jgrusewski 4cf9499b58 feat(ml-alpha): Phase 1d.2 multi-minute label + smoke (K=6000 architectural test)
The DECISIVE gate for FoxhuntQ-Δ's two-head architecture. The K-sweep
(commit db874b184) showed stateless single-snapshot alpha decays from
K=50 peak to gone by K=500. The two-head design exists to amplify
short-horizon evidence into long-horizon prediction via SSM state
accumulation; this smoke is the actual test of that hypothesis.

Gate per the implementation plan:
- AUC > 0.55 at K=6000 → multi-minute alpha confirmed, design validated
- AUC < 0.52                → decisive FAIL, design dead in current form
- 0.52 ≤ AUC ≤ 0.55         → marginal, tune or extend seq_len

New module `multi_horizon_labels.rs` generates labels at arbitrary K
with tie-drops + NaN guards (mirror of `purged_split::binary_direction_label`
semantics but bypassing Phase1aConfig's hardcoded K=100). 5 unit tests
covering: strict-ramp all-ones, constant-series all-tied, K-too-large
edge case, index alignment with mixed up/down/tied, non-finite drops.

New example `phase1d_long_horizon.rs` loads snapshot fxcache, generates
K=6000 labels, splits 80/20 with horizon-sized embargo (so train sequences
ending near boundary don't share forward-window prices with val), trains
Mamba2 (seq_len=32, hidden=64, state=16), reports val AUC.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-15 09:00:17 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Python 1.3%
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