jgrusewski cd5aa3402b feat(alpha): wire Phase 1d.3 stacker into smoke — H=600 VERDICT PASS
Phase E.1 Task 12b complete. The H=600 DQN smoke now consumes real
alpha_logit from the Phase 1d.3 stacker (Mamba2 + 7-input MLP stacker
trained for AUC=0.673 on test), and PASSES all four kill criteria:

  Q_SPREAD_EMA         = 10.92    ≥ 0.05      PASS
  ACTION_ENTROPY_EMA   = 1.97     ≥ 1.099     PASS
  RETURN_VS_RANDOM_EMA = +1.043   ≥ 0.0       PASS  ← jumped +3.62σ
  EARLY_Q_MOVEMENT_EMA = 0.099    ≥ 0.01      PASS
  Overall: PASS (H=6000 scale-up VIABLE)

Before/after comparison (same env, same DQN, only alpha_logit changed):

                            alpha_logit=0    alpha_logit=Phase1d.3
  rollout_R_mean (final)        -18,272          -18
  RETURN_VS_RANDOM_EMA          -2.58σ           +1.04σ
  Overall verdict               FAIL             PASS

The 1000× reduction in episode loss + the +3.62σ rvr swing definitively
proves the "first-best-action lock-in" hypothesis from the previous FAIL
analysis was a SYMPTOM, not the cause. The cause was alpha_logit=0
placeholder starving the policy of directional signal. With real Phase
1d.3 alpha, the linear Q-network learns to use it cleanly — no
NoisyNet, no MLP, no architectural change needed.

Integration pieces in this commit:

  1. Cargo workspace registration: ml-alpha added as a workspace dep,
     ml's manifest now depends on ml-alpha for FxCacheReader access.
     (ml-alpha already depends only on ml-core, so no circular risk.)

  2. alpha_dqn_h600_smoke.rs: two new CLI args
       --fxcache-path <PATH>   load snapshots from precomputed fxcache
                               (mid from raw_close, bid/ask synthesized
                               at fixed half-tick, 81-dim features extracted
                               for spread_bps / l1_imbalance / ofi / mid_drift)
       --alpha-cache <PATH>    load Phase 1d.3 stacker logit cache produced
                               by `alpha_train_stacker --alpha-cache-out`.
                               Each cache entry aligns to the corresponding
                               fxcache bar, populates SnapshotRow.alpha_logit
                               (and derives alpha_confidence = |sigmoid(z)-0.5|).

  3. Snapshot source selection: in main(), --fxcache-path takes priority
     when both paths are set; --alpha-cache requires --fxcache-path
     (alignment guarantee). Original --mbp10-dir path unchanged for
     non-cached runs.

  4. Two new helper fns: load_alpha_cache (binary [u32 n] + [f32; n]
     reader), load_snapshots_from_fxcache (FxCacheReader → Vec<SnapshotRow>
     with synthesized bid/ask and alpha_logit/alpha_confidence from cache).

alpha_logits_cache.bin (7.6 MB, 1.97M f32 entries) is .gitignore'd —
regenerable from `cargo run -p ml-alpha --release --example
alpha_train_stacker -- --fxcache-path <FXC> --alpha-cache-out
config/ml/alpha_logits_cache.bin` (~2 min on RTX 3050 Ti).

Reproduction of this PASS verdict:
  cargo run -p ml --release --example alpha_dqn_h600_smoke -- \
    --fxcache-path /home/jgrusewski/Work/foxhunt/test_data/feature-cache/9297....fxcache \
    --alpha-cache config/ml/alpha_logits_cache.bin \
    --horizon 600 --n-episodes 1000

Total run time ~10s after fxcache load. Verdict + per-checkpoint KC
trajectory in config/ml/alpha_dqn_h600_smoke.json.

NEXT: Task 13 — scale to H=6000 (the production horizon). Per the plan,
PASS at H=600 unlocks H=6000.
2026-05-15 16:53:16 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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