jgrusewski 20c361a300 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 1d.4 GPU-native backtest — proper SSM-stacker Sharpe verdict
Four new kernels in mamba2_alpha_kernel.cu:
  - backtest_per_trade_pnl       : [T, N] per-trade PnL with threshold filter
  - backtest_sum_reduce_f32      : block tree-reduce returns per threshold (T scalars)
  - backtest_sum_squared_reduce  : block tree-reduce returns² per threshold (T scalars)
  - backtest_sum_reduce_i32      : block tree-reduce trade counts per threshold

All atomicAdd-free via block tree-reduce in shared memory (per
feedback_no_atomicadd). Single kernel launch handles the full
threshold sweep across all sequences via grid_x=T, grid_y=ceil(N/256).

New module crates/ml-alpha/src/backtest.rs:
  - GpuBacktest::from_block(&Mamba2Block) — reuses cubin already loaded
  - GpuBacktest::run(probs, prices_t, prices_kt, thresholds, cost) → Vec<BacktestStats>
  - Returns: n_trades, mean_ret, std_ret, Sharpe (per-trade unannualised),
    hit_rate, total_pnl per threshold

Wired into phase1d_long_horizon.rs after the stacker eval:
  - Convert stacker_logits → probs via sigmoid
  - Upload probs + end-bar prices + (end-bar + horizon) prices to GPU
  - Sweep thresholds [0.00, 0.02, 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25]
  - Print per-threshold table + best Sharpe operating point
  - GATE: per-trade Sharpe > 1.5 = deployable, 0.5-1.5 = marginal, < 0.5 = fail

Cost model: 0.25 price units round-trip = 1 ES.FUT tick = $12.50/contract.
Tunable via --cost-per-trade. Realistic for retail flow; brokers can
trade at half-tick or better.

GPU-pure on the hot path: kernels do per-trade math + reductions;
host only receives T (= 7 here) scalars per metric for final Sharpe
arithmetic. No GPU↔CPU roundtrip per trade.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-15 09:37:57 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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