jgrusewski 1790a31b66 feat(sp21): T3.1+T3.2 ISV defrost — wr_ema + hold_pct_ema (atomic)
SP21 Tier-3 foundation: defrost two production-frozen ISV slots that
pinned at 0 across every observed training epoch (d7bj7, xmd6b). Both
bugs in the same aggregator kernel, same structural shape: per-step
binary majority-vote indicators feeding fractional EMAs.

T3.1 — WR_EMA defrost (sp20_aggregate_inputs_kernel.cu):
  - was: is_win_out = (2 * wins_count >= closed_count) ? 1 : 0
         binary "majority won this step" indicator
  - now: win_fraction_out = (float)wins_count / (float)closed_count
         fractional in [0, 1]
  - With actual val WR≈0.46, the binary signal was 0 most of the time,
    pinning WR_EMA at 0 across 30+ epochs in xmd6b. EMA now converges
    to population win rate.

T3.2 — HOLD_PCT_EMA defrost (same kernel, same pattern):
  - was: action_is_hold_out = (hold_count * 2 > n_envs) ? 1 : 0
         strict-majority indicator
  - now: hold_fraction_out = (float)hold_count / (float)n_envs
  - Cascade: HOLD_COST_SCALE controller compared hold_pct_ema=0 to
    tgt±0.05, always saw < lower, ramped × 0.95 → clamped at floor
    0.01 (the hold_cost_scale=0.0100 observation in d7bj7 logs).
    T3.5 expected to cascade-fix in next training run.
  - HOLD_REWARD_EMA gate preserves strict-majority semantic via
    hold_fraction > 0.5f test in the consumer kernel.

Atomic across struct fields, kernel logic, Rust mirror, byte
serialization, doc tables, and 4 test files (per
feedback_no_partial_refactor):
  - sp20_aggregate_inputs_kernel.cu (struct + 2 computations)
  - sp20_emas_compute_kernel.cu (struct + reader + gate)
  - sp20_aggregate_inputs.rs (doc table)
  - sp20_emas_compute.rs (Rust struct + serialize + 3 tests)
  - sp20_aggregate_inputs_test.rs (reader sig + 4 test assertions)
  - sp20_emas_compute_test.rs (5 struct literal updates)
  - sp20_phase1_4_wireup_test.rs (HOLD_PCT_EMA expected 0.625)

Verification:
  - cargo check -p ml --tests: passes (warnings only)
  - cargo test -p ml --lib sp20_emas: 6/6 unit tests pass

Pearl candidate: binary-majority aggregator over a fractional
underlying signal cannot serve as input to a fractional-target EMA.
The previous fix (commit 64bbbe418) addressed the per-bar vs segment
predicate at the producer site, but didn't notice the aggregator's
binarization step still collapsed the fraction to {0, 1}. Two bugs
in series, both now resolved.

Plan reference: docs/plans/2026-05-10-sp21-train-eval-coherence-isv-defrost.md
Tiers 3.3-3.6 remaining; T3.5 expected to cascade-fix.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 20:13:13 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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