jgrusewski 679ab3f5eb feat(ml-alpha): Kendall sigma-weighted BCE kernel + numgrad (v2 A) [V7]
New `bce_multi_horizon_sigma_forward_backward` kernel implementing the
Kendall homoscedastic uncertainty weighting per spec axis A:

  raw_bce_h   = Σ_{i in h, m_i=1} L_i
  count_h     = #{i in h : m_i = 1}
  mean_bce_h  = raw_bce_h / count_h
  w_h         = base_weight_h / (2 · exp(2 · log_sigma_h))
  total_loss  = Σ_h [ w_h · mean_bce_h + log_sigma_h ]
  d L / d p_i           = m_i · (w_h / count_h) · (p − y) / (p (1 − p))
  d L / d log_sigma_h   = 1 − 2 · w_h · mean_bce_h

NVIDIA-grade implementation per feedback_nvidia_grade_perf_for_kernels:
  - Warp-shuffle reduction (`__shfl_xor_sync`) for both per-horizon
    sums and the global valid count, replacing block tree-reduce.
  - One `__syncthreads` for the cross-warp aggregate; no inner-loop
    barriers.
  - Non-divergent shuffles: inactive lanes contribute 0 via ternary,
    never via `if (tid < N) shuffle`.
  - Coalesced strided access in both forward and gradient passes.
  - Pre-compiled cubin via build.rs; no nvrtc.

Independent of the legacy `bce_loss_multi_horizon` kernel — that one
stays untouched so eval/smoke paths are unaffected. The v2 trainer
wires this kernel in via commit V10.

Standalone helper `bce_sigma_loss_and_grad_gpu` in `trainer::loss_sigma`
for numgrad parity tests. Three numgrad tests all PASS on RTX 3050
(sm_86) within 5e-2 rel / 5e-3 abs:
  - d_log_sigma_h ↔ central-difference (numgrad on log_sigma)
  - grad_probs    ↔ central-difference (8 random positions)
  - total_loss    ↔ closed-form reconstructed from mean_bce_per_h

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 13:35:26 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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