jgrusewski d2a27a0042 exp(sp13): aux_w=1.0 override + directional accuracy metric for data investigation
One-shot diagnostic to answer the SP13 root question: does the data have
predictable directional signal at the bar level?

Wires the existing `aux_next_bar_loss_reduce` kernel (which already had a
4-strip shmem reduction emitting `[dir_acc, pos_pred_frac, pos_label_frac]`
into a 3-float output) end-to-end:
  - `gpu_aux_heads.rs`: launcher takes `dir_acc_out_ptr`, allocates 4×AUX_BLOCK
    shmem to back the four parallel reductions.
  - `gpu_dqn_trainer.rs`: adds `aux_nb_dir_acc_buf` (3 f32 device buffer),
    threads it through the loss-reduce launch, exposes `read_aux_dir_acc()`
    accessor for once-per-epoch DtoH readback.
  - `training_loop.rs`: pins `aux_w = 1.0` (instead of the ISV-driven 0.05–0.3
    clamp) so the supervised aux head dominates the loss; emits a new
    `HEALTH_DIAG[ep]: aux_dir_acc accuracy=… pos_pred_frac=… pos_label_frac=…`
    line per epoch.

Verdict thresholds:
  * dir_acc > 55% by ep 5 ⇒ data has signal, DQN failing to use it
  * dir_acc ≈ 50% throughout ⇒ data lacks signal at this timescale
  * dir_acc 60–70% ⇒ strong signal we're not using

EXPERIMENT BRANCH — revert this commit after the investigation reads back the
5-epoch table from smoke logs. All five touch points are tagged
"SP13 data-investigation" / "EXPERIMENT" for clean revert.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-04 21:11:16 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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