jgrusewski a86fba2b1d fix(dqn): val_dir_dist + active_frac measurement artifact (-1 sentinel)
After done_flags[w]=1 (capital floor breach), backtest_env_step
early-returns without writing actions_history_buf for remaining slots
in [done_step, max_len). The prior zero-init decoded those slots as
Short Quarter Market Normal (action 0) via `dir = 0/27 = 0` and
inflated val_dir_dist's Short bucket / active_frac to a measurement
artifact masking real model behaviour.

Two-part fix:

1. `gpu_backtest_evaluator.rs::reset_evaluation_state`: replace
   `memset_zeros` for actions_history_buf with
   `cuMemsetD32Async(0xFFFFFFFFu32)` writing -1 sentinel. The Rust
   readers already filter `if a < 0 { continue; }` so unwritten slots
   are skipped correctly post-fix.

2. `backtest_metrics_kernel.cu`: add `if (act < 0) continue;` after
   reading actions_history. The reduce-side metrics
   (buy_count/sell_count/hold_count → active_frac/dir_entropy +
   bnd_* trade-boundary detection) now consistently skip unwritten
   slots. step_returns at those slots are still zero-init (correct)
   so summing them with r=0 is a no-op.

Empirical impact (local 3-fold × 5-epoch smoke, RTX 3050 Ti):
  val_dir_dist Short: 81-84% → 13-29% (matches val_picked within 5pp)
  active_frac:       87-91% → 31-50%
  dir_entropy:       0.57    → 0.83-1.02

The pre-fix "val-Flat-collapse" / "Short-collapse" pathology that
motivated substantial subsequent investigation (incl. the 4-plan
distributional-RL Thompson rollout draft) was largely a measurement
artifact from this bug surfacing differently before vs after the
Kelly cap fix (`0c9d1ee39`). Pre-Kelly the Kelly cap clamped most
Long/Short → Flat → actions_history was densely written with Flat
encoding → 80% Flat reading (real Kelly pathology + small artifact).
Post-Kelly the picks survive but the poor smoke-trained model
breaches capital floor often → many unwritten Short slots → 83%
Short reading (pure artifact). With both fixes, val_dir_dist now
reflects real model behaviour.

Audit entry updated in docs/dqn-wire-up-audit.md.
2026-04-27 10:36:09 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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