jgrusewski ab4b7c64cb feat(ml-alpha): GPU-native stacked regime head on top of Mamba2 (Phase 1d.3)
Builds a second-stage MLP that takes [mamba_logit, 6 Block-S features]
as input (7 dims) and learns the joint alpha-and-regime score in one
calibrated output. Trains on the cal half of val (same 50/50 split as
Platt/isotonic so all comparisons are on the same held-out test bars).

Architecture: 7 → hidden_dim → 1 sigmoid, GELU activation, BCE-with-logits
loss, AdamW. Uses the existing GPU-native `MlpModel` from
crates/ml-alpha/src/mlp.rs — same primitives used for the Phase 1c MLP
baseline. No CPU compute on the hot path (per feedback_cpu_is_read_only);
all weights, activations, gradients, optimizer state on GPU; host writes
the input matrix to a pinned buffer once per batch via GpuTensor::from_host.

The Block-S columns are z-score normalised using cal-half statistics
(then applied to the full val matrix) before training; mamba_logit is
left raw since it's already close to standard-normal scale via the
Mamba's natural calibration (see pearl_mamba_sss_state_yields_native_calibration).

After training, reports stacker held-out accuracy + AUC + Brier +
log-loss, plus stratified accuracy by Block-S feature so we can see
whether the stacker absorbed the regime conditioning (uniform accuracy
across quintiles) or just sharpened the Q4-gate (still elevated in Q4).

Why this matters for production deployment per pearl_mamba_inherits_regime_structure:
- Single calibrated score for conformal coverage gating downstream
- Retrainable when market regimes drift
- Captures interactions between regime features that a static threshold
  AND can't (e.g., spread-Q4 only when book is balanced)
- Replaces the planned Phase 1d.3 dual-head architecture with a smaller
  stacked-generalisation approach (no separate regime classifier)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-15 09:26:23 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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