Files
foxhunt/WAVE3_A4_ENSEMBLE_INTEGRATION_STATUS.md
jgrusewski 00ef9e2866 Wave 15: Complete FactoredAction migration to 45-action system
Major Changes:
- Migrated from 3-action TradingAction to 45-action FactoredAction
- 45 actions: 5 exposure × 3 order types × 3 urgency levels
- Absolute exposure model (target positions -1.0 to +1.0)
- Transaction cost differentiation (Market 0.15%, LimitMaker 0.05%, IoC 0.10%)
- Fixed action diversity threshold (1.11% → 0.5% for 45-action space)

Bug Fixes:
- Bug #15: Incomplete FactoredAction integration (code existed but unused)
- Bug #16: Runtime crash in action diversity checking (hardcoded 3-action match)

Code Changes (13 files, ~464 lines):
- ml/src/dqn/action_space.rs: Core FactoredAction + 4 helper methods
- ml/src/trainers/dqn.rs: Action diversity refactored (3→45 dynamic)
- ml/src/dqn/reward.rs: calculate_reward() signature updated
- ml/src/dqn/portfolio_tracker.rs: execute_action() absolute exposure
- ml/src/dqn/dqn.rs: WorkingDQN action selection migrated
- ml/tests/*.rs: 9 test files updated with FactoredAction assertions

Test Results:
- 1-epoch smoke test: 100% action diversity (45/45 actions, 80.2s)
- 10-epoch production: 87.8% readiness (79/90 scorecard, 14.0 min)
- Loss convergence: 96.9% reduction (119K → 3.6K)
- Action diversity: 100% → 44% (healthy specialization)
- Checkpoint reliability: 12/12 files saved (100%)
- DQN tests: 195/195 passing (100%)
- ML baseline: 1,514/1,515 passing (99.93%)

Production Status:  CERTIFIED (87.8% readiness)
Go/No-Go:  GO FOR 100-EPOCH PRODUCTION TRAINING

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-11 23:27:02 +01:00

446 lines
14 KiB
Markdown

# Wave3-A4: Ensemble Oracle Integration Status
**Task**: Integrate ensemble oracle into DQN training pipeline with CLI flags and checkpoint support
**Date**: 2025-11-11
**Status**: ✅ PHASE 1 COMPLETE (CLI Integration) | ⏳ PHASE 2 PENDING (Trainer Refactor)
---
## 📊 Summary
Phase 1 adds complete CLI infrastructure for ensemble oracle configuration with validation and logging. Phase 2 requires trainer-level refactoring to expose ensemble model loading.
---
## ✅ Phase 1: CLI Integration (COMPLETE)
### Changes Made
**File**: `ml/examples/train_dqn.rs`
#### 1. CLI Flags Added (Lines 242-262)
```rust
/// Enable ensemble oracle voting (requires pre-trained models)
#[arg(long)]
use_ensemble: bool,
/// Number of ensemble agents to load (1-3)
#[arg(long, default_value = "0")]
num_ensemble_agents: usize,
/// Path to Transformer model for ensemble voting
#[arg(long)]
transformer_model_path: Option<String>,
/// Path to LSTM model for ensemble voting
#[arg(long)]
lstm_model_path: Option<String>,
/// Path to PPO policy for ensemble voting
#[arg(long)]
ppo_model_path: Option<String>,
```
#### 2. Validation Logic (Lines 410-458)
- **Model path validation**: Requires at least 1 model path if `--use-ensemble`
- **Agent count validation**: `--num-ensemble-agents` must be > 0 if enabled
- **Count mismatch warning**: Warns if agent count exceeds available models
- **Graceful fallback**: Reduces agent count to match available models
#### 3. Logging Output
```
✅ Ensemble oracle: ENABLED (3 agents)
- Transformer: ml/trained_models/tft_model.safetensors
- LSTM: ml/trained_models/lstm_model.safetensors
- PPO: ml/trained_models/ppo_model.safetensors
```
Or when disabled:
```
✅ Ensemble oracle: DISABLED (component weight = 0.0)
```
#### 4. Documentation (Lines 21-28)
Added usage example to script header comments:
```bash
cargo run -p ml --example train_dqn --release --features cuda -- \
--use-ensemble \
--num-ensemble-agents 3 \
--transformer-model-path ml/trained_models/tft_model.safetensors \
--lstm-model-path ml/trained_models/lstm_model.safetensors \
--ppo-model-path ml/trained_models/ppo_model.safetensors
```
---
## ⏳ Phase 2: Trainer Refactor (PENDING)
### Implementation Roadmap
**File**: `ml/src/trainers/dqn.rs`
#### 1. Add EliteRewardCoordinator Field
**Current**: Coordinator created inline in `calculate_elite_reward_impl()` (Line ~856)
```rust
// CURRENT APPROACH (inline creation - no state persistence)
async fn calculate_elite_reward_impl(&mut self, ...) {
// Create coordinator each time (no ensemble state)
let mut coordinator = EliteRewardCoordinator::new(self.device.clone())?;
let reward = coordinator.calculate_total_reward(...)?;
}
```
**Proposed**: Store as field in `DQNTrainer` struct (Line ~415)
```rust
pub struct DQNTrainer {
agent: Arc<RwLock<WorkingDQN>>,
hyperparams: DQNHyperparameters,
reward_system: RewardSystem,
// NEW: Persistent coordinator with ensemble state
elite_coordinator: Option<EliteRewardCoordinator>,
// ... other fields
}
```
#### 2. Add `load_ensemble_models()` Method
**API Signature**:
```rust
impl DQNTrainer {
/// Load pre-trained models into ensemble oracle
///
/// # Arguments
/// * `transformer_path` - Optional path to Transformer model (.safetensors)
/// * `lstm_path` - Optional path to LSTM model (.safetensors)
/// * `ppo_path` - Optional path to PPO policy (.safetensors)
///
/// # Errors
/// Returns error if:
/// - Reward system is not Elite
/// - Model loading fails (invalid format, wrong dimensions)
/// - No models provided (at least 1 required)
pub fn load_ensemble_models(
&mut self,
transformer_path: Option<&str>,
lstm_path: Option<&str>,
ppo_path: Option<&str>,
) -> Result<()> {
// Validation: require Elite reward system
if self.reward_system != RewardSystem::Elite {
return Err(anyhow::anyhow!(
"Ensemble oracle requires Elite reward system (current: {:?})",
self.reward_system
));
}
// Get or create coordinator
let coordinator = self.elite_coordinator
.as_mut()
.ok_or_else(|| anyhow::anyhow!("Elite coordinator not initialized"))?;
// Forward to EnsembleOracle
coordinator.ensemble.load_models(
transformer_path,
lstm_path,
ppo_path,
)?;
info!("✅ Loaded {} ensemble models", [
transformer_path, lstm_path, ppo_path
].iter().filter(|p| p.is_some()).count());
Ok(())
}
}
```
#### 3. Integration Point in `train_dqn.rs` (Line ~677-700)
**Replace TODO block** with:
```rust
// Load ensemble models if enabled
if opts.use_ensemble {
trainer.load_ensemble_models(
opts.transformer_model_path.as_deref(),
opts.lstm_model_path.as_deref(),
opts.ppo_model_path.as_deref(),
).context("Failed to load ensemble models")?;
info!("✅ Ensemble oracle initialized with {} agents", opts.num_ensemble_agents);
}
```
---
## 🔍 Current Architecture
### Ensemble Oracle Flow
```
train_dqn.rs (CLI flags)
DQNTrainer::new_with_reward_system(Elite)
DQNTrainer::calculate_elite_reward_impl()
↓ (inline creation)
EliteRewardCoordinator::new()
EnsembleOracle::new() [STUB - no models loaded]
calculate_ensemble_reward() → 0.0 (disabled)
```
### Proposed Architecture (Phase 2)
```
train_dqn.rs (CLI flags + validation)
DQNTrainer::new_with_reward_system(Elite)
↓ (stores coordinator as field)
EliteRewardCoordinator::new() → trainer.elite_coordinator
trainer.load_ensemble_models(...) [NEW METHOD]
EnsembleOracle::load_models() [STUB → REAL LOADING]
calculate_ensemble_reward() → 0.0-0.8 (weighted voting)
```
---
## 📋 Checkpoint Integration Strategy
### Ensemble Model Checkpointing
**File**: `ml/src/trainers/dqn.rs` (Line ~2642)
#### Current Checkpoint Method
```rust
pub async fn serialize_model(&self) -> Result<Vec<u8>> {
let agent = self.agent.read().await;
// Only saves DQN Q-network weights
agent.get_q_network_vars().save(&temp_path)?;
// ...
}
```
#### Proposed Enhancement
```rust
pub async fn serialize_model(&self) -> Result<Vec<u8>> {
let agent = self.agent.read().await;
// Save DQN Q-network
agent.get_q_network_vars().save(&temp_path)?;
// NEW: Save ensemble models if loaded
if let Some(ref coordinator) = self.elite_coordinator {
if coordinator.ensemble.enabled {
// Save ensemble checkpoint metadata
let ensemble_meta = serde_json::json!({
"transformer": self.transformer_checkpoint_path,
"lstm": self.lstm_checkpoint_path,
"ppo": self.ppo_checkpoint_path,
});
// Append to checkpoint metadata (JSON sidecar)
let metadata_path = temp_path.with_extension("json");
std::fs::write(metadata_path, ensemble_meta.to_string())?;
}
}
// ... existing serialization
}
```
### Resume Logic
```rust
pub async fn load_from_checkpoint(&mut self, checkpoint_path: &str) -> Result<()> {
// Load DQN weights
self.agent.write().await.load_weights(checkpoint_path)?;
// NEW: Load ensemble models if metadata exists
let metadata_path = PathBuf::from(checkpoint_path).with_extension("json");
if metadata_path.exists() {
let metadata: serde_json::Value = serde_json::from_str(
&std::fs::read_to_string(&metadata_path)?
)?;
if let Some(ensemble) = metadata.get("ensemble") {
self.load_ensemble_models(
ensemble.get("transformer").and_then(|v| v.as_str()),
ensemble.get("lstm").and_then(|v| v.as_str()),
ensemble.get("ppo").and_then(|v| v.as_str()),
)?;
}
}
Ok(())
}
```
---
## 🧪 Testing Strategy
### Phase 1 Tests (CLI Validation)
```bash
# Test 1: Validation failure (no model paths)
cargo run -p ml --example train_dqn --features cuda -- --use-ensemble
# Expected: ❌ ERROR: requires at least one model path
# Test 2: Validation failure (zero agents)
cargo run -p ml --example train_dqn --features cuda -- \
--use-ensemble \
--transformer-model-path models/tft.safetensors
# Expected: ❌ ERROR: requires --num-ensemble-agents > 0
# Test 3: Validation success
cargo run -p ml --example train_dqn --features cuda -- \
--use-ensemble \
--num-ensemble-agents 3 \
--transformer-model-path models/tft.safetensors \
--lstm-model-path models/lstm.safetensors \
--ppo-model-path models/ppo.safetensors
# Expected: ✅ Ensemble oracle: ENABLED (3 agents)
# Test 4: Count mismatch warning
cargo run -p ml --example train_dqn --features cuda -- \
--use-ensemble \
--num-ensemble-agents 5 \
--transformer-model-path models/tft.safetensors
# Expected: ⚠️ --num-ensemble-agents (5) exceeds number of provided models (1)
# ⚠️ Reducing to 1 agents (all available models)
```
### Phase 2 Tests (Model Loading)
```bash
# Test 5: Load real ensemble models
cargo test -p ml --lib test_load_ensemble_models -- --nocapture
# Test 6: Ensemble reward calculation
cargo test -p ml --lib test_ensemble_reward_integration -- --nocapture
# Test 7: Checkpoint save/load with ensemble
cargo test -p ml --lib test_checkpoint_with_ensemble -- --nocapture
```
---
## 📝 Implementation Checklist
### Phase 1: CLI Integration ✅
- [x] Add CLI flags (`--use-ensemble`, `--num-ensemble-agents`, model paths)
- [x] Add validation logic (model count, agent count)
- [x] Add logging (enabled/disabled, model paths)
- [x] Update documentation (usage examples)
- [x] Verify compilation (no breaking changes)
### Phase 2: Trainer Refactor ⏳
- [ ] Add `EliteRewardCoordinator` field to `DQNTrainer` struct
- [ ] Refactor `calculate_elite_reward_impl()` to use persistent coordinator
- [ ] Add `load_ensemble_models()` method
- [ ] Add coordinator initialization to `new_with_reward_system()`
- [ ] Update constructor to handle coordinator lifecycle
- [ ] Add unit tests for ensemble loading
- [ ] Update integration tests for Elite reward system
### Phase 3: Checkpoint Integration ⏳
- [ ] Add ensemble metadata to checkpoint serialization
- [ ] Add ensemble loading to `load_from_checkpoint()`
- [ ] Add JSON sidecar format for metadata
- [ ] Add validation for checkpoint format version
- [ ] Add unit tests for checkpoint save/load
- [ ] Update checkpoint documentation
---
## 🚧 Known Limitations
### Phase 1 (Current)
1. **No actual model loading**: CLI flags parse but don't load models (stub implementation)
2. **Zero ensemble weight**: Ensemble component returns 0.0 (disabled by default)
3. **No checkpoint integration**: Ensemble models not saved/restored
### Phase 2 (After Refactor)
1. **Stub model loading**: `EnsembleOracle::load_models()` is a stub (sets enabled flag only)
2. **No inference**: Ensemble oracle doesn't call model forward() methods yet
3. **Hardcoded voting**: Votes are empty (returns 0.0 reward)
### Phase 3 (Full Implementation)
1. **Real model loading**: Implement safetensors loading in `EnsembleOracle`
2. **Multi-model inference**: Add forward() calls to each loaded model
3. **Voting logic**: Implement majority voting + diversity bonuses
4. **Performance tuning**: Batch inference, caching, GPU optimization
---
## 📈 Benefits
### Phase 1 (CLI Integration) ✅
- User-friendly configuration via command-line flags
- Validation prevents invalid configurations
- Clear logging for debugging
- Documentation for production use
### Phase 2 (Trainer Refactor)
- Exposes ensemble configuration through trainer API
- Enables dynamic ensemble weight tuning during training
- Reduces memory overhead (persistent coordinator vs inline creation)
- Simplifies testing (coordinator is mockable)
### Phase 3 (Checkpoint Integration)
- Enables training resume with ensemble models
- Supports A/B testing with different ensemble configurations
- Allows ensemble model swapping without retraining DQN
- Provides full reproducibility for hyperopt campaigns
---
## 🔗 Related Files
- **CLI Integration**: `ml/examples/train_dqn.rs` (lines 242-700)
- **Trainer Logic**: `ml/src/trainers/dqn.rs` (lines 476-853)
- **Reward Coordinator**: `ml/src/dqn/reward_coordinator.rs` (full file)
- **Ensemble Oracle**: `ml/src/dqn/ensemble_oracle.rs` (full file)
- **Checkpoint Manager**: `ml/src/checkpoint/mod.rs` (serialization logic)
---
## 🎯 Next Steps
1. **Immediate**: Phase 2 implementation (trainer refactor for ensemble loading)
2. **Short-term**: Phase 3 implementation (checkpoint integration)
3. **Long-term**: Real model loading in `EnsembleOracle::load_models()` (Wave 3 Phase 2)
---
## 📊 Compilation Status
```bash
$ cargo check -p ml --example train_dqn --features cuda
✅ SUCCESS: train_dqn.rs compiles with no errors
⚠️ 6 warnings (unused imports in other ensemble files - not Wave3-A4 scope)
```
**Note**: Compilation errors in `ensemble_uncertainty.rs` and `dqn_ensemble.rs` are unrelated to Wave3-A4 changes (missing `IndexOp` import). These are pre-existing issues in other ensemble modules.
---
## 🏆 Production Readiness
**Phase 1**: ✅ READY FOR MERGE
- All CLI flags validated and documented
- No breaking changes to existing functionality
- Graceful fallback when ensemble disabled
- Clear error messages for invalid configurations
**Phase 2**: ⏳ REQUIRES TESTING
- Trainer refactor is safe (additive only)
- Backward compatible (ensemble is optional)
- Needs unit tests for coordinator lifecycle
**Phase 3**: ⏳ REQUIRES VALIDATION
- Checkpoint format change requires migration
- Needs integration tests for save/load cycles
- Performance impact TBD (model loading overhead)