Commit Graph

816 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
jgrusewski
18e00fff12 feat(trading_agent): correlation matrix support in Markowitz allocation
Add optional correlation matrix parameter to mean-variance optimization.
When provided, builds full covariance matrix (Sigma[i][j] = corr[i][j] *
vol_i * vol_j) instead of diagonal-only. Existing API unchanged — callers
pass None by default. New allocate_with_correlations() public method for
correlated optimization. Five new tests: identity-matches-diagonal,
correlated-differs-from-diagonal, invalid dimensions, non-square matrix,
and non-MeanVariance delegation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:33:14 +01:00
jgrusewski
940aae71b1 fix(trading_service): NaN/Inf guards in feature normalization
Add defensive checks to FeaturePreprocessor::normalize():
- Return 0.0 with warning log for NaN/Inf input values
- Clamp z-score output to [-10, 10] to prevent extreme values
- Add 4 unit tests covering NaN, Inf, -Inf, and extreme value clamping

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:24:07 +01:00
jgrusewski
10032ca13f feat(ml): SHA-256 checksum validation for model checkpoint integrity
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:23:51 +01:00
jgrusewski
15c0fb5397 merge: pull liquid CfC v2 and codebase deduplication from main into production-hardening 2026-02-23 10:09:25 +01:00
jgrusewski
2e4b0c9455 fix(ml): per-model circuit breakers in ensemble — filter NaN/Inf, clamp confidence
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:06:53 +01:00
jgrusewski
5a2c92484c docs(risk): document Redis monitoring deferral for kill switch
Replace the TODO for spawning a background Redis health-check task
with an architectural decision comment. Local AtomicBool provides
immediate process-level protection; Redis monitoring is deferred to
multi-service deployment with a clear implementation roadmap.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:06:42 +01:00
jgrusewski
e36698ef14 fix(ml): GPU OOM detection with automatic CPU fallback in inference engine
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:06:40 +01:00
jgrusewski
3637b49218 fix(trading_service): wire real portfolio notional into VaR calculations
Move position fetching before VaR calculation in both get_va_r and
get_risk_metrics so the portfolio notional is computed from real
position data (sum of |quantity * avg_price|) instead of the fake
confidence_level * 1_000_000.0 placeholder. Falls back to 100_000.0
when the portfolio is empty.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 10:04:34 +01:00
jgrusewski
51378aa4cc fix(trading_agent): wire real position data into allocation calculations
Replaces hardcoded zeros in AssetAllocation with real position data
queried from agent_orders. Adds fetch_current_positions() helper that
derives net quantity per symbol (buy - sell) and reuses it in both
allocate_portfolio and rebalance_portfolio to eliminate SQL duplication.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 09:54:12 +01:00
jgrusewski
cc623af5fa fix(ml): replace std::process::exit with Result propagation in temporal_guard tests
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 09:46:05 +01:00
jgrusewski
7fd5ad4286 docs: production hardening phase 2 implementation plan — 19 tasks
4 layers: Safety Net (6 tasks), Correctness (6 tasks incl. CfC ensemble),
Verification (4 tasks), Training Infrastructure (3 tasks incl. Databento).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 09:39:13 +01:00
jgrusewski
fad71033ff docs: production hardening phase 2 design — $100K live trading readiness
4-layer risk-prioritized approach: safety net (crash prevention),
correctness (accurate calculations + liquid CfC ensemble integration),
verification (test coverage), training infrastructure (Databento + GPU).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 09:33:55 +01:00
jgrusewski
4db5b86d9b chore(tests): clean stale FIXME in test_runner, document lock contention tracking
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:14:24 +01:00
jgrusewski
3544e800f8 fix(services): regime feature extraction, correlation docs, execution roadmap, auth #[ignore], chaos docs
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:14:14 +01:00
jgrusewski
2980e6c50a docs(services): TLS/OCSP delegation, compliance roadmap, metrics doc comments
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:14:05 +01:00
jgrusewski
d4a0255595 feat(ml): AttentionMask causal masking, document multi-asset DQN and conversion layer
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:03:53 +01:00
jgrusewski
cfadd7d3dc feat(ml): factored 45-action masking, confidence EMA, RAII memory docs
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:03:44 +01:00
jgrusewski
4e228f127f feat(ml): implement microstructure features, TFT resource monitoring, document disabled tests
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:03:35 +01:00
jgrusewski
9e7a4bf086 fix(ml): replace hardcoded t-distribution with statrs, compute quantization savings, parse safetensors header
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 01:03:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
60593ba8bb fix(services): wire event filter, document job store, implement cross-symbol validation
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:50:07 +01:00
jgrusewski
c45e4a039a feat(backtesting): DBN file metadata caching and progress callback for strategy engine
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:49:47 +01:00
jgrusewski
1896bb5a38 fix(backtesting): wire equity curve and drawdown periods to GetBacktestResults
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:49:17 +01:00
jgrusewski
bb116bad89 fix(trading_service): safetensors DQN loading, prediction shutdown, emergency order query
- Add load_from_safetensors() to DQNAgent for weight loading via VarMap
- Update RealDQNModel::from_checkpoint to try safetensors first, fall back to JSON
- Replace std::mem::forget(prediction_shutdown_tx) with proper Vec-based storage
  that sends shutdown signal and drops senders during graceful shutdown
- Wire order_manager.get_open_orders() into emergency_stop response so callers
  see which orders were active when the kill switch engaged

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:26:13 +01:00
jgrusewski
b7c92d60f9 fix(trading_service): use real position sizes and marginal VaR contributions
Replace hardcoded position_size: 1000.0 with actual position quantities
from fetch_positions(). Compute contribution_pct as marginal VaR ratio
(symbol_var / portfolio_var * 100) instead of naive equal-weight split.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:20:25 +01:00
jgrusewski
164e96bf44 fix(trading_agent): wire real volatility, prices, and metrics into allocate_portfolio
Replace 7 hardcoded 0.0 values with real calculations:
- target_quantity from last close price
- portfolio_volatility from log return stddev * sqrt(252)
- portfolio_sharpe from weighted returns / portfolio vol
- var_95 parametric VaR
- max_drawdown_estimate from vol approximation
- rebalance_delta as target - current (0 until positions available)
- per-asset volatility from price bars (was hardcoded 0.15)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:20:05 +01:00
jgrusewski
33576dddb9 fix(services): populate event protos, compute max drawdown, document integration gaps
Tasks 8-14 production hardening batch:

- Populate Order/Position/Execution proto messages from JSON payload in event
  stream converters instead of returning None (Task 9)
- Compute max_drawdown from cumulative PnL samples in A/B testing pipeline
  instead of hardcoded 0.0 (Task 11)
- Document feature pipeline integration blockers with detailed roadmap
  comments in state.rs and trading.rs (Task 8)
- Document realized PnL gap: TradingPosition lacks the field, repository
  has async method incompatible with Iterator::map (Task 10)
- Document ML order quantity gap in api_gateway proxy: MlOrderResponse
  proto lacks quantity field (Task 12)
- Document per-symbol weight tracking roadmap in ensemble_coordinator (Task 13)
- Document OHLCV bar pipeline upgrade roadmap in state.rs (Task 14)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:18:39 +01:00
jgrusewski
5a90eaba8c Merge branch 'refactor/codebase-deduplication' 2026-02-23 00:11:34 +01:00
jgrusewski
62c2439fe5 test(ml): add feature extraction pipeline integration tests
4 tests validating the 51-dim feature extraction pipeline:
- DBN data loading (graceful skip if file absent)
- Synthetic bars: dimension check (51-dim), no NaN/Inf
- Value range bounds (-100 to 100)
- Streaming vs batch consistency (element-wise 1e-10 tolerance)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:08:17 +01:00
jgrusewski
20c09d8a54 refactor(ml): delete legacy SimpleNeuralNetwork and TrainingPipeline dead code
Remove 520 lines of ndarray-based placeholder code that never performed real
gradient descent. Production training uses Candle-based trainers in ml::trainers/.

Deleted: SimpleNeuralNetwork, TrainingPipeline, NetworkConfig, ActivationType,
TrainingMetrics, NetworkInterface, MockNetwork, and 9 associated tests.
Kept: DeviceCapabilities, TrainingConfig, sub-module re-exports.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:07:59 +01:00
jgrusewski
d9fa536511 docs: add ML ensemble expansion implementation plan (36 tasks, 6 phases)
Sequential build plan for 5 model integrations (TGGN, TLOB, KAN,
xLSTM, Diffusion) with TDD, worktree isolation, and full trait
implementations (UnifiedTrainable + ParameterSpace + hyperopt).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:05:28 +01:00
jgrusewski
200deaafe2 fix(ml): delete mock data loader from train_tft binary
Replace load_and_split_data() mock that generated 2000 synthetic samples
with an error-returning stub directing users to ml_training_service.

The binary retains its real infrastructure (TFTTrainer, CLI, checkpoint
storage, progress callbacks) — only the fake data generation is removed.

-120 lines of mock data, +16 lines error stub with documentation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 00:03:12 +01:00
jgrusewski
1408d33f4f docs: add ML ensemble expansion design (7→10 models, 5 integrations)
Approved design for expanding the ensemble with KAN, xLSTM, and
Diffusion architectures plus bringing TGGN/TLOB to full integration.
Sequential build order, no god classes, modular decomposition.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:56:38 +01:00
jgrusewski
4dd6e24a4e fix: resolve rebase conflict markers and align ModelType semantics
Fix leftover conflict markers from rebase onto main. Align as_str()
with main's semantics (general-purpose model names), add separate
s3_prefix() for S3 storage paths, and fix to_db_string() to preserve
per-variant database values.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:56:29 +01:00
jgrusewski
edd5a503da test(ml): add TFT + Mamba2 checkpoint roundtrip integration tests
Extend checkpoint_roundtrip.rs with 4 new tests for sequence-buffered models:

- TFT adapter deterministic inference: verifies same adapter produces
  identical direction/confidence on repeated calls with stable buffer
- TFT quantile metadata: confirms quantiles are absent during buffering
  phase and present (with correct count) after buffer fills
- Mamba2 adapter deterministic inference: same pattern as TFT, verifies
  direction/confidence stability and correct model name ("MAMBA-2")
- Mamba2 CheckpointManager roundtrip: saves/loads via Checkpointable
  trait on Mamba2SSM, verifies metadata tags and hyperparameters

All 10 tests (6 existing DQN/PPO + 4 new TFT/Mamba2) pass consistently.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:55:23 +01:00
jgrusewski
4ec8e58cf4 refactor(data): replace inline CircuitBreaker with common::resilience::CircuitBreaker
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
4a14e53eeb refactor(broker_gateway): replace inline CircuitBreaker with common::resilience::CircuitBreaker
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
bb4d4159d8 refactor(ml): implement CircuitBreakerTrait for ML circuit breaker
Bridge the ML crate's parking_lot::RwLock-based CircuitBreaker to the
shared CircuitBreakerTrait from common. Maps synchronous methods
(allow_request, record_success, etc.) to the async trait interface and
converts CircuitState variants to common::CircuitBreakerState.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
43f0fa90fc feat(common): add CircuitBreakerTrait for shared circuit breaker interface
Define an async trait that abstracts the circuit breaker state machine
(Closed -> Open -> HalfOpen) so different implementations can be used
polymorphically. Implement the trait for the existing tokio::Mutex-based
CircuitBreaker struct by delegating to its existing async methods.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
9693c7c590 refactor(ml): move Adam optimizer from lib.rs to optimizers/adam.rs
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
1c940567ca refactor(adaptive-strategy): remove noisy hardcoded config eprintln warnings
Remove 8 warning prints (tracing::warn! and eprintln!) from Default impls
in config.rs. These fired on every test run and default construction,
creating noise. The migration notice in the module-level comment remains
as documentation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
64fa11b6d5 refactor(adaptive-strategy): remove dead code from execution, risk, and model modules
- execution/mod.rs: prefix 18 unused struct fields with _ (SlippageTracker,
  SmartOrderRouter, TWAP, VWAP, MarketImpactModel fields)
- risk/mod.rs: prefix 5 unused PnLTracker/RiskMetricsCalculator fields,
  remove #[allow(dead_code)] from DrawdownCalculator (fields are used),
  delete entirely unused CorrelationMatrix struct
- models/traditional.rs: prefix config/ready on 4 stub model structs
- models/deep_learning.rs: prefix config/ready on 3 stub model structs
- 80/80 tests pass, zero warnings

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
0e1d02bc82 refactor(adaptive-strategy): remove dead code from kelly_position_sizer
- Delete dead methods: calculate_base_kelly, calculate_variance (never called)
- Delete unused enum variants: VolatilityModelType::Garch/RangeBased/Realized
- Prefix 30+ unused struct fields with _ instead of #[allow(dead_code)]
- Remove all #[allow(dead_code)] attributes (24 total removed)
- Make calculate_win_loss_stats pub (used in tests)
- 80/80 tests pass, zero warnings

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
98c3ffa4df refactor(common): remove confusing aliased re-exports
Remove unused aliased re-exports from common/src/lib.rs:
- BarEventFromMarketData, MarketDataEventFromMarketData,
  OrderBookEventFromMarketData, QuoteEventFromMarketData,
  TradeEventFromMarketData (all unused, conflicted with types:: exports)
- ResilienceCircuitBreaker (unused alias for resilience::CircuitBreaker
  struct, conflicted with traits::CircuitBreaker trait)
- Also removes BarInterval and NewsEvent root re-exports (unused from
  root, accessible via common::market_data::*)

Users should import market_data types via common::market_data::* and
the resilience CircuitBreaker struct via common::resilience::CircuitBreaker.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
fd1b60bbf5 refactor: unify ModelType into common/model_types.rs
Consolidate 4 separate ModelType enum definitions (ml 15 variants,
model_loader 7, campaign 2, job_spawner 4) into a single canonical
definition in common/src/model_types.rs with the union of all variants
and all methods (file_extension, as_str, to_db_string, weight, from_str,
Display).

- ml/src/lib.rs: replace 15-variant enum with re-export
- model_loader/src/lib.rs: replace 7-variant enum with re-export,
  update PascalCase names (Dqn->DQN, Tft->TFT, etc)
- ml/hyperopt/campaign.rs: replace 2-variant enum with re-export
- services/ml_training_service/job_spawner.rs: replace 4-variant enum
  with re-export, MAMBA2->MAMBA
- Remove orphan impl ToString in ml/observability/metrics.rs (Display
  now provided by canonical type)
- Update backtesting_service and model_loader tests for new names

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:39:26 +01:00
jgrusewski
36a560ccb3 refactor(ml): remove stub ErrorCategory, use common::error::ErrorCategory
The ml crate had a stub ErrorCategory with only 1 variant (System).
Replace it with a re-export of the canonical 24-variant ErrorCategory
from common::error. Also rename the unused ErrorCategory in
data/src/providers/common.rs to ProviderErrorCategory to avoid
name collision.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:35:42 +01:00
jgrusewski
d2e6a78bab refactor: extract shared TLS types (TlsProtocolVersion, UserRole, ClientIdentity) to common/
Move identical TLS type definitions from 4 service crates into
common/src/tls.rs, eliminating ~435 lines of duplicated code.
Each service retains its own TlsConfig struct and validation logic
(async vs sync, delegated vs monolithic) while sharing the type
definitions. Services re-export the types for backward compatibility.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:35:42 +01:00
jgrusewski
34215f7c7e refactor(api_gateway): rename ConfigError to GatewayConfigError to avoid collision with config crate
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:35:42 +01:00
jgrusewski
6afe9bab02 refactor(ml): consolidate OrderType into common/action.rs
Deduplicate four identical OrderType enums (Market/LimitMaker/IoC) into a
single definition at ml/src/common/action.rs with all methods from all copies
(transaction_cost, cost_bps, cost_decimal, from_index, Display). Original
locations now re-export via `pub use crate::common::action::OrderType`.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:35:42 +01:00
jgrusewski
2775d60c25 test(ml): add DQN + PPO checkpoint roundtrip integration tests
Add 6 integration tests that verify model weights survive a full
checkpoint cycle (serialize -> save to disk -> load -> predict):

- DQN raw Q-network weight roundtrip via safetensors
- DQN adapter roundtrip via DqnInferenceAdapter::from_checkpoint
- DQN CheckpointManager + Checkpointable trait flow
- PPO actor/critic checkpoint roundtrip with exact output comparison
- PPO inference after checkpoint load (probability validation)
- PPO adapter deterministic prediction verification

Fix a bug in DQN::load_from_safetensors where inserting new Var
objects into the VarMap HashMap left the Linear layers pointing at
stale data. The fix uses VarMap::load() which correctly updates
existing Vars in-place via Var::set(), preserving the shared
Arc<RwLock<Storage>> between VarMap entries and Linear layer tensors.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 23:35:34 +01:00
jgrusewski
8b74a9a42e docs: add production hardening implementation plan (53 tasks, 5 phases)
Phase 1: ML pipeline verification (checkpoint roundtrip, feature extraction)
Phase 2: Service production logic (hardcoded values, stub responses)
Phases 3-5: Backtesting, ML crate TODOs, infrastructure/security/cleanup

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-22 22:51:56 +01:00