jgrusewski 9d0c124cee fix(sp14-egf): gate q_disagreement EMA update on total_cnt > 0 — fixes training-time decay-to-zero of rollout signal
Root cause from train-6fcml 5-epoch trajectory (commit 5608b866b after
producer cadence migration): HEALTH_DIAG[0] (post-experience-collection)
showed q_dis_s=0.0595 q_dis_l=0.1329 var_q=0.00091 — meaningful rollout
signal. HEALTH_DIAG[1+] (post-training, per-step launches) all showed
q_dis_s=0.0000 q_dis_l=0.0000 var_q=0.00000 — signal decayed to zero
inside ONE epoch.

The kernel's ISV write block ran unconditionally even when total_cnt
(non-masked-row count after Hold/Flat masking) was 0. Empty-batch
launches blended `batch_mean = 0/1 = 0` into the EMA, decaying the
rollout signal to 0 over ~178 training steps × 0.7^n. Per-step training
launches read replay batches whose Q-direction picks are dominated by
Hold/Flat (the natural distribution); so total_cnt = 0 was the common
case, not a corner case.

Fix (atomic, single kernel):
- Wrap the ISV write block in `if (total_cnt > 0.0f) { ... }`. When the
  training batch has no non-masked rows, the kernel is a no-op for that
  step — EMAs stay at the prior step's values. Stream-ordered launches
  still run; only the ISV write is skipped.
- Remove redundant `&& (total_cnt > 0.0f)` clause from the `is_first`
  bootstrap check (now guaranteed by the outer gate).

Per pearl_first_observation_bootstrap semantics: "no observation"
preserves prior; only "first observation" replaces sentinel. Decay-on-
empty was inconsistent with both rules.

Other EGF-chain kernels audited:
- alpha_grad_compute_kernel.cu — operates on persistent ISV state,
  no batch concept; var_aux/var_alpha Welford updates use `diff` of
  persistent EMAs, not batch means. No empty-batch path. SAFE.
- aux_dir_acc_reduce_kernel.cu — emits out_6[0..3] with sentinel
  fallback (0.5) when denom==0; downstream apply_fixed_alpha_ema then
  blends 0.5 toward EMA. The sentinel is the random-baseline (target
  threshold lies above it), so empty-batch pulls EMA toward harmless
  baseline rather than zero. Different semantics from q_disagreement
  (which has 0 — far below baseline 0.5). SAFE.
- gradient_hack_detect_kernel.cu — single-thread state machine on
  persistent ISV, no batch. SAFE.

Verification:
- 6 existing sp14_oracle_tests pass.
- New q_disagreement_empty_batch_preserves_ema test asserts bit-exact
  preservation of pre-seeded EMAs (0.0595, 0.1329, 0.0009 — the
  train-6fcml HEALTH_DIAG[0] values) across an all-Hold batch. Catches
  the regression the existing all-hold test missed (its bound
  `[0.0, 0.5]` accepted both decay-to-blend and preserve-prior; the new
  test is strict bit-equality).
- L40S smoke validation pending — train-6fcml symptoms (alpha_smoothed
  stuck at 0.0002, gate1 closed forever) expected to resolve.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 20:54:07 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Python 1.3%
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