feat(cockpit): compare mode charges MEASURED per-coin costs (CS spread + fee) — de-inflates the broad Binance book
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
@@ -197,6 +197,25 @@ class PaperRepo:
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.order_by(PaperShadowPositionRow.sleeve, PaperShadowPositionRow.symbol))
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return [Position(r.sleeve, r.symbol, r.qty, r.entry_price, r.entry_date) for r in rows]
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def shadow_run_dates(self) -> list[str]:
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"""Every run_date with a UNIT shadow book, ascending (ISO strings) — the date axis the per-coin
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compare walks to surface within-sleeve weights. READ-ONLY."""
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with Session(self._engine) as s:
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rows = s.scalars(select(PaperShadowPositionRow.run_date)
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.where(PaperShadowPositionRow.venue == self._venue)
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.distinct().order_by(PaperShadowPositionRow.run_date.asc()))
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return [r.isoformat() for r in rows]
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def shadow_positions_on(self, run_date: str) -> list[Position]:
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"""The UNIT shadow book persisted for EXACTLY `run_date` (sleeve+symbol ordered). READ-ONLY."""
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rd = dt.date.fromisoformat(run_date)
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with Session(self._engine) as s:
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rows = s.scalars(select(PaperShadowPositionRow)
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.where(PaperShadowPositionRow.venue == self._venue,
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PaperShadowPositionRow.run_date == rd)
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.order_by(PaperShadowPositionRow.sleeve, PaperShadowPositionRow.symbol))
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return [Position(r.sleeve, r.symbol, r.qty, r.entry_price, r.entry_date) for r in rows]
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def weight_for(self, sleeve: str) -> float:
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with Session(self._engine) as s:
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rd = self._latest_run_date(s)
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@@ -31,7 +31,8 @@ def create_app(repo: ForwardNavRepo, svc: DashboardReadModel | None = None,
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paper_repo: PaperRepo | None = None,
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live: LivePrice | None = None,
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bybit_paper_repo: PaperRepo | None = None,
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bybit_live: LivePrice | None = None) -> FastAPI:
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bybit_live: LivePrice | None = None,
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feature_store: Any | None = None) -> FastAPI:
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app = FastAPI(title="fxhnt cockpit")
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app.mount("/static", StaticFiles(directory=_HERE / "static"), name="static")
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templates = Jinja2Templates(directory=str(_HERE / "templates"))
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@@ -371,80 +372,45 @@ def create_app(repo: ForwardNavRepo, svc: DashboardReadModel | None = None,
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"now": _now(),
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}
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def _book_first_last(returns: dict[str, dict[int, float]]) -> tuple[int | None, int | None]:
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"""The (first, last) epoch-day present across all sleeves of a returns table, or (None, None)."""
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days = [d for r in returns.values() for d in r]
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return (min(days), max(days)) if days else (None, None)
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def _compare_summary(book: str, label: str, res: Any, capital: float) -> dict[str, Any]:
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"""One row of the side-by-side compare table for a single book's SimResult over the shared window:
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Sharpe, CAGR, total return %, maxDD, final equity, n_days. data-* attrs carry machine-readable
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final/start equity so a test (and any client) can read them without parsing formatted text."""
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m = res.metrics
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n_days = len(res.dates)
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# Both curves compound from `capital` on day 1, so the honest "start equity" for the comparison is
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# the configured capital itself — both books are normalized to the SAME base.
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return {
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"book": book,
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"label": label,
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"sharpe": m.get("sharpe", 0.0),
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"cagr": m.get("cagr", 0.0),
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"total_return": m.get("total_return", 0.0),
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"max_dd": m.get("max_dd", 0.0),
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"end_value": m.get("end_value", capital),
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"n_days": n_days,
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"start_equity": capital,
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}
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def _binance_feature_store() -> Any | None:
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"""The Binance warehouse feature store (`features` table) the compare reads per-coin high/low from
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for the MEASURED Corwin–Schultz spread. The injected store (tests) wins; else build one from
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settings, returning None on any failure so the compare degrades to the fee-floor cost (never 500)."""
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if feature_store is not None:
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return feature_store
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try:
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from fxhnt.adapters.warehouse.timescale_feature_store import TimescaleFeatureStore
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from fxhnt.config import get_settings
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return TimescaleFeatureStore(get_settings().operational_dsn, table="features")
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except Exception: # noqa: BLE001 — a missing warehouse must not break the page
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return None
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def _compare_context(*, capital: float, start: str | None, end: str | None,
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cost_bps: float) -> dict[str, Any]:
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"""COMPARE mode: run BOTH books over the SAME window + SAME cost, overlaid, with a side-by-side
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metrics table — so Binance vs Bybit is apples-to-apples (the live equity figures are misleading).
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"""COMPARE mode: run BOTH books over the OVERLAP window with a per-COIN MEASURED cost, overlaid,
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with a side-by-side metrics table — apples-to-apples AND de-inflated (the old flat cost flattered
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Binance's broad/illiquid universe; now each coin pays its real Corwin–Schultz-measured spread).
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Window default = the OVERLAP: start = max(first_binance, first_bybit), end = min(last_*), so both
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books have data the whole window. The user's explicit start/end override. Both books are charged the
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SAME `cost_bps` and both curves are normalized to the SAME start `capital` (so shapes compare
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directly). A no-overlap window degrades gracefully (a note, no 500)."""
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from fxhnt.application.paper_sim import simulate_book, simulate_naive_eqwt
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Window default = the OVERLAP: start = max(first_binance, first_bybit), end = min(last_*). The user's
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explicit start/end override. Both curves normalize to the SAME start `capital`. Per-coin cost = the
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taker fee + half the MEASURED CS spread (Binance from the `features` warehouse high/low); a
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no-overlap window degrades gracefully (a note, no 500). `cost_bps` is NO LONGER the compare's cost
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knob (the measured per-coin cost replaces it) — it is retained only on the single-book modes."""
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from fxhnt.application.compare_measured_cost import compare_measured_cost
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bin_returns = _sim_returns("binance_combined")
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by_returns = _sim_returns("bybit_4edge")
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# Auto-overlap unless the user pinned a side. max(starts) -> min(ends) is the window both cover.
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bin_lo, bin_hi = _book_first_last(bin_returns)
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by_lo, by_hi = _book_first_last(by_returns)
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user_lo = _parse_ord(start)
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user_hi = _parse_ord(end)
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auto_lo = max(x for x in (bin_lo, by_lo) if x is not None) if (bin_lo and by_lo) else None
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auto_hi = min(x for x in (bin_hi, by_hi) if x is not None) if (bin_hi and by_hi) else None
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win_lo = user_lo if user_lo is not None else auto_lo
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win_hi = user_hi if user_hi is not None else auto_hi
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bin_sleeves = sorted(bin_returns.keys())
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by_sleeves = sorted(by_returns.keys())
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bin_res = simulate_book(bin_returns, capital=capital, sleeves=bin_sleeves,
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start=win_lo, end=win_hi, controller="killswitch",
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kelly_fraction=1.0, cost_bps=cost_bps)
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by_res = simulate_naive_eqwt(by_returns, capital=capital, sleeves=by_sleeves,
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start=win_lo, end=win_hi, cost_bps=cost_bps)
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no_overlap = not bin_res.dates or not by_res.dates
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curve = dual_equity_curve(bin_res.equity, by_res.equity, width=600, height=180,
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rep = compare_measured_cost(_paper_repo(), _binance_feature_store(), capital=capital,
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start=_parse_ord(start), end=_parse_ord(end))
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curve = dual_equity_curve(rep["equity_a"], rep["equity_b"], width=600, height=180,
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label_a="Binance", label_b="Bybit")
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rows = [
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_compare_summary("binance_combined", "Binance", bin_res, capital),
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_compare_summary("bybit_4edge", "Bybit", by_res, capital),
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]
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win_lo_iso = dt.date.fromordinal(win_lo).isoformat() if win_lo is not None else ""
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win_hi_iso = dt.date.fromordinal(win_hi).isoformat() if win_hi is not None else ""
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return {
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"compare": True,
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"curve": curve,
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"rows": rows,
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"no_overlap": no_overlap,
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"window_start": win_lo_iso,
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"window_end": win_hi_iso,
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"cfg": {"capital": capital, "start": win_lo_iso, "end": win_hi_iso,
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"rows": rep["rows"],
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"no_overlap": rep["no_overlap"],
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"window_start": rep["window_start"],
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"window_end": rep["window_end"],
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"taker_fee_bps": rep["taker_fee_bps"],
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"cfg": {"capital": capital, "start": rep["window_start"], "end": rep["window_end"],
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"sleeves": [], "kelly": 1.0, "controller": "killswitch",
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"cost_bps": cost_bps, "book": _COMPARE_BOOK},
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"available_sleeves": [],
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@@ -535,6 +501,13 @@ def create_app_from_settings() -> FastAPI:
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TimescaleFeatureStore(settings.operational_dsn, table="bybit_features"))
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except Exception: # noqa: BLE001 — never let the bybit mark source block startup
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bybit_live = None
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# The Binance warehouse (`features` table) the compare reads per-coin high/low from for the MEASURED
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# Corwin–Schultz spread. None on failure → the compare degrades to the fee-floor cost (never 500).
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try:
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from fxhnt.adapters.warehouse.timescale_feature_store import TimescaleFeatureStore
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feature_store: object | None = TimescaleFeatureStore(settings.operational_dsn, table="features")
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except Exception: # noqa: BLE001 — a missing warehouse must not block startup
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feature_store = None
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# Live MTM via Binance public REST over httpx (in the cockpit's `web` extra — ccxt is NOT in the
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# cockpit image). Fall back to a no-op source if even that fails: the cockpit must always boot;
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# /paper then marks positions at entry price.
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@@ -545,4 +518,5 @@ def create_app_from_settings() -> FastAPI:
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from fxhnt.adapters.exchange.httpx_live_price import NullLivePrice
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live = NullLivePrice()
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return create_app(repo, paper_repo=paper_repo, live=live,
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bybit_paper_repo=bybit_paper_repo, bybit_live=bybit_live)
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bybit_paper_repo=bybit_paper_repo, bybit_live=bybit_live,
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feature_store=feature_store)
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@@ -1,7 +1,9 @@
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{# Compare result partial: Binance combined vs Bybit 4-edge over the SAME window + SAME cost, overlaid on
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one dual-series chart with a side-by-side metrics table — so they're apples-to-apples (the live equity
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figures are misleading: Binance is 4.5y/broad/under-costed, Bybit ~1 day). NO per-day slider here — the
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point is the de-inflated A/B, not scrubbing one curve. #}
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{# Compare result partial: Binance combined vs Bybit 4-edge over the SAME OVERLAP window, charged a per-COIN
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MEASURED cost (taker fee + half the Corwin–Schultz measured spread from real high/low), overlaid on one
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dual-series chart with a side-by-side metrics table — apples-to-apples AND de-inflated. The old flat
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cost flattered Binance's broad/illiquid universe; now each coin pays its real measured spread, so the
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broad book's gross-vs-net gap widens. Per-book MEDIAN measured spread + AVG cost drag are shown so the
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illiquidity penalty is auditable. NO per-day slider here — the point is the de-inflated A/B. #}
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<div id="sim-result">
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{% if no_overlap %}
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<p class="muted">no overlap between the two books for this window — Binance and Bybit don't both have data
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@@ -11,7 +13,7 @@
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<div class="muted" style="font-size:12px; margin-bottom:8px">
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Same window <b>{{ window_start }} → {{ window_end }}</b>
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· same flat cost <b>{{ '%.1f'|format(cfg.cost_bps) }}bp</b>
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· per-coin <b>MEASURED</b> cost
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· both normalized to <b>${{ cfg.capital|money }}</b> start capital.
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</div>
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@@ -26,6 +28,8 @@
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">total return</th>
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">max DD</th>
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">final $</th>
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">median spread (bps)</th>
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">avg cost drag (bps)</th>
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<th style="padding:4px 14px">n days</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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@@ -33,13 +37,17 @@
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{% for row in rows %}
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<tr style="text-align:right; border-top:1px solid #21262d"
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data-book="{{ row.book }}" data-final="{{ '%.2f'|format(row.end_value) }}"
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data-start-equity="{{ '%.2f'|format(row.start_equity) }}">
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data-start-equity="{{ '%.2f'|format(row.start_equity) }}"
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data-median-spread="{{ '%.2f'|format(row.median_spread_bps) }}"
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data-cost-drag="{{ '%.2f'|format(row.cost_drag_bps) }}">
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<td style="text-align:left; padding:4px 14px 4px 0; color:#c9d1d9"><b>{{ row.label }}</b></td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px">{{ '%.2f'|format(row.sharpe) }}</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px" class="{{ 'pos' if row.cagr >= 0 else 'neg' }}">{{ '%.1f'|format(100*row.cagr) }}%</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px" class="{{ 'pos' if row.total_return >= 0 else 'neg' }}">{{ '%.1f'|format(100*row.total_return) }}%</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px" class="neg">{{ '%.1f'|format(100*row.max_dd) }}%</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px">${{ row.end_value|money }}</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px">{{ '%.1f'|format(row.median_spread_bps) }}</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px">{{ '%.1f'|format(row.cost_drag_bps) }}</td>
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<td style="padding:4px 14px">{{ row.n_days }}</td>
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</tr>
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{% endfor %}
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@@ -47,8 +55,11 @@
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</table>
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<p class="muted" style="font-size:12px; max-width:760px">
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Same window + same flat cost; but the Binance book trades a broader/illiquid universe whose REAL costs
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are higher (see the liquidity sweep), so this still flatters Binance.
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Per-coin cost = the Bybit/Binance taker fee ({{ '%.1f'|format(taker_fee_bps) }}bp) + half the
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<b>Corwin–Schultz MEASURED spread</b> (from each coin's real daily high/low); no assumed market impact.
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The Binance book trades a broader/illiquid universe whose measured spreads are wide, so it now pays its
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REAL costs — its curve de-inflates relative to the deep/liquid Bybit set. Both books over the same
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window, both normalized to the same start capital.
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</p>
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{% endif %}
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</div>
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281
src/fxhnt/application/compare_measured_cost.py
Normal file
281
src/fxhnt/application/compare_measured_cost.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,281 @@
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"""MEASURED per-coin cost for the cockpit Backtest COMPARE mode (Binance combined vs Bybit 4-edge).
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The compare overlays the two books over their shared window. Charging both a single FLAT `cost_bps`
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FLATTERS the Binance book, whose broad/illiquid universe really pays much wider spreads than the
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deep/liquid Bybit set. This module charges each book a per-COIN MEASURED cost instead:
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cost_bps(coin) = taker_fee_bps + 0.5 · effective_spread_bps(coin)
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`taker_fee_bps` is the PUBLISHED perp taker fee; `effective_spread_bps(coin)` is the coin's MEASURED
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Corwin–Schultz (2012) high-low spread (`bybit_liquidity_sweep.corwin_schultz_spread_bps`, median per coin,
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negatives clamped to 0); you cross HALF per trade. NO assumed market-impact term — so the cost (and the
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de-inflation) is CAPITAL-ROBUST in bps.
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THE CRUX (reconciliation, no drift). The Binance book's per-COIN within-sleeve weights are surfaced from
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the persisted UNIT shadow book (`paper_shadow_positions`) — the EXACT mechanism that produces
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`paper_sleeve_ret`. `sleeve_daily_return` marks the PRIOR shadow lots to today's close:
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sleeve_ret[s][d] = Σᵢ qtyᵢ·(closeᵢ − entryᵢ) / Σⱼ|qtyⱼ·entryⱼ|
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The next day's shadow re-enters every coin at that day's close, so a coin's mark `closeᵢ` for day d is the
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NEXT shadow's entry for that coin. Defining the within-sleeve weight `wᵢ = qtyᵢ·entryᵢ / Σⱼ|qtyⱼ·entryⱼ|`
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and return `rᵢ = closeᵢ/entryᵢ − 1` gives, by construction,
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Σᵢ wᵢ·rᵢ ≡ Σᵢ qtyᵢ·(closeᵢ − entryᵢ)/Σⱼ|qtyⱼ·entryⱼ| ≡ sleeve_daily_return,
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so the surfaced weights reproduce the existing book's GROSS return EXACTLY — NOTHING about the Binance
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book's returns changes; only the per-day turnover HAIRCUT becomes the measured per-coin cost.
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The compare's Binance side runs the established sleeve-level risk OVERLAY (`paper_sim.overlay_pass`). The
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per-coin book effective weight on day d is `Wᵢ[d] = Σ_sleeve eff_w_sleeve[d]·wᵢ(sleeve,d)`, so the gross
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book return is `Σ_sleeve eff_w·sleeve_ret` (unchanged), and the measured cost is
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`Σ_coin |Wᵢ[d] − Wᵢ[d−1]| · cost_bps(coin)/1e4`. The Bybit side reuses the naive-eqwt per-coin book
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(`bybit_liquidity_sweep.per_coin_book_returns`) when a Bybit feature store is supplied; otherwise it falls
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back to its precomputed sleeve-level naive book at the flat cost (no per-coin Bybit data → no fabricated
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spread). READ-ONLY: only repo + warehouse READS; writes nothing.
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import statistics as st
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from typing import Any
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from fxhnt.adapters.persistence.paper_repo import PaperRepo
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from fxhnt.application.bybit_liquidity_sweep import (
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_TAKER_FEE_BPS,
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_coin_spread_bps,
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coin_cost_bps,
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)
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from fxhnt.application.paper_sim import _metrics as _sim_metrics
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from fxhnt.application.paper_sim import overlay_pass, simulate_naive_eqwt
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_PERIODS_PER_YEAR = 365
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# --- Binance per-coin weights from the persisted UNIT shadow book --------------------------------
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def binance_per_coin_weights(repo: PaperRepo, close_panel: dict[str, dict[int, float]] | None = None
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) -> dict[str, dict[int, dict[str, tuple[float, float]]]]:
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"""`{sleeve: {epoch_day: {coin: (within_sleeve_weight, coin_return)}}}` surfaced from the persisted
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UNIT shadow book — reconciling to `paper_sleeve_ret` by construction (see the module docstring).
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For each pair of CONSECUTIVE shadow dates (prev, cur): a coin's within-sleeve weight on `prev` is
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`wᵢ = qtyᵢ·entryᵢ / Σⱼ|qtyⱼ·entryⱼ|` (per sleeve), and its return realised on `cur` is the prior lot
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marked to `cur`'s close `rᵢ = closeᵢ/entryᵢ − 1`. The mark is sourced EXACTLY as `sleeve_daily_return`
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sources it (`close_by_symbol.get(symbol, entry_price)`): from the warehouse `close_panel` for `cur`'s
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epoch_day when provided (the same close map the live book marked), else from `cur`'s shadow re-entry
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price for a still-held coin, else the entry (0 return for an unmarked/closed coin). The warehouse path
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makes the reconciliation exact even for a coin DROPPED from `cur`'s shadow but still listed (the shadow
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re-entry path alone would mark it at entry; `sleeve_daily_return` marks it to its real close). Keyed by
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`cur`'s epoch_day to match `paper_sleeve_ret`'s `run_date.toordinal()`. READ-ONLY."""
|
||||
dates = repo.shadow_run_dates()
|
||||
if len(dates) < 2:
|
||||
return {}
|
||||
out: dict[str, dict[int, dict[str, tuple[float, float]]]] = {}
|
||||
prev_by_sleeve = _shadow_by_sleeve(repo.shadow_positions_on(dates[0]))
|
||||
for i in range(1, len(dates)):
|
||||
cur_date = dates[i]
|
||||
cur_by_sleeve = _shadow_by_sleeve(repo.shadow_positions_on(cur_date))
|
||||
epoch_day = _to_ordinal(cur_date)
|
||||
# cur-day mark per coin: prefer the warehouse close (the live book's mark source), else cur's shadow
|
||||
# re-entry (= cur's close for a still-held coin). Either gives `sleeve_daily_return`'s exact mark.
|
||||
cur_entry = {p.symbol: p.entry_price for plist in cur_by_sleeve.values() for p in plist}
|
||||
wh_close = {sym: row.get(epoch_day) for sym, row in (close_panel or {}).items()}
|
||||
for sleeve, plist in prev_by_sleeve.items():
|
||||
gross = sum(abs(p.qty * p.entry_price) for p in plist)
|
||||
if gross <= 0.0:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
row: dict[str, tuple[float, float]] = {}
|
||||
for p in plist:
|
||||
w = (p.qty * p.entry_price) / gross
|
||||
mark = wh_close.get(p.symbol)
|
||||
if mark is None:
|
||||
mark = cur_entry.get(p.symbol, p.entry_price) # held → cur close; else entry (0 ret)
|
||||
r = (mark / p.entry_price - 1.0) if p.entry_price > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
row[p.symbol] = (w, r)
|
||||
out.setdefault(sleeve, {})[epoch_day] = row
|
||||
prev_by_sleeve = cur_by_sleeve
|
||||
return out
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _shadow_by_sleeve(positions: list[Any]) -> dict[str, list[Any]]:
|
||||
by: dict[str, list[Any]] = {}
|
||||
for p in positions:
|
||||
by.setdefault(p.sleeve, []).append(p)
|
||||
return by
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _to_ordinal(iso_date: str) -> int:
|
||||
import datetime as dt
|
||||
|
||||
return dt.date.fromisoformat(iso_date).toordinal()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- the per-book measured-cost net return + metrics ---------------------------------------------
|
||||
|
||||
def _coin_cost_table(store: Any, coins: list[str], taker_fee_bps: float
|
||||
) -> tuple[dict[str, float], dict[str, float]]:
|
||||
"""`(cost_by_coin, spread_by_coin)` — the per-coin MEASURED cost (fee + half the CS spread) and the raw
|
||||
measured spread, read from the warehouse high/low via `_coin_spread_bps`. A store without high/low (or
|
||||
`None`) → every coin measures 0.0 spread → cost = the fee floor (never a guessed penalty)."""
|
||||
if store is None or not coins:
|
||||
return ({c: taker_fee_bps for c in coins}, {c: 0.0 for c in coins})
|
||||
spread_by_coin = _coin_spread_bps(store, None, coins)
|
||||
cost_by_coin = {c: coin_cost_bps(effective_spread_bps=spread_by_coin.get(c, 0.0),
|
||||
taker_fee_bps=taker_fee_bps) for c in coins}
|
||||
return cost_by_coin, spread_by_coin
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _binance_measured_net(repo: PaperRepo, store: Any, *, capital: float, sleeves: list[str],
|
||||
win_lo: int | None, win_hi: int | None,
|
||||
taker_fee_bps: float) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
"""The Binance combined book's per-coin MEASURED-cost equity curve + metrics over [win_lo, win_hi].
|
||||
|
||||
Runs the established sleeve-level risk overlay (`overlay_pass` over `paper_sleeve_ret`) for the GROSS
|
||||
book return (unchanged), then charges a per-COIN measured cost on the per-coin effective-weight
|
||||
turnover `Wᵢ[d] = Σ_sleeve eff_w_sleeve[d]·wᵢ(sleeve,d)`. Gross is identical to the existing
|
||||
`simulate_book`; only the cost term is the measured per-coin one."""
|
||||
sleeve_returns = repo.sleeve_returns(before="2999-01-01")
|
||||
sel = [s for s in sleeves if s in sleeve_returns]
|
||||
op = overlay_pass(sleeve_returns, sleeves=sel, start=win_lo, end=win_hi,
|
||||
controller="killswitch", kelly_fraction=1.0)
|
||||
|
||||
# The warehouse close panel for the shadow's coins is the EXACT mark source the live book used (so the
|
||||
# per-coin returns reconcile even for a coin dropped from a later shadow but still listed). Bound the
|
||||
# read to the coins the shadow book actually holds (a WHERE symbol IN (...) read, never the full panel).
|
||||
shadow_coins = sorted({p.symbol for d in repo.shadow_run_dates()
|
||||
for p in repo.shadow_positions_on(d)})
|
||||
close_panel = (store.read_panel(shadow_coins, "close")
|
||||
if (store is not None and shadow_coins) else None)
|
||||
per_coin = binance_per_coin_weights(repo, close_panel)
|
||||
|
||||
# Per-coin cost table over every coin any sleeve holds.
|
||||
coins = sorted({c for by_day in per_coin.values() for row in by_day.values() for c in row})
|
||||
cost_by_coin, spread_by_coin = _coin_cost_table(store, coins, taker_fee_bps)
|
||||
|
||||
equity = capital
|
||||
peak = capital
|
||||
dates: list[int] = []
|
||||
equity_curve: list[float] = []
|
||||
drawdown: list[float] = []
|
||||
net_rets: list[float] = []
|
||||
prev_W: dict[str, float] = {}
|
||||
cost_bps_weighted_sum = 0.0
|
||||
traded_w_sum = 0.0
|
||||
|
||||
for i, d in enumerate(op.dates):
|
||||
gross = op.gross_ret[i] # eff_lev·Σ w·r — the UNCHANGED book gross return
|
||||
eff_w_sleeve = op.eff_w[i] # {sleeve: w·eff_lev}
|
||||
# per-coin book effective weight: Σ_sleeve eff_w_sleeve · within-sleeve weight(coin).
|
||||
W: dict[str, float] = {}
|
||||
for sleeve, sw in eff_w_sleeve.items():
|
||||
if sw == 0.0:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
for coin, (wc, _r) in per_coin.get(sleeve, {}).get(d, {}).items():
|
||||
W[coin] = W.get(coin, 0.0) + sw * wc
|
||||
day_cost = 0.0
|
||||
for coin in set(W) | set(prev_W):
|
||||
dw = abs(W.get(coin, 0.0) - prev_W.get(coin, 0.0))
|
||||
if dw <= 0.0:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
cbps = cost_by_coin.get(coin, taker_fee_bps)
|
||||
day_cost += dw * cbps / 1e4
|
||||
cost_bps_weighted_sum += dw * cbps
|
||||
traded_w_sum += dw
|
||||
prev_W = W
|
||||
|
||||
net = gross - day_cost
|
||||
equity *= (1.0 + net)
|
||||
peak = max(peak, equity)
|
||||
dd = (equity - peak) / peak if peak > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
dates.append(d)
|
||||
equity_curve.append(equity)
|
||||
drawdown.append(dd)
|
||||
net_rets.append(net)
|
||||
|
||||
metrics = _sim_metrics(dates, equity_curve, net_rets, drawdown, capital)
|
||||
avg_cost_drag_bps = (cost_bps_weighted_sum / traded_w_sum) if traded_w_sum > 0 else 0.0
|
||||
measured = [spread_by_coin[c] for c in coins if c in spread_by_coin]
|
||||
median_spread_bps = float(st.median(measured)) if measured else 0.0
|
||||
return {"dates": dates, "equity": equity_curve, "metrics": metrics,
|
||||
"median_spread_bps": median_spread_bps, "cost_drag_bps": avg_cost_drag_bps}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _bybit_measured_net(repo: PaperRepo, store: Any, *, capital: float, win_lo: int | None,
|
||||
win_hi: int | None, taker_fee_bps: float, flat_cost_bps: float
|
||||
) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
"""The Bybit 4-edge naive-eqwt book's net equity curve + metrics over the window.
|
||||
|
||||
When a Bybit per-coin feature store is supplied, the per-coin measured cost would be wired the same way
|
||||
via `bybit_liquidity_sweep.per_coin_book_returns`; in the cockpit compare the Bybit book is read from
|
||||
the precomputed sleeve-level `bybit_sleeve_ret` (no per-coin Bybit warehouse on the request path), so
|
||||
it runs the naive eq-wt book at the flat cost — we do NOT fabricate Bybit spreads. Bybit is the
|
||||
deep/liquid venue, so its flat cost is already near the measured fee floor."""
|
||||
by_returns = repo.bybit_sleeve_returns()
|
||||
sleeves = sorted(by_returns.keys())
|
||||
res = simulate_naive_eqwt(by_returns, capital=capital, sleeves=sleeves,
|
||||
start=win_lo, end=win_hi, cost_bps=flat_cost_bps)
|
||||
return {"dates": res.dates, "equity": res.equity, "metrics": res.metrics,
|
||||
"median_spread_bps": 0.0, "cost_drag_bps": flat_cost_bps}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _book_first_last(returns: dict[str, dict[int, float]]) -> tuple[int | None, int | None]:
|
||||
days = [d for r in returns.values() for d in r]
|
||||
return (min(days), max(days)) if days else (None, None)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def compare_measured_cost(repo: PaperRepo, store: Any, *, capital: float,
|
||||
taker_fee_bps: float = _TAKER_FEE_BPS,
|
||||
flat_cost_bps: float | None = None,
|
||||
start: int | None = None, end: int | None = None) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
"""Run BOTH books over their OVERLAP window charging a per-COIN MEASURED cost (Binance) — the de-inflated
|
||||
apples-to-apples compare. Returns `{available, rows, no_overlap, window_start, window_end, equity_a,
|
||||
equity_b}` where each row carries `{book, label, sharpe, cagr, total_return, max_dd, end_value, n_days,
|
||||
start_equity, median_spread_bps, cost_drag_bps}`.
|
||||
|
||||
`flat_cost_bps` (test/AB hook) FORCES the flat per-turnover cost on BOTH books instead of the measured
|
||||
per-coin one — used to prove the measured cost de-inflates Binance relative to the flat baseline. The
|
||||
Bybit book always runs the flat cost (no per-coin Bybit warehouse on the request path). READ-ONLY."""
|
||||
bin_returns = repo.sleeve_returns(before="2999-01-01")
|
||||
by_returns = repo.bybit_sleeve_returns()
|
||||
bin_lo, bin_hi = _book_first_last(bin_returns)
|
||||
by_lo, by_hi = _book_first_last(by_returns)
|
||||
auto_lo = max(x for x in (bin_lo, by_lo) if x is not None) if (bin_lo and by_lo) else None
|
||||
auto_hi = min(x for x in (bin_hi, by_hi) if x is not None) if (bin_hi and by_hi) else None
|
||||
win_lo = start if start is not None else auto_lo
|
||||
win_hi = end if end is not None else auto_hi
|
||||
|
||||
bybit_flat = flat_cost_bps if flat_cost_bps is not None else taker_fee_bps
|
||||
if flat_cost_bps is not None:
|
||||
# FLAT baseline (the A leg of the A/B): both books at the same flat cost, sleeve-level turnover.
|
||||
from fxhnt.application.paper_sim import simulate_book
|
||||
|
||||
bin_sleeves = sorted(bin_returns.keys())
|
||||
bin_res = simulate_book(bin_returns, capital=capital, sleeves=bin_sleeves, start=win_lo,
|
||||
end=win_hi, controller="killswitch", kelly_fraction=1.0,
|
||||
cost_bps=flat_cost_bps)
|
||||
bin_view = {"dates": bin_res.dates, "equity": bin_res.equity, "metrics": bin_res.metrics,
|
||||
"median_spread_bps": 0.0, "cost_drag_bps": flat_cost_bps}
|
||||
else:
|
||||
bin_view = _binance_measured_net(repo, store, capital=capital,
|
||||
sleeves=sorted(bin_returns.keys()), win_lo=win_lo,
|
||||
win_hi=win_hi, taker_fee_bps=taker_fee_bps)
|
||||
by_view = _bybit_measured_net(repo, store, capital=capital, win_lo=win_lo, win_hi=win_hi,
|
||||
taker_fee_bps=taker_fee_bps, flat_cost_bps=bybit_flat)
|
||||
|
||||
no_overlap = not bin_view["dates"] or not by_view["dates"]
|
||||
rows = [_row("binance_combined", "Binance", bin_view, capital),
|
||||
_row("bybit_4edge", "Bybit", by_view, capital)]
|
||||
import datetime as dt
|
||||
|
||||
win_lo_iso = dt.date.fromordinal(win_lo).isoformat() if win_lo is not None else ""
|
||||
win_hi_iso = dt.date.fromordinal(win_hi).isoformat() if win_hi is not None else ""
|
||||
return {"available": not no_overlap, "rows": rows, "no_overlap": no_overlap,
|
||||
"window_start": win_lo_iso, "window_end": win_hi_iso,
|
||||
"equity_a": bin_view["equity"], "equity_b": by_view["equity"],
|
||||
"taker_fee_bps": taker_fee_bps, "capital": capital}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _row(book: str, label: str, view: dict[str, Any], capital: float) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
||||
m = view["metrics"]
|
||||
return {"book": book, "label": label,
|
||||
"sharpe": m.get("sharpe", 0.0), "cagr": m.get("cagr", 0.0),
|
||||
"total_return": m.get("total_return", 0.0), "max_dd": m.get("max_dd", 0.0),
|
||||
"end_value": m.get("end_value", capital), "n_days": len(view["dates"]),
|
||||
"start_equity": capital, "median_spread_bps": view["median_spread_bps"],
|
||||
"cost_drag_bps": view["cost_drag_bps"]}
|
||||
371
tests/integration/test_compare_measured_cost.py
Normal file
371
tests/integration/test_compare_measured_cost.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,371 @@
|
||||
"""MEASURED per-coin cost in the cockpit Backtest COMPARE mode (/paper/sim?book=compare).
|
||||
|
||||
The compare overlays the Binance combined book against the Bybit 4-edge book. It USED to charge both a
|
||||
single FLAT cost_bps over the overlap window — which FLATTERS the Binance book, whose broad/illiquid
|
||||
universe really pays much wider spreads than the deep/liquid Bybit set. This wires a per-COIN MEASURED
|
||||
cost into the compare:
|
||||
|
||||
cost_bps(coin) = taker_fee_bps + 0.5 · effective_spread_bps(coin)
|
||||
|
||||
* taker_fee_bps = 5.5 — the PUBLISHED perp taker fee (a known exchange fee, not an assumption);
|
||||
* effective_spread_bps(coin) — MEASURED from each coin's real daily HIGH/LOW via the parameter-free
|
||||
Corwin–Schultz (2012) estimator (median per coin, negatives clamped to 0). You cross HALF per trade;
|
||||
* NO assumed market-impact term.
|
||||
|
||||
THE CRUX (reconciliation, no drift): the Binance combined book's per-COIN within-sleeve weights are
|
||||
surfaced from the persisted UNIT shadow book (`paper_shadow_positions`) — the EXACT mechanism that
|
||||
produces `paper_sleeve_ret`. From two consecutive shadow books, a coin's within-sleeve weight is
|
||||
`wᵢ = qtyᵢ·entryᵢ / Σⱼ|qtyⱼ·entryⱼ|` and its return is `rᵢ = next_entryᵢ/entryᵢ − 1` (the next day's
|
||||
shadow re-enters at that day's close = this lot's mark). By construction `Σᵢ wᵢ·rᵢ == sleeve_daily_return`
|
||||
EXACTLY — so the surfaced weights reproduce the existing book's GROSS return and NOTHING about the Binance
|
||||
book's returns changes. The measured cost replaces ONLY the flat turnover haircut.
|
||||
|
||||
Tests (TDD):
|
||||
* Binance per-coin reconciliation — surfaced within-sleeve weights reproduce `sleeve_daily_return` per
|
||||
day (the HARD guard);
|
||||
* per-coin measured cost — a thin coin (wide CS spread) pays ≫ a deep coin; deterministic; capital-robust;
|
||||
* compare measured-cost — a fixture where Binance holds thin coins with wide measured spreads → its NET
|
||||
Sharpe/CAGR drops sharply vs the flat-cost version (de-inflation visible) while Bybit (liquid) barely
|
||||
moves; the broad book's gross-vs-net gap widens;
|
||||
* web smoke — /paper/sim/run?book=compare renders the measured-cost note + a median-spread + cost-drag
|
||||
column per book; the flat-cost-flatters note is GONE;
|
||||
* single-book sim modes unchanged; READ-ONLY (WriteTripwire).
|
||||
NO network — in-memory SQLite repos + feature store, seeded directly.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import datetime as dt
|
||||
import math
|
||||
import re
|
||||
|
||||
from fastapi.testclient import TestClient
|
||||
|
||||
from fxhnt.adapters.persistence.forward_nav import ForwardNavRepo
|
||||
from fxhnt.adapters.persistence.paper_repo import PaperRepo
|
||||
from fxhnt.adapters.warehouse.timescale_feature_store import TimescaleFeatureStore
|
||||
from fxhnt.adapters.web.app import create_app
|
||||
from fxhnt.application.compare_measured_cost import (
|
||||
binance_per_coin_weights,
|
||||
compare_measured_cost,
|
||||
)
|
||||
from fxhnt.application.paper_book import sleeve_daily_return
|
||||
from fxhnt.domain.paper import Position
|
||||
|
||||
_DAY = 86_400
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- fixtures ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
||||
|
||||
def _ohlc(close: float, spread_frac: float, phase: float) -> tuple[float, float]:
|
||||
"""(high, low) bracketing `close` with a KNOWN proportional half-spread + a decorrelated wobble so the
|
||||
CS estimator (which cancels volatility across independent consecutive days) recovers the spread."""
|
||||
vol = 0.0005 * (0.5 + 0.5 * math.cos(7.0 * phase))
|
||||
half = 0.5 * spread_frac + vol
|
||||
return close * (1.0 + half), close * (1.0 - half)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _seed_shadow_and_sleeve_ret(repo: PaperRepo, store: TimescaleFeatureStore, *,
|
||||
start: dt.date, days: int, sleeve_coins: dict[str, list[str]],
|
||||
spread_by_coin: dict[str, float], drift: float = 0.001,
|
||||
at: dt.datetime) -> None:
|
||||
"""Seed a Binance combined book the way the nightly backfill does: per date persist the UNIT shadow
|
||||
book (qty/entry per coin), book each sleeve's realized return from the PRIOR shadow marked to today's
|
||||
close (`sleeve_daily_return`), and write the coins' high/low/close to the warehouse for the CS spread.
|
||||
|
||||
Each coin walks a deterministic close path; the shadow lot for a coin on day d enters at that day's
|
||||
close (unit weight per sleeve, equal-weight within a sleeve). This mirrors `unit_shadow_positions`."""
|
||||
coins = sorted({c for cs in sleeve_coins.values() for c in cs})
|
||||
# 1) warehouse OHLC for every coin (the CS-spread source) — a deterministic close path per coin.
|
||||
px0 = {c: 100.0 for c in coins}
|
||||
closes_by_day: dict[int, dict[str, float]] = {}
|
||||
for i in range(days):
|
||||
ed = (start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).toordinal()
|
||||
closes_by_day[ed] = {}
|
||||
for ci, coin in enumerate(coins):
|
||||
sign = 1.0 if ci % 2 == 0 else -1.0
|
||||
px = px0[coin]
|
||||
rows = []
|
||||
for i in range(days):
|
||||
# A MODEST deterministic drift (no per-day close wobble): a large close-path wobble inflates the
|
||||
# CS 2-day range (γ) and drives the estimate to 0. The decorrelated intraday wobble lives in
|
||||
# `_ohlc` (the high/low straddle) — that's the component CS cancels to recover the spread.
|
||||
px *= (1.0 + sign * drift)
|
||||
high, low = _ohlc(px, spread_by_coin.get(coin, 0.0005), phase=0.4 * i + ci)
|
||||
ts = (start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).toordinal() * _DAY
|
||||
rows.append((ts, {"close": px, "high": high, "low": low}))
|
||||
closes_by_day[(start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).toordinal()][coin] = px
|
||||
store.write_features(coin, rows)
|
||||
|
||||
# 2) per date: persist the unit shadow book (each sleeve's coins, equal weight, lot enters at close),
|
||||
# then book the prior shadow's per-sleeve return marked to today's close (sleeve_daily_return).
|
||||
prior: list[Position] = []
|
||||
for i in range(days):
|
||||
d = (start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).isoformat()
|
||||
ed = (start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).toordinal()
|
||||
close_d = closes_by_day[ed]
|
||||
# book prior shadow -> today's close FIRST (uses the prior lots' entry vs today's close).
|
||||
by_sleeve: dict[str, list[Position]] = {}
|
||||
for p in prior:
|
||||
by_sleeve.setdefault(p.sleeve, []).append(p)
|
||||
for sname, plist in by_sleeve.items():
|
||||
r = sleeve_daily_return(plist, close_d)
|
||||
if r is not None:
|
||||
repo.upsert_sleeve_ret(d, sname, r, at=at)
|
||||
# build TODAY's shadow: each sleeve equal-weight over its coins, unit notional, lot enters at close.
|
||||
shadow: list[Position] = []
|
||||
for sname, cs in sleeve_coins.items():
|
||||
present = [c for c in cs if c in close_d and close_d[c] > 0]
|
||||
if not present:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
w = 1.0 / len(present)
|
||||
for c in present:
|
||||
qty = (w * 1.0) / close_d[c] # sleeve_weight=1, capital=1 (unit shadow)
|
||||
shadow.append(Position(sname, c, qty, close_d[c], d))
|
||||
repo.replace_shadow_positions(d, shadow, at=at)
|
||||
prior = shadow
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _seed_bybit(repo: PaperRepo, *, start: dt.date, days: int, at: dt.datetime) -> None:
|
||||
sleeves = {"crypto_tstrend": 0.004, "unlock": 0.0025, "xsfunding": 0.001, "positioning": 0.0018}
|
||||
for i in range(days):
|
||||
d = (start + dt.timedelta(days=i)).isoformat()
|
||||
for sleeve, amp in sleeves.items():
|
||||
repo.upsert_bybit_sleeve_ret(d, sleeve, amp * (1.0 if (i + hash(sleeve)) % 3 else -0.8), at=at)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class _WriteTripwireStore:
|
||||
_FORBIDDEN = frozenset({
|
||||
"write_features", "write_features_bulk", "upsert_feature_rows", "upsert_membership",
|
||||
"replace_positions", "upsert_nav", "upsert_sleeve_ret", "replace_shadow_positions",
|
||||
"replace_trades", "_create_schema", "_bulk_upsert",
|
||||
})
|
||||
|
||||
def __init__(self, inner: TimescaleFeatureStore) -> None:
|
||||
object.__setattr__(self, "_inner", inner)
|
||||
|
||||
def __getattr__(self, name: str):
|
||||
if name in _WriteTripwireStore._FORBIDDEN:
|
||||
raise AssertionError(f"READ-ONLY violation: compare-cost called write method {name!r}")
|
||||
return getattr(self._inner, name)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _store() -> TimescaleFeatureStore:
|
||||
return TimescaleFeatureStore("sqlite://", table="features")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 1) Binance per-coin reconciliation (the HARD guard) -----------------------------------------
|
||||
|
||||
def test_binance_per_coin_reconciles_to_sleeve_daily_return() -> None:
|
||||
"""For each (day, sleeve), the surfaced per-coin `Σ wᵢ·rᵢ` must equal the persisted sleeve return
|
||||
(`paper_sleeve_ret`, i.e. `sleeve_daily_return`) to tolerance — the weights reproduce the existing
|
||||
book's gross, so NOTHING about the Binance book's returns changes."""
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
start = dt.date(2021, 1, 1)
|
||||
sleeve_coins = {"crypto_tstrend": ["AAAUSDT", "BBBUSDT"], "unlock": ["CCCUSDT", "DDDUSDT"]}
|
||||
_seed_shadow_and_sleeve_ret(repo, store, start=start, days=30, sleeve_coins=sleeve_coins,
|
||||
spread_by_coin={}, at=at)
|
||||
|
||||
per_coin = binance_per_coin_weights(repo)
|
||||
persisted = repo.sleeve_returns(before="2999-01-01")
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
|
||||
assert per_coin, "expected per-coin weights surfaced from the shadow book"
|
||||
checked = 0
|
||||
for sleeve, by_day in per_coin.items():
|
||||
for day, row in by_day.items():
|
||||
implied = sum(w * r for (w, r) in row.values())
|
||||
booked = persisted.get(sleeve, {}).get(day)
|
||||
if booked is None:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
assert abs(implied - booked) < 1e-9, (sleeve, day, implied, booked)
|
||||
checked += 1
|
||||
assert checked >= 2 * 25, checked # both sleeves, most of the 30 days
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_binance_per_coin_reconciles_with_warehouse_close_mark() -> None:
|
||||
"""When the warehouse close panel is supplied, the per-coin mark is sourced from it (the EXACT mark
|
||||
`sleeve_daily_return` used) — so the surfaced weights reconcile to the persisted return even though the
|
||||
reconstruction is store-aware. The booked sleeve return is itself computed from those same closes."""
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
sleeve_coins = {"crypto_tstrend": ["AAAUSDT", "BBBUSDT"], "unlock": ["CCCUSDT", "DDDUSDT"]}
|
||||
_seed_shadow_and_sleeve_ret(repo, store, start=dt.date(2021, 1, 1), days=30,
|
||||
sleeve_coins=sleeve_coins, spread_by_coin={}, at=at)
|
||||
coins = sorted({c for cs in sleeve_coins.values() for c in cs})
|
||||
close_panel = store.read_panel(coins, "close")
|
||||
per_coin = binance_per_coin_weights(repo, close_panel)
|
||||
persisted = repo.sleeve_returns(before="2999-01-01")
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
|
||||
checked = 0
|
||||
for sleeve, by_day in per_coin.items():
|
||||
for day, row in by_day.items():
|
||||
booked = persisted.get(sleeve, {}).get(day)
|
||||
if booked is None:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
implied = sum(w * r for (w, r) in row.values())
|
||||
assert abs(implied - booked) < 1e-9, (sleeve, day, implied, booked)
|
||||
checked += 1
|
||||
assert checked >= 2 * 25, checked
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_binance_per_coin_weights_are_deterministic() -> None:
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
sleeve_coins = {"crypto_tstrend": ["AAAUSDT", "BBBUSDT"]}
|
||||
_seed_shadow_and_sleeve_ret(repo, store, start=dt.date(2021, 1, 1), days=20,
|
||||
sleeve_coins=sleeve_coins, spread_by_coin={}, at=at)
|
||||
a = binance_per_coin_weights(repo)
|
||||
b = binance_per_coin_weights(repo)
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
assert a == b
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 2) compare measured-cost de-inflates the broad Binance book ---------------------------------
|
||||
|
||||
def _wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo: PaperRepo, store: TimescaleFeatureStore, at: dt.datetime
|
||||
) -> tuple[str, str]:
|
||||
"""Binance holds THIN coins (wide measured spread); Bybit is liquid (deep). Returns (overlap_start,
|
||||
overlap_end). Binance window is broader; Bybit shorter+later so an overlap exists."""
|
||||
bstart = dt.date(2021, 1, 1)
|
||||
bdays = 200
|
||||
# Binance: 4 coins, all WIDE measured spread (the broad/illiquid universe).
|
||||
sleeve_coins = {"crypto_tstrend": ["AAAUSDT", "BBBUSDT"], "unlock": ["CCCUSDT", "DDDUSDT"]}
|
||||
wide = {c: 0.02 for cs in sleeve_coins.values() for c in cs} # 200 bps measured spread
|
||||
_seed_shadow_and_sleeve_ret(repo, store, start=bstart, days=bdays, sleeve_coins=sleeve_coins,
|
||||
spread_by_coin=wide, at=at)
|
||||
ystart = dt.date(2021, 3, 1)
|
||||
ydays = 120
|
||||
_seed_bybit(repo, start=ystart, days=ydays, at=at)
|
||||
ov_start = ystart.isoformat()
|
||||
ov_end = min(bstart + dt.timedelta(days=bdays - 1),
|
||||
ystart + dt.timedelta(days=ydays - 1)).isoformat()
|
||||
return ov_start, ov_end
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_measured_cost_deinflates_broad_binance() -> None:
|
||||
"""With Binance holding wide-spread coins, the MEASURED-cost compare drags Binance's NET total return
|
||||
materially below the FLAT-cost version, while the deep Bybit book barely moves — the de-inflation."""
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, store, at)
|
||||
|
||||
measured = compare_measured_cost(repo, store, capital=100_000.0)
|
||||
flat = compare_measured_cost(repo, store, capital=100_000.0, flat_cost_bps=5.5)
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
|
||||
assert measured["available"] is True
|
||||
by = {r["book"]: r for r in measured["rows"]}
|
||||
fby = {r["book"]: r for r in flat["rows"]}
|
||||
bin_m = by["binance_combined"]["total_return"]
|
||||
bin_f = fby["binance_combined"]["total_return"]
|
||||
by_m = by["bybit_4edge"]["total_return"]
|
||||
by_f = fby["bybit_4edge"]["total_return"]
|
||||
|
||||
# Binance pays its real wide spreads → measured NET total return is meaningfully BELOW the flat one.
|
||||
assert bin_m < bin_f - 1e-6, (bin_m, bin_f)
|
||||
# The Binance measured median spread is far wider than its flat-cost assumption.
|
||||
assert by["binance_combined"]["median_spread_bps"] > 100.0, by["binance_combined"]
|
||||
# Bybit (no per-coin warehouse spreads here) is unchanged between the two — it barely moves.
|
||||
assert abs(by_m - by_f) < 1e-9, (by_m, by_f)
|
||||
# The Binance book's gross-vs-net gap is much wider than Bybit's under the measured cost.
|
||||
assert by["binance_combined"]["cost_drag_bps"] > by["bybit_4edge"]["cost_drag_bps"]
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_measured_cost_is_capital_robust_per_bp() -> None:
|
||||
"""The measured cost is fee + spread (no impact) → per-bp cost drag is identical across capital."""
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, store, at)
|
||||
small = compare_measured_cost(repo, store, capital=100_000.0)
|
||||
large = compare_measured_cost(repo, store, capital=50_000_000.0)
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
sb = {r["book"]: r["cost_drag_bps"] for r in small["rows"]}
|
||||
lb = {r["book"]: r["cost_drag_bps"] for r in large["rows"]}
|
||||
assert sb == lb
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_measured_cost_is_read_only() -> None:
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
inner = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, inner, at)
|
||||
guarded = _WriteTripwireStore(inner)
|
||||
rep = compare_measured_cost(repo, guarded, capital=100_000.0)
|
||||
inner.close()
|
||||
assert rep["available"] is True
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# --- 3) web smoke --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
||||
|
||||
def _client(repo: PaperRepo, store: TimescaleFeatureStore) -> TestClient:
|
||||
fwd = ForwardNavRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
fwd.migrate()
|
||||
return TestClient(create_app(fwd, paper_repo=repo, feature_store=store))
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_web_shows_measured_cost_columns_and_note() -> None:
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, store, at)
|
||||
c = _client(repo, store)
|
||||
r = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"book": "compare", "capital": 100000})
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
assert r.status_code == 200
|
||||
txt = r.text
|
||||
# both books overlaid + named.
|
||||
assert txt.count("<polyline") >= 2
|
||||
assert "Binance" in txt and "Bybit" in txt
|
||||
# measured-cost truth note, NOT the old "flat cost flatters Binance" line.
|
||||
low = txt.lower()
|
||||
assert "corwin" in low or "measured spread" in low
|
||||
assert "flatter" not in low
|
||||
# auditable per-book columns: median measured spread + cost drag (bps).
|
||||
assert "spread" in low and "drag" in low
|
||||
assert re.search(r'data-median-spread="', txt)
|
||||
assert re.search(r'data-cost-drag="', txt)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_web_no_overlap_degrades_gracefully() -> None:
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, store, at)
|
||||
c = _client(repo, store)
|
||||
r = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"book": "compare", "capital": 100000,
|
||||
"start": "1990-01-01", "end": "1990-02-01"})
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
assert r.status_code == 200 # no 500
|
||||
assert "no overlap" in r.text.lower()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_single_book_modes_untouched() -> None:
|
||||
repo = PaperRepo("sqlite://")
|
||||
repo.migrate()
|
||||
at = dt.datetime(2026, 6, 24, tzinfo=dt.UTC)
|
||||
store = _store()
|
||||
_wide_vs_deep_fixture(repo, store, at)
|
||||
c = _client(repo, store)
|
||||
bin_run = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"capital": 100000, "sleeves": "crypto_tstrend,unlock"})
|
||||
by_run = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"book": "bybit_4edge",
|
||||
"sleeves": "crypto_tstrend,unlock,xsfunding,positioning"})
|
||||
store.close()
|
||||
assert bin_run.status_code == 200
|
||||
assert bin_run.text.count("<svg") == 1 # single equity_curve, no compare table
|
||||
assert by_run.status_code == 200
|
||||
assert "Backtest (configurable)" in by_run.text
|
||||
@@ -1,7 +1,9 @@
|
||||
"""Web smoke for the cockpit Backtest COMPARE mode (/paper/sim?book=compare): run the Binance combined
|
||||
book AND the Bybit 4-edge book over the SAME window with the SAME cost, overlaid on one chart with a
|
||||
side-by-side metrics table — so they're apples-to-apples (the live equity figures are misleading: Binance
|
||||
is 4.5y/broad/under-costed, Bybit is ~1 day).
|
||||
book AND the Bybit 4-edge book over the SAME OVERLAP window, overlaid on one chart with a side-by-side
|
||||
metrics table — apples-to-apples (the live equity figures are misleading: Binance is 4.5y/broad, Bybit ~1
|
||||
day). The compare charges a per-COIN MEASURED cost (taker fee + half the Corwin–Schultz spread), NOT a flat
|
||||
cost — the measured-cost de-inflation is covered in test_compare_measured_cost.py; this file is the window /
|
||||
overlay / graceful-degradation web smoke.
|
||||
|
||||
Asserts:
|
||||
* /paper/sim?book=compare renders a third book pill ("Compare A/B") + lazy-loads the compare result;
|
||||
@@ -11,7 +13,8 @@ Asserts:
|
||||
have data the whole window;
|
||||
* an explicit start/end overrides the overlap default;
|
||||
* a no-overlap window degrades gracefully (200, not 500);
|
||||
* both books are charged the SAME cost_bps and both normalized to the SAME start capital;
|
||||
* the flat cost_bps knob is INERT on the compare path (the measured per-coin cost replaced it) and both
|
||||
books are normalized to the SAME start capital;
|
||||
* the honest note about Binance's broader/illiquid universe is present;
|
||||
* the single-book modes are untouched (binance_combined / bybit_4edge still render their own way).
|
||||
NO network — in-memory SQLite repos, seeded directly.
|
||||
@@ -116,8 +119,11 @@ def test_compare_no_overlap_window_degrades_gracefully() -> None:
|
||||
assert "no overlap" in r.text.lower() or "no simulated" in r.text.lower()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_charges_both_books_the_same_cost() -> None:
|
||||
"""The single cost_bps applies to BOTH books — changing it moves both final equities."""
|
||||
def test_compare_ignores_the_flat_cost_bps_knob() -> None:
|
||||
"""The compare now charges a per-COIN MEASURED cost (taker fee + half the Corwin–Schultz spread), NOT
|
||||
the flat `cost_bps`. So changing `cost_bps` must NOT move either book's final equity — the flat knob was
|
||||
dropped from the compare path (it remains on the single-book sim modes). With no warehouse high/low
|
||||
seeded here, both books measure the fee floor, so the curves are stable regardless of `cost_bps`."""
|
||||
c = _client(_seeded_repo())
|
||||
cheap = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"book": "compare", "capital": 100000, "cost_bps": 0})
|
||||
pricey = c.get("/paper/sim/run", params={"book": "compare", "capital": 100000, "cost_bps": 20})
|
||||
@@ -128,8 +134,8 @@ def test_compare_charges_both_books_the_same_cost() -> None:
|
||||
|
||||
cf, pf = _finals(cheap.text), _finals(pricey.text)
|
||||
assert len(cf) == 2 and len(pf) == 2, (cf, pf) # both books reported
|
||||
# cost moves BOTH books' final equity (same cost charged to each).
|
||||
assert cf[0] != pf[0] and cf[1] != pf[1]
|
||||
# the measured per-coin cost replaces the flat knob → cost_bps is inert on the compare path.
|
||||
assert cf == pf
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_compare_both_normalized_to_same_capital() -> None:
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user