The hysteresis params were chosen by looking at the data = in-sample. Clean OOS protocol (same that killed PEAD): pick best config on first 60% by IS Sharpe, apply EXACT config blind to last 40%. Reports IS-best -> OOS Sharpe, robustness (configs IS>2 that also OOS>1), OOS per-month. Decisive: OOS holds -> real; OOS collapses -> in-sample fit. Monitor armed. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
3.7 KiB
3.7 KiB