jgrusewski cd82f9a4a0 feat(ml-backtesting): threshold gate + per-fill cost integration (P4)
Adds the two sweep axes that the spec's deployability grid needs but
were missing from the kernels:

Threshold gate (decision_policy.cu, both kernels):
- New per-backtest `threshold_per_b` array kernel arg.
- Pre-Kelly prelude: if max_h |alpha[h] - 0.5| * 2 < threshold[b],
  emit noop and return. Kept deterministic from alpha alone so the
  threshold pre-registration step (p60-p95 absolute calibration on a
  validation window, future P6) reflects exactly what gets gated in
  deployment.

Per-fill cost integration (resting_orders.cu / apply_fill_to_pos):
- apply_fill_to_pos signature grows three args: b, cost_per_lot_per_side_per_b,
  total_fees_per_b. Single insertion point at line 90.
- After the close-leg realized_pnl math runs (so the gross unwind P&L
  is preserved), deduct fill_cost = filled_lots * cost_per_lot_per_side[b]
  from pos.realized_pnl AND accumulate into total_fees_per_b[b].
- Net-of-cost semantics: isv_kelly_update_on_close reads realized_pnl
  delta which is now net of cost — Kelly state learns from realistic
  return distribution.
- All 3 apply_fill_to_pos call sites in step_resting_orders updated.
  order_match.cu's submit_market_immediate path is dead code in the
  post-P1 flow (everything routes through seed_inflight_limits_batched
  → step_resting_orders → apply_fill_to_pos) so not touched here.

BatchedSimConfig + UniformSimParams + BacktestHarnessConfig gain
threshold + cost_per_lot_per_side fields. All UniformSimParams
constructors in tests and main.rs updated with defaults (0.0, 0.0 =
gate disabled, frictionless).

Regression:
- threshold_gate_skips_low_conviction (p=0.51 + threshold=0.10 → noop)
- threshold_gate_allows_high_conviction (p=0.8 + threshold=0.10 → buy 1+)
- threshold_zero_is_passthrough (sanity)
- All P1+P2+P3 tests continue to pass via the new ABI.

cost_deducted_at_each_fill + kelly_state_sees_net_return end-to-end
tests deferred — they require a full submit_market → fill → close
sequence, which the production smoke exercises.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-19 17:13:29 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
No description provided
Readme 849 MiB
Languages
Rust 88.2%
Cuda 7.7%
Python 1.3%
Shell 1.1%
PLpgSQL 0.8%
Other 0.8%