Commit Graph

367 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
dd9670dac0 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 10 (PINMEM-007/013 rename + BORROW-001/ROMEM-003 u32 fix) 2026-04-21 00:13:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
b0fdf9b3e4 cleanup: expand scoreboard with iter-9 scans for 5 new categories
Per user directive, ran rg scans for PINMEM, ROMEM, LOCKHOT, BORROW,
CPURO and populated the scoreboard with concrete file:line findings.

PINMEM: 10 new findings (PINMEM-011..019, plus rescan confirmed 001-010)
- Biggest surface: gpu_experience_collector.rs (7 htod sites)
- High priority: gpu_iqn_head.rs dtod_copy for iqn_rewards/iqn_dones
  (PINMEM-013, score 25.0, switch to async-dtod, E=1)

ROMEM: 5 new findings (004 expanded, 005-008 added)
- ROMEM-004 now covers ~40 cuBLAS/cuBLASLt/cuDNN workspace casts across
  shared_cublas_handle.rs, gpu_iql_trainer.rs, gpu_iqn_head.rs,
  gpu_curiosity_trainer.rs, cublaslt_debug.rs — bulk false-positive
  candidates (FFI convention, not actual RO writes)
- ROMEM-007 adds 6 more device-mapped pinned write sites (same pattern
  as ROMEM-001/002 — benign cuMemHostAllocMapped)

LOCKHOT: 5 new findings (006-010)
- LOCKHOT-006/008: tokio::sync::Mutex<PPO> and RwLock<TLOBTransformer>
  held across .await — deadlock risk. High priority.
- LOCKHOT-007: Arc<Mutex<VecDeque<f64>>> history locks per step

BORROW: 1 new finding (002)
- BORROW-002: RefCell<PPO> × 2 in validation/ppo_adapter.rs —
  documented single-threaded, needs invariant verified

CPURO: deferred — .len()/.shape() scan returns hundreds of mostly-Vec
matches; left CPURO-000 task for next iter to classify per-site.

Scoreboard now has ~40 open findings across 12 active categories.
2026-04-21 00:04:10 +02:00
jgrusewski
aa0996f3c6 cleanup: add 4 CPU/GPU memory-safety categories (CPURO, ROMEM, LOCKHOT, BORROW)
Expanding the scanner surface per user directive "all should be
addressed". Four distinct root causes for CPU-side violations around
GPU-owned data — each with its own scan command, fix hierarchy, and
learned-patterns entry.

- CPURO: CPU reads of GPU-resident data (sizes, reductions) that
  force implicit sync. Cache at construction, keep stats on device.
- ROMEM: `*(ptr as *mut T)` writes where ptr came from a const /
  read-only source. CUDA mapped-memory flags matter; cuBLAS/cuDNN
  workspace casts are benign FFI.
- LOCKHOT: Mutex/RwLock on per-step path. High-value hits already
  visible: Mutex<GpuDropout>, Mutex<Option<DropoutScheduler>> in
  network.rs (every forward pass), Arc<Mutex<NStepBuffer>> in dqn.rs.
  Never hold tokio::sync::RwLock across .await.
- BORROW: shared-&T promoted to &mut T via unsafe ptr casts or
  UnsafeCell/RefCell. Real example shipped: gpu_replay_buffer.rs:690
  changes CudaSlice<i32> → CudaSlice<u32> through raw-ptr cast.

Scoreboard seeded with 10 findings. Top scores:
- ROMEM-001 (25.0) - size_pinned mapped write, verify allocation flag
- ROMEM-004 (25.0) - cuBLAS workspace casts, likely false-positive bulk
- ROMEM-002 (15.0) - init-time pinned mapped writes
- LOCKHOT-001/002/003 (8.3) - dropout + nstep_buffer locks on hot path
- BORROW-001 (8.3) - CudaSlice element-type aliasing

CPURO is seeded with a scan-task (CPURO-000) to populate per-site
findings in iter 9 — too many Vec::len() false positives to list upfront.
2026-04-20 23:59:53 +02:00
jgrusewski
f1c9f6025e cleanup: add PINMEM category (unpinned htod/dtod on hot path) — top priority
Per user directive: htod/dtod transfers on the training hot path that
bounce through pageable host memory are a top-priority cleanup target.
Pinned memory (cuMemHostAlloc) + memcpy_htod_async enables DMA + stream
overlap. The codebase already has the pattern (size_pinned,
rng_step_pinned in gpu_replay_buffer.rs) — extend it to every per-step
transfer.

Prompt changes:
- New PINMEM category in §3 table (severity 5)
- Scan command excludes tests/benches/examples/smoke_tests
- New §6 learned pattern entry with 3-tier fix hierarchy:
  (1) eliminate via on-device compute → (2) stage through pinned →
  (3) async for dtod
- Added PINMEM to category ID allowlist in §2

Scoreboard seed: 10 initial findings from an iter-9 scan. Top-scoring:
PINMEM-003 (scratch_f32 scalar, E=1, score=25) and PINMEM-004 (init
scalars, score=15). Hot-path candidates include NoisyNet epsilon
refresh, PER replay-buffer inserts, target-net sync, PPO rollout.
2026-04-20 23:54:23 +02:00
jgrusewski
b27a35ca28 cleanup: close Needs-human escape + document learned patterns
Per user directive from iter 7 ("no deferred tasks, solve properly"),
the Needs-human review escape hatch is closed. Updated:
- Step 6c: replaced "move to Needs human review" with split-into-
  sub-findings guidance; every finding must be solved.
- Step 6e: cargo-check failure now requires diagnosis + retry, not
  deferral. Pre-existing external errors go to Known external state.
- Step 8 summary line: dropped the "deferred j" counter.
- Rule 7: similar rephrasing.
- New §6: learned patterns from iters 1-8 (dead flag chains,
  aspirational config, dishonest fallbacks, inference-side flag flips,
  accounting-only values, orphan files, hidden GPU sync).

Ralph re-feeds this file verbatim, so the next iteration picks up the
updated rules automatically.
2026-04-20 23:51:34 +02:00
jgrusewski
aa43b6dddb cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 8 (4 resolved + Needs-human closed per user directive) 2026-04-20 23:46:24 +02:00
jgrusewski
34b764a91d cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 7 (3 fixed, FFLAG-013b deferral noted + DEAD-003/004 added) 2026-04-20 22:49:57 +02:00
jgrusewski
e2a84c90c4 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 6 (FFLAG-012, FFLAG-018a resolved; FFLAG-018b split) 2026-04-20 22:42:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
6cece4c4e5 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 5 (FFLAG-003, FFLAG-011 resolved; FFLAG-007 deferred) 2026-04-20 22:36:33 +02:00
jgrusewski
4f79572783 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 4 (FFLAG-002, FFLAG-005 resolved) 2026-04-20 22:28:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
e36f63d1d4 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 3 (FFLAG-006, FFLAG-009 resolved; note user WIP blocker) 2026-04-20 22:24:01 +02:00
jgrusewski
045c6f24e1 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 2 (UNWRAP-002, FFLAG-015 resolved; UNWRAP-001 false-positive; GPUSYNC-006/008 deferred) 2026-04-20 22:17:11 +02:00
jgrusewski
2153929ed3 cleanup: update scoreboard — iter 1 (DEAD-001, FFLAG-001 resolved) 2026-04-20 22:11:10 +02:00
jgrusewski
e45e58a41a docs(cleanup): ralph-loop prompt + scoreboard for DQN code cleanup sweep
Adds scoreboard-driven cleanup infrastructure for bounded-batch Ralph
iteration across crates/ml*, services/ml_training_service, backtesting,
data_acquisition, and bin/fxt. Ten smell categories (GPUSYNC, FFLAG,
FALLBACK, ACCOUNT, DIMMIX, UNWRAP, DEAD, MAGIC, PDRIFT, TESTROT) with
per-iter ceiling of 3 commits / 200 LOC / 10 files. Completion gate:
empty scoreboard + cargo check --workspace + cargo test -p ml-dqn --lib.
2026-04-20 22:03:14 +02:00
jgrusewski
ab7567875a plan: adaptive learning dynamics — 19 tasks across 5 phases
Implementation plan for unified LearningHealth system (all gems/pearls/novels):
- Phase A (A1-A4): ISV extension, LearningHealth module, training loop wiring,
  HEALTH_DIAG logging
- Phase B (B1-B4): G2 uncertainty-gated CQL, G3 health-coupled tau,
  G4 temp-continuous Expected SARSA, G5 adaptive gradient budget
- Phase C (C1-C4): P1 health-weighted PER priorities, P2/P3 subsumed by A3,
  P4 temporal-coupled gamma
- Phase D (D1-D8): N1 temporal self-distillation, N2 Q-gap barrier,
  N3 health-triggered plasticity, N4 CF curriculum, N5 information bottleneck,
  N6 ensemble oracle, N7 contrarian override, N8 meta-Q collapse predictor
- Phase E (E1-E2): collapse-recovery smoke test + L40S deployment verification

Spec: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-04-20-adaptive-learning-dynamics-design.md
Target: WinRate >55% by epoch 20, Q-gap stays above 0.1 (no collapse).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 19:12:41 +02:00
jgrusewski
c2f61a0129 spec: review fixes — labels, dedup, P2 as 7th component, WinRate 55%
- Layer 2 labeled as G2-G5, G5 explicit for gradient budget
- P2 spectral_gap_norm added as 7th component in composition (rebalanced weights)
- N6 ensemble oracle has explicit threshold (>0.8 triggers N3 immediately)
- N8 meta-Q wiring clarified: logged but not in composition until validated
- Files Changed deduplicated, paths qualified
- Success criteria: WinRate >55% (above random baseline ~25%)
- HEALTH_DIAG log line includes all 7 components

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 18:58:35 +02:00
jgrusewski
ff5e578bc3 spec: adaptive learning dynamics — LearningHealth + 4 gems + 4 pearls + 8 novels
Fixes Q-value collapse via unified LearningHealth signal that senses
training health (6 components) and continuously adapts:
- CQL regularization (regime + health gated)
- Gradient budget (IQN/CQL/Ens/C51 dynamic allocation)
- Tau target EMA (health-coupled)
- Expected SARSA temperature (continuous, no hardcoded threshold)

Plus 4 pearls (PER priorities, spectral detection, gradient consistency,
adaptive gamma) and 8 novels (self-distillation, barrier loss, plasticity
injection, CF curriculum, information bottleneck, ensemble oracle,
contrarian override, meta-Q network).

Core principle: training hyperparameters are OUTPUTS of the temporal
pipeline, not static schedules. The system meta-learns its own settings.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 18:55:26 +02:00
jgrusewski
bc8fde9a2b plan: unified state layout implementation — 8 tasks
Task 1: Rust constants (ml-core/state_layout.rs)
Task 2: CUDA header (state_layout.cuh + assemble_state())
Task 3: Refactor experience_state_gather to use shared assembly
Task 4: Delete backtest_gather_kernel, replace with shared function
Task 5: Remove configurable state_dim everywhere (131 call sites)
Task 6: Update OFI_DIAG indices + checkpoint validation
Task 7: Layout match integration test
Task 8: Deploy and verify on H100

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 14:36:03 +02:00
jgrusewski
1d8c82221c spec: unified state layout — fix train/validation mismatch
Training and validation use different kernels with different state layouts,
making generalization impossible. Single state_layout.cuh + one assembly
function + STATE_DIM as compile-time constant.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 14:29:53 +02:00
jgrusewski
8394e17224 feat: wire config weights to kernel + revert C51 alpha + atom warm-start spec
Config weights wired end-to-end (5 files): price_confirm_weight,
book_aggression_weight, hold_quality_weight, micro_reward_temp now
parsed from [reward] TOML section → DQNHyperparameters → GpuExperienceConfig
→ kernel args. No more hardcoded magic numbers in micro-reward formula.

Reverted c51_alpha_max 1.0→0.5: full C51 collapsed atoms to 3% util
at epoch 30 (death spiral). MSE floor prevents atom collapse.

PopArt warmup 100→10: 100 batches = ~5 epochs unnormalized → unstable.

Added bitonic sort integration spec: 4 uses (atom warm-start, robust
PopArt, experience curriculum, top-K PER).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 08:51:42 +02:00
jgrusewski
9d4c9efa05 cleanup: remove legacy Sequential q_network + tune config for dense reward
Removed the legacy non-branching Sequential q_network and target_network
from DQNAgent. These were never used (branching+dueling always active)
but allocated VRAM and ran noise resets every step. -190 lines.

Config tuning for dense micro-reward system:
- n_steps: 5→1 (TD(0), micro-rewards cancel over n>1)
- tau: 0.007→0.01 (faster target tracking for TD(0))
- c51_alpha_max: 0.5→1.0 (full C51, PopArt handles normalization)
- curiosity_weight: 0.1→0.0 (dense micro-reward replaces curiosity)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-20 08:17:34 +02:00
jgrusewski
063fd27166 feat: target_dim 4→6 + spec v5 with pearls (bar duration, book CoM, retrospective hold)
target_dim expansion: adds raw_open (OHLCV) and mid_price_open
(MBP-10 midpoint at bar formation) to fxcache targets. FXCACHE_VERSION
2→3 for auto-rebuild. Legacy v2 files handled with close-price fallback.

Spec v5 adds 3 pearls:
- Bar duration encoding in Mamba2 (continuous-time SSM awareness)
- Order book center of mass from all 10 MBP-10 levels (aggression signal)
- Retrospective hold quality bonus (teaches exit timing)

Plus: Hold action (4th direction), DSR Sharpe EMA fix, counterfactual
magnitude/order sign fix, MFT mid-price mark-to-market.

OFI embed MLP now 18→10 (was 16→8). Mamba2 width SH2+10 (was SH2+8).
Attention width D+10 (was D+8).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 23:47:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
f7cf02f363 plan: OFI momentum + dense micro-reward — 9 tasks, full gradient flow
9-task implementation plan covering:
- fxcache target_dim 4→6 (raw_open + mid_price_open from MBP-10)
- OFI data pipeline fix (ofi_gpu wiring, indices 42→66, PORTFOLIO_STRIDE 30→38)
- Dense micro-reward (OFI momentum × price confirm × adaptive cost tolerance)
- OFI embed MLP (16→8 cuBLAS) with full backward gradient flow
- Mamba2 history enrichment (SH2→SH2+8) + d_h_history backward
- Attention enrichment (D→D+8) + d_input_scratch exposure

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 23:21:24 +02:00
jgrusewski
9f67cb0e6e spec: OFI momentum v4 — adaptive cost tolerance + fxcache auto-rebuild
Adds performance-adaptive cost penalty: profitable models (high Sharpe,
capital_ratio > 1) get lower effective trading costs, allowing more
frequent trading when alpha justifies it. Losing models face maximum
cost penalty, forcing selectivity.

Documents fxcache auto-rebuild: FXCACHE_VERSION 2→3 triggers automatic
cache regeneration via existing ensure-fxcache Argo step.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 23:15:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
be977fa5a1 spec: OFI momentum v3 — add raw_open + mid_price_open from MBP-10
target_dim 4→6: adds raw_open (OHLCV) and mid_price_open (MBP-10
best bid/ask midpoint at bar formation) to the targets buffer.

Micro-reward now uses real intra-bar move (close - open) / atr
instead of close-to-close approximation. Also adds spread cost
awareness via |open - mid| penalty. Requires fxcache recomputation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 23:10:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
19808041aa spec: OFI momentum v2 — addresses all 12 review findings
Major changes from v1:
- Fix OFI data pipeline (ofi_gpu never wired, indices 42→66)
- Expand PORTFOLIO_STRIDE 30→38 for prev-OFI storage
- Add Mamba2 d_h_history backward (2 new cuBLAS GEMMs)
- Expose attention d_input_scratch for gradient flow
- Pre-compute OFI deltas in experience collection (state[74..82])
- Lower rank normalization threshold to 1e-5 for micro-rewards
- Use close-to-close return instead of unavailable open_price

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 23:06:46 +02:00
jgrusewski
67dedee49d spec: OFI momentum enrichment + dense micro-reward design
Dense per-bar reward using order flow momentum × price confirmation.
OFI embedding MLP (16→8 via cuBLAS) feeds into Mamba2 history AND
attention input. Replaces sparse exit-only reward with continuous
temporal signal for the SSM and attention heads to learn from.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 22:52:58 +02:00
jgrusewski
d751d2ad4f plan: kernel optimization — 8 tasks, 7 kernels → cuBLAS + batch-parallel
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 12:15:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
d070dccf6e spec: kernel optimization — cuBLAS projections + batch-parallel scans
nsys data: custom kernels = 95% of GPU time. mamba2_scan_backward = 75%.
Root cause: one-thread-per-weight anti-pattern serializes B=8192 samples.
Fix: cuBLAS for projections, lightweight scans for sequential state.
Target: 1950ms/step → <50ms/step.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 12:10:49 +02:00
jgrusewski
4f7b1f4804 plan: true single-graph — 7 tasks, zero CPU on hot path
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-19 00:06:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
b0b06383ad spec: true single-graph — zero CPU on hot path, zero ungraphed launches
Single cuGraphExecLaunch per step. PER sampling, gather, training,
priority update ALL as child graph nodes in one parent. Direct-to-trainer
gather eliminates DtoD copies. GPU-side counters eliminate host writes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 23:59:35 +02:00
jgrusewski
ebc4e66578 spec: add Phase 3 performance optimizations (8 items, prioritized)
3.1 Fuse bias+ReLU into cuBLAS epilogue (highest impact)
3.2 IQN quantiles 64→32 (4.3GB VRAM + 15-20% aux speedup)
3.3 Double-buffered experience collection
3.4 cuGraphExecUpdate for hyperparameter changes
3.5 Tensor core dimension padding (adv_h 32→128)
3.6 Batch size 16384→8192 (unlocks multi-stream benefit)
3.7 Persistent Adam kernel
3.8 Memory pool (cuMemAllocAsync)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 22:04:41 +02:00
jgrusewski
c4c7303e82 audit: 21 CUfunction conflicts — vaccine uses 15+ forward_child kernels ungraphed 2026-04-18 21:45:27 +02:00
jgrusewski
c054b4e1d8 plan: unified single-graph — 5 tasks, zero ungraphed kernel launches
Task 1: CUfunction audit (map every kernel to its child graph)
Task 2: Expose submit methods (post_aux + maintenance + prev_grad_buf)
Task 3: Add new child graphs (capture + launch 7 children)
Task 4: Verify remaining outside-graph code is kernel-free
Task 5: Deploy and validate (target: adam ~30ms, epoch ~64s)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 21:26:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
55f26e0f51 spec: unified single-graph architecture — zero ungraphed kernel launches
Root cause: CUfunction sharing between graphed children and ungraphed
outside-graph ops corrupts kernel state on Hopper → 3100ms adam replay.

Fix: capture EVERYTHING unconditionally in child graphs. Selectivity,
denoise, causal intervention, vaccine, Q-stats all become graphed children.
Zero ungraphed launches = zero CUfunction conflicts.

7 children, ~190 kernel nodes, one capture, one replay per step.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 21:22:34 +02:00
jgrusewski
f851119e2d plan: Phase 2 multi-stream parallelism — 7 tasks
Task 1: Allocate aux streams + workspaces + events
Task 2: IQN/Attention accept workspace+stream override
Task 3: Fork-join in submit_aux_ops (IQN+Attention parallel)
Task 4: Switch capture mode GLOBAL → RELAXED
Task 5: Forward backward branch parallelism
Task 6: Fix adam child event timing (verify)
Task 7: Deploy + verify child graph breakdown

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 16:07:06 +02:00
jgrusewski
f1ebf78b5a spec: Phase 2 multi-stream parallelism design
Hybrid approach based on H100 measurements:
- aux_child: grouped GEMM for IQL high+low, 2 streams for IQN+Attention
- forward_child: backward branch parallelism (forward already multi-stream)
- Target: 4.0s/step → 2.0s/step

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 16:03:45 +02:00
jgrusewski
61e4d8730c docs: update unified graph spec with Phase 1 H100 measurements
Phase 1 results: 4.0s/step GPU compute (graph replay = ungraphed, cuBLAS
replaced manual matmul but feature count increased). CPU pipeline fully
async (0.1ms/step). Total ~718s/epoch — 100% GPU bound.

Updated Phase 2 targets: aux parallelism (2b) is highest priority —
80/177 kernels with 4 independent trainers. nsys profiling should run
first to validate SM vs memory-bound assumptions.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 14:59:57 +02:00
jgrusewski
6017bb156b spec: replace inventory penalty with Q-spread opportunity cost (Pearl)
Inventory penalty makes flat optimal — model learns to do nothing.
Instead: penalize inaction proportional to model's own predicted edge
(Q-value spread). Creates virtuous cycle: better temporal attention →
higher self-imposed penalty for missed trades → more trading on signal.

No hindsight bias (uses predicted edge, not actual price change).
Micro-reward (already exists) rewards correct positioning.
Churn penalty (new) prevents rapid flips.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 00:55:04 +02:00
jgrusewski
874cff04a0 spec: Phase 3 cost-driven hold timing — replaces min_hold_bars
Gem: per-trade implementation shortfall cost (already exists)
Pearl: continuous inventory penalty (holding_cost_rate * |position| * dt)
Novel: graduated churn penalty for rapid flips (not a hard gate)

Removes: min_hold_bars, enforce_hold(), adaptive hold extension
Adds: holding_cost_rate, churn_threshold_bars, churn_penalty_scale
ISV shifts from hold enforcement to risk tolerance modulation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 00:27:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
6b2cbc2965 spec: detailed Phase 2 implementation — workspace isolation, double buffer, determinism
Phase 2a: branch parallel — cuBLAS workspace isolation per branch stream,
buffer isolation verified, backward join before trunk reduction.
Phase 2b: aux parallel — per-trainer workspace (128MB additional), 4 aux
streams, dependency graph within aux_child detailed.
Phase 2c: double buffer — ping-pong experience buffers (3GB additional),
collection/training stream separation, replay buffer staleness analysis,
child graph re-capture for buffer pointer swap.
Determinism: CUDA Graph replay is bit-identical via fixed dependency edges.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 00:12:14 +02:00
jgrusewski
e54b9e5abd spec: Phase 2 multi-stream graph parallelism — designed for future implementation
forward_child: 4 branch streams fork after h_s2, join before loss
aux_child: IQL/IQN/attention on parallel streams
Uses CU_STREAM_CAPTURE_MODE_RELAXED with fork-join events as graph edges
Existing branch_streams[4] + events in batched_forward.rs ready to activate
Target: <40s epochs (from <80s Phase 1)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-18 00:09:40 +02:00
jgrusewski
45d8f4661c plan: rewrite Task 9 for child graph architecture
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 23:58:32 +02:00
jgrusewski
d1693930ab spec: child graph architecture — composable sub-graphs instead of flat capture
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 23:54:07 +02:00
jgrusewski
2bc704f966 spec: Plan Phase 2 — 6 pearls/gems/novels for adaptive planning
P11: Counterfactual conviction drift (current vs entry conviction)
P12: Regime-plan alignment (regime shift invalidates plan)
G11: Temporal plan decay (conviction fades with time)
G12: Multi-exit strategy (partial profit taking via magnitude branch)
N17: Recursive plan revision (living plan, update mid-trade)
N18: Hindsight plan labels (learn optimal plan from trade outcomes)
N19: Plan ensemble (3 plans → agreement confidence signal)

All flow through ISV → Mamba2 → temporal attention pathway.
Learn from bad trades (N18 hindsight), exploit winners (G12 partial
exits, N17 plan extension on conviction increase).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 09:01:53 +02:00
jgrusewski
750b228ed9 plan: Trade Plan Head — 5 tasks, hierarchical plan-based trading
Task 1: PORTFOLIO_STRIDE 23→30, plan slots ps[23-29]
Task 2: trade_plan_forward kernel + 4 weight tensors (82→86)
Task 3: Plan activation + enforcement in env_step
Task 4: Direction lock in action_select + counter-plan Q (N14)
Task 5: Smoke test + compute-sanitizer

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:48:18 +02:00
jgrusewski
102adf7703 spec: fix trade plan head — ps[23-29] (was 16-22 collision), STRIDE 23→30
Portfolio slots ps[15]-ps[19] are Kelly accumulators (active).
Plan params moved to ps[23]-ps[29]. PORTFOLIO_STRIDE grows 23→30.
Fixed asymmetry: scales profit_target only (not stop_loss).
Clarified epsilon mid-plan: overridden by direction lock (intended).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:44:20 +02:00
jgrusewski
1acb23cb24 spec: Trade Plan Head — hierarchical plan-based trading
Plan head outputs 6 params at entry: target_bars, profit_target,
stop_loss, scale_aggression, conviction, asymmetry. Model commits
to plan, bar-by-bar execution constrained. Auto-exit on target/stop/time.

Pearls: P8 learned stops, P9 Kelly conviction, P10 options framework.
Gems: G8 asymmetric R/R, G9 pyramiding, G10 learned termination.
Novels: N13 plan-conditioned Q, N14 counter-plan evaluation,
N15 plan replay priority, N16 ISV-modulated plan parameters.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:41:05 +02:00
jgrusewski
ddb7b170bc plan: Tick Microstructure Intelligence — 4 tasks, OFI_DIM 8→20
Task 1: IncrementalMicrostructureCalculator (12 new features, O(1)/tick)
Task 2: fxcache OFI_DIM 8→20 atomic update (15 files, 30+ locations)
Task 3: Extend precompute pipeline with MicrostructureState
Task 4: Regenerate fxcache + smoke test + compute-sanitizer

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-17 00:02:02 +02:00
jgrusewski
1d958c7ab9 spec: Phase 4 adaptive minimum hold time — prevent coin-flip exits
3-bar base + regime_stability extension (0-12) + confidence extension
(0-3) = adaptive 3-18 bar minimum hold. Only prevents exits, not
entries. Targets 100-200K trades instead of 619K.

Pearl: P7 hard minimum hold. Gem: G7 regime-conditioned extension.
Novel: N12 ISV-driven hold confidence.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-16 23:51:45 +02:00