jgrusewski 1a3bcf97b8 feat(sp16-p2): adaptive Hold cost scale via ISV[461]
Per train-multi-seed-pfh9n post-mortem: observed_hold_rate climbed 0.25 → 0.52
across training while cost penalty (~0.006) was 100× smaller than per-bar
reward magnitudes (popart=0.97, cf=0.65). Hold action was effectively free,
allowing Q(Hold) to dominate via structural low-variance bias.

Fix: scale Hold cost adaptively. ISV[HOLD_COST_SCALE_INDEX=461] tracks:
  scale = clamp(1.0 + 24.0 × max(0, observed - target) / max(target, 0.01), 1.0, 25.0)

Effective cost at 100% overrun (observed=2× target): 0.006 × 25 = 0.15,
competitive with per-bar reward magnitudes (~0.01-0.1).
At/below target: scale = 1.0 (no extra penalty).

Pearl-A bootstrap + Welford slow EMA (α=0.05). Mirrors T1's
MIN_HOLD_TEMPERATURE pattern (same input signals: ISV[382] observed,
ISV[381] target).

Producer: hold_cost_scale_update_kernel.cu — single-thread cold-path,
per-epoch boundary, AFTER MIN_HOLD_TEMPERATURE in training_loop.rs.

Consumer migration (atomic per feedback_no_partial_refactor):
3 sites in experience_kernels.cu — segment_complete branch (line ~3089),
per-bar positioned-Hold branch (line ~3553), per-bar flat-Hold branch
(line ~3617). Cold-start fallback: scale=1.0 when slot ≤ 0 or
out-of-bounds (bit-identical pre-Phase-2 cost magnitude).

ISV_TOTAL_DIM: 461 → 462.

Behavioral tests (5/5 PASS on RTX 3050):
- sp16_phase2_hold_cost_scale_climbs_with_overrun
- sp16_phase2_hold_cost_scale_at_target_is_one
- sp16_phase2_hold_cost_scale_under_target_is_one
- sp16_phase2_hold_cost_scale_bounds_clamp
- sp16_phase2_hold_cost_scale_pearl_a_bootstrap

Regression: SP14 oracle suite 30/30 PASS, SP15 phase 1 oracle suite
36/36 PASS.

Instrumentation: HEALTH_DIAG[N]: hold_cost_scale_diag obs/tgt/norm/scale.

Per feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds + feedback_no_partial_refactor.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 15:56:46 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Python 1.3%
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