jgrusewski 6b7920474d spec(ml-alpha): mark AUC-regret controller SUPERSEDED — empirically falsified
The motivating "50% saturation hit-rate" observation came from gm67g
fold 0 (Option-2 config, commit 004b662c8 — itself a -0.003 mean_auc
regression vs ISV-σ at 410ab6b0e). Re-running the same diagnostic on
the actual production baseline (ISV-σ 3 folds: rxm5t/r57lx/x24d6,
logs retrieved from MinIO argo-logs bucket) on 215 horizon-epoch
observations:

  saturated λ→AUC up:     8/13 = 61.5%   median Δauc = +0.0025
  non-saturated→AUC up:  96/202 = 47.5%   median Δauc = -0.0012
  difference:            +14pp in favor of the controller working

The BCE-z-score controller is empirically correlated with the
optimization target. No evidence it's misaligned with AUC. Spec
premise falsified.

Spec retained in tree as historical record. The diagnostic
methodology itself (saturation→Δauc analysis on archived MinIO logs)
is the durable artifact and is documented in the supersede block.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-18 23:24:01 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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