jgrusewski 250cee124e fix(dqn): Winsorize adaptive_clip EMA input against single-sample outliers (N)
Smoke smoke-test-xw4c6 showed F1 ep2 grad_norm=8.4B polluting the
adaptive_clip EMA -> next adaptive_clip threshold became huge ->
subsequent extreme grads passed unclipped -> NaN propagation -> grad
collapse -> fold 1 fails despite K+warmup fixing the first-step problem.

Add Winsorized clamp on raw_grad_norm before the adaptive_clip EMA
update: clamped_sample = min(raw, K * previous_adaptive_clip) where
K = 100 (numerical-stability bound, not a tuned constant — explicit
"single sample can grow EMA at most 100x in one step" semantics).

Companion observability log emits GRAD_CLIP_OUTLIER warning per clamp
event so we can see when this fires in subsequent smokes.

Fast/slow grad_norm EMAs (driving warmup factor) intentionally NOT
winsorized — they're a stability signal that SHOULD respond to
outliers, providing extra warmup damping when the system is unstable.

Predicted impact on Plan C smoke F1 ep2: 8.4B grad -> clamped to
~3000 for EMA -> next adaptive_clip caps at ~1000 -> subsequent F1
batches get bounded gradients passed to Adam -> no NaN propagation.
F1+F2 should now train through, exposing whether the underlying
Q-target inflation requires further structural work or whether
clipping alone suffices.

Composes with K+warmup (4ef1d8ebb), A.2, A.1/A.3, F+H — fourth layer
of the adaptive gradient-stability scaffolding (now five total:
A.2 target-sync drift dampening, K+warmup post-reset transient
dampening, N persistent clip-EMA outlier defense).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-29 20:51:50 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Cuda 7.7%
Python 1.3%
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