jgrusewski a3bb040bc2 test(dqn): Phase 0 Test 0.E — synthetic edge discovery via Thompson Q-learning
Algorithmic property test (CPU). Confirms Thompson exploration discovers
KNOWN +0.005 edge in 100 iterations on a 1-state bandit, while
argmax-only training never updates Q[Long].

Setup revised from plan A draft (option 3 — production-realistic):
  p_long initial = [0.10, 0.20, 0.40, 0.20, 0.10] (uniform, E=0, has σ)
  p_flat initial = [0, 0, 1, 0, 0]                (δ(v=0), deterministic)
  Argmax with strict-> ties at E=0 → always picks Flat → never explores
  Long → Q[Long] stays at 0, never discovers edge.
  Thompson samples Long > 0 with P≈0.30 → ~30 effective updates → mean
  drifts toward +0.005, crosses Q[Flat]=0 within budget.

Plan's prior draft (initial p_long with mean=-0.015 + p_flat=δ(0)) was
calibration-bound: Thompson drift was directionally correct (-0.015 →
-0.005) but didn't cross zero in 100 iters. Revised setup eliminates
the artificial initial bias and matches production reality more
closely (Flat = δ(0) by construction; Long starts spread from random
init, then accumulates true edge).

Stop condition: if Thompson e_long ≤ e_flat with this setup, the
hypothesis is genuinely wrong and reward shaping must change before
proceeding to Phase 2.

Observed (local RTX 3050 Ti, ~0.00s test wall, ~1.57s 5-test suite):
  argmax  : e_long=0.000000, e_flat=0.000000 (asserts e_long ≤ 0.001 OK)
  thompson: e_long=0.003550, e_flat=0.000000 (asserts e_long > e_flat OK)

All 5 Phase 0 tests pass: 0.A bias-reproduces, 0.B inverse-CDF,
0.C IQN symmetry, 0.D Thompson-reverses, 0.E synthetic-edge.
2026-04-27 09:20:18 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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