Files
foxhunt/archive/reports/backtest_weak_example.md
jgrusewski 2df1ea92e1 feat(ml): WAVE 29 DQN Codebase Cleanup & Refactoring Campaign
BREAKING CHANGES:
- Removed orphaned dqn.rs monolithic trainer (4,975 lines)
- Removed orphaned dqn_ensemble.rs module (816 lines)
- Removed orphaned tft.rs and tft_complete_int8_integration_test.rs
- TFT trainer split into modular directory structure

DQN Module Refactoring:
- Split trainers/dqn.rs into modular structure (config.rs, statistics.rs, trainer.rs)
- Fixed hyperopt 39D search space (continuous params only)
- Boolean flags (use_dueling, use_double_dqn, use_per, use_noisy_nets) are now FIXED architectural decisions
- use_distributional defaults to false (Candle BUG #36 - scatter_add gradient issues)

Clean Module Structure:
- ml/src/trainers/dqn/ directory with proper mod.rs exports
- ml/src/trainers/tft/ directory with config.rs, types.rs, model.rs, trainer.rs, tests.rs
- All P0 features validated: TD-error clamping, batch diversity, LR scheduler, priority staleness

Documentation:
- Added comprehensive docs in docs/codebase-cleanup/
- ADR-001 for DQN refactoring decisions
- Rainbow DQN component matrix and quick reference guides

Build Status: Compiles with zero errors

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-27 23:46:13 +01:00

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1.8 KiB
Markdown

# DQN Backtesting Report
**Model**: DQN-Weak-Example
**Baseline**: DQN-Trial35-Baseline
**Generated**: 2025-11-04 07:56:33 UTC
---
## Performance Summary
| Metric | Value | Target | Status |
|--------|-------|--------|--------|
| Total Return | -3.20% | >0% | ❌ |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.60 | >1.5 | ❌ |
| Max Drawdown | 35.40% | <20% | ❌ |
| Win Rate | 38.0% | >50% | ❌ |
| Alpha vs B&H | -2.10% | >0% | ❌ |
## Comparison to Baseline
| Metric | Baseline | New Model | Change | Direction |
|--------|----------|-----------|--------|----------|
| Returns | 12.10% | -3.20% | -15.30% | ↘️ |
| Sharpe | 1.80 | 0.60 | -1.20 | ↘️ |
| Drawdown | 18.30% | 35.40% | +17.10% | ↘️ |
| Win Rate | 52.0% | 38.0% | -14.0% | ↘️ |
| Alpha | 1.50% | -2.10% | -3.60% | ↘️ |
## Trade Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Total Trades | 110 |
| Avg Trade Return | -0.029% |
| Win Rate | 38.00% |
| Trades vs Baseline | -28 |
## Deployment Recommendation
**Status**: ❌ REJECT - Not Production Ready
Model only passes 0/5 production criteria. Performance is insufficient for production deployment.
**Critical Issues**:
- ❌ Negative total return (-3.20%)
- ❌ Low Sharpe ratio (0.60 < 1.5)
- ❌ Excessive drawdown (35.40% > 20%)
- ❌ Poor win rate (38.0% < 50%)
- ❌ Negative alpha (-2.10%)
**Action**: Do not deploy. Retrain model with improved hyperparameters or different architecture.
### Production Criteria Checklist
- **Criteria Passed**: 0/5
- **Total Return**: ❌ FAIL (-3.20% > 0%)
- **Sharpe Ratio**: ❌ FAIL (0.60 > 1.5)
- **Max Drawdown**: ❌ FAIL (35.40% < 20%)
- **Win Rate**: ❌ FAIL (38.0% > 50%)
- **Alpha vs B&H**: ❌ FAIL (-2.10% > 0%)
---
*Report generated automatically by Foxhunt ML Evaluation Framework*