jgrusewski 152f4c16d9 feat(generalization): #34 causal intervention training (THE EMPEROR)
Pearl's do-calculus applied to RL: compute per-feature causal sensitivity
by running intervened forward passes. For each of 14 active features,
set it to 0 (do(X_k=0)) and measure how much Q-values change.

High sensitivity = feature genuinely CAUSES different outcomes.
Low sensitivity = spurious correlation (noise that breaks OOS).

Implementation:
- Intervened forward passes via cuBLAS (reuse existing infrastructure)
- States copied to scratch buffer, feature k zeroed, forward pass run
- Q-value delta computed: |Q_original - Q_intervened|² per feature
- Mean sensitivity logged for interpretability
- Runs every N steps (configurable, default 10) to limit overhead

Architecture:
- causal_states_scratch [B, state_dim_padded] bf16 — intervened copy
- causal_sensitivity_buf [market_dim] f32 — per-feature sensitivity
- Reuses existing activation scratch buffers (post-graph, no conflict)
- ~10% compute overhead at interval=10 (42 extra cuBLAS GEMMs per step)

Config: enable_causal_intervention=false (default).

THE FOUR CROWN JEWELS ARE COMPLETE:
  Gem (#31): 2D Bottleneck — architecture defense
  Pearl (#32): Gradient Vaccine — optimization defense
  King (#33): Adversarial Self-Play — strategic defense
  Emperor (#34): Causal Intervention — epistemic defense

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-30 10:33:28 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Python 1.3%
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