap_alpha = isv[RL_V_BLEND_BOOTSTRAP_ALPHA_INDEX];
// ── Adaptive dead-signal floor ─────────────────────────────────
// Combines the ISV-resident absolute floor with an observed
// |V_scalar| variance term (Welford sample variance =
// M² / (count 1) when count > 1). Cold-start safe: count=0
// → var=0 → adaptive = isv[621] absolute default. Once Welford
// accumulates observations, the floor scales with σ_observed so
// the dead-signal gate adapts to whatever magnitude regime
// |V_scalar| settles into post-Phase-4.5.
const float vmag_count = isv[RL_V_BLEND_SCALAR_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
const float vmag_var = (vmag_count > 1.0f)
? isv[RL_V_BLEND_SCALAR_VAR_M2_INDEX] / (vmag_count - 1.0f)
: 0.0f;
const float vmag_std = sqrtf(vmag_var);
const float dead_floor_abs = isv[RL_V_BLEND_DEAD_SIGNAL_FLOOR_INDEX];
const float adaptive_dead_floor = fmaxf(dead_floor_abs,
vmag_std * ADAPTIVE_DEAD_FLOOR_STD_SCALE);
// ── Bootstrap α on sentinel ──
float alpha = isv[alpha_slot];
if (alpha == 0.0f) {
alpha = bootstrap_alpha;
}
// ── First-observation bootstrap on EMAs ──
float prev_track_ema = isv[trackerr_ema_slot];
float prev_mag_ema = isv[v_scalar_mag_ema_slot];
const float track_ema = (prev_track_ema == 0.0f)
? track_mean
: (1.0f - ema_alpha) * prev_track_ema + ema_alpha * track_mean;
const float mag_ema = (prev_mag_ema == 0.0f)
? mag_mean
: (1.0f - ema_alpha) * prev_mag_ema + ema_alpha * mag_mean;
// ── Dead-signal guard: V_scalar magnitude too small to calibrate against ──
if (mag_ema < adaptive_dead_floor) {
isv[trackerr_ema_slot] = track_ema;
isv[v_scalar_mag_ema_slot] = mag_ema;
isv[alpha_slot] = alpha; // hold (write bootstrap if needed)
return;
}
// ── Track ratio + Schulman-bounded step on α ──
const float track_ratio = track_ema / mag_ema;
if (track_ratio > 1.5f * target_track_ratio) {
// V_dq diverged from V_scalar → raise α toward V_scalar
alpha = fminf(alpha + schulman_step, 1.0f);
} else if (track_ratio < target_track_ratio / 1.5f) {
// V_dq tracks V_scalar well → lower α toward V_dq
alpha = fmaxf(alpha - schulman_step, 0.0f);
}
// else: hold α (within band)
isv[alpha_slot] = alpha;
isv[trackerr_ema_slot] = track_ema;
isv[v_scalar_mag_ema_slot] = mag_ema;
}
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,93 @@
// rl_win_rate_ema_update.cu — Layer 4 (Kelly) input EMA producer.
//
// Tracks observed per-step win_rate as an EMA across closed trades.
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-adaptive-risk-management-design.md
//
// Inputs:
// rewards[b] f32 — per-batch realized pnl delta this step (shaped)
// dones[b] f32 — 1.0 if a trade closed this step, else 0.0
//
// Trade outcome is derived inline: win = (done & reward > 0),
// loss = (done & reward < 0), no-close otherwise.
//
// Output: ISV[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX = 677]
//
// Bootstrap semantics per `pearl_first_observation_bootstrap`:
// sentinel = 0.5 (neutral 50% win rate); first non-trivial step replaces
// directly. Zero observations on a given step (no closes) → no update.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single-thread single-block, sums across
// b_size sequentially.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device kernel; trainer launches
// each step after rl_fused_reward_pipeline writes rewards + dones.
// Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds`: EMA-α is currently a structural
// constant 0.05 (≈ 20-trade effective window) — same pattern as
// ema_update_per_step where α is a structural smoothing parameter.
#include <stdint.h>
#define RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX 677
#define EMA_ALPHA_FAST 0.05f
#define SENTINEL 0.5f
// B-6 ISV-driven adaptive asymmetric Wiener-α. See B-6 spec for math.
#define RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_MIN_INDEX 721
#define RL_EMA_TRUST_FULL_THRESHOLD_INDEX 722
#define RL_EMA_CV_GAIN_INDEX 723
#define RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX 660
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX 615
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX 616
#define RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX 617
extern "C" __global__ void rl_win_rate_ema_update(
float* __restrict__ isv,
const float* __restrict__ rewards, // [b_size] shaped pnl delta
const float* __restrict__ dones, // [b_size] 1.0 = close
int b_size
) {
// Single-thread guard. Block shape (1,1,1) by contract.
if (threadIdx.x != 0 || threadIdx.y != 0 || threadIdx.z != 0) return;
if (blockIdx.x != 0 || blockIdx.y != 0 || blockIdx.z != 0) return;
// Count this step's closed trades and wins (done & reward > 0).
int closed = 0;
int wins = 0;
for (int b = 0; b < b_size; ++b) {
if (dones[b] >= 0.5f) {
closed += 1;
if (rewards[b] > 0.0f) wins += 1;
}
}
if (closed == 0) return; // no observation this step
const float step_wr = (float)wins / (float)closed;
const float prev = isv[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX];
// B-6 ISV-driven adaptive asymmetric Wiener-α.
// α_slow_eff = α_slow_min + (α_fast α_slow_min) × trust_eff
const float a_slow_min = isv[RL_EMA_ALPHA_SLOW_MIN_INDEX];
const float a_fast = EMA_ALPHA_FAST;
const float n_trades = isv[RL_CUMULATIVE_DONES_INDEX];
const float n_full = isv[RL_EMA_TRUST_FULL_THRESHOLD_INDEX];
const float cv_gain = isv[RL_EMA_CV_GAIN_INDEX];
float trust = (n_full > 0.0f) ? fminf(1.0f, n_trades / n_full) : 1.0f;
if (cv_gain > 0.0f) {
const float wf_count = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_COUNT_INDEX];
if (wf_count > 1.0f) {
const float wf_m2 = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_M2_INDEX];
const float wf_mean = isv[RL_REWARD_MAG_VAR_MEAN_INDEX];
const float wf_var = wf_m2 / (wf_count - 1.0f);
const float cv = (wf_mean > 1e-6f) ? sqrtf(wf_var) / wf_mean : 0.0f;
trust *= expf(-cv * cv_gain);
}
}
const float a_slow_eff = a_slow_min + (a_fast - a_slow_min) * trust;
// wr_ema: slow-up (skeptical of high WR), fast-down (admit pessimism)
const float alpha = (step_wr > prev) ? a_slow_eff : a_fast;
float ema_new = (1.0f - alpha) * prev + alpha * step_wr;
// Hard-bound [0, 1] in case of any precision corner case.
if (ema_new < 0.0f) ema_new = 0.0f;
if (ema_new > 1.0f) ema_new = 1.0f;
isv[RL_WIN_RATE_EMA_INDEX] = ema_new;
}

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@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
// rollout_pack.cu — Per-step pack helpers for Phase 1B-B rollout collection.
//
// Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae.md §1.2
// Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-02-trainer-rollout-buffer-gae-implementation.md §Phase 1B-B
//
// The trainer's per-step `dones_d` is `f32` in {0.0, 1.0} (legacy contract
// driven by `compute_advantage_return` and the K-loop sampled buffers).
// The rollout buffer's `dones_d` is `u8` (compact storage — 4× smaller,
// matches the `gae_backward_sweep` kernel's `uint8_t*` input). This kernel
// packs a per-step `[B]` f32 done vector into the rollout buffer's
// `[B × T]` u8 slice at offset `bt = b * T + t` for the current write
// cursor `t`.
//
// Single-thread-per-batch kernel (one thread per env). Deterministic by
// construction — no atomic ops, no reductions, no shared memory. The
// fmaxf clamp + ≥0.5 thresholding makes the conversion robust to fp32
// noise (the trainer never produces non-{0, 1} dones, but the pack is
// defensive).
//
// Determinism contract: each thread writes one distinct element, so the
// kernel is bit-equal across runs for identical inputs. Compatible with
// `pearl_determinism_achieved`.
//
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: no atomic ops.
// Per `feedback_cpu_is_read_only`: pure device-side, no host roundtrip.
// Per `feedback_no_nvrtc`: pre-compiled cubin via build.rs.
#include <stdint.h>
extern "C" __global__ void rollout_pack_dones_f32_to_u8(
const float* __restrict__ dones_f32, // [B] — per-step trainer dones (f32 in {0, 1})
uint8_t* __restrict__ dones_u8_bt, // [B × T] — rollout buffer dones (u8)
const int B,
const int T,
const int t_cursor // current write cursor in [0, T)
) {
const int b = blockIdx.x * blockDim.x + threadIdx.x;
if (b >= B) return;
const int idx = b * T + t_cursor;
const float d = dones_f32[b];
dones_u8_bt[idx] = (d >= 0.5f) ? (uint8_t)1 : (uint8_t)0;
}

View File

@@ -26,6 +26,24 @@
#define VSN_FEATURE_DIM 40
#define VSN_BLOCK 64 // round up to warp-multiple; threads i >= FEATURE_DIM idle.
// 2026-05-29 stride-mismatch fix.
// VSN's input buffer (window_tensor_d) is allocated [B, K, ENCODER_INPUT_DIM=56]
// by perception.rs (snap features [0..40) + per-batch broadcast context
// [40..56) written by rl_encoder_context_broadcast). VSN only processes the
// first VSN_FEATURE_DIM=40 features per row (snap features), but the input
// rows are spaced 56 floats apart, not 40. The kernel originally indexed x
// with stride VSN_FEATURE_DIM=40 — correct ONLY for row 0; every subsequent
// row read mixed broadcast-context + snap features across the [B, K, 56]
// row boundaries. Symptoms: intermittent step-4 NaN as accumulating trade
// context magnitudes overflowed VSN's softmax via the bleed.
//
// Fix: use VSN_X_ROW_STRIDE=56 for reading x in both forward and backward.
// Output (gates, y) and gradient outputs (grad_W, grad_b, grad_x) remain at
// VSN_FEATURE_DIM=40 because the downstream consumers (Mamba2 L1 with
// in_dim=40) read at compact 40-stride. grad_x is unused downstream (see
// `vsn_grad_x_d` audit — write-only), so its stride doesn't matter.
#define VSN_X_ROW_STRIDE 56 // = ENCODER_INPUT_DIM in heads.rs / perception.rs
extern "C" __global__ void variable_selection_fwd(
const float* __restrict__ W_vsn, // [FEATURE_DIM, FEATURE_DIM]
const float* __restrict__ b_vsn, // [FEATURE_DIM]
@@ -38,7 +56,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void variable_selection_fwd(
int tid = threadIdx.x;
if (row >= n_rows) return;
const float* x_row = x + (long long)row * VSN_FEATURE_DIM;
const float* x_row = x + (long long)row * VSN_X_ROW_STRIDE;
// Shared mem: gate_logit + max-reduce scratch + sum-reduce scratch.
__shared__ float s_logit[VSN_FEATURE_DIM];
@@ -170,7 +188,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void variable_selection_bwd(
float dy_i = 0.0f;
if (tid < VSN_FEATURE_DIM) {
gates_i = gates[(long long)row * VSN_FEATURE_DIM + tid];
x_i = x[(long long)row * VSN_FEATURE_DIM + tid];
x_i = x[(long long)row * VSN_X_ROW_STRIDE + tid];
dy_i = grad_y[(long long)row * VSN_FEATURE_DIM + tid];
s_gates[tid] = gates_i;
s_dgates[tid] = dy_i * x_i;
@@ -201,7 +219,7 @@ extern "C" __global__ void variable_selection_bwd(
const float dl_t = s_dlogit[tid];
#pragma unroll
for (int j = 0; j < VSN_FEATURE_DIM; ++j) {
const float xj = x[(long long)row * VSN_FEATURE_DIM + j];
const float xj = x[(long long)row * VSN_X_ROW_STRIDE + j];
grad_W_vsn_scratch[row_FF + (long long)tid * VSN_FEATURE_DIM + j]
+= dl_t * xj;
}

File diff suppressed because it is too large Load Diff

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,77 @@
//! cuBLAS math-mode helper for the determinism foundation (spec §2.B + §4).
//!
//! Per `docs/superpowers/notes/2026-06-02-determinism-phase2.2-mamba2-investigation.md`:
//! the cuBLAS GEMM default algorithm (`CUBLAS_GEMM_DFALT`) permits split-K
//! accumulation with non-deterministic ordering on Ampere+ when TF32 mode
//! is on. The fix is to call `cublasSetMathMode(handle, CUBLAS_PEDANTIC_MATH)`
//! at every handle construction site — that filters out the non-deterministic
//! algorithm variants.
//!
//! Spec §4 dev/prod toggle: `FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC` env var (default "1" in
//! dev, where verdict trust matters; "0" in production, where the 10-15%
//! TF32 speed gain matters more than reproducibility).
//!
//! Call this immediately after `CudaBlas::new(...)` at every handle site
//! in `crates/ml-alpha/src/`. The 3 known sites (2026-06-02) are:
//! - `mamba2_block.rs` (Mamba2Block::new, line ~535)
//! - `rl/dqn.rs` (DqnHead::new, line ~364)
//! - `rl/iqn.rs` (IqnHead::new, line ~261)
//!
//! Per `feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds.md`: env-var read is one-shot at
//! handle construction; the mode is fixed for the lifetime of the handle.
//! No per-step ISV adjustment is needed (or possible, since the mode is
//! handle-level state).
use anyhow::{anyhow, Result};
use cudarc::cublas::CudaBlas;
/// Apply the dev/prod-toggleable cuBLAS math mode to a freshly-constructed
/// `CudaBlas` handle.
///
/// `FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC=1` (default) → `CUBLAS_PEDANTIC_MATH`. Deterministic
/// across runs; ~10-15% slower than TF32 on Ampere+ GEMMs.
///
/// `FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC=0` → `CUBLAS_TF32_TENSOR_OP_MATH`. Faster, but
/// `CUBLAS_GEMM_DFALT` may pick non-deterministic split-K variants — same-seed
/// runs can diverge by ~1e-6 after a handful of GEMMs, cascading via the
/// optimizer into ~10% trajectory drift over 200 steps.
///
/// Returns the input handle wrapped in `Ok` on success (passthrough for
/// ergonomic call-site chaining), or `Err` if the cuBLAS call fails.
pub fn apply_deterministic_math_mode(cublas: CudaBlas) -> Result<CudaBlas> {
// Per `pearl_build_rs_rerun_if_env_changed.md`: this env-var read is a
// runtime decision (not a build-time one), so no `cargo:rerun-if-env-changed`
// is needed. The env var is checked once per handle construction.
//
// Phase 2.4 control-mode addition (2026-06-02): added `2` as control
// mode (CUBLAS_DEFAULT_MATH — no TF32, no PEDANTIC, pure FP32) to
// disambiguate whether PEDANTIC fully eliminates split-K or just
// some variants. Per dispatch ask.
let env_value = std::env::var("FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC")
.unwrap_or_else(|_| "1".to_string());
let mode = match env_value.as_str() {
"0" => cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasMath_t::CUBLAS_TF32_TENSOR_OP_MATH,
"2" => cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasMath_t::CUBLAS_DEFAULT_MATH,
_ => cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasMath_t::CUBLAS_PEDANTIC_MATH,
};
unsafe {
cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasSetMathMode(*cublas.handle(), mode)
.result()
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("cublasSetMathMode {mode:?}: {e:?}"))?;
}
// Print once per handle so callers can verify the env var propagated.
// Phase 2.4: this is essential diagnostics — the Phase 2.3 outcome
// note claimed PEDANTIC was active but later determinism-check runs
// showed attn_q still diverging, so we need explicit confirmation.
static MODE_PRINTED: std::sync::OnceLock<()> = std::sync::OnceLock::new();
MODE_PRINTED.get_or_init(|| {
eprintln!(
"[cublas_determinism] FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC={env_value} → mode={mode:?}"
);
});
Ok(cublas)
}

View File

@@ -188,7 +188,6 @@ impl GpuDataLoader {
soa: &SoaBufferPtrs,
seq_len: usize,
batch_size: usize,
label_outs: [u64; 5],
) -> Result<()> {
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(dataset.snapshots_d.raw_ptr());
@@ -211,18 +210,6 @@ impl GpuDataLoader {
args.push_ptr(self.sample_file_offset_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.sample_anchor_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.sample_file_idx_d.raw_ptr());
// Fused label gather arguments
args.push_i32(dataset.total_snapshots as i32);
args.push_ptr(dataset.labels_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(dataset.outcome_prof_long_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(dataset.outcome_prof_short_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(dataset.outcome_size_long_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(dataset.outcome_size_short_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(label_outs[0]);
args.push_ptr(label_outs[1]);
args.push_ptr(label_outs[2]);
args.push_ptr(label_outs[3]);
args.push_ptr(label_outs[4]);
args.push_i32(batch_size as i32);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {

View File

@@ -1,3 +1,10 @@
// The `build_diag_value` builder in `trainer::integrated` constructs the
// per-step diag JSONL via a deeply-nested `serde_json::json!{ ... }` macro
// (~30 nested object blocks × per-block field counts). The macro's
// recursive expansion exceeds serde_json's default budget of 128 levels.
// Raising to 256 covers the current schema with headroom.
#![recursion_limit = "256"]
//! ml-alpha — CfC perception + multi-horizon alpha heads.
//!
//! Phase A (this crate): snapshot-level CfC trunk + 5 horizon heads,
@@ -46,6 +53,11 @@ pub mod multi_horizon_labels;
// Gate reference only — Mamba2 baseline against which CfC must compete.
pub mod mamba2_block;
// Determinism foundation (spec 2026-06-02 §2.B): cuBLAS PEDANTIC mode helper
// used at every CudaBlas::new() site to disable non-deterministic GEMM
// algorithms. Gated by FOXHUNT_DETERMINISTIC env var (default "1" in dev).
pub mod cublas_determinism;
pub use isv::IsvBus;
pub use multi_horizon_labels::{generate_labels, LongHorizonLabels};
// Re-exports added as the relevant tasks land:

View File

@@ -534,6 +534,13 @@ impl Mamba2Block {
// our gemm shapes (largest is hidden_dim×in_dim ≈ 128×32).
let cublas = CudaBlas::new(Arc::clone(&stream))
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("Mamba2Block: cuBLAS init failed: {e}"))?;
// Determinism foundation (spec 2026-06-02 §2.B):
// Disable non-deterministic GEMM algorithms. Per the Phase 2.2
// mamba2 investigation, the 3 backward GEMMs in
// backward_from_h_enriched_seq_full_into were the root cause of
// the eval-pnl drift between same-seed runs.
let cublas = crate::cublas_determinism::apply_deterministic_math_mode(cublas)
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("Mamba2Block: cublas determinism setup: {e}"))?;
const CUBLAS_WORKSPACE_BYTES: usize = 8 * 1024 * 1024;
let cublas_workspace = stream
.alloc_zeros::<u8>(CUBLAS_WORKSPACE_BYTES)
@@ -547,12 +554,6 @@ impl Mamba2Block {
)
.result()
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("Mamba2Block: cublasSetWorkspace_v2: {e:?}"))?;
cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasSetMathMode(
*cublas.handle(),
cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasMath_t::CUBLAS_TF32_TENSOR_OP_MATH,
)
.result()
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("Mamba2Block: cublasSetMathMode TF32: {e:?}"))?;
}
// ── Parameter allocation + initialisation. ──────────────────────

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,597 @@
//! Phase 4-A: No-transaction-band head.
//!
//! Small two-output linear projection `h_t [B, HIDDEN_DIM] → band_pre [B, 2]`,
//! followed by an asymmetric `±|tanh| × N_max_eff` activation that produces
//! a per-batch lower bound `b_l ≤ 0` and upper bound `b_u ≥ 0` in position
//! (lots) units. The action selection layer (`rl_band_mask.cu`) forces
//! `actions[b] = Hold` whenever `position_lots[b] ∈ [b_l, b_u]`, encoding
//! the Davis-Norman (1990) optimal no-transaction region as an architectural
//! default rather than a learned preference.
//!
//! Spec: `docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-03-no-transaction-band-architecture.md`.
//! Pearls: `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility`,
//! `pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range`,
//! `pearl_determinism_achieved`,
//! `pearl_foxhunt_pi_trained_by_q_distillation_not_ppo`.
//!
//! ## Phase 4-A scope
//!
//! This module ships the FORWARD path only (sized weights + linear projection
//! + asymmetric activation + turnover regularizer loss kernel handles). The
//! head's master gate at `RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX` (slot 799) bootstraps to
//! `0.0` (OFF), preserving bit-equality with the Phase 3D baseline until an
//! operator flips the slot for A/B testing.
//!
//! The backward chain into the encoder (`grad_h_t` accumulation) is wired
//! by the turnover regularizer kernel writing to per-batch scratch; the
//! trainer integration site launches the kernel for OBSERVABILITY only in
//! Phase 4-A — the gradient is materialised but NOT folded into the encoder
//! optimizer step. Phase 4-B will land the adaptive controller plus the
//! full encoder backward chain.
use std::sync::Arc;
use anyhow::{Context, Result};
use cudarc::driver::{
CudaFunction, CudaModule, CudaSlice, CudaStream, DevicePtrMut,
};
use cudarc::driver::sys::CUstream;
use ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::scoped_init_seed;
use ml_core::device::MlDevice;
use rand::{Rng, SeedableRng};
use rand_chacha::ChaCha8Rng;
use crate::heads::HIDDEN_DIM;
use crate::pinned_mem::MappedF32Buffer;
use crate::trainer::raw_launch::{RawArgs, raw_launch};
const BAND_HEAD_FORWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_head_forward.cubin"));
const BAND_MASK_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_mask.cubin"));
const BAND_TURNOVER_LOSS_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_turnover_loss.cubin"));
const BAND_FRAC_AGGREGATE_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_frac_aggregate.cubin"));
const BAND_TURNOVER_CONTROLLER_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_turnover_controller.cubin"));
const BAND_HEAD_BACKWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/rl_band_head_backward.cubin"));
/// Number of band outputs (`b_l`, `b_u`).
pub const BAND_OUT: usize = 2;
/// Construction config for [`BandHead`].
#[derive(Clone, Debug)]
pub struct BandHeadConfig {
/// Encoder hidden dim feeding the band head.
pub hidden_dim: usize,
/// Batch size — used to pre-allocate per-batch scratch buffers.
pub b_size: usize,
/// Random seed for Xavier init. Reproducibility per
/// `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility`.
pub seed: u64,
/// Initial bias for `b_l` pre-activation (drives `b_l_init = activation
/// × N_max_eff`). Set by the trainer from `RL_BAND_LOWER_INIT_INDEX`
/// bootstrap (0.5 → `atanh(0.5)` ≈ 0.549 after sign flip; the trainer
/// passes the `atanh`-adjusted value).
pub b_l_init_bias: f32,
/// Initial bias for `b_u` pre-activation.
pub b_u_init_bias: f32,
}
/// No-transaction-band head. Lives parallel to [`crate::rl::ppo::PolicyHead`]
/// and [`crate::rl::multi_head_policy::MultiHeadPolicy`]; produces a per-batch
/// `(b_l, b_u)` pair consumed by `rl_band_mask.cu` to override post-sampling
/// actions to Hold when `position ∈ [b_l, b_u]`.
pub struct BandHead {
#[allow(dead_code)]
cfg: BandHeadConfig,
stream: Arc<CudaStream>,
raw_stream: CUstream,
// ── Kernel handles ────────────────────────────────────────────────
_forward_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
linear_fwd_fn: CudaFunction,
apply_activation_fn: CudaFunction,
_mask_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
mask_fn: CudaFunction,
_turnover_loss_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
turnover_loss_fn: CudaFunction,
// ── Phase 4-B handles ────────────────────────────────────────────
_frac_aggregate_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
frac_aggregate_fn: CudaFunction,
_turnover_controller_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
turnover_controller_fn: CudaFunction,
_backward_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
backward_fn: CudaFunction,
// ── Online weights ────────────────────────────────────────────────
/// `W_band[j, c]` row-major over `(j ∈ {0, 1}, c ∈ HIDDEN_DIM)`. Two
/// output neurons — small Xavier init scaled by 0.01 (matches PolicyHead).
pub w_band_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `b_band[j]` — per-output bias. Initialised from `cfg.b_l_init_bias`
/// and `cfg.b_u_init_bias` so the first forward yields `b_l ≈ 0.5 ·
/// N_max_eff` and `b_u ≈ +0.5 · N_max_eff` (moderate initial band).
pub b_band_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Forward output buffers (persisted for diag) ───────────────────
/// `[B × 2]` pre-activation linear outputs.
pub band_pre_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × 2]` post-activation band — `b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u`, in lots units.
/// Consumed by `rl_band_mask.cu` and `rl_band_turnover_loss.cu`.
pub band_out_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Turnover-loss per-batch scratch (observability in Phase 4-A) ──
/// `[B]` — sigmoid-surrogate "in band" mass per batch element.
pub m_soft_per_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B]` — per-batch loss contribution (same scalar value, ×1/B).
pub loss_per_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × 2]` — per-batch grad on `(b_l, b_u)` from the turnover
/// regularizer. Phase 4-B folds into encoder grad via `backward()`.
pub grad_band_per_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Phase 4-B backward-chain scratch ──────────────────────────────
/// `[B × BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]` — per-batch weight grads. Caller
/// reduces via `reduce_axis0` into `grad_w_d`.
pub grad_w_per_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × BAND_OUT]` — per-batch bias grads. Reduced into `grad_b_d`.
pub grad_b_per_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × HIDDEN_DIM]` — per-batch encoder-input grad (OVERWRITE).
/// Caller folds into encoder grad via `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`.
pub grad_h_t_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]` — reduced weight grad, Adam target.
pub grad_w_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[BAND_OUT]` — reduced bias grad, Adam target.
pub grad_b_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
}
impl BandHead {
/// Allocate weights + forward buffers, load cubins.
///
/// Weight init: Xavier-uniform scaled by 0.01 (matches PolicyHead) —
/// keeps initial pre-activation near zero so `tanh(0) = 0` and the band
/// boundary is entirely driven by the bias init.
pub fn new(dev: &MlDevice, cfg: BandHeadConfig) -> Result<Self> {
let stream: Arc<CudaStream> = dev
.cuda_stream()
.context("band_head stream")?
.clone();
let ctx = dev.cuda_context().context("band_head ctx")?;
// ── Load cubins ──────────────────────────────────────────────
let forward_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_HEAD_FORWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_head_forward cubin")?;
let linear_fwd_fn = forward_module
.load_function("rl_band_head_linear_fwd")
.context("load rl_band_head_linear_fwd")?;
let apply_activation_fn = forward_module
.load_function("rl_band_apply_activation")
.context("load rl_band_apply_activation")?;
let mask_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_MASK_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_mask cubin")?;
let mask_fn = mask_module
.load_function("rl_band_mask")
.context("load rl_band_mask")?;
let turnover_loss_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_TURNOVER_LOSS_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_turnover_loss cubin")?;
let turnover_loss_fn = turnover_loss_module
.load_function("rl_band_turnover_loss")
.context("load rl_band_turnover_loss")?;
let frac_aggregate_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_FRAC_AGGREGATE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_frac_aggregate cubin")?;
let frac_aggregate_fn = frac_aggregate_module
.load_function("rl_band_frac_aggregate")
.context("load rl_band_frac_aggregate")?;
let turnover_controller_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_TURNOVER_CONTROLLER_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_turnover_controller cubin")?;
let turnover_controller_fn = turnover_controller_module
.load_function("rl_band_turnover_controller")
.context("load rl_band_turnover_controller")?;
let backward_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BAND_HEAD_BACKWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_band_head_backward cubin")?;
let backward_fn = backward_module
.load_function("rl_band_head_backward")
.context("load rl_band_head_backward")?;
// ── Weight init: Xavier-0.01 + bias seed ─────────────────────
// Per pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility, install the
// scoped seed guard before drawing Xavier samples. The salt is
// an arbitrary fixed offset so the band-head init does not collide
// with PolicyHead / ValueHead / MultiHeadPolicy seeds.
let band_seed = cfg.seed.wrapping_add(0xBA_5EED_u64);
let _seed_guard = scoped_init_seed(band_seed);
let mut rng = ChaCha8Rng::seed_from_u64(band_seed);
let n_in = cfg.hidden_dim;
let scale = 0.01_f32 * (6.0_f32 / (n_in + BAND_OUT) as f32).sqrt();
let w_host: Vec<f32> = (0..BAND_OUT * n_in)
.map(|_| rng.gen_range(-scale..scale))
.collect();
let b_host: Vec<f32> = vec![cfg.b_l_init_bias, cfg.b_u_init_bias];
let w_band_d = upload(&stream, &w_host)?;
let b_band_d = upload(&stream, &b_host)?;
// ── Forward output buffers ───────────────────────────────────
let band_pre_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * BAND_OUT)
.context("alloc band_pre_d")?;
let band_out_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * BAND_OUT)
.context("alloc band_out_d")?;
// ── Turnover-loss per-batch scratch ──────────────────────────
let m_soft_per_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size)
.context("alloc m_soft_per_b_d")?;
let loss_per_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size)
.context("alloc loss_per_b_d")?;
let grad_band_per_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * BAND_OUT)
.context("alloc grad_band_per_b_d")?;
// ── Phase 4-B backward scratch ───────────────────────────────
let grad_w_per_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * BAND_OUT * cfg.hidden_dim)
.context("alloc grad_w_per_b_d")?;
let grad_b_per_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * BAND_OUT)
.context("alloc grad_b_per_b_d")?;
let grad_h_t_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.hidden_dim)
.context("alloc band grad_h_t_d")?;
let grad_w_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(BAND_OUT * cfg.hidden_dim)
.context("alloc band grad_w_d")?;
let grad_b_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(BAND_OUT)
.context("alloc band grad_b_d")?;
let raw_stream = stream.cu_stream();
Ok(Self {
cfg,
stream,
raw_stream,
_forward_module: forward_module,
linear_fwd_fn,
apply_activation_fn,
_mask_module: mask_module,
mask_fn,
_turnover_loss_module: turnover_loss_module,
turnover_loss_fn,
_frac_aggregate_module: frac_aggregate_module,
frac_aggregate_fn,
_turnover_controller_module: turnover_controller_module,
turnover_controller_fn,
_backward_module: backward_module,
backward_fn,
w_band_d,
b_band_d,
band_pre_d,
band_out_d,
m_soft_per_b_d,
loss_per_b_d,
grad_band_per_b_d,
grad_w_per_b_d,
grad_b_per_b_d,
grad_h_t_d,
grad_w_d,
grad_b_d,
})
}
/// Stream used to launch all kernels owned by this head.
pub fn stream(&self) -> &Arc<CudaStream> {
&self.stream
}
/// Phase 4-A forward — emits `band_out_d [B × 2]` with `b_l ≤ 0 ≤ b_u`.
///
/// Two-stage launch on the same stream:
/// 1. `rl_band_head_linear_fwd` — `band_pre = b_band + W_band · h_t`.
/// 2. `rl_band_apply_activation` — `b_l = |tanh(pre[0])| · N_max_eff`,
/// `b_u = +|tanh(pre[1])| · N_max_eff`.
///
/// `N_max_eff` is read inside the activation kernel from
/// `RL_HEAT_CAP_MAX_LOTS_INDEX` (slot 504).
pub fn forward(
&mut self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(h_t.len(), b_size * HIDDEN_DIM);
debug_assert_eq!(self.band_pre_d.len(), b_size * BAND_OUT);
debug_assert_eq!(self.band_out_d.len(), b_size * BAND_OUT);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
// ── Stage 1: linear forward ──────────────────────────────────
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.w_band_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.b_band_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(h_t.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(self.band_pre_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.linear_fwd_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, BAND_OUT as u32, 1),
(HIDDEN_DIM as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_head_linear_fwd: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
// ── Stage 2: asymmetric ±|tanh| × N_max_eff activation ──────
{
let grid_x = ((b_size as u32) + 31) / 32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.band_pre_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(self.band_out_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.apply_activation_fn.cu_function(),
(grid_x.max(1), 1, 1),
(32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_apply_activation: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase 4-A mask launch — overrides `actions[b]` to `Hold` whenever
/// `position_lots[b] ∈ [band_out_d[b, 0], band_out_d[b, 1]]`. Reads
/// the master gate at `RL_BAND_ENABLED_INDEX` (slot 799) and returns a
/// no-op when ≤ 0.5 (Phase 3D bit-equality).
///
/// MUST be launched OUTSIDE graph capture (matches the existing
/// `rl_confidence_gate` pattern at `integrated.rs:7487-7530`) since the
/// host-side master-gate branch precedes it.
pub fn launch_mask(
&self,
actions_d: &CudaSlice<i32>,
pos_state_d: &CudaSlice<u8>,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
pos_bytes: usize,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(actions_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(self.band_out_d.len(), b_size * BAND_OUT);
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(actions_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.band_out_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(pos_state_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
args.push_i32(pos_bytes as i32);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.mask_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(1, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_mask: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase 4-B per-step `frac_not_masked` reducer launch. Reads
/// `band_out_d` + `pos_state` and writes the per-step fleet-fraction
/// (= 1 frac_in_band) to `RL_BAND_FRAC_NOT_MASKED_OBSERVED_INDEX`
/// (slot 812) via a single-block tree-reduce. Consumed by the
/// turnover controller on the same step.
///
/// Master-gated at slot 799 inside the kernel: when the band is OFF
/// the kernel writes 0.0 and returns. Launched OUTSIDE graph capture
/// (matches the controller below — both run host-side post-forward
/// once `band_out_d` is materialised).
pub fn launch_frac_aggregate(
&self,
pos_state_d: &CudaSlice<u8>,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
pos_bytes: usize,
) -> Result<()> {
// Block-dim = next pow-of-two ≥ b_size, capped at 1024 (single
// block tree-reduce semantics; the kernel iterates with stride
// bdim if b_size > bdim).
let block_dim = (b_size as u32)
.next_power_of_two()
.clamp(1, 1024);
let smem = (block_dim as usize * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.band_out_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(pos_state_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
args.push_i32(pos_bytes as i32);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.frac_aggregate_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1),
(block_dim, 1, 1),
smem,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_frac_aggregate: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase 4-B adaptive turnover-target controller launch. Single-thread
/// kernel; reads the per-step `frac_not_masked` written by
/// `launch_frac_aggregate` and updates the EMA (slot 809) +
/// adaptive target (slot 811) using first-observation bootstrap +
/// asymmetric Schulman-bounded adapter.
///
/// MUST be launched AFTER `launch_frac_aggregate` (which writes the
/// controller's input slot) and BEFORE `launch_turnover_loss` on the
/// same step (which reads slot 811).
pub fn launch_turnover_controller(&self, isv_dev_ptr: &u64) -> Result<()> {
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.turnover_controller_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1),
(1, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_turnover_controller: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase 4-B turnover regularizer loss launch. Now wired into the
/// joint-loss path (`step_synthetic_body`) as the band's training
/// signal: emits `loss_per_b_d` + `grad_band_per_b_d` consumed by
/// `backward()` on the same step.
///
/// `turnover_t` is the host-supplied scalar mean of `(1 m_soft)` from
/// the previous step (Option (b) target-tracking semantics per spec
/// §3.1). The kernel uses `turnover_t target` for the loss; the
/// per-batch gradient routes through the sigmoid surrogate `(1 m_soft)`.
pub fn launch_turnover_loss(
&mut self,
pos_state_d: &CudaSlice<u8>,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
turnover_t: f32,
b_size: usize,
pos_bytes: usize,
) -> Result<()> {
let grid_x = ((b_size as u32) + 31) / 32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.band_out_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(pos_state_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_f32(turnover_t);
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
args.push_i32(pos_bytes as i32);
args.push_ptr(self.m_soft_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.loss_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_band_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.turnover_loss_fn.cu_function(),
(grid_x.max(1), 1, 1),
(32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_turnover_loss: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase 4-B backward chain — propagates `grad_band_per_b_d [B × 2]`
/// (produced by `launch_turnover_loss`) through the asymmetric
/// `±|tanh| × N_max_eff` activation and the linear projection into:
/// * `grad_w_per_b_d [B × BAND_OUT × HIDDEN_DIM]` — per-batch
/// weight grad scratch; caller reduces via `reduce_axis0` into
/// `grad_w_d` for Adam consumption.
/// * `grad_b_per_b_d [B × BAND_OUT]` — per-batch bias grad scratch.
/// * `grad_h_t_d [B × HIDDEN_DIM]` — encoder-input grad (OVERWRITE).
/// Caller folds into the encoder grad combiner via
/// `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`.
///
/// The kernel reads the master gate at slot 799 and writes zeros when
/// disabled — bit-equality with the Phase 3D baseline is preserved
/// even if the host-side launch is unconditional.
pub fn backward(
&mut self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(h_t.len(), b_size * HIDDEN_DIM);
debug_assert_eq!(
self.grad_w_per_b_d.len(),
b_size * BAND_OUT * HIDDEN_DIM
);
debug_assert_eq!(self.grad_b_per_b_d.len(), b_size * BAND_OUT);
debug_assert_eq!(self.grad_h_t_d.len(), b_size * HIDDEN_DIM);
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.w_band_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.band_pre_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(h_t.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_band_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
args.push_ptr(self.grad_w_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_b_per_b_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_h_t_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.backward_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(HIDDEN_DIM as u32, 1, 1),
(BAND_OUT * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_band_head_backward: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
}
// ── pinned-staging upload helper (mirrors ppo::upload) ────────────────────
fn upload(stream: &Arc<CudaStream>, host: &[f32]) -> Result<CudaSlice<f32>> {
let n = host.len();
let staging = unsafe { MappedF32Buffer::new(n) }
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("band_head upload staging: {e}"))?;
staging.write_from_slice(host);
let mut dst = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(n)
.context("band_head upload alloc")?;
if n > 0 {
let nbytes = n * std::mem::size_of::<f32>();
unsafe {
let (dst_ptr, _g) = dst.device_ptr_mut(stream);
cudarc::driver::result::memcpy_dtod_async(
dst_ptr,
staging.dev_ptr,
nbytes,
stream.cu_stream(),
)
.context("band_head upload DtoD")?;
}
}
Ok(dst)
}

View File

@@ -113,6 +113,10 @@ const DQN_HEAD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/dqn_distributional_q.cubin"
));
const PPO_LOSS_REDUCE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/ppo_loss_reduce_b.cubin"
));
const DQN_TARGET_SOFT_UPDATE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/dqn_target_soft_update.cubin"
@@ -121,6 +125,14 @@ const BELLMAN_PROJ_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/bellman_target_projection.cubin"
));
const SATURATION_REDUCE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce.cubin"
));
const Q_DISTRIBUTION_STATS_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_q_distribution_stats.cubin"
));
/// Construction config for [`DqnHead`].
#[derive(Clone, Debug)]
@@ -160,12 +172,22 @@ pub struct DqnHead {
raw_stream: CUstream,
_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// F4.1 reducer cubin (`ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu`) kept alive while
/// `loss_mean_reduce_fn` references it.
_loss_reduce_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// Forward kernel: `dqn_distributional_q_fwd` from
/// `cuda/dqn_distributional_q.cu`. Produces raw atom logits.
pub fwd_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Backward kernel: `dqn_distributional_q_bwd`. Computes categorical
/// CE loss + `∂L/∂logits` given a pre-projected target distribution.
/// Writes per-batch CE to `loss_per_batch[B]` only (no atomicAdd to
/// any scalar — that's `mean_reduce_b_f32` below).
pub bwd_fn: CudaFunction,
/// F4.1 (2026-05-31) generic `[B] → [1]` block tree-reduce mean,
/// shared with the PPO surrogate path (same kernel name, same
/// cubin). Used to produce the scalar `loss_out` diagnostic for
/// the LR controller; replaces the prior in-kernel atomicAdd.
pub loss_mean_reduce_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Phase E.2 backward chain: `dqn_grad_w_b_h_t`. Maps the `grad_logits`
/// output of `bwd_fn` into per-batch `grad_w` / `grad_b` scratch buffers
/// + an OVERWRITE `grad_h_t` slot for the integrated trainer to fold
@@ -194,6 +216,24 @@ pub struct DqnHead {
/// `bellman_target_projection`, `dqn_select_action_atoms`, and
/// `bellman_fused_select_project` — live in the same translation unit).
_bellman_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// B-9 (2026-06-01): cross-batch tree-reduce of per-batch
/// Bellman-target saturation tallies. Reads the four `[B] f32`
/// scratch buffers populated by either bellman variant and writes
/// ISV slots 726-729 (top/bot saturation rate + max/min pre-proj).
/// Pure observability — does not perturb training dynamics.
pub saturation_reduce_fn: CudaFunction,
_saturation_reduce_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// B-10 (2026-06-01) G1: Q-distribution informativeness diagnostic.
/// Two entry points in the same cubin:
/// - `rl_q_distribution_per_batch`: per-block per-action softmax over
/// atoms + entropy + E_Q computation. Grid `(B, 1, 1)` × block
/// `(Q_N_ATOMS, 1, 1)`. Writes 3 per-batch scratch arrays.
/// - `rl_q_distribution_reduce`: cross-batch tree-reduce, single-block,
/// writes ISV slots 730 / 731 / 732. Pure observability.
pub q_distribution_per_batch_fn: CudaFunction,
pub q_distribution_reduce_fn: CudaFunction,
_q_distribution_stats_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// Phase R5: element-wise target-net soft update kernel handle.
/// `target[i] = (1 - τ) · target[i] + τ · current[i]` reading τ
@@ -244,6 +284,12 @@ impl DqnHead {
let bwd_fn = module
.load_function("dqn_distributional_q_bwd")
.context("load dqn_distributional_q_bwd")?;
let loss_reduce_module = ctx
.load_cubin(PPO_LOSS_REDUCE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load ppo_loss_reduce_b cubin (for mean_reduce_b_f32)")?;
let loss_mean_reduce_fn = loss_reduce_module
.load_function("mean_reduce_b_f32")
.context("load mean_reduce_b_f32")?;
let grad_w_b_h_t_fn = module
.load_function("dqn_grad_w_b_h_t")
.context("load dqn_grad_w_b_h_t")?;
@@ -260,6 +306,25 @@ impl DqnHead {
.load_function("bellman_fused_select_project")
.context("load bellman_fused_select_project")?;
// B-9 (2026-06-01): C51 Bellman-target saturation reducer.
let saturation_reduce_module = ctx
.load_cubin(SATURATION_REDUCE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce cubin")?;
let saturation_reduce_fn = saturation_reduce_module
.load_function("rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce")
.context("load rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce")?;
// B-10 (2026-06-01): Q-distribution informativeness diagnostic.
let q_distribution_stats_module = ctx
.load_cubin(Q_DISTRIBUTION_STATS_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_q_distribution_stats cubin")?;
let q_distribution_per_batch_fn = q_distribution_stats_module
.load_function("rl_q_distribution_per_batch")
.context("load rl_q_distribution_per_batch")?;
let q_distribution_reduce_fn = q_distribution_stats_module
.load_function("rl_q_distribution_reduce")
.context("load rl_q_distribution_reduce")?;
// Phase R5: target soft-update kernel.
let target_soft_update_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DQN_TARGET_SOFT_UPDATE_CUBIN.to_vec())
@@ -298,6 +363,11 @@ impl DqnHead {
// cudaMalloc that would break CUDA Graph stream capture.
let cublas = CudaBlas::new(Arc::clone(&stream))
.context("DqnHead: cuBLAS init")?;
// Determinism foundation (spec 2026-06-02 §2.B): disable
// non-deterministic GEMM algorithms. Same fix as Mamba2Block,
// applied to the DQN distributional-Q forward + backward GEMMs.
let cublas = crate::cublas_determinism::apply_deterministic_math_mode(cublas)
.context("DqnHead: cublas determinism setup")?;
const CUBLAS_WORKSPACE_BYTES: usize = 8 * 1024 * 1024;
let cublas_workspace = stream
.alloc_zeros::<u8>(CUBLAS_WORKSPACE_BYTES)
@@ -311,12 +381,6 @@ impl DqnHead {
)
.result()
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("DqnHead: cublasSetWorkspace_v2: {e:?}"))?;
cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasSetMathMode(
*cublas.handle(),
cudarc::cublas::sys::cublasMath_t::CUBLAS_TF32_TENSOR_OP_MATH,
)
.result()
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("DqnHead: cublasSetMathMode TF32: {e:?}"))?;
}
// Bias-add and reduce-sum-axis0 kernel handles from ml-core.
@@ -330,6 +394,8 @@ impl DqnHead {
stream,
raw_stream,
_module: module,
_loss_reduce_module: loss_reduce_module,
loss_mean_reduce_fn,
fwd_fn,
bwd_fn,
grad_w_b_h_t_fn,
@@ -337,6 +403,11 @@ impl DqnHead {
select_action_atoms_fn,
bellman_fused_fn,
_bellman_module: bellman_module,
saturation_reduce_fn,
_saturation_reduce_module: saturation_reduce_module,
q_distribution_per_batch_fn,
q_distribution_reduce_fn,
_q_distribution_stats_module: q_distribution_stats_module,
target_soft_update_fn,
_target_soft_update_module: target_soft_update_module,
w_d,
@@ -494,10 +565,14 @@ impl DqnHead {
}
/// Phase E.2 backward chain stage 1 — categorical CE on the taken
/// action's atom distribution. Writes `loss_out [1]` and
/// `grad_logits [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS]`. The `loss_out` scalar
/// is accumulated with atomicAdd (Phase C deferred fix — see kernel
/// header). `grad_logits` flows into `grad_w_b_h_t` next.
/// action's atom distribution. Writes `loss_per_batch [B]` and
/// `grad_logits [B × N_ACTIONS × Q_N_ATOMS]`.
///
/// F4.1 (2026-05-31): the cross-batch scalar `loss_out` is now
/// produced by a separate `mean_reduce_b_f32` block tree-reduce
/// kernel that the caller invokes on `loss_per_batch`. The prior
/// in-kernel `atomicAdd(loss_out, ce/B)` is gone (per
/// `feedback_no_atomicadd`).
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn backward_logits(
&self,
@@ -505,7 +580,6 @@ impl DqnHead {
target_dist: &CudaSlice<f32>,
actions_taken: &CudaSlice<i32>,
b_size: usize,
loss_out_dev_ptr: &u64,
loss_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_logits: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
@@ -525,7 +599,6 @@ impl DqnHead {
args.push_ptr(target_dist.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(actions_taken.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(*loss_out_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(loss_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_logits.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
@@ -540,6 +613,37 @@ impl DqnHead {
Ok(())
}
/// F4.1 (2026-05-31) block tree-reduce `loss_per_batch [B] → scalar
/// mean` written to `loss_out_dev_ptr`. Replaces the prior in-kernel
/// `atomicAdd(loss_out, ce/B)` from `dqn_distributional_q_bwd`. Per
/// `feedback_no_atomicadd`: single block, 256 threads, grid-strided
/// over B, shared-memory tree-reduce, single-writer store.
pub fn reduce_loss_to_scalar(
&self,
loss_per_batch: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
loss_out_dev_ptr: &u64,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(loss_per_batch.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(loss_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(*loss_out_dev_ptr);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.loss_mean_reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1),
(256, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("mean_reduce_b_f32 (dqn loss): {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Phase E.2 backward chain stage 2 (LEGACY — kept for reference;
/// production path is [`backward_gemm`]).
///
@@ -767,12 +871,22 @@ impl DqnHead {
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
target_dist_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-batch saturation tally scratch outputs;
// consumed by `launch_saturation_reduce` after this call.
sat_top_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
sat_bot_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
max_pre_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
min_pre_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(target_logits_d.len(), b_size * Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(rewards_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(dones_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(n_step_gammas_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(target_dist_d.len(), b_size * Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(sat_top_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(sat_bot_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(max_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(min_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
@@ -783,6 +897,10 @@ impl DqnHead {
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(target_dist_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(sat_top_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(sat_bot_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(max_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(min_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
@@ -815,6 +933,12 @@ impl DqnHead {
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
target_dist_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
// B-9 (2026-06-01): per-batch saturation tally scratch outputs;
// consumed by `launch_saturation_reduce` after this call.
sat_top_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
sat_bot_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
max_pre_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
min_pre_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(full_logits_d.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS * Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(actions_d.len(), b_size);
@@ -822,6 +946,10 @@ impl DqnHead {
debug_assert_eq!(dones_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(n_step_gammas_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(target_dist_d.len(), b_size * Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(sat_top_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(sat_bot_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(max_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(min_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
@@ -833,6 +961,10 @@ impl DqnHead {
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(target_dist_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(sat_top_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(sat_bot_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(max_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(min_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
@@ -845,6 +977,119 @@ impl DqnHead {
Ok(())
}
/// B-9 (2026-06-01): launch the cross-batch saturation reducer
/// kernel. Reads the four `[B] f32` scratch buffers populated by
/// either `project_bellman_target` or `fused_select_and_project_bellman`
/// and writes per-step rates + extremes to ISV slots 726-729. Call
/// this AFTER one of the two bellman variants runs in a given step.
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn launch_saturation_reduce(
&self,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
sat_top_per_batch_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
sat_bot_per_batch_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
max_pre_per_batch_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
min_pre_per_batch_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(sat_top_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(sat_bot_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(max_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(min_pre_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
// Power-of-2 block size, capped at 256 and bounded above by
// next_power_of_two(B). Identity-padded shared mem ensures
// threads with no work don't pollute the tree-reduce.
let block_dim = (b_size as u32).next_power_of_two().clamp(1, 256);
let smem = (4 * block_dim as usize * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32;
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(sat_top_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(sat_bot_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(max_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(min_pre_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.saturation_reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1), (block_dim, 1, 1), smem,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_bellman_target_saturation_reduce: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// B-10 (2026-06-01) G1: launch the Q-distribution informativeness
/// diagnostic — two-kernel pattern (per-batch tally + cross-batch
/// reduce) consuming online Q logits + the atom support buffer.
/// Writes ISV slots 730 / 731 / 732. Pure observability; safe to
/// call after each Q forward.
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn launch_q_distribution_stats(
&self,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
q_logits_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
atom_supports_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
// Per-batch scratch (overwritten each call).
q_ent_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
q_range_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
q_abs_max_per_batch_d: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(q_logits_d.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS * Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(atom_supports_d.len(), Q_N_ATOMS);
debug_assert_eq!(q_ent_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(q_range_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(q_abs_max_per_batch_d.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
// ── Pass 1: per-batch tally (grid (B,1,1) × block (Q_N_ATOMS,1,1)).
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(q_logits_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(atom_supports_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(q_ent_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(q_range_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(q_abs_max_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.q_distribution_per_batch_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1), (Q_N_ATOMS as u32, 1, 1), 0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_q_distribution_per_batch: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
// ── Pass 2: cross-batch tree reduce (single block).
{
let block_dim = (b_size as u32).next_power_of_two().clamp(1, 256);
let smem = (3 * block_dim as usize * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(q_ent_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(q_range_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(q_abs_max_per_batch_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.q_distribution_reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1), (block_dim, 1, 1), smem,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_q_distribution_reduce: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
Ok(())
}
/// Stream used to launch all kernels owned by this head. Phase E's
/// training loop reads this when scheduling the soft-update kernel.
pub fn stream(&self) -> &Arc<CudaStream> {

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,530 @@
//! Phase 4 — Independent Dueling Q head (2026-05-30).
//!
//! Parallel head to C51/IQN/π/value_head with ZERO shared state with
//! downstream consumers (ensemble, distill, action selection). Trains
//! its own V + A weights via Bellman loss on composed_Q at taken action.
//!
//! V output feeds PPO advantage baseline (Phase 4.3) — composed_Q is
//! internal to this head's loss path and never consumed elsewhere.
//!
//! Per spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-30-phase4-independent-dueling-head-design.md.
//!
//! ## Why a separate head (vs Phase 3 modifications to IQN)
//!
//! All 5 prior dueling attempts (Phase 2 v2, Phase 3.1, 3.2, 3.2c,
//! 3.1-fix) failed because they modified existing architectures'
//! weights or outputs in ways that perturbed downstream consumers. See
//! the four session pearls captured in the spec's §10.
//!
//! Phase 4's design is **structurally encapsulated**: DuelingQHead has
//! ITS OWN weights (w_v, b_v, w_a, b_a) and its OWN Bellman loss.
//! Mean-zero A gradient pattern only affects DuelingQHead's training,
//! never C51's or IQN's weights. composed_Q never feeds ensemble or
//! distill or action selection.
//!
//! ## Forward
//!
//! ```text
//! V[b] = Σ_c w_v[c] × h_t[b, c] + b_v[0]
//! A[b, a] = Σ_c w_a[c, a] × h_t[b, c] + b_a[a]
//! composed_Q[b, a] = V[b] + A[b, a] (1/N) Σ_a' A[b, a']
//! ```
//!
//! Single fused kernel (`rl_dueling_q_forward`) computes all three.
//!
//! ## Constraints honoured
//!
//! * `feedback_no_atomicadd` — sole-writer per output cell.
//! * `feedback_cpu_is_read_only` — pure device kernels.
//! * `feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned` — weight uploads stage
//! through `MappedF32Buffer`.
//! * `feedback_no_nvrtc` — pre-compiled cubins via `build.rs`.
//! * `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility` — `new()` installs
//! `scoped_init_seed` before drawing Xavier samples.
use std::sync::Arc;
use anyhow::{Context, Result};
use cudarc::driver::{CudaFunction, CudaModule, CudaSlice, CudaStream};
use cudarc::driver::sys::CUstream;
use ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::scoped_init_seed;
use ml_core::device::MlDevice;
use rand::{Rng, SeedableRng};
use rand_chacha::ChaCha8Rng;
use crate::heads::HIDDEN_DIM;
use crate::pinned_mem::MappedF32Buffer;
use crate::rl::common::N_ACTIONS;
use crate::trainer::raw_launch::{RawArgs, raw_launch};
const DUELING_Q_FORWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_dueling_q_forward.cubin"
));
const DUELING_Q_BELLMAN_TARGET_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_dueling_q_bellman_target.cubin"
));
const DUELING_Q_LOSS_AND_GRAD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad.cubin"
));
const DUELING_Q_DECOMPOSE_AND_BWD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd.cubin"
));
/// Reuse the existing dqn_target_soft_update kernel — it's a generic
/// element-wise `target = (1τ) target + τ online` blend that works
/// for any tensor size. τ read from ISV[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX=401].
const DQN_TARGET_SOFT_UPDATE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/dqn_target_soft_update.cubin"
));
/// Construction config for [`DuelingQHead`].
#[derive(Clone, Debug)]
pub struct DuelingQHeadConfig {
/// Encoder hidden dimension `h_t [B, HIDDEN_DIM]` feeding the head.
/// Must equal the kernel-side `HIDDEN_DIM` define (128).
pub hidden_dim: usize,
/// Random seed for Xavier init. Distinct from C51 / IQN / V_scalar
/// seeds so initial draws are independent.
pub seed: u64,
}
impl Default for DuelingQHeadConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
hidden_dim: HIDDEN_DIM,
seed: 0x4DEAD_1234,
}
}
}
/// Independent dueling Q head — V + A decomposition with scalar
/// Bellman loss. Trains in parallel to C51 / IQN; supplies V_dq for
/// PPO advantage baseline use (Phase 4.3).
pub struct DuelingQHead {
#[allow(dead_code)]
cfg: DuelingQHeadConfig,
stream: Arc<CudaStream>,
raw_stream: CUstream,
// ── Kernel handles ───────────────────────────────────────────────
_fwd_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
pub forward_fn: CudaFunction,
_bellman_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
pub bellman_target_fn: CudaFunction,
_loss_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
pub loss_and_grad_fn: CudaFunction,
_bwd_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
pub decompose_and_bwd_fn: CudaFunction,
_soft_update_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
pub soft_update_fn: CudaFunction,
// ── Online weights ───────────────────────────────────────────────
/// V projection weights `[HIDDEN_DIM]`.
pub w_v_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// V projection bias `[1]`.
pub b_v_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// A projection weights `[HIDDEN_DIM × N_ACTIONS]`, row-major
/// (kernel reads `w_a[c * N_ACTIONS + a]`).
pub w_a_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// A projection bias `[N_ACTIONS]`.
pub b_a_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Target-network weights (soft-updated each step) ──────────────
pub w_v_target_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
pub b_v_target_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
pub w_a_target_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
pub b_a_target_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
}
impl DuelingQHead {
/// Allocate device weights, load cubins, cache kernel handles.
pub fn new(dev: &MlDevice, cfg: DuelingQHeadConfig) -> Result<Self> {
let stream: Arc<CudaStream> = dev
.cuda_stream()
.context("dueling_q_head stream")?
.clone();
let ctx = dev.cuda_context().context("dueling_q_head ctx")?;
// ── Load forward cubin ───────────────────────────────────────
let fwd_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DUELING_Q_FORWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_dueling_q_forward cubin")?;
let forward_fn = fwd_module
.load_function("rl_dueling_q_forward")
.context("load rl_dueling_q_forward")?;
let bellman_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DUELING_Q_BELLMAN_TARGET_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_dueling_q_bellman_target cubin")?;
let bellman_target_fn = bellman_module
.load_function("rl_dueling_q_bellman_target_build")
.context("load rl_dueling_q_bellman_target_build")?;
let loss_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DUELING_Q_LOSS_AND_GRAD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad cubin")?;
let loss_and_grad_fn = loss_module
.load_function("rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad")
.context("load rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad")?;
let bwd_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DUELING_Q_DECOMPOSE_AND_BWD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd cubin")?;
let decompose_and_bwd_fn = bwd_module
.load_function("rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_weight_grad")
.context("load rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_weight_grad")?;
// Reuse dqn_target_soft_update kernel — generic element-wise blend.
let soft_update_module = ctx
.load_cubin(DQN_TARGET_SOFT_UPDATE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load dqn_target_soft_update cubin for dueling")?;
let soft_update_fn = soft_update_module
.load_function("dqn_target_soft_update")
.context("load dqn_target_soft_update for dueling")?;
// ── Weight init (Xavier uniform, scaled by 0.01 like sibling heads) ──
// Per pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility.
let _seed_guard = scoped_init_seed(cfg.seed);
let mut rng = ChaCha8Rng::seed_from_u64(cfg.seed);
// V projection: HIDDEN_DIM → 1
let v_scale = 0.01_f32 * (6.0_f32 / (cfg.hidden_dim + 1) as f32).sqrt();
let w_v_host: Vec<f32> = (0..cfg.hidden_dim)
.map(|_| rng.gen_range(-v_scale..v_scale))
.collect();
let b_v_host: Vec<f32> = vec![0.0_f32; 1];
// A projection: HIDDEN_DIM → N_ACTIONS
let a_scale =
0.01_f32 * (6.0_f32 / (cfg.hidden_dim + N_ACTIONS) as f32).sqrt();
let w_a_host: Vec<f32> = (0..cfg.hidden_dim * N_ACTIONS)
.map(|_| rng.gen_range(-a_scale..a_scale))
.collect();
let b_a_host: Vec<f32> = vec![0.0_f32; N_ACTIONS];
// Upload online weights.
let w_v_d = upload(&stream, &w_v_host)?;
let b_v_d = upload(&stream, &b_v_host)?;
let w_a_d = upload(&stream, &w_a_host)?;
let b_a_d = upload(&stream, &b_a_host)?;
// Upload target weights (identical init — soft-updated by trainer).
let w_v_target_d = upload(&stream, &w_v_host)?;
let b_v_target_d = upload(&stream, &b_v_host)?;
let w_a_target_d = upload(&stream, &w_a_host)?;
let b_a_target_d = upload(&stream, &b_a_host)?;
let raw_stream = stream.cu_stream();
Ok(Self {
cfg,
stream,
raw_stream,
_fwd_module: fwd_module,
forward_fn,
_bellman_module: bellman_module,
bellman_target_fn,
_loss_module: loss_module,
loss_and_grad_fn,
_bwd_module: bwd_module,
decompose_and_bwd_fn,
_soft_update_module: soft_update_module,
soft_update_fn,
w_v_d,
b_v_d,
w_a_d,
b_a_d,
w_v_target_d,
b_v_target_d,
w_a_target_d,
b_a_target_d,
})
}
/// Stream used to launch all kernels owned by this head.
pub fn stream(&self) -> &Arc<CudaStream> {
&self.stream
}
/// cuBLAS-free forward pass with online weights.
///
/// Computes V[B], A[B × N_ACTIONS], and composed_Q[B × N_ACTIONS]
/// in a single fused kernel.
///
/// Block layout: grid=(B, 1, 1), block=(HIDDEN_DIM, 1, 1),
/// shared_mem = HIDDEN_DIM × 4 bytes (for s_h cache).
pub fn forward(
&self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
v_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
a_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
q_composed_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
self.forward_inner(
h_t,
&self.w_v_d, &self.b_v_d,
&self.w_a_d, &self.b_a_d,
b_size, v_out, a_out, q_composed_out,
)
}
/// cuBLAS-free forward pass with target-network weights.
pub fn forward_target(
&self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
v_target_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
a_target_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
q_target_composed_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
self.forward_inner(
h_t,
&self.w_v_target_d, &self.b_v_target_d,
&self.w_a_target_d, &self.b_a_target_d,
b_size, v_target_out, a_target_out, q_target_composed_out,
)
}
/// Internal forward — parameterised over weight slices so online /
/// target paths share code.
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
fn forward_inner(
&self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
w_v: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_v: &CudaSlice<f32>,
w_a: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_a: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
v_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
a_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
q_composed_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
let hd = self.cfg.hidden_dim;
debug_assert_eq!(h_t.len(), b_size * hd);
debug_assert_eq!(w_v.len(), hd);
debug_assert_eq!(b_v.len(), 1);
debug_assert_eq!(w_a.len(), hd * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(b_a.len(), N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(v_out.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(a_out.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(q_composed_out.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let smem = (hd * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(h_t.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(w_v.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(b_v.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(w_a.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(b_a.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(v_out.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(a_out.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(q_composed_out.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.forward_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(hd as u32, 1, 1),
smem,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_dueling_q_forward: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Build the scalar Bellman target from the target network's
/// composed_Q at s_{t+1}:
/// a*[b] = argmax_a' target_composed_Q[b, a']
/// target_value[b] = r[b] + γ^n × (1 done[b]) × target_composed_Q[b, a*[b]]
///
/// Per-sample γ^n is passed (matches PER n-step convention used by
/// C51 / IQN target builds).
pub fn build_bellman_target(
&self,
target_composed_q: &CudaSlice<f32>,
rewards: &CudaSlice<f32>,
dones: &CudaSlice<f32>,
n_step_gammas: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
target_value_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(target_composed_q.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(rewards.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(dones.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(n_step_gammas.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(target_value_out.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(target_composed_q.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(rewards.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(dones.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(n_step_gammas.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(target_value_out.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.bellman_target_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(N_ACTIONS as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_dueling_q_bellman_target_build: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Scalar Huber loss on (target online_composed_Q[taken]).
/// Emits per-batch loss and grad_composed (only taken action has
/// nonzero gradient — single-Q regression).
pub fn compute_loss_and_grad(
&self,
online_composed_q: &CudaSlice<f32>,
target_value: &CudaSlice<f32>,
actions_taken: &CudaSlice<i32>,
b_size: usize,
loss_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_composed_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(online_composed_q.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(target_value.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(actions_taken.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(loss_per_batch.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_composed_out.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(online_composed_q.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(target_value.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(actions_taken.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(loss_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_composed_out.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.loss_and_grad_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(N_ACTIONS as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_dueling_q_loss_and_grad: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Decompose grad_composed → grad_V + grad_A via mean-subtraction
/// Jacobian, then produce per-batch weight gradients via outer
/// product with h_t. Caller reduces axis 0 to final weight grads.
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn decompose_and_backward_to_weights(
&self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_composed: &CudaSlice<f32>,
actions_taken: &CudaSlice<i32>,
b_size: usize,
grad_w_v_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_b_v_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_w_a_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_b_a_per_batch: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
let hd = self.cfg.hidden_dim;
debug_assert_eq!(h_t.len(), b_size * hd);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_composed.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(actions_taken.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_w_v_per_batch.len(), b_size * hd);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_b_v_per_batch.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_w_a_per_batch.len(), b_size * hd * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(grad_b_a_per_batch.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(h_t.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_composed.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(actions_taken.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(grad_w_v_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_b_v_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_w_a_per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(grad_b_a_per_batch.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.decompose_and_bwd_fn.cu_function(),
(b_size as u32, 1, 1),
(hd as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_dueling_q_decompose_and_bwd: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Soft-update target network: `target = (1τ) × target + τ × online`
/// element-wise on all four weight tensors. τ read from
/// `ISV[RL_TARGET_TAU_INDEX=401]` — same controller as Q's target.
/// Should be called once per training step AFTER the Adam steps so
/// the update reflects the latest online weights.
pub fn soft_update_target(&mut self, isv_dev_ptr: &u64) -> Result<()> {
let launch_blend = |n: usize, online: u64, target: u64, label: &str| -> Result<()> {
let n_i = n as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(online);
args.push_ptr(target);
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(n_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.soft_update_fn.cu_function(),
(((n as u32) + 255) / 256, 1, 1),
(256, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("dueling soft_update_target ({label}): {e:?}"))?;
}
Ok(())
};
launch_blend(self.w_v_d.len(), self.w_v_d.raw_ptr(), self.w_v_target_d.raw_ptr(), "w_v")?;
launch_blend(self.b_v_d.len(), self.b_v_d.raw_ptr(), self.b_v_target_d.raw_ptr(), "b_v")?;
launch_blend(self.w_a_d.len(), self.w_a_d.raw_ptr(), self.w_a_target_d.raw_ptr(), "w_a")?;
launch_blend(self.b_a_d.len(), self.b_a_d.raw_ptr(), self.b_a_target_d.raw_ptr(), "b_a")?;
Ok(())
}
}
// ── pinned-staging upload helper (mirrors aux_heads.rs::upload) ──
fn upload(stream: &Arc<CudaStream>, host: &[f32]) -> Result<CudaSlice<f32>> {
let n = host.len();
let staging = unsafe { MappedF32Buffer::new(n) }
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("dueling_q upload staging: {e}"))?;
staging.write_from_slice(host);
let dst = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(n)
.context("dueling_q upload alloc")?;
if n > 0 {
let nbytes = n * std::mem::size_of::<f32>();
unsafe {
let dst_ptr = dst.raw_ptr();
crate::trainer::raw_launch::raw_memcpy_dtod_async(
dst_ptr,
staging.dev_ptr,
nbytes,
stream.cu_stream(),
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("dueling_q upload DtoD: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
Ok(dst)
}

View File

@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ impl GpuReplayBuffer {
nstep_write_idx_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size).context("gpu_replay nstep_write_idx")?,
nstep_count_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size).context("gpu_replay nstep_count")?,
flush_flags_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size).context("gpu_replay flush_flags")?,
write_offsets_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size + 1).context("gpu_replay write_offsets")?,
write_offsets_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size + 2).context("gpu_replay write_offsets")?,
sample_indices_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size).context("gpu_replay sample_indices")?,
sample_prng_d: stream.alloc_zeros(b_size).context("gpu_replay sample_prng")?,
})

View File

@@ -212,8 +212,17 @@ pub struct IqnHead {
// ── Forward kernels (split pipeline) ─────────────────────────────
_fwd_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// Stage 1: tau sampling + cosine basis computation.
/// Stage 1: tau sampling + cosine basis computation. READ-ONLY on
/// `prng_state` per determinism Phase 2.6 fix (2026-06-02).
pub tau_cos_features_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Determinism Phase 2.6 sibling: advance the per-batch xorshift32
/// PRNG state by 8 steps. Run AFTER `tau_cos_features_fn` so the
/// sampling sees a stable read across all (tau_idx) blocks. The
/// kernel-launch ordering on a single stream is the grid-wide
/// barrier (replaces the racy "tau_idx==0 block writes prng_state
/// at end of monolithic kernel" pattern that produced run-dependent
/// τ values for tau_idx > 0 pre-fix).
pub advance_prng_state_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Stage 3: bias-add → ReLU → hadamard product with h_t.
pub relu_hadamard_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Stage 5: bias addition to cuBLAS output projection result.
@@ -260,6 +269,11 @@ impl IqnHead {
// ── cuBLAS handle + pre-allocated workspace ──────────────────
let cublas = CudaBlas::new(Arc::clone(&stream))
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("IqnHead: cuBLAS init: {e}"))?;
// Determinism foundation (spec 2026-06-02 §2.B): disable
// non-deterministic GEMM algorithms. Same fix as Mamba2Block,
// applied to the IQN τ-conditioned GEMMs.
let cublas = crate::cublas_determinism::apply_deterministic_math_mode(cublas)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("IqnHead: cublas determinism setup: {e}"))?;
let cublas_workspace = stream
.alloc_zeros::<u8>(CUBLAS_WORKSPACE_BYTES)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("IqnHead: cuBLAS workspace: {e}"))?;
@@ -281,6 +295,11 @@ impl IqnHead {
let tau_cos_features_fn = fwd_module
.load_function("rl_iqn_tau_cos_features")
.context("load rl_iqn_tau_cos_features")?;
// Determinism Phase 2.6 (2026-06-02): companion advance kernel
// for the now read-only `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features`. Same cubin.
let advance_prng_state_fn = fwd_module
.load_function("rl_iqn_advance_prng_state")
.context("load rl_iqn_advance_prng_state")?;
let relu_hadamard_fn = fwd_module
.load_function("rl_iqn_relu_hadamard")
.context("load rl_iqn_relu_hadamard")?;
@@ -360,6 +379,7 @@ impl IqnHead {
_cublas_workspace: cublas_workspace,
_fwd_module: fwd_module,
tau_cos_features_fn,
advance_prng_state_fn,
relu_hadamard_fn,
bias_add_q_fn,
expected_q_fn,
@@ -479,6 +499,34 @@ impl IqnHead {
}
}
// ── Stage 1b: advance PRNG state (determinism Phase 2.6 fix).
// The previous monolithic `rl_iqn_tau_cos_features` had a read-
// write race: all N_TAU blocks per batch read `prng_state[batch]`
// at kernel head, and the (tau_idx==0) block wrote back the
// advanced state at kernel tail — with NO inter-block barrier.
// Run on the same stream → kernel-launch ordering acts as a
// grid-wide barrier between the (now read-only) sampling and
// the (single-thread-per-batch) advance. No race possible.
// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd.md` + canonical Phase-2 rebuild rule.
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(prng_state.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
let block_x = 256u32.min(b_size as u32).max(1);
let grid_x = ((b_size as u32) + block_x - 1) / block_x;
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.advance_prng_state_fn.cu_function(),
(grid_x, 1, 1),
(block_x, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
).map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_iqn_advance_prng_state: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
// ── Stage 2: cuBLAS SGEMM — embed_out = cos_features @ W_embed ──
{
let w_ptr = w_embed.raw_ptr();

File diff suppressed because it is too large Load Diff

View File

@@ -15,14 +15,17 @@
//! ISV slot constants only. Subsequent phases (B-H) wire the heads, controllers,
//! training loop, Argo plumbing, and backtest gate.
pub mod band_head;
pub mod common;
pub mod dqn;
pub mod dueling_q;
pub mod gpu_hindsight;
pub mod gpu_replay;
pub mod frd;
pub mod iqn;
pub mod isv_slots;
pub mod loss_balance;
pub mod multi_head_policy;
pub mod noisy;
pub mod ppo;
pub mod reward;

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,921 @@
//! K-head policy with regime-gated routing.
//!
//! Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-02-multi-head-policy-with-r-multiple.md
//! ADDENDUM 2026-06-03 §R.3-R.6
//! Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-06-03-multi-head-policy-implementation.md (Phase 2A-A)
//! Pearl: pearl_local_smoke_noise_floor_and_regime_concentration
//!
//! ## Forward
//!
//! ```text
//! gate_logits = W_gate @ regime_h + b_gate // gating head (bypass VSN)
//! gate_probs = softmax_K(gate_logits)
//! pi_logits_k = W_heads_k @ h_t + b_heads_k // K policy heads
//! pi_probs_k = softmax_A(pi_logits_k)
//! pi_probs = Σ_k gate_probs[k] · pi_probs_k // mixture
//! pi_logits = log(pi_probs + 1e-12)
//! ```
//!
//! Backward (Phase 2A-B) — standard MoE Jacobian distributes the Q-distill
//! gradient on `pi_logits` to (a) per-head `pi_logits_k` and (b)
//! `gate_logits`. Phase 2A-A only ships the forward path; backward kernels
//! arrive in the next phase.
//!
//! ## Why a parallel-channel gating head
//!
//! Empirical regime-attenuation finding: at the Phase 0 baseline, the
//! single policy head is regime-conditional on `popart_envelope`
//! (TVD(Q1, Q4 action dist) = 0.169) but NOT on `session_pnl_variance_ema`
//! (TVD = 0.015), despite vol context living at `regime[3]` in the encoder
//! input. The asymmetry maps to VSN's softmax-over-40 gating constraint
//! structurally limiting any single encoder-input feature to ~1/40 of the
//! attention budget. The gating head reads `step_regime_d[b][0..6]`
//! DIRECTLY — bypassing VSN/Mamba2 — so the per-head mixture can route by
//! vol regime without competing against 39 other channels.
//!
//! ## Constraints honoured
//!
//! * `feedback_no_atomicadd` — sole-writer per output cell across both kernels.
//! * `feedback_cpu_is_read_only` — pure device kernels.
//! * `feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned` — weight uploads stage
//! through `MappedF32Buffer` via the local `upload` helper (mirrors
//! `rl/ppo.rs::upload` and `rl/dueling_q.rs::upload`).
//! * `feedback_no_nvrtc` — pre-compiled cubins via `build.rs`.
//! * `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility` — `new()` installs
//! `scoped_init_seed` before drawing any deterministic random samples.
//! * `feedback_single_source_of_truth_no_duplicates` — `MAX_K_HEADS=8`
//! mirrors the `#define` in `multi_head_policy_forward.cu` /
//! `multi_head_policy_gate_forward.cu`; the constant lives here for
//! the runtime bounds check.
use std::sync::Arc;
use anyhow::{Context, Result};
use cudarc::driver::sys::CUstream;
use cudarc::driver::{CudaFunction, CudaModule, CudaSlice, CudaStream};
use ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::scoped_init_seed;
use ml_core::device::MlDevice;
use crate::cfc::snap_features::REGIME_DIM;
use crate::heads::HIDDEN_DIM;
use crate::pinned_mem::MappedF32Buffer;
use crate::rl::common::N_ACTIONS;
use crate::trainer::raw_launch::{raw_launch, raw_memcpy_dtod_async, RawArgs};
const FORWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/multi_head_policy_forward.cubin"));
const GATE_FORWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/multi_head_policy_gate_forward.cubin"
));
const BACKWARD_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/multi_head_policy_backward.cubin"
));
const AUX_PRIOR_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/multi_head_policy_aux_prior.cubin"
));
const REDUCE_AXIS0_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/reduce_axis0.cubin"));
const AGGREGATE_DIAG_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag.cubin"
));
/// Compile-time upper bound on K — mirrors the `#define MAX_K_HEADS 8` in
/// both kernel sources. The runtime K (from `RL_POLICY_NUM_HEADS_INDEX`)
/// must satisfy `1 ≤ K ≤ MAX_K_HEADS`.
pub const MAX_K_HEADS: usize = 8;
/// Construction config for [`MultiHeadPolicy`].
#[derive(Clone, Debug)]
pub struct MultiHeadPolicyConfig {
/// Number of policy heads. Bootstrap value comes from
/// `RL_POLICY_NUM_HEADS_INDEX = 761`; this struct accepts the value
/// directly so callers don't need an ISV read at allocation time.
pub k: usize,
/// Batch size — number of independent (h_t, regime_h) rows processed
/// per forward call. Matches `n_batch` everywhere else in the trainer.
pub b_size: usize,
/// Random seed for the gating-head weight init. Per
/// `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility`, this guards a
/// `scoped_init_seed` block so initial draws are deterministic.
pub seed: u64,
}
impl Default for MultiHeadPolicyConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
k: 3,
b_size: 0,
seed: 0xC0_1D_C0_DE,
}
}
}
/// K-head policy with a parallel-channel regime gating head.
///
/// All device buffers are allocated in `new()`. Forward runs the gate
/// kernel then the mixture kernel on the same stream — `gate_probs_d`
/// hand-off is single-stream so no extra sync is needed.
pub struct MultiHeadPolicy {
pub cfg: MultiHeadPolicyConfig,
stream: Arc<CudaStream>,
raw_stream: CUstream,
// ── Kernel handles ────────────────────────────────────────────────
_forward_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
forward_fn: CudaFunction,
_gate_forward_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
gate_forward_fn: CudaFunction,
_backward_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
backward_pi_fn: CudaFunction,
backward_gate_fn: CudaFunction,
_aux_prior_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
aux_prior_fn: CudaFunction,
_reduce_axis0_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
reduce_axis0_fn: CudaFunction,
_aggregate_diag_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
aggregate_diag_fn: CudaFunction,
// ── Policy-head weights ([K × N_ACTIONS × HIDDEN_DIM] row-major) ──
/// `W_heads[k, a, j]` — row-major flat over `(k, a, j)`.
pub w_heads_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `b_heads[k, a]` — per-head per-action bias. Initial per-head action
/// priors live here (see [`MultiHeadPolicy::new`]).
pub b_heads_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Gating-head weights ([K × REGIME_DIM=6]) ──────────────────────
pub w_gate_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
pub b_gate_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Forward output buffers (persisted for backward) ───────────────
/// Pre-softmax gating logits `[B × K]`.
pub gate_logits_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Post-softmax gating probabilities `[B × K]`. Sums to 1 per batch row.
pub gate_probs_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Per-head pre-softmax logits `[B × K × N_ACTIONS]`.
pub pi_logits_k_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Per-head post-softmax probabilities `[B × K × N_ACTIONS]`. Sums to
/// 1 per (batch, head) row.
pub pi_probs_k_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Per-head action priors ([K × N_ACTIONS]) ──────────────────────
/// Distribution priors for the aux KL term. Per-head priors mirror
/// the init bias of [`MultiHeadPolicy::new`] so the aux loss does not
/// fight the asymmetry-break initialization (`pearl_bootstrap_must_respect_clamp_range`
/// applied to priors). Heads 3..K (if K > 3) carry uniform priors.
pub priors_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Backward output buffers ───────────────────────────────────────
/// `[B × K × N_ACTIONS]` — gradient on per-head logits. Populated by
/// the backward pi kernel (mixture + softmax-Jacobian); aux prior
/// kernel adds its β-weighted contribution. Available for diagnostics
/// or further chain-rule routing in Phase 2A-C.
pub grad_pi_logits_k_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × K]` — gradient on the gating distribution (before softmax-Jacobian),
/// computed by the pi backward kernel and consumed by the gate backward kernel.
pub grad_gate_probs_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × K]` — gradient on the pre-softmax gate logits (for diagnostics).
pub grad_gate_logits_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × HIDDEN_DIM]` — head's contribution to the encoder grad. The
/// `backward()` method writes (OVERWRITE) into this scratch; the
/// caller folds it into the encoder's `grad_h_t` via
/// `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`.
pub grad_h_t_scratch_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// `[B × REGIME_DIM]` — gradient on the regime input. Computed for
/// completeness but NOT routed upstream in Phase 2A-B (regime is
/// loader-precomputed).
pub grad_regime_h_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Per-batch grad scratch (for reduce_axis0) ─────────────────────
grad_w_heads_pb_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_b_heads_pb_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_w_gate_pb_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
grad_b_gate_pb_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
// ── Reduced grad buffers (post `reduce_axis0`) ────────────────────
/// Reduced grad on `W_heads`, ready for an Adam step in Phase 2A-C.
pub grad_w_heads_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Reduced grad on `b_heads`.
pub grad_b_heads_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Reduced grad on `W_gate`.
pub grad_w_gate_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
/// Reduced grad on `b_gate`.
pub grad_b_gate_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
}
impl MultiHeadPolicy {
/// Allocate weights + forward buffers, load cubins, install per-head
/// init biases for asymmetry-break specialization.
///
/// Per-head action priors (verified against
/// [`crate::rl::common::Action`] enum values):
///
/// | head | role | bias slot | action |
/// |------|------------------|-----------|-------------|
/// | 0 | SHORT / risk-off | 0 | ShortLarge |
/// | 1 | LONG / risk-on | 5, 6 | LongSmall, LongLarge |
/// | 2 | HOLD / stable | 2 | Hold |
///
/// Heads 3-7 (if K > 3) carry zero bias — pure data-driven specialization.
pub fn new(dev: &MlDevice, cfg: MultiHeadPolicyConfig) -> Result<Self> {
assert!(
cfg.k >= 1 && cfg.k <= MAX_K_HEADS,
"MultiHeadPolicy: K must be in [1, {MAX_K_HEADS}]; got {}",
cfg.k
);
assert!(
cfg.b_size > 0,
"MultiHeadPolicy: b_size must be > 0; got {}",
cfg.b_size
);
let stream: Arc<CudaStream> = dev
.cuda_stream()
.context("multi_head_policy stream")?
.clone();
let ctx = dev
.cuda_context()
.context("multi_head_policy ctx")?;
// ── Load cubins (repo convention: const &[u8] + load_cubin) ───
let forward_module = ctx
.load_cubin(FORWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load multi_head_policy_forward cubin")?;
let forward_fn = forward_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_forward")
.context("load multi_head_policy_forward fn")?;
let gate_forward_module = ctx
.load_cubin(GATE_FORWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load multi_head_policy_gate_forward cubin")?;
let gate_forward_fn = gate_forward_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_gate_forward")
.context("load multi_head_policy_gate_forward fn")?;
let backward_module = ctx
.load_cubin(BACKWARD_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load multi_head_policy_backward cubin")?;
let backward_pi_fn = backward_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_backward_pi")
.context("load multi_head_policy_backward_pi fn")?;
let backward_gate_fn = backward_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_backward_gate")
.context("load multi_head_policy_backward_gate fn")?;
let aux_prior_module = ctx
.load_cubin(AUX_PRIOR_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load multi_head_policy_aux_prior cubin")?;
let aux_prior_fn = aux_prior_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_aux_prior")
.context("load multi_head_policy_aux_prior fn")?;
let reduce_axis0_module = ctx
.load_cubin(REDUCE_AXIS0_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load reduce_axis0 cubin (multi_head_policy)")?;
let reduce_axis0_fn = reduce_axis0_module
.load_function("reduce_axis0")
.context("load reduce_axis0 fn (multi_head_policy)")?;
let aggregate_diag_module = ctx
.load_cubin(AGGREGATE_DIAG_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag cubin")?;
let aggregate_diag_fn = aggregate_diag_module
.load_function("multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag")
.context("load multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag fn")?;
// Install determinism guard before drawing any random samples
// (pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility).
let _seed_guard = scoped_init_seed(cfg.seed);
// ── Policy-head weights ───────────────────────────────────────
// Zero-init the linear projections; per-head action priors live
// entirely on the bias vector so the asymmetry-break is precise
// and survives Xavier draws (which would average to zero anyway
// at random init but introduce per-step noise).
let w_heads_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k * N_ACTIONS * HIDDEN_DIM)
.context("alloc w_heads_d")?;
// Per-head init biases — verified against Action enum
// (crates/ml-alpha/src/rl/common.rs:56-70):
// 0=ShortLarge 5=LongSmall 6=LongLarge 2=Hold
let mut b_heads_init = vec![0.0_f32; cfg.k * N_ACTIONS];
if cfg.k >= 1 {
// Head 0 — SHORT-bias / risk-off
b_heads_init[0 * N_ACTIONS + 0] += 0.5;
}
if cfg.k >= 2 {
// Head 1 — LONG-bias / risk-on
b_heads_init[1 * N_ACTIONS + 5] += 0.5;
b_heads_init[1 * N_ACTIONS + 6] += 0.5;
}
if cfg.k >= 3 {
// Head 2 — HOLD / stable (Phase 0 dominant action)
b_heads_init[2 * N_ACTIONS + 2] += 0.5;
}
// Phase 3D-A (2026-06-03): structural Hold-action elevation across
// ALL heads. The 4:1 open-vs-hold action prior (4 opens: 0,1,5,6 vs
// 1 hold: 2) biases uniform-init sampling toward trading
// (P(open)=36%, P(hold)=9%). Adding +log(4)≈1.386 to every head's
// Hold bias counter-balances this at init while preserving the
// per-head specialization additions above (Head 0 still gets +0.5
// on ShortLarge PLUS +1.386 on Hold; Head 2 gets +0.5 + +1.386 =
// +1.886 on Hold). Mirror the change in `build_priors` below so
// the aux-KL prior does not fight the new initialization.
//
// Literature: Cao et al. 2026 (arXiv:2603.29086) action-space-prior
// adjustment; one of three concurrent Phase 3D interventions
// (B: quadratic impact cost; C: PPO surrogate restoration).
let hold_bias: f32 = (4.0_f32).ln();
for head in 0..cfg.k {
b_heads_init[head * N_ACTIONS + 2] += hold_bias;
}
let b_heads_d = upload(&stream, &b_heads_init)
.context("upload b_heads init")?;
// ── Gating-head weights ───────────────────────────────────────
// Deterministic Xavier-style init scaled to keep initial gate
// logits near 0 (softmax ≈ uniform over K — no head wins by
// accident at step 0). The sin(i × 0.123) ramp is reproducible
// across hosts without needing an RNG; combined with
// scoped_init_seed it survives the determinism contract.
let gate_scale = (1.0_f32 / REGIME_DIM as f32).sqrt() * 0.1_f32;
let w_gate_init: Vec<f32> = (0..cfg.k * REGIME_DIM)
.map(|i| (i as f32 * 0.123_f32).sin() * gate_scale)
.collect();
let w_gate_d = upload(&stream, &w_gate_init)
.context("upload w_gate init")?;
let b_gate_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k)
.context("alloc b_gate_d")?;
// ── Forward output buffers (persisted for backward) ───────────
let gate_logits_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k)
.context("alloc gate_logits_d")?;
let gate_probs_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k)
.context("alloc gate_probs_d")?;
let pi_logits_k_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * N_ACTIONS)
.context("alloc pi_logits_k_d")?;
let pi_probs_k_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * N_ACTIONS)
.context("alloc pi_probs_k_d")?;
// ── Per-head action priors ────────────────────────────────────
// Mirror the per-head init bias so the aux KL term does not fight
// the asymmetry-break initialization. Heads 3..K (if K > 3) get a
// uniform prior.
let priors_host = build_priors(cfg.k);
let priors_d = upload(&stream, &priors_host)
.context("upload aux KL priors")?;
// ── Backward output buffers ───────────────────────────────────
let grad_pi_logits_k_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * N_ACTIONS)
.context("alloc grad_pi_logits_k_d")?;
let grad_gate_probs_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k)
.context("alloc grad_gate_probs_d")?;
let grad_gate_logits_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k)
.context("alloc grad_gate_logits_d")?;
let grad_h_t_scratch_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * HIDDEN_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_h_t_scratch_d")?;
let grad_regime_h_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * REGIME_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_regime_h_d")?;
// ── Per-batch grad scratch (for reduce_axis0) ────────────────
let grad_w_heads_pb_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * N_ACTIONS * HIDDEN_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_w_heads_pb_d")?;
let grad_b_heads_pb_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * N_ACTIONS)
.context("alloc grad_b_heads_pb_d")?;
let grad_w_gate_pb_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k * REGIME_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_w_gate_pb_d")?;
let grad_b_gate_pb_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.b_size * cfg.k)
.context("alloc grad_b_gate_pb_d")?;
// ── Reduced grad buffers ──────────────────────────────────────
let grad_w_heads_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k * N_ACTIONS * HIDDEN_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_w_heads_d")?;
let grad_b_heads_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k * N_ACTIONS)
.context("alloc grad_b_heads_d")?;
let grad_w_gate_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k * REGIME_DIM)
.context("alloc grad_w_gate_d")?;
let grad_b_gate_d = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(cfg.k)
.context("alloc grad_b_gate_d")?;
let raw_stream = stream.cu_stream();
Ok(Self {
cfg,
stream,
raw_stream,
_forward_module: forward_module,
forward_fn,
_gate_forward_module: gate_forward_module,
gate_forward_fn,
_backward_module: backward_module,
backward_pi_fn,
backward_gate_fn,
_aux_prior_module: aux_prior_module,
aux_prior_fn,
_reduce_axis0_module: reduce_axis0_module,
reduce_axis0_fn,
_aggregate_diag_module: aggregate_diag_module,
aggregate_diag_fn,
w_heads_d,
b_heads_d,
w_gate_d,
b_gate_d,
gate_logits_d,
gate_probs_d,
pi_logits_k_d,
pi_probs_k_d,
priors_d,
grad_pi_logits_k_d,
grad_gate_probs_d,
grad_gate_logits_d,
grad_h_t_scratch_d,
grad_regime_h_d,
grad_w_heads_pb_d,
grad_b_heads_pb_d,
grad_w_gate_pb_d,
grad_b_gate_pb_d,
grad_w_heads_d,
grad_b_heads_d,
grad_w_gate_d,
grad_b_gate_d,
})
}
/// Stream owned by this head. All kernels are launched on this stream
/// so the gate→mixture hand-off needs no extra synchronization.
pub fn stream(&self) -> &Arc<CudaStream> {
&self.stream
}
/// Number of policy heads.
pub fn k(&self) -> usize {
self.cfg.k
}
/// Batch size this head was allocated for.
pub fn b_size(&self) -> usize {
self.cfg.b_size
}
/// Forward pass: gating head then mixture kernel.
///
/// 1. `multi_head_policy_gate_forward` reads `regime_h [B × 6]`
/// and writes `gate_logits_d [B × K]` + `gate_probs_d [B × K]`.
/// 2. `multi_head_policy_forward` reads `h_t [B × HIDDEN_DIM]` and
/// `gate_probs_d`, writes `pi_logits_k_d` + `pi_probs_k_d`
/// (cached for backward) and `pi_logits_out [B × N_ACTIONS]`
/// (the mixture log-probs consumed by downstream Q-distill).
///
/// Both kernels are deterministic by construction (single block per
/// batch, fixed summation order). No atomicAdd.
pub fn forward(
&self,
h_t: &CudaSlice<f32>,
regime_h: &CudaSlice<f32>,
pi_logits_out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
let b = self.cfg.b_size;
let k = self.cfg.k;
debug_assert_eq!(h_t.len(), b * HIDDEN_DIM, "h_t shape mismatch");
debug_assert_eq!(
regime_h.len(),
b * REGIME_DIM,
"regime_h shape mismatch"
);
debug_assert_eq!(
pi_logits_out.len(),
b * N_ACTIONS,
"pi_logits_out shape mismatch"
);
let b_i = b as i32;
let k_i = k as i32;
// ── Step 1: gating head ───────────────────────────────────────
// Grid = (B), Block = (K). Reads regime_h DIRECTLY (no VSN).
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(regime_h.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.w_gate_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.b_gate_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.gate_logits_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.gate_forward_fn.cu_function(),
(b as u32, 1, 1),
(k as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_gate_forward: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
// ── Step 2: per-head policy + mixture ─────────────────────────
// Grid = (B), Block = (N_ACTIONS). Reads h_t + gate_probs_d.
// Single-stream hand-off, no extra sync needed.
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(h_t.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.w_heads_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.b_heads_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.pi_logits_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.pi_probs_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(pi_logits_out.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.forward_fn.cu_function(),
(b as u32, 1, 1),
(N_ACTIONS as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_forward: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
Ok(())
}
/// Launch the device-aggregated diagnostics kernel (Phase 2A-D).
///
/// Reduces the forward outputs `gate_probs_d [B × K]` and
/// `pi_probs_k_d [B × K × N_ACTIONS]` over the batch axis and writes
/// 25 scalars into the ISV bus:
///
/// * `gate_probs_mean[k]` — slots 765..773 (K-stride 8)
/// * `gate_argmax_mass[k]` — slots 773..781 (K-stride 8)
/// * `gate_entropy_mean` — slot 781 (scalar)
/// * `per_head_entropy_mean[k]` — slots 782..790 (K-stride 8)
///
/// Tail entries past runtime K are written 0.0 so the diag JSON
/// schema is constant for K ∈ [1, 8] (`MAX_K_HEADS` mirror).
///
/// Call **after** `forward()` and **before** the next step's forward
/// — the kernel reads forward outputs that are overwritten each step.
/// Launches on the struct's stream so the producer→consumer ordering
/// is single-stream (no extra sync needed).
///
/// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`: tree-reduce in shared memory; each
/// ISV destination has a single writer thread.
pub fn emit_diag_stats(&self, isv_dev_ptr: u64) -> Result<()> {
let b = self.cfg.b_size;
let k = self.cfg.k;
let b_i = b as i32;
let k_i = k as i32;
// Launch shape: Grid = (MAX_K_HEADS + 1, 1, 1), Block = (128, 1, 1).
// Matches the role assignment in `multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag.cu`.
const BLOCK_THREADS: u32 = 128;
let grid_x: u32 = (MAX_K_HEADS as u32) + 1;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.pi_probs_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
args.push_i32(crate::rl::isv_slots::RL_POLICY_GATE_PROBS_MEAN_BASE_INDEX as i32);
args.push_i32(crate::rl::isv_slots::RL_POLICY_GATE_ARGMAX_MASS_BASE_INDEX as i32);
args.push_i32(crate::rl::isv_slots::RL_POLICY_GATE_ENTROPY_MEAN_INDEX as i32);
args.push_i32(crate::rl::isv_slots::RL_POLICY_PER_HEAD_ENTROPY_MEAN_BASE_INDEX as i32);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.aggregate_diag_fn.cu_function(),
(grid_x, 1, 1),
(BLOCK_THREADS, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_aggregate_diag: {e:?}"))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Backward pass through the mixture, per-head softmax, and gating softmax.
///
/// Inputs:
/// * `grad_pi_logits_d [B × N_ACTIONS]` — incoming gradient on the
/// mixture log-probs (forward output). In Phase 2A-C this will be
/// produced by `rl_q_pi_distill_grad`.
/// * `h_t_d [B × HIDDEN_DIM]` — same encoder hidden state passed to
/// forward (re-passed because backward needs it for the weight grad).
/// * `regime_h_d [B × REGIME_DIM]` — same regime input passed to
/// forward.
/// * `isv_dev_ptr` — raw device pointer to the trainer's ISV bus.
/// The aux prior kernel reads slot `RL_POLICY_AUX_PRIOR_BETA_INDEX`.
///
/// Pipeline (single stream, sequential ordering):
/// 1. `multi_head_policy_backward_pi` — distributes incoming grad
/// through mixture + per-head softmax. Writes
/// `grad_pi_logits_k_d`, `grad_gate_probs_d`, per-batch
/// `grad_W_heads_pb` + `grad_b_heads_pb`, and
/// `grad_h_t_scratch_d` (OVERWRITE).
/// 2. `multi_head_policy_aux_prior` — adds β-weighted KL-prior grad
/// to `grad_pi_logits_k_d`. (β=0 → no-op.) NOTE: Phase 2A-B does
/// not back-propagate the aux contribution into weight grads; the
/// aux term shapes the per-head LOGIT distribution only. This
/// matches §R.4 of the spec (the aux is a regularizer on the head
/// output distribution, not a chain through the full network).
/// Phase 2A-C will wire the aux contribution into `grad_W_heads` if
/// empirically needed.
/// 3. `multi_head_policy_backward_gate` — distributes
/// `grad_gate_probs_d` through the gating softmax. Writes
/// `grad_gate_logits_d`, per-batch `grad_W_gate_pb` +
/// `grad_b_gate_pb`, and `grad_regime_h_d` (computed; not routed).
/// 4. `reduce_axis0` over B for all four per-batch grad scratches
/// yields the reduced `grad_W_heads_d`, `grad_b_heads_d`,
/// `grad_W_gate_d`, `grad_b_gate_d` ready for an Adam step.
///
/// `grad_h_t_scratch_d` is the head's contribution to the encoder grad
/// and is exposed for the caller to fold via `grad_h_accumulate_scaled`
/// (Phase 2A-C wires this into the trainer's encoder backward chain).
pub fn backward(
&mut self,
grad_pi_logits_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
h_t_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
regime_h_d: &CudaSlice<f32>,
isv_dev_ptr: u64,
) -> Result<()> {
let b = self.cfg.b_size;
let k = self.cfg.k;
debug_assert_eq!(
grad_pi_logits_d.len(),
b * N_ACTIONS,
"grad_pi_logits shape mismatch"
);
debug_assert_eq!(h_t_d.len(), b * HIDDEN_DIM, "h_t shape mismatch");
debug_assert_eq!(
regime_h_d.len(),
b * REGIME_DIM,
"regime_h shape mismatch"
);
let b_i = b as i32;
let k_i = k as i32;
// ── Step 1: backward through mixture + per-head softmax ───────
// Grid = (B), Block = (HIDDEN_DIM). Each thread covers one
// hidden-dim index across all (k, a).
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(grad_pi_logits_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(h_t_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.w_heads_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.pi_probs_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
args.push_ptr(self.grad_pi_logits_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_w_heads_pb_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_b_heads_pb_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_h_t_scratch_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.backward_pi_fn.cu_function(),
(b as u32, 1, 1),
(HIDDEN_DIM as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_backward_pi: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
// ── Step 2: aux KL prior (additive into grad_pi_logits_k_d) ──
// Grid = (B, K), Block = (N_ACTIONS). Runs AFTER step 1 so the
// base softmax-Jacobian grad is already in place when we add the
// β-weighted aux contribution. β=0 → kernel short-circuits.
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.pi_probs_k_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.priors_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
args.push_ptr(self.grad_pi_logits_k_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.aux_prior_fn.cu_function(),
(b as u32, k as u32, 1),
(N_ACTIONS as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_aux_prior: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
// ── Step 3: backward through gating softmax ───────────────────
// Grid = (B), Block = (MAX_K_HEADS=8) — covers both K and REGIME_DIM
// (both ≤ MAX_K_HEADS). Single-stream hand-off from pi backward.
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(self.grad_gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.gate_probs_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(regime_h_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.w_gate_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_i32(k_i);
args.push_ptr(self.grad_gate_logits_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_w_gate_pb_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_b_gate_pb_d.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(self.grad_regime_h_d.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.backward_gate_fn.cu_function(),
(b as u32, 1, 1),
(MAX_K_HEADS as u32, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy_backward_gate: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
// ── Step 4: reduce per-batch grads across B → final shapes ────
// Standard foxhunt reduce_axis0 pattern (see trainer integrated.rs).
reduce_axis0_local(
&self.stream,
&self.reduce_axis0_fn,
&self.grad_w_heads_pb_d,
b,
k * N_ACTIONS * HIDDEN_DIM,
&mut self.grad_w_heads_d,
)?;
reduce_axis0_local(
&self.stream,
&self.reduce_axis0_fn,
&self.grad_b_heads_pb_d,
b,
k * N_ACTIONS,
&mut self.grad_b_heads_d,
)?;
reduce_axis0_local(
&self.stream,
&self.reduce_axis0_fn,
&self.grad_w_gate_pb_d,
b,
k * REGIME_DIM,
&mut self.grad_w_gate_d,
)?;
reduce_axis0_local(
&self.stream,
&self.reduce_axis0_fn,
&self.grad_b_gate_pb_d,
b,
k,
&mut self.grad_b_gate_d,
)?;
Ok(())
}
}
// ── pinned-staging upload helper ─────────────────────────────────────
//
// Mirrors `rl/ppo.rs::upload` and `rl/dueling_q.rs::upload`. Per
// `feedback_no_htod_htoh_only_mapped_pinned`: weight init data stages
// through a `MappedF32Buffer` (page-locked + mapped) then a DtoD copy
// into the persistent device slice. No raw `memcpy_htod`.
fn upload(stream: &Arc<CudaStream>, host: &[f32]) -> Result<CudaSlice<f32>> {
let n = host.len();
let staging = unsafe { MappedF32Buffer::new(n) }
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy upload staging: {e}"))?;
staging.write_from_slice(host);
let dst = stream
.alloc_zeros::<f32>(n)
.context("multi_head_policy upload alloc")?;
if n > 0 {
let nbytes = n * std::mem::size_of::<f32>();
unsafe {
let dst_ptr = dst.raw_ptr();
raw_memcpy_dtod_async(dst_ptr, staging.dev_ptr, nbytes, stream.cu_stream())
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("multi_head_policy upload DtoD: {e:?}"))?;
}
}
Ok(dst)
}
// ── Per-head action priors ──────────────────────────────────────────
//
// Mirror the per-head init biases from `MultiHeadPolicy::new` so the aux
// KL term does not fight the asymmetry-break initialization.
//
// Post-Phase 3D-A (2026-06-03): every head now also receives +log(4) on
// action 2 (Hold) to counter the 4:1 open-vs-hold action prior. The
// priors must mirror that elevation or the aux-KL gradient would push
// the policy back toward the (over-opening) uniform distribution.
//
// prior[0] = softmax([+0.5, 0, +log(4), 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]) (SHORT + HOLD lift)
// prior[1] = softmax([0, 0, +log(4), 0, 0, +0.5, +0.5, 0, 0, 0, 0]) (LONG + HOLD lift)
// prior[2] = softmax([0, 0, +0.5+log(4), 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]) (HOLD bias + lift)
// prior[k≥3] = softmax([0, 0, +log(4), 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]) (HOLD lift only)
//
// Returns a `K × N_ACTIONS` flat row-major host buffer.
fn build_priors(k: usize) -> Vec<f32> {
let mut priors = vec![0.0_f32; k * N_ACTIONS];
let hold_bias: f32 = (4.0_f32).ln();
for head in 0..k {
// Logit ramp matching the init bias (zero for unbiased actions).
let mut logit = vec![0.0_f32; N_ACTIONS];
match head {
0 => logit[0] = 0.5,
1 => {
logit[5] = 0.5;
logit[6] = 0.5;
}
2 => logit[2] = 0.5,
_ => {} // uniform — all zeros → Hold-lift below is the only bias
}
// Phase 3D-A: HOLD-action elevation (all heads).
logit[2] += hold_bias;
// softmax — single-batch row, no overflow risk at this scale.
let mx = logit.iter().cloned().fold(f32::NEG_INFINITY, f32::max);
let mut s = 0.0_f32;
let mut exps = [0.0_f32; N_ACTIONS];
for (i, &l) in logit.iter().enumerate() {
let e = (l - mx).exp();
exps[i] = e;
s += e;
}
for (i, e) in exps.iter().enumerate() {
priors[head * N_ACTIONS + i] = e / s;
}
}
priors
}
// ── reduce_axis0 launcher (local copy of the trainer's helper) ─────
//
// Sums `[B × N]` per-batch grad scratch to `[N]` final form. Single
// block per output-tile column, 32×8 threads (REDAX0_TILE_J × REDAX0_TILE_B
// matching `cuda/reduce_axis0.cu`). No host-side helper import to keep
// `MultiHeadPolicy` independent of `trainer::integrated` internals.
fn reduce_axis0_local(
stream: &Arc<CudaStream>,
reduce_fn: &CudaFunction,
per_batch: &CudaSlice<f32>,
b_size: usize,
n_tail: usize,
out: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(per_batch.len(), b_size * n_tail);
debug_assert_eq!(out.len(), n_tail);
let grid_x = (n_tail as u32).div_ceil(32);
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(per_batch.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_size as i32);
args.push_i32(n_tail as i32);
args.push_ptr(out.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(grid_x, 1, 1),
(32, 8, 1),
0,
stream.cu_stream(),
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("reduce_axis0 (multi_head_policy): {e:?}"))?;
}
Ok(())
}

View File

@@ -55,7 +55,17 @@ impl OutcomeHead {
/// and sentinel -1 labels.
///
/// `b_size` is the maximum batch size for pre-allocated activation buffers.
pub fn new(b_size: usize, stream: Arc<CudaStream>) -> Result<Self> {
/// `seed` installs a `scoped_init_seed` guard around the W draw so two
/// processes seeded with the same value produce bit-equal initial weights
/// (per `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility`). Diagnosed in
/// determinism Phase 2.6 (2026-06-02): without this guard, the
/// `near_zero_xavier` call fell back to the time+thread-id RNG path —
/// outcome_w differed by ~0.003 between same-seed runs at step 0, then
/// stayed dormant until the first `done` event activated a non-sentinel
/// label (step 2 in mid-smoke), at which point grad_h_t_outcome flowed
/// the divergent weights into the encoder gradient. Other heads (dqn,
/// iqn, policy, value, dueling_q) already installed this guard.
pub fn new(b_size: usize, seed: u64, stream: Arc<CudaStream>) -> Result<Self> {
if b_size == 0 {
return Err(anyhow!("OutcomeHead: b_size must be > 0"));
}
@@ -116,9 +126,17 @@ impl OutcomeHead {
.map_err(|e| anyhow!("OutcomeHead: fused kernel resolve: {e}"))?;
// Xavier init W at 0.01x scale: near-zero for near-uniform softmax at init.
let w_d = ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::near_zero_xavier(
HIDDEN_DIM, K_CLASSES, &stream,
).map_err(|e| anyhow!("OutcomeHead: W init: {e}"))?;
// Determinism Phase 2.6 fix (2026-06-02): install scoped_init_seed
// around the W draw so same-seed processes produce bit-equal weights.
// The `_seed_guard` drops at end of this block, restoring whatever
// (or no) RNG state was active before. Per
// `pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility`.
let w_d = {
let _seed_guard = ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::scoped_init_seed(seed);
ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::near_zero_xavier(
HIDDEN_DIM, K_CLASSES, &stream,
).map_err(|e| anyhow!("OutcomeHead: W init: {e}"))?
};
// Bias: zeros.
let b_d = ml_core::cuda_autograd::init::zeros(K_CLASSES, &stream)
@@ -455,7 +473,7 @@ mod tests {
None => return,
};
assert!(
OutcomeHead::new(0, stream).is_err(),
OutcomeHead::new(0, 42, stream).is_err(),
"b_size=0 must be rejected"
);
}
@@ -466,7 +484,7 @@ mod tests {
Some(s) => s,
None => return,
};
let head = OutcomeHead::new(64, stream);
let head = OutcomeHead::new(64, 42, stream);
assert!(head.is_ok(), "OutcomeHead should construct: {:?}", head.err());
}
}

View File

@@ -45,13 +45,21 @@ use rand_chacha::ChaCha8Rng;
use crate::heads::HIDDEN_DIM;
use crate::pinned_mem::MappedF32Buffer;
use crate::rl::common::N_ACTIONS;
use crate::rl::common::{Action, N_ACTIONS};
use crate::trainer::raw_launch::{RawArgs, raw_launch};
const PPO_SURR_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/ppo_clipped_surrogate.cubin"
));
const PPO_DIAGNOSTIC_REDUCE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce.cubin"
));
const PPO_LOSS_REDUCE_CUBIN: &[u8] = include_bytes!(concat!(
env!("OUT_DIR"),
"/ppo_loss_reduce_b.cubin"
));
const V_HEAD_CUBIN: &[u8] =
include_bytes!(concat!(env!("OUT_DIR"), "/v_head_fwd_bwd.cubin"));
@@ -83,10 +91,17 @@ pub struct PolicyHead {
raw_stream: CUstream,
_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// F4.1 reducer cubin module — kept alive while `loss_reduce_fn`
/// references it.
_loss_reduce_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// Forward kernel: `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd`. Consumes new-policy
/// logits, old log π, advantages, returns + ISV[402,403] and writes
/// per-batch log π / entropy plus accumulated loss scalars.
/// logits, old log π, advantages + ISV[402,403,440] and writes
/// per-batch log π / entropy + per-batch loss slots (no atomicAdd).
pub surrogate_fwd_fn: CudaFunction,
/// F4.1 reducer kernel: `ppo_loss_reduce_b`. Takes the per-batch
/// `[B]` loss buffers written by `surrogate_fwd_fn` and produces
/// the two scalar diagnostics the trainer / LR controller reads.
pub loss_reduce_fn: CudaFunction,
/// Backward kernel: `ppo_clipped_surrogate_bwd`. Computes per-logit
/// gradient with the clip-mask applied (zero outside the clip band).
pub surrogate_bwd_fn: CudaFunction,
@@ -107,6 +122,15 @@ pub struct PolicyHead {
/// caller's responsibility via `reduce_axis0`.
pub grad_w_b_h_t_fn: CudaFunction,
/// B-10 (2026-06-01) G3+G4: cross-batch tree-reduce of per-batch
/// PPO advantage + ratio + surrogate observability scratches written
/// by `surrogate_fwd_fn`. Reads slot 612 (`var_pre_norm`) to compute
/// `σ_used = sqrt(var)` for the |A_unnorm| reconstruction. Writes
/// ISV slots 735-742. Pure observability — does not feed any
/// controller, does not perturb training dynamics.
pub ppo_diagnostic_reduce_fn: CudaFunction,
_ppo_diagnostic_reduce_module: Arc<CudaModule>,
/// Online weights `[N_ACTIONS, HIDDEN_DIM]`, row-major. Each row is
/// one action's projection vector.
pub w_d: CudaSlice<f32>,
@@ -134,6 +158,12 @@ impl PolicyHead {
let surrogate_bwd_fn = module
.load_function("ppo_clipped_surrogate_bwd")
.context("load ppo_clipped_surrogate_bwd")?;
let loss_reduce_module = ctx
.load_cubin(PPO_LOSS_REDUCE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load ppo_loss_reduce_b cubin")?;
let loss_reduce_fn = loss_reduce_module
.load_function("ppo_loss_reduce_b")
.context("load ppo_loss_reduce_b")?;
let policy_linear_fwd_fn = module
.load_function("ppo_policy_logits_fwd")
.context("load ppo_policy_logits_fwd")?;
@@ -141,6 +171,14 @@ impl PolicyHead {
.load_function("ppo_grad_w_b_h_t")
.context("load ppo_grad_w_b_h_t")?;
// B-10 (2026-06-01): PPO diagnostic stats reducer.
let ppo_diagnostic_reduce_module = ctx
.load_cubin(PPO_DIAGNOSTIC_REDUCE_CUBIN.to_vec())
.context("load rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce cubin")?;
let ppo_diagnostic_reduce_fn = ppo_diagnostic_reduce_module
.load_function("rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce")
.context("load rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce")?;
// Per pearl_scoped_init_seed_for_reproducibility: install the
// scoped seed guard BEFORE drawing any Xavier samples.
let _seed_guard = scoped_init_seed(cfg.seed);
@@ -152,7 +190,24 @@ impl PolicyHead {
let w_host: Vec<f32> = (0..n_out * n_in)
.map(|_| rng.gen_range(-scale..scale))
.collect();
let b_host: Vec<f32> = vec![0.0_f32; n_out];
// Phase 3D-A (2026-06-03): Hold-action logit bias.
//
// The 11-action grid (see `crate::rl::common::Action`) has 4 open
// variants (0=ShortLarge, 1=ShortSmall, 5=LongSmall, 6=LongLarge)
// vs 1 hold (2=Hold). At uniform random init the structural prior
// is P(open)=4/11≈36% and P(hold)=1/11≈9% BEFORE any learning —
// a 4:1 bias toward opening. Counter-balance by adding +log(4)≈1.386
// to the Hold action bias so the asymmetry-break probabilities
// are P(hold)=4/(4+10)≈28.6% and P(any specific open)=1/14≈7.1%,
// restoring near-uniform open-vs-hold mass at init.
//
// Per Cao et al. 2026 + Goodhart-Skalse 2024 literature on
// action-space prior bias, this is one of three concurrent fixes
// (B: quadratic impact cost; C: PPO surrogate restoration) for
// foxhunt's structural overtrading pathology.
let hold_bias: f32 = (4.0_f32).ln();
let mut b_host: Vec<f32> = vec![0.0_f32; n_out];
b_host[Action::Hold as usize] += hold_bias;
let w_d = upload(&stream, &w_host)?;
let b_d = upload(&stream, &b_host)?;
@@ -163,15 +218,67 @@ impl PolicyHead {
stream,
raw_stream,
_module: module,
_loss_reduce_module: loss_reduce_module,
surrogate_fwd_fn,
loss_reduce_fn,
surrogate_bwd_fn,
policy_linear_fwd_fn,
grad_w_b_h_t_fn,
ppo_diagnostic_reduce_fn,
_ppo_diagnostic_reduce_module: ppo_diagnostic_reduce_module,
w_d,
b_d,
})
}
/// B-10 (2026-06-01) G3+G4: launch the cross-batch reducer over the
/// 4 per-batch observability scratches written by `surrogate_forward`.
/// Reads slot 612 (`var_pre_norm`) inside the kernel to compute
/// `σ_used = sqrt(var)` for the |A_unnorm| reconstruction. Writes
/// ISV slots 735-742. Pure observability; safe to call after any
/// `surrogate_forward` in the step.
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn launch_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce(
&self,
isv_dev_ptr: &u64,
b_size: usize,
a_norm_pb: &CudaSlice<f32>,
ratio_dev_pb: &CudaSlice<f32>,
ratio_clipped_pb: &CudaSlice<f32>,
surrogate_pb: &CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(a_norm_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ratio_dev_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ratio_clipped_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(surrogate_pb.len(), b_size);
// Power-of-2 block size, capped at 256; identity-padded shared
// mem ensures threads with no work don't pollute the reduce.
let block_dim = (b_size as u32).next_power_of_two().clamp(1, 256);
// 5 reductions × block_dim floats (matches kernel layout in
// rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce.cu).
let smem = (5 * block_dim as usize * std::mem::size_of::<f32>()) as u32;
let b_i = b_size as i32;
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(*isv_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(a_norm_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(ratio_dev_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(ratio_clipped_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(surrogate_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.ppo_diagnostic_reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1), (block_dim, 1, 1), smem,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("rl_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce: {:?}", e))?;
}
Ok(())
}
/// Stream used to launch all kernels owned by this head. Phase E's
/// training loop reads this when scheduling the surrogate / Adam
/// kernels.
@@ -222,9 +329,18 @@ impl PolicyHead {
}
/// Phase E.2 surrogate forward — runs `ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd`
/// using the trainer-provided logits + advantages. Reads ε from
/// `isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX]` and entropy coef from
/// `isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX]`.
/// then `ppo_loss_reduce_b` to produce the two scalar loss
/// diagnostics. Reads ε from `isv[RL_PPO_CLIP_INDEX]` and entropy
/// coef from `isv[RL_ENTROPY_COEF_INDEX]`.
///
/// F4.1 (2026-05-31) — replaces the prior atomicAdd-into-scalar
/// pattern. The fwd kernel writes per-batch loss values to the
/// `[B]` scratch buffers; the reducer then computes the batch mean
/// and stores it (single-writer, no accumulation) into the scalar
/// mapped-pinned slots the trainer reads. This eliminates the
/// step-count staleness bug that inflated `loss.pi` linearly in
/// step count (local 1k × ~9 ≈ 9080; cluster 20k × ~1200 ≈ 24M).
/// Per `feedback_no_atomicadd`.
///
/// The V-loss path (formerly bundled with this surrogate forward) was
/// canonicalised into the dedicated V-head kernels per
@@ -232,6 +348,7 @@ impl PolicyHead {
/// longer accepts `returns` / `v_pred` / `loss_v` (greenfield removal
/// 2026-05-22).
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
#[allow(clippy::too_many_arguments)]
pub fn surrogate_forward(
&self,
logits: &CudaSlice<f32>,
@@ -242,8 +359,18 @@ impl PolicyHead {
b_size: usize,
pi_log_prob: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
entropy: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
loss_pi_dev_ptr: &u64,
loss_entropy_dev_ptr: &u64,
loss_pi_per_b: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
loss_entropy_per_b: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
loss_pi_scalar_dev_ptr: &u64,
loss_entropy_scalar_dev_ptr: &u64,
// B-10 (2026-06-01) G3+G4: per-batch observability scratches
// consumed downstream by `launch_ppo_diagnostic_stats_reduce`.
// Pure observability — kernel writes alongside existing
// loss_pi_per_b without perturbing the loss reduction path.
ppo_a_norm_pb: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
ppo_ratio_dev_pb: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
ppo_ratio_clipped_pb: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
ppo_surrogate_pb: &mut CudaSlice<f32>,
) -> Result<()> {
debug_assert_eq!(logits.len(), b_size * N_ACTIONS);
debug_assert_eq!(log_pi_old.len(), b_size);
@@ -251,6 +378,12 @@ impl PolicyHead {
debug_assert_eq!(advantages.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(pi_log_prob.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(entropy.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(loss_pi_per_b.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(loss_entropy_per_b.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ppo_a_norm_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ppo_ratio_dev_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ppo_ratio_clipped_pb.len(), b_size);
debug_assert_eq!(ppo_surrogate_pb.len(), b_size);
let b_i = b_size as i32;
{
@@ -263,8 +396,13 @@ impl PolicyHead {
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(pi_log_prob.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(entropy.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(*loss_pi_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(*loss_entropy_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(loss_pi_per_b.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(loss_entropy_per_b.raw_ptr());
// B-10 G3+G4 scratch outputs.
args.push_ptr(ppo_a_norm_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(ppo_ratio_dev_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(ppo_ratio_clipped_pb.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(ppo_surrogate_pb.raw_ptr());
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
@@ -278,6 +416,30 @@ impl PolicyHead {
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("ppo_clipped_surrogate_fwd: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
// ── F4.1 block tree-reduce [B] → [1] for both diagnostics ──
// Single block, 256 threads (matches BLOCK_X in
// ppo_loss_reduce_b.cu). Grid-strided over B so the same launch
// serves local b_size=16 and cluster b_size=1024 alike.
{
let mut args = RawArgs::new();
args.push_ptr(loss_pi_per_b.raw_ptr());
args.push_ptr(loss_entropy_per_b.raw_ptr());
args.push_i32(b_i);
args.push_ptr(*loss_pi_scalar_dev_ptr);
args.push_ptr(*loss_entropy_scalar_dev_ptr);
let mut ptrs = args.build_arg_ptrs();
unsafe {
raw_launch(
self.loss_reduce_fn.cu_function(),
(1, 1, 1),
(256, 1, 1),
0,
self.raw_stream,
&mut ptrs[..args.len()],
)
.map_err(|e| anyhow::anyhow!("ppo_loss_reduce_b: {:?}", e))?;
}
}
Ok(())
}

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