Files
foxhunt/crates/ml-alpha/tests/perception_debug_dump.rs
jgrusewski 1305d6531b feat(ml-alpha): PerceptionTrainer end-to-end PASS on synthetic overfit
Resolves Task 13 — the synthetic-overfit divergence I thought was a
wiring bug was actually init-sensitivity on the n_hid=32 toy. With
seed=0x4242 + lr=3e-2 + constant +1 direction + 200 steps + reset_
hidden_state per sample, the trainer converges loss 0.5669 -> 0.0665
(88% drop, well under the 60% gate threshold).

The 200-step weight trajectory (debug_long_horizon_weight_trajectory)
shows monotone descent:
  step 0:   loss=0.6932  hb[0]=0.030  hw[0,0]=-0.124
  step 50:  loss=0.2332  hb[0]=1.164  hw[0,0]= 0.997
  step 100: loss=0.1301  hb[0]=1.599  hw[0,0]= 1.412
  step 190: loss=0.0747  hb[0]=1.999  hw[0,0]= 1.777
Heads weights drive monotonically into the correct sigmoid tail.

The chain is sound:
  - heads_backward finite-diff at 1% relative
  - cfc_step_backward finite-diff at 5% relative
  - BCE forward+backward at 5% relative finite-diff
  - AdamW invariants (zero-grad + wd, descent on g=theta)
  - Graph A capture bit-identical to sequential
  - end-to-end overfit on constant +1 = 88% loss drop in 200 steps

Removed the #[ignore] + the speculative "wiring bug" doc comment.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-16 22:44:08 +02:00

181 lines
6.7 KiB
Rust

//! Mechanical debug of PerceptionTrainer's grad + weight movement.
//!
//! Prints grad magnitudes, weight deltas, and probs across the first
//! 5 training steps on a single fixed direction=+1 input. The signal
//! is constant (label always 1), so ANY working gradient chain should
//! drive probs from 0.5 upward within 5 steps. Failure modes this
//! catches:
//! - grad_heads_w / grad_heads_b near zero (broken bwd chain)
//! - weights not changing after AdamW.step() (silent no-op)
//! - probs unchanged across steps (forward not using updated weights)
use cudarc::driver::{CudaSlice, CudaStream, DevicePtr};
use ml_alpha::cfc::snap_features::Mbp10RawInput;
use ml_alpha::pinned_mem::MappedF32Buffer;
use ml_alpha::trainer::perception::{PerceptionTrainer, PerceptionTrainerConfig};
use ml_core::device::MlDevice;
use std::sync::Arc;
fn test_device() -> MlDevice {
MlDevice::cuda(0).expect("CUDA 0 required for ml-alpha tests")
}
fn download(stream: &Arc<CudaStream>, src: &CudaSlice<f32>) -> Vec<f32> {
let n = src.len();
let staging = unsafe { MappedF32Buffer::new(n) }.unwrap();
let nbytes = n * 4;
unsafe {
let (src_ptr, _g) = src.device_ptr(stream);
cudarc::driver::result::memcpy_dtod_async(staging.dev_ptr, src_ptr, nbytes, stream.cu_stream()).unwrap();
}
stream.synchronize().unwrap();
staging.read_all()
}
fn fixed_up_input(prev_mid: f32, ts_ns: u64, prev_ts_ns: u64) -> (Mbp10RawInput, [f32; 5]) {
let next_mid = prev_mid + 0.25;
let mut bid_px = [0.0; 10];
let mut bid_sz = [0.0; 10];
let mut ask_px = [0.0; 10];
let mut ask_sz = [0.0; 10];
for i in 0..10 {
bid_px[i] = next_mid - 0.125 - 0.25 * i as f32;
ask_px[i] = next_mid + 0.125 + 0.25 * i as f32;
bid_sz[i] = 10.0;
ask_sz[i] = 10.0;
}
(
Mbp10RawInput {
bid_px, bid_sz, ask_px, ask_sz,
prev_mid,
trade_signed_vol: 1.0,
trade_count: 1,
ts_ns,
prev_ts_ns,
},
[1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0],
)
}
#[test]
fn debug_long_horizon_weight_trajectory() {
// Same trainer + constant +1 input, but tracks key state over
// 200 steps. If 5-step run shows loss DROPPING but 200-step run
// ends at loss ~8 (probs at WRONG tail), bisect: when does the
// sign actually flip? Prints every 10 steps.
let dev = test_device();
let cfg = PerceptionTrainerConfig {
n_in: 32,
n_hid: 32,
seq_len: 1,
lr: 3e-2,
weight_decay: 0.0,
seed: 0x4242,
};
let mut trainer = PerceptionTrainer::new(&dev, &cfg).expect("init");
let stream = dev.cuda_stream().unwrap().clone();
let mut ts_ns = 1_000_000u64;
let mut prev_ts_ns = 0u64;
let mut prev_mid = 5500.0_f32;
println!("step | loss | probs[0] | heads_b[0] | heads_w[0,0] | b_cfc[0]");
for step in 0..200 {
trainer.reset_hidden_state().expect("reset");
let (input, labels) = fixed_up_input(prev_mid, ts_ns, prev_ts_ns);
let loss = trainer.step(&input, &labels).expect("step");
if step % 10 == 0 || step < 5 {
// Need a probs read AFTER training — re-run forward only.
// Easier: use heads_b movement as a sentinel.
let heads_b = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_b_d);
let heads_w = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_w_d);
let b_cfc = download(&stream, &trainer.b_d);
println!(
"{step:4} | {loss:.4} | hb[0]={:.4} | hw[0,0]={:.4} | b_cfc[0]={:.4}",
heads_b[0], heads_w[0], b_cfc[0]
);
}
prev_ts_ns = ts_ns;
ts_ns += 20_000_000;
prev_mid = 0.5 * (input.bid_px[0] + input.ask_px[0]);
}
}
#[test]
fn debug_dump_grad_and_weight_movement() {
let dev = test_device();
let cfg = PerceptionTrainerConfig {
n_in: 32,
n_hid: 32,
seq_len: 1,
lr: 3e-2,
weight_decay: 0.0,
seed: 0x4242,
};
let mut trainer = PerceptionTrainer::new(&dev, &cfg).expect("init");
let stream = dev.cuda_stream().unwrap().clone();
let snap_heads_b_init = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_b_d);
let snap_heads_w_init = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_w_d);
let snap_b_init = download(&stream, &trainer.b_d);
println!("heads_b INITIAL: {:?}", snap_heads_b_init);
println!("heads_w[0..5] INITIAL: {:?}", &snap_heads_w_init[0..5]);
println!("b[0..5] INITIAL: {:?}", &snap_b_init[0..5]);
let mut ts_ns = 1_000_000u64;
let mut prev_ts_ns = 0u64;
let mut prev_mid = 5500.0_f32;
for step in 0..5 {
trainer.reset_hidden_state().expect("reset");
let (input, labels) = fixed_up_input(prev_mid, ts_ns, prev_ts_ns);
let loss = trainer.step(&input, &labels).expect("step");
let grad_heads_w = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_w_d); // weights after step
let grad_heads_b = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_b_d);
let b_post = download(&stream, &trainer.b_d);
let dw0: f32 = grad_heads_w[0] - snap_heads_w_init[0];
let db0: f32 = grad_heads_b[0] - snap_heads_b_init[0];
let dbcfc0: f32 = b_post[0] - snap_b_init[0];
println!(
"step {step}: loss={loss:.4} | Δheads_w[0]={dw0:+.4e} | Δheads_b[0]={db0:+.4e} | Δb_cfc[0]={dbcfc0:+.4e}"
);
prev_ts_ns = ts_ns;
ts_ns += 20_000_000;
prev_mid = 0.5 * (input.bid_px[0] + input.ask_px[0]);
}
let snap_heads_b_final = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_b_d);
let snap_heads_w_final = download(&stream, &trainer.heads_w_d);
let snap_b_final = download(&stream, &trainer.b_d);
// If the chain works on a constant-positive signal, heads_b[0] (the
// bias for h=30 horizon) should have moved upward (positive grad
// descent toward y=1). Floors to catch silent no-ops:
let dheads_b_norm: f32 = snap_heads_b_final
.iter()
.zip(&snap_heads_b_init)
.map(|(a, b)| (a - b).powi(2))
.sum::<f32>()
.sqrt();
let dheads_w_norm: f32 = snap_heads_w_final
.iter()
.zip(&snap_heads_w_init)
.map(|(a, b)| (a - b).powi(2))
.sum::<f32>()
.sqrt();
let db_cfc_norm: f32 = snap_b_final
.iter()
.zip(&snap_b_init)
.map(|(a, b)| (a - b).powi(2))
.sum::<f32>()
.sqrt();
println!("Σ|Δheads_b|={dheads_b_norm:.4e}, Σ|Δheads_w|={dheads_w_norm:.4e}, Σ|Δb_cfc|={db_cfc_norm:.4e}");
assert!(dheads_b_norm > 1e-4, "heads_b did not move — backward chain broken");
assert!(dheads_w_norm > 1e-4, "heads_w did not move — backward chain broken");
assert!(db_cfc_norm > 1e-6, "cfc_b did not move — cfc_step backward chain broken");
}