jgrusewski 73fd49f4b5 fix(magnitude): var_scale permanent floor — eval Full reachable via conviction
Smoke (with mag_concat off-by-one fixed and fxcache regenerated):
- training MAG_DIST: Q=0.287 H=0.301 F=0.412 (healthy diversity)
- INTENT at eval:    Q=0.045 H=0.045 F=0.911 (network learned Full)
- realised at eval:  Q=0.592 H=0.408 F=0.000 (Full silenced)

Even though q_f >> q_h >> q_q (network strongly prefers Full), eval
realised Full = 0.000. Position-sizing pipeline composes four
multiplicative shrinks at experience_kernels.cu:1615-1672:

  effective_max_pos = max_position
                    × cvar_scale            (line 1621)
                    × q_gap_conviction      (line 1628, clamped [0.25,1])
                    × kelly_f               (line 1649, only if >20 trades)
                    × var_scale             (line 1671, = 1/(1+sqrt(var_q)))

Each term well-bounded individually but composing them silences the
policy at validation when var_q persists high (var_q ≈ 30 → var_scale
≈ 0.15; even with conviction = 1.0, kelly_f = 1.0, the compound 0.15
falls in the Quarter bucket [0, 0.375)). Network INTENT reaches the
target_position kernel correctly; var_scale strips it back out.

Same family as val-Flat-collapse (warm-branch Kelly = 0 from balanced
priors) — fix is the same pearl
(`pearl_blend_formulas_must_have_permanent_floor.md`):

  var_scale = max(var_scale, q_gap_conviction)

The q_gap-derived conviction is already an adaptive ISV-coupled signal
(line 1628), already clamped to [0.25, 1.0]. Using it as a permanent
floor on var_scale lets the policy's magnitude intent reach the
realised position when conviction is high, regardless of variance.
No tuned constants — feedback_adaptive_not_tuned + feedback_isv_for_adaptive_bounds
both honoured by reusing the existing adaptive bound rather than
introducing a new threshold.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-27 22:43:48 +02:00

Foxhunt

Production HFT trading system in Rust.

Architecture

The workspace contains 32 crates organized as follows:

Core Libraries (16)

Crate Purpose
trading_engine Order processing, FIX 4.4, IB TWS, SIMD, RDTSC timing
risk VaR, Kelly, circuit breakers, kill switches, compliance
risk-data Risk data types and shared structures
trading-data Trading data types
ml DQN Rainbow, PPO, TFT, Mamba2, ensemble inference
ml-data ML data types and feature definitions
data Market data ingestion and storage
backtesting Replay engine, strategy tester
adaptive-strategy Ensemble execution, microstructure analysis
common Shared types, resilience, error handling
storage S3 and local model storage
model_loader Model serialization and loading
market-data Market data feed handlers
database PostgreSQL access layer (SQLx)
config Configuration management
tli CLI commands and tooling

Services (8)

Service Purpose
backtesting_service gRPC backtesting service
broker_gateway_service FIX routing, broker connectivity
trading_service Core trading operations
ml_training_service Model training orchestration
data_acquisition_service Market data acquisition
trading_agent_service Autonomous trading agents
api_gateway gRPC API gateway with auth
web-gateway Axum REST + WebSocket gateway

Frontend

web-dashboard/ -- React 19 + TypeScript + Vite + TradingView charts.

Building

# Check compilation (no PostgreSQL required)
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo check --workspace

# Run tests for a specific crate
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo test -p <crate> --lib

# Clippy
SQLX_OFFLINE=true cargo clippy --workspace

ML Models

Four production model architectures on Candle v0.9.1 with CUDA:

  • DQN Rainbow -- Deep Q-Network with prioritized replay, dueling heads, noisy nets
  • PPO -- Proximal Policy Optimization with GAE and LSTM policies
  • TFT -- Temporal Fusion Transformer for multi-horizon forecasting
  • Mamba2 -- State space model for sequence prediction

Each model has a standalone trainer and a UnifiedTrainable adapter for the hyperopt pipeline.

Infrastructure

  • Git: Gitea at git.fxhnt.ai (Tailscale-only), Scaleway DEV1-S
  • Observability: OpenTelemetry OTLP (env OTEL_EXPORTER_OTLP_ENDPOINT)
  • Database: PostgreSQL with SQLx offline mode for CI

License

Proprietary. All rights reserved.

Description
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Rust 88.2%
Cuda 7.7%
Python 1.3%
Shell 1.1%
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